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Pigoni A, Delvecchio G, Turtulici N, Madonna D, Pietrini P, Cecchetti L, Brambilla P. Machine learning and the prediction of suicide in psychiatric populations: a systematic review. Transl Psychiatry 2024; 14:140. [PMID: 38461283 PMCID: PMC10925059 DOI: 10.1038/s41398-024-02852-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2023] [Revised: 02/22/2024] [Accepted: 02/22/2024] [Indexed: 03/11/2024] Open
Abstract
Machine learning (ML) has emerged as a promising tool to enhance suicidal prediction. However, as many large-sample studies mixed psychiatric and non-psychiatric populations, a formal psychiatric diagnosis emerged as a strong predictor of suicidal risk, overshadowing more subtle risk factors specific to distinct populations. To overcome this limitation, we conducted a systematic review of ML studies evaluating suicidal behaviors exclusively in psychiatric clinical populations. A systematic literature search was performed from inception through November 17, 2022 on PubMed, EMBASE, and Scopus following the PRISMA guidelines. Original research using ML techniques to assess the risk of suicide or predict suicide attempts in the psychiatric population were included. An assessment for bias risk was performed using the transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines. About 1032 studies were retrieved, and 81 satisfied the inclusion criteria and were included for qualitative synthesis. Clinical and demographic features were the most frequently employed and random forest, support vector machine, and convolutional neural network performed better in terms of accuracy than other algorithms when directly compared. Despite heterogeneity in procedures, most studies reported an accuracy of 70% or greater based on features such as previous attempts, severity of the disorder, and pharmacological treatments. Although the evidence reported is promising, ML algorithms for suicidal prediction still present limitations, including the lack of neurobiological and imaging data and the lack of external validation samples. Overcoming these issues may lead to the development of models to adopt in clinical practice. Further research is warranted to boost a field that holds the potential to critically impact suicide mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alessandro Pigoni
- Social and Affective Neuroscience Group, MoMiLab, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, Lucca, Italy
- Department of Neurosciences and Mental Health, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda, Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
| | - Giuseppe Delvecchio
- Department of Neurosciences and Mental Health, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda, Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
| | - Nunzio Turtulici
- Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
| | - Domenico Madonna
- Department of Neurosciences and Mental Health, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda, Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
| | - Pietro Pietrini
- MoMiLab, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, Lucca, Italy
| | - Luca Cecchetti
- Social and Affective Neuroscience Group, MoMiLab, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, Lucca, Italy
| | - Paolo Brambilla
- Department of Neurosciences and Mental Health, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda, Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy.
- Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
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Chen Z, Xu T, Li Q, Shu Y, Zhou X, Guo T, Liang F. Grey matter abnormalities in major depressive disorder patients with suicide attempts: A systematic review of age-specific differences. Heliyon 2024; 10:e24894. [PMID: 38317985 PMCID: PMC10839985 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e24894] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2023] [Revised: 12/29/2023] [Accepted: 01/11/2024] [Indexed: 02/07/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Previous studies have reported alterations in brain structure in major depressive disorder (MDD) patients with suicide attempts. However, age-related changes in suicidal MDD patients remain unclear. Methods We performed a systematic review following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Embase, PubMed, and Web of Science were searched to identify relevant studies from inception to January 2023. All voxel-based and surface-based morphometry studies comparing suicidal MDD patients to MDD or healthy controls were included. Studies were then grouped by age range (old, middle-age, adolescent) and the commonalities and age-related structural brain alterations were summarized. The included studies were evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). Results A total of 17 studies met the inclusion criteria, including 3 of late-life depression (LLD) patients, 11 of middle-aged depression (MAD) patients, and 3 of adolescent depression (AOD) patients. The majority of studies had moderate to high NOS scores, indicating good quality. Patients in all three age groups exhibited extensive alterations in the lateral, medial, and orbital regions of the frontal lobes. Furthermore, suicidal MAD patients showed a specific decrease in the gray matter volume of the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex compared to suicidal LLD patients. Cortical thickness and left angular gyrus volume were decreased in suicidal MAD and suicidal LLD patients, but increased in suicidal AOD patients. Conclusion This systematic review summarizes structural brain changes in suicidal MDD patients at three age groups: elderly, middle-aged, and adolescent. These findings help elucidate the common circuitry of MDD related to suicide over the lifespan and highlight unique circuitry associated with different ages. These findings may help predict the risk of suicide in MDD patients at different ages.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ziwen Chen
- Department of Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
| | - Tao Xu
- Department of Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
| | - Qifu Li
- Department of Acupuncture and Moxibustion Rehabilitation, Yunnan University of Chinese Medicine, Kunming, China
| | - Yunjie Shu
- Department of Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
| | - Xueli Zhou
- Department of Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
| | - Taipin Guo
- Department of Acupuncture and Moxibustion Rehabilitation, Yunnan University of Chinese Medicine, Kunming, China
| | - Fanrong Liang
- Department of Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
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Lin C, Huang C, Chang W, Chang Y, Liu H, Ng S, Lin H, Lee TM, Lee S, Wu S. Predicting suicidality in late-life depression by 3D convolutional neural network and cross-sample entropy analysis of resting-state fMRI. Brain Behav 2024; 14:e3348. [PMID: 38376042 PMCID: PMC10790060 DOI: 10.1002/brb3.3348] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/05/2023] [Revised: 11/19/2023] [Accepted: 11/20/2023] [Indexed: 02/21/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Predicting suicide is a pressing issue among older adults; however, predicting its risk is difficult. Capitalizing on the recent development of machine learning, considerable progress has been made in predicting complex behavior such as suicide. As depression remained the strongest risk for suicide, we aimed to apply deep learning algorithms to identify suicidality in a group with late-life depression (LLD). METHODS We enrolled 83 patients with LLD, 35 of which were non-suicidal and 48 were suicidal, including 26 with only suicidal ideation and 22 with past suicide attempts, for resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Cross-sample entropy (CSE) analysis was conducted to examine the complexity of MRI signals among brain regions. Three-dimensional (3D) convolutional neural networks (CNNs) were used, and the classification accuracy in each brain region was averaged to predict suicidality after sixfold cross-validation. RESULTS We found brain regions with a mean accuracy above 75% to predict suicidality located mostly in default mode, fronto-parietal, and cingulo-opercular resting-state networks. The models with right amygdala and left caudate provided the most reliable accuracy in all cross-validation folds, indicating their neurobiological importance in late-life suicide. CONCLUSION Combining CSE analysis and the 3D CNN, several brain regions were found to be associated with suicidality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chemin Lin
- Department of PsychiatryKeelung Chang Gung Memorial HospitalKeelungTaiwan
- College of MedicineChang Gung UniversityTaoyuanTaiwan
- Community Medicine Research CenterChang Gung Memorial HospitalKeelungTaiwan
| | - Chih‐Mao Huang
- Department of Biological Science and TechnologyNational Yang Ming Chiao Tung UniversityHsinchuTaiwan
| | - Wei Chang
- Department of Engineering and System ScienceNational Tsing Hua UniversityHsinchuTaiwan
| | - You‐Xun Chang
- Department of Engineering and System ScienceNational Tsing Hua UniversityHsinchuTaiwan
| | - Ho‐Ling Liu
- Community Medicine Research CenterChang Gung Memorial HospitalKeelungTaiwan
- Department of Imaging PhysicsUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer CenterHoustonTexasUSA
| | - Shu‐Hang Ng
- Department of Head and Neck Oncology GroupLinkou Chang Gung Memorial Hospital and Chang Gung UniversityTaoyuanTaiwan
- Department of Diagnostic RadiologyLinkou Chang Gung Memorial Hospital and Chang Gung UniversityTaoyuanTaiwan
| | - Huang‐Li Lin
- Department of PsychiatryLinkou Chang Gung Memorial HospitalTaoyuanTaiwan
| | - Tatia Mei‐Chun Lee
- Community Medicine Research CenterChang Gung Memorial HospitalKeelungTaiwan
