Development and Validation of Novel Diagnostic Models for Biliary Atresia in a Large Cohort of Chinese Patients

Serum matrix metalloproteinase-7 for discriminating biliary atresia: a diagnostic accuracy and validation study

BACKGROUND

Prompt and precise differential diagnosis of biliary atresia (BA) among cholestatic patients is of great importance. Matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7) holds great promise as a diagnostic marker for BA. This study aimed to investigate the accuracy of age-specific serum MMP-7 for discriminating BA from other cholestatic pediatric patients.

METHODS

This was a single center diagnostic accuracy and validation study including both retrospective and prospective cohorts. Serum MMP-7 concentrations were measured using an ELISA kit, the trajectory of which with age was investigated in a healthy infants cohort aged 0 to 365 days without hepatobiliary diseases (n = 284). Clinical BA diagnosis was based on intraoperative cholangiography and subsequent histological examinations. The diagnostic accuracy of age-specific cutoffs of serum MMP-7 were assessed in a retrospective cohort of cholestatic patients (n = 318, with 172 BA) and validated in a prospective cohort (n = 687, including 395 BA).

RESULTS

The MMP-7 concentration declines non-linearly with age, showing higher levels in healthy neonates as well as higher cutoff value in neonatal cholestasis. The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) was 0.967 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.946-0.988) for the retrospective cohort, and the cutoff of 18 ng/mL yielded 93.0% (95%CI: 88.1-96.3%), 93.8% (95%CI: 88.6-97.1%), 94.7% (95%CI: 90.1-97.5%), and 91.9% (95%CI: 86.4-95.8%) for sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV), respectively. The performance of MMP-7 was successfully validated in the larger prospective cohort, resulting in a diagnostic sensitivity of 95.9% (379/395; 95% CI: 93.5-97.7%), a specificity of 87.3% (255/292; 95% CI: 83.0-90.9%), a PPV of 91.1% (379/416; 95% CI: 87.9-93.7%), and a NPV of 94.1% (255/271; 95% CI: 90.6-96.6%), respectively. Besides, higher cutoff value of 28.1 ng/mL achieved the best sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV for infants aged 0-30 days, which was 86.4% (95% CI: 75.0-94.0%), 95.5% (95% CI: 77.2-99.9%), 98.1% (95% CI: 89.7-100%), and 72.4% (95% CI: 52.8-87.3%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The serum MMP-7 is accurate and reliable in differentiating BA from non-BA cholestasis, showing its potential application in the diagnostic algorithm for BA and significant role in the future research regarding pathogenesis of BA.

Comparison for the diagnostic performance of early diagnostic methods for biliary atresia: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Biliary atresia (BA), a progressive condition affecting canalicular-bile duct function/anatomy, requires prompt surgical intervention for favorable outcomes. Therefore, we conducted a network meta-analysis of common diagnostic methods to assess their performance and provide evidence-based support for clinical decision-making.

METHODS

We reviewed literature in PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane for BA diagnostics. The search included gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), direct/combined bilirubin, matrix metalloproteinase 7 (MMP-7), ultrasonic triangular cord sign (TCS), hepatic scintigraphy (HS), and percutaneous cholangiocholangiography/percutaneous transhepatic cholecysto-cholangiography (PCC/PTCC). QUADAS-2 assessed study quality. Heterogeneity and threshold effect were evaluated using I2 and Spearman's correlation. We combined effect estimates, constructed SROC models, and conducted a network meta-analysis based on the ANOVA model, along with meta-regression and subgroup analysis, to obtain precise diagnostic performance assessments for BA.

RESULTS

A total of 40 studies were included in our analysis. GGT demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy for BA with a sensitivity of 81.5% (95% CI 0.792-0.836) and specificity of 72.1% (95% CI 0.693-0.748). Direct bilirubin/conjugated bilirubin showed a sensitivity of 87.6% (95% CI 0.833-0.911) but lower specificity of 59.4% (95% CI 0.549-0.638). MMP-7 exhibited a total sensitivity of 91.5% (95% CI 0.893-0.934) and a specificity of 84.3% (95% CI 0.820-0.863). TCS exhibited a sensitivity of 58.1% (95% CI 0.549-0.613) and high specificity of 92.9% (95% CI 0.911-0.944). HS had a high sensitivity of 98.4% (95% CI 0.968-0.994) and moderate specificity of 79.0% (95% CI 0.762-0.816). PCC/PTCC exhibited excellent diagnostic performance with a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI 0.900-1.000) and specificity of 87.0% (95% CI 0.767-0.939). Based on the ANOVA model, the network meta-analysis revealed that MMP-7 ranked second overall, with PCC/PTCC ranking first, both exhibiting superior diagnostic accuracy compared to other techniques. Our analysis showed no significant bias in most methodologies, but MMP-7 and hepatobiliary scintigraphy exhibited biases, with p values of 0.023 and 0.002, respectively.

CONCLUSION

MMP-7 and ultrasound-guided PCC/PTCC show diagnostic potential in the early diagnosis of BA, but their clinical application is restricted due to practical limitations. Currently, the cutoff value of MMP-7 is unclear, and further evidence-based medical research is needed to firmly establish its diagnostic value. Until more evidence is available, MMP-7 is not suitable for widespread diagnostic use. Therefore, considering cost and operational simplicity, liver function tests combined with ultrasound remain the most clinically valuable non-invasive diagnostic methods for BA.

Proteomics Defines Plasma Biomarkers for the Early Diagnosis of Biliary Atresia

Early diagnosis of biliary atresia (BA) is crucial for improving the chances of survival and preserving the liver function of pediatric patients with BA. Herein, we performed proteomics analysis using data-independent acquisition (DIA) and parallel reaction monitoring (PRM) to explore potential biomarkers for the early diagnosis of BA compared to other non-BA jaundice cases. Consequently, we detected and validated differential protein expression in the plasma of patients with BA compared to the plasma of patients with intrahepatic cholestasis. Bioinformatics analysis revealed the enriched biological processes characteristic of BA by identifying the differential expression of specific proteins. Signaling pathway analysis revealed changes in the expression levels of proteins associated with an alteration in immunoglobulin levels, which is indicative of immune dysfunction in BA. The combination of polymeric immunoglobulin receptor expression and immunoglobulin lambda variable chain (IGL c2225_light_IGLV1-47_IGLJ2), as revealed via machine learning, provided a useful early diagnostic model for BA, with a sensitivity of 0.8, specificity of 1, accuracy of 0.89, and area under the curve value of 0.944. Thus, our study identified a possible effective plasma biomarker for the early diagnosis of BA and could help elucidate the underlying mechanisms of BA.

Predictive modeling for early detection of biliary atresia in infants with cholestasis: Insights from a machine learning study

Cholestasis, characterized by the obstruction of bile flow, poses a significant concern in neonates and infants. It can result in jaundice, inadequate weight gain, and liver dysfunction. However, distinguishing between biliary atresia (BA) and non-biliary atresia in these young patients presenting with cholestasis poses a formidable challenge, given the similarity in their clinical manifestations. To this end, our study endeavors to construct a screening model aimed at prognosticating outcomes in cases of BA. Within this study, we introduce a wrapper feature selection model denoted as bWFMVO-SVM-FS, which amalgamates the water flow-based multi-verse optimizer (WFMVO) and support vector machine (SVM) technology. Initially, WFMVO is benchmarked against eleven state-of-the-art algorithms, with its efficiency in searching for optimized feature subsets within the model validated on IEEE CEC 2017 and IEEE CEC 2022 benchmark functions. Subsequently, the developed bWFMVO-SVM-FS model is employed to analyze a cohort of 870 consecutively registered cases of neonates and infants with cholestasis (diagnosed as either BA or non-BA) from Xinhua Hospital and Shanghai Children's Hospital, both affiliated with Shanghai Jiao Tong University. The results underscore the remarkable predictive capacity of the model, achieving an accuracy of 92.639 % and specificity of 88.865 %. Gamma-glutamyl transferase, triangular cord sign, weight, abnormal gallbladder, and stool color emerge as highly correlated with early symptoms in BA infants. Furthermore, leveraging these five significant features enhances the interpretability of the machine learning model's performance outcomes for medical professionals, thereby facilitating more effective clinical decision-making.

Mucosal-associated invariant T cells promote ductular reaction through amphiregulin in biliary atresia

BACKGROUND

Biliary atresia (BA) is a neonatal fibro-inflammatory cholangiopathy with ductular reaction as a key pathogenic feature predicting poor survival. Mucosal-associated invariant T (MAIT) cells are enriched in human liver and display multiple roles in liver diseases. We aimed to investigate the function of MAIT cells in BA.

