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Peters MLB, Eckel A, Seguin CL, Davidi B, Howard DH, Knudsen AB, Pandharipande PV. Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Screening for Pancreatic Cancer Among High-Risk Populations. JCO Oncol Pract 2024; 20:278-290. [PMID: 38086003 PMCID: PMC10911581 DOI: 10.1200/op.23.00495] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2023] [Revised: 10/05/2023] [Accepted: 10/30/2023] [Indexed: 12/19/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE We evaluated the potential cost-effectiveness of combined magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) screening for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) among populations at high risk for the disease. METHODS We used a microsimulation model of the natural history of PDAC to estimate the lifetime health benefits, costs, and cost-effectiveness of PDAC screening among populations with specific genetic risk factors for PDAC, including BRCA1 and BRCA2, PALB2, ATM, Lynch syndrome, TP53, CDKN2A, and STK11. For each high-risk population, we simulated 29 screening strategies, defined by starting age and frequency. Screening included MRI with follow-up EUS in a subset of patients. Costs of tests were based on Medicare reimbursement for MRI, EUS, fine-needle aspiration biopsy, and pancreatectomy. Cancer-related cost by stage of disease and phase of treatment was based on the literature. For each high-risk population, we performed an incremental cost-effectiveness analysis, assuming a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $100,000 US dollars (USD) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. RESULTS For men with relative risk (RR) 12.33 (CDKN2A) and RR 28 (STK11), annual screening was cost-effective, starting at age 55 and 40 years, respectively. For women, screening was only cost-effective for those with RR 28 (STK11), with annual screening starting at age 45 years. CONCLUSION Combined MRI/EUS screening may be a cost-effective approach for the highest-risk populations (among mutations considered, those with RR >12). However, for those with moderate risk (RR, 5-12), screening would only be cost-effective at higher WTP thresholds (eg, $200K USD/QALY) or with once-only screening.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary Linton B. Peters
- Division of Medical Oncology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Andrew Eckel
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Claudia L. Seguin
- Department of Radiology, The Ohio State University College of Medicine, Columbus, OH
| | - Barak Davidi
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - David H. Howard
- Department of Health Policy and Management, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA
| | - Amy B. Knudsen
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
- Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Pari V. Pandharipande
- Department of Radiology, The Ohio State University College of Medicine, Columbus, OH
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2
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Koopmann BDM, Omidvari AH, Lansdorp-Vogelaar I, Cahen DL, Bruno MJ, de Kok IMCM. The impact of pancreatic cancer screening on life expectancy: A systematic review of modeling studies. Int J Cancer 2023; 152:1570-1580. [PMID: 36444505 PMCID: PMC10107819 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.34379] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2022] [Revised: 10/09/2022] [Accepted: 11/07/2022] [Indexed: 12/03/2022]
Abstract
Evidence supporting the effectiveness of pancreatic cancer (PC) screening is scant. Most clinical studies concern small populations with short follow-up durations. Mathematical models are useful to estimate long-term effects of PC screening using short-term indicators. This systematic review aims to evaluate the impact of PC screening on life expectancy (LE) in model-based studies. Therefore, we searched four databases (Embase, Medline, Web-of-science, Cochrane) until 30 May 2022 to identify model-based studies evaluating the impact of PC screening on LE in different risk populations. Two authors independently screened identified papers, extracted data and assessed the methodological quality of studies. A descriptive analysis was performed and the impact of screening strategies on LE of different risk groups was reported. Our search resulted in 419 studies, of which eight met the eligibility criteria (mathematical model, PC screening, LE). Reported relative risks (RR) for PC varied from 1 to 70. In higher risk individuals (RR > 5), annual screening (by imaging with 56% sensitivity for HGD/early stage PC) predicted to increase LE of screened individuals by 20 to 260 days. In the general population, one-time PC screening was estimated to decrease LE (2-110 days), depending on the test characteristics and treatment mortality risk. In conclusion, although the models use different and sometimes outdated or unrealistic assumptions, it seems that PC screening in high-risk populations improves LE, and that this gain increases with a higher PC risk. Updated model studies, with data from large clinical trials are necessary to predict the long-term effect of PC screening more accurately.
