Lung cancer prediction using multi-gene genetic programming by selecting automatic features from amino acid sequences

Predicting the risk of lung cancer using machine learning: A large study based on UK Biobank

In response to the high incidence and poor prognosis of lung cancer, this study tends to develop a generalizable lung-cancer prediction model by using machine learning to define high-risk groups and realize the early identification and prevention of lung cancer. We included 467,888 participants from UK Biobank, using lung cancer incidence as an outcome variable, including 49 previously known high-risk factors and less studied or unstudied predictors. We developed multivariate prediction models using multiple machine learning models, namely logistic regression, naïve Bayes, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting models. The performance of the models was evaluated by calculating the areas under their receiver operating characteristic curves, Brier loss, log loss, precision, recall, and F1 scores. The Shapley additive explanations interpreter was used to visualize the models. Three were ultimately 4299 cases of lung cancer that were diagnosed in our sample. The model containing all the predictors had good predictive power, and the extreme gradient boosting model had the best performance with an area under curve of 0.998. New important predictive factors for lung cancer were also identified, namely hip circumference, waist circumference, number of cigarettes previously smoked daily, neuroticism score, age, and forced expiratory volume in 1 second. The predictive model established by incorporating novel predictive factors can be of value in the early identification of lung cancer. It may be helpful in stratifying individuals and selecting those at higher risk for inclusion in screening programs.

Response score-based protein structure analysis for cancer prediction aided by the Internet of Things

Medical diagnosis through prediction and analysis is par excellence in integrating modern technologies such as the Internet of Things (IoT). With the aid of such technologies, clinical assessments are eased with protracted computing. Specifically, cancer research through structure prediction and analysis is improved through human and machine interventions sustaining precision improvements. This article, therefore, introduces a Protein Structure Prediction Technique based on Three-Dimensional Sequence. This sequence is modeled using amino acids and their folds observed during the pre-initial cancer stages. The observed sequences and the inflammatory response score of the structure are used to predict the impact of cancer. In this process, ensemble learning is used to identify sequence and folding responses to improve inflammations. This score is correlated with the clinical data for structures and their folds independently for determining the structure changes. Such changes through different sequences are handled using repeated ensemble learning for matching and unmatching response scores. The introduced idea integrated with deep ensemble learning and IoT combination, notably employing stacking method for enhanced cancer prediction precision and interdisciplinary collaboration. The proposed technique improves prediction precision, data correlation, and change detection by 11.83%, 8.48%, and 13.23%, respectively. This technique reduces correlation time and complexity by 10.43% and 12.33%, respectively.

Application of multi-gene genetic programming to the prognosis prediction of COVID-19 using routine hematological variables

Identifying patients who may develop severe COVID-19 has been of interest to clinical physicians since it facilitates personalized treatment and optimizes the allocation of medical resources. In this study, multi-gene genetic programming (MGGP), as an advanced artificial intelligence (AI) tool, was used to determine the importance of laboratory predictors in the prognosis of COVID-19 patients. The present retrospective study was conducted on 1455 patients with COVID-19 (727 males and 728 females), who were admitted to Allameh Behlool Gonabadi Hospital, Gonabad, Iran in 2020-2021. For each patient, the demographic characteristics, common laboratory tests at the time of admission, duration of hospitalization, admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), and mortality were collected through the electronic information system of the hospital. Then, the data were normalized and randomly divided into training and test data. Furthermore, mathematical prediction models were developed by MGGP for each gender. Finally, a sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the significance of input parameters on the COVID-19 prognosis. Based on the achieved results, MGGP is able to predict the mortality of COVID-19 patients with an accuracy of 60-92%, the duration of hospital stay with an accuracy of 53-65%, and admission to the ICU with an accuracy of 76-91%, using common hematological tests at the time of admission. Also, sensitivity analysis indicated that blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) play key roles in the prognosis of COVID-19 patients. AI techniques, such as MGGP, can be used in the triage and prognosis prediction of COVID-19 patients. In addition, due to the sensitivity of BUN and AST in the estimation models, further studies on the role of the mentioned parameters in the pathophysiology of COVID-19 are recommended.

A Genetic Programming Approach for Economic Forecasting with Survey Expectations

We apply a soft computing method to generate country-specific economic sentiment indicators that provide estimates of year-on-year GDP growth rates for 19 European economies. First, genetic programming is used to evolve business and consumer economic expectations to derive sentiment indicators for each country. To assess the performance of the proposed indicators, we first design a nowcasting experiment in which we recursively generate estimates of GDP at the end of each quarter, using the latest business and consumer survey data available. Second, we design a forecasting exercise in which we iteratively re-compute the sentiment indicators in each out-of-sample period. When evaluating the accuracy of the predictions obtained for different forecast horizons, we find that the evolved sentiment indicators outperform the time-series models used as a benchmark. These results show the potential of the proposed approach for prediction purposes.