Machine learning in burn care and research: A systematic review of the literature

A Deep Learning Image-to-Image Translation Approach for a More Accessible Estimator of the Healing Time of Burns

OBJECTIVE

An accurate and timely diagnosis of burn severity is critical to ensure a positive outcome. Laser Doppler imaging (LDI) has become a very useful tool for this task. It measures the perfusion of the burn and estimates its potential healing time. LDIs generate a 6-color palette image, with each color representing a healing time. This technique has very high costs associated. In resource-limited areas, such as low- and middle-income countries or remote locations like space, where access to specialized burn care is inadequate, more affordable and portable tools are required. This study proposes a novel image-to-image translation approach to estimate burn healing times, using a digital image to approximate the LDI.

METHODS

This approach consists of a U-net architecture with a VGG-based encoder and applies the concept of ordinal classification. Paired digital and LDI images of burns were collected. The performance was evaluated with 10-fold cross-validation, mean absolute error (MAE), and color distribution differences between the ground truth and the estimated LDI.

RESULTS

Results showed a satisfactory performance in terms of low MAE ( 0.2370 ±0.0086). However, the unbalanced distribution of colors in the data affects this performance.

SIGNIFICANCE

This novel and unique approach serves as a basis for developing more accessible support tools in the burn care environment in resource-limited areas.

Implementing AI Models for Prognostic Predictions in High-Risk Burn Patients

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Burn injuries range from minor medical issues to severe, life-threatening conditions. The severity and location of the burn dictate its treatment; while minor burns might be treatable at home, severe burns necessitate medical intervention, sometimes in specialized burn centers with extended follow-up care. This study aims to leverage artificial intelligence (AI)/machine learning (ML) to forecast potential adverse effects in burn patients.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis considered burn patients admitted to Chi Mei Medical Center from 2010 to 2019. The study employed 14 features, comprising supplementary information like prior comorbidities and laboratory results, for building models for predicting graft surgery, a prolonged hospital stay, and overall adverse effects. Overall, 70% of the data set trained the AI models, with the remaining 30% reserved for testing. Three ML algorithms of random forest, LightGBM, and logistic regression were employed with evaluation metrics of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

In this research, out of 224 patients assessed, the random forest model yielded the highest AUC for predictions related to prolonged hospital stays (>14 days) at 81.1%, followed by the XGBoost (79.9%) and LightGBM (79.5%) models. Besides, the random forest model of the need for a skin graft showed the highest AUC (78.8%), while the random forest model and XGBoost model of the occurrence of adverse complications both demonstrated the highest AUC (87.2%) as well. Based on the best models with the highest AUC values, an AI prediction system is designed and integrated into hospital information systems to assist physicians in the decision-making process.

CONCLUSIONS

AI techniques showcased exceptional capabilities for predicting a prolonged hospital stay, the need for a skin graft, and the occurrence of overall adverse complications for burn patients. The insights from our study fuel optimism for the inception of a novel predictive model that can seamlessly meld with hospital information systems, enhancing clinical decisions and bolstering physician-patient dialogues.

Application of multiple deep learning models for automatic burn wound assessment

PURPOSE

Accurate assessment of the percentage of total body surface area (%TBSA) burned is crucial in managing burn injuries. It is difficult to estimate the size of an irregular shape by inspection. Many articles reported the discrepancy of estimating %TBSA burned by different doctors. We set up a system with multiple deep learning (DL) models for %TBSA estimation, as well as the segmentation of possibly poor-perfused deep burn regions from the entire wound.

METHODS

We proposed boundary-based labeling for datasets of total burn wound and palm, whereas region-based labeling for the dataset of deep burn wound. Several powerful DL models (U-Net, PSPNet, DeeplabV3+, Mask R-CNN) with encoders ResNet101 had been trained and tested from the above datasets. With the subject distances, the %TBSA burned could be calculated by the segmentation of total burn wound area with respect to the palm size. The percentage of deep burn area could be obtained from the segmentation of deep burn area from the entire wound.

RESULTS

A total of 4991 images of early burn wounds and 1050 images of palms were boundary-based labeled. 1565 out of 4994 images with deep burn were preprocessed with superpixel segmentation into small regions before labeling. DeeplabV3+ had slightly better performance in three tasks with precision: 0.90767, recall: 0.90065 for total burn wound segmentation; precision: 0.98987, recall: 0.99036 for palm segmentation; and precision: 0.90152, recall: 0.90219 for deep burn segmentation.

