Health care utilization and potentially preventable adverse outcomes of high-need, high-cost middle-aged and older adults: Needs for integrated care models with life-course approach

Which medicare advantage enrollees are at highest one-year mortality risk?

BACKGROUND

While a number of tools exist to predict mortality among older adults, less research has described the characteristics of Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollees at higher risk for 1 year mortality.

OBJECTIVES

To describe the characteristics of MA enrollees at higher mortality risk using patient survey data.

RESEARCH DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

SUBJECTS

MA enrollees completing the 2019 MA Consumer Assessment of Healthcare Providers and Systems (CAHPS) Survey.

MEASURES

Linked demographic, health, and mortality data from a sample of MA enrollees were used to predict 1-year mortality risk and describe enrollee characteristics across levels of predicted mortality risk.

RESULTS

The mortality model had a 0.80 c-statistic. Mortality risks were skewed: 6 % of enrollees had a ≥ 10 % 1-year mortality risk, while 45 % of enrollees had 1 % to < 5 % 1-year mortality risk. Among the high-risk (≥10 %) group, 47 % were age 85+ versus 12 % among those with mortality risk <5 %. 79 % were in fair or poor self-rated health versus 29 % among those with mortality risk of <5 %. 71 % reported needing urgent care in the prior 6 months versus 40 % among those with a mortality risk of 1 to<5 %.

CONCLUSIONS

Relatively few older adults enrolled in MA are at high 1-year mortality risk. Nonetheless, MA enrollees over age 85, in fair or poor health, or with recent urgent care needs are far more likely to be in a high mortality risk group.

The distinct impacts of sarcopenic and dynapenic obesity on mortality in middle-aged and older adults based on different adiposity metrics: Results from I-Lan Longitudinal Aging Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Sarcopenic obesity (SO) and dynapenic obesity (DO) represent two manifestations of excessive fat accumulation concurrent with compromised muscle mass and function, thereby necessitating an examination of their implications for health. This study aims to investigate the relationship between SO/DO and mortality, taking into account various adiposity measures and existing sarcopenia criteria, with further stratified analyses based on age and gender.

METHODS

The study sample comprised 1779 older adults residing in the community from the I-Lan Longitudinal Aging Study (ILAS). Body composition was assessed via dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. The diagnosis of sarcopenia was adhered to the 2019 consensus of the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia, while adiposity was measured by waist circumference (WC), body mass index (BMI), and fat percentage. SO/DO was defined as the coexistence of sarcopenia/dynapenia and obesity. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were adopted to examine the association between SO or DO, defined by WC, BMI, fat percentage, and mortality.

RESULTS

This 11-year follow-up study of 1779 participants aged 63.9 ± 9.2 years involved 15,068 person-years and 229 deaths. WC-defined SO (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.1-3.3, p = 0.021) and WC-defined DO (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.1-1.9, p = 0.022) significantly increased mortality risk, whereas definitions employing alternative adiposity metrics exhibited no statistical significance. WC-defined SO was associated with increased risk of mortality among middle-aged adults, while WC-defined DO was associated with increased risk of mortality among older adults. In sex-specific analysis, WC-defined DO was also associated with increased risk of mortality in men (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1-2.4, p = 0.019), while defined by other measurements showed no associations in both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

The study identified a significant link between SO/DO, defined by WC, and an 11-year mortality risk, advocating for WC-defined adiposity as an obesity measure and personalized interventions considering SO and DO's distinct impacts on mortality in middle-aged and older adults.

Safeguarding vitality and cognition: The role of sarcopenia in intrinsic capacity decline among octogenarians from multiple cohorts

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia and intrinsic capacity (IC) declines pose significant challenges to healthy aging, particularly in the rapidly growing octogenarian population. This study aimed to elucidate the relationship between sarcopenia and declines in IC across multiple cohorts of community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

Data from four Taiwanese cohorts were analyzed. Sarcopenia was diagnosed based on the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) 2019 criteria (algorithm 1: categorized as either having possible sarcopenia or not (robust); algorithm 2: categorized as robust, possible sarcopenia or sarcopenia). IC was operationalized using the World Health Organization's Integrated Care for Older People (ICOPE) framework (step 1 and step 2), encompassing six domains: locomotion, vitality, vision, hearing, cognition, and psychological well-being. Multivariable logistic regression models were adopted to assess the association between sarcopenia and IC decline.