METHODS

First, we analyzed correlations between liver MAIT cell and clinical parameters (survival, alanine transaminase, bilirubin, histological inflammation and fibrosis) in two public cohorts of patients with BA (US and China). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and spearman correlation analysis were employed for survival data and other clinical parameters, respectively. Next, we obtained liver samples or peripheral blood from BA and control patients for bulk RNA sequencing, flow cytometry analysis, immunostaning and functional experiments of MAIT cells. Finally, we established two in vitro co-culture systems, one is the rhesus rotavirus (RRV) infected co-culture system to model immune dysfunction of human BA which was validated by single cell RNA sequencing and the other is a multicellular system composed of biliary organoids, LX-2 and MAIT cells to evaluate the role of MAIT cells on ductular reaction.

FINDINGS

Liver MAIT cells in BA were positively associated with low survival and ductular reaction. Moreover, liver MAIT cells were activated, exhibited a wound healing signature and highly expressed growth factor Amphiregulin (AREG) in a T cell receptor (TCR)-dependent manner. Antagonism of AREG abrogated the proliferative effect of BA MAIT cells on both cholangiocytes and biliary organoids. A RRV infected co-culture system, recapitulated immune dysfunction of human BA, disclosed that RRV-primed MAIT cells promoted cholangiocyte proliferation via AREG, and further induced inflammation and fibrosis in the multicellular system.

INTERPRETATION

MAIT cells exhibit a wound healing signature depending on TCR signaling and promote ductular reaction via AREG, which is associated with advanced fibrosis and predictive of low survival in BA.

FUNDING

This work was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China grant (82001589 and 92168108), National Key R&D Program of China (2023YFA1801600) and by Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation of Guangdong (2020A1515110921).

Progress in Biomarkers Related to Biliary Atresia

Biliary atresia (BA) is a congenital cholestatic disease that can seriously damage children's liver function. It is one of the main reasons for liver transplantation in children. Early diagnosis of BA is crucial to the prognosis of patients, but there is still a lack of reliable non-invasive diagnostic methods. Additionally, as some children are in urgent need of liver transplantation, evaluating the stage of liver fibrosis and postoperative native liver survival in children with BA using a straightforward, efficient, and less traumatic method is a major focus of doctors. In recent years, an increasing number of BA-related biomarkers have been identified and have shown great potential in the following three aspects of clinical practice: diagnosis, evaluation of the stage of liver fibrosis, and prediction of native liver survival. This review focuses on the pathophysiological function and clinical application of three novel BA-related biomarkers, namely MMP-7, FGF-19, and M2BPGi. Furthermore, progress in well-known biomarkers of BA such as gamma-glutamyltransferase, circulating cytokines, and other potential biomarkers is discussed, aiming to provide a reference for clinical practice.

Is the diagnostic model based on convolutional neural network superior to pediatric radiologists in the ultrasonic diagnosis of biliary atresia?

Background

Many screening and diagnostic methods are currently available for biliary atresia (BA), but the early and accurate diagnosis of BA remains a challenge with existing methods. This study aimed to use deep learning algorithms to intelligently analyze the ultrasound image data, build a BA ultrasound intelligent diagnostic model based on the convolutional neural network, and realize an intelligent diagnosis of BA.

Methods

A total of 4,887 gallbladder ultrasound images of infants with BA, non-BA hyperbilirubinemia, and healthy infants were collected. Two mask region convolutional neural network (Mask R-CNN) models based on different backbone feature extraction networks were constructed. The diagnostic performance between the two models was compared through good-quality images at the image level and the patient level. The diagnostic performance between the two models was compared through poor-quality images. The diagnostic performance of BA between the model and four pediatric radiologists was compared at the image level and the patient level.

Results

The classification performance of BA in model 2 was slightly higher than that in model 1 in the test set, both at the image level and at the patient level, with a significant difference of p = 0.0365 and p = 0.0459, respectively. The classification accuracy of model 2 was slightly higher than that of model 1 in poor-quality images (88.3% vs. 86.4%), and the difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.560). The diagnostic performance of model 2 was similar to that of the two radiology experts at the image level, and the differences were not statistically significant. The diagnostic performance of model 2 in the test set was higher than that of the two radiology experts at the patient level (all p < 0.05).

Conclusion

The performance of model 2 based on Mask R-CNN in the diagnosis of BA reached or even exceeded the level of pediatric radiology experts.

Accurate prediction of biliary atresia with an integrated model using MMP-7 levels and bile acids

BACKGROUND

Biliary atresia (BA) is a rare fatal liver disease in children, and the aim of this study was to develop a method to diagnose BA early.

METHODS

We determined serum levels of matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7), the results of 13 liver tests, and the levels of 20 bile acids, and integrated computational models were constructed to diagnose BA.

RESULTS

Our findings demonstrated that MMP-7 expression levels, as well as the results of four liver tests and levels of ten bile acids, were significantly different between 86 BA and 59 non-BA patients (P < 0.05). The computational prediction model revealed that MMP-7 levels alone had a higher predictive accuracy [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) = 0.966, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.942, 0.989] than liver test results and bile acid levels. The AUC was 0.890 (95% CI 0.837, 0.943) for liver test results and 0.825 (95% CI 0.758, 0.892) for bile acid levels. Furthermore, bile levels had a higher contribution to enhancing the predictive accuracy of MMP-7 levels (AUC = 0.976, 95% CI 0.953, 1.000) than liver test results. The AUC was 0.983 (95% CI 0.962, 1.000) for MMP-7 levels combined with liver test results and bile acid levels. In addition, we found that MMP-7 levels were highly correlated with gamma-glutamyl transferase levels and the liver fibrosis score.

CONCLUSION

The innovative integrated models based on a large number of indicators provide a noninvasive and cost-effective approach for accurately diagnosing BA in children. Video Abstract (MP4 142103 KB).

Measurement of MMP-7 in micro-volume peripheral blood: development of dried blood spot approach

Purpose

Serum matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7) is significant in differentiating biliary atresia (BA). This study aims to develop a new peripheral blood quantitative collection device to detect MMP-7 levels via dried blood spot (DBS).

Methods

This is a diagnostic accuracy test. Serum and DBS MMP-7 concentrations were measured using an ELISA kit. Intraoperative cholangiography and subsequent histological examinations were used to confirm BA diagnoses.

Results

A total of 241 infants with obstructive jaundice were enrolled, among whom 168 were BA. Linear regression showed DBS MMP-7 correlated well with serum MMP-7 (R = 0.93, P < 0.001). The best cut-off value of serum MMP-7 for BA was 25.9 ng/ml, achieving the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.962 (95% CI: 0.941, 0.983), and the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were 86.9%, 94.5%, 97.3% and 75.8%, respectively. The best cut-off value of DBS MMP-7 for BA was 12.5 ng/ml, achieving the AUC of 0.922 (95% CI: 0.888, 0.956), and the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV were 86.9%, 89.0%, 94.8%, and 74.7%, respectively. The dried blood spots were intervened under different storage conditions, including 1-5 days at room temperature, 2 or 3 days at 30 °C and 2 or 3 days at 37 °C. The DBS MMP-7 concentration under different storage conditions had good correlation and consistency with that at -80 °C.

Conclusions

Serum and DBS MMP-7 correlate well, both of which have high accuracy in the diagnosis of BA, while the requirements for the storage of DBS are low.

The association of immune-related genes and the potential role of IL10 with biliary atresia

BACKGROUND

Biliary atresia (BA) is a severe immune-related disease that is characterized by biliary obstruction and cholestasis. The etiology of BA is unclear, our aim was to explore the relationship between biliary tract inflammation and immune-related genes.

METHODS

We selected 14 SNPs in 13 immune-related genes and investigated their associations with BA by using a large case‒control cohort with a total of 503 cases and 1473 controls from southern China.

RESULTS

SNP rs1518111 in interleukin10 (IL10) was identified as associated with BA (P = 5.79E-03; OR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.68-0.94). The epistatic effects of the following pairwise interactions among these SNPs were associated with BA: signal transducer and activator of transcription 4 (STAT4) and chemokine (C-X-C motif) ligand 3 (CXCL3); STAT4 and damage-regulated autophagy modulator1 (DRAM1); CXCL3 and RAD51 paralog B (RAD51B); and interferon gamma (IFNG) and interleukin26 (IL26). Furthermore, we explored the potential role of IL-10 in the pathogenesis of the neonatal mouse model of BA. IL-10 effectively prevented biliary epithelial cell injury and biliary obstruction in murine BA as well as inhibit the activation of BA-related immune cells.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, this study provided strong evidence implicating IL10 as a susceptibility gene for BA in the southern Chinese population.

