Histologic Features of Colon Biopsies (Geboes Score) Associated With Progression of Ulcerative Colitis for the First 36 Months After Biopsy

Fecal calprotectin and platelet count predict histologic disease activity in pediatric ulcerative colitis: results from a projection-predictive feature selection

Especially for pediatric patients, proxies of mucosal inflammation are needed. The Pediatric Ulcerative Colitis Activity Index (PUCAI) has been established to predict clinical and endoscopic disease activity. However, histologic inflammation might persist. We applied a special variable selection technique to predict histologic healing in pediatric ulcerative colitis (UC) as parsimoniously (but still as precisely) as possible. The retrospective analysis included data from two study cohorts, comprising 91 visits from 59 pediatric patients with UC. A Bayesian ordinal regression model was used in combination with a projection-predictive feature selection (PPFS) to identify a minimal subset of clinical and laboratory parameters sufficient for the prediction of histologic disease activity. Following the PPFS, CEDATA-GPGE patient registry data were analyzed to investigate the relevance of the selected predictors in relation to PUCAI and Physician Global Assessment (PGA) in up to 6697 patient visits. Fecal calprotectin (FC) and platelet count were identified as the minimal subset of predictors sufficient for prediction of histologic disease activity in pediatric UC. FC and platelet count also appeared to be associated with increasing disease activity as measured by PUCAI and PGA in the CEDATA-GPGE registry. Based on the selected model, predictions can be performed with a Shiny web app.  Conclusion: Our statistical approach constitutes a reproducible and objective tool to select a minimal subset of the most informative parameters to predict histologic inflammation in pediatric UC. A Shiny app shows how physicians may predict the histologic activity in a user-friendly way using FC and platelet count. To generalize the findings, further prospective studies will be needed. What is Known: • Histologic healing is a major endpoint in the therapy of ulcerative colitis (UC). • The PUCAI score has been established to predict disease activity in pediatric UC but is not suitable for the prediction of histologic healing. What is New: • Our Bayesian ordinal regression model in combination with a projection-predictive feature selection is a reproducible and objective tool to select the minimal subset of clinical and laboratory parameters to predict histologic inflammation in pediatric UC. • Histologic inflammation in pediatric UC can be non-invasively predicted based on the combination of fecal calprotectin levels and platelet count.

Resolving Histological Inflammation in Ulcerative Colitis With Mirikizumab in the LUCENT Induction and Maintenance Trial Programmes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

To evaluate the effect of mirikizumab, a p19-targeted anti-interleukin-23, on histological and/or endoscopic outcomes in moderately-to-severely active ulcerative colitis [UC].

METHODS

Endoscopic remission [ER], histological improvement [HI], histological remission [HR], histological-endoscopic mucosal improvement [HEMI], and histological-endoscopic mucosal remission [HEMR] were assessed at Week [W]12 [LUCENT-1: N = 1162, induction] and W40 [LUCENT-2: N = 544, maintenance] for patients randomised to mirikizumab or placebo. Analyses were performed to evaluate predictors of: HEMI at W12 with mirikizumab and HEMR at W40 in patients re-randomised to subcutaneous [SC] mirikizumab; associations between W12 histological/endoscopic endpoints and W40 outcomes in mirikizumab responders re-randomised to mirikizumab SC; and associations between W40 endoscopic normalisation [EN] with/without HR.

RESULTS

Significantly more patients treated with mirikizumab achieved HI, HR, ER, HEMI, and HEMR vs placebo [p <0.001], irrespective of prior biologic/tofacitinib failure [p <0.05]. Lower clinical baseline disease activity, female sex, no baseline immunomodulator use, and no prior biologic/tofacitinib failure were predictors of HEMI at W12 [p <0.05]. Corticosteroid use and longer disease duration were negative predictors of achieving HEMR at W40 [p <0.05]. W12 HI, HR, or ER was associated with W40 HEMI or HEMR [p <0.05]; ER at W12 was associated with clinical remission [CR] [p <0.05] and corticosteroid-free remission [CSFR] at W40 [p = 0.052]. HR and HEMR at W12 were associated with CSFR, CR, and symptomatic remission at W40. Alternate HEMR [EN + HR] at W40 was associated with bowel urgency remission at W40 [p <0.05].