RESULTS

Among 599 octogenarians (median age 82.2 years, 54.8% male), the prevalence of possible sarcopenia (algorithm 1) was 64.6%. When adopting algorithm 2, the prevalence of possible sarcopenia and sarcopenia was 46,2% and 32.1%, respectively. After adjusting for covariates, participants with possible sarcopenia or sarcopenia (algorithm 2) were more likely to exhibit declines in vitality (ICOPE Step 1: possible sarcopenia aOR 3.65, sarcopenia aOR 4.74; ICOPE Step 2: possible sarcopenia aOR 5.11, sarcopenia aOR 14.77) and cognition (ICOPE Step 1: possible sarcopenia aOR 2.40, sarcopenia aOR 2.12; ICOPE Step 2: possible sarcopenia aOR 2.02, sarcopenia aOR 2.51) compared to robust individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

This study underscores the robust association between sarcopenia and declines in vitality and cognition among octogenarians, highlighting the importance of sarcopenia screening and management in promoting healthy longevity in this vulnerable population.

Impact of multimorbidity and complex multimorbidity on healthcare utilisation in older Australian adults aged 45 years or more: a large population-based cross-sectional data linkage study

OBJECTIVES

As life expectancy increases, older people are living longer with multimorbidity (MM, co-occurrence of ≥2 chronic health conditions) and complex multimorbidity (CMM, ≥3 chronic conditions affecting ≥3 different body systems). We assessed the impacts of MM and CMM on healthcare service use in Australia, as little was known about this.

DESIGN

Population-based cross-sectional data linkage study.

SETTING

New South Wales, Australia.

PARTICIPANTS

248 496 people aged ≥45 years who completed the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study baseline questionnaire.

PRIMARY OUTCOME

High average annual healthcare service use (≥2 hospital admissions, ≥11 general practice visits and ≥2 emergency department (ED) visits) during the 3-year baseline period (year before, year of and year after recruitment).

METHODS

Baseline questionnaire data were linked with hospital, Medicare claims and ED datasets. Poisson regression models were used to estimate adjusted and unadjusted prevalence ratios for high service use with 95% CIs. Using a count of chronic conditions (disease count) as an alternative morbidity metric was requested during peer review.

RESULTS

Prevalence of MM and CMM was 43.8% and 15.5%, respectively, and prevalence increased with age. Across three healthcare settings, MM was associated with a 2.02-fold to 2.26-fold, and CMM was associated with a 1.83-fold to 2.08-fold, increased risk of high service use. The association was higher in the youngest group (45-59 years) versus the oldest group (≥75 years), which was confirmed when disease count was used as the morbidity metric in sensitivity analysis.When comparing impact using three categories with no overlap (no MM/CMM, MM with no CMM, and CMM), CMM had greater impact than MM across all settings.

CONCLUSION

Increased healthcare service use among older adults with MM and CMM impacts on the demand for primary care and hospital services. Which of MM or CMM has greater impact on risk of high healthcare service use depends on the analytic method used. Ageing populations living longer with increasing burdens of MM and CMM will require increased Medicare funding and provision of integrated care across the healthcare system to meet their complex needs.

Medication overload: A closer look at polypharmacy and potentially inappropriate medications among older people in Taiwan and Japan

BACKGROUND

Polypharmacy and potentially inappropriate medications (PIM) are widely recognized as vital quality indicators of pharmacotherapy in older adults. As Taiwan and Japan grapple with the ongoing challenges of population aging, obtaining an accurate understanding of the prevalence of these indicators is crucial for developing effective strategies to optimize pharmacotherapy in older populations. The present study aims to comprehensively evaluate the prevalence of polypharmacy and PIMs in Taiwan and two Japanese cohorts, shedding light on the similarities and differences in prescribing practices across these populations.

METHODS

This study employed a cross-sectional design to investigate individuals aged ≥65 years in Taiwan, as well as two Japanese cohorts: Japan Cohort 1 (dispensing data from chain pharmacies; year 2014 and 2019) and Japan Cohort 2 (claims data; year 2017 and 2019). The prescription records of these participants were collected from the national claims database in Taiwan for the years 2014, 2017, and 2019. To identify polypharmacy and hyper-polypharmacy, the study defined the use of 5-9 and 10+ drugs, respectively. Furthermore, the study identified PIMs based on the STOPP-J criteria. Notably, the study further explored the most frequently used PIMs (by categories) in Taiwan.

RESULTS

In the year 2019, the prevalence of polypharmacy exhibited similar rates in Taiwan (35.4%) and Japan Cohort 2 (33.1%), while surpassing that of Japan Cohort 1 (25.6%). Nonetheless, the incidence of PIMs in Taiwan was the highest (66.5%), exceeding those of the two Japanese cohorts (Cohort 1: 43.7% and Cohort 2: 40.2%) in the same year. Notably, the top three categories of commonly used PIMs in Taiwan comprised non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), antithrombotic drugs, and benzodiazepines.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the varying prevalence of polypharmacy and PIMs between Taiwan and Japan, but emphasizes the need for collaborative efforts towards optimizing pharmacotherapy in older adults.