Integration of pre-surgical blood test results predict microvascular invasion risk in hepatocellular carcinoma

Prospective validation of the Eastern Staging in predicting survival after surgical resection for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study from China

BACKGROUND

The Eastern Staging System, which was specially developed for patients undergoing surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), has been proposed for more than ten years. To prospectively validate the predictive accuracy of the Eastern staging on long-term survival after HCC resection.

METHODS

Patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC from 2011 to 2020 at 10 Chinese hospitals were identified from a prospectively collected database. The survival predictive accuracy was evaluated and compared between the Eastern Staging with six other staging systems, including the JIS, BCLC, Okuda, CLIP, 8th AJCC TNM, and HKLC staging.

RESULTS

Among 2365 patients, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates were 84.2%, 64.5%, and 52.6%, respectively. Among these seven staging systems, the Eastern staging was associated with the best monotonicity of gradients (linear trend χ²: 408.5) and homogeneity (likelihood ratio χ²: 447.3), and the highest discriminatory ability (the areas under curves for 1-, 3-, and 5-year mortality: 0.776, 0.787, and 0.768, respectively). In addition, the Eastern staging was the most informative staging system in predicting survival (Akaike information criterion: 2982.33).

CONCLUSION

Using a large multicenter prospectively collected database, the Eastern Staging was found to show the best predictive accuracy on long-term overall survival in patients with resectable HCC than the other 6 commonly-used staging systems.

Preoperative and Prognostic Prediction of Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Review Based on Artificial Intelligence

Microvascular invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma is an important factor affecting tumor recurrence after liver resection and liver transplantation. There are many ways to classify microvascular invasion, however, an international consensus is urgently needed. Recently, artificial intelligence has emerged as an important tool for improving the clinical management of hepatocellular carcinoma. Many studies about microvascular invasion currently focus on preoperative and prognosis prediction of microvascular invasion using artificial intelligence. In this paper, we review the definition and staging of microvascular invasion, especially the diagnosis of it by using artificial intelligence. In preoperative prediction, deep learning based on multimodal data modeling of radiomics-screened features, clinical features, and medical images is currently the most effective means. In prognostic prediction, pathology is the gold standard, and the techniques used should more effectively utilize the global features of the pathology images.

Preoperative prediction of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma lymph node metastasis by means of machine learning: a multicenter study in China

Background

Hepatectomy is currently the most effective modality for the treatment of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). The status of the lymph nodes directly affects the choice of surgical method and the formulation of postoperative treatment plans. Therefore, a preoperative judgment of lymph node status is of great significance for patients diagnosed with this condition. Previous prediction models mostly adopted logistic regression modeling, and few relevant studies applied random forests in the prediction of ICC lymph node metastasis (LNM).

Methods

A total of 149 ICC patients who met clinical conditions were enrolled in the training group. Taking into account preoperative clinical data and imaging features, 21 indicators were included for analysis and modeling. Logistic regression was used to filter variables through multivariate analysis, and random forest regression was used to rank the importance of these variables through the use of algorithms. The model’s prediction accuracy was assessed by the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve and validated with external data.

Result

Multivariate analysis shows that Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), Carbohydrate antigen19-9 (CA19-9), and lymphadenopathy on imaging are independent risk factors for lymph node metastasis. The random forest algorithm identifies the top four risk factors as CEA, CA19-9, and lymphadenopathy on imaging and Aspartate Transaminase (AST). The predictive power of random forest is significantly better than the nomogram established by logistic regression in both the validation group and the training group (Area Under Curve reached 0.758 in the validation group).

Conclusions

We constructed a random forest model for predicting lymph node metastasis that, compared with the traditional nomogram, has higher prediction accuracy and simultaneously plays an auxiliary role in imaging examinations.

Application of a Convolutional Neural Network for Multitask Learning to Simultaneously Predict Microvascular Invasion and Vessels that Encapsulate Tumor Clusters in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fourth most common cause of cancer death worldwide, and the prognosis remains dismal. In this study, two pivotal factors, microvascular invasion (MVI) and vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) were preoperatively predicted simultaneously to assess prognosis.

