The ventricular tachycardia prediction model: Derivation and validation data

Mayo Clinic VT calculator: A practical tool for accurate wide complex tachycardia differentiation

The discrimination of ventricular tachycardia (VT) versus supraventricular wide complex tachycardia (SWCT) via 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is crucial for achieving appropriate, high-quality, and cost-effective care in patients presenting with wide QRS complex tachycardia (WCT). Decades of rigorous research have brought forth an expanding arsenal of applicable manual algorithm methods for differentiating WCTs. However, these algorithms are limited by their heavy reliance on the ECG interpreter for their proper execution. Herein, we introduce the Mayo Clinic ventricular tachycardia calculator (MC-VTcalc) as a novel generalizable, accurate, and easy-to-use means to estimate VT probability independent of ECG interpreter competency. The MC-VTcalc, through the use of web-based and mobile device platforms, only requires the entry of computerized measurements (i.e., QRS duration, QRS axis, and T-wave axis) that are routinely displayed on standard 12-lead ECG recordings.

Computerized electrocardiogram data transformation enables effective algorithmic differentiation of wide QRS complex tachycardias

BACKGROUND

Accurate automated wide QRS complex tachycardia (WCT) differentiation into ventricular tachycardia (VT) and supraventricular wide complex tachycardia (SWCT) can be accomplished using calculations derived from computerized electrocardiogram (ECG) data of paired WCT and baseline ECGs.

OBJECTIVE

Develop and trial novel WCT differentiation approaches for patients with and without a corresponding baseline ECG.

METHODS

We developed and trialed WCT differentiation models comprised of novel and previously described parameters derived from WCT and baseline ECG data. In Part 1, a derivation cohort was used to evaluate five different classification models: logistic regression (LR), artificial neural network (ANN), Random Forests [RF], support vector machine (SVM), and ensemble learning (EL). In Part 2, a separate validation cohort was used to prospectively evaluate the performance of two LR models using parameters generated from the WCT ECG alone (Solo Model) and paired WCT and baseline ECGs (Paired Model).

RESULTS

Of the 421 patients of the derivation cohort (Part 1), a favorable area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) by all modeling subtypes: LR (0.96), ANN (0.96), RF (0.96), SVM (0.96), and EL (0.97). Of the 235 patients of the validation cohort (Part 2), the Solo Model and Paired Model achieved a favorable AUC for 103 patients with (Solo Model 0.87; Paired Model 0.95) and 132 patients without (Solo Model 0.84; Paired Model 0.95) a corroborating electrophysiology procedure or intracardiac device recording.

CONCLUSION

Accurate WCT differentiation may be accomplished using computerized data of (i) the WCT ECG alone and (ii) paired WCT and baseline ECGs.

Wide complex tachycardia discrimination tool improves physicians' diagnostic accuracy

BACKGROUND

Timely and accurate discrimination of wide complex tachycardias (WCTs) into ventricular tachycardia (VT) or supraventricular WCT (SWCT) is critically important. Previously we developed and validated an automated VT Prediction Model that provides a VT probability estimate using the paired WCT and baseline 12-lead ECGs. Whether this model improves physicians' diagnostic accuracy has not been evaluated.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to determine whether the VT Prediction Model improves physicians' WCT differentiation accuracy.

METHODS

Over four consecutive days, nine physicians independently interpreted fifty WCT ECGs (25 VTs and 25 SWCTs confirmed by electrophysiological study) as either VT or SWCT. Day 1 used the WCT ECG only, Day 2 used the WCT and baseline ECG, Day 3 used the WCT ECG and the VT Prediction Model's estimation of VT probability, and Day 4 used the WCT ECG, baseline ECG, and the VT Prediction Model's estimation of VT probability.

RESULTS

Inclusion of the VT Prediction Model data increased diagnostic accuracy versus the WCT ECG alone (Day 3: 84.2% vs. Day 1: 68.7%, p 0.009) and WCT and baseline ECGs together (Day 3: 84.2% vs. Day 2: 76.4%, p 0.003). There was no further improvement of accuracy with addition of the baseline ECG comparison to the VT Prediction Model (Day 3: 84.2% vs. Day 4: 84.0%, p 0.928). Overall sensitivity (Day 3: 78.2% vs. Day 1: 67.6%, p 0.005) and specificity (Day 3: 90.2% vs. Day 1: 69.8%, p 0.016) for VT were superior after the addition of the VT Prediction Model.

CONCLUSION

The VT Prediction Model improves physician ECG diagnostic accuracy for discriminating WCTs.

Automatic wide complex tachycardia differentiation using mathematically synthesized vectorcardiogram signals

BACKGROUND

Automated wide complex tachycardia (WCT) differentiation into ventricular tachycardia (VT) and supraventricular wide complex tachycardia (SWCT) may be accomplished using novel calculations that quantify the extent of mean electrical vector changes between the WCT and baseline electrocardiogram (ECG). At present, it is unknown whether quantifying mean electrical vector changes within three orthogonal vectorcardiogram (VCG) leads (X, Y, and Z leads) can improve automated VT and SWCT classification.

METHODS

A derivation cohort of paired WCT and baseline ECGs was used to derive five logistic regression models: (i) one novel WCT differentiation model (i.e., VCG Model), (ii) three previously developed WCT differentiation models (i.e., WCT Formula, VT Prediction Model, and WCT Formula II), and (iii) one "all-inclusive" model (i.e., Hybrid Model). A separate validation cohort of paired WCT and baseline ECGs was used to trial and compare each model's performance.

RESULTS

The VCG Model, composed of WCT QRS duration, baseline QRS duration, absolute change in QRS duration, X-lead QRS amplitude change, Y-lead QRS amplitude change, and Z-lead QRS amplitude change, demonstrated effective WCT differentiation (area under the curve [AUC] 0.94) for the derivation cohort. For the validation cohort, the diagnostic performance of the VCG Model (AUC 0.94) was similar to that achieved by the WCT Formula (AUC 0.95), VT Prediction Model (AUC 0.91), WCT Formula II (AUC 0.94), and Hybrid Model (AUC 0.95).

CONCLUSION

Custom calculations derived from mathematically synthesized VCG signals may be used to formulate an effective means to differentiate WCTs automatically.

Removing the complexity from wide complex tachycardia

Correctly diagnosing the cause of wide QRS tachycardias remain an area of difficulty for many clinicians. The authors provide a concise update to the different ECG algorithms that have been developed as well as caveats in their application.

Differentiating wide complex tachycardias: A historical perspective

One of the most critical and challenging skills is the distinction of wide complex tachycardias into ventricular tachycardia or supraventricular wide complex tachycardia. Prompt and accurate differentiation of wide complex tachycardias naturally influences short- and long-term management decisions and may directly affect patient outcomes. Currently, there are many useful electrocardiographic criteria and algorithms designed to distinguish ventricular tachycardia and supraventricular wide complex tachycardia accurately; however, no single approach guarantees diagnostic certainty. In this review, we offer an in-depth analysis of available methods to differentiate wide complex tachycardias by retrospectively examining its rich literature base - one that spans several decades.