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Affiliation(s)
- Brechtje D M Koopmann
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.,Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Amir-Houshang Omidvari
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Djuna L Cahen
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Marco J Bruno
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Inge M C M de Kok
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
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3
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Ibrahim IS, Vasen HFA, Wasser MNJM, Feshtali S, Bonsing BA, Morreau H, Inderson A, de Vos Tot Nederveen Cappel WH, van den Hout WB. Cost-effectiveness of pancreas surveillance: The CDKN2A-p16-Leiden cohort. United European Gastroenterol J 2023; 11:163-170. [PMID: 36785917 PMCID: PMC10039795 DOI: 10.1002/ueg2.12360] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2022] [Accepted: 12/29/2022] [Indexed: 02/15/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND CDKN2A-p16-Leiden mutation carriers have a high lifetime risk of developing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), with very poor survival. Surveillance may improve prognosis. OBJECTIVE To assess the cost-effectiveness of surveillance, as compared to no surveillance. METHODS In 2000, a surveillance program was initiated at Leiden University Medical Center with annual MRI and optional endoscopic ultrasound. Data were collected on the resection rate of screen-detected tumors and on survival. The Kaplan-Meier method and a parametric cure model were used to analyze and compare survival. Based on the surveillance and survival data from the screening program, a state-transition model was constructed to estimate lifelong outcomes. RESULTS A total of 347 mutation carriers participated in the surveillance program. PDAC was detected in 31 patients (8.9%) and the tumor could be resected in 22 patients (71.0%). Long-term cure among patients with resected PDAC was estimated at 47.1% (p < 0.001). The surveillance program was estimated to reduce mortality from PDAC by 12.1% and increase average life expectancy by 2.10 years. Lifelong costs increased by €13,900 per patient, with a cost-utility ratio of €14,000 per quality-adjusted life year gained. For annual surveillance to have an acceptable cost-effectiveness in other settings, lifetime PDAC risk needs to be 10% or higher. CONCLUSION The tumor could be resected in most patients with a screen-detected PDAC. These patients had considerably better survival and as a result annual surveillance was found to be cost-effective.
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Affiliation(s)
- Isaura S Ibrahim
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Hans F A Vasen
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Martin N J M Wasser
- Department of Radiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Shirin Feshtali
- Department of Radiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Bert A Bonsing
- Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Hans Morreau
- Department of Pathology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Akin Inderson
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | | | - Wilbert B van den Hout
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
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4
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Peters MLB, Eckel A, Lietz A, Seguin C, Mueller P, Hur C, Pandharipande PV. Genetic testing to guide screening for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: Results of a microsimulation model. Pancreatology 2022; 22:760-769. [PMID: 35752568 PMCID: PMC9474673 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2022.05.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/12/2021] [Revised: 05/16/2022] [Accepted: 05/19/2022] [Indexed: 01/21/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND First-degree relatives (FDRs) of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) have elevated PDAC risk, partially due to germline genetic variants. We evaluated the potential effectiveness of genetic testing to target MRI-based screening among FDRs. METHODS We used a microsimulation model of PDAC, calibrated to Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data, to estimate the potential life expectancy (LE) gain of screening for each of the following groups of FDRs: individuals who test positive for each of eight variants associated with elevated PDAC risk (e.g., BRCA2, CDKN2A); individuals who test negative; and individuals who do not test. Screening was assumed to take place if LE gains were achievable. We simulated multiple screening approaches, defined by starting age and frequency. Sensitivity analysis evaluated changes in results given varying model assumptions. RESULTS For women, 92% of mutation carriers had projected LE gains from screening for PDAC, if screening strategies (start age, frequency) were optimized. Among carriers, LE gains ranged from 0.1 days (ATM+ women screened once at age 70) to 510 days (STK11+ women screened annually from age 40). For men, LE gains were projected for all mutation carriers, ranging from 0.2 days (BRCA1+ men screened once at age 70) to 620 days (STK11+ men screened annually from age 40). For men and women who did not undergo genetic testing, or for whom testing showed no variant, screening yielded small LE benefit (0-2.1 days). CONCLUSIONS Genetic testing of FDRs can inform targeted PDAC screening by identifying which FDRs may benefit.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary Linton B Peters
- Division of Medical Oncology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, USA.
| | - Andrew Eckel
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
| | - Anna Lietz
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
| | - Claudia Seguin
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
| | - Peter Mueller
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
| | - Chin Hur
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Current Affiliation: Division of Gastroenterology, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, USA
| | - Pari V Pandharipande
- Institute for Technology Assessment and Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
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5
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Calderwood AH, Sawhney MS, Thosani NC, Rebbeck TR, Wani S, Canto MI, Fishman DS, Golan T, Hidalgo M, Kwon RS, Riegert-Johnson DL, Sahani DV, Stoffel EM, Vollmer CM, Al-Haddad MA, Amateau SK, Buxbaum JL, DiMaio CJ, Fujii-Lau LL, Jamil LH, Jue TL, Law JK, Lee JK, Naveed M, Pawa S, Storm AC, Qumseya BJ. American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy guideline on screening for pancreatic cancer in individuals with genetic susceptibility: methodology and review of evidence. Gastrointest Endosc 2022; 95:827-854.e3. [PMID: 35183359 DOI: 10.1016/j.gie.2021.12.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2021] [Accepted: 12/02/2021] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Audrey H Calderwood
- Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, Dartmouth Geisel School of Medicine, Lebanon, New Hampshire, USA
| | - Mandeep S Sawhney
- Division of Gastroenterology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Nirav C Thosani
- Center for Interventional Gastroenterology at UTHealth, McGovern Medical School, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Timothy R Rebbeck
- Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Sachin Wani
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, Colorado, USA
| | - Marcia I Canto
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Johns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Douglas S Fishman
- Section of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Baylor College of Medicine, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Talia Golan
- Cancer Center, Sheba Medical Center, Yehuda, Israel
| | - Manuel Hidalgo
- Division of Hematology and Oncology, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, New York, USA
| | - Richard S Kwon
- Division of Gastroenterology, Michigan Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Douglas L Riegert-Johnson
- Department of Clinical Genomics and Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, Florida, USA
| | - Dushyant V Sahani
- Department of Radiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Elena M Stoffel
- Division of Gastroenterology, Michigan Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Charles M Vollmer
- Department of Surgery, Penn Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Mohammad A Al-Haddad
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA
| | - Stuart K Amateau
- Division of Gastroenterology Hepatology and Nutrition, University of Minnesota Medical Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - James L Buxbaum
- Division of Gastrointestinal and Liver Diseases, Keck School of Medicine of University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Christopher J DiMaio
- Department of Gastroenterology, Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA
| | - Larissa L Fujii-Lau
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Queen's Medical Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA
| | - Laith H Jamil
- Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Beaumont Health, Royal Oak, Michigan, and Oakland University William Beaumont School of Medicine, Rochester, Michigan, USA
| | - Terry L Jue
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Permanente Medical Group, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Joanna K Law
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Digestive Disease Institute, Virginia Mason Medical Center, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Jeffrey K Lee
- Department of Gastroenterology, Kaiser Permanente San Francisco Medical Center, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Mariam Naveed
- Advent Health Medical Group, Gastroenterology/Hepatology, Advent Health Hospital Altamonte Springs, Altamonte Springs, Florida, USA
| | - Swati Pawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston Salem, North Carolina, USA
| | - Andrew C Storm
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
| | - Bashar J Qumseya
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA
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6
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Koopmann BDM, Harinck F, Kroep S, Konings ICAW, Naber SK, Lansdorp-Vogelaar I, Fockens P, van Hooft JE, Cahen DL, van Ballegooijen M, Bruno MJ, de Kok IMCM. Identifying key factors for the effectiveness of pancreatic cancer screening: A model-based analysis. Int J Cancer 2021; 149:337-346. [PMID: 33644856 PMCID: PMC8251934 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.33540] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/24/2020] [Revised: 01/22/2021] [Accepted: 02/12/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Pancreatic cancer (PC) survival is poor, as detection usually occurs late, when treatment options are limited. Screening of high‐risk individuals may enable early detection and a more favorable prognosis. Knowledge gaps prohibit establishing the effectiveness of screening. We developed a Microsimulation Screening Analysis model to analyze the impact of relevant uncertainties on the effect of PC screening in high‐risk individuals. The model simulates two base cases: one in which lesions always progress to PC and one in which indolent and faster progressive lesions coexist. For each base case, the effect of annual and 5‐yearly screening with endoscopic ultrasonography/magnetic resonance imaging was evaluated. The impact of variance in PC risk, screening test characteristics and surgery‐related mortality was evaluated using sensitivity analyses. Screening resulted in a reduction of PC mortality by at least 16% in all simulated scenarios. This reduction depended strongly on the natural disease course (annual screening: −57% for “Progressive‐only” vs −41% for “Indolent Included”). The number of screen and surveillance tests needed to prevent one cancer death was impacted most by PC risk. A 10% increase in test sensitivity reduced mortality by 1.9% at most. Test specificity is important for the number of surveillance tests. In conclusion, screening reduces PC mortality in all modeled scenarios. The natural disease course and PC risk strongly determines the effectiveness of screening. Test sensitivity seems of lesser influence than specificity. Future research should gain more insight in PC pathobiology to establish the true value of PC screening in high‐risk individuals.
What's new?
About 10 percent of pancreatic cancers occur in individuals with inherited risk factors. While screening such high‐risk individuals can facilitate the detection of precursor lesions and early‐stage cancer, the extent to which benefits outweigh harms, including overdiagnosis, remains unknown. Here, using a microsimulation model, the authors explored uncertainties concerning the early detection of pancreatic cancer and analyzed the impact of these uncertainties on the effect of screening. In all simulated scenarios, screening was associated with reduced pancreatic cancer mortality. The effectiveness of screening was most strongly impacted by characteristics of natural disease course and level of pancreatic cancer risk
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Affiliation(s)
- Brechtje D M Koopmann
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.,Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Femme Harinck
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Sonja Kroep
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Ingrid C A W Konings
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Steffie K Naber
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Paul Fockens
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Jeanin E van Hooft
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Djuna L Cahen
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Marjolein van Ballegooijen
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Marco J Bruno
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Inge M C M de Kok
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
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Tramontano AC, Chen Y, Watson TR, Eckel A, Sheehan DF, Peters MLB, Pandharipande PV, Hur C, Kong CY. Pancreatic cancer treatment costs, including patient liability, by phase of care and treatment modality, 2000-2013. Medicine (Baltimore) 2019; 98:e18082. [PMID: 31804317 PMCID: PMC6919520 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000018082] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Our study provides phase-specific cost estimates for pancreatic cancer based on stage and treatment. We compare treatment costs between the different phases and within the stage and treatment modality subgroups. METHODS Our cohort included 20,917 pancreatic cancer patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database diagnosed between 2000 and 2011. We allocated costs into four phases of care-staging (or surgery), initial, continuing, and terminal- and calculated the total, cancer-attributable, and patient-liability costs in 2018 US dollars. We fit linear regression models using log transformation to determine whether costs were predicted by age and calendar year. RESULTS Monthly cost estimates were high during the staging and surgery phases, decreased over the initial and continuing phases, and increased during the three-month terminal phase. Overall, the linear regression models showed that cancer-attributable costs either remained stable or increased by year, and either were unaffected by age or decreased with older age; continuing phase costs for stage II patients increased with age. CONCLUSIONS Our estimates demonstrate that pancreatic cancer costs can vary widely by stage and treatment received. These cost estimates can serve as an important baseline foundation to guide resource allocation for cancer care and research in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Yufan Chen
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Tina R. Watson
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Andrew Eckel
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Deirdre F. Sheehan
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
| | - Mary Linton B. Peters
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
- Division of Hematology/Oncology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, MA
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Pari V. Pandharipande
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Chin Hur
- Columbia University Medical Center, New York City, NY
| | - Chung Yin Kong
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
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8
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Vasen HFA, Bartsch DK, Carrato A. Screening of Individuals at High Risk for Pancreatic Cancer. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2019; 17:1916-1917. [PMID: 30902598 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2019.03.023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/23/2019] [Accepted: 03/10/2019] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Hans F A Vasen
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Detlef K Bartsch
- Department of Surgery, University Hospital Marburg, Marburg, Germany
| | - Alfredo Carrato
- Department of Medical Oncology, Ramon y Cajal University Hospital, Ramón y Cajal Health Research Institute, Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red Cáncer, Alcala University, Madrid, Spain
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9
