Prognostic and predictive factors for overall survival in metastatic oesophagogastric cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Effects of sintilimab plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment on health-related quality of life in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: results from the randomized phase 3 ORIENT-15 study

Background

In ORIENT-15 study, sintilimab plus chemotherapy demonstrated significant improvement on overall survival (OS) versus placebo plus chemotherapy in first-line treatment of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Here, we report effect of sintilimