Right or Left Primary Site of Colorectal Cancer: Outcomes From the Molecular Analysis of the AGITG MAX Trial

Survival outcome and prognostic factors for early-onset and late-onset metastatic colorectal cancer: a population based study from SEER database

Colorectal cancer is the third most common cancer worldwide and there has been a concerning increase in the incidence rate of colorectal cancer among individuals under the age of 50. This study compared the survival outcome between early-onset and late-onset metastatic colorectal cancer to find the differences and identify their prognostic factors. We obtained patient data from SEER database. Survival outcome was estimated using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and compared using the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted utilizing COX models to identify their independent prognostic factors. A total of 10,036 early-onset metastatic colorectal (EOCRC) cancer patients and 56,225 late-onset metastatic colorectal cancer (LOCRC) patients between 2010 and 2019 were included in this study. EOCRC has more survival benefits than LOCRC. Tumor primary location (p < 0.001), the location of metastasis (p < 0.001) and treatment modalities (p < 0.001) affect the survival outcomes between these two groups of patients. Female patients had better survival outcomes in EOCRC group (p < 0.001), but no difference was found in LOCRC group (p = 0.57). In conclusion, our study demonstrated that EOCRC patients have longer survival time than LOCRC patients. The sex differences in survival of metastatic colorectal cancer patients are associated with patients' age. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the differences between metastatic EOCRC and LOCRC, and can help inform the development of more precise treatment guidelines to improve prognosis.

Primary site and treatment impact in unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Colorectal cancer is a heterogenous disease, with various clinical and molecular subtypes related to the primary site (left versus right colon) of the original tumour. Primary colon tumour side is both a prognostic and predictive marker in metastatic colorectal cancer.

AREAS COVERED

There is an increasing body of evidence for how primary site may impact treatment decisions in metastatic colorectal cancer. We reviewed the evidence for its prognostic and predictive value.

EXPERT OPINION

Primary site is a prognostic marker in metastatic colorectal cancer, with right colon tumours being associated with more aggressive disease behaviour and poorer outcomes. Primary site also appears to predict for outcomes to various treatments, in particular anti-EGFR antibodies. As our understanding and testing of the molecular and biological differences within colorectal cancer increases beyond primary site, this should be integrated into the current treatment algorithm to ensure an individualised patient-centred approach to care.

Time-varying prognostic value of primary tumor sidedness in metastatic colorectal cancer: A population-based study and meta-analysis

We studied the prognostic value of primary tumor sidedness in metastatic colorectal cancer over time and across treatment lines. Population data on synchronous metastatic colorectal cancer patients were extracted from the Netherlands Cancer Registry and SEER database. Pubmed, EMBASE and Cochrane library were searched for prospective studies on metastatic colorectal cancer to conduct a meta-analysis. Inclusion criteria consisted of metastatic disease, systemic treatment with palliative intent and specification of primary tumor location. Data were pooled using a random-effects model. For the population-based data, multivariable Cox models were constructed. The Grambsch-Therneau test was conducted to evaluate the potential time-varying nature of sidedness. Meta-regression incorporating treatment-line as variable was conducted to test the pre-specified hypothesis that the prognostic value of sidedness varies over time. Analysis of 12 885 and 16 160 synchronous metastatic colorectal cancer patients registered in the Netherlands Cancer Registry and SEER database, respectively, indicated a time-varying prognostic value of sidedness (P < .01). Thirty-one studies were selected for the meta-analysis (9558 patients for overall survival analysis). Pooled univariable hazard ratio_{left-sided/right-sided} for overall survival was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65-0.76) in 1st-line, 0.76 (0.54-1.06) in 2nd-line and 1.01 (0.86-1.19) in 3rd-line studies. Hazard ratios were significantly influenced by treatment line (P = .035). The prognostic value of sidedness of the primary tumor in metastatic colorectal cancer patients treated with palliative systemic therapy decreases over time since diagnosis, suggesting that sidedness may not be a useful stratification factor in late-line trials. This decrease in prognostic value should be taken into account when providing prognostic information to patients.

New developments in targeted therapy for metastatic colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second most lethal cancer worldwide and the prognosis of metastatic CRC (mCRC) remains poor. Recent advancements in translational research have led to the identification of several new therapeutic targets and improved the treatment outcome of patients with tumours harbouring BRAF V600E mutation, (HER2) ErBB2 alterations, NTRK gene fusions and KRAS(G12C) mutation. Improved understanding towards the mechanism of resistance to targeted therapy such as anti-epidermal growth factor receptor antibodies and the evolving role of therapeutic monitoring with circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) has enabled the longitudinal tracking of clonal evolution during treatment and the individualization of subsequent treatments. To broaden the community-based implementation of precision oncology in directing targeted therapies for patients with gastrointestinal cancers including mCRC, the feasibility of 'Master Protocols' that utilizes ctDNA-based genotyping platforms is currently being evaluated. Such protocols encompass both observational and interventional clinical trials of novel targeted therapies conducted within a large clinical trial network. In this review, we will discuss the latest developments in targeted therapies, and therapeutic strategies for overcoming acquired drug resistance in patients with mCRC.