CONCLUSION

Combining the segmentation results and clinical data, %TBSA burned, the volume of fluid for resuscitation, and the percentage of deep burn area can be automatically diagnosed by DL models with a pixel-to-pixel method. Artificial intelligence provides consistent, accurate and rapid assessments of burn wounds.

Artificial intelligence in the management and treatment of burns: A systematic review and meta-analyses

INTRODUCTION AND AIM

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is already being successfully employed to aid the interpretation of multiple facets of burns care. In the light of the growing influence of AI, this systematic review and diagnostic test accuracy meta-analyses aim to appraise and summarise the current direction of research in this field.

METHOD

A systematic literature review was conducted of relevant studies published between 1990 and 2021, yielding 35 studies. Twelve studies were suitable for a Diagnostic Test Meta-Analyses.

RESULTS

The studies generally focussed on burn depth (Accuracy 68.9%-95.4%, Sensitivity 90.8% and Specificity 84.4%), burn segmentation (Accuracy 76.0%-99.4%, Sensitivity 97.9% and specificity 97.6%) and burn related mortality (Accuracy >90%-97.5% Sensitivity 92.9% and specificity 93.4%). Neural networks were the most common machine learning (ML) algorithm utilised in 69% of the studies. The QUADAS-2 tool identified significant heterogeneity between studies.

DISCUSSION

The potential application of AI in the management of burns patients is promising, especially given its propitious results across a spectrum of dimensions, including burn depth, size, mortality, related sepsis and acute kidney injuries. The accuracy of the results analysed within this study is comparable to current practices in burns care.

CONCLUSION

The application of AI in the treatment and management of burns patients, as a series of point of care diagnostic adjuncts, is promising. Whilst AI is a potentially valuable tool, a full evaluation of its current utility and potential is limited by significant variations in research methodology and reporting.

Inhalation Injury Grading Using Transfer Learning Based on Bronchoscopy Images and Mechanical Ventilation Period

The abbreviated injury score (AIS) is commonly used as a grading system for inhalation injuries. While inhalation injury grades have inconsistently been shown to correlate positively with the time mechanical ventilation is needed, grading is subjective and relies heavily on the clinicians' experience and expertise. Additionally, no correlation has been shown between these patients' inhalation injury grades and outcomes. In this paper, we propose a novel inhalation injury grading method which uses deep learning algorithms in bronchoscopy images to determine the injury grade from the carbonaceous deposits, blistering, and fibrin casts in the bronchoscopy images. The proposed method adopts transfer learning and data augmentation concepts to enhance the accuracy performance to avoid overfitting. We tested our proposed model on the bronchoscopy images acquired from eighteen patients who had suffered inhalation injuries, with the degree of severity 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6. As performance metrics, we consider accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F-1 score, and precision. Experimental results show that our proposed method, with both transfer learning and data augmentation components, provides an overall 86.11% accuracy. Moreover, the experimental results also show that the performance of the proposed method outperforms the method without transfer learning or data augmentation.

Artificial intelligence and its impact on the domains of universal health coverage, health emergencies and health promotion: An overview of systematic reviews

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence is fueling a new revolution in medicine and in the healthcare sector. Despite the growing evidence on the benefits of artificial intelligence there are several aspects that limit the measure of its impact in people's health. It is necessary to assess the current status on the application of AI towards the improvement of people's health in the domains defined by WHO's Thirteenth General Programme of Work (GPW13) and the European Programme of Work (EPW), to inform about trends, gaps, opportunities, and challenges.

OBJECTIVE

To perform a systematic overview of systematic reviews on the application of artificial intelligence in the people's health domains as defined in the GPW13 and provide a comprehensive and updated map on the application specialties of artificial intelligence in terms of methodologies, algorithms, data sources, outcomes, predictors, performance, and methodological quality.

METHODS

A systematic search in MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane and IEEEXplore was conducted between January 2015 and June 2021 to collect systematic reviews using a combination of keywords related to the domains of universal health coverage, health emergencies protection, and better health and wellbeing as defined by the WHO's PGW13 and EPW. Eligibility criteria was based on methodological quality and the inclusion of practical implementation of artificial intelligence. Records were classified and labeled using ICD-11 categories into the domains of the GPW13. Descriptors related to the area of implementation, type of modeling, data entities, outcomes and implementation on care delivery were extracted using a structured form and methodological aspects of the included reviews studies was assessed using the AMSTAR checklist.

RESULTS

The search strategy resulted in the screening of 815 systematic reviews from which 203 were assessed for eligibility and 129 were included in the review. The most predominant domain for artificial intelligence applications was Universal Health Coverage (N = 98) followed by Health Emergencies (N = 16) and Better Health and Wellbeing (N = 15). Neoplasms area on Universal Health Coverage was the disease area featuring most of the applications (21.7 %, N = 28). The reviews featured analytics primarily over both public and private data sources (67.44 %, N = 87). The most used type of data was medical imaging (31.8 %, N = 41) and predictors based on regions of interest and clinical data. The most prominent subdomain of Artificial Intelligence was Machine Learning (43.4 %, N = 56), in which Support Vector Machine method was predominant (20.9 %, N = 27). Regarding the purpose, the application of Artificial Intelligence I is focused on the prediction of the diseases (36.4 %, N = 47). With respect to the validation, more than a half of the reviews (54.3 %, N = 70) did not report a validation procedure and, whenever available, the main performance indicator was the accuracy (28.7 %, N = 37). According to the methodological quality assessment, a third of the reviews (34.9 %, N = 45) implemented methods for analysis the risk of bias and the overall AMSTAR score below was 5 (4.01 ± 1.93) on all the included systematic reviews.

CONCLUSION

Artificial intelligence is being used for disease modelling, diagnose, classification and prediction in the three domains of GPW13. However, the evidence is often limited to laboratory and the level of adoption is largely unbalanced between ICD-11 categoriesand diseases. Data availability is a determinant factor on the developmental stage of artificial intelligence applications. Most of the reviewed studies show a poor methodological quality and are at high risk of bias, which limits the reproducibility of the results and the reliability of translating these applications to real clinical scenarios. The analyzed papers show results only in laboratory and testing scenarios and not in clinical trials nor case studies, limiting the supporting evidence to transfer artificial intelligence to actual care delivery.

Prediction of Mortality after Burn Surgery in Critically Ill Burn Patients Using Machine Learning Models

Severe burns may lead to a series of pathophysiological processes that result in death. Machine learning models that demonstrate prognostic performance can be used to build analytical models to predict postoperative mortality. This study aimed to identify machine learning models with the best diagnostic performance for predicting mortality in critically ill burn patients after burn surgery, and then compare them. Clinically important features for predicting mortality in patients after burn surgery were selected using a random forest (RF) regressor. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and classifier accuracy were evaluated to compare the predictive accuracy of different machine learning algorithms, including RF, adaptive boosting, decision tree, linear support vector machine, and logistic regression. A total of 731 patients met the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The 90-day mortality of the critically ill burn patients after burn surgery was 27.1% (198/731). RF showed the highest AUC (0.922, 95% confidence interval = 0.902–0.942) among the models, with sensitivity and specificity of 66.2% and 93.8%, respectively. The most significant predictors for mortality after burn surgery as per machine learning models were total body surface area burned, red cell distribution width, and age. The RF algorithm showed the best performance for predicting mortality.

Machine Learning-Based Mortality Prediction of Patients at Risk During Hospital Admission

OBJECTIVES

The ability to predict in-hospital mortality from data available at hospital admission would identify patients at risk and thereby assist hospital-wide patient safety initiatives. Our aim was to use modern machine learning tools to predict in-hospital mortality from standardized data sets available at hospital admission.

METHODS

This was a retrospective, observational study in 3 adult tertiary care hospitals in Western Australia between January 2008 and June 2017. Primary outcome measures were the area under the curve for the receiver operating characteristics curve, the F1 score, and the average precision of the 4 machine learning algorithms used: logistic regression, neural networks, random forests, and gradient boosting trees.

RESULTS

Using our 4 predictive models, in-hospital mortality could be predicted satisfactorily (areas under the curve for neural networks, logistic regression, random forests, and gradient boosting trees: 0.932, 0.936, 0.935, and 0.935, respectively), with moderate F1 scores: 0.378, 0.367, 0.380, and 0.380, respectively. Average precision values were 0.312, 0.321, 0.334, and 0.323, respectively. It remains unknown whether additional features might improve our models; however, this would result in additional efforts for data acquisition in daily clinical practice.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates that using only a limited, standardized data set in-hospital mortality can be predicted satisfactorily at the time point of hospital admission. More parameters describing patient's health are likely needed to improve our model.

A proof-of-concept study on mortality prediction with machine learning algorithms using burn intensive care data

INTRODUCTION

Burn injuries are a common traumatic injury. Large burns have high mortality requiring intensive care and accurate mortality predictions. To assess if machine learning (ML) could improve predictions, ML algorithms were tested and compared with the original and revised Baux score.

METHODS

Admission data and mortality outcomes were collected from patients at Uppsala University Hospital Burn Centre from 2002 to 2019. Prognostic variables were selected, ML algorithms trained and predictions assessed by analysis of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Comparison was made with Baux scores using DeLong test.

RESULTS

A total of 17 prognostic variables were selected from 92 patients. AUCs in leave-one-out cross-validation for a decision tree model, an extreme boosting model, a random forest model, a support-vector machine (SVM) model and a generalised linear regression model (GLM) were 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.72-0.94), 0.92 (95% CI = 0.84-1), 0.92 (95% CI = 0.84-1), 0.92 (95% CI = 0.84-1) and 0.84 (95% CI = 0.74-0.94), respectively. AUCs for the Baux score and revised Baux score were 0.85 (95% CI = 0.75-0.95) and 0.84 (95% CI = 0.74-0.94). No significant differences were observed when comparing ML algorithms with Baux score and revised Baux score. Secondary variable selection was made to analyse model performance.

CONCLUSION

This proof-of-concept study showed initial credibility in using ML algorithms to predict mortality in burn patients. The sample size was small and future studies are needed with larger sample sizes, further variable selections and prospective testing of the algorithms.

LAY SUMMARY

Burn injuries are one of the most common traumatic injuries especially in countries with limited prevention and healthcare resources. To treat a patient with large burns who has been admitted to an intensive care unit, it is often necessary to assess the risk of a fatal outcome. Physicians traditionally use simplified scores to calculate risks. One commonly used score, the Baux score, uses age of the patient and the size of the burn to predict the risk of death. Adding the factor of inhalation injury, the score is then called the revised Baux score. However, there are a number of additional causes that can influence the risk of fatal outcomes that Baux scores do not take into account. Machine learning is a method of data modelling where the system learns to predict outcomes based on previous cases and is a branch of artificial intelligence. In this study we evaluated several machine learning methods for outcome prediction in patients admitted for burn injury. We gathered data on 93 patients at admission to the intensive care unit and our experiments show that machine learning methods can reach an accuracy comparable with Baux scores in calculating the risk of fatal outcomes. This study represents a proof of principle and future studies on larger patient series are required to verify our results as well as to evaluate the methods on patients in real-life situations.

Deep Learning-Assisted Burn Wound Diagnosis: Diagnostic Model Development Study

BACKGROUND

Accurate assessment of the percentage total body surface area (%TBSA) of burn wounds is crucial in the management of burn patients. The resuscitation fluid and nutritional needs of burn patients, their need for intensive unit care, and probability of mortality are all directly related to %TBSA. It is difficult to estimate a burn area of irregular shape by inspection. Many articles have reported discrepancies in estimating %TBSA by different doctors.

OBJECTIVE

We propose a method, based on deep learning, for burn wound detection, segmentation, and calculation of %TBSA on a pixel-to-pixel basis.

METHODS

A 2-step procedure was used to convert burn wound diagnosis into %TBSA. In the first step, images of burn wounds were collected from medical records and labeled by burn surgeons, and the data set was then input into 2 deep learning architectures, U-Net and Mask R-CNN, each configured with 2 different backbones, to segment the burn wounds. In the second step, we collected and labeled images of hands to create another data set, which was also input into U-Net and Mask R-CNN to segment the hands. The %TBSA of burn wounds was then calculated by comparing the pixels of mask areas on images of the burn wound and hand of the same patient according to the rule of hand, which states that one's hand accounts for 0.8% of TBSA.

RESULTS

A total of 2591 images of burn wounds were collected and labeled to form the burn wound data set. The data set was randomly split into training, validation, and testing sets in a ratio of 8:1:1. Four hundred images of volar hands were collected and labeled to form the hand data set, which was also split into 3 sets using the same method. For the images of burn wounds, Mask R-CNN with ResNet101 had the best segmentation result with a Dice coefficient (DC) of 0.9496, while U-Net with ResNet101 had a DC of 0.8545. For the hand images, U-Net and Mask R-CNN had similar performance with DC values of 0.9920 and 0.9910, respectively. Lastly, we conducted a test diagnosis in a burn patient. Mask R-CNN with ResNet101 had on average less deviation (0.115% TBSA) from the ground truth than burn surgeons.

CONCLUSIONS

This is one of the first studies to diagnose all depths of burn wounds and convert the segmentation results into %TBSA using different deep learning models. We aimed to assist medical staff in estimating burn size more accurately, thereby helping to provide precise care to burn victims.

Potential for Machine Learning in Burn Care

INTRODUCTION

Burn-related injuries are a leading cause of morbidity across the globe. Accurate assessment and treatment have been demonstrated to reduce the morbidity and mortality. This essay explores the forms of artificial intelligence to be implemented the field of burns management to optimise the care we deliver in the National Health Service (NHS) in the UK.

METHODS

Machine Learning methods which predict or classify are explored. This includes linear and logistic regression, artificial neural networks, deep learning, and decision tree analysis.

DISCUSSION

Utilizing Machine Learning in burns care holds potential from prevention, burns assessment, predicting mortality and critical care monitoring to healing time. Establishing a regional or national Machine Learning group would be the first step towards the development of these essential technologies.

CONCLUSION

The implementation of machine learning technologies will require buy-in from the NHS health boards, with significant implications with cost of investment, implementation, employment of machine learning teams and provision of training to medical professionals.

Artificial intelligence in the management and treatment of burns: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence (AI) is an innovative field with potential for improving burn care. This article provides an updated review on machine learning in burn care and discusses future challenges and the role of healthcare professionals in the successful implementation of AI technologies.

METHODS

A systematic search was carried out on MEDLINE, Embase and PubMed databases for English-language articles studying machine learning in burns. Articles were reviewed quantitatively and qualitatively for clinical applications, key features, algorithms, outcomes and validation methods.

RESULTS

A total of 46 observational studies were included for review. Assessment of burn depth (n = 26), support vector machines (n = 19) and 10-fold cross-validation (n = 11) were the most common application, algorithm and validation tool used, respectively.

CONCLUSION

AI should be incorporated into clinical practice as an adjunct to the experienced burns provider once direct comparative analysis to current gold standards outlining its benefits and risks have been studied. Future considerations must include the development of a burn-specific common framework. Authors should use common validation tools to allow for effective comparisons. Level I/II evidence is required to produce robust proof about clinical and economic impacts.

A systematic review of machine learning and automation in burn wound evaluation: A promising but developing frontier

BACKGROUND

Visual evaluation is the most common method of evaluating burn wounds. Its subjective nature can lead to inaccurate diagnoses and inappropriate burn center referrals. Machine learning may provide an objective solution. The objective of this study is to summarize the literature on ML in burn wound evaluation.

METHODS

A systematic review of articles published between January 2000 and January 2021 was performed using PubMed and MEDLINE (OVID). Articles reporting on ML or automation to evaluate burn wounds were included. Keywords included burns, machine/deep learning, artificial intelligence, burn classification technology, and mobile applications. Data were extracted on study design, method of data acquisition, machine learning techniques, and machine learning accuracy.

RESULTS

Thirty articles were included. Nine studies used machine learning and automation to estimate percent total body surface area (%TBSA) burned, 4 calculated fluid estimations, 19 estimated burn depth, 5 estimated need for surgery, and 2 evaluated scarring. Models calculating %TBSA burned demonstrated accuracies comparable to or better than paper methods. Burn depth classification models achieved accuracies of >83%.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning provides an objective adjunct that may improve diagnostic accuracy in evaluating burn wound severity. Existing models remain in the early stages with future studies needed to assess their clinical feasibility.

Machine Learning Demonstrates High Accuracy for Disease Diagnosis and Prognosis in Plastic Surgery

INTRODUCTION

Machine learning (ML) is a set of models and methods that can detect patterns in vast amounts of data and use this information to perform various kinds of decision-making under uncertain conditions. This review explores the current role of this technology in plastic surgery by outlining the applications in clinical practice, diagnostic and prognostic accuracies, and proposed future direction for clinical applications and research.

METHODS

EMBASE, MEDLINE, CENTRAL and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched from 1990 to 2020. Any clinical studies (including case reports) which present the diagnostic and prognostic accuracies of machine learning models in the clinical setting of plastic surgery were included. Data collected were clinical indication, model utilised, reported accuracies, and comparison with clinical evaluation.

RESULTS

The database identified 1181 articles, of which 51 articles were included in this review. The clinical utility of these algorithms was to assist clinicians in diagnosis prediction (n=22), outcome prediction (n=21) and pre-operative planning (n=8). The mean accuracy is 88.80%, 86.11% and 80.28% respectively. The most commonly used models were neural networks (n=31), support vector machines (n=13), decision trees/random forests (n=10) and logistic regression (n=9).

