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Wanjari RN, Shah TH, Telvekar P, Bhat FA, Abubakr A, Bhat BA, Darve SI, Ramteke KK, Mathialagan D, Magloo AH, Singh BS. Assessing ecosystem health: A preliminary investigation of the gosikhurd dam ecosystem structure and functioning, an appraisal based on ecological modelling, India. ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 2024; 196:815. [PMID: 39145842 DOI: 10.1007/s10661-024-12958-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2023] [Accepted: 08/01/2024] [Indexed: 08/16/2024]
Abstract
This study aims to comprehensively understand the Gosikhurd Dam ecosystem (GDE) ecosystem by employing the Ecopath with Ecosim software (version 6.6.5) to construct a trophic mass balancing model. This model consisted of 16 functional groups of organisms, and their interactions and trophic levels were explored. The study focuses on various performance indicators to assess the ecosystem's maturity and complexity. To achieve these objectives, monthly fish samples were collected from June 2022 to May 2023. Performance indicators such as the connectance index (CI), system omnivory index (SOI), Finn's cycling index (FCI), mean path length (FML), ascendency, overhead, and Shannon diversity index were calculated to assess ecosystem maturity and complexity. The Finn's cycling index (FCI) and the mean path length (FML) were calculated as 1.81 and 2.20, respectively, indicating the ecosystem's responsiveness to environmental changes and overall system health and stability. Ascendency and overhead values were also analysed, with ascendency being relatively higher (41.58%), reflecting a system that utilises less than half of its total capacity. The overhead value (58.42%) indicated that the ecosystem is relatively stable and capable of adapting to external perturbations. Furthermore, the Shannon diversity index was 1.67, illustrating less diversity and validating the ecosystem's immaturity. The study identifies critical species and their roles in shaping the ecosystem dynamics, highlighting the importance of zooplankton, zoobenthos, and tilapia as keystone species. These indices propound that GDE is in its developmental stage and lacks complexity compared to mature ecosystems. The findings provide valuable insights into the current state of the ecosystem and can guide future management and conservation efforts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rinkesh Nemichand Wanjari
- Division of Fisheries Resource Management (FRM), Faculty of Fisheries (FoFY), SKUAST-K, Rangil, Ganderbal, 190006, J&K, India.
| | - Tasaduq Hussain Shah
- Division of Fisheries Resource Management (FRM), Faculty of Fisheries (FoFY), SKUAST-K, Rangil, Ganderbal, 190006, J&K, India
| | - Prashant Telvekar
- Fisheries Extension, Economics and Statistics, College of Fishery Science, Nagpur, 440006, Maharashtra, India
| | - Farooz Ahmad Bhat
- Division of Fisheries Resource Management (FRM), Faculty of Fisheries (FoFY), SKUAST-K, Rangil, Ganderbal, 190006, J&K, India
| | - Adnan Abubakr
- Division of Aquatic Environment Management, Faculty of Fisheries (FoFY), SKUAST-K, Rangil, Ganderbal, 190006, J&K, India
| | - Bilal Ahmad Bhat
- Division of Extension and Social Sciences, Faculty of Fisheries (FoFY), SKUAST-K, Rangil, Ganderbal, 190006, J&K, India
| | - Sabina Iqbal Darve
- Division of Fisheries Resource Management (FRM), Faculty of Fisheries (FoFY), SKUAST-K, Rangil, Ganderbal, 190006, J&K, India
| | - Karankumar Kishorkumar Ramteke
- Fisheries Resource Harvest and Post-Harvest Management (FRHPHM) Division, Central Institute of Fisheries Education (CIFE), Versova, Mumbai, 400061, Maharashtra, India
| | - Dhanalakshmi Mathialagan
- Fisheries Resource Harvest and Post-Harvest Management (FRHPHM) Division, Central Institute of Fisheries Education (CIFE), Versova, Mumbai, 400061, Maharashtra, India
| | - Aadil Hussain Magloo
- Division of Fisheries Resource Management (FRM), Faculty of Fisheries (FoFY), SKUAST-K, Rangil, Ganderbal, 190006, J&K, India
| | - Bidyasagar Sanjenbam Singh
- Fisheries Resource Harvest and Post-Harvest Management (FRHPHM) Division, Central Institute of Fisheries Education (CIFE), Versova, Mumbai, 400061, Maharashtra, India
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Zeng Y, Liu G, Li J, Zhao Y, Yang W. Ecological threshold of phosphorus load in Baiyangdian Lake based on a PCLake model and ecological network analysis. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2024; 915:170091. [PMID: 38224883 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170091] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2023] [Revised: 01/08/2024] [Accepted: 01/09/2024] [Indexed: 01/17/2024]
Abstract
Ecological thresholds are a useful indicator for implementing ecological management. Many studies determine the thresholds for nutrient loads in lakes based on the maximum allowable concentration of chlorophyll a (Chla), although this neglects the overall performance of the ecosystem. A PCLake model of Baiyangdian (BYD) Lake in northern China was constructed with six ecological network analysis (ENA) indicators that characterized the ecosystem function, system maturity, and food web structure to quantify the overall status of the BYD ecosystem. To my knowledge, this is the first study on the system level responses of the BYD Lake to phosphorus load interference. Different phosphorus load scenarios were designed to simulate the ecological responses of BYD Lake. The simulated results were employed to calculate the ENA indicators. Ecological thresholds were determined through the driving response relationship between the phosphorus load gradient and the ENA indicators. The results show a non-linear transition response of ENA indicator under phosphorus load gradient. As phosphorus load increases, D/H, SOI, and FCI decreases while A/DC, TPP/TR, and TPP/TB increases. This indicates that the overall structure and function of the ecosystem will deteriorate if phosphorus load increases. The phosphorus load thresholds for the overall performance of BYD Lake were 0.50-1.32 mg m-2 d-1, slightly wider than that of Chla (0.53-1.26 mg m-2 d-1). The model results clearly indicate that there is a time-lag phenomenon at the switch points in the response of ENA indicators compared to that of single functional group. In addition, the A/DC, TPP/TR, SOI, and FCI present more time-lag than that of other ENA indicators. These time-lag effects provide a particular opportunity for biodiversity conservation. Therefore, a possible management strategy is proposed to combine system-level and function group-level thresholds, with the ENA-based threshold as the bottom line and the phytoplankton's threshold as the early-warning indicator. This design is expected to be more precise and efficient, by exploiting the advantages of two thresholds, and may benefit for ecological management practices.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yong Zeng
- State Key Laboratory of Heavy Oil Processing, Beijing Key Laboratory of Oil & Gas Pollution Control, College of Chemical Engineering and Environment, China University of Petroleum, Beijing 102249, China.
| | - Gaiguo Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Heavy Oil Processing, Beijing Key Laboratory of Oil & Gas Pollution Control, College of Chemical Engineering and Environment, China University of Petroleum, Beijing 102249, China
| | - Jiaxin Li
- State Key Laboratory of Heavy Oil Processing, Beijing Key Laboratory of Oil & Gas Pollution Control, College of Chemical Engineering and Environment, China University of Petroleum, Beijing 102249, China
| | - Yanwei Zhao
- State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
| | - Wei Yang
- State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
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3
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Xiao S, Liu X, Zhou R, Zhao Y, Sun Z. Energy flow analysis of grass carp pond system based on Ecopath model. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2024; 31:10184-10197. [PMID: 37160521 PMCID: PMC10850012 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-27154-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2022] [Accepted: 04/17/2023] [Indexed: 05/11/2023]
Abstract
Grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idellus) is the most productive freshwater fish in China, but its traditional aquaculture model still has problems, such as poor water quality and frequent diseases. We have taken monoculture and 80:20 polyculture grass carp ponds as the research object and used EwE software to build the Ecopath model of two ponds. We analyzed and compared the characteristics of ecological structure and energy flow in two ponds. The result showed the highest effective trophic level in the polyculture pond that was higher than that in the monoculture pond, and fish in polyculture had higher EE values which showed the production of fish in polyculture contributed more to the energy conversion efficiency of the ecosystem. Flows into detritus were