CONCLUSIONS

Early resolution of endoscopic and histological inflammation with mirikizumab is associated with better UC outcomes. Clinicaltrials.gov: LUCENT-1, NCT03518086; LUCENT-2, NCT03524092.

Histologic Inflammation can Predict Future Clinical Relapse in Ulcerative Colitis Patients in Endoscopic Remission

Background

In ulcerative colitis (UC), endoscopic improvement, defined as a Mayo Endoscopic Score (MES) of 0 or 1, is a target of treatment. The aim of our study was to evaluate the risk of clinical relapse between patients with an MES of 0 or 1 and determine if histologic activity using the Robarts Histopathologic Index (RHI) was predictive of clinical relapse.

Methods

UC patients with an MES score of 0 or 1, no prior colectomy, and at least 1 year of outpatient follow-up after colonoscopy were included. Demographic, clinical characteristics, and clinical relapse were retrospectively collected. Biopsy specimens were read by a gastrointestinal pathologist. Primary outcome was defined as a composite of relapse requiring change in medical therapy, new steroid use, UC-related hospitalization, and/or colectomy.

Results

Four hundred and forty-five UC patients were identified. Ninety-five percent of patients with MES 0 were in histologic remission by the RHI whereas only 35% of patients with MES 1 were in histologic remission. Twenty-six percent of patients experienced a clinical relapse; patients with MES 1 or RHI > 3 were significantly more likely to relapse (P < .01) compared to patients with MES 0 or RHI ≤ 3. When patients were stratified into 4 groups (MES 0, RHI ≤ 3; MES 0, RHI > 3; MES 1, RHI ≤ 3; MES 1, RHI > 3) and adjusted for age and sex, RHI > 3 was predictive of relapse (P = .008).

Conclusions

UC patients with endoscopic improvement have a high rate of clinical relapse over time. Histologic activity is a predictor of clinical relapse.

Questions to consider when caring for patients with ulcerative colitis

Although the management of patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) is well defined by national and international guidelines, there are many debates and open questions related to daily care of UC patients. Here, we aimed to review topics with high clinical relevance including therapy algorithms, potential biomarkers for disease prognosis and response to therapy, the role of interventions targeting the gut microbiota, insights from head-to-head trials, novel UC medications, exit strategies, the impact of COVID19 on UC, care of patients with acute severe disease, cancer screening, and the role of surgery.

Low Fecal Calprotectin Predicts Histological Healing in Patients with Ulcerative Colitis with Endoscopic Remission and Leads to Prolonged Clinical Remission

BACKGROUND

Consensus regarding the cutoff value of fecal calprotectin (FC) for predicting histological healing (HH) in ulcerative colitis (UC) is lacking. This study aimed to determine an optimal FC cutoff value for predicting HH in patients with UC with clinical and endoscopic remission. Furthermore, FC's predictability for prolonged clinical remission (CR) was investigated.

METHODS

Patients with UC in clinical and endoscopic remission, defined as a partial Mayo score (PMS) ≤ 2 points and a Mayo endoscopic subscore 0-1, were prospectively enrolled. Biopsy samples were evaluated by Geboes score (GS), with HH defined as a GS < 2.0. Patients were followed for 2 years or until relapse, defined as a PMS > 2 or medication escalation.

RESULTS

Seventy-six patients with UC were included. The median FC value in patients with HH (n = 40) was 56.2 µg/g, significantly lower than that in those with histological activity (118.1 µg/g; P < .01). The area under the curve (AUC) in a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to predict HH for FC was 0.71 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-0.83), with an optimal cutoff value of 82.7 µg/g (73% sensitivity; 64% specificity; P < .01). Of 74 patients observed for 2 years, 54 (73%) had prolonged CR. In the ROC curve analysis, the AUC to predict prolonged CR for FC was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.68-0.90), equivalent to that for HH (0.73; 95% CI, 0.64-0.86; P = .40). The optimal FC cutoff value to predict prolonged CR was 84.6 µg/g (72% sensitivity; 85% specificity; P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Fecal calprotectin < 82 µg/g predicts HH in patients with UC with clinical and endoscopic remission. Low FC leads to prolonged CR, equivalent to HH.

A scoping review on early inflammatory bowel disease: definitions, pathogenesis, and impact on clinical outcomes

BACKGROUND

Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) arise from a dysregulation of the balance between commensal microbiota and mucosal-associated immune system, in patients with genetic and environmental predisposition. Different pathophysiological mechanisms have been reported to influence disease history, with impact on disease phenotype and risk of complications.

OBJECTIVES

This review aims to summarize the definitions of early CD and UC, analyze the underlying immunological mechanisms, and evaluate the impact of recognizing and treating early inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) on patients' prognosis (short- and long-term outcomes).

DESIGN

To address this issue, we have performed a scoping review.

DATA SOURCES AND METHODS

Three online databases (MEDLINE, Web of Science, and ScienceDirect) were searched and the results were independently screened by two reviewers.

RESULTS

From 683 records identified, 42 manuscripts evaluating early IBD in adult patients were included. The 'early CD' concept was first described in 2008. Four years later, an international consensus proposed the definition of diagnosis up to 18 months, in patients without previous or current need for disease-modifying therapies. Several other definitions have been proposed; the '2 years since diagnosis' is the most used, regardless of disease characteristics or medication. The amount of evidence on early UC is lower and more recent. Regarding early disease pathogenesis, most theories emphasize the prominent role of innate immunity, followed by early-Th1 adaptive response.

CONCLUSION

The treatment of early CD seems to be crucial for the management of CD patients, impacting short-, medium-, and long-term outcomes. On the other hand, the early treatment of UC appears to be less advantageous, yet evidence comes from only a few retrospective studies.

Subclinical Persistent Inflammation as Risk Factor for Crohn's Disease Progression: Findings From a Prospective Real-World Study of 2 Years

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Subclinical intestinal inflammation is common in Crohn's disease (CD). We aimed to explore its impact in the disease progression of infliximab-treated patients and the usefulness of fecal calprotectin (FC) and C-reactive protein (CRP) as surrogate minimally invasive biomarkers.

METHODS

The registry-based, prospective, observational, multicenter DIRECT (study to investigate the correlation of fecal calprotectin with serum Drug levels and development of an antI-dRug antibodiEs among adult patients with inflammatory bowel disease reCeiving anti-TNF-alfa treatment or vedoluzimab treatment) study followed infliximab-treated CD patients for 2 years in a tertiary care setting. Persistent inflammation definition was based on FC (>150 μg/g, >250 μg/g, or >350 μg/g) or serum CRP (>3 μg/mL) concentrations over 2 consecutive or at least 3 visits. Patients were categorized according to a composite outcome reflecting disease progression that incorporated surgery; hospitalizations; new fistulae, abscess, or stricture; and treatment escalation.

RESULTS

Of 322 DIRECT study patients, 180 asymptomatic, infliximab treated on maintenance regimen were included in the analysis. Patients developing the composite endpoint (n = 96) presented higher median levels of FC (205 [interquartile range, 98-515] μg/g; P = .045) but not of CRP (2.50 [interquartile range, 0.80-6.00] μg/mL; P = .895). Biomarker-defined persistent subclinical inflammation prevalence ranged from 24% to 81%. Considering FC >250 μg/g in 2 consecutive visits, prevalence was 50%, odds of achieving the endpoint were increased 3-fold (odds ratio, 2.996 [95% confidence interval, 1.557-5.776]), and time-to-outcome occurrence was significantly lower among subjects with persistent inflammation (median time: 11 months). Both clinical-related and treatment-related components were significantly associated with persistent inflammation. Definitions based on CRP >3 μg/mL, FC >150 μg/g, FC >350 μg/g, double biomarkers (FC >250 μg/g and/or CRP >3 μg/mL), or more visits did not improve predictive ability.