Nomogram for predicting overall survival time of patients with stage IV colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Prognosis varies among stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC). Our study aimed to build a robust prognostic nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) of patients with stage IV CRC in order to provide evidence for individualized treatment.

METHOD

We collected the information of 16,283 patients with stage IV CRC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and then randomized these patients in a ratio of 7:3 into a training cohort and an internal validation cohort. In addition, 501 patients in the Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University (Guangzhou, China) database were selected and used as an external validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to screen out significant variables for nomogram establishment. The nomogram model was assessed using time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic curve (time-dependent ROC), concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULT

The C-index of the nomogram for OS in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts were 0.737, 0.727, and 0.655, respectively. ROC analysis and calibration curves pronounced robust discriminative ability of the model. Further, we divided the patients into a high-risk group and a low-risk group according to the nomogram. Corresponding Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the prediction of the nomogram was consistent with the actual practice. Additionally, model comparisons and decision curve analysis proved that the nomogram for predicting prognosis was significantly superior to the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system.

CONCLUSIONS

We constructed a nomogram to predict OS of the stage IV CRC and externally validate its generalization, which was superior to the TNM staging system.

Predictive value of chromosome 18q11.2-q12.1 loss for benefit from bevacizumab in metastatic colorectal cancer; a post-hoc analysis of the randomized phase III-trial AGITG-MAX

The VEGF‐A monoclonal antibody bevacizumab is currently recommended for first‐line treatment of all metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients. Cost‐benefit ratio and side‐effects however necessitate patient selection. A large retrospective yet nonrandomized study showed that patients with loss of chromosome 18q11.2‐q12.1 in the tumor and treated with bevacizumab have 3 months improved median progression‐free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) benefit compared to patients without this loss and/or treatment modality. Implementation for loss of chromosome 18q11.2‐q12.1 as a marker in clinical practice mandates evidence in a randomized controlled trial for bevacizumab. Of the trials with randomization of chemotherapy vs chemotherapy with bevacizumab, the AGITG‐MAX trial was the only one with tumor materials available. Chromosome 18q11.2‐q12.1 copy number status was measured for 256 AGITG‐MAX trial patients and correlated with PFS according to a predefined analysis plan with marker‐treatment interaction as the primary end‐point. Chromosome 18q11.2‐q12.1 losses were detected in 71% of patients (181/256) characteristic for mCRC. Consistent with the nonrandomized study, significant PFS benefit of bevacizumab was observed in patients with chromosome 18q11.2‐q12.1 loss (P = .009), and not in patients without 18q loss (P = .67). Although significance for marker‐treatment interaction was not reached (P_interaction = .28), hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval of this randomized cohort (HR_interaction = 0.72; 95% CI = 0.39‐1.32) shows striking overlap with the nonrandomized study cohorts (HR_interaction = 0.41; 95% CI = 0.32‐0.8) supported by a nonsignificant Cochrane χ² test (P = .11) for heterogeneity. We conclude that post hoc analysis of the AGITG‐MAX RCT provides supportive evidence for chromosome 18q11.2‐q12.1 as a predictive marker for bevacizumab in mCRC patients.

First-line trifluridine/tipiracil + bevacizumab in patients with unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer: final survival analysis in the TASCO1 study

Background

Therapeutic options are limited in patients with unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) ineligible for intensive chemotherapy. The use of trifluridine/tipiracil plus bevacizumab (TT-B) in this setting was evaluated in the TASCO1 trial; here, we present the final overall survival (OS) results.

Methods

TASCO1 was an open-label, non-comparative phase II trial. Patients (n = 153) were randomised 1:1 to TT-B (trifluridine/tipiracil 35 mg/m² orally twice daily on days 1–5 and 8–12, and bevacizumab intravenously 5 mg/kg on days 1 and 15 of each 28-day cycle) or capecitabine plus bevacizumab (C-B; capecitabine, 1250 mg/m² orally twice daily on days 1–14 and bevacizumab 7.5 mg/kg intravenously on day 1 of each 21-day cycle). Final OS was analysed when all patients had either died or withdrawn from the study. Adjusted multivariate regression was used to investigate the effects of pre-specified variables on OS.

