Waiting for Godot: Predictive factors for adjuvant treatment of patients with luminal breast cancer

Insights from a Long-Term Follow-Up Evaluation of Early Breast Cancer Outcomes by Tumor Subtype

INTRODUCTION

Our understanding of the granularity of breast cancer (BC) clinical outcomes by biologic subtype may be impaired by limited study follow-up times.

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated the impact of modern immunohistochemistry (IHC)-based BC subtypes on long-term mortality.

METHOD

We used a cohort of 200 women diagnosed with stage I-III BC in the period 1985-1990. Surgical samples underwent centralized pathology review. Multivariate models assessed associations of subtype with overall survival (OS) and BC-related survival (BCRS).

RESULT

42.0% women had luminal A-like, 32.5% luminal B-like/human epidermal growth factor receptor (HER)2-negative, 8.5% had HER2-positive, and 17.0% had triple-negative BC. 53.0% had tumor size (T) >2 cm and 47.5% had a positive nodal status (N). Over 18.7 years of median follow-up (range 0.3-32.0 years),140 deaths were recorded (75 BC-related). Median OS was longest for patients with luminal A-like tumors (21.2 years; 95% confidence interval [CI] 17.4-24.9]). The luminal B-like/HER2-negative subtype was significantly associated with worse BCRS (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.86; 95% CI 1.09-3.16). After multivariable analysis, T >2 cm (HR [vs. ≤2 cm] = 1.71 [95% CI 1.03-2.84]) and positive N (HR [vs. negative] = 2.19 [95% CI 1.03-4.65]) impacted BCRS.

CONCLUSION

IHC-defined subtype will continue informing treatment algorithms for BC, until more precise tools like molecular profiling become widely available. Although confirmation in larger and adequately powered studies is warranted, modern surrogate subtype definitions produced a valid long-term prognostic stratification in this mature cohort.