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Peters MLB, Eckel A, Mueller PP, Tramontano AC, Weaver DT, Lietz A, Hur C, Kong CY, Pandharipande PV. Progression to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma from pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia: Results of a simulation model. Pancreatology 2018; 18:928-934. [PMID: 30143405 PMCID: PMC9201992 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2018.07.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2018] [Revised: 07/26/2018] [Accepted: 07/28/2018] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To gain insight into the natural history and carcinogenesis pathway of Pancreatic Intraepithelial Neoplasia (PanIN) lesions by building a calibrated simulation model of PanIN progression to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) METHODS: We revised a previously validated simulation model of solid PDAC, calibrating the model to fit data from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program and published literature on PanIN prevalence by age. We estimated the likelihood of progression from PanIN states (1, 2, and 3) to PDAC and the time between PanIN onset and PDAC (dwell time). We evaluated a hypothetical intervention to test for and treat PanIN 3 lesions to estimate the potential benefits from PanIN detection. RESULTS We estimated the lifetime probability of progressing from PanIN 1 to PDAC to be 1.5% (men), 1.3% (women). Progression from PanIN 1 to PDAC took 33.6 years and 35.3 years, respectively, and from PanIN 3 to PDAC took 11.3 years and 12.3 years. A hypothetical test for PanIN 3 detection and treatment could provide a maximum, average life expectancy gain of 40 days. CONCLUSIONS Our modeling analysis estimates PanINs have a relatively indolent course to PDAC, supporting the feasibility of potential future early detection strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mary Linton B Peters
- Division of Hematology/Oncology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, USA,Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA,Corresponding author. Division of Hematology/Oncology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, 330 Brookline Avenue, Shapiro 9, Boston, MA, 02215, USA. (M.L.B. Peters)
| | - Andrew Eckel
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
| | - Peter P. Mueller
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
| | | | - Davis T. Weaver
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
| | - Anna Lietz
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
| | - Chin Hur
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
| | - Chung Yin Kong
- Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, USA
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10
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The importance of a well-structured pancreatic screening program for familial and hereditary pancreatic cancer. Fam Cancer 2018; 17:1-3. [PMID: 29204967 DOI: 10.1007/s10689-017-0066-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
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11
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Serra N, Di Carlo P, Gulotta G, d' Arpa F, Giammanco A, Colomba C, Melfa G, Fasciana T, Sergi C. Bactibilia in women affected with diseases of the biliary tract and pancreas. A STROBE guidelines-adherent cross-sectional study in Southern Italy. J Med Microbiol 2018; 67:1090-1095. [PMID: 29975626 DOI: 10.1099/jmm.0.000787] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Bile is a hepatobiliary lipid-rich sterile solution, and its colonization by microorganisms defines the condition of bactibilia. In this study, we aimed to assess the bile microbiological flora and its potential link with comorbidity in women. METHODOLOGY We performed a microbiologic investigation on 53 female patients with biliopancreatic diseases who granted consent, and we analysed the data using a MATLAB platform. RESULTS We found that the most frequent disease associated with bactibilia was pancreas head carcinoma (PHC) (P=0.0015), while the least frequent disease was gall bladder carcinoma (GBC) (P=0.0002). The most common microorganisms were Pseudomonas spp. (P<0.0001) and Escherichia coli (P<0.0001). In particular Pseudomonas spp. and E. coli were negatively correlated to PHC presence and positively correlated to CCA by both univariate and multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS Gram-negative bacteria have been linked to a tumour-associated inflammatory status. In the last 30 years, the analysis of mortality rate in Italy for PHC and GBC shows an increasing and a decreasing trend, respectively. Although this study targeted only 53 patients and does not reflect the frequency of diagnosis in a Southern Italian population, the decrease in GBC may raise the suggestion ofnon-adherence to a Mediterranean diet that may have become more prevalent in Southern Italy since the 1990s.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicola Serra
- 1Department of Pediatrics, University Federico II, Naples, Italy
| | - Paola Di Carlo
- 2Department of Sciences for Health Promotion and Mother and Child Care, University of Palermo, Italy
| | - Gaspare Gulotta
- 3Department of General Surgery and Emergency, University of Palermo, Italy
| | - Francesco d' Arpa
- 3Department of General Surgery and Emergency, University of Palermo, Italy
| | - Anna Giammanco