CONCLUSIONS

Persistent inflammation, defined simply and readily by FC >250 μg/g over 2 consecutive visits, was associated with a significantly higher risk and shorter time to occurrence of a composite outcome reflecting disease progression in asymptomatic infliximab-treated CD patients.

PICaSSO Histologic Remission Index (PHRI) in ulcerative colitis: development of a novel simplified histological score for monitoring mucosal healing and predicting clinical outcomes and its applicability in an artificial intelligence system

Histological remission is evolving as an important treatment target in UC. We aimed to develop a simple histological index, aligned to endoscopy, correlated with clinical outcomes, and suited to apply to an artificial intelligence (AI) system to evaluate inflammatory activity.

METHODS

Using a set of 614 biopsies from 307 patients with UC enrolled into a prospective multicentre study, we developed the Paddington International virtual ChromoendoScopy ScOre (PICaSSO) Histologic Remission Index (PHRI). Agreement with multiple other histological indices and validation for inter-reader reproducibility were assessed. Finally, to implement PHRI into a computer-aided diagnosis system, we trained and tested a novel deep learning strategy based on a CNN architecture to detect neutrophils, calculate PHRI and identify active from quiescent UC using a subset of 138 biopsies.

RESULTS

PHRI is strongly correlated with endoscopic scores (Mayo Endoscopic Score and UC Endoscopic Index of Severity and PICaSSO) and with clinical outcomes (hospitalisation, colectomy and initiation or changes in medical therapy due to UC flare-up). A PHRI score of 1 could accurately stratify patients' risk of adverse outcomes (hospitalisation, colectomy and treatment optimisation due to flare-up) within 12 months. Our inter-reader agreement was high (intraclass correlation 0.84). Our preliminary AI algorithm differentiated active from quiescent UC with 78% sensitivity, 91.7% specificity and 86% accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

PHRI is a simple histological index in UC, and it exhibits the highest correlation with endoscopic activity and clinical outcomes. A PHRI-based AI system was accurate in predicting histological remission.

What Does Disease Progression Look Like in Ulcerative Colitis, and How Might It Be Prevented?

Ulcerative colitis (UC) has been characterized by inflammation limited to the mucosa. Although sustained and durable remission has been associated with mucosal healing, the recurrent phenomenon of persistent clinical disease activity despite mucosal healing has been observed in clinical practice and across pivotal trials. Over time, UC appears to confer an increased risk of progression, defined as changes of disease phenotype; adverse transmural effects on the bowel wall; increased risk of neoplasia development; worsening colorectal function; and increased risk of colectomy, hospitalizations, and other extraintestinal comorbidities. Although the treatment paradigm for Crohn's disease has shifted toward early aggressive intervention to prevent disease progression and irreversible bowel damage, such urgency in efforts to halt disease progression in UC have been largely overlooked. This review summarizes the multiple facets of UC contributing to a modified perception of the disease as a progressive one. We propose further study of the natural history and priorities for further treatment goals that include these considerations.

Histological Scores in Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Diseases: The State of the Art

The histological assessment has been advocated as a detailed and accurate measure of disease activity in inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD). In ulcerative colitis (UC), histological activity has been demonstrated to be associated with higher rates of relapse, prolonged corticosteroid use and long-term complications, even when endoscopic remission is achieved. Therefore, histological healing may represent a potential treatment target. Several histological scores have been developed and are available today. The Robarts histopathology index (RHI) and the Nancy index (NI) are the only two recommended by the European Crohn’s and Colitis Organization (ECCO) for use in patients with UC. Conversely, in Crohn’s disease (CD), the discontinuous nature of lesions has limited standardized histological assessment. Most of the available histological scoring systems in CD are complex and not validated. The aim of this review is to comprehensively summarize the latest evidence regarding histological scoring systems in IBD. We guide the reader through understanding the importance of an accurate microscopic evaluation using validated scoring systems, highlighting the strengths and pitfalls of each score. The priorities of future research needs are also addressed.