Robust keratoconus detection with Bayesian network classifier for Placido-based corneal indices

Utility of artificial intelligence in the diagnosis and management of keratoconus: a systematic review

Introduction

The application of artificial intelligence (AI) systems in ophthalmology is rapidly expanding. Early detection and management of keratoconus is important for preventing disease progression and the need for corneal transplant. We review studies regarding the utility of AI in the diagnosis and management of keratoconus and other corneal ectasias.

Methods

We conducted a systematic search for relevant original, English-language research studies in the PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane databases from inception to October 31, 2023, using a combination of the following keywords: artificial intelligence, deep learning, machine learning, keratoconus, and corneal ectasia. Case reports, literature reviews, conference proceedings, and editorials were excluded. We extracted the following data from each eligible study: type of AI, input used for training, output, ground truth or reference, dataset size, availability of algorithm/model, availability of dataset, and major study findings.

Results

Ninety-three original research studies were included in this review, with the date of publication ranging from 1994 to 2023. The majority of studies were regarding the use of AI in detecting keratoconus or subclinical keratoconus (n=61). Among studies regarding keratoconus diagnosis, the most common inputs were corneal topography, Scheimpflug-based corneal tomography, and anterior segment-optical coherence tomography. This review also summarized 16 original research studies regarding AI-based assessment of severity and clinical features, 7 studies regarding the prediction of disease progression, and 6 studies regarding the characterization of treatment response. There were only three studies regarding the use of AI in identifying susceptibility genes involved in the etiology and pathogenesis of keratoconus.

Discussion

Algorithms trained on Scheimpflug-based tomography seem promising tools for the early diagnosis of keratoconus that can be particularly applied in low-resource communities. Future studies could investigate the application of AI models trained on multimodal patient information for staging keratoconus severity and tracking disease progression.

Artificial intelligence as diagnostic modality for keratoconus: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Objectives

The challenges in diagnosing keratoconus (KC) have led researchers to explore the use of artificial intelligence (AI) as a diagnostic tool. AI has emerged as a new way to improve the efficiency of KC diagnosis. This study analyzed the use of AI as a diagnostic modality for KC.

Methods

This study used a systematic review and meta-analysis following the 2020 Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. We searched selected databases using a combination of search terms: "((Artificial Intelligence) OR (Diagnostic Modality)) AND (Keratoconus)" from PubMed, Medline, and ScienceDirect within the last 5 years (2018-2023). Following a systematic review protocol, we selected 11 articles and 6 articles were eligible for final analysis. The relevant data were analyzed with Review Manager 5.4 software and the final output was presented in a forest plot.

Results

This research found neural networks as the most used AI model in diagnosing KC. Neural networks and naïve bayes showed the highest accuracy of AI in diagnosing KC with a sensitivity of 1.00, while random forests were >0.90. All studies in each group have proven high sensitivity and specificity over 0.90.

Conclusions

AI potentially makes a better diagnosis of the KC with its high performance, particularly on sensitivity and specificity, which can help clinicians make medical decisions about an individual patient.

Comparison of different corneal imaging modalities using artificial intelligence for diagnosis of keratoconus: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

This review was designed to compare different corneal imaging modalities using artificial intelligence (AI) for the diagnosis of keratoconus (KCN), subclinical KCN (SKCN), and forme fruste KCN (FFKCN).

METHODS

A comprehensive systematic search was conducted in scientific databases, including Web of Science, PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar based on the PRISMA statement. Two independent reviewers assessed all potential publications on AI and KCN up to March 2022. The Critical Appraisal Skills Program (CASP) 11-item checklist was used to evaluate the validity of the studies. Eligible articles were categorized into three groups (KCN, SKCN, and FFKCN) and included in the meta-analysis. The pooled estimate of accuracy (PEA) was calculated for all selected articles.

RESULTS

The initial search yielded 575 relevant publications, of which 36 met the CASP quality criteria and were included in the analysis. Qualitative assessment showed that Scheimpflug and Placido combined with biomechanical and wavefront evaluations improved KCN detection (PEA, 99.2, and 99.0, respectively). The Scheimpflug system (92.25 PEA, 95% CI, 94.76-97.51) and a combination of Scheimpflug and Placido (96.44 PEA, 95% CI, 93.13-98.19) had the highest diagnostic accuracy for the detection of SKCN and FFKCN, respectively. The meta-analysis outcomes showed no significant difference between the CASP score and accuracy of the publications (all P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Simultaneous Scheimpflug and Placido corneal imaging methods provide high diagnostic accuracy for early detection of keratoconus. The use of AI models improves the discrimination of keratoconic eyes from normal corneas.

Artificial intelligence for detecting keratoconus

BACKGROUND

Keratoconus remains difficult to diagnose, especially in the early stages. It is a progressive disorder of the cornea that starts at a young age. Diagnosis is based on clinical examination and corneal imaging; though in the early stages, when there are no clinical signs, diagnosis depends on the interpretation of corneal imaging (e.g. topography and tomography) by trained cornea specialists. Using artificial intelligence (AI) to analyse the corneal images and detect cases of keratoconus could help prevent visual acuity loss and even corneal transplantation. However, a missed diagnosis in people seeking refractive surgery could lead to weakening of the cornea and keratoconus-like ectasia. There is a need for a reliable overview of the accuracy of AI for detecting keratoconus and the applicability of this automated method to the clinical setting.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the diagnostic accuracy of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms for detecting keratoconus in people presenting with refractive errors, especially those whose vision can no longer be fully corrected with glasses, those seeking corneal refractive surgery, and those suspected of having keratoconus. AI could help ophthalmologists, optometrists, and other eye care professionals to make decisions on referral to cornea specialists. Secondary objectives To assess the following potential causes of heterogeneity in diagnostic performance across studies. • Different AI algorithms (e.g. neural networks, decision trees, support vector machines) • Index test methodology (preprocessing techniques, core AI method, and postprocessing techniques) • Sources of input to train algorithms (topography and tomography images from Placido disc system, Scheimpflug system, slit-scanning system, or optical coherence tomography (OCT); number of training and testing cases/images; label/endpoint variable used for training) • Study setting • Study design • Ethnicity, or geographic area as its proxy • Different index test positivity criteria provided by the topography or tomography device • Reference standard, topography or tomography, one or two cornea specialists • Definition of keratoconus • Mean age of participants • Recruitment of participants • Severity of keratoconus (clinically manifest or subclinical) SEARCH METHODS: We searched CENTRAL (which contains the Cochrane Eyes and Vision Trials Register), Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid Embase, OpenGrey, the ISRCTN registry, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (WHO ICTRP). There were no date or language restrictions in the electronic searches for trials. We last searched the electronic databases on 29 November 2022.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included cross-sectional and diagnostic case-control studies that investigated AI for the diagnosis of keratoconus using topography, tomography, or both. We included studies that diagnosed manifest keratoconus, subclinical keratoconus, or both. The reference standard was the interpretation of topography or tomography images by at least two cornea specialists.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently extracted the study data and assessed the quality of studies using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. When an article contained multiple AI algorithms, we selected the algorithm with the highest Youden's index. We assessed the certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 63 studies, published between 1994 and 2022, that developed and investigated the accuracy of AI for the diagnosis of keratoconus. There were three different units of analysis in the studies: eyes, participants, and images. Forty-four studies analysed 23,771 eyes, four studies analysed 3843 participants, and 15 studies analysed 38,832 images. Fifty-four articles evaluated the detection of manifest keratoconus, defined as a cornea that showed any clinical sign of keratoconus. The accuracy of AI seems almost perfect, with a summary sensitivity of 98.6% (95% confidence interval (CI) 97.6% to 99.1%) and a summary specificity of 98.3% (95% CI 97.4% to 98.9%). However, accuracy varied across studies and the certainty of the evidence was low. Twenty-eight articles evaluated the detection of subclinical keratoconus, although the definition of subclinical varied. We grouped subclinical keratoconus, forme fruste, and very asymmetrical eyes together. The tests showed good accuracy, with a summary sensitivity of 90.0% (95% CI 84.5% to 93.8%) and a summary specificity of 95.5% (95% CI 91.9% to 97.5%). However, the certainty of the evidence was very low for sensitivity and low for specificity. In both groups, we graded most studies at high risk of bias, with high applicability concerns, in the domain of patient selection, since most were case-control studies. Moreover, we graded the certainty of evidence as low to very low due to selection bias, inconsistency, and imprecision. We could not explain the heterogeneity between the studies. The sensitivity analyses based on study design, AI algorithm, imaging technique (topography versus tomography), and data source (parameters versus images) showed no differences in the results.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

AI appears to be a promising triage tool in ophthalmologic practice for diagnosing keratoconus. Test accuracy was very high for manifest keratoconus and slightly lower for subclinical keratoconus, indicating a higher chance of missing a diagnosis in people without clinical signs. This could lead to progression of keratoconus or an erroneous indication for refractive surgery, which would worsen the disease. We are unable to draw clear and reliable conclusions due to the high risk of bias, the unexplained heterogeneity of the results, and high applicability concerns, all of which reduced our confidence in the evidence. Greater standardization in future research would increase the quality of studies and improve comparability between studies.

Keratoconus Diagnosis: From Fundamentals to Artificial Intelligence: A Systematic Narrative Review

The remarkable recent advances in managing keratoconus, the most common corneal ectasia, encouraged researchers to conduct further studies on the disease. Despite the abundance of information about keratoconus, debates persist regarding the detection of mild cases. Early detection plays a crucial role in facilitating less invasive treatments. This review encompasses corneal data ranging from the basic sciences to the application of artificial intelligence in keratoconus patients. Diagnostic systems utilize automated decision trees, support vector machines, and various types of neural networks, incorporating input from various corneal imaging equipment. Although the integration of artificial intelligence techniques into corneal imaging devices may take time, their popularity in clinical practice is increasing. Most of the studies reviewed herein demonstrate a high discriminatory power between normal and keratoconus cases, with a relatively lower discriminatory power for subclinical keratoconus.

Accuracy of Machine Learning Assisted Detection of Keratoconus: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

(1) Background: The objective of this review was to synthesize available data on the use of machine learning to evaluate its accuracy (as determined by pooled sensitivity and specificity) in detecting keratoconus (KC), and measure reporting completeness of machine learning models in KC based on TRIPOD (the transparent reporting of multivariable prediction models for individual prognosis or diagnosis) statement. (2) Methods: Two independent reviewers searched the electronic databases for all potential articles on machine learning and KC published prior to 2021. The TRIPOD 29-item checklist was used to evaluate the adherence to reporting guidelines of the studies, and the adherence rate to each item was computed. We conducted a meta-analysis to determine the pooled sensitivity and specificity of machine learning models for detecting KC. (3) Results: Thirty-five studies were included in this review. Thirty studies evaluated machine learning models for detecting KC eyes from controls and 14 studies evaluated machine learning models for detecting early KC eyes from controls. The pooled sensitivity for detecting KC was 0.970 (95% CI 0.949–0.982), with a pooled specificity of 0.985 (95% CI 0.971–0.993), whereas the pooled sensitivity of detecting early KC was 0.882 (95% CI 0.822–0.923), with a pooled specificity of 0.947 (95% CI 0.914–0.967). Between 3% and 48% of TRIPOD items were adhered to in studies, and the average (median) adherence rate for a single TRIPOD item was 23% across all studies. (4) Conclusions: Application of machine learning model has the potential to make the diagnosis and monitoring of KC more efficient, resulting in reduced vision loss to the patients. This review provides current information on the machine learning models that have been developed for detecting KC and early KC. Presently, the machine learning models performed poorly in identifying early KC from control eyes and many of these research studies did not follow established reporting standards, thus resulting in the failure of these clinical translation of these machine learning models. We present possible approaches for future studies for improvement in studies related to both KC and early KC models to more efficiently and widely utilize machine learning models for diagnostic process.

Bayesian Constitutionalization: Twitter Sentiment Analysis of the Chilean Constitutional Process through Bayesian Network Classifiers

Constitutional processes are a cornerstone of modern democracies. Whether revolutionary or institutionally organized, they establish the core values of social order and determine the institutional architecture that governs social life. Constitutional processes are themselves evolutionary practices of mutual learning in which actors, regardless of their initial political positions, continuously interact with each other, demonstrating differences and making alliances regarding different topics. In this article, we develop Tree Augmented Naive Bayes (TAN) classifiers to model the behavior of constituent agents. According to the nature of the constituent dynamics, weights are learned by the model from the data using an evolution strategy to obtain a good classification performance. For our analysis, we used the constituent agents’ communications on Twitter during the installation period of the Constitutional Convention (July–October 2021). In order to differentiate political positions (left, center, right), we applied the developed algorithm to obtain the scores of 882 ballots cast in the first stage of the convention (4 July to 29 September 2021). Then, we used k-means to identify three clusters containing right-wing, center, and left-wing positions. Experimental results obtained using the three constructed datasets showed that using alternative weight values in the TAN construction procedure, inferred by an evolution strategy, yielded improvements in the classification accuracy measured in the test sets compared to the results of the TAN constructed with conditional mutual information, as well as other Bayesian network classifier construction approaches. Additionally, our results may help us to better understand political behavior in constitutional processes and to improve the accuracy of TAN classifiers applied to social, real-world data.

