Population-mixing at the place of residence at the time of birth and incidence of childhood leukaemia in France

Association of population mixing and acute lymphocytic leukemia in children and young adults

BACKGROUND

The association of population mixing (PM¹) with childhood acute lymphocytic leukemia (ALL²) has been reproduced in multiple studies. However, the mechanism underlying this association is unknown.

METHODS

Ecological study of incidence of pediatric ALL among 253 counties in the State of Texas (USA) using surrogates of genetic and environmental PM. ALL incidence data were obtained from Texas Cancer Registry and county population statistics from the US Census Bureau. Poisson regression was used to compare ALL incidence and PM.

RESULTS

There is substantial and variable genetic and environmental PM among counties in Texas. Indicators of genetic PM including proportion of multiracial households, ratio of Hispanics to non-Hispanics, and ratio of foreign to native-born residents were all significantly associated with a higher incidence of ALL (IRR³ 1.81 (95CI 1.05-3.13), 1.67 (95CI 1.16-2.37), and 1.59 (95CI 1.03-2.48), respectively). Surrogates of environmental PM namely population density and persons per household were not associated with incidence of ALL; IRRs 1.29 (95CI 0.4-4.15) and 1.47 (95CI 0.89-2.43).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings are consistent with prior patterns and magnitudes of PM association with ALL. Our findings suggest that the implicated mechanism of leukemogenesis in PM may be genetically transmitted rather than environmental.

An examination, with a meta-analysis, of studies of childhood leukaemia in relation to population mixing

Background:

Marked influxes of people into rural areas, termed rural population mixing (PM), have been associated with excesses of childhood leukaemia (CL), consistent with mini-epidemics of a mainly immunising, subclinical infection to which CL is a rare response. For such situations of rural PM would promote contacts between infected and susceptible individuals, the latter tending to have a higher than average prevalence in rural or isolated areas. Confusion has arisen from some workers applying the term PM to non-rural situations lacking known recent change.

Methods:

Available PM studies using the original definition of influxes were examined, a meta-analysis carried out of studies of CL in relation to exposure to high levels of rural PM, and also a detailed analysis by age group.

Results:

The meta-analysis of 17 studies shows a significant CL excess in association with rural PM: overall relative risk (RR) at ages 0–14: 1.57; 95% confidence interval 1.44–1.72; at 0–4 years 1.72 (1.54–1.91). This contrasts with the absence of an excess of CL in similarly exposed urban areas (RR 1.00; 0.93–1.07), pointing to a high level of immunity there. The mixed results of studies using other definitions of PM were summarised. The excess associated with rural PM below age 2 years (RR 1.51; 1.17, 1.92) was not appreciably different from that at later childhood ages.

Conclusion:

Much of the inconsistency among studies ostensibly about CL and PM reflects the use of definitions other than that originally proposed. The broad similarity of the CL excess below age 2 with that at older childhood ages is inconsistent with the Greaves’ delayed infection hypothesis, since any infection underlying the former is difficult to consider as delayed.

What do epidemiologists mean by 'population mixing'?

There is growing evidence that some chronic diseases are caused, or promoted, by infectious disease. 'Population mixing' has been used as a proxy for the range and dose of infectious agents circulating in a community. Given the speculation over the role of population mixing in many chronic diseases, we review the various methods used for measuring population mixing, and provide a classification of these. We recommend that authors fulfill two criteria in publications: measures are demonstrably associated with the putative risk factors for which population-mixing is acting as a proxy and fundamental characteristics of the chosen measures are clearly defined.

Epidemiological studies of leukaemia in children and young adults around nuclear facilities: a critical review

The existence of an increased risk of childhood leukaemia near nuclear installations is a recurrent issue. A review of the related epidemiological literature is presented here. Results for 198 nuclear sites throughout 10 countries were included in the review. In addition to local studies, 25 multi-site studies have been published for eight countries. A large variability was noticed in the quality of the data as well as in the definition of the study population and in the methods of analysis. Many studies present important limits that make the results difficult to interpret. The review confirms that some clusters of childhood leukaemia cases exist locally. However, results based on multi-site studies around nuclear installations do not indicate an increased risk globally. Many studies were launched to investigate possible origins of the observed clusters around specific sites, but up to now, none of the proposed hypotheses have explained them.

Childhood leukaemia and population movements in France, 1990-2003

In a national study, we investigated the incidence of childhood leukaemia (CL) over a 14-year period in France in relation to several measures based on the proportion of individuals who changed address between the last two national censuses. A positive association was found with the proportion of migrants who came from a distant place. The further the migrants came, the higher was the incidence of leukaemia, particularly among children aged 0-4 years in 'isolated' communes at the time of diagnosis (RR=1.4, 95% CI: 1.1,1.8 in the highest category of migration distance). Although the role of the population density was less obvious, a more marked association was found above a certain threshold. No association with the proportion of commuters was observed.

Evidence of population mixing based on the geographical distribution of childhood leukemia in Ohio

BACKGROUND

This ecologic study examined the geographic distribution of childhood leukemias in Ohio, 1996-2000, among children aged 0-19 for evidence that population mixing may be a factor.

PROCEDURE

(1) State incidence rates were compared to Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) rates for each year and for the 5-year period, 1996-2000; (2) incidence rates for each of Ohio's 88 counties were compared to statewide rates; and (3) county incidence rates were compared based on population density, population growth, and rural/urban locale. SEER*Stat version 5.0 was used to derive age-specific and 0-19 age-adjusted rates. Expected values, standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), and Poisson P-values were calculated with Excel using the indirect method of standardization.

RESULTS

Of the 585 cases, 73.3% were acute lymphocytic leukemia (ALL), 16.6% acute myelogenous leukemia (AML), 3.2% acute monocytic leukemia (AMoL), and 2.6% chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML). Rates for total leukemia burden were significantly below national levels for all races (P = 0.00001), likely due to poor ascertainment of cases. Yearly incidence rates for 1996-2000 were stable for ALL and AML; CML rates declined over the period. Based on 2000 Census and intercensal population estimates for 1996-2000, statistically higher rates for ALL were noted for counties experiencing >10% population change 1990-2000 (P < 0.05), especially for ages 1-4 (P < 0.03) in counties with 10-20% growth. Counties 67.9-99.2% urban experienced fewer than expected cases of AML + AMoL (P < 0.06).

CONCLUSION

Data support Kinlen's theory of population mixing and warrant further studies in Ohio, the US and other countries.

Clofarabine for the treatment of acute lymphoblastic leukemia

A marked improvement in the outcome of patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia has been achieved with chemotherapeutic agents developed between the 1950s and 1970s. As the limits of optimizing the use of old drugs are reached, most adults with acute lymphoblastic leukemia still succumb to their disease and leukemia remains the leading cause of nonaccidental death in children. Salvage regimens, based mostly on different combinations of the same agents used in front-line therapy, carry a high incidence of morbidity and dismal long-term survival rates. New therapeutic strategies are needed. Clofarabine, a next-generation deoxyadenosine analog, has demonstrated significant activity in children and adults with refractory lymphoid and myeloid leukemia in early clinical trials and was granted approval for use in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia in second or higher relapse. This is the only anticancer drug to receive primary indication for use in children over the past decade. Ongoing studies are exploring the benefit of clofarabine combinations in less heavily pretreated patients and the use of different dose schedules in a variety of hematological malignancies.

Spatial and space-time clustering of childhood acute leukaemia in France from 1990 to 2000: a nationwide study

This study aimed to investigate the spatial and space–time distributions of cases of childhood acute leukaemia (CL) during 1990–2000 over the whole French territory. A global spatial heterogeneity and a spatial autocorrelation were first considered using the methods proposed by Potthoff and Whittinghill, Moran and Rogerson methods. The presence of space–time interaction between the places of residence and the dates of diagnosis was investigated with the Knox's test. Finally, the Kulldorff's statistic permitted to scan the whole territory in search for localised clusters. Two time periods were considered (1990–1994, 1995–2000). Overall, a statistically significant spatial heterogeneity of a very small magnitude was observed in the incidence of CL over 1990–1994, but neither over 1995–2000 nor over the whole time period. Moreover, a significant overdispersion of 5.5% was evidenced for 0–4 year children living in isolated areas with more than 50 inhabitants per km². Cases older than 10 years living in the same area at diagnosis also tended to cluster within 6 months.