Results

At 1 September 2020, median OS was 22.3 months (95% CI: 18.0–23.7) with TT-B and 17.7 months (95% CI: 12.6–19.8) with C-B (adjusted HR 0.78; 95% CI: 0.55–1.10). No variables negatively affected OS with TT-B. Safety results were consistent with prior findings.

Conclusions

TT-B is a promising therapeutic regimen in mCRC patients ineligible for intensive chemotherapy.

Clinical trial information

NCT02743221 (clinicaltrials.gov)

Platelet to lymphocyte ratio is associated with tumor localization and outcomes in metastatic colorectal cancer

The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive and prognostic value of PLR, and the relationship between PLR and tumor localization.A total of 229 patients with de-novo metastatic CRC were retrospectively analyzed. The cutoff value for PLR was defined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and threshold value of 196.5 as best cut-off value was found.The higher rate of BRAF mutation was significantly detected for patients with PLRhigh (> 196.5) compared to those with PLRlow (≤196.5) (P = .001). PLR was significantly higher in tumors located on the right colon (P = .012). PLR, tumor localization, the presence of surgery for primary tumor, the presence of curative surgery, the presence of metastasectomy for progression-free survival (PFS) and PLR, gender, BRAF mutation, tumor localization, the presence of surgery for primary tumor, the presence of metastasectomy for overall survival (OS) were found to be prognostic factors by univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis showed that PLR, the presence of curative surgery and the presence of metastasectomy for both PFS and OS were found to be independent prognostic factors. Moreover, a logistic regression analysis indicated that PLR and tumor localization were found to be an independent factors for predicting response to systemic treatment (P < .001 and P = .023 respectively).Our results showed that pretreatment PLR was readily feasible and simple biomarker predicting response to treatment and survival, in addition it was significantly associated with tumor localization.

Comparative Recurrence Analysis of Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma after Resection

Purpose

The relation between tumor sites of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and recurrence was not fully investigated before. We aimed to describe the differences of recurrent patterns in PDAC of head and body/tail after curative surgery.

Methods

The recurrent patterns of PDAC were compared and the associations with clinical characteristics were analyzed in these patients. Prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed and validated. Predictive systems were constructed and measured by the area under the AUC curve and concordance index (C-index).

Results

A total of 302 PDAC patients were included in this study, including 247 patients with PDAC of head and another 55 patients with PDAC of body/tail. Patients who developed tumor recurrence within 24 months after resection had significantly shorter OS in both groups. Liver metastasis occupied most of the tumor progressions and diminished while local recurrence increased gradually over time. The variation trends were similar for patients in both groups while these changes were more pronounced for patients in the head group. Local recurrence and liver-only metastasis seemed to indicate a better OS. Furthermore, predictive systems for OS and PFS prediction based on independent risk factors were established and showed significant higher values of AUC and C-indexes compared with the TNM stage system.

Conclusions

Different characteristics of progressions for PDAC of head and body/tail suggested biological heterogeneity. The exploration of these variations helps to provide personalized management of recurrence in PDAC.

Prognostic Value of KRAS Gene Mutation on Survival of Patients with Peritoneal Metastases of Colorectal Adenocarcinoma

Objective

The main objective of the study was to determine the effect of the presence of mutation in the KRAS gene on the survival in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) and peritoneal metastases (PM).

Materials and Methods

A retrospective cohort study was performed. Patients diagnosed with CRC with synchronous or metachronous PM between January 2006 and December 2019 were included. Data on the histopathological, clinical, and treatment factors were collected. The effect of each variable on survival was evaluated by Cox regression.

Results

A total of 149 patients were included (64 women (43%) and 85 men (57%); mean age, 63 years). The long-term survival rate at 36 months was 24% (median, 21 months). KRAS mutation was detected in 75 patients (50.3%). Kaplan-Meier analysis estimated that likelihood of survival was higher in patients with wild-type KRAS tumours (35%) than in mutated-type KRAS (14%) (median: 28 vs. 15, respectively) (P=0.001). Within the categories into which the peritoneal cancer index (PCI) was classified, survival at 36 months depended on the KRAS status. Survival in wild-type KRAS tumours with PCI 1-10 was 71% and with PCI 11-20 was 26%, while in mutant-type KRAS tumours, survival was 41% and 4%, respectively (P=0.025). In the multiple regression analysis, the KRAS mutation was revealed to have an independent prognostic value (HR: 2.144; 95% CI: 1.342-3.424).

Conclusion

The mutational status of the KRAS gene has demonstrated a strong association with survival and prognostic utility in patients with CRC with PM.

Treatment sequencing of metastatic colorectal cancer based on primary tumor location

Colorectal cancer is a heterogeneous disease with various clinical, molecular, and embryological differences related to the origin of the tumor from the right or left colon. Recent studies have demonstrated that tumor sidedness has both a prognostic and predictive value in metastatic colorectal cancer . Patients whose primary tumor originates from the left side of the colon and whose tumor's genome encodes wild-type RAS and BRAF should be offered cetuximab or panitumumab in the first-line treatment of metastatic disease or in subsequent lines. For tumors originating from the right side of the colon, anti-angiogenic treatment, particularly bevacizumab, is an option for this poor prognostic group until better options become available. Specifically, an aggressive initial approach with FOLFOXIRI plus bevacizumab is a treatment option in right-sided tumors under investigation. This report reviews the available data for the treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer according to the location of the primary tumor and proposes the optimal treatment sequencing strategy incorporating the site of origin of the tumor and molecular information into the decision-making process.

The impact of different metastatic patterns on survival in patients with pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

The aims of this study were to compare the metastatic patterns of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) of head and body/tail and to determine the prognostic factors.

METHODS

Data of metastatic PDAC (MPC) between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database was extracted and analyzed. The correlation analyses of metastatic patterns were also conducted. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to analyze prognosis.

RESULTS

A total of 27470 eligible MPC patients were collected from SEER database. Patients in the head group had a higher proportion of single-metastasis while those in the body/tail group had a higher proportion of two-site metastases. Similar distributions of metastatic sites were observed in cases with single-metastasis between two groups. Patients with liver and peritoneum metastases in the head group had significantly higher overall survival (OS) rates than those in the body/tail group. Also, the OS rates stratified by varied tumor sites did not differ significantly in patients with bone, brain, and lung metastases. Chemotherapy could prolong survival in almost all MPC patients while radiotherapy or surgery could only benefit certain types of metastases. Tumor site, therapy and vascular invasion were independent prognostic factors of OS in MPC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

MPC of the head and body/tail presented with different metastatic patterns. Chemotherapy benefited patients with metastases while surgery and radiotherapy could only prolong survival in patients with liver and peritoneum metastases. Our findings may provide more details for the precise management of patients with MPC in clinical practice.

Prognostic factors of survival in stage IV colorectal cancer with synchronous liver metastasis: Negative effect of the KRAS mutation

The aim of the present study was to identify predictive parameters of survival in patients affected by stage IV colorectal cancer with synchronous and bilateral liver metastases. A retrospective cohort study was performed. Patients diagnosed between January 2013 and December 2018 were included in the present study. Data on the histopathological, clinical and treatment factors (chemotherapy as the first measure or resection of the primary tumor) were collected. The effect of each variable on survival was evaluated using Cox regression analysis. A total of 104 patients were included [43 women (41.3%) and 61 men (58.7%); mean age, 63 years]. The long-term survival rate at 36 months was 29% (median, 25 months). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate that survival was higher in patients with wild-type KRAS tumors (42%) than in patients with mutated KRAS tumors (9%; P=0.001). In the multivariate analysis, KRAS mutation (HR, 2.484; 95% CI, 1.472-4.192), T4 tumors (HR, 1.795; 95% CI, 1.045-3.084), resection/local treatment of hepatic metastases (HR, 0.447; 95% CI, 0.222-0.901), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (HR, 1.632; 95% CI, 1.182-2.254), were revealed to have independent predictive value. The type of treatment (chemotherapy or resection of the primary tumor) did not influence the survival. The results indicated that mutation of the KRAS gene was an important prognostic factor and associated with survival.

Nomogram for predicting overall survival in colorectal cancer with distant metastasis

Background

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a major cancer burden, and prognosis is determined by many demographic and clinicopathologic factors. The present study aimed to construct a prognostic nomogram for colorectal cancer patients with distant metastasis.

Methods

Colorectal cancer patients with distant metastasis diagnosed between 2010 and 2016 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify independent prognostic factors. A nomogram was constructed to predict survival, and validation was performed.

Results

A total of 7099 stage IV colorectal cancer patients were enrolled in the construction cohort. The median overall survival was 20.0 (95% CI 19.3–20.7) months. Age at diagnosis, marital status, race, primary tumour site, tumour grade, CEA level, T stage, N stage, presence of bone, brain, liver and lung metastasis, surgery for primary site and performance of chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors. The nomogram was constructed and the calibration curve showed satisfactory agreement. The C-index was 0.742 (95% CI 0.726–0.758). In the validation cohort (7098 patients), the nomogram showed satisfactory discrimination and calibration with a C-index of 0.746 (95% CI 0.730–0.762).

