Surveillance of Barrett’s oesophagus: Is it worthwhile?

CYR61 and TAZ Upregulation and Focal Epithelial to Mesenchymal Transition May Be Early Predictors of Barrett's Esophagus Malignant Progression

Barrett's esophagus is the major risk factor for esophageal adenocarcinoma. It has a low but non-neglectable risk, high surveillance costs and no reliable risk stratification markers. We sought to identify early biomarkers, predictive of Barrett's malignant progression, using a meta-analysis approach on gene expression data. This in silico strategy was followed by experimental validation in a cohort of patients with extended follow up from the Instituto Português de Oncologia de Lisboa de Francisco Gentil EPE (Portugal). Bioinformatics and systems biology approaches singled out two candidate predictive markers for Barrett's progression, CYR61 and TAZ. Although previously implicated in other malignancies and in epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition phenotypes, our experimental validation shows for the first time that CYR61 and TAZ have the potential to be predictive biomarkers for cancer progression. Experimental validation by reverse transcriptase quantitative PCR and immunohistochemistry confirmed the up-regulation of both genes in Barrett's samples associated with high-grade dysplasia/adenocarcinoma. In our cohort CYR61 and TAZ up-regulation ranged from one to ten years prior to progression to adenocarcinoma in Barrett's esophagus index samples. Finally, we found that CYR61 and TAZ over-expression is correlated with early focal signs of epithelial to mesenchymal transition. Our results highlight both CYR61 and TAZ genes as potential predictive biomarkers for stratification of the risk for development of adenocarcinoma and suggest a potential mechanistic route for Barrett's esophagus neoplastic progression.

Dysplasia detection rate of confirmatory EGD in nondysplastic Barrett's esophagus

Current guidelines for endoscopic surveillance of Barrett's esophagus (BE) recommend that patients with newly diagnosed BE undergo confirmatory esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) to exclude the presence of dysplasia. The extent to which confirmatory endoscopy alters management and detects missed dysplasia in newly diagnosed BE has not been reported. The frequency with which confirmatory endoscopy changed surveillance management in patients with newly diagnosed BE was assessed. A two center cohort analysis was conducted on patients newly diagnosed with BE. The rate of dysplasia on confirmatory endoscopy for patients who had nondysplastic BE was obtained. Demographic and endoscopic variables were assessed for association with dysplasia detection using Firth logistic regression model. Out of the 146 patients newly diagnosed with BE and initially determined to be without dysplasia, 12 had dysplasia on the confirmatory second EGD (8.2%). Eleven of 12 cases with dysplasia on confirmatory endoscopy had long-segment BE (LSBE). Among all the LSBE cases in our cohort, 11 had newly diagnosed dysplasia on confirmatory EGD, 29.7% (11/37). The average number of biopsies obtained from the 11 LSBE cases with dysplasia was comparable with the rest of the LSBE cases without dysplasia (6.73 and 5.42, respectively, P-value 0.205). The rate of dysplasia detection in short-segment BE (SSBE) was much lower, 0.95% (1 out of 105). There were no cases of high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or cancer detected in any SSBE case. HGD was detected on confirmatory EGD in two cases, both were LSBE. Segment length was the only statistically significant factor to predict the presence of dysplasia on confirmatory endoscopy (odds ratio 9.158, P. 0.008). Confirmatory EGD in newly diagnosed LSBE had significant rate of dysplasia detection (29.7%) in this cohort. Among patients with SSBE, there was a low rate of dysplasia detection with confirmatory EGD, less than 1% of cases. No additional cases of HGD or esophageal carcinoma in SSBE cases were detected. This suggests that the yield of confirmatory EGD is greater in patients with LSBE.

British Society of Gastroenterology guidelines on the diagnosis and management of Barrett's oesophagus

These guidelines provide a practical and evidence-based resource for the management of patients with Barrett's oesophagus and related early neoplasia. The Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation (AGREE II) instrument was followed to provide a methodological strategy for the guideline development. A systematic review of the literature was performed for English language articles published up until December 2012 in order to address controversial issues in Barrett's oesophagus including definition, screening and diagnosis, surveillance, pathological grading for dysplasia, management of dysplasia, and early cancer including training requirements. The rigour and quality of the studies was evaluated using the SIGN checklist system. Recommendations on each topic were scored by each author using a five-tier system (A+, strong agreement, to D+, strongly disagree). Statements that failed to reach substantial agreement among authors, defined as >80% agreement (A or A+), were revisited and modified until substantial agreement (>80%) was reached. In formulating these guidelines, we took into consideration benefits and risks for the population and national health system, as well as patient perspectives. For the first time, we have suggested stratification of patients according to their estimated cancer risk based on clinical and histopathological criteria. In order to improve communication between clinicians, we recommend the use of minimum datasets for reporting endoscopic and pathological findings. We advocate endoscopic therapy for high-grade dysplasia and early cancer, which should be performed in high-volume centres. We hope that these guidelines will standardise and improve management for patients with Barrett's oesophagus and related neoplasia.

Value of information analysis in oncology: the value of evidence and evidence of value

PURPOSE

Value of information (VOI) analysis is a novel systematic approach for assessing whether there is sufficient evidence to support regulatory approval of new technologies, estimating the value of additional research, informing trial design, and setting research priorities. This article reviews the use of VOI methods in oncology and identifies the potential applications of VOI in this field.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was undertaken to identify studies explicitly reporting VOI analyses for interventions directed at cancer management. Articles published from 2000 onward addressing prevention, screening, diagnosis, treatment, or symptom management in oncology were selected.

RESULTS

A total of 35 articles were included in the review; most were published after 2006. The main cancers addressed were breast (n = 10; 29%), prostate (n = 5; 14%), lung (n = 5; 14%), and colorectal (n = 3; 9%). The VOI analyses were of an applied nature in 31 studies (89%). In the applied studies, VOI was used to characterize decision uncertainty in all studies and to inform future research focus in 16 (52%). Additionally, one article (3%) addressed the value of optimal trial design, and one article (3%) reported the use of VOI methods to prioritize research.

CONCLUSION

The application of VOI analysis in oncology is growing but remains limited. Benefits in oncology research and practice will potentially be optimized with an increase in the application of VOI methods to inform decision making, optimal trial design, and research prioritization in this field.

GERD-Barrett-Adenocarcinoma: Do We Have Suitable Prognostic and Predictive Molecular Markers?

Due to unfavorable lifestyle habits (unhealthy diet and tobacco abuse) the incidence of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) in western countries is increasing. The GERD-Barrett-Adenocarcinoma sequence currently lacks well-defined diagnostic, progressive, predictive, and prognostic biomarkers (i) providing an appropriate screening method identifying the presence of the disease, (ii) estimating the risk of evolving cancer, that is, the progression from Barrett's esophagus (BE) to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), (iii) predicting the response to therapy, and (iv) indicating an overall survival—prognosis for EAC patients. Based on histomorphological findings, detailed screening and therapeutic guidelines have been elaborated, although epidemiological studies could not support the postulated increasing progression rates of GERD to BE and EAC. Additionally, proposed predictive and prognostic markers are rather heterogeneous by nature, lack substantial proofs, and currently do not allow stratification of GERD patients for progression, outcome, and therapeutic effectiveness in clinical practice. The aim of this paper is to discuss the current knowledge regarding the GERD-BE-EAC sequence mainly focusing on the disputable and ambiguous status of proposed biomarkers to identify promising and reliable markers in order to provide more detailed insights into pathophysiological mechanisms and thus to improve prognostic and predictive therapeutic approaches.

Screening and risk stratification for Barrett's esophagus: how to limit the clinical impact of the increasing incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma

Barrett's esophagus (BE) and gastroesophageal reflux disease are the strongest risk factors for esophageal adenocarcinoma. To reduce the clinical impact of this disease, endoscopic screening to detect BE has been proposed and nonendoscopic diagnostic techniques are under investigation. Because screening would result in new diagnoses of BE and additional costs related to endoscopic surveillance, novel tools for risk stratification are also warranted. Dysplasia is the gold standard for risk stratification. Molecular biomarkers may provide a more objective and reproducible estimation of the individual risk, and further prospective studies are required as a prelude to introducing biomarkers into routine clinical practice.

