In Silico Approaches In Carcinogenicity Hazard Assessment: Current Status and Future Needs

The database makes the poison: How the selection of datasets in QSAR models impacts toxicant prediction of higher tier endpoints

As the United States and the European Union continue their steady march towards the acceptance of new approach methodologies (NAMs), we need to ensure that the available tools are fit for purpose. Critics will be well-positioned to caution against NAMs acceptance and adoption if the tools turn out to be inadequate. In this paper, we focus on Quantitative Structure Activity-Relationship (QSAR) models and highlight how the training database affects quality and performance of these models. Our analysis goes to the point of asking, "are the endpoints extracted from the experimental studies in the database trustworthy, or are they false negatives/positives themselves?" We also discuss the impacts of chemistry on QSAR models, including issues with 2-D structure analyses when dealing with isomers, metabolism, and toxicokinetics. We close our analysis with a discussion of challenges associated with translational toxicology, specifically the lack of adverse outcome pathways/adverse outcome pathway networks (AOPs/AOPNs) for many higher tier endpoints. We recognize that it takes a collaborate effort to build better and higher quality QSAR models especially for higher tier toxicological endpoints. Hence, it is critical to bring toxicologists, statisticians, and machine learning specialists together to discuss and solve these challenges to get relevant predictions.

Recent progress in machine learning approaches for predicting carcinogenicity in drug development

INTRODUCTION

This review explores the transformative impact of machine learning (ML) on carcinogenicity prediction within drug development. It discusses the historical context and recent advancements, emphasizing the significance of ML methodologies in overcoming challenges related to data interpretation, ethical considerations, and regulatory acceptance.

AREAS COVERED

The review comprehensively examines the integration of ML, deep learning, and diverse artificial intelligence (AI) approaches in various aspects of drug development safety assessments. It explores applications ranging from early-phase compound screening to clinical trial optimization, highlighting the versatility of ML in enhancing predictive accuracy and efficiency.

EXPERT OPINION

Through the analysis of traditional approaches such as in vivo rodent bioassays and in vitro assays, the review underscores the limitations and resource intensity associated with these methods. It provides expert insights into how ML offers innovative solutions to address these challenges, revolutionizing safety assessments in drug development.

ICH S1 prospective evaluation study and weight of evidence assessments: commentary from industry representatives

Industry representatives on the ICH S1B(R1) Expert Working Group (EWG) worked closely with colleagues from the Drug Regulatory Authorities to develop an addendum to the ICH S1B guideline on carcinogenicity studies that allows for a weight-of-evidence (WoE) carcinogenicity assessment in some cases, rather than conducting a 2-year rat carcinogenicity study. A subgroup of the EWG composed of regulators have published in this issue a detailed analysis of the Prospective Evaluation Study (PES) conducted under the auspices of the ICH S1B(R1) EWG. Based on the experience gained through the Prospective Evaluation Study (PES) process, industry members of the EWG have prepared the following commentary to aid sponsors in assessing the standard WoE factors, considering how novel investigative approaches may be used to support a WoE assessment, and preparing appropriate documentation of the WoE assessment for presentation to regulatory authorities. The commentary also reviews some of the implementation challenges sponsors must consider in developing a carcinogenicity assessment strategy. Finally, case examples drawn from previously marketed products are provided as a supplement to this commentary to provide additional examples of how WoE criteria may be applied. The information and opinions expressed in this commentary are aimed at increasing the quality of WoE assessments to ensure the successful implementation of this approach.

New Theobromine Apoptotic Analogue with Anticancer Potential Targeting the EGFR Protein: Computational and In Vitro Studies

AIM

The aim of this study was to design and examine a novel epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) inhibitor with apoptotic properties by utilizing the essential structural characteristics of existing EGFR inhibitors as a foundation.

METHOD

The study began with the natural alkaloid theobromine and developed a new semisynthetic derivative (T-1-PMPA). Computational ADMET assessments were conducted first to evaluate its anticipated safety and general drug-likeness. Deep density functional theory (DFT) computations were initially performed to validate the three-dimensional (3D) structure and reactivity of T-1-PMPA. Molecular docking against the EGFR proteins was conducted to investigate T-1-PMPA's binding affinity and inhibitory potential. Additional molecular dynamics (MD) simulations over 200 ns along with MM-GPSA, PLIP, and principal component analysis of trajectories (PCAT) experiments were employed to verify the binding and inhibitory properties of T-1-PMPA. Afterward, T-1-PMPA was semisynthesized to validate the proposed design and in silico findings through several in vitro examinations.