IMPACT

This study provided strong evidence implicating IL10 as a susceptibility gene for BA in the southern Chinese population. This study could infer that IL-10 may play a protective role in BA mouse model. We found that four SNPs (rs7574865, rs352038, rs4622329, and rs4902562) have genetic interactions.

Biliary atresia and posterior fossa bleed: Chance or causality. A case report and review of the literature

Key Clinical Message

A newborn with a rare form of biliary atresia had posterior fossa bleed and subarachnoid hemorrhage despite vitamin K prophylaxis, indicating biliary atresia is a causality rather than chance.

Abstract

Biliary atresia frequently causes surgical jaundice, resulting in delayed vitamin K deficiency. We report a 28-day-old newborn diagnosed with a rare form of biliary atresia presented with an unusual association of posterior fossa bleed and subarachnoid hemorrhage despite vitamin K prophylaxis. Thus, biliary atresia remains causality rather than chance.

Development and validation of a model for early diagnosis of biliary atresia

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Early diagnosis of biliary atresia (BA), particularly distinguishing it from other causes of neonatal cholestasis (NC), is challenging. This study aimed to design and validate a predictive model for BA by using the data available at the initial presentation.

METHODS

Infants presenting with NC were retrospectively identified from tertiary referral hospitals and constituted the model design cohort (n = 148); others were enrolled in a prospective observational study and constituted the validation cohort (n = 21). Clinical, laboratory, and abdominal ultrasonographic features associated with BA were assessed. A prediction model was developed using logistic regression and decision tree (DT) analyses.

RESULTS

Three predictors, namely, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase (γGT) level, triangular cord sign (TC sign), and gallbladder abnormalities, were identified as factors for diagnosing BA in multivariate logistic regression, which was used to develop the DT model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) value for the model was 0.905, which was greater than those for γGT level, TC sign, or gallbladder abnormalities alone in the prediction of BA.

CONCLUSION

A simple prediction model combining liver function and abdominal ultrasonography findings can provide a moderate and early estimate of the risk of BA in patients with NC.

Combi-Elasto Evaluation of the Degree of Liver Fibrosis in Children with Cholestatic Liver Disease

Cholestatic liver disease is a common liver disease in infants and young children. Liver fibrosis is a key factor affecting the prognosis, and liver transplantation is the only treatment option for liver cirrhosis. This study aimed to explore the efficacy of Combi-elasto for diagnosing liver fibrosis in children affected by cholestatic liver disease. A total of 64 children with S1-S4-grade liver fibrosis were enrolled. The general data, routine ultrasound, Combi-elasto, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score were compared among children with different grades of liver fibrosis, and the efficacy of the above indexes for evaluating the degree of liver fibrosis was reported. There were remarkable differences in liver size, liver echogenicity, Young's modulus (E), fibrosis index (FI), activity index (AI) and FIB-4 score among the groups (all p < 0.05). E and liver echogenicity were the independent impact factors of liver fibrosis. The areas under the curve of E, APRI, FIB-4 score and the combined model (E+ liver echogenicity) in the evaluation of liver fibrosis were 0.84, 0.61, 0.66 and 0.90, respectively. Ultimately, we concluded that CE is an effective method to evaluate liver fibrosis in children with cholestatic liver disease.

Psychological Journey and Coping Styles of Parents of Infants With Biliary Atresia: A Single-Center Qualitative Study

BACKGROUND

Biliary atresia is a rare and serious neonatal disease that affects the quality of life of both infants and parents. There is currently limited literature on the experiences of parents with infants diagnosed with biliary atresia.

PURPOSE

To explore the psychological journey and coping styles of parents of infants with biliary atresia in a single center in Shanghai, China.

METHODS

A qualitative study design was used. Face-to-face and semistructured interviews were conducted with 10 parents of infants with biliary atresia. Colaizzi's method of data analysis was utilized, using NVivo 11.0 software.

RESULTS

The psychological journey and coping styles of parents could be divided into 4 stages. Different themes were extracted at different stages: before diagnosis, parents experienced complex emotions and actively sought treatment; at the diagnosis stage, negative emotions dominated and parents convinced themselves to accept reality; in the postoperative stage, positive emotions, accepting reality, active response, and the need to learn to take care of their infant gradually appeared; and at the discharge stage, parents accepted the coexistence of positive and negative emotions and the variety of needs that emerged.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

The findings of the study may help healthcare professionals identify and focus on the psychological needs of parents of infants with biliary atresia, leading them to implement effective coping strategies to increase the caregiving ability of parents.

IMPLICATIONS FOR RESEARCH

Future research should explore the effects of supportive interventions for parents of infants with serious chronic illnesses.

A Pilot Study of Biliary Atresia Newborn Screening Using Dried Blood Spot Matrix Metalloproteinase-7

OBJECTIVES

Timely diagnosis is a critical challenge and is associated with improved survival of biliary atresia (BA) patients. We aimed to measure matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7) levels in BA patients within 3 days of birth using the dried blood spot (DBS) method and evaluate its potential as a screening tool.

METHODS

The study enrolled 132 patients, including 25 patients diagnosed with BA and 107 non-BA patients with other congenital or perinatal conditions from the National Taiwan University Children Hospital. The stored DBS samples collected from 48 to 72 hours of life were retrieved from newborn screening centers. MMP-7 on the DBS was quantified using a sensitive sandwich enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).

RESULTS

The MMP-7 levels of BA patients on the DBS were significantly higher than those of non-BA patients (19.2 ± 10.4 vs 5.6 ± 2.7 ng/mL, P value < 0.0001). MMP-7 levels in non-BA patients, including 5 patients with hepatobiliary structural anomaly, 9 patients with intrahepatic cholestasis, and 93 patients with other perinatal diseases, were 11.6 ± 4.2 ng/mL, 6.9 ± 3.0 ng/mL, and 5.2 ± 2.1 ng/mL, respectively. The DBS MMP-7 level showed good accuracy for identifying BA, with an area under the curve of 93.7% [95% confidence interval (CI): 87.7%-99.7%]. The MMP-7 cutoff at 8.0 ng/mL showed a sensitivity of 92.0% (95% CI: 75.0%-98.6%) and specificity of 92.5% (95% CI: 85.9%-96.1%) for detecting BA from other congenital or perinatal diseases.

CONCLUSIONS

MMP-7 DBS analysis can be used to distinguish BA from other conditions as early as 3 days of age.

Use of machine learning in pediatric surgical clinical prediction tools: A systematic review

PURPOSE

Clinical prediction tools (CPTs) are decision-making instruments utilizing patient data to predict specific clinical outcomes, risk-stratify patients, or suggest personalized diagnostic or therapeutic options. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence have resulted in a proliferation of CPTs created using machine learning (ML)-yet the clinical applicability of ML-based CPTs and their validation in clinical settings remain unclear. This systematic review aims to compare the validity and clinical efficacy of ML-based to traditional CPTs in pediatric surgery.

METHODS

Nine databases were searched from 2000 until July 9, 2021 to retrieve articles reporting on CPTs and ML for pediatric surgical conditions. PRISMA standards were followed, and screening was performed by two independent reviewers in Rayyan, with a third reviewer resolving conflicts. Risk of bias was assessed using the PROBAST.

RESULTS

Out of 8300 studies, 48 met the inclusion criteria. The most represented surgical specialties were pediatric general (14), neurosurgery (13) and cardiac surgery (12). Prognostic (26) CPTs were the most represented type of surgical pediatric CPTs followed by diagnostic (10), interventional (9), and risk stratifying (2). One study included a CPT for diagnostic, interventional and prognostic purposes. 81% of studies compared their CPT to ML-based CPTs, statistical CPTs, or the unaided clinician, but lacked external validation and/or evidence of clinical implementation.

CONCLUSIONS

While most studies claim significant potential improvements by incorporating ML-based CPTs in pediatric surgical decision-making, both external validation and clinical application remains limited. Further studies must focus on validating existing instruments or developing validated tools, and incorporating them in the clinical workflow.

TYPE OF STUDY

Systematic Review LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Gamma-Glutamyl Transferase Combined With Conventional Ultrasound Features in Diagnosing Biliary Atresia: A Two-Center Retrospective Analysis

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a biliary atresia (BA) diagnostic score based on serum gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) levels and conventional ultrasound features for discriminating BA in patients with jaundice from two centers.

METHODS

A total of 958 patients from one hospital were classified as the derivation cohort, and 725 patients from another hospital were classified as the validation cohort. The optimal GGT cutoff value for diagnosing BA was calculated in the derivation cohort and subsequently verified in the validation cohort. Gallbladder abnormalities and the triangular cord (TC) sign were evaluated in all patients. A BA diagnostic score was developed for diagnosing BA using the GGT levels, gallbladder abnormalities and the TC sign based on the data from the derivation cohort followed by external validation.

RESULTS

Based on the optimal cutoff value 350.0 U/L, GGT yielded a sensitivity of 59.3% and specificity of 85.4% in diagnosing BA. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC 0.724) was inferior to that of the gallbladder (AUC 0.911, P < .001) and comparable to that of the TC sign (AUC 0.771, P = .128). The combination of GGT and ultrasound diagnosis could help to reduce the misdiagnosis of 9 infants with BA. The BA diagnostic score yielded a sensitivity of 93.3% and specificity of 95.0% with the highest AUC in this study (0.941).

CONCLUSIONS

GGT can add diagnostic value to ultrasound examination when diagnosing BA. The BA diagnostic score based on GGT, gallbladder abnormalities and the TC sign shows satisfactory discrimination abilities in BA.

Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase has different efficacy on biliary atresia diagnosis in different hospital patient groups: an application of machine learning approach

OBJECTIVES

Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) is the most widely used biomarker in the early diagnosis of biliary atresia (BA), but its diagnostic efficacy is questionable in different sub-populations. We aim to identify subgroups that are defined by specific variables with cut-offs and can significantly affect the diagnostic efficacy of GGT for detecting BA.

METHODS

Clinical data from 1273 infants with neonatal obstructive jaundice (NOJ) diagnosed between January 2012 and December 2017 at the Children's Hospital of Fudan University were enrolled, reviewed, and analyzed. Random forest-based Virtual Twins method was used to identify potential subgroups.

RESULTS

Hemoglobin (HGB) and fasting gallbladder filling were selected as defining variables. The diagnostic efficacy of GGT was significantly better (AUC = 0.855) for patients with hemoglobin (HGB) ≤ 105 g/L and a gallbladder that was not or poorly filled. Diagnostic efficacy was worst in the subgroup defined by HGB > 105 g/L (AUC = 0.722). The inclusion of interaction terms between GGT and the subgroups in a logistic regression model significantly improved (p = 0.002) prediction performance.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides evidence that the diagnostic efficacy of GGT can differ significantly across different subgroups. Therefore, a GGT diagnostic result should be interpreted cautiously when patients belong to subgroups with low diagnostic efficacy. The development of a prediction model and/or clinical diagnostic pathway for early detection of BA should also account for the heterogeneous diagnostic efficacy of GGT.

Development and validation of a novel nomogram and risk score for biliary atresia in patients with cholestasis

BACKGROUND

Timely discriminating biliary atresia (BA) from other causes of cholestasis is important but challenging.

AIMS

To develop a useful diagnostic nomogram and a simplified scoring system to diagnosing BA.

STUDY DESIGN

All medical records of the patients who were consecutively admitted to our institution with cholestasis from March 2016 to December 2020 were retrospectively searched. The patients were allocated to the derivation cohort (n = 343) and the validation cohort (n = 246). Multivariable logistic regression models were used to construct the nomogram. The nomogram was validated in both cohorts. The simplified risk score was derived from the nomogram.

RESULTS

The nomogram was constructed based on presence of clay stool, gallbladder length, gallbladder emptying index, shear wave elastography value, and gamma-glutamyl transferase level. This model showed good calibration and discrimination ability, with the C-index of 0.968 (95% CI: 0.951-0.984). The discriminating ability is most prominent in the 61-90 days group, with AUC of 0.982 (95% CI: 0.955-1.000). The simplified risk score identified most patients with very high or low risk of BA, and was capable of exempting 64.3% non-BA patients from intraoperative cholangiogram procedure.

CONCLUSIONS

This novel diagnostic nomogram had good discrimination and calibration abilities. The simplified scoring system showed significant clinical utility.

Percutaneous ultrasound-guided cholecystocholangiography with microbubbles combined with liver biopsy for the assessment of suspected biliary atresia

BACKGROUND

Percutaneous ultrasound (US)-guided cholecystocholangiography is effective in diagnosing biliary atresia for infants with a gallbladder >1.5 cm in length on US. However, whether it is still effective for other types of gallbladders needs further clarification.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the diagnostic performance and safety of percutaneous US-guided cholecystocholangiography combined with liver biopsy in children with suspected biliary atresia and with different types of gallbladders on US.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Sixty-five infants were referred for percutaneous US-guided cholecystocholangiography with microbubbles and liver biopsy after an equivocal (n=39) or highly suspected (n=26) US diagnosis of biliary atresia. Two radiologists evaluated US and percutaneous US-guided cholecystocholangiography images in consensus. One pathologist independently evaluated liver specimens. We used the unpaired t-test, Mann-Whitney U test and chi-square test to analyze the data.

RESULTS

Of the 65 infants, 59 (90.8%) underwent a successful percutaneous US-guided cholecystocholangiography, with both sensitivity and specificity of 100%. All six infants for whom puncture failed had contracted gallbladders. The sensitivity and specificity of liver biopsy in the diagnosis of biliary atresia were 89.7% (26/29) and 83.3% (30/36), respectively. When percutaneous US-guided cholecystocholangiography and liver biopsy were combined, all infants gained correct diagnosis, and in 35 infants (97.2%, 35/36) biliary atresia could be excluded without intraoperative cholangiography. Twenty-two of 65 infants (33.8%) had fluid collections around the liver related to puncture. None of these complications needed treatment.

CONCLUSION

Percutaneous US-guided cholecystocholangiography combined with liver biopsy appears safe and effective for excluding or confirming biliary atresia in cholestatic infants with a dilated gallbladder on US.

Current Understanding in the Clinical Characteristics and Molecular Mechanisms in Different Subtypes of Biliary Atresia

Biliary atresia is a severe obliterative cholangiopathy in early infancy that is by far the most common cause of surgical jaundice and the most common indicator for liver transplantation in children. With the advanced knowledge gained from different clinical trials and the development of research models, a more precise clinical classification of BA (i.e., isolated BA (IBA), cystic BA (CBA), syndromic BA (SBA), and cytomegalovirus-associated BA (CMVBA)) is proposed. Different BA subtypes have similar yet distinguishable clinical manifestations. The clinical and etiological heterogeneity leads to dramatically different prognoses; hence, treatment needs to be specific. In this study, we reviewed the clinical characteristics of different BA subtypes and revealed the molecular mechanisms of their developmental contributors. We aimed to highlight the differences among these various subtypes of BA which ultimately contribute to the development of a specific management protocol for each subtype.

Effects of cytomegalovirus infection on the differential diagnosis between biliary atresia and intrahepatic cholestasis in a Chinese large cohort study

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Differentiating biliary atresia from other causes of neonatal cholestasis is challenging, particularly when cytomegalovirus (CMV) and biliary atresia occur simultaneously. We aimed to elucidate whether CMV infection would affect the differential diagnosis of biliary atresia and intrahepatic cholestasis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted among patients with neonatal cholestasis admitted to three tertiary hospitals between January 2010 and August 2019. The clinical characteristics, laboratory, and imaging findings were recorded. On the basis of the CMV serology results, the infants were classified into CMV-IgM (+) and CMV-IgM (-) groups. The clinical differences and diagnostic performances of routine predictors between biliary atresia and intrahepatic cholestasis were analyzed in each group. Finally, we compared the diagnostic performances of various tests in the two groups.

RESULTS

A total of 705 patients with neonatal cholestasis were enrolled: 215 (30.5%) patients were positive for CMV-IgM, among whom 97 had biliary atresia and 118 had CMV hepatitis; 490 infants were CMV-IgM (-), among whom 240 had biliary atresia and 250 had intrahepatic cholestasis. The diagnostic performances of stool color, direct bilirubin level, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase level, abnormal gallbladder, triangular cord sign, and hepatobiliary scintigraphy between CMV hepatitis and CMV-IgM (+) biliary atresia were similar to those between CMV-IgM (-) biliary atresia and CMV-IgM (-) intrahepatic cholestasis groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Our large-scale study showed a high prevalence of CMV infection in patients with neonatal cholestasis in China. The presence of CMV infection did not affect the routine predictors to discriminate biliary atresia and intrahepatic cholestasis.