the largest component of TST both in the two ponds, which accounted for 49.34% and 50.37%. And the average transfer efficiency in monoculture was 13.07%, while that in polyculture was 15.6%. The ascendency/total development capacity (A/TDC) and overhead/total development capacity (O/TDC) were 0.35 and 0.65 both in the two ponds, respectively, which indicated that both systems had a strong anti-perturbation ability, but the stability could be improved. Finn's cycling index (FCI) in polyculture was higher and showed that the polyculture pond was more mature and stable. Unused energy of functional groups will flow to detritus, and that in the monoculture pond was higher, the energy of C. idellus that flowed to detritus in monoculture was 48.17% higher than that in polyculture; unused energy of bacteria and phytoplankton were also high. The result showed that polyculture could improve energy utilization, increase transfer efficiency, and raise the stability of the ecosystem. Grass carp ponds still need to be improved in the aspects of mixed species and energy consumption. It is necessary to improve the ecological and economic benefits of grass carp ponds by optimizing the aquaculture structure and adjusting the aquaculture proportion.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuwen Xiao
- Fishery Machinery and Instrument Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Shanghai, 200092, People's Republic of China
- Key Laboratory of Aquaculture Facilities Engineering, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Shanghai, 200092, People's Republic of China
- College of Fisheries and Life Science, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, 201306, People's Republic of China
| | - Xingguo Liu
- Fishery Machinery and Instrument Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Shanghai, 200092, People's Republic of China.
- Key Laboratory of Aquaculture Facilities Engineering, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Shanghai, 200092, People's Republic of China.
| | - Runfeng Zhou
- Fishery Machinery and Instrument Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Shanghai, 200092, People's Republic of China
- Key Laboratory of Aquaculture Facilities Engineering, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Shanghai, 200092, People's Republic of China
- College of Fisheries and Life Science, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, 201306, People's Republic of China
| | - Yuxi Zhao
- Fishery Machinery and Instrument Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Shanghai, 200092, People's Republic of China
- Key Laboratory of Aquaculture Facilities Engineering, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Shanghai, 200092, People's Republic of China
- College of Fisheries and Life Science, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, 201306, People's Republic of China
| | - Zhaoyun Sun
- Fishery Machinery and Instrument Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Shanghai, 200092, People's Republic of China
- Key Laboratory of Aquaculture Facilities Engineering, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Shanghai, 200092, People's Republic of China
- Wuxi Fisheries College, Nanjing Agriculture University, Wuxi, 214128, People's Republic of China
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Silver Carp ( Hypophthalmichthys molitrix) (Asian Silver Carp) Presence in Danube Delta and Romania-A Review with Data on Natural Reproduction. LIFE (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2022; 12:life12101582. [PMID: 36295017 PMCID: PMC9605455 DOI: 10.3390/life12101582] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2022] [Revised: 10/05/2022] [Accepted: 10/11/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
The Danube River has a large hydrographical basin, being the second largest river in Europe. The main channel flows through seven European countries with many species of fish inhabiting it. In this review we focused on the invasive species silver carp (Hypophthalmichthys molitrix), which plays an important ecological and economic role in its original habitat, but since introduced in Europe’s rivers, the species has posed a serious ecological risk under global warming. In this review paper, we gathered data regarding silver carp, such as when and how it entered the Danube Delta and the water temperature suitable for its growth and reproduction, mainly in the context of global warming, as well as the nature of nutrition and the ecological risk the species poses.
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Ji F, Ma X, Qiu L, Kang Z, Shen J. Quantifying the effects of introduced Bighead Carp (Cyprinidae; Aristichthys nobilis) stocking on dominant fish species in the Ulungur Lake, China. Biol Invasions 2022. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-021-02715-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
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6
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Is Zooplankton Body Size an Indicator of Water Quality in (Sub)tropical Reservoirs in China? Ecosystems 2021. [DOI: 10.1007/s10021-021-00656-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
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7
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Bezerra LAV, Ribeiro VM, Freitas MO, Kaufman L, Padial AA, Vitule JRS. Benthification, biotic homogenization behind the trophic downgrading in altered ecosystems. Ecosphere 2019. [DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.2757] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Luis Artur Valões Bezerra
- Laboratório de Análise e Síntese em Biodiversidade (LASB) Programa de Pós‐Graduação em Ecologia e Conservação Universidade Federal do Paraná Curitiba Brazil
- Biology Centre of the Czech Academy of Sciences Institute of Hydrobiology České Budějovice Czech Republic
| | - Vanessa Maria Ribeiro
- Laboratório de Ecologia e Conservação (LEC) Universidade Federal do Paraná Curitiba Brazil
| | - Matheus Oliveira Freitas
- Laboratório de Ecologia e Conservação (LEC) Universidade Federal do Paraná Curitiba Brazil
- Programa de Pós‐Graduação em Engenharia Ambiental (PPGEA) Universidade Federal do Paraná Curitiba Brazil
| | - Les Kaufman
- Boston University Marine Program 5 Cummington Mall Boston Massachusetts 02215 USA
| | - Andre Andrian Padial
- Laboratório de Análise e Síntese em Biodiversidade (LASB) Programa de Pós‐Graduação em Ecologia e Conservação Universidade Federal do Paraná Curitiba Brazil
| | - Jean Ricardo Simões Vitule
- Laboratório de Ecologia e Conservação (LEC) Universidade Federal do Paraná Curitiba Brazil
- Programa de Pós‐Graduação em Engenharia Ambiental (PPGEA) Universidade Federal do Paraná Curitiba Brazil
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8
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Wang S, Wang L, Zheng Y, Chen ZB, Yang Y, Lin HJ, Yang XQ, Wang TT. Application of mass-balance modelling to assess the effects of ecological restoration on energy flows in a subtropical reservoir, China. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2019; 664:780-792. [PMID: 30763858 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.334] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/02/2018] [Revised: 12/31/2018] [Accepted: 01/25/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
Eutrophication is a leading cause of impairment of lentic water bodies throughout the world. To inhibit algal blooms and remove excess nutrients, a 10,000 m2 restoration project consisting of vegetation establishment and fish manipulation was conducted in the eutrophic bay of the Yantian Reservoir, southern China. Three Ecopath models were constructed to assess the recovery effects at an ecosystem level, and time series data were simulated to propose a fishery policy. During the restoration, 1) the redundant primary production flowing back to detritus decreased due to the increased predation of four stocked fish with different feeding habits; 2) the transfer efficiencies (TEs) through trophic levels increased due to the reinforced energy flows along the planktivorous, herbivorous, and molluscivorous food chains; 3) the groups that had the highest keystoneness shifted from carnivorous fish to invertivorous fish and omnivorous shrimp, indicating the shift of mixed trophic impacts from top-down to wasp-waist control; and 4) the changing indices of path length, flow fluxes, matter cycling, and network information showed that the restored system was more mature, developed, and organized than before. To sustain the long-term energy balance and functioning of the ecosystem, the maximum fishing yields (0.37-8.53 g/m2/year) were determined to maintain the relative biomass (close to 1) of stocked fish and wild tilapia by harvesting their annual production.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sai Wang
- Research Center of Hydrobiology, Department of Ecology, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China; Research Center of Tropical and Subtropical Aquatic Ecological Engineering, Ministry of Education Engineering, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China
| | - Lin Wang
- Research Center of Hydrobiology, Department of Ecology, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China
| | - Yu Zheng
- Research Center of Hydrobiology, Department of Ecology, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China
| | - Zhong-Bing Chen
- Department of Applied Ecology, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague 16521, Prague 6, Czech Republic
| | - Yang Yang
- Research Center of Hydrobiology, Department of Ecology, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China; Research Center of Tropical and Subtropical Aquatic Ecological Engineering, Ministry of Education Engineering, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China.
| | - Hsing-Juh Lin
- Department of Life Sciences and Innovation and Development Center of Sustainable Agriculture, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung 402, Taiwan.