- Laboratory of Neuropsychology and Human NeuroscienceThe University of Hong KongPok Fu LamHong Kong
- State Key Laboratory of Brain and Cognitive ScienceThe University of Hong KongPok Fu LamHong Kong
| | - Shwu‐Hua Lee
- Department of PsychiatryLinkou Chang Gung Memorial HospitalTaoyuanTaiwan
| | - Shun‐Chi Wu
- Department of Engineering and System ScienceNational Tsing Hua UniversityHsinchuTaiwan
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Quinn DK, Upston J, Jones TR, Gibson BC, Olmstead TA, Yang J, Price AM, Bowers-Wu DH, Durham E, Hazlewood S, Farrar DC, Miller J, Lloyd MO, Garcia CA, Ojeda CJ, Hager BW, Vakhtin AA, Abbott CC. Electric field distribution predicts efficacy of accelerated intermittent theta burst stimulation for late-life depression. Front Psychiatry 2023; 14:1215093. [PMID: 37593449 PMCID: PMC10427506 DOI: 10.3389/fpsyt.2023.1215093] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2023] [Accepted: 07/13/2023] [Indexed: 08/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) is a promising intervention for late-life depression (LLD) but may have lower rates of response and remission owing to age-related brain changes. In particular, rTMS induced electric field strength may be attenuated by cortical atrophy in the prefrontal cortex. To identify clinical characteristics and treatment parameters associated with response, we undertook a pilot study of accelerated fMRI-guided intermittent theta burst stimulation (iTBS) to the right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex in 25 adults aged 50 or greater diagnosed with LLD and qualifying to receive clinical rTMS. Methods Participants underwent baseline behavioral assessment, cognitive testing, and structural and functional MRI to generate individualized targets and perform electric field modeling. Forty-five sessions of iTBS were delivered over 9 days (1800 pulses per session, 50-min inter-session interval). Assessments and testing were repeated after 15 sessions (Visit 2) and 45 sessions (Visit 3). Primary outcome measure was the change in depressive symptoms on the Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology-30-Clinician (IDS-C-30) from Visit 1 to Visit 3. Results Overall there was a significant improvement in IDS score with the treatment (Visit 1: 38.6; Visit 2: 31.0; Visit 3: 21.3; mean improvement 45.5%) with 13/25 (52%) achieving response and 5/25 (20%) achieving remission (IDS-C-30 < 12). Electric field strength and antidepressant effect were positively correlated in a subregion of the ventrolateral prefrontal cortex (VLPFC) (Brodmann area 47) and negatively correlated in the posterior dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC). Conclusion Response and remission rates were lower than in recently published trials of accelerated fMRI-guided iTBS to the left DLPFC. These results suggest that sufficient electric field strength in VLPFC may be a contributor to effective rTMS, and that modeling to optimize electric field strength in this area may improve response and remission rates. Further studies are needed to clarify the relationship of induced electric field strength with antidepressant effects of rTMS for LLD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Davin K. Quinn
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Joel Upston
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Thomas R. Jones
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Benjamin C. Gibson
- Department of Psychology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Tessa A. Olmstead
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Justine Yang
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | | | - Dorothy H. Bowers-Wu
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Erick Durham
- Department of Psychiatry, Texas Tech University, El Paso, TX, United States
| | - Shawn Hazlewood
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Danielle C. Farrar
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Jeremy Miller
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Megan O. Lloyd
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Crystal A. Garcia
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Cesar J. Ojeda
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Brant W. Hager
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | | | - Christopher C. Abbott
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, UNM, Albuquerque, NM, United States
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Cao B, Yang E, Wang L, Mo Z, Steffens DC, Zhang H, Liu M, Potter GG. Brain morphometric features predict depression symptom phenotypes in late-life depression using a deep learning model. Front Neurosci 2023; 17:1209906. [PMID: 37539384 PMCID: PMC10394384 DOI: 10.3389/fnins.2023.1209906] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/21/2023] [Accepted: 07/04/2023] [Indexed: 08/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives Our objective was to use deep learning models to identify underlying brain regions associated with depression symptom phenotypes in late-life depression (LLD). Participants Diagnosed with LLD (N = 116) and enrolled in a prospective treatment study. Design Cross-sectional. Measurements Structural magnetic resonance imaging (sMRI) was used to predict five depression symptom phenotypes from the Hamilton and MADRS depression scales previously derived from factor analysis: (1) Anhedonia, (2) Suicidality, (3) Appetite, (4) Sleep Disturbance, and (5) Anxiety. Our deep learning model was deployed to predict each factor score via learning deep feature representations from 3D sMRI patches in 34 a priori regions-of-interests (ROIs). ROI-level prediction accuracy was used to identify the most discriminative brain regions associated with prediction of factor scores representing each of the five symptom phenotypes. Results Factor-level results found significant predictive models for Anxiety and Suicidality factors. ROI-level results suggest the most LLD-associated discriminative regions in predicting all five symptom factors were located in the anterior cingulate and orbital frontal cortex. Conclusions We validated the effectiveness of using deep learning approaches on sMRI for predicting depression symptom phenotypes in LLD. We were able to identify deep embedded local morphological differences in symptom phenotypes in the brains of those with LLD, which is promising for symptom-targeted treatment of LLD. Future research with machine learning models integrating multimodal imaging and clinical data can provide additional discriminative information.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bing Cao
- College of Intelligence and Computing, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China
| | - Erkun Yang
- Department of Radiology and Biomedical Research Imaging Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
| | - Lihong Wang
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Connecticut School of Medicine, University of Connecticut, Farmington, CT, United States
| | - Zhanhao Mo
- Department of Radiology, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - David C. Steffens
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Connecticut School of Medicine, University of Connecticut, Farmington, CT, United States
| | - Han Zhang
- Department of Radiology and Biomedical Research Imaging Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
| | - Mingxia Liu
- Department of Radiology and Biomedical Research Imaging Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
| | - Guy G. Potter
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC, United States
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Kislov MA, Prikhod'ko AN, Trusova DS, Zhiganova MS, Morozova AY, Pigolkin YI. [Morphofunctional cerebral changes associated with development of suicidal behavior]. Sud Med Ekspert 2023; 66:67-72. [PMID: 37496486 DOI: 10.17116/sudmed20236604167] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/28/2023]
Abstract
THE AIM OF THE STUDY Was to identify the cerebral areas, which demonstrate the most significant structural changes and damaged functional activity in patients with suicidal behavior. The original studies, presented in PubMed database, were used to analyze the literature. Additional literature in the form of atlases, review articles and publications, written in related spheres, was used to interpret the results. The study identified the 69 cerebral regions, demonstrating significant changes and the structures with the most significant deviations among them were selected. The regions of cerebral grey matter, in particular basal ganglia (structures of striatum and limbic system), as well as selected regions of cerebral cortex, specifically frontal, insularis, singulate and parietal mostly were included in the list. The decrease in grey matter volume, changes of neuronal and glial density, special patterns of activity and variations of functional association with other cerebral regions are described within mentioned structures. The literature review found that there was a lack of postmortem examinations in suicidal cases. Advanced study of the described structures is required in cases of completed suicide using new research methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- M A Kislov
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University), Moscow, Russia
| | | | - D S Trusova
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University), Moscow, Russia
| | - M S Zhiganova
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University), Moscow, Russia
| | - A Yu Morozova
- Alekseev Psychiatric Clinical Hospital No. 1 of the Moscow Department of Health, Moscow, Russia
| | - Yu I Pigolkin
- I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University), Moscow, Russia
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