CONCLUSIONS

ML has demonstrated high accuracies in diagnosis and prognostication of burn patients, congenital or acquired facial deformities, and in cosmetic surgery. There are no studies comparing ML to clinician's performance. Future research can be enhanced using larger datasets or utilising data augmentation, employing novel deep learning models, and applying these to other subspecialties of plastic surgery.

A systematic review of machine learning in logistics and supply chain management: current trends and future directions

Purpose

This paper presents a review of the existing state-of-the-art literature on machine learning (ML) in logistics and supply chain management (LSCM) by analyzing the current literature, contemporary concepts, data and gaps and suggesting potential topics for future research.

Design/methodology/approach

A systematic/structured literature review in the subject discipline and a bibliometric analysis were organized. Information regarding industry involvement, geographic location, research design and methods, data analysis techniques, university, affiliation, publishers, authors, year of publications is documented. A wide collection of eight databases from 1994 to 2019 were explored using the keywords “Machine Learning” and “Logistics“, “Transportation” and “Supply Chain” in the title and/or abstract. A total of 110 articles were found, and information on a chain of variables was gathered.

Findings

Over the last few decades, the application of emerging technologies has attracted significant interest all around the world. Analysis of the collected data shows that only nine literature reviews have been published in this area. Further, key findings show that 53.8 per cent of publications were closely clustered on transportation and manufacturing industries and 54.7 per cent were centred on mathematical models and simulations. Neural network is applied in 22 papers as their exclusive algorithms. Finally, the main focuses of the current literature are on prediction and optimization, where detection is contributed by only seven articles.

Research limitations/implications

This review is limited to examining only academic sources available from Scopus, Elsevier, Web of Science, Emerald, JSTOR, SAGE, Springer, Taylor and Francis and Wiley which contain the words “Machine Learning” and “Logistics“, “Transportation” and “Supply Chain” in the title and/or abstract.

Originality/value

This paper provides a systematic insight into research trends in ML in both logistics and the supply chain.

Automated Assessment of Peristomal Skin Discoloration and Leakage Area Using Artificial Intelligence

For people living with an ostomy, development of peristomal skin complications (PSCs) is the most common post-operative challenge. A visual sign of PSCs is discoloration (redness) of the peristomal skin often resulting from leakage of ostomy output under the baseplate. If left unattended, a mild skin condition may progress into a severe disorder; consequently, it is important to monitor discoloration and leakage patterns closely. The Ostomy Skin Tool is current state-of-the-art for evaluation of peristomal skin, but it relies on patients visiting their healthcare professional regularly. To enable close monitoring of peristomal skin over time, an automated strategy not relying on scheduled consultations is required. Several medical fields have implemented automated image analysis based on artificial intelligence, and these deep learning algorithms have become increasingly recognized as a valuable tool in healthcare. Therefore, the main objective of this study was to develop deep learning algorithms which could provide automated, consistent, and objective assessments of changes in peristomal skin discoloration and leakage patterns. A total of 614 peristomal skin images were used for development of the discoloration model, which predicted the area of the discolored peristomal skin with an accuracy of 95% alongside precision and recall scores of 79.6 and 75.0%, respectively. The algorithm predicting leakage patterns was developed based on 954 product images, and leakage area was determined with 98.8% accuracy, 75.0% precision, and 71.5% recall. Combined, these data for the first time demonstrate implementation of artificial intelligence for automated assessment of changes in peristomal skin discoloration and leakage patterns.

Mortality prognostication scores do not predict long-term, health-related quality of life after burn: A burn model system national database study

OBJECTIVE

Despite improved mortality rates after burn injury, many patients face significant long-term physical and psychosocial disabilities. We aimed to determine whether commonly used mortality prognostication scores predict long-term, health-related quality of life after burn injury. By doing so, we might add evidence to support goals of care discussions and facilitate shared decision-making efforts in the hours and days after a life-changing injury.

METHODS

We used the multicenter National Institute of Disability, Independent Living and Rehabilitation Research Burn Model System database (1994-2019) to analyze SF-12 physical (PCS) and mental component (MCS) scores among survivors one year after major burn injury. Ninety percent of the observations were randomly assigned to a model development dataset. Multilevel, mixed-effects, linear regression models determined the relationship between revised Baux and Ryan Scores and SF-12 measures. Additionally, we tested a model with disaggregated independent and other covariates easily obtained around the time of index admission: age, sex, race, burn size, inhalation injury. Residuals from the remaining 10% of observations in the validation dataset were examined.

