The noninvasive diagnosis of esophageal varices and its application in clinical practice

Liver function and portal-systemic shunting quantified by the oral cholate challenge test and risk for large oesophageal varices

BACKGROUND

The quantitative HepQuant SHUNT test of liver function and physiology generates a disease severity index (DSI) that correlates with risk for clinical complications, such as large oesophageal varices (LEVs). A derivative test, HepQuant DuO, generates an equivalent DSI and simplifies testing by requiring only oral administration of the test solution and two blood samples at 20 and 60 min.

AIMS

Since the DSIs measured from DuO and SHUNT are equivalent, we compared the diagnostic performance for large oesophageal varices (LEVs) between the DSIs measured from DuO and SHUNT tests.

METHODS

This study combined the data from two prospectively conducted US studies: HALT-C and SHUNT-V. A total of 455 subjects underwent both the SHUNT test and esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD).

RESULTS

DSI scores correlated with the probability of LEVs (p < 0.001) and demonstrated a stepwise increase from healthy lean controls without liver disease to subjects with chronic liver disease and no, small or large varices. Furthermore, a cutoff of DSI ≤ 18.3 from DuO had a sensitivity of 0.98 (missing only one case) and, if applied to the endoscopy (EGD) decision, would have prevented 188 EGDs (41.3%). The AUROC for DSI from DuO did not differ from that of the reference SHUNT test method (0.82 versus 0.81, p = 0.3500).

CONCLUSIONS

DSI from HepQuant DuO links liver function and physiology to the risk of LEVs across a wide spectrum of patient characteristics, disease aetiologies and liver disease severity. DuO is minimally invasive, easy to administer, quantitative and may aid the decision to avoid or perform EGD for LEVs.

Emergent Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt as a First-Line Therapy in Patients with Cirrhosis with Acute Gastroesophageal Variceal Hemorrhage

PURPOSE

To investigate the safety and effectiveness of emergent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) as first-line therapy in patients with advanced cirrhosis with acute variceal hemorrhage.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From July 2016 to June 2019, 76 patients with advanced cirrhosis and acute variceal hemorrhage were included in this retrospective study. All patients underwent emergent TIPS as first-line therapy within 24 hours. Gastroesophageal varices in patients with cirrhosis were diagnosed with contrast-enhanced computed tomography because emergent endoscopy has not been routinely performed in this center. The primary outcomes were the control rate of bleeding and the rate of rebleeding. Secondary outcomes were the technical success rate of procedure, transplantation-free survival, the mean hospitalization time, the time of stay in the intensive care unit, and adverse events.

RESULTS

All patients underwent TIPS creation successfully and were transferred to general wards. The median follow-up time was 21.7 months (interquartile range, 12.6-28.1 months). The control rate of bleeding (≤5 days) was 100%. The rates of early (>5 days to 6 weeks) and late (>6 weeks to 2 years) rebleeding were 6.6% and 1.3%, respectively. The 6-week, 1-year, and 2-year transplantation-free survival rates were 94.7%, 93.4%, and 84.6%, respectively. The incidences of acute liver failure, hepatic encephalopathy, and shunt dysfunction were 5.3%, 25%, and 5.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Emergent TIPS as a first-line therapy in patients with advanced cirrhosis with acute variceal hemorrhage is safe and effective. This study provides an alternative approach for medical centers without emergent endoscopy facility to manage the condition.

Liver and spleen stiffness for the diagnosis of oesophageal varices in adults with chronic liver disease

This is a protocol for a Cochrane Review (diagnostic). The objectives are as follows:

To assess the diagnostic accuracy of liver stiffness and spleen stiffness, separately or in combination, as measured by vibration‐controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in detection of any oesophageal varices in adults with chronic liver disease. We will regard a combination of tests as positive when at least one is positive.

To compare the diagnostic accuracy of individual tests (liver stiffness and spleen stiffness measured by VCTE) directly and versus the combination of both tests (considering positive when at least one is positive) in detecting any oesophageal varices.

To assess the diagnostic accuracy of liver stiffness and spleen stiffness, separately or in combination, as measured by other elastography techniques (2D‐shear wave elastography (2D‐SWE), point shear wave elastography (pSWE), magnetic resonance elastography (MRE)) in detection of any oesophageal varices in adults with chronic liver disease. We will regard a combination of tests as positive when at least one is positive.

To compare the diagnostic accuracy of liver stiffness and spleen stiffness measured by VCTE with other techniques (pSWE, 2D‐SWE, MRE) in detection of any oesophageal varices in adults with chronic liver disease.

Comparison of screening strategies with two new tests to score and diagnose varices needing treatment

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to improve non-invasive screening of varices needing treatment (VNT) and compare different screening strategies.