RESULTS

DFT studies indicated T-1-PMPA's reactivity using electrostatic potential, global reactive indices, and total density of states. Molecular docking, MD simulations, MM-GPSA, PLIP, and ED suggested the binding and inhibitory properties of T-1-PMPA against the EGFR protein. The in silico ADMET predicted T-1-PMPA's safety and general drug-likeness. In vitro experiments demonstrated that T-1-PMPA effectively inhibited EGFRWT and EGFR790m, with IC50 values of 86 and 561 nM, respectively, compared to Erlotinib (31 and 456 nM). T-1-PMPA also showed significant suppression of the proliferation of HepG2 and MCF7 malignant cell lines, with IC50 values of 3.51 and 4.13 μM, respectively. The selectivity indices against the two cancer cell lines indicated the overall safety of T-1-PMPA. Flow cytometry confirmed the apoptotic effects of T-1-PMPA by increasing the total percentage of apoptosis to 42% compared to 31, and 3% in Erlotinib-treated and control cells, respectively. The qRT-PCR analysis further supported the apoptotic effects by revealing significant increases in the levels of Casp3 and Casp9. Additionally, T-1-PMPA controlled the levels of TNFα and IL2 by 74 and 50%, comparing Erlotinib's values (84 and 74%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, our study's findings suggest the potential of T-1-PMPA as a promising apoptotic anticancer lead compound targeting the EGFR.

Developing a pragmatic consensus procedure supporting the ICH S1B(R1) weight of evidence carcinogenicity assessment

The ICH S1B carcinogenicity global testing guideline has been recently revised with a novel addendum that describes a comprehensive integrated Weight of Evidence (WoE) approach to determine the need for a 2-year rat carcinogenicity study. In the present work, experts from different organizations have joined efforts to standardize as much as possible a procedural framework for the integration of evidence associated with the different ICH S1B(R1) WoE criteria. The framework uses a pragmatic consensus procedure for carcinogenicity hazard assessment to facilitate transparent, consistent, and documented decision-making and it discusses best-practices both for the organization of studies and presentation of data in a format suitable for regulatory review. First, it is acknowledged that the six WoE factors described in the addendum form an integrated network of evidence within a holistic assessment framework that is used synergistically to analyze and explain safety signals. Second, the proposed standardized procedure builds upon different considerations related to the primary sources of evidence, mechanistic analysis, alternative methodologies and novel investigative approaches, metabolites, and reliability of the data and other acquired information. Each of the six WoE factors is described highlighting how they can contribute evidence for the overall WoE assessment. A suggested reporting format to summarize the cross-integration of evidence from the different WoE factors is also presented. This work also notes that even if a 2-year rat study is ultimately required, creating a WoE assessment is valuable in understanding the specific factors and levels of human carcinogenic risk better than have been identified previously with the 2-year rat bioassay alone.

In silico approaches in carcinogenicity hazard assessment: case study of pregabalin, a nongenotoxic mouse carcinogen

In silico toxicology protocols are meant to support computationally-based assessments using principles that ensure that results can be generated, recorded, communicated, archived, and then evaluated in a uniform, consistent, and reproducible manner. We investigated the availability of in silico models to predict the carcinogenic potential of pregabalin using the ten key characteristics of carcinogens as a framework for organizing mechanistic studies. Pregabalin is a single-species carcinogen producing only one type of tumor, hemangiosarcomas in mice via a nongenotoxic mechanism. The overall goal of this exercise is to test the ability of in silico models to predict nongenotoxic carcinogenicity with pregabalin as a case study. The established mode of action (MOA) of pregabalin is triggered by tissue hypoxia, leading to oxidative stress (KC5), chronic inflammation (KC6), and increased cell proliferation (KC10) of endothelial cells. Of these KCs, in silico models are available only for selected endpoints in KC5, limiting the usefulness of computational tools in prediction of pregabalin carcinogenicity. KC1 (electrophilicity), KC2 (genotoxicity), and KC8 (receptor-mediated effects), for which predictive in silico models exist, do not play a role in this mode of action. Confidence in the overall assessments is considered to be medium to high for KCs 1, 2, 5, 6, 7 (immune system effects), 8, and 10 (cell proliferation), largely due to the high-quality experimental data. In order to move away from dependence on animal data, development of reliable in silico models for prediction of oxidative stress, chronic inflammation, immunosuppression, and cell proliferation will be critical for the ability to predict nongenotoxic compound carcinogenicity.