- 2Department of Sciences for Health Promotion and Mother and Child Care, University of Palermo, Italy
| | - Claudia Colomba
- 2Department of Sciences for Health Promotion and Mother and Child Care, University of Palermo, Italy
| | - Giuseppina Melfa
- 3Department of General Surgery and Emergency, University of Palermo, Italy
| | - Teresa Fasciana
- 2Department of Sciences for Health Promotion and Mother and Child Care, University of Palermo, Italy
| | - Consolato Sergi
- 5Stollery Children's Hospital, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.,4Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada
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12
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Ibrahim IS, Bonsing BA, Swijnenburg RJ, Welling L, Veenendaal RA, Wasser MNJM, Morreau H, Inderson A, Vasen HFA. Dilemmas in the management of screen-detected lesions in patients at high risk for pancreatic cancer. Fam Cancer 2017; 16:111-115. [PMID: 27406244 PMCID: PMC5243878 DOI: 10.1007/s10689-016-9915-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
In 3–5 % of all cases of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), hereditary factors influence etiology. While surveillance of high-risk individuals may improve the prognosis, this study describes two very different outcomes in patients with screen-detected lesions. In 2000, a surveillance program of carriers of a CDKN2A/p16-Leiden-mutation consisting of annual MRI was initiated. Patients with a suspected pancreatic lesion undergo CT-scan and Endoscopic Ultrasound, and surgery is offered when a lesion is confirmed. In 2015, two patients with a screen-detected solid lesion were identified. In both patients, lesions were visible on MRI and CT scan, while the EUS was unremarkable. Surgical resection of the head of the pancreas resulted in nearly fatal complications in the first patient. This patient was shown to have a benign lesion. In contrast, timely identification of an early cancer in the second patient was accompanied by an uneventful postoperative course. These cases underline the risks inherent to a PDAC prevention program. All patients should be fully informed about the possible outcomes before joining a surveillance program.
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Affiliation(s)
- Isaura S Ibrahim
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Bert A Bonsing
- Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | | | - Lieke Welling
- Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Roeland A Veenendaal
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Martin N J M Wasser
- Department of Radiology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Hans Morreau
- Department of Pathology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Akin Inderson
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Hans F A Vasen
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA, Leiden, The Netherlands.
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13
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Genomic Variations in Pancreatic Cancer and Potential Opportunities for Development of New Approaches for Diagnosis and Treatment. Int J Mol Sci 2017; 18:ijms18061201. [PMID: 28587243 PMCID: PMC5486024 DOI: 10.3390/ijms18061201] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/03/2017] [Revised: 04/30/2017] [Accepted: 05/26/2017] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Human pancreatic cancer has a very poor prognosis with an overall five-year survival rate of less than 5% and an average median survival time of six months. This is largely due to metastatic disease, which is already present in the majority of patients when diagnosed. Although our understanding of the molecular events underlying multi-step carcinogenesis in pancreatic cancer has steadily increased, translation into more effective therapeutic approaches has been inefficient in recent decades. Therefore, it is imperative that novel and targeted approaches are designed to facilitate the early detection and treatment of pancreatic cancer. Presently, there are numerous ongoing studies investigating the types of genomic variations in pancreatic cancer and their impact on tumor initiation and growth, as well as prognosis. This has led to the development of therapeutics to target these genetic variations for clinical benefit. Thus far, there have been minimal clinical successes directly targeting these genomic alterations; however research is ongoing to ultimately discover an innovative approach to tackle this devastating disease. This review will discuss the genomic variations in pancreatic cancer, and the resulting potential diagnostic and therapeutic implications.
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14
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Vasen HFA, Bartsch D. Familial Pancreatic Cancer: To Screen or not to Screen? EBioMedicine 2016; 2:1858-9. [PMID: 26844259 PMCID: PMC4703731 DOI: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2015.12.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Hans F A Vasen
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Detlef Bartsch
- Department of Visceral-, Thoracic- and Vascular Surgery, University Hospital Marburg, Marburg, Germany
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