Predictors of advanced colorectal neoplasia at initial and surveillance colonoscopy after positive screening immunochemical faecal occult blood test

Development of a risk scoring system for predicting advanced colorectal neoplasia within subcentimetric polyps: A population-based study

OBJECTIVE

To determine a risk scoring system for predicting advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACN) within subcentimetric polyps in a large Asian population.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted in Hong Kong SAR, China involving participants who underwent colonoscopy between 2008 and 2015. A random sample of 20 072 subjects were included as the derivation cohort to assess ACN-associated independent factors using logistic regression modeling. Another 8603 subjects formed a validation cohort. A risk scoring system was developed and its performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).

RESULTS

The risk scores were assigned based on the following criteria: (a) patients who were admitted from inpatient colonoscopy (2.2) or not (1); (b) with three or more chronic diseases (hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, heart disease, or cancer) (1.7) or not (1); (c) anemia (1.3) or without anemia (1); (d) receiving aspirin (0.5) or not (1); (e) receiving other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (0.3) or not (1); (f) male (1.2) or female gender (1); (g) age <55 (1), 55-64 (1.4), 65-69 (2), 70 years or above (2.2). ACN was more common in those with scores of 2.192 or higher, and they were classified as high risk (HR). The prevalence of ACN in the validation cohort was 13.28% and 3.56% in the HR and low-risk groups, respectively. In both the derivation and validation cohorts, AUROC of the risk-scoring model was 0.7138.

CONCLUSION

Physicians are recommended to utilize this validated score for risk-stratification of patients having subcentimetric polyps.

Effect of aspirin, warfarin, and proton-pump inhibitors on performance of fecal immunochemical test in colorectal cancer screening: a systematic review and meta-analysis

This study aims to investigate the impact of antithrombotic agents and proton-pump inhibitors (PPIs) on fecal immunochemical test (FIT). PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Central, and Google Scholar were searched from inception until September 3, 2023. Studies comparing the diagnostic performance of FIT between medicine users and non-users in average-risk colorectal cancer screening populations were included. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive values (PPVs) for advanced neoplasia (AN) of FIT were compared by reporting pooled odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using a random-effects model. Twenty-two studies enrolling 5,572,367 individuals were included. For aspirin, pooled sensitivity and specificity for AN were 57.2% and 88.4% in users versus 60.2% and 93.2% in non-users; while pooled ORs were 1.49 (95% CI 0.89-2.48, P = 0.13) and 0.72 (95% CI 0.62-0.83, P < 0.001), respectively. In subgroup analysis, there was no difference in sensitivity and specificity between the two groups at the cutoff of 20 μg Hb/g (P = 0.57 and 0.29, respectively) but a significantly lower specificity in users compared with non-users at lower cutoffs (P < 0.001). Moreover, a significantly lower PPVAN in users compared with non-users was observed after matching age and sex confounders (P = 0.001). Warfarin had no significant influence on PPVAN of FIT (P = 0.43). PPIs were associated with a significantly lower PPVAN in users (P < 0.001). Aspirin use was associated with lower specificity and PPV of FIT. Aspirin discontinuation before FIT to reduce false-positive results should be interpreted with caution given concerns about cardiovascular events. Increasing cutoff values of FIT in aspirin users may be another possible approach. Additionally, warfarin withdrawal before FIT is unnecessary but PPIs withdrawal before FIT is recommended to reduce false-positive results.

Impact of antithrombotic drugs on the accuracy of fecal occult blood testing for advanced colorectal neoplasia screening: a meta-analysis and systematic review

BACKGROUND

The current meta-analysis was conducted to determine whether antithrombotic drug use would affect the diagnostic accuracy of fecal occult blood testing for advanced colorectal neoplasia.

METHODS

Articles published between 2000 and 2019 were systematically retrieved and screened according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria by two reviewers independently. Pooled analyses were conducted with a fixed-effect model if no apparent heterogeneity (I² ≥ 50%) was found between studies; otherwise, the random effects model would be used. Sensitivity analysis and subgroup analysis were also conducted using Review Manager 5.3.