METHODS

2,290 patients with chronic liver disease were included in a retrospective study. Etiologies were: virus: 50.0%, NAFLD: 29.5%, alcohol: 20.5%, VNT: 14.9%. Test descriptors were performance (spared endoscopy) and safety (missed VNT). VNT tests were evaluated according to their safety levels either for individual screening (95% negative predictive value (NPV)), population screening (95% sensitivity) or undifferentiated screening (100% sensitivity/NPV) without missed VNT. The tests provided three categories: missed VNT <5%, VNT 100% specificity (new category), both sparing endoscopies, and intermediate (endoscopy required).

RESULTS

Independent VNT predictors (etiology, sex, age, platelets, prothrombin index, albumin, ALT, liver stiffness) were included in two tests: VNT virus alcohol NAFLD test (VANT) and varice risk score (VARS). We report results of the whole population. Considering population screening, performances were, Baveno VI criteria: 24.1%, Anticipate: 24.7%, VariScreen: 35.3%, VANT: 40.2% (p<0.001 vs other tests). VANT spared 58.0% more endoscopies in the whole population than Baveno criteria in compensated advanced chronic liver diseases. Considering individual screening, VARS performance was, in all patients: 62.0% vs 42.9% for the expanded Baveno VI criteria (p<0.001), and, in NAFLD: 72.8% vs 65.1% for the NAFLD cirrhosis criteria (p<0.001). Considering undifferentiated screening, VARS performance was 12%. The VARS score estimated VNT probability from 0 to 100% (AUROC: 0.826).

CONCLUSION

VANT and VARS spared from 12% (undifferentiated screening) to 40% (population screening) or 62% (individual screening) of endoscopies in main-etiology patients without ascites.

Identifying predictors of varices grading in patients with cirrhosis using ensemble learning

Objectives

The present study was conducted to improve the performance of predictive methods by introducing the most important factors which have the highest effects on the prediction of esophageal varices (EV) grades among patients with cirrhosis.

Methods

In the present study, the ensemble learning methods, including Catboost and XGB classifier, were used to choose the most potent predictors of EV grades solely based on routine laboratory and clinical data, a dataset of 490 patients with cirrhosis gathered. To increase the validity of the results, a five-fold cross-validation method was applied. The model was conducted using python language, Anaconda open-source platform. TRIPOD checklist for prediction model development was completed.

Results

The Catboost model predicted all the targets correctly with 100% precision. However, the XGB classifier had the best performance for predicting grades 0 and 1, and totally the accuracy was 91.02%. The most significant variables, according to the best performing model, which was CatBoost, were child score, white blood cell (WBC), vitalism K (K), and international normalized ratio (INR).

Conclusions

Using machine learning models, especially ensemble learning models, can remarkably increase the prediction performance. The models allow practitioners to predict EV risk at any clinical visit and decrease unneeded esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) and consequently reduce morbidity, mortality, and cost of the long-term follow-ups for patients with cirrhosis.

HepQuant SHUNT Detects Portal Hypertension in Early Stages of Clinically Compensated Chronic Liver Disease

Physicians use portal pressure measurements in clinical practice and research but the methods are invasive, can cause complications, and are resource intensive.^1-3 Herein we describe preliminary findings of the minimally invasive HepQuant-SHUNT test in the diagnosis of portal hypertension in precirrhotic and compensated cirrhotic patients.

Association of the Modified ALBI Grade With Endoscopic Findings of Gastroesophageal Varices

BACKGROUND/AIM

This study aimed to assess the association of the modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade with the endoscopic findings of gastroesophageal varices (GEVs).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 141 patients with histologically proven cirrhosis who underwent a liver biopsy and esophagogastroduodenoscopy were enrolled. The relationships between the mALBI grade and endoscopic findings were evaluated.

RESULTS

The incidence of GEVs and high-risk GEVs differed among mALBI grades. Patients with mALBI grades of 2b-3 had higher rates of GEVs and high-risk GEVs in comparison to those with mALBI grades of 1-2a (p<0.0001). In addition, patients with mALBI grade 2b or grade 3, but not those with mALBI grade 2a, had significantly higher rates of complicated GEVs and high-risk GEVs in comparison to those with mALBI grade 1.

CONCLUSION

The mALBI grade may be useful in predicting the presence of GEVs and for stratifying their bleeding risk.