RESULTS

The analysis included 1606 respondents (median age 42 years, IQR 28-53 years; 70% male). Median burn size was 16% TBSA (IQR 6-30) and 13% of respondents sustained inhalation injury. Higher revised Baux and Ryan Scores and age, burn size, and inhalation injury were significantly correlated with lower PCS, but were not correlated with MCS. Female sex, black race, burn size, and inhalation injury correlated with lower MCS. All models poorly explained the variance in SF-12 scores (adjusted r² 0.01-0.12).

CONCLUSION

Higher revised Baux and Ryan Scores negatively correlated with long-term physical health, but not mental health, after burn injury. Regardless, the models poorly explained the variance in SF-12 scores one year after injury. More accurate models are needed to predict long-term, health-related quality of life and support shared decision-making during acute burn care.

Convolution neural network for effective burn region segmentation of color images

BACKGROUND

Burn injuries are one of the most severe forms of wounds and trauma across the globe. Automated burn diagnosis methods are needed to provide timely treatment to the concerned patients. Artificial intelligence is playing a vital role in developing automated tools and techniques for medical problems. However, the use of advanced AI techniques for color images based burn region segmentation is not much explored.

METHOD

In this work, we explore the use of deep learning for the challenging problem of burn region segmentation. We prepared a pixel-wise labelled new burn images dataset for segmentation and investigated the efficacy of existing state-of-the-art color images based semantic image segmentation techniques. Lately, we proposed a new convolution neural network (CNN) that uses atrous convolution for encoding rich contextual information and utilizes pre-trained model ResNet-101 for better extraction of low-level and middle-level layer features.

RESULTS

The proposed approach achieves the state-of-the-art performance on the prepared burn image dataset with 77.6% of Mathews correlation coefficient (MCC) and 93.4% of accuracy. The improvement of 11.6/5.8/6.9/1.2% is observed in precision, Dice similarity coefficient, Jaccard index and specificity, in comparison to the second best performance.

CONCLUSION

In this work, we propose a CNN based novel method for performing burn-region segmentation in color images and evaluate it using newly prepared Burn Images dataset. The experimental results illustrate its effectiveness in comparison to existing approaches. Further, the proposed pixel-level segmentation method could be useful in estimating the burn surface area and burn severity in an accurate and time efficient manner.

Machine learning in predicting graft failure following kidney transplantation: A systematic review of published predictive models

INTRODUCTION

Machine learning has been increasingly used to develop predictive models to diagnose different disease conditions. The heterogeneity of the kidney transplant population makes predicting graft outcomes extremely challenging. Several kidney graft outcome prediction models have been developed using machine learning, and are available in the literature. However, a systematic review of machine learning based prediction methods applied to kidney transplant has not been done to date. The main aim of our study was to perform an in-depth systematic analysis of different machine learning methods used to predict graft outcomes among kidney transplant patients, and assess their usefulness as an aid to decision-making.

METHODS

A systemic review of machine learning methods used to predict graft outcomes among kidney transplant patients was carried out using a search of the Medline, the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, EMBASE, PsycINFO and Cochrane databases.

RESULTS

A total of 295 articles were identified and extracted. Of these, 18 met the inclusion criteria. Most of the studies were published in the United States after 2010. The population size used to develop the models varied from 80 to 92,844, and the number of features in the models ranged from 6 to 71. The most common machine learning methods used were artificial neural networks, decision trees and Bayesian belief networks. Most of the machine learning based predictive models predicted graft failure with high sensitivity and specificity. Only one machine learning based prediction model had modelled time-to-event (survival) information. Seven studies compared the predictive performance of machine learning models with traditional regression methods and the performance of machine learning methods was found to be mixed, when compared with traditional regression methods.

CONCLUSION

There was a wide variation in the size of the study population and the input variables used. However, the prediction accuracy provided mixed results when machine learning and traditional predictive methods are compared. Based on reported gains in predictive performance, machine learning has the potential to improve kidney transplant outcome prediction and aid medical decision making.

Comparison of artificial neural network and logistic regression models for prediction of outcomes in trauma patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Currently, two models of artificial neural network (ANN) and logistic regression (LR) are known as models that extensively used in medical sciences. The aim of this study was to compare the ANN and LR models in prediction of Health-related outcomes in traumatic patients using a systematic review.