Plasma amyloid-beta levels correlated with impaired hepatic functions: An adjuvant biomarker for the diagnosis of biliary atresia

BACKGROUND

Biliary atresia (BA) is an infantile fibro-obstructive cholestatic disease with poor prognosis. An early diagnosis and timely Kasai portoenterostomy (KPE) improve clinical outcomes. Aggregation of amyloid-beta (Aβ) around hepatic bile ducts has been discovered as a factor for BA pathogenesis, yet whether plasma Aβ levels correlate with hepatic dysfunctions and could be a biomarker for BA remains unknown.

METHOD

Plasma samples of 11 BA and 24 controls were collected for liver function test, Aβ40 and Aβ42 measurement by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Pearson's chi-squared test or Mann-Whitney U test was performed to assess differences between groups. Correlation between Aβ42/Aβ40 and liver function parameters was performed using Pearson analysis. The area under the receiver-operative characteristic (ROC) curve (area under curve; AUC) was measured to evaluate the diagnostic power of Aβ42/Aβ40 for BA. Diagnostic enhancement was further evaluated by binary regression ROC analysis of Aβ42/Aβ40 combined with other hepatic function parameters.

RESULTS

Plasma Aβ42/Aβ40 was elevated in BA patients. Aβ42 displayed a weak positive correlation with γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) (Pearson's correlation = 0.349), while there was no correlation for Aβ40 with hepatic functions. Aβ42/Aβ40 was moderately correlated with GGT, total bile acid (TBA), direct bilirubin (DBIL) (Pearson's correlation = 0.533, 0.475, 0.480), and weakly correlated with total bilirubin (TBIL) (Pearson's correlation = 0.337). Aβ42/Aβ40 showed an acceptable predictive power for cholestasis [AUC = 0.746 (95% CI: 0.552-0.941), p < 0.05]. Diagnostic powers of Aβ42/Aβ40 together with hepatic function parameters for cholestasis were markedly improved compared to any indicator alone. Neither Aβ42/Aβ40 nor hepatic function parameters displayed sufficient power in discriminating BA from choledochal cysts (CC); however, combinations of Aβ42/Aβ40 + GGT along with any other hepatic function parameters could differentiate BA from CC-cholestasis (AUC = 1.000, p < 0.05) with a cut-off value as 0.02371, -0.28387, -0.34583, 0.06224, 0.01040, 0.06808, and 0.05898, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Aβ42/Aβ40 is a good indicator for cholestasis, but alone is insufficient for a distinction of BA from non-BA. However, Aβ42/Aβ40 combined with GGT and one other hepatic function parameter displayed a high predictive power as a screening test for jaundiced neonates who are more likely to be BA, enabling them to early intraoperative cholangiography for BA confirmation and KPE to improve surgical outcomes. However, a multi-centers validation is needed before introduction into daily clinical practice.

Diagnostic approach to neonatal and infantile cholestasis: A position paper by the SIGENP liver disease working group

Neonatal and infantile cholestasis (NIC) can represent the onset of a surgically correctable disease and of a genetic or metabolic disorder worthy of medical treatment. Timely recognition of NIC and identification of the underlying etiology are paramount to improve outcomes. Upon invitation by the Italian National Institute of Health (ISS), an expert working grouped was formed to formulate evidence-based positions on current knowledge about the diagnosis of NIC. A systematic literature search was conducted to collect evidence about epidemiology, etiology, clinical aspects and accuracy of available diagnostic tests in NIC. Evidence was scored using the GRADE system. All recommendations were approved by a panel of experts upon agreement of at least 75% of the members. The final document was approved by all the panel components. This position document summarizes the collected statements and defines the best-evidence diagnostic approach to cholestasis in the first year of life.

Low gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase levels at presentation are associated with severity of liver illness and poor outcome in biliary atresia

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the clinical features and prognosis of biliary atresia (BA) with normal or minimally elevated gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT).

METHODS

The clinical data of patients with BA in our hospital between 2012 and 2017 were retrospectively studied. The patients were divided into a low-GGT group (GGT ≤ 300 IU/L) and a high-GGT group (GGT > 300 IU/L) according to the preoperative GGT level. The perioperative clinical parameters, the postoperative jaundice clearance within 6 months, and the 2-year native liver survival were compared among the groups.

RESULTS

A total of 1,998 children were included in this study, namely, 496 in the low-GGT group and 1,502 in the high-GGT group. The ages and weights at the surgery in the low-GGT group were significantly lower than those in the high-GGT group (64.71 ± 21.35 vs. 68.64 ± 22.42 days, P = 0.001; 4.67 ± 1.03 vs. 4.89 ± 0.98 kg, P < 0.001). The levels of serum ALP, ALT, and AST in the low-GGT group were significantly higher than those in the high-GGT group before and 2 weeks after the surgery (ALP: 647.52 ± 244.10 vs. 594.14 ± 228.33 U/L, P < 0.001; ALT: 119.62 ± 97.14 vs. 96.01 ± 66.28 U/L, P < 0.001; AST: 218.00 ± 173.82 vs. 160.71 ± 96.32 U/L; P < 0.001). The INR of the low-GGT group was higher than that of the high-GGT group (1.05 ± 0.34 vs. 0.98 ± 0.20, P < 0.001), while FIB was lower than the high-GGT group (2.54 ± 0.67 vs. 2.73 ± 1.44 g/L; P = 0.006). The decreasing amplitude of TB and DB within 2 weeks after surgery in the low-GGT group was smaller than those in the high-GGT group (TB: 51.62 ± 71.22 vs. 61.67 ± 53.99 μmol/L, P = 0.003; DB: 33.22 ± 35.57 vs. 40.20 ± 35.93 μmol/L, P < 0.001). The jaundice clearance rate in the low-GGT group was significantly lower than that in the high-GGT group at 1, 3, and 6 months after surgery (17.70 vs. 26.05%; 35.17 vs. 48.58%; 38.62 vs. 54.64%, P < 0.001). In addition, the 2-year native liver survival rate in the low-GGT group was significantly lower than that of the high-GGT group (52.5 vs. 66.3%, P < 0.001 HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.38-2.33).

CONCLUSION

Compared to patients with high GGT, patients with normal or minimally elevated pre-operative GGT in BA were found to have poorer pre-operative liver function parameters, and post-operatively had lower jaundice clearance rates and worse 2-year native liver survival. This suggests a lower GGT at presentation in biliary atresia could be a sign of more severe liver injury.

Protocol for a diagnostic accuracy study to develop diagnosis algorithm for biliary atresia using MMP-7 (DIABA-7 study): a study recruiting from Chinese Biliary Atresia Collaborative Network

Introduction

Biliary atresia is a severe liver disease in neonates, and the prognosis partially depends on the age at which infants undergo the Kasai procedure. Matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7) was confirmed to have significant value in the diagnosis of biliary atresia. However, so far, the reference range and its cut-off value for diagnosing biliary atresia have not been established yet.

Methods and analysis

DIagnosis Algorithm for Biliary Atresia (DIABA-7) is a prospective diagnostic test. Cholestatic infants and normal controls within 150 days of age are recruiting from the Chinese Biliary Atresia Collaborative Network. The serum samples and dried blood spot (DBS) samples are obtained to detect MMP-7 concentrations using an ELISA kit. The reference standard is the intraoperative exploration and subsequent histological examination of liver biopsies. Lambda-Mu-Sigma (LMS) method is used to calculate the normal range of serum MMP-7 of each age group. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves are constructed to calculate the best cut-off point and area under the curve for the index test. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value are used to show the diagnostic accuracy. Pearson correlation coefficient test is applied to assess the correlation of serum MMP-7 and DBS MMP-7.

Ethics and dissemination

This study was reviewed and approved by the Ethics Committee of Children’s Hospital of Fudan University (Number 2020–296). Dissemination will be guided by investigators and patients. The aim is to publish the study results in a high-quality peer-reviewed journal and present the findings at international academic meetings.

Trial registration number

ChiCTR2000032983.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram Incorporating Ultrasonic and Elastic Findings for the Preoperative Diagnosis of Biliary Atresia

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a nomogram that incorporates the gallbladder morphology, hepatic elasticity, and demographic information for the prediction of biliary atresia (BA) in children.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 294 consecutive patients under the age of 70 days with cholestasis and suspected symptoms of BA were enrolled in this study, who were divided into a training cohort (150 patients) and a validation cohort (144 patients). Ultrasonography and two-dimensional shear wave elastography were performed for each patient prior to knowing the final diagnosis. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the gallbladder morphologic feature in the sonogram (absence of gallbladder, small gallbladder, lower postprandial gallbladder contractibility, or abnormal gallbladder wall), hepatic elasticity and clinical data from the training cohort, and a diagnostic nomogram for BA was subsequently developed. The performance of the nomogram was respectively evaluated with respect to the discrimination and calibration in every cohort.