RESULTS

Pooled analysis revealed that aspirin and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs were associated with a decrease in the positive predictive value of fecal occult blood testing for advanced colorectal neoplasia screening, with a RR of 0.89 (95% CI: 0.84-0.94) and 0.88 (95% CI: 0.84-0.93, p<0.001) respectively. Subgroup analysis based on data limited to high-quality studies, fecal immunochemical testing, or in Caucasians also showed that the use of aspirin/NSAID drugs decreased the accuracy for advanced colorectal neoplasia screening.

CONCLUSION

Aspirin/NSAIDs and direct oral anticoagulants rather than warfarin may decrease the diagnostic accuracy of fecal occult blood testing for advanced colorectal neoplasia screening.

Impact of antiplatelet agents and anticoagulants on the performance of fecal immunochemical tests: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Antithrombotic agents may increase the bleeding tendency and affect the performance of fecal immunochemical test (FIT). We aimed to evaluate the impact of antithrombotic agents on the performance of FIT through a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

All relevant studies published between January 1980 and September 2020 that examined the diagnostic performance of FIT were searched through MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases. We performed a meta-analysis for the positive predictive value (PPV) of FIT for detecting advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACRN) or colorectal cancer (CRC) according to the administration of antithrombotic agents including aspirin, antiplatelet agents, and oral anticoagulants (OACs).

RESULTS

Thirteen studies with 27,518 patients were included. Of these, 11 studies with data required for the calculation of pooled PPV were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled PPV of FIT for detecting ACRN was significantly lower in antithrombotic agent users than in non-users (odds ratio [OR] [95% confidence interval [CI]]: aspirin, 0.82 [0.68-0.99]; antiplatelet agents, 0.82 [0.69-0.96]; OACs, 0.66 [0.52-0.84]). For detecting CRC, antithrombotic agent use tended to be associated with a reduced PPV (aspirin, 0.76 [0.51-1.14]; antiplatelet agents, 0.73 [0.52-1.02]; OACs, 0.60 [0.25-1.44]). In the subgroup analysis, a FIT cutoff value of 15 μg Hb/g feces tended to be associated with lower PPVs compared to a value of 20 μg Hb/g feces in antithrombotic agent users.

CONCLUSIONS

Aspirin, antiplatelet agents, and OACs significantly lowered the PPV of FIT for detecting ACRN. These drugs may increase the false-positive of FIT.

Predictive Modeling of Colonoscopic Findings in a Fecal Immunochemical Test-Based Colorectal Cancer Screening Program

BACKGROUND

The fecal immunochemical test (FIT) is the primary modality used by the Los Angeles County Department of Health Services (LADHS) for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening in average-risk patients. Some patients referred for FIT-positive diagnostic colonoscopy have neither adenomas nor more advanced pathology. We aimed to identify predictors of false-positive FIT (FP-FIT) results in our largely disenfranchised, low socioeconomic status population.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of 596 patients who underwent diagnostic colonoscopy following a positive screening FIT. Colonoscopies showing adenomas (or more advanced pathology) were considered positive. We employed multiple logistic and linear regression as well as machine learning models (MLMs) to identify clinical predictors of FP-FIT (primary outcome) and the presence of advanced adenomas (secondary outcome).

RESULTS

Overall, 268 patients (45.0%) had a FP-FIT. Female sex and hemorrhoids (odds ratios [ORs] 1.59 and 1.89, respectively) were associated with increased odds of FP-FIT and fewer advanced adenomas (β = - 0.658 and  - 0.516, respectively). Conversely, increasing age and BMI (ORs 0.94 and 0.96, respectively) were associated with decreased odds of FP-FIT and a greater number of advanced adenomas (β = 0.073 and 0.041, respectively). MLMs predicted FP-FIT with high specificity (93.8%) and presence of advanced adenoma with high sensitivity (94.4%).

CONCLUSION

Increasing age and BMI are associated with lower odds of FP-FIT and greater number of advanced adenomas, while female sex and hemorrhoids are associated with higher odds of FP-FIT and fewer advanced adenomas. The presence of the aforementioned predictors may inform the decision to proceed with diagnostic colonoscopy in FIT-positive patients.