Effect of Barrett's esophagus surveillance on esophageal preservation, tumor stage, and survival with esophageal adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

Surveillance endoscopy has been recommended for patients with Barrett's esophagus; however, recent studies have questioned the importance owing to the new, lower, estimates of the rate of progression of Barrett's esophagus to cancer. The aim of the present study was to compare the tumor stage, survival, and frequency of esophageal preservation in patients who presented with progression of Barrett's esophagus within a surveillance program versus those who presented with prevalent disease.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was performed of all patients treated for high-grade dysplasia or esophageal adenocarcinoma from 2005 to 2010. The surveillance group included patients who had had at least 1 endoscopy and biopsy confirming intestinal metaplasia (with or without low-grade dysplasia) 6 months or more before the endoscopy showing progression.

RESULTS

A total of 224 patients were included in the present study, 36 in the surveillance group and 188 in the prevalence group. The surveillance patients had significantly earlier stage tumors (P < .0001) and were more likely to undergo endoscopic therapy and to keep their esophagus (44% vs 11%, P < .0001) than were patients with prevalent disease. Furthermore, the patients in the surveillance group were less likely to have lymph node metastases and had better overall and disease-free survival. No patient with high-grade dysplasia or an intramucosal tumor died of cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients within a surveillance program for Barrett's esophagus had better survival and were less likely to have an esophagectomy than those who presented with prevalent disease. Treatment of intramucosal cancer was curative, and improved survival with surveillance was not secondary to lead time bias. Surveillance endoscopy remains important in patients with Barrett's esophagus.

A systematic and critical review of the evolving methods and applications of value of information in academia and practice

OBJECTIVE

This article provides a systematic and critical review of the evolving methods and applications of value of information (VOI) in academia and practice and discusses where future research needs to be directed.

METHODS

Published VOI studies were identified by conducting a computerized search on Scopus and ISI Web of Science from 1980 until December 2011 using pre-specified search terms. Only full-text papers that outlined and discussed VOI methods for medical decision making, and studies that applied VOI and explicitly discussed the results with a view to informing healthcare decision makers, were included. The included papers were divided into methodological and applied papers, based on the aim of the study.

RESULTS

A total of 118 papers were included of which 50 % (n = 59) are methodological. A rapidly accumulating literature base on VOI from 1999 onwards for methodological papers and from 2005 onwards for applied papers is observed. Expected value of sample information (EVSI) is the preferred method of VOI to inform decision making regarding specific future studies, but real-life applications of EVSI remain scarce. Methodological challenges to VOI are numerous and include the high computational demands, dealing with non-linear models and interdependency between parameters, estimations of effective time horizons and patient populations, and structural uncertainties.

CONCLUSION

VOI analysis receives increasing attention in both the methodological and the applied literature bases, but challenges to applying VOI in real-life decision making remain. For many technical and methodological challenges to VOI analytic solutions have been proposed in the literature, including leaner methods for VOI. Further research should also focus on the needs of decision makers regarding VOI.

Tissue and serum mesothelin are potential markers of neoplastic progression in Barrett's associated esophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Mesothelin is overexpressed in several malignancies and is purportedly a specific marker of malignant transformation. In this pilot study, we investigated whether tissue and serum mesothelin are potential markers of neoplastic progression in Barrett's esophagus (BE) and in esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC).

METHODS

Mesothelin expression was retrospectively evaluated in normal, BE, and EAC tissue from surgically resected esophageal specimens (n = 125). In addition, soluble mesothelin-related peptide (SMRP) levels were measured in serum.

RESULTS

Normal esophageal mucosa did not express mesothelin. BE tissue with high-grade dysplasia specifically expressed mesothelin, whereas BE tissue with low-grade or without dysplasia did not. Fifty-seven (46%) EAC tumors were positive for mesothelin. EAC tumors with BE expressed mesothelin more often than those without BE (58% vs. 35%, P = 0.01). SMRP levels were elevated in 70% of EAC patients (mean = 0.89 nmol/L; range: 0.03-3.77 nmol/L), but not in patients with acid reflux and/or BE.

CONCLUSIONS

Mesothelin is commonly expressed in BE-associated EAC. On the basis of this pilot study, a prospective study is under way to evaluate tissue and serum mesothelin which are potential markers of neoplastic progression in BE and in EAC (NCT01393483).

