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Wang X, Li T, Li Y, Wang Q, Cai Y, Wang Z, Shi Y, Yang T, Zheng X. Enhanced predictive validity of integrative models for refractory hyperthyroidism considering baseline and early therapy characteristics: a prospective cohort study. J Transl Med 2024; 22:318. [PMID: 38553734 PMCID: PMC10979605 DOI: 10.1186/s12967-024-05129-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2023] [Accepted: 03/23/2024] [Indexed: 04/02/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND A subset of Graves' disease (GD) patients develops refractory hyperthyroidism, posing challenges in treatment decisions. The predictive value of baseline characteristics and early therapy indicators in identifying high risk individuals is an area worth exploration. METHODS A prospective cohort study (2018-2022) involved 597 newly diagnosed adult GD patients undergoing methimazole (MMI) treatment. Baseline characteristics and 3-month therapy parameters were utilized to develop predictive models for refractory GD, considering antithyroid drug (ATD) dosage regimens. RESULTS Among 346 patients analyzed, 49.7% developed ATD-refractory GD, marked by recurrence and sustained Thyrotropin Receptor Antibody (TRAb) positivity. Key baseline factors, including younger age, Graves' ophthalmopathy (GO), larger goiter size, and higher initial free triiodothyronine (fT3), free thyroxine (fT4), and TRAb levels, were all significantly associated with an increased risk of refractory GD, forming the baseline predictive model (Model A). Subsequent analysis based on MMI cumulative dosage at 3 months resulted in two subgroups: a high cumulative dosage group (average ≥ 20 mg/day) and a medium-low cumulative dosage group (average < 20 mg/day). Absolute values, percentage changes, and cumulative values of thyroid function and autoantibodies at 3 months were analyzed. Two combined predictive models, Model B (high cumulative dosage) and Model C (medium-low cumulative dosage), were developed based on stepwise regression and multivariate analysis, incorporating additional 3-month parameters beyond the baseline. In both groups, these combined models outperformed the baseline model in terms of discriminative ability (measured by AUC), concordance with actual outcomes (66.2% comprehensive improvement), and risk classification accuracy (especially for Class I and II patients with baseline predictive risk < 71%). The reliability of the above models was confirmed through additional analysis using random forests. This study also explored ATD dosage regimens, revealing differences in refractory outcomes between predicted risk groups. However, adjusting MMI dosage after early risk assessment did not conclusively improve the prognosis of refractory GD. CONCLUSION Integrating baseline and early therapy characteristics enhances the predictive capability for refractory GD outcomes. The study provides valuable insights into refining risk assessment and guiding personalized treatment decisions for GD patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinpan Wang
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, No.300, Guangzhou Road, Gulou District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Tiantian Li
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, No.300, Guangzhou Road, Gulou District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yue Li
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, No.300, Guangzhou Road, Gulou District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Qiuyi Wang
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, No.300, Guangzhou Road, Gulou District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yun Cai
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, No.300, Guangzhou Road, Gulou District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Zhixiao Wang
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, No.300, Guangzhou Road, Gulou District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yun Shi
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, No.300, Guangzhou Road, Gulou District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Tao Yang
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, No.300, Guangzhou Road, Gulou District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Xuqin Zheng
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, No.300, Guangzhou Road, Gulou District, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
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Garnett R. A comprehensive review of dual-energy and multi-spectral computed tomography. Clin Imaging 2020; 67:160-169. [PMID: 32795784 DOI: 10.1016/j.clinimag.2020.07.030] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/06/2020] [Revised: 06/19/2020] [Accepted: 07/27/2020] [Indexed: 01/21/2023]
Abstract
This review will provide a brief introduction to the development of the first Computed Tomography (CT) scan, from the beginnings of x-ray imaging to the first functional CT system introduced by Godfrey Houndsfield. The principles behind photon interactions and the methods by which they can be leveraged to generate dual-energy or multi-spectral CT images are discussed. The clinical applications of these methodologies are investigated, showing the immense potential for dual-energy or multi-spectral CT to change the fields of in-vivo and non-destructive imaging for quantitative analysis of tissues and materials. Lastly the current trends of research for dual-energy and multi-spectral CT are covered, showing that the majority of instrument development is focused on photon counting detectors for mutli-spectral CT and that clinical research is dominated by validation studies for the implementation of dual-energy and multi-spectral CT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Richard Garnett
- McMaster University, TAB 202, 1280 Main St. W., Hamilton, Ontario L8S 4L8, Canada.
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