Anti-breast cancer potential of a new xanthine derivative: In silico, antiproliferative, selectivity, VEGFR-2 inhibition, apoptosis induction and migration inhibition studies

BACKGROUND

The overexpression of VEGFR-2 receptors in breast cancer provides a valuable approach to anticancer strategies. Targeting VEGFR-2, a new semisynthetic compound (T-1-MCPAB) has been designed.

METHODS

Computational methods (ADMET, toxicity, DFT, Molecular Docking, Molecular Dynamics Simulations, MM-GBSA, PLIP, and PCAT) were conducted. In addition to the semi-synthesis, in vitro studies (anti-VEGFR-2, anti-proliferative, flow cytometry, and wound scratch assay) were employed.

RESULTS

ADME and toxicity profiles of T-1-MCPAB studies indicated its overall drug-likeness showing results much better than Sorafenib. Then, T-1-MCPAB's exact 3D structure, stability, and reactivity were evoked by the DFT calculations. Molecular docking, molecular dynamics simulations, MM-GPSA, PLIP, and PCAT studies denoted the correct binding and inhibiting potential of T-1-MCPAB, towards VEGFR-2 protein. After the semisynthesis, T-1-MCPAB inhibited VEGFR-2 with an IC50 of 0.135 µM, which was comparable to sorafenib's IC50 of 0.0591 µM. T-1-MCPAB also showed a notable performance against MCF7 and T47D breast cancer cell lines with IC50 values of 30.95 µM and 63.64 µM, respectively, and had high selectivity index values of 3.7 and 1.8, respectively. Furthermore, T-1-MCPAB influenced early and late apoptosis and significantly decreased the potential of MCF7 cells to heal and migrate.

CONCLUSION

T-1-MCPAB is a promising VEGFR-2 inhibitor with potential for breast cancer treatment. Further chemical and biological studies are needed to explore its potential as a therapeutic agent.

Prediction of Small-Molecule Developability Using Large-Scale In Silico ADMET Models

Early in silico assessment of the potential of a series of compounds to deliver a drug is one of the major challenges in computer-assisted drug design. The goal is to identify the right chemical series of compounds out of a large chemical space to then subsequently prioritize the molecules with the highest potential to become a drug. Although multiple approaches to assess compounds have been developed over decades, the quality of these predictors is often not good enough and compounds that agree with the respective estimates are not necessarily druglike. Here, we report a novel deep learning approach that leverages large-scale predictions of ∼100 ADMET assays to assess the potential of a compound to become a relevant drug candidate. The resulting score, which we termed bPK score, substantially outperforms previous approaches and showed strong discriminative performance on data sets where previous approaches did not.

Advancing chemical carcinogenicity prediction modeling: opportunities and challenges

Carcinogenicity assessment of any compound is a laborious and expensive exercise with several associated ethical and practical concerns. While artificial intelligence (AI) offers promising solutions, unfortunately, it is contingent on several challenges concerning the inadequacy of available experimentally validated (non)carcinogen datasets and variabilities within bioassays, which contribute to the compromised model training. Existing AI solutions that leverage classical chemistry-driven descriptors do not provide adequate biological interpretability involved in imparting carcinogenicity. This highlights the urgency to devise alternative AI strategies. We propose multiple strategies, including implementing data-driven (integrated databases) and known carcinogen-characteristic-derived features to overcome these apparent shortcomings. In summary, these next-generation approaches will continue facilitating robust chemical carcinogenicity prediction, concomitant with deeper mechanistic insights.

Artificial Intelligence in Drug Toxicity Prediction: Recent Advances, Challenges, and Future Perspectives

Toxicity prediction is a critical step in the drug discovery process that helps identify and prioritize compounds with the greatest potential for safe and effective use in humans, while also reducing the risk of costly late-stage failures. It is estimated that over 30% of drug candidates are discarded owing to toxicity. Recently, artificial intelligence (AI) has been used to improve drug toxicity prediction as it provides more accurate and efficient methods for identifying the potentially toxic effects of new compounds before they are tested in human clinical trials, thus saving time and money. In this review, we present an overview of recent advances in AI-based drug toxicity prediction, including the use of various machine learning algorithms and deep learning architectures, of six major toxicity properties and Tox21 assay end points. Additionally, we provide a list of public data sources and useful toxicity prediction tools for the research community and highlight the challenges that must be addressed to enhance model performance. Finally, we discuss future perspectives for AI-based drug toxicity prediction. This review can aid researchers in understanding toxicity prediction and pave the way for new methods of drug discovery.

Prioritization of mycotoxins based on mutagenicity and carcinogenicity evaluation using combined in silico QSAR methods

Mycotoxins and their metabolites are a family of compounds that contains a great diversity of both structure and biological properties. Information on their toxicity is spread within several databases and in scientific literature. Due to the number of molecules and their structure diversity, the cost and time required for hazard evaluation of each compound is unrealistic. In that purpose, new approach methodologies (NAMs) can be applied to evaluate such large set of molecules. Among them, quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) in silico models could be useful to predict the mutagenic and carcinogenic properties of mycotoxins. First, a complete list of 904 mycotoxins and metabolites was built. Then, some known mycotoxins were used to determine the best QSAR tools for mutagenicity and carcinogenicity predictions. The best tool was further applied to the whole list of 904 mycotoxins. At the end, 95 mycotoxins were identified as both mutagen and carcinogen and should be prioritized for further evaluation.

Towards achieving a modern science-based paradigm for agrochemical carcinogenicity assessment

The rodent cancer bioassay has been the standard approach to fulfill regulatory requirements for assessing human carcinogenic potential of agrochemicals, food additives, industrial chemicals, and pharmaceuticals. Decades of research have described the limitations of the rodent cancer bioassay leading to international initiatives to seek alternatives and establish approaches that modernize carcinogenicity assessment. Biologically relevant approaches can provide mechanistic information and increased efficiency for evaluating hazard and risk of chemical carcinogenicity to humans. The application of human-relevant mechanistic understanding to support new approaches to carcinogenicity assessment will be invaluable for regulatory decision-making. The present work outlines the challenges and opportunities that authorities should consider as they come together to build a roadmap that leads to global acceptance and incorporation of fit-for-purpose, scientifically defensible new approaches for human-relevant carcinogenicity assessment of agrochemicals.

Principles and Procedures for Assessment of Acute Toxicity Incorporating In Silico Methods

Acute toxicity in silico models are being used to support an increasing number of application areas including (1) product research and development, (2) product approval and registration as well as (3) the transport, storage and handling of chemicals. The adoption of such models is being hindered, in part, because of a lack of guidance describing how to perform and document an in silico analysis. To address this issue, a framework for an acute toxicity hazard assessment is proposed. This framework combines results from different sources including in silico methods and in vitro or in vivo experiments. In silico methods that can assist the prediction of in vivo outcomes (i.e., LD50) are analyzed concluding that predictions obtained using in silico approaches are now well-suited for reliably supporting assessment of LD50-based acute toxicity for the purpose of GHS classification. A general overview is provided of the endpoints from in vitro studies commonly evaluated for predicting acute toxicity (e.g., cytotoxicity/cytolethality as well as assays targeting specific mechanisms). The increased understanding of pathways and key triggering mechanisms underlying toxicity and the increased availability of in vitro data allow for a shift away from assessments solely based on endpoints such as LD50, to mechanism-based endpoints that can be accurately assessed in vitro or by using in silico prediction models. This paper also highlights the importance of an expert review of all available information using weight-of-evidence considerations and illustrates, using a series of diverse practical use cases, how in silico approaches support the assessment of acute toxicity.