RESULTS

The multivariate analysis showed that the factors of age (p = 0.009), gallbladder morphology (p = 0.001) and hepatic elasticity (p < 0.001) could serve as independent predictive factors to differentiate between BA and other causes of cholestasis. The nomogram incorporating these three parameters showed good discrimination and satisfactory calibration, indicating a better performance compared to using only the gallbladder morphologic features and hepatic elasticity. The observed area under the receiver operator characteristic curve in the training cohort and validation cohort was 0.939 (p < 0.001) and 0.942 (p < 0.001), respectively, with a sensitivity of 95.5% and a specificity of 83.4% in the combined cohort.

CONCLUSION

The established nomogram shows a favored and improved predictive value for the diagnosis of BA.

A nomogram-based diabetic sensorimotor polyneuropathy severity prediction using Michigan neuropathy screening instrumentations

BACKGROUND

Diabetic Sensorimotor polyneuropathy (DSPN) is one of the major indelible complications in diabetic patients. Michigan neuropathy screening instrumentation (MNSI) is one of the most common screening techniques used for DSPN, however, it does not provide any direct severity grading system.

METHOD

For designing and modeling the DSPN severity grading systems for MNSI, 19 years of data from Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications (EDIC) clinical trials were used. Different Machine learning-based feature ranking techniques were investigated to identify the important MNSI features associated with DSPN diagnosis. A multivariable logistic regression-based nomogram was generated and validated for DSPN severity grading using the best performing top-ranked MNSI features.

RESULTS

Top-10 ranked features from MNSI features: Appearance of Feet (R), Ankle Reflexes (R), Vibration perception (L), Vibration perception (R), Appearance of Feet (L), 10-gm filament (L), Ankle Reflexes (L), 10-gm filament (R), Bed Cover Touch, and Ulceration (R) were identified as important features for identifying DSPN by Multi-Tree Extreme Gradient Boost model. The nomogram-based prediction model exhibited an accuracy of 97.95% and 98.84% for the EDIC test set and an independent test set, respectively. A DSPN severity score technique was generated for MNSI from the DSPN severity prediction model. DSPN patients were stratified into four severity levels: absent, mild, moderate, and severe using the cut-off values of 17.6, 19.1, 20.5 for the DSPN probability less than 50%, 75%-90%, and above 90%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this work provide a machine learning-based MNSI severity grading system which has the potential to be used as a secondary decision support system by health professionals in clinical applications and large clinical trials to identify high-risk DSPN patients.

Ultrasound characteristics combined with gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase for diagnosis of biliary atresia in infants less than 30 days

PURPOSE

To retrospectively assess the diagnostic performance of grey-scale ultrasound (US) characteristics and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) alone or combined in distinguishing biliary atresia (BA) from other cholestasis diseases in infants younger than 30 days.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between January 2012 and October 2020, the demographic characteristics, laboratory results and US characteristics of 35 BA and 52 non-BA infants younger than 30 days were retrospectively evaluated. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were used to estimate the probability of predicting BA, which were compared by DeLong test.

RESULTS

The diagnostic performance of gallbladder classification in identifying BA was higher than that of fibrotic cord thickness (AUC 0.900 vs. 0.771, P = 0.03). With the cutoff level of 188 IU/L, serum GGT had a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of 77.1%, 69.2%, 62.8%, and 81.8%, respectively. Combined with gallbladder classification and GGT, the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV and accuracy were 100.0%, 63.5%, 64.8%, 100.0% and 78.2%.

CONCLUSIONS

Gallbladder classification was more valuable than fibrotic cord thickness in the diagnosis of BA among infants less than 30 days. Combined with gallbladder classification and GGT, the sensitivity for the diagnosis of BA can reach 100.0%.

Biomarkers for the diagnosis and post-Kasai portoenterostomy prognosis of biliary atresia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

To evaluate the accuracy of biomarkers for the early diagnosis of biliary atresia (BA) and prognostic stratification after Kasai portoenterostomy (KPE). We conducted a systematic review of PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Scopus and OVID for English literature reporting BA biomarkers published before August 2020. Screening, data extraction, and quality assessment were performed in duplicate. A total of 51 eligible studies were included in the systematic review, and data from 12 (4182 subjects) were extracted for meta-analysis regarding the following 2 domains: (1) serum matrix metallopeptidase-7 (MMP-7), interleukin33 (IL-33) and γ-glutamyl transferase (GGT) to differentiate BA from non-BA; (2) the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRi) to predict post-KPE liver fibrosis/cirrhosis. The summary sensitivity, specificity and area under the curve (AUC) of MMP-7 for diagnosing BA were 96%, 91% and 0.9847, respectively, and those of GGT were 80%, 79% and 0.9645, respectively. The summary sensitivity and specificity of IL-33 for diagnosing BA were 77% and 85%, respectively. The summary sensitivity and specificity of APRi for predicting post-KPE liver fibrosis were 61% and 80%, respectively, and the summary sensitivity, specificity and AUC of APRi for predicting post-KPE cirrhosis were 78%, 83% and 0.8729, respectively. Moreover, good evidence was shown in investigations of serum IL-18 and IL-33 in distinguishing BA from healthy controls, serum IL-18 for prognosis of post-KPE persistent jaundice, and serum hyaluronic acid and MMP-7 for prognosis of post-KPE significant liver fibrosis. MMP-7, IL-33 and GGT are useful biomarkers to assist in the diagnosis of BA. APRi might be used to predict post-KPE significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. These noninvasive biomarkers can be integrated into the management protocol of BA.

A model incorporating serum C3 complement levels may be useful for diagnosing biliary atresia in infants

INTRODUCTION

Correctly identifying patients with biliary atresia (BA), while avoiding invasive diagnostic methods is challenging. The purpose of this study was to determine the value of serum immune indicators for distinguishing BA from other causes of cholestasis in infants.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The data of infants with a surgical/histological diagnosis of BA and those with other causes of cholestatic jaundice were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into a BA group and a cholestasis control (CC) group. Biochemical parameters, major lymphocyte subsets, immunoglobin and C3 and C4 complement levels were compared between the groups.

RESULTS

A total of 129 infants with BA and 63 with other causes of cholestasis (CC control group) with a median age of 2.2 months were included in the analysis. The levels of CD3⁺ T cells, CD3⁺CD4⁺ T cells, and premature T cells and the levels of C3 and C4 were all significantly higher in the BA group compared to the CC group (all P<0.05). Pair-wise correlation analyses indicated that C3 and C4 had a significant positive correlation with γ-GT in the BA group, but not in the CC group. Five indices were found to be significantly associated with BA: stool color, globulin, γ-GT, C3 and C4. A model incorporating stool color, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase level, and C3 level exhibited an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.93, and a sensitivity of 93% and specificity of 83% for the diagnosis of BA.

CONCLUSIONS

Models incorporating serum C3 levels may be useful for accurately diagnosing BA in infants.

Neonatal cholestasis: development of a diagnostic decision algorithm from multivariate predictive models

Despite the recent advances involving molecular studies, the neonatal cholestasis (NC) diagnosis still relays on the expertise of medical teams. Our aim was to develop models of etiological diagnosis and unfavourable prognosis which may support a rationale diagnostic approach. We retrospectively analysed 154 patients born between January 1985 and October 2019. The cohort was divided into two main groups: (A) transient cholestasis and (B) other diagnosis (with subgroups) and also in two groups of outcomes: (I) unfavourable and (II) favourable. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified the lower gestational age as the only variable independently associated with an increased risk of transient cholestasis and signs and/or symptoms of sepsis with infectious or metabolic diseases. Gamma-glutamyl transferase serum levels > 300 IU/L had a positive predictive value for both diagnosis of biliary atresia and for alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency (A1ATD) and for unfavourable prognosis. A model of diagnosis for A1ATD (n = 34) showed an area under the ROC curve = 0.843 [confidence interval (CI): 0.773-0.912].Conclusion: This study identified some predictors of diagnosis and prognosis which helped to build a diagnostic decision algorithm. The unusually large subgroup of patients with A1ATD in this cohort emphasizes its predictive diagnostic model. What Is Known • The etiological diagnosis of neonatal cholestasis (NC) requires a step-by-step guided approach, and diagnostic models have been developed only for biliary atresia. • Current algorithms neither address the epidemiology changes nor the application of the new molecular diagnostic tools. What Is New • This study provides diagnostic predictive models for patients with A1ATD, metabolic/infectious diseases, and transient cholestasis, and two models of unfavourable prognosis for NC. • A diagnostic decision algorithm is proposed based on this study, authors expertise and the literature.