Conclusion

A series of factors associated with the survival of CRC patients with distant metastasis were found. Based on the identified factors, a nomogram was generated to predict the survival of stage IV colorectal cancer patients. The predictive model showed satisfactory discrimination and calibration, which can provide a reference for survival estimation and individualized treatment decisions.

Chemotherapy plus bevacizumab as an optimal first-line therapeutic treatment for patients with right-sided metastatic colon cancer: a meta-analysis of first-line clinical trials

Background

Monoclonal antibodies of anti-epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) have been recommended as first-line therapy for patients with left-sided metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) with wild-type RAS. The effect of tumour laterality on antivascular endothelial growth factor antibody and how to optimise targeted therapies for the right-sided cases remain controversial.

Patients and methods

A comprehensive meta-analysis enrolling 16 first-line clinical trials was performed to evaluate the efficacy of chemotherapy alone and chemotherapy plus targeted therapies for patients with mCRC with right primary tumour site, and we validated the results in metastatic setting (14 trials containing 4306 patients with unresectable mCRC).

Results

Here, we found that progression-free survival (PFS) (combined HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.44) and overall survival (OS) (combined HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.32 to 1.62) of the right-sided patients were significantly inferior to the left-sided individuals receiving chemotherapy alone in overall population, regardless of race. Similar results were also observed in metastatic setting. OS of patients with left-sided mCRC receiving chemotherapy plus bevacizumab was superior to the right-sided individuals (combined median survival ratio (MSR)=1.23, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.39 for overall population; combined MSR=1.23, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.45 for metastatic setting), especially for wild-type RAS and mixed population. Moreover, the right-sided patients benefited more from chemotherapy plus bevacizumab comparing with chemotherapy alone in both overall population and metastatic setting. Importantly, the RAS-wild right-sided patients achieved longer PFS (combined HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.88) and OS (combined HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.98) from chemotherapy plus bevacizumab comparing with chemotherapy associated with anti-EGFR agents.

Conclusions

Patients with right-sided mCRC show impaired chemosensitivity, and chemotherapy plus bevacizumab can be an optimal first-line therapeutic regimen for the RAS-wild patients with right-sided mCRC.

A Qualitative Transcriptional Signature for Predicting Prognosis and Response to Bevacizumab in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

Bevacizumab is the molecular-targeted agent used for the antiangiogenic therapy of metastatic colorectal cancer. But some patients are resistant to bevacizumab, it needs an effective biomarker to predict the prognosis and responses of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) to bevacizumab therapy. In this work, we developed a qualitative transcriptional signature to individually predict the response of bevacizumab in patients with mCRC. First, using mCRC samples treated with bevacizumab, we detected differentially expressed genes between response and nonresponse groups. Then, the gene pairs, consisting of at least one differentially expressed gene, with stable relative expression orderings in the response samples but reversal stable relative expression orderings in the nonresponse samples were identified, denoted as pairs-bevacizumab. Similarly, we screened the gene pairs significantly associated with primary tumor locations, donated as pairs-LR. Among the overlapped gene pairs between the pairs-bevacizumab and pairs-LR, we adopted a feature selection process to extract gene pairs that reached the highest F-score for predicting bevacizumab response status in mCRC as the final gene pair signature (GPS), denoted as 64-GPS. In two independent datasets, the predicted response group showed significantly better overall survival than the nonresponse group (P = 6.00e-4 in GSE72970; P = 0.04 in TCGA). Genomic analyses showed that the predicted response group was characterized by frequent copy number alternations, whereas the nonresponse group was characterized by hypermutation. In conclusion, 64-GPS was an objective and robust predictive signature for patients with mCRC treated with bevacizumab, which could effectively assist in the decision of clinical therapy.

First-line trifluridine/tipiracil plus bevacizumab for unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer: SOLSTICE study design

Trifluridine/tipiracil (TT) is an orally administered combination of the thymidine-based nucleoside analogue trifluridine and the thymidine phosphorylase inhibitor tipiracil hydrochloride, which increases the bioavailability of cytotoxic trifluridine. Encouraging antitumor activity of first-line TT + bevacizumab (TT-B) has been observed in a Phase II study in patients with unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer ineligible for combination oxaliplatin- or irinotecan-based therapy. Here, we describe the design of SOLSTICE (NCT03869892), an open-label, Phase III trial in unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer patients who are not candidates for, or do not require, intensive therapy. The 854 patients were randomized 1:1 to receive first-line TT-B versus capecitabine + bevacizumab. The primary objective is to demonstrate superior progression-free survival with TT-B over capecitabine + bevacizumab. The first patient was enrolled in March 2019.