IMPACT

Current surveillance methods in Barrett's esophagus are invasive and neither cost-effective nor sensitive. This pilot study suggests that serum mesothelin is a marker of neoplastic transformation in BE and may provide a noninvasive method to improve identification of malignant transformation.

Is endoscopic surveillance for non-dysplastic Barrett's esophagus cost-effective? Review of economic evaluations

BACKGROUND AND AIM

  Several health economic evaluations have explored the cost-effectiveness of endoscopic surveillance for patients with non-dysplastic Barrett's esophagus, with conflicting results. By comparing results across studies and highlighting key methodological and data limitations a platform for future, more rigorous analyses, can be developed.

METHODS

  A systematic literature review was undertaken of studies evaluating cost-effectiveness of surveillance for non-dysplastic Barrett's esophagus. Articles were included if they assessed both cost and health outcomes for surveillance versus no surveillance. A descriptive review was undertaken and the quality of the studies appraised against best-practice recommendations for economic evaluations and modeling studies.

RESULTS

  Seven publications met the inclusion criteria. All used decision-analytic Markov models. Half of the evaluations found surveillance was not cost-effective. At best, surveillance produced improved outcomes at a cost of US$16 640 per quality-adjusted life-year, and at worst it did more harm than good and at a greater cost. The quality of the evaluations and generalizability to the Asia-Pacific region was diminished as a result of inadequate or inconsistent evidence supporting parameter estimates, such as quality of life, endoscopic sensitivity and specificity and cancer recurrence rates.

CONCLUSIONS

  Unless newly emerging technologies improve the quality-adjusted survival benefit conferred by endoscopic surveillance, this strategy is unlikely to be cost-effective. Obsolete assumptions and incomplete analyses reduce the quality of published evaluations. For these reasons new evaluations are required that encompass the growing evidence base for new technologies, such as new endoscopic therapies for high-grade dysplasia and intramucosal cancer.

Biomarkers in Barrett’s esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma: Predictors of progression and prognosis

Barrett’s esophagus is a well-known premalignant lesion of the lower esophagus that is characterized by intestinal metaplasia of the squamous epithelium. It is clinically important due to the increased risk (0.5% per annum) of progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA), which has a poor outcome unless diagnosed early. The current clinical management of Barrett’s esophagus is hampered by the lack of accurate predictors of progression. In addition, when patients develop EA, the current staging modalities are limited in stratifying patients into different prognostic groups in order to guide the optimal therapy for an individual patient. Biomarkers have the potential to improve radically the clinical management of patients with Barrett’s esophagus and EA but have not yet entered mainstream clinical practice. This is in contrast to other cancers like breast and prostate for which biomarkers are utilized routinely to inform clinical decisions. This review aims to highlight the most promising predictive and prognostic biomarkers in Barrett’s esophagus and EA and to discuss what is required to move the field forward towards clinical application.

Long-term follow-up after anti-reflux surgery in patients with Barrett's esophagus

BACKGROUND

Factors associated with the risk of progression of Barrett's esophagus remain unclear, and the impact of therapy on this risk remains uncertain. The aim of this study was to assess patients followed long-term after anti-reflux surgery for Barrett's esophagus.

METHODS

A retrospective review was performed of all patients with Barrett's who underwent anti-reflux surgery from 1989 to 2009 and had ≥5 years of follow-up.

RESULTS

There were 303 patients and 75 had follow-up ≥5 years. Median follow-up time for the 75 patients was 8.9 years (range 5-18). Regression was seen in 31%. Progression occurred in 8%, and these patients were significantly more likely to have a failed fundoplication (67% vs. 16%, p = 0.0129). The rate of progression from non-dysplastic Barrett's to high-grade dysplasia or cancer was 0.8% per patient year, and was seven times higher in patients with a failed fundoplication.

CONCLUSION

Compared to the accepted rate of progression of non-dysplastic Barrett's to high-grade dysplasia or cancer of 1.0% per patient year, anti-reflux surgery reduces this rate during long-term follow-up. The rate of progression was significantly lower in patients with an intact compared to a disrupted fundoplication, further suggesting that anti-reflux surgery can alter the natural history of Barrett's esophagus.