A new approach to the classification of carcinogenicity

Concern over substances that may cause cancer has led to various classification schemes to recognize carcinogenic threats and provide a basis to manage those threats. The least useful schemes have a binary choice that declares a substance carcinogenic or not. This overly simplistic approach ignores the complexity of cancer causation by considering neither how the substance causes cancer, nor the potency of that mode of action. Consequently, substances are classified simply as "carcinogenic", compromising the opportunity to properly manage these kinds of substances. It will likely be very difficult, if not impossible, to incorporate New Approach Methodologies (NAMs) into binary schemes. In this paper we propose a new approach cancer classification scheme that segregates substances by both mode of action and potency into three categories and, as a consequence, provides useful guidance in the regulation and management of substances with carcinogenic potential. Examples are given, including aflatoxin (category A), trichlorethylene (category B), and titanium dioxide (category C), which demonstrate the clear differentiation among these substances that generate appropriate levels of concern and management options.

Current status and future directions for a neurotoxicity hazard assessment framework that integrates in silico approaches

Neurotoxicology is the study of adverse effects on the structure or function of the developing or mature adult nervous system following exposure to chemical, biological, or physical agents. The development of more informative alternative methods to assess developmental (DNT) and adult (NT) neurotoxicity induced by xenobiotics is critically needed. The use of such alternative methods including in silico approaches that predict DNT or NT from chemical structure (e.g., statistical-based and expert rule-based systems) is ideally based on a comprehensive understanding of the relevant biological mechanisms. This paper discusses known mechanisms alongside the current state of the art in DNT/NT testing. In silico approaches available today that support the assessment of neurotoxicity based on knowledge of chemical structure are reviewed, and a conceptual framework for the integration of in silico methods with experimental information is presented. Establishing this framework is essential for the development of protocols, namely standardized approaches, to ensure that assessments of NT and DNT based on chemical structures are generated in a transparent, consistent, and defendable manner.

A machine learning-driven approach for prioritizing food contact chemicals of carcinogenic concern based on complementary in silico methods

Carcinogenicity is one of the most critical endpoints for the risk assessment of food contact chemicals (FCCs). However, the carcinogenicity of FCCs remains insufficiently investigated. To fill the data gap, the application of standard experimental methods for identifying chemicals of carcinogenic concerns from a large set of FCCs is impractical due to their resource-intensive nature. In contrast, computational methods provide an efficient way to quickly screen chemicals with carcinogenic potential for subsequent experimental validation. Since every model was developed based on a limited number of training samples, the use of single models for carcinogenicity assessment may not cover the complex mechanisms of carcinogenesis. This study proposed a novel machine learning-based weight-of-evidence (WoE) model for prioritizing chemical carcinogenesis. The WoE model can nonlinearly integrate complementary computational methods of structural alerts, quantitative structure-activity relationship models and in silico toxicogenomics models into a WoE-score. Compared to the best single method, the WoE model gained 8% and 19.7% improvement in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) value and chemical coverage, respectively. The prioritization of 1623 FCCs concludes 44 chemicals of high carcinogenic concern. The machine learning-based WoE approach provides a fast and comprehensive way for prioritizing chemicals of carcinogenic concern.

In silico approaches in organ toxicity hazard assessment: current status and future needs in predicting liver toxicity

Hepatotoxicity is one of the most frequently observed adverse effects resulting from exposure to a xenobiotic. For example, in pharmaceutical research and development it is one of the major reasons for drug withdrawals, clinical failures, and discontinuation of drug candidates. The development of faster and cheaper methods to assess hepatotoxicity that are both more sustainable and more informative is critically needed. The biological mechanisms and processes underpinning hepatotoxicity are summarized and experimental approaches to support the prediction of hepatotoxicity are described, including toxicokinetic considerations. The paper describes the increasingly important role of in silico approaches and highlights challenges to the adoption of these methods including the lack of a commonly agreed upon protocol for performing such an assessment and the need for in silico solutions that take dose into consideration. A proposed framework for the integration of in silico and experimental information is provided along with a case study describing how computational methods have been used to successfully respond to a regulatory question concerning non-genotoxic impurities in chemically synthesized pharmaceuticals.