Designing a Predictive Model for Colorectal Neoplasia Diagnosis Based on Clinical and Laboratory Findings in Colonoscopy Candidate Patients

BACKGROUND

Health authorities have expanded two strategies to diminish CRC-related influence: CR screening and improve diagnostic process in symptomatic patients. The aim of the current study is to design a predictive model to identify the most important risk factors that can efficiently predict patients who have high risk of colorectal neoplasia.

METHOD

A cross-sectional study was constructed to include all patients who had positive test for FIT or had one or more risk factors for colorectal cancer based on the guidelines of detecting high-risk groups for colorectal cancer in Iran. Multivariable binary logistic regression model was constructed for prediction of colorectal neoplasia. We used sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value, and positive and negative likelihood ratio to check the accuracy. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test, chi-square test, and p value were used to determine the precision of model.

RESULT

Following an AIC stepwise selection model, only nine potential variables, namely gender, watery diarrhea, IBD, abdominal pain, melena, body mass index, depression drug, anti-inflammatory drug, and age, were found to be a predictor of colorectal neoplasia. The best cut-point probability in the final model was 0.27 and results of sensitivity and specificity, based on maximizing these two criteria, were 66% and 62%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Overall, our model prediction was comparable with other risk prediction models for colorectal cancer. It had a modest discriminatory power to distinguish an individual's neoplasia colorectal risk.

Post-polypectomy colonoscopy surveillance: Can we improve the diagnostic yield?

Although adenomas and serrated polyps are the preneoplastic lesions of colorectal cancer, only few of them will eventually progress to cancer. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the present and future of post-polypectomy colonoscopy surveillance. Post-polypectomy surveillance guidelines have recently been updated and all share the aim towards more selective and less frequent surveillance. We have examined these current guidelines and compared the recommendations of each of them. To improve the diagnostic yield of post-polypectomy surveillance it is important to find predictors of metachronous polyps that better identify high-risk individuals of developing advanced neoplasia. For this reason, we have also conducted a literature review of the molecular biomarkers of metachronous advanced colorectal polyps. Finally, we have discussed future directions of post-polypectomy surveillance and identified possible strategies to improve the use of endoscopic resources with the COVID-19 pandemic.

Use of Antiplatelet Agents Decreases the Positive Predictive Value of Fecal Immunochemical Tests for Colorectal Cancer but Does Not Affect Their Sensitivity

Previous studies have evaluated the effects of antithrombotic agents on the performance of fecal immunochemical tests (FITs) for the detection of colorectal cancer (CRC), but the results were inconsistent and based on small sample sizes. We studied this topic using a large-scale population-based database. Using the Korean National Cancer Screening Program Database, we compared the performance of FITs for CRC detection between users and non-users of antiplatelet agents and warfarin. Non-users were matched according to age and sex. Among 5,426,469 eligible participants, 768,733 used antiplatelet agents (mono/dual/triple therapy, n = 701,683/63,211/3839), and 19,569 used warfarin, while 4,638,167 were non-users. Among antiplatelet agents, aspirin, clopidogrel, and cilostazol ranked first, second, and third, respectively, in terms of prescription rates. Users of antiplatelet agents (3.62% vs. 4.45%; relative risk (RR): 0.83; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.78–0.88), aspirin (3.66% vs. 4.13%; RR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.83–0.97), and clopidogrel (3.48% vs. 4.88%; RR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.61–0.86) had lower positive predictive values (PPVs) for CRC detection than non-users. However, there were no significant differences in PPV between cilostazol vs. non-users and warfarin users vs. non-users. For PPV, the RR (users vs. non-users) for antiplatelet monotherapy was 0.86, while the RRs for dual and triple antiplatelet therapies (excluding cilostazol) were 0.67 and 0.22, respectively. For all antithrombotic agents, the sensitivity for CRC detection was not different between users and non-users. Use of antiplatelet agents, except cilostazol, may increase the false positives without improving the sensitivity of FITs for CRC detection.

