No prognostic role of a GWAS-derived genetic risk score in renal outcomes for patients from French cohorts with type 1 and type 2 diabetes

T2DM/CKD genetic risk scores and the progression of diabetic kidney disease in T2DM subjects

This study aimed at understanding the predictive potential of genetic risk scores (GRS) for diabetic kidney disease (DKD) progression in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and Major Cardiovascular Events (MCVE) and All-Cause Mortality (ACM) as secondary outcomes. We evaluated 30 T2DM and CKD GWAS-derived single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and their association with clinical outcomes in a central European cohort (n = 400 patients). Our univariate Cox analysis revealed significant associations of age, duration of diabetes, diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol and eGFR with progression of DKD (all P < 0.05). However, no single SNP was conclusively associated with progression to DKD, with only CERS2 and SHROOM3 approaching statistical significance. While a single SNP was associated with MCVE - WSF1 (P = 0.029), several variants were associated with ACM - specifically CANCAS1, CERS2 and C9 (all P < 0.02). Our GRS did not outperform classical clinical factors in predicting progression to DKD, MCVE or ACM. More precisely, we observed an increase only in the area under the curve (AUC) in the model combining genetic and clinical factors compared to the clinical model alone, with values of 0.582 (95 % CI 0.487-0.676) and 0.645 (95 % CI 0.556-0.735), respectively. However, this difference did not reach statistical significance (P = 0.06). This study highlights the complexity of genetic predictors and their interplay with clinical factors in DKD progression. Despite the promise of personalised medicine through genetic markers, our findings suggest that current clinical factors remain paramount in the prediction of DKD. In conclusion, our results indicate that GWAS-derived GRSs for T2DM and CKD do not offer improved predictive ability over traditional clinical factors in the studied Czech T2DM population.

Genetic Risk Scores Identify People at High Risk of Developing Diabetic Kidney Disease: A Systematic Review

CONTEXT

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is the leading cause of end-stage renal disease. Measures to prevent and treat DKD require better identification of patients most at risk. In this systematic review, we summarize the existing evidence of genetic risk scores (GRSs) and their utility for predicting DKD in people with type 1 or type 2 diabetes.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Reviews in June 2022 to identify all existing and relevant literature. Main data items sought were study design, sample size, population, single nucleotide polymorphisms of interest, DKD-related outcomes, and relevant summary measures of result. The Critical Appraisal Skills Programme checklist was used to evaluate the methodological quality of studies.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

We identified 400 citations of which 15 are included in this review. Overall, 7 studies had positive results, 5 had mixed results, and 3 had negative results. Most studies with the strongest methodological quality (n = 9) reported statistically significant and favourable findings of a GRS's association with at least 1 measure of DKD.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review presents evidence of the utility of GRSs to identify people with diabetes that are at high risk of developing DKD. In practice, a robust GRS could be used at the first clinical encounter with a person living with diabetes in order to stratify their risk of complications. Further prospective research is needed.

Diabetic kidney disease: Are the reported associations with single-nucleotide polymorphisms disease-specific?

BACKGROUND

The genetic backgrounds of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) have not been fully elucidated.

AIM

To examine the individual and cumulative effects of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) previously associated with DKD on the risk for ESKD of diabetic etiology and to determine if any associations observed were specific for DKD.

METHODS

Fourteen SNPs were genotyped in hemodialyzed 136 patients with diabetic ESKD (DKD group) and 121 patients with non-diabetic ESKD (NDKD group). Patients were also re-classified on the basis of the primary cause of chronic kidney disease (CKD). The distribution of alleles was compared between diabetic and non-diabetic groups as well as between different sub-phenotypes. The weighted multilocus genetic risk score (GRS) was calculated to estimate the cumulative risk conferred by all SNPs. The GRS distribution was then compared between the DKD and NDKD groups as well as in the groups according to the primary cause of CKD.

RESULTS

One SNP (rs841853; SLC2A1) showed a nominal association with DKD (P = 0.048; P > 0.05 after Bonferroni correction). The GRS was higher in the DKD group (0.615 ± 0.260) than in the NDKD group (0.590 ± 0.253), but the difference was not significant (P = 0.46). The analysis of associations between GRS and individual factors did not show any significant correlation. However, the GRS was significantly higher in patients with glomerular disease than in those with tubulointerstitial disease (P = 0.014) and in those with a combined group (tubulointerstitial, vascular, and cystic and congenital disease) (P = 0.018).

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that selected SNPs that were previously associated with DKD may not be specific for DKD and may confer risk for CKD of different etiology, particularly those affecting renal glomeruli.