METHODS

The study was planned and conducted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) checklist. A literature search of published studies was conducted using PubMed, Embase, Web of knowledge, Scopus, and Google Scholar in May 2018. Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) checklists was used for assessing the quality of the included articles.

RESULTS

The literature searches yielded 326 potentially relevant studies from the primary searches. Overall, the review included 10 unique studies. The results of this study showed that the area under curve (AUC) for the ANN was 0.91, (95% CI 0.89-0.83) and 0.89, (95% CI 0.87-90) for the LR in random effect model. The accuracy rate for ANN and LR in random effect models were 90.5, (95% CI, 87.6-94.2) and 83.2, (95% CI 75.1-91.2), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The results of our study showed that ANN has better performance than LR in predicting the terminal outcomes of traumatic patients in both the AUC and accuracy rate. Using an ANN to predict the final implications of trauma patients can provide more accurate clinical decisions.

Poor methodological quality and reporting standards of systematic reviews in burn care management

The methodological and reporting quality of burn-specific systematic reviews has not been established. The aim of this study was to evaluate the methodological quality of systematic reviews in burn care management. Computerised searches were performed in Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid EMBASE and The Cochrane Library through to February 2016 for systematic reviews relevant to burn care using medical subject and free-text terms such as 'burn', 'systematic review' or 'meta-analysis'. Additional studies were identified by hand-searching five discipline-specific journals. Two authors independently screened papers, extracted and evaluated methodological quality using the 11-item A Measurement Tool to Assess Systematic Reviews (AMSTAR) tool and reporting quality using the 27-item Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) checklist. Characteristics of systematic reviews associated with methodological and reporting quality were identified. Descriptive statistics and linear regression identified features associated with improved methodological quality. A total of 60 systematic reviews met the inclusion criteria. Six of the 11 AMSTAR items reporting on 'a priori' design, duplicate study selection, grey literature, included/excluded studies, publication bias and conflict of interest were reported in less than 50% of the systematic reviews. Of the 27 items listed for PRISMA, 13 items reporting on introduction, methods, results and the discussion were addressed in less than 50% of systematic reviews. Multivariable analyses showed that systematic reviews associated with higher methodological or reporting quality incorporated a meta-analysis (AMSTAR regression coefficient 2.1; 95% CI: 1.1, 3.1; PRISMA regression coefficient 6·3; 95% CI: 3·8, 8·7) were published in the Cochrane library (AMSTAR regression coefficient 2·9; 95% CI: 1·6, 4·2; PRISMA regression coefficient 6·1; 95% CI: 3·1, 9·2) and included a randomised control trial (AMSTAR regression coefficient 1·4; 95%CI: 0·4, 2·4; PRISMA regression coefficient 3·4; 95% CI: 0·9, 5·8). The methodological and reporting quality of systematic reviews in burn care requires further improvement with stricter adherence by authors to the PRISMA checklist and AMSTAR tool.

Imaging Techniques for Clinical Burn Assessment with a Focus on Multispectral Imaging

Significance: Burn assessments, including extent and severity, are some of the most critical diagnoses in burn care, and many recently developed imaging techniques may have the potential to improve the accuracy of these evaluations. Recent Advances: Optical devices, telemedicine, and high-frequency ultrasound are among the highlights in recent burn imaging advancements. We present another promising technology, multispectral imaging (MSI), which also has the potential to impact current medical practice in burn care, among a variety of other specialties. Critical Issues: At this time, it is still a matter of debate as to why there is no consensus on the use of technology to assist burn assessments in the United States. Fortunately, the availability of techniques does not appear to be a limitation. However, the selection of appropriate imaging technology to augment the provision of burn care can be difficult for clinicians to navigate. There are many technologies available, but a comprehensive review summarizing the tissue characteristics measured by each technology in light of aiding clinicians in selecting the proper device is missing. This would be especially valuable for the nonburn specialists who encounter burn injuries. Future Directions: The questions of when burn assessment devices are useful to the burn team, how the various imaging devices work, and where the various burn imaging technologies fit into the spectrum of burn care will continue to be addressed. Technologies that can image a large surface area quickly, such as thermography or laser speckle imaging, may be suitable for initial burn assessment and triage. In the setting of presurgical planning, ultrasound or optical microscopy techniques, including optical coherence tomography, may prove useful. MSI, which actually has origins in burn care, may ultimately meet a high number of requirements for burn assessment in routine clinical use.