Colorectal cancer screening: Assessment of CEACAM6, LGALS4, TSPAN8 and COL1A2 as blood markers in faecal immunochemical test negative subjects

Prevention is essential to reduce Colorectal Cancer (CRC) mortality. We previously reported a panel of four genes: CEACAM6, LGALS4, TSPAN8, COL1A2 (CELTiC) able to discriminate patients with CRC. Here, we assessed the CELTiC panel by quantitative polymerase chain reaction, in the blood of 174 healthy subjects, who resulted negative to the faecal immunochemical test (FITN). Using non-parametric statistic and multinomial logistic models, the FITN were compared to previously analysed subjects: 36 false positive FIT (NFIT), who were negative at colonoscopy, 36 patients with low risk lesions (LR) and 92 patients with high risk lesions or CRC (HR/CRC). FITN showed a significantly lower expression of the four genes when compared to HR/CRC. Moreover, FITN showed a significantly lower expression of TSPAN8 and COL1A2 compared to NFIT and LR patients.

The multinomial logistic model confirmed that TSPAN8 alone specifically discriminated FITN from NFIT, LR and HR/CRC, while LGALS4 was able to differentiate FITN from false positive FIT. Finally, ROC curves analysis of the comparisons between FITN and HR/CRC, LR or NFIT reported AUC greater than 0.87, with a sensitivity and specificity of 83% and 76%, respectively. The CELTiC panel was confirmed a useful tool to identify CRC patients and to discriminate false FIT positive subjects.

Physically active individuals have a 23% lower risk of any colorectal neoplasia and a 27% lower risk of advanced colorectal neoplasia than their non-active counterparts: systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

BACKGROUND

Few studies have examined the associations between physical activity (PA), sedentary behaviour (SB) and risk of colorectal neoplasia (CN).

METHODS

We systematically searched Medline, Embase, PsyInfo, Cochrane and other sources from their inception to 30 September 2018 for cohort, case-control and cross-sectional studies that evaluated these associations in asymptomatic, average-risk subjects. Random-effect models were used to estimate relative risks (RRs) of any-type CN, advanced CN, and non-advanced CN, respectively, in individuals with the highest versus the lowest level of PA and SB. Dose-response analyses and subgroup analyses were conducted. The I² statistic was used to examine heterogeneity among studies.

RESULTS

We identified 32 observational studies, including 17 cross-sectional studies, 10 case-control studies and five longitudinal studies. PA (highest vs lowest) was inversely associated with risk for any-type CN (n=23 studies) and advanced CN (n=15 studies), with a RR of 0.77 (95% CI=0.71 to 0.83, I²=57.5%) and 0.73 (95% CI=0.63 to 0.82, I²=45.5%), respectively. There was no association between PA and non-advanced CN (n=5 studies). There was an as association between PA and any-type CN in both sexes, and also for the distal colon. We found no dose-response relationship between PA and any-type or advanced CN. Based on three studies identified, SB time (longest vs shortest) was associated with an increased risk of advanced CN (RR=1.24, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.49, I²=14.4%). No publication bias was detected by Begg's test.

CONCLUSION

We report a 23% lower relative risk of any type of CN and a 27% lower risk of advanced CN in people with the highest level of PA compared with those in the lowest.

Effects of Oral Anticoagulants and Aspirin on Performance of Fecal Immunochemical Tests in Colorectal Cancer Screening

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The fecal immunochemical test (FIT) is the tool most frequently used for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening worldwide. It is unclear how the use of aspirin and oral anticoagulants in the screening population affects the diagnostic performance of FIT.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional study in an ongoing CRC screening trial in Norway. Participants aged 50-74 years with a positive result from an FIT (>15 μg hemoglobin/g feces) and subsequent colonoscopy (reference standard) were included. Those who used regular aspirin, warfarin, or direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) were defined as users. Non-users were matched according to age, sex, screening center, and screening round. The primary outcomes were the positive predictive value (PPV) for CRC and advanced adenoma.