Keratoconus: An updated review

Keratoconus is a bilateral and asymmetric disease which results in progressive thinning and steeping of the cornea leading to irregular astigmatism and decreased visual acuity. Traditionally, the condition has been described as a noninflammatory disease; however, more recently it has been associated with ocular inflammation. Keratoconus normally develops in the second and third decades of life and progresses until the fourth decade. The condition affects all ethnicities and both sexes. The prevalence and incidence rates of keratoconus have been estimated to be between 0.2 and 4,790 per 100,000 persons and 1.5 and 25 cases per 100,000 persons/year, respectively, with highest rates typically occurring in 20- to 30-year-olds and Middle Eastern and Asian ethnicities. Progressive stromal thinning, rupture of the anterior limiting membrane, and subsequent ectasia of the central/paracentral cornea are the most commonly observed histopathological findings. A family history of keratoconus, eye rubbing, eczema, asthma, and allergy are risk factors for developing keratoconus. Detecting keratoconus in its earliest stages remains a challenge. Corneal topography is the primary diagnostic tool for keratoconus detection. In incipient cases, however, the use of a single parameter to diagnose keratoconus is insufficient, and in addition to corneal topography, corneal pachymetry and higher order aberration data are now commonly used. Keratoconus severity and progression may be classified based on morphological features and disease evolution, ocular signs, and index-based systems. Keratoconus treatment varies depending on disease severity and progression. Mild cases are typically treated with spectacles, moderate cases with contact lenses, while severe cases that cannot be managed with scleral contact lenses may require corneal surgery. Mild to moderate cases of progressive keratoconus may also be treated surgically, most commonly with corneal cross-linking. This article provides an updated review on the definition, epidemiology, histopathology, aetiology and pathogenesis, clinical features, detection, classification, and management and treatment strategies for keratoconus.

Keratoconus Severity Classification Using Features Selection and Machine Learning Algorithms

Keratoconus is a noninflammatory disease characterized by thinning and bulging of the cornea, generally appearing during adolescence and slowly progressing, causing vision impairment. However, the detection of keratoconus remains difficult in the early stages of the disease because the patient does not feel any pain. Therefore, the development of a method for detecting this disease based on machine and deep learning methods is necessary for early detection in order to provide the appropriate treatment as early as possible to patients. Thus, the objective of this work is to determine the most relevant parameters with respect to the different classifiers used for keratoconus classification based on the keratoconus dataset of Harvard Dataverse. A total of 446 parameters are analyzed out of 3162 observations by 11 different feature selection algorithms. Obtained results showed that sequential forward selection (SFS) method provided a subset of 10 most relevant variables, thus, generating the highest classification performance by the application of random forest (RF) classifier, with an accuracy of 98% and 95% considering 2 and 4 keratoconus classes, respectively. Found classification accuracy applying RF classifier on the selected variables using SFS method achieves the accuracy obtained using all features of the original dataset.

Diagnosis of Subclinical Keratoconus Based on Machine Learning Techniques

(1) Background: Keratoconus is a non-inflammatory corneal disease characterized by gradual thinning of the stroma, resulting in irreversible visual quality and quantity decline. Early detection of keratoconus and subsequent prevention of possible risks are crucial factors in its progression. Random forest is a machine learning technique for classification based on the construction of thousands of decision trees. The aim of this study was to use the random forest technique in the classification and prediction of subclinical keratoconus, considering the metrics proposed by Pentacam and Corvis. (2) Methods: The design was a retrospective cross-sectional study. A total of 81 eyes of 81 patients were enrolled: sixty-one eyes with healthy corneas and twenty patients with subclinical keratoconus (SCKC): This initial stage includes patients with the following conditions: (1) minor topographic signs of keratoconus and suspicious topographic findings (mild asymmetric bow tie, with or without deviation; (2) average K (mean corneal curvature) < 46, 5 D; (3) minimum corneal thickness (ECM) > 490 μm; (4) no slit lamp found; and (5) contralateral clinical keratoconus of the eye. Pentacam topographic and Corvis biomechanical variables were collected. Decision tree and random forest were used as machine learning techniques for classifications. Random forest performed a ranking of the most critical variables in classification. (3) Results: The essential variable was SP A1 (stiffness parameter A1), followed by A2 time, posterior coma 0°, A2 velocity and peak distance. The model efficiently predicted all patients with subclinical keratoconus (Sp = 93%) and was also a good model for classifying healthy cases (Sen = 86%). The overall accuracy rate of the model was 89%. (4) Conclusions: The random forest model was a good model for classifying subclinical keratoconus. The SP A1 variable was the most critical determinant in classifying and identifying subclinical keratoconus, followed by A2 time.

Cost-Sensitive Variable Selection for Multi-Class Imbalanced Datasets Using Bayesian Networks

Multi-class classification in imbalanced datasets is a challenging problem. In these cases, common validation metrics (such as accuracy or recall) are often not suitable. In many of these problems, often real-world problems related to health, some classification errors may be tolerated, whereas others are to be avoided completely. Therefore, a cost-sensitive variable selection procedure for building a Bayesian network classifier is proposed. In it, a flexible validation metric (cost/loss function) encoding the impact of the different classification errors is employed. Thus, the model is learned to optimize the a priori specified cost function. The proposed approach was applied to forecasting an air quality index using current levels of air pollutants and climatic variables from a highly imbalanced dataset. For this problem, the method yielded better results than other standard validation metrics in the less frequent class states. The possibility of fine-tuning the objective validation function can improve the prediction quality in imbalanced data or when asymmetric misclassification costs have to be considered.