Nonparametric density estimation for multivariate bounded data using two non-negative multiplicative bias correction methods

Dynamic Risk Assessment of Voltage Violation in Distribution Networks with Distributed Generation

In response to the growing demand for economic and social development, there has been a significant increase in the integration of distributed generation (DG) into distribution networks. This paper proposes a dynamic risk assessment method for voltage violations in distribution networks with DG. Firstly, considering the characteristics of random variables such as load and DG, a probability density function estimation method based on boundary kernel density estimation is proposed. This method accurately models the probability of random variables under different time and external environmental conditions, such as wind speed and global horizontal radiation. Secondly, to address the issue of correlated DG in the same region, an independent transformation method based on the Rosenblatt inverse transform is proposed, which enhances the accuracy of probabilistic load flow. Thirdly, a voltage violation severity index based on the utility function is proposed. This index, in combination with probabilistic load flow results, facilitates the quantitative assessment of voltage violation risks. Finally, the accuracy of the proposed method is verified on the IEEE-33 system.

Bayesian Bandwidths in Semiparametric Modelling for Nonnegative Orthant Data with Diagnostics

Multivariate nonnegative orthant data are real vectors bounded to the left by the null vector, and they can be continuous, discrete or mixed. We first review the recent relative variability indexes for multivariate nonnegative continuous and count distributions. As a prelude, the classification of two comparable distributions having the same mean vector is done through under-, equi- and over-variability with respect to the reference distribution. Multivariate associated kernel estimators are then reviewed with new proposals that can accommodate any nonnegative orthant dataset. We focus on bandwidth matrix selections by adaptive and local Bayesian methods for semicontinuous and counting supports, respectively. We finally introduce a flexible semiparametric approach for estimating all these distributions on nonnegative supports. The corresponding estimator is directed by a given parametric part, and a nonparametric part which is a weight function to be estimated through multivariate associated kernels. A diagnostic model is also discussed to make an appropriate choice between the parametric, semiparametric and nonparametric approaches. The retention of pure nonparametric means the inconvenience of parametric part used in the modelization. Multivariate real data examples in semicontinuous setup as reliability are gradually considered to illustrate the proposed approach. Concluding remarks are made for extension to other multiple functions.