Web-based calculator for biliary atresia screening in neonates and infants with cholestasis

BACKGROUND

Distinguishing biliary atresia from non-biliary atresia in patients with cholestasis is challenging, as these conditions have a similar clinical presentation. We developed and externally validated a screening model for biliary atresia and devised a web-based calculator for use in clinical settings.

METHODS

A screening model was developed based on data from 227 cholestatic infants (82 and 145 with and without biliary atresia, respectively) and validated in 234 infants (90 and 144 with and without biliary atresia, respectively) admitted to three hospitals. Variables were selected from routine examination results using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method and entered into a logistic regression model to construct a biliary-atresia-risk-predicting equation. Cutoff values for risk stratification were estimated using model sensitivity, derived from the receiver-operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

The final screening model included seven variables (i.e., weight at admission, clay-colored stools, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase and albumin levels at admission, abnormal gallbladder, triangular cord sign, and change in total bilirubin levels). The model generated an area under the curve of 0.94 with a sensitivity of 91.46 and specificity of 86.62 in the derivation cohort. This was confirmed in the validation cohort, as we found an area under the curve of 0.93 with a sensitivity of 93.1 and specificity of 80.15. Patients were stratified into three risk groups (low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups). Biliary atresia was excluded in the low-risk group. The high-risk group showed a higher detection rate of biliary atresia compared to the stool color screening method alone. This model was integrated into a user-friendly web-based system.

CONCLUSIONS

The screening tool had a high predictive value and may help in decision-making by physicians at tertiary and community hospitals.

Two-Dimensional Shear Wave Elastography Predicts Liver Fibrosis in Jaundiced Infants with Suspected Biliary Atresia: A Prospective Study

Objective

This study aimed to evaluate the role of preoperative two-dimensional (2D) shear wave elastography (SWE) in assessing the stages of liver fibrosis in patients with suspected biliary atresia (BA) and compared its diagnostic performance with those of serum fibrosis biomarkers.

Materials and Methods

This study was approved by the ethical committee, and written informed parental consent was obtained. Two hundred and sixteen patients were prospectively enrolled between January 2012 and October 2018. The 2D SWE measurements of 69 patients have been previously reported. 2D SWE measurements, serum fibrosis biomarkers, including fibrotic markers and biochemical test results, and liver histology parameters were obtained. 2D SWE values, serum biomarkers including, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRi), and other serum fibrotic markers were correlated with the stages of liver fibrosis by METAVIR. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the ROC (AUROC) curve analyses were used.

Results

The correlation coefficient of 2D SWE value in correlation with the stages of liver fibrosis was 0.789 (p < 0.001). The cut-off values of 2D SWE were calculated as 9.1 kPa for F1, 11.6 kPa for F2, 13.0 kPa for F3, and 15.7 kPa for F4. The AUROCs of 2D SWE in the determination of the stages of liver fibrosis ranged from 0.869 to 0.941. The sensitivity and negative predictive value of 2D SWE in the diagnosis of ≥ F3 was 93.4% and 96.0%, respectively. The diagnostic performance of 2D SWE was superior to that of APRi and other serum fibrotic markers in predicting severe fibrosis and cirrhosis (all p < 0.005) and other serum biomarkers. Multivariate analysis showed that the 2D SWE value was the only statistically significant parameter for predicting liver fibrosis.

Conclusion

2D SWE is a more effective non-invasive tool for predicting the stage of liver fibrosis in patients with suspected BA, compared with serum fibrosis biomarkers.

Steroid 5 alpha-reductase 2 enzyme variants, biomass exposure and tobacco use in Mexican patients with prostate cancer

The presence of the genetic variants of the steroid 5-alpha reductase 2 enzyme, which is encoded by the SRD5A2 gene, has been associated with an increased risk of developing prostate cancer among certain ethnic groups. However, these molecular studies have not been conducted on the Mexican population. The analysis of the genetic variants, rs9282858 and rs523349, was performed in 101 males with prostate cancer and 100 healthy controls classified as males without prostate abnormalities (n=60) and males with benign prostatic hyperplasia (n=40), to identify a probable association with this cancer type in the Northeast Mexican population. An association was identified between prostate cancer and biomass exposure [P=0.012; odds ratio (OR), 2.89; confidence interval (CI)=1.21-6.88] and tobacco use (P=0.028; OR=1.88; CI=1.07-3.31), while no association was observed between cancer development and the rs9282858 variant, or between a protective effect and the rs523349 variant. Notably, an association was identified between rs523349 and biomass exposure (P=0.013, OR=3.17; CI=1.23-8.17 for the G risk allele, and OR=0.32, CI=0.12-0.81 for the C protective allele) using the dominant genetic model. To the best of our knowledge, the present study was the first of its type to investigate the Mexican population with prostate cancer.

Biliary atresia: East versus west

Biliary atresia (BA) is a common cause of surgical jaundice during the neonatal period. It is currently considered as a spectrum of diseases with a common final pathology characterized by obliteration of the extrahepatic biliary tract and the absence of normally branching intrahepatic ducts. Though it is a global disease that can be found in all ethnicities there are some clear differences between BA arising in the East and the West. This is likely to be related to different genetic, environmental and cultural factors. BA is more frequently found in Far Eastern infants (both Chinese and Japanese) though the syndromic associations are much less common. Many Eastern countries have national screening programmes not seen in the West possibly due to debate over its cost effectiveness in countries where incidence is low. Kasai portoenterostomy (KPE) is considered as the primary treatment of BA but its outcome still remains unsatisfactory across the region. Given the complexity of BA, it is unlikely that strategic advances could be made by the sole effort of individual countries and we believe that collaboration between the East and West is the way forward.

Combination of gamma-glutamyl transferase and liver stiffness measurement for biliary atresia screening at different ages: a retrospective analysis of 282 infants

BACKGROUND

This study aims to explore the diagnostic accuracy of the combination of gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for biliary atresia (BA) screening at different ages.

METHODS

Our retrospective study involved 282 infants under the age of 120 days with jaundice who were admitted into Beijing Children's Hospital between January 2016 to December 2018. The GGT and LSM levels of infants were obtained. A parallel test was used, and ROC curve was created to obtain cutoff values of GGT and LSM for BA infants at different ages.

RESULTS

Of the 282 infants, 135 were diagnosed with BA and 147 were non-BA infants. In all age groups (A: ≤60 days; B: 61-90 days; C: 91-120 days), the LSM and GGT levels of the BA group were significantly higher than that of the non-BA group, P < 0.05. The cutoff value of GGT and LSM to diagnosis BA was 191.2 U/L, 213.2 U/L, 281.5 U/L and 7.5 kPa, 10.0 kPa, 11.0 kPa in groups A, B and C, respectively. The parallel test was used to determine a sensitivity of 97.3, 98.1 and 100% in group A, B and C when either GGT or LSM levels were met in BA infants. The sensitivities of parallel testing for group A and B were higher than LSM or GGT used alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Cutoff values of GGT and LSM to screen BA increased with age. Parallel testing of GGT and LSM in infants who are younger than 90 days old can decrease the rate of BA misdiagnosis.

Development and validation of bile acid profile-based scoring system for identification of biliary atresia: a prospective study

BACKGROUND

Early distinguishing biliary atresia from other causes of infantile cholestasis remains a major challenge. We aimed to develop and validate a scoring system based on bile acid for identification of biliary atresia.

METHODS

In a prospective study, a total of 141 infants with cholestasis were enrolled in two sets (derivation cohort, n = 66; validation cohort, n = 75) from 2014 to 2018. Variables with significant difference between biliary atresia and non-biliary atresia infants were selected in the derivation cohort. Then, a scoring system including those variables was designed and validated.

RESULTS

Among 66 patients in the derivation cohort, 34 (51.5%) had biliary atresia. A scoring system was proposed with the following variables: glycochenodeoxycholic acid/chenodeoxycholic acid, clay stool, and gamma-glutamyl transferase. The total score ranged from 0 to 41, and a cutoff value of 15 identified biliary atresia with an area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87 (95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.94), sensitivity of 85.3%, and specificity of 81.3% in the derivation cohort; these values were also confirmed in a validation cohort with a sensitivity of 90.0% and specificity of 80.0%.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed simple scoring system had good diagnostic accuracy for estimating the risk of biliary atresia in infants with cholestasis.