Non-invasive Predictors of Esophageal Varices With a High Risk of Bleeding in Pediatric Cirrhotic Patients

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate non-invasive predictive factors of varices with a high risk of bleeding in pediatric cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

This retrospective, cross-sectional study included data from 158 children with cirrhosis, median age of 5.38 years (interquartile [IQ] 2.08-11.52 years), and no history of upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Patients underwent an endoscopy to screen for esophageal varices. Varices with a high risk of bleeding were defined as those with a medium to large caliber, presence of red spots, or the presence of gastric varices and identified as high-risk varices (HRV). Laboratory and clinical factors were evaluated as possible predictors of HRV.

RESULTS

HRV were detected in 30 children (19%) after the first endoscopy. In the multivariate analysis, only the risk score (RS), as described by Park et al, and the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRi) were predictive of HRV. The best non-invasive predictor of HRV was the RS with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.764. When used a cut-off point of -1.2, the sensitivity of the RS was 90% and specificity was 53%. The use of RS or APRi correctly identified 96% of children with HRV.

CONCLUSIONS

The described predictors allow the correct identification of patients with HRV. The association of RS >-1.2 or APRi >1.4 has a good sensitivity to identify HRV and to prevent unnecessary endoscopy in about one-third of children with no HRV.

Including Ratio of Platelets to Liver Stiffness Improves Accuracy of Screening for Esophageal Varices That Require Treatment

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Based on platelets and liver stiffness measurements, the Baveno VI criteria (B6C), the expanded B6C (EB6C), and the ANTICIPATE score can be used to rule out varices needing treatment (VNT) in patients with compensated chronic liver disease. We aimed to improve these tests by including data on the ratio of platelets to liver stiffness.

METHODS

In a retrospective analysis of data from 10 study populations, collected from 2004 through 2018, we randomly assigned data from 2368 patients with chronic liver disease of different etiologies to a derivation population (n = 1579; 15.1% with VNT, 50.2% with viral hepatitis, 28.9% with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, 20.8% with alcohol-associated liver disease, with model for end-stage liver disease scores of 9.5 ± 3.0, and 93.0% with liver stiffness measurements ≥10 kPa) or a validation population (n = 789). Test results were compared with results from a sequential algorithm (VariScreen). VariScreen incorporated data on platelets or liver stiffness measurements and then the ratio of platelets to liver stiffness measurement, adjusted for etiology, patient sex, and international normalized ratio.

RESULTS

In the derivation population, endoscopies were spared for 23.9% of patients using the B6C (VNT missed in 2.9%), 24.3% of patients using the ANTICIPATE score (VNT missed in 4.6%), 34.5% of patients using VariScreen (VNT missed in 2.9%), and 41.9% of patients using the EB6C (VNT missed in 10.9%). Differences in spared endoscopy rates were significant (P ≤ .001), except for B6C vs ANTICIPATE and in missed VNT only for EB6C vs the others (P ≤ .009). VariScreen was the only safe test regardless of sex or etiology (missed VNT ≤5%). Moreover, VariScreen secured screening without missed VNT in patients with model for end-stage liver disease scores higher than 10. This overall strategy performed better than a selective strategy restricted to patients with compensated liver disease. Test performance and safety did not differ significantly among populations.

CONCLUSIONS

In a retrospective study of data from 2368 patients with chronic liver disease, we found that the B6C are safe whereas the EB6C are unsafe, based on missed VNT. The VariScreen algorithm performed well in patients with chronic liver disease of any etiology or severity. It is the only test that safely rules out VNT and can be used in clinical practice.

Computed tomography vs liver stiffness measurement and magnetic resonance imaging in evaluating esophageal varices in cirrhotic patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Computed tomography (CT), liver stiffness measurement (LSM), and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are non-invasive diagnostic methods for esophageal varices (EV) and for the prediction of high-bleeding-risk EV (HREV) in cirrhotic patients. However, the clinical use of these methods is controversial.

AIM

To evaluate the accuracy of LSM, CT, and MRI in diagnosing EV and predicting HREV in cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

We performed literature searches in multiple databases, including PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, CNKI, and Wanfang databases, for articles that evaluated the accuracy of LSM, CT, and MRI as candidates for the diagnosis of EV and prediction of HREV in cirrhotic patients. Summary sensitivity and specificity, positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio, diagnostic odds ratio, and the areas under the summary receiver operating characteristic curves were analyzed. The quality of the articles was assessed using the quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies-2 tool. Heterogeneity was examined by Q-statistic test and I² index, and sources of heterogeneity were explored using meta-regression and subgroup analysis. Publication bias was evaluated using Deek’s funnel plot. All statistical analyses were conducted using Stata12.0, MetaDisc1.4, and RevMan5.3.