| | - Xiao-Qin Yang
- Belsun Aquatic Ecology Science & Technology Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510660, China
| | - Tuan-Tuan Wang
- State Key Laboratory of Organic Geochemistry, Guangzhou Institute of Geochemistry, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China
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9
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Li CH, Xian Y, Ye C, Wang YH, Wei WW, Xi HY, Zheng BH. Wetland ecosystem status and restoration using the Ecopath with Ecosim (EWE) model. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2019; 658:305-314. [PMID: 30577024 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2018] [Revised: 12/09/2018] [Accepted: 12/09/2018] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
With increasing awareness of the importance of wetlands, the number of new or restored wetlands in China is steadily growing; however, not all of them fulfill their expected ecological function. Maintaining wetlands in their optimal state is an urgent problem that requires research into the ecosystem evaluation, regulation, and biomass management of wetlands. The Ecopath with Ecosim (EWE) model, also known as the ecological channel model, is a balance model that can directly construct the ecological system structure and describe its energy flow and mass transfer through the principle of nutrition dynamics. Here, the EWE model is applied to determine the ecosystem status of a newly restored wetland, Zhushanhu wetland, in the Lake Tai buffer zone of Zhushan Bay, and evaluate the current ecological regulations and biomass control measures. Our results provide theoretical and scientific support for the management and maintenance of wetland ecological restorations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chun-Hua Li
- Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, National Engineering Laboratory for Lake Pollution Control and Ecological Restoration, Beijing 100012, China
| | - Yi Xian
- Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, National Engineering Laboratory for Lake Pollution Control and Ecological Restoration, Beijing 100012, China; School of Geography Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210046, China; Eco-environmental Protection Design & Research Institute Co., Ltd, China Communications Construction Company, China
| | - Chun Ye
- Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, National Engineering Laboratory for Lake Pollution Control and Ecological Restoration, Beijing 100012, China.
| | - Yan-Hua Wang
- School of Geography Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210046, China.
| | - Wei-Wei Wei
- Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, National Engineering Laboratory for Lake Pollution Control and Ecological Restoration, Beijing 100012, China
| | - Hai-Yan Xi
- Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, National Engineering Laboratory for Lake Pollution Control and Ecological Restoration, Beijing 100012, China
| | - Bing-Hui Zheng
- Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, National Engineering Laboratory for Lake Pollution Control and Ecological Restoration, Beijing 100012, China
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10
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Guo C, Chen Y, Li W, Xie S, Lek S, Li Z. Food web structure and ecosystem properties of the largest impounded lake along the eastern route of China's South-to-North Water Diversion Project. ECOL INFORM 2018. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2017.12.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
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11
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Banerjee A, Banerjee M, Mukherjee J, Rakshit N, Ray S. Trophic relationships and ecosystem functioning of Bakreswar Reservoir, India. ECOL INFORM 2016. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2016.09.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
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12
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Chea R, Guo C, Grenouillet G, Lek S. Toward an ecological understanding of a flood-pulse system lake in a tropical ecosystem: Food web structure and ecosystem health. Ecol Modell 2016. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.11.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
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13
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Cooke SL. Anticipating the spread and ecological effects of invasive bigheaded carps (Hypophthalmichthys spp.) in North America: a review of modeling and other predictive studies. Biol Invasions 2015. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-015-1028-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
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14
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Mass balanced trophic models and short-term dynamical simulations for benthic ecological systems of Mejillones and Antofagasta bays (SE Pacific): Comparative network structure and assessment of human impacts. Ecol Modell 2015. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.04.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
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15
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Wittmann ME, Cooke RM, Rothlisberger JD, Rutherford ES, Zhang H, Mason DM, Lodge DM. Use of structured expert judgment to forecast invasions by bighead and silver carp in Lake Erie. CONSERVATION BIOLOGY : THE JOURNAL OF THE SOCIETY FOR CONSERVATION BIOLOGY 2015; 29:187-97. [PMID: 25132396 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.12369] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2013] [Accepted: 05/20/2014] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
Identifying which nonindigenous species will become invasive and forecasting the damage they will cause is difficult and presents a significant problem for natural resource management. Often, the data or resources necessary for ecological risk assessment are incomplete or absent, leaving environmental decision makers ill equipped to effectively manage valuable natural resources. Structured expert judgment (SEJ) is a mathematical and performance-based method of eliciting, weighting, and aggregating expert judgments. In contrast to other methods of eliciting and aggregating expert judgments (where, for example, equal weights may be assigned to experts), SEJ weights each expert on the basis of his or her statistical accuracy and informativeness through performance measurement on a set of calibration variables. We used SEJ to forecast impacts of nonindigenous Asian carp (Hypophthalmichthys spp.) in Lake Erie, where it is believed not to be established. Experts quantified Asian carp biomass, production, and consumption and their impact on 4 fish species if Asian carp were to become established. According to experts, in Lake Erie Asian carp have the potential to achieve biomass levels that are similar to the sum of biomasses for several fishes that are harvested commercially or recreationally. However, the impact of Asian carp on the biomass of these fishes was estimated by experts to be small, relative to long term average biomasses, with little uncertainty. Impacts of Asian carp in tributaries and on recreational activities, water quality, or other species were not addressed. SEJ can be used to quantify key uncertainties of invasion biology and also provide a decision-support tool when the necessary information for natural resource management and policy is not available.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marion E Wittmann
- Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46656, U.S.A..
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16
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Modelling ecosystem structure and trophic interactions in a typical cyanobacterial bloom-dominated shallow Lake Dianchi, China. Ecol Modell 2014. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.07.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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17
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Razavi NR, Qu M, Jin B, Ren W, Wang Y, Campbell LM. Mercury biomagnification in subtropical reservoir fishes of eastern China. ECOTOXICOLOGY (LONDON, ENGLAND) 2014; 23:133-146. [PMID: 24337794 DOI: 10.1007/s10646-013-1158-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/04/2013] [Indexed: 06/03/2023]
Abstract
Little is known about mercury (Hg) biomagnification in the subtropics, aquatic systems with high species diversity resulting in complex food webs. High atmospheric Hg emissions and ubiquitous reservoir fisheries may lead to elevated Hg bioaccumulation in Chinese freshwater fishes. However, stocking practices using fast-growing species can result in low fish total Hg (THg) concentrations. Here, we describe Hg transfer within the fish food web of a large subtropical reservoir, Qiandao Hu (Xin'anjiang reservoir) situated in eastern China. We measured food web Hg biomagnification and THg concentrations in 33 species of stocked and wild fishes. Mercury concentrations in most fishes were low, though we also found high Hg concentrations in wild top predators. The food web structure, assessed using stable isotopes of carbon (δ(13)C) and nitrogen (δ(15)N), demonstrated a high degree of omnivory and a long food chain. THg concentrations were highly correlated with fish δ(15)N values. The regression of log10THg against δ(15)N revealed the overall Hg biomagnification rate was low. This study shows that where long food chains exist in subtropical reservoirs, elevated Hg accumulation in top predators can occur despite a low Hg biomagnification rate.
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Affiliation(s)
- N Roxanna Razavi
- Department of Biology, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, K7L 3N6, Canada,
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18
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The need for improved fishery management in a shallow macrophytic lake in the Yangtze River basin: Evidence from the food web structure and ecosystem analysis. Ecol Modell 2013. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.07.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
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19
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Prado P, Ibáñez C, Caiola N, Reyes E. Evaluation of seasonal variability in the food-web properties of coastal lagoons subjected to contrasting salinity gradients using network analyses. Ecol Modell 2013. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.05.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
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20
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Jia P, Hu M, Hu Z, Liu Q, Wu Z. Modeling trophic structure and energy flows in a typical macrophyte dominated shallow lake using the mass balanced model. Ecol Modell 2012. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.02.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
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Integrative trophic network assessments of a lentic ecosystem by key ecological approaches of water chemistry, trophic guilds, and ecosystem health assessments along with an ECOPATH model. Ecol Modell 2011. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.08.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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Sellami I, Guermazi W, Hamza A, Aleya L, Ayadi H. Seasonal dynamics of zooplankton community in four Mediterranean reservoirs in humid area (Beni Mtir: north of Tunisia) and semi arid area (Lakhmes, Nabhana and Sidi Saâd: center of Tunisia). J Therm Biol 2010. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jtherbio.2010.08.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
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23
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Elucidation of ecosystem attributes of an oligotrophic lake in Hokkaido, Japan, using Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE). Ecol Modell 2010. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.03.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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