Methods

A total of 133 HCC patients who underwent surgical resection and preoperative gadolinium ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriaminepentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were included. The statuses of MVI and VETC were obtained from the pathological report and CD34 immunohistochemistry, respectively. A three-dimensional convolutional neural network (3D CNN) for single-task learning aimed at MVI prediction and for multitask learning aimed at simultaneous prediction of MVI and VETC was established by using multiphase Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI.

Results

The 3D CNN for single-task learning achieved an area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.896 (95% CI: 0.797–0.994). Multitask learning with simultaneous extraction of MVI and VETC features improved the performance of MVI prediction, with an AUC value of 0.917 (95% CI: 0.825–1.000), and achieved an AUC value of 0.860 (95% CI: 0.728–0.993) for the VETC prediction. The multitask learning framework could stratify high- and low-risk groups regarding overall survival (p < 0.0001) and recurrence-free survival (p < 0.0001), revealing that patients with MVI+/VETC+ were associated with poor prognosis.

Conclusions

A deep learning framework based on 3D CNN for multitask learning to predict MVI and VETC simultaneously could improve the performance of MVI prediction while assessing the VETC status. This combined prediction can stratify prognosis and enable individualized prognostication in HCC patients before curative resection.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1245/s10434-022-12000-6.

Role of three-dimensional printing and artificial intelligence in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma: Challenges and opportunities

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) constitutes the fifth most frequent malignancy worldwide and the third most frequent cause of cancer-related deaths. Currently, treatment selection is based on the stage of the disease. Emerging fields such as three-dimensional (3D) printing, 3D bioprinting, artificial intelligence (AI), and machine learning (ML) could lead to evidence-based, individualized management of HCC. In this review, we comprehensively report the current applications of 3D printing, 3D bioprinting, and AI/ML-based models in HCC management; we outline the significant challenges to the broad use of these novel technologies in the clinical setting with the goal of identifying means to overcome them, and finally, we discuss the opportunities that arise from these applications. Notably, regarding 3D printing and bioprinting-related challenges, we elaborate on cost and cost-effectiveness, cell sourcing, cell viability, safety, accessibility, regulation, and legal and ethical concerns. Similarly, regarding AI/ML-related challenges, we elaborate on intellectual property, liability, intrinsic biases, data protection, cybersecurity, ethical challenges, and transparency. Our findings show that AI and 3D printing applications in HCC management and healthcare, in general, are steadily expanding; thus, these technologies will be integrated into the clinical setting sooner or later. Therefore, we believe that physicians need to become familiar with these technologies and prepare to engage with them constructively.

A Promising Preoperative Prediction Model for Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on an Extreme Gradient Boosting Algorithm

Background

The non-invasive preoperative diagnosis of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is vital for precise surgical decision-making and patient prognosis. Herein, we aimed to develop an MVI prediction model with valid performance and clinical interpretability.

Methods

A total of 2160 patients with HCC without macroscopic invasion who underwent hepatectomy for the first time in West China Hospital from January 2015 to June 2019 were retrospectively included, and randomly divided into training and a validation cohort at a ratio of 8:2. Preoperative demographic features, imaging characteristics, and laboratory indexes of the patients were collected. Five machine learning algorithms were used: logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and multilayer perception. Performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). We also determined the Shapley Additive exPlanation value to explain the influence of each feature on the MVI prediction model.

Results

The top six important preoperative factors associated with MVI were the maximum image diameter, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II, α-fetoprotein level, satellite nodules, alanine aminotransferase (AST)/aspartate aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, and AST level, according to the XGBoost model. The XGBoost model for preoperative prediction of MVI exhibited a better AUC (0.8, 95% confidence interval: 0.74–0.83) than the other prediction models. Furthermore, to facilitate use of the model in clinical settings, we developed a user-friendly online calculator for MVI risk prediction based on the XGBoost model.

Conclusions

The XGBoost model achieved outstanding performance for non-invasive preoperative prediction of MVI based on big data. Moreover, the MVI risk calculator would assist clinicians in conveniently determining the optimal therapeutic remedy and ameliorating the prognosis of patients with HCC.