RESULTS

Overall, 18, 17, and 7 relevant articles on the accuracy of LSM, CT, and MRI in evaluating EV and HREV were retrieved. A significant heterogeneity was observed in all analyses (P < 0.05). The areas under the summary receiver operating characteristic curves of LSM, CT, and MRI in diagnosing EV and predicting HREV were 0.86 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83-0.89), 0.91 (95%CI: 0.88-0.93), and 0.86 (95%CI: 0.83-0.89), and 0.85 (95%CI: 0.81-0.88), 0.94 (95%CI: 0.91-0.96), and 0.83 (95%CI: 0.79-0.86), respectively, with sensitivities of 0.84 (95%CI: 0.78-0.89), 0.91 (95%CI: 0.87-0.94), and 0.81 (95%CI: 0.76-0.86), and 0.81 (95%CI: 0.75-0.86), 0.88 (95%CI: 0.82-0.92), and 0.80 (95%CI: 0.72-0.86), and specificities of 0.71 (95%CI: 0.60-0.80), 0.75 (95%CI: 0.68-0.82), and 0.82 (95%CI: 0.70-0.89), and 0.73 (95%CI: 0.66-0.80), 0.87 (95%CI: 0.81-0.92), and 0.72 (95%CI: 0.62-0.80), respectively. The corresponding positive likelihood ratios were 2.91, 3.67, and 4.44, and 3.04, 6.90, and2.83; the negative likelihood ratios were 0.22, 0.12, and 0.23, and 0.26, 0.14, and 0.28; the diagnostic odds ratios were 13.01, 30.98, and 19.58, and 11.93, 49.99, and 10.00. CT scanner is the source of heterogeneity. There was no significant difference in diagnostic threshold effects (P > 0.05) or publication bias (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Based on the meta-analysis of observational studies, it is suggested that CT imaging, a non-invasive diagnostic method, is the best choice for the diagnosis of EV and prediction of HREV in cirrhotic patients compared with LSM and MRI.

Contrast-Enhanced CT May Be a Diagnostic Alternative for Gastroesophageal Varices in Cirrhosis with and without Previous Endoscopic Variceal Therapy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Liver fibrosis blood tests, platelet count/spleen diameter ratio (PSR), and contrast-enhanced CT are diagnostic alternatives for gastroesophageal varices, but they have heterogeneous diagnostic performance among different study populations. Our study is aimed at evaluating their diagnostic accuracy for esophageal varices (EVs) and gastric varices (GVs) in cirrhotic patients with and without previous endoscopic variceal therapy.

METHODS

Patients with liver cirrhosis who underwent blood tests and contrast-enhanced CT scans as well as endoscopic surveillance should be potentially eligible. EVs needing treatment (EVNTs) and GVs needing treatment (GVNTs) were recorded according to the endoscopic results. Area under the curves (AUCs) were calculated.

RESULTS

Overall, 279 patients were included. In 175 patients without previous endoscopic variceal therapy, including primary prophylaxis population (n = 70), acute bleeding population (n = 38), and previous bleeding population (n = 67), the diagnostic accuracy of contrast-enhanced CT for EVNTs was higher (AUCs = 0.816-0.876) as compared to blood tests and PSR; by comparison, the diagnostic accuracy of contrast-enhanced CT for GVNTs was statistically significant among primary prophylaxis population (AUC = 0.731, P = 0.0316), but not acute or previous bleeding population. In 104 patients with previous endoscopic variceal therapy (i.e., secondary prophylaxis population), contrast-enhanced CT was the only statistically significant alternative for diagnosing EVNTs and GVNTs but with modest accuracy (AUCs = 0.673 and 0.661, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Contrast-enhanced CT might be a diagnostic alternative for EVNTs in cirrhotic patients, but its diagnostic performance was slightly weakened in secondary prophylaxis population. Additionally, contrast-enhanced CT may be considered for diagnosis of GVNTs in primary prophylaxis population without previous endoscopic variceal therapy and secondary prophylaxis population.

A Novel FibroScan Examination Dedicated to Spleen Stiffness Measurement

Esophageal varices (EVs) are among the most severe complications of cirrhosis, with a prevalence of 50% to 60% among cirrhotic patients. International guidelines therefore recommend that cirrhotic patients should be screened for the presence of EVs. The main objective of this study was to introduce a new spleen-dedicated FibroScan (Echosens, Paris, France) examination and to assess its performance in detecting large EVs (grade 2 and 3). This novel examination has been validated in simulation and phantom studies and has been used in a population of patients with chronic liver disease. The study described here suggests that the novel spleen-dedicated FibroScan examination performs better than the standard FibroScan for the detection of large EVs (area under the curve = 0.70 for the standard examination and 0.79 [p <0.01] for the spleen examination), but further clinical studies are needed to investigate the role of spleen stiffness in the management of cirrhotic patients.