Secondary prevention of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in areas where smoking, alcohol, and betel quid chewing are prevalent

Esophageal cancer is ranked as the sixth most common cause of cancer death worldwide and has a substantial effect on public health. In contrast to adenocarcinoma arising from Barrett's esophagus in Western countries, the major disease phenotype in the Asia-Pacific region is esophageal squamous cell carcinoma which is attributed to the prevalence of smoking, alcohol, and betel quid chewing. Despite a multidisciplinary approach to treating esophageal cancer, the outcome remains poor. Moreover, field cancerization reveals that esophageal squamous cell carcinoma is closely linked with the development of head and neck cancers that further sub-optimize the treatment of patients. Therefore, preventive strategies are of paramount importance to improve the prognosis of this dismal disease. Since obstacles exist for primary prevention via risk factor elimination, the current rationale for esophageal cancer prevention is to identify high-risk groups at earlier stages of the disease, and encourage them to get a confirmatory diagnosis, prompt treatment, and intensive surveillance for secondary prevention. Novel biomarkers for identifying specific at-risk populations are under extensive investigation. Advances in image-enhanced endoscopy do not just substantially improve our ability to identify small precancerous or cancerous foci, but can also accurately predict their invasiveness. Research input from the basic sciences should be translated into preventive measures in order to decrease the disease burden of esophageal cancer.

Surveillance of Barrett's oesophagus: do we yet know whether it is worthwhile?

In 2004, the Peninsula Technology Assessment Group developed an economic model to assess the effectiveness and cost effectiveness of surveillance of Barrett's oesophagus in preventing morbidity and mortality from oesophageal adenocarcinoma. The conclusion then was that surveillance was dominated (ie, cost more and conferred less health benefit) by non-surveillance in most scenarios and that surveillance was unlikely to be cost effective at usual levels of willingness to pay. The model outputs were highly sensitive, however, to several parameters for which the data were very uncertain. While there are now better estimates of some of the model inputs, such as cancer risk and quality of life, the revised values make it less likely that surveillance could prove cost effective. There remains considerable uncertainty around other key inputs. At present, there seems little reason to change our original conclusion that surveillance of Barrett's oesophagus is unlikely to be cost effective and a definitive answer may only be possible from clinical trials now in progress. As newer endoscopic techniques for treating Barrett's oesophagus and adenocarcinoma become more widely used, however, conventional surveillance programmes may no longer be undertaken, and revised economic models will be needed to assess the cost effectiveness of the new clinical pathways.

Surveillance in Barrett's esophagus: an audit of practice

GOALS

Determine the rates of follow-up, incident rate of cancer during surveillance, and changes in pathologic grade of patients with Barrett's esophagus during surveillance in a gastroenterology practice without a formal surveillance program.

BACKGROUND

Barrett's esophagus is a pre-malignant condition. Surveillance endoscopy (SE) is recommended in order to detect and treat high-grade dysplasia and esophageal adenocarcinoma early and prevent deaths. SE has not been shown to have mortality benefit and several studies have questioned its cost-effectiveness. Most gastroenterology practices do not have a surveillance program for Barrett's esophagus. The few that exist are only in very specialized and funded programs. Little information exists on outcomes in patients with Barrett's esophagus outside of these well-structured surveillance programs.

STUDY

A retrospective analysis of a cohort of patients with Barrett's esophagus diagnosed and surveyed between 1995 and 2005 at a Veterans Affairs medical center. Data were collected on age, body mass index, and race. Patients who missed their SE by 6 months or more and those that missed their SE by twice the recommended intervals or more were identified and analyzed for changes in pathologic grades.

RESULTS

A total of 472 patients were diagnosed with Barrett's esophagus or had SE between 1995 and 2005. Three hundred and five patients only had one endoscopy and biopsy. They did not have follow-up surveillance endoscopies and biopsies. Two patients were excluded from the final analysis: one had an esophagectomy after an index diagnosis of high-grade dysplasia, and one had a diagnosis of esophageal adenocarcinoma 2 days after an initial impression of Barrett's esophagus. There were 165 patients with Barrett's metaplasia or dysplasia who had SE more than once and were included in the final analysis. Overall, 53.3% had no change in pathologic grade, 35.2% regressed to a lower pathologic grade, and 11.5% progressed to a higher grade. None (0/165, 0%) progressed to esophageal adenocarcinoma; 3.6% (6/165) progressed to high-grade dysplasia and 11.5% (19/165) regressed to normal mucosa. Forty-four patients missed their SE by 6 months or more. Of these, 50% regressed, 40.9% had no change, and 9.1% progressed. Four patients regressed to normal mucosa, one progressed to high-grade dysplasia and none progressed to esophageal adenocarcinoma. Twenty-three patients missed their SE by twice the recommended intervals or more. Of these, 60.9% regressed, 34.8% did not change, and 4.3% progressed. None progressed to esophageal adenocarcinoma or high-grade dysplasia but three regressed to normal mucosa. After adjusting for age and body mass index, patients with low-grade dysplasia are nearly seven times more likely to miss their endoscopy by twice the recommended intervals or more (OR 6.56, P-value 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Most veteran patients with Barrett's esophagus do not undergo surveillance endoscopies. Veteran patients with Barrett's esophagus undergoing SE rarely progress to high-grade dysplasia or esophageal adenocarcinoma. Veteran patients with Barrett's esophagus who have longer SE up to twice the recommended intervals because they missed their scheduled SE did not have a worse outcome when compared to the general Barrett's esophagus surveillance group. Veteran patients with low-grade dysplasia are most likely to miss their SE by twice the recommended intervals or more, though the reason for this is unknown.

Long-term survival and cost analysis of an annual Barrett's surveillance programme

OBJECTIVES

Surveillance endoscopy aims to identify progression to high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OA) at an early stage in patients with Barrett's metaplasia (BM). There are variations in surveillance practice, clinical outcomes and economic analyses. The study examined long-term survival and financial impact in patients undergoing annual surveillance of BM.

METHODS

Patients with BM and considered fit for curative treatment between January 1994 and July 2001 were studied. Surveillance was scheduled as annual endoscopy with quadrantic biopsies every 2 cm. Financial analysis was based on standard National Health Service costs to death or follow-up to 5 years. Comparison was made with patients presenting with OA over the same time period.

RESULTS

Three hundred and two patients were identified with BM. Minimum follow-up was 5 years with a total follow-up of 654 patient-years. Two patients developed HGD and six OA. Median time between last nondysplastic biopsy and development of OA or HGD was 16 months (range 9-55). Five underwent potentially curative treatment. The remaining patients were unfit (n=1), refused surgery (n=1) or had metastatic disease (n=1). Four of five treated patients survived up to 5 years. The total cost of the surveillance programme including subsequent surgical or palliative treatment was euro240 682, euro30 085 per patient who progressed and for the prevalent cancer group (n=74) euro630 480 or euro8520 per patient. Only two patients in this group survived beyond 5 years. The additional cost of surveillance was euro4493 per life year gained.

CONCLUSION

A surveillance programme leads to improved 5-year survival. It is cost-effective compared with dealing with unselected patients.

Cost-effectiveness of endoscopic screening followed by surveillance for Barrett's esophagus: a review

Screening interventions for Barrett's esophagus (BE) are appealing, but there is little supporting evidence. We reviewed health economics studies about BE endoscopic screening followed by, as required, endoscopic surveillance ("screening and surveillance" hereafter) to help inform the design and conduct of future research. Health economics studies about BE screening and surveillance were identified using electronic database searches and personal contact with authors of identified studies. No studies examined general population screening. Five US studies published between 2003 and 2007 examined the cost effectiveness of screening and surveillance (against no intervention) in patients with chronic gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). There was no randomized trial evidence to inform model construction. Assumptions about prevalence and transition probabilities between BE histologic subtypes and about surveillance and treatment protocols varied substantially between studies. Parameters such as potential BE diagnosis-related reduction in quality of life or increase in health care use, diagnostic accuracy, and infrastructural costs (for quality assurance) were considered either "optimistically" or not at all. Only 2 studies considered endoscopic treatments. No study considered the recently introduced radiofrequency ablation technique, or the potential for biomarker-based risk stratification of surveillance interval or duration. Current health economics evidence is likely to have provided optimistic cost-effectiveness estimates and is not sufficient to support introduction of endoscopic BE screening programs among GERD patients. The evidence does not adequately incorporate novel (endoscopic) treatments and the potential for (clinical, endoscopic, or biomarker-based) risk stratification of surveillance. Future research should aim to encompass both these factors.