RESULTS

Among 4908 eligible participants, 1008 used aspirin, 147 used warfarin, 212 used DOACs, and 3541 were non-users. CRCs were found in 234 individuals and advanced adenomas in 1305 individuals. The PPV for CRC was 3.8% for aspirin users vs 6.4% for matched non-users (P = .006), The PPV for advanced adenoma in aspirin users was 27.2% vs 32.6% for matched non-users (P = .011). For DOAC, the PPV for CRC was 0.9% in users vs 6.8% in matched non-users (P = .001). The PPV for advanced adenoma in DOAC users was 20.5% vs 32.4% in matched non-users (P = .002). There was no significant difference in PPV for CRC or advanced adenoma in warfarin users compared to non-users.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large screening cohort in Norway, regular use of aspirin and particularly DOACs, were associated with lower PPV of FIT for detection of CRCs and advanced adenomas. ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT01538550.

Effect of anticoagulants and NSAIDs on accuracy of faecal immunochemical tests (FITs) in colorectal cancer screening: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Most colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programmes are nowadays based on faecal immunochemical testing (FIT). Eligible subjects often use oral anticoagulants (OACs) or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), which could possibly stimulate bleeding from both benign and premalignant lesions in the colon. The aim of this meta-analysis was to study the effect of OACs and NSAIDs use on FIT performance.

DESIGN

A systematic search was conducted until June 2017 to retrieve studies from PubMed, Embase, MEDLINE, Web of science, Cochrane Central and Google Scholar. Studies were included when reporting on FIT results in users versus non-users of OACs and/or NSAIDs in average risk CRC screening populations. Primary outcome was positive predictive value for advanced neoplasia (PPV_AN) of FIT in relation to OACs/NSAIDs use. Values were obtained by conducting random-effect forest plots.

RESULTS

Our literature search identified 2022 records, of which 8 studies were included. A total of 3563 participants with a positive FIT were included. Use of OACs was associated with a PPV_AN of 37.6% (95% CI 33.9 to 41.4) compared with 40.3% (95% CI 38.5 to 42.1) for non-users (p=0.75). Pooled PPV_AN in aspirin/NSAID users was 38.2% (95% CI 33.8 to 42.9) compared with 39.4% (95% CI 37.5 to 41.3) for non-users (p=0.59).

CONCLUSION

FIT accuracy is not affected by OACs and aspirin/NSAIDs use. Based on the current literature, withdrawal of OACs or NSAIDs before FIT screening is not recommended. Future studies should focus on duration of use, dosage and classes of drugs in association with accuracy of FIT to conduct more specific guideline recommendations.

Improving Cancer Preventive Behaviors: A Randomized Trial of Tailored Lifestyle Feedback in Colorectal Cancer Screening

BACKGROUND

Cancer screening provides an opportunity to increase awareness of cancer-preventive lifestyle behaviors such as nonsmoking, physical activity, low alcohol consumption, and a healthy diet. We tested the effect of standardized, individually tailored written feedback (TF), and a standard leaflet (SL) on 1-year lifestyle behaviors in a colorectal cancer screening setting.

METHODS

A total of 3,642 men and women aged 50-74 years invited to sigmoidoscopy screening were randomly assigned to: (i) TF; (ii) SL for cancer-preventive lifestyle behaviors; or (iii) control. Participants were mailed two self-reported lifestyle questionnaires (LSQ) 1 year apart. The TF intervention was based on the prescreening LSQ answers. We analyzed differences [with 95% confidence intervals (CI)] by comparing prescreening to 1-year follow-up of single cancer-preventive factors and the number of cancer-preventive lifestyle behaviors (range 0-4) between the groups by multivariable logistic regression and analysis of covariance (ANCOVA).

RESULTS

A total of 1,054 screening participants without neoplastic findings (29% of those invited to screening) were included in this study. Participants in the TF group increased their number of cancer-preventive lifestyle behaviors significantly compared with those in the control group by 0.11 (95% CI, 0.02 to 0.19). Overweight/obese individuals in the TF group had a -0.84 kg (95% CI, -1.47 to -0.22) larger reduction in body weight compared with the control group.

CONCLUSIONS

TF at sigmoidoscopy screening led to small improvements in cancer-preventive behaviors.

IMPACT

Colorectal cancer screening is a suitable setting for increasing awareness of cancer-preventive behavior.