Three-color risk stratification for improving the diagnostic accuracy for biliary atresia

OBJECTIVES

It is challenging to early differentiate biliary atresia from other causes of cholestasis. We aimed to develop an algorithm with risk stratification to distinguish biliary atresia from infantile cholestasis.

METHODS

In this study, we enrolled infants with cholestasis into 2 subgroups from January 2010 to April 2019. A prospective cohort (subgroup 2) of 187 patients (107 with biliary atresia and 80 without biliary atresia) underwent acoustic radiation force impulse elastography. Stepwise regression was used to identify significant predictors of biliary atresia. A sequential algorithm with risk stratification was constructed.

RESULTS

Among 187 patients, shear wave speed > 1.35 m/s and presence of the triangular cord sign were considered high risk for biliary atresia (red), in which 73 of 78 patients (accuracy of 93.6%) with biliary atresia were identified. Afterwards, γ-GT, abnormal gallbladder, and clay stool were introduced into the algorithm and 55 intermediate-risk infants were identified (yellow) with a diagnostic accuracy of 60% for biliary atresia. Of the remaining 54 infants who were classified as low-risk patients (green), the accuracy for excluding biliary atresia was 98.1%. By applying a three-color risk stratification tool, 70.6% patients were identified as either high risk or low risk for biliary atresia (area under the curve, 0.983; sensitivity, 98.7%; specificity, 91.4%). We also estimated the risk of biliary atresia in different color groups, which was 94.7% (95%CI, 94.3-95.5%) in the red group and 7.2% (95%CI, 6.6-8.3%) in the green group.

CONCLUSIONS

Our simple noninvasive approach was able to identify biliary atresia with high accuracy.

KEY POINTS

• Five predictors, namely shear wave speed, triangle cord sign, γ-glutamyl transferase, abnormal gallbladder, and clay stool, were selected to identify biliary atresia in cholestasis. • Shear wave speed > 1.35 m/s and presence of the triangle cord sign were considered high-risk patients with a diagnostic accuracy of 93.6% for biliary atresia. • Risk for biliary atresia was high (red), intermediate (yellow), or low (green). In the red and green group, we achieved an extremely high diagnostic performance (area under the curve, 0.983; sensitivity, 98.7%; specificity, 91.4%).

[Value of serum gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase combined with direct bilirubin in the diagnosis of biliary atresia in infants]

OBJECTIVE

To study the value of serum gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) combined with direct bilirubin (DB) in the diagnosis of biliary atresia.

METHODS

A total of 667 infants with cholestasis who were hospitalized and treated from July 2010 to December 2018 were enrolled as subjects. According to the results of intraoperative cholangiography and follow-up, they were divided into biliary atresia group with 234 infants and cholestasis group with 433 infants. The two groups were compared in terms of age of onset, sex, and serum levels of total bilirubin (TB), DB, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bile acid (TBA), and GGT. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed for indices with statistical significance, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) and the optimal cut-off value for diagnosis were calculated.

RESULTS

The biliary atresia group had a significantly younger age of onset than the cholestasis group (P<0.001). There were no significant differences in sex, ALT, and AST between the two groups (P>0.05), while the biliary atresia group had significantly higher serum levels of TB, DB, TBA, and GGT than the cholestasis group (P<0.05). GGT combined with DB had the highest AUC of 0.892 (95% confidence interval: 0.868-0.916) in the diagnosis of biliary atresia. At the optimal cut-off values of 324.0 U/L for GGT and 115.1 μmmol/L for DB, GGT combined with DB had a sensitivity of 79.8% and a specificity of 83.2% in the diagnosis of biliary atresia.

CONCLUSIONS

GGT combined with DB has high sensitivity and specificity in the diagnosis of biliary atresia and can be used as an effective indicator for diagnosis of biliary atresia in infants.

Serum MMP-7 in the Diagnosis of Biliary Atresia

BACKGROUND

The overlapping features of biliary atresia (BA) and other neonatal cholestasis with alternative causes (non-BA) have posed challenges for diagnosis. Matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7) has been reported to be promising in diagnosing BA. We aimed to validate the diagnostic accuracy of MMP-7 for BA in a large population sample.

METHODS

We enrolled 288 patients with neonatal obstructive jaundice from March 2017 to October 2018. Serum MMP-7 levels were measured by using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed, and decision curve analysis was done. A Pearson correlation coefficient test was conducted to assess the correlation between MMP-7 levels and other characteristics.

RESULTS

The median serum MMP-7 levels were 38.89 ng/mL (interquartile range: 22.96-56.46) for the BA group and 4.4 ng/mL (interquartile range: 2.73-6.56) for the non-BA group (P < .001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value was 0.9829 for MMP-7, and the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 95.19%, 93.07%, 97.27%, and 91.43%, respectively, at a cutoff value of 10.37 ng/mL. When MMP-7 was combined with γ glutamyl transferase, the diagnostic accuracy was slightly improved without significance when compared with MMP-7 alone and had an area under the curve of 0.9880 (P = .08). Decision curve analysis also showed potential for MMP-7 to be used for clinical applications. A significant correlation was found with fibrosis stage from liver biopsy (R = 0.47; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

MMP-7 demonstrated good accuracy in diagnosing BA and holds promise for future clinical application. Furthermore, its correlation with liver fibrosis indicated its potential use as a therapeutic target or prognostic biomarker.

Tc-99m PMT scintigraphy in the diagnosis of pediatric biliary atresia

PURPOSE

Hepatobiliary scintigraphy plays an important role in the differentiation of biliary atresia (BA) and non-BA. The usefulness of ^99mTc-iminodiacetic acid (IDA) derivatives in BA diagnosis is reported in several papers. In contrast, there are no comprehensive data on differentiating BA from non-BA using ^99mTc-N-pyridoxyl-5-methyl-tryptophan (PMT). Our objective was to evaluate the usefulness of ^99mTc-PMT scintigraphy in the diagnosis of BA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

52 infants who received ^99mTc-PMT scintigraphy for suspected BA were retrospectively evaluated. Preoperative cholangiograms or follow-ups were used as the gold standard for diagnosis of BA. We analyzed the utility of ^99mTc-PMT scintigraphy, various clinical and investigational parameters in the diagnosis of BA.

RESULTS

The final diagnoses in this group were BA (67.3%) and non-BA (32.7%). ^99mTc-PMT scintigraphy, stool color change, total bilirubin, direct bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and γ-glutamyl transferase (γ-GTP) led to distinguishing between BA and non-BA in univariate analysis. Subsequent multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that ^99mTc-PMT scintigraphy and γ-GTP were independent predictors of BA. The diagnostic accuracy of ^99mTc-PMT scintigraphy was 94.2%.

CONCLUSIONS

^99mTc-PMT scintigraphy is more accurate in the diagnosis of BA than other conventional examinations. In addition, false positives of ^99mTc-PMT scintigraphy could be reduced by combining γ-GTP level monitoring.

Biliary atresia: a scientometric analysis of the global research architecture and scientific developments

Biliary atresia (BA) is a rare cholangiopathy of largely unknown etiology and unpredictable outcome. There has been an increasing number of BA-related publications, which may challenge researchers to determine their actual scientific value. This study aimed to evaluate the global research activity and developments relating to BA using a combination of scientometric methodologies and visualization tools. A comprehensive search strategy for the Web of Science™ database was designed to obtain bibliographic data on scientific BA publications for the timespan 1900-2018. Research output of countries, institutions, individual authors and collaborative networks was analyzed. Semi-qualitative research measures including citation rate and h-index were assessed. Choropleth mapping and network diagrams were used to visualize results. In total, 4,459 publications on BA were identified (88.5% in English), originating from 63 countries. The largest number was published by the USA (n = 991; 22.2%), Japan (n = 667; 15.0%) and the UK (n = 294; 6.6%). The USA combined the highest number of cooperation articles (n = 140). The most productive collaborative network was established between the USA and Canada (n = 17). Scientific papers from the UK received the highest average citation rate (16.7), whereas the USA had the highest country-specific h-index (59). Eighty-eight (2.0%) items were published under the auspices of multicenter consortiums and registries. The most productive institutions and authors were based in the USA, the UK, Japan, France, Canada and Taiwan. BA-related research has constantly been progressing, becoming more multidisciplinary but with main research endeavors concentrated in a few high-income countries. Studies into pathogenesis of BA remain uncommon, but are sorely needed to foster true scientific progress with this rare disease. Hence, international collaborative and translational research should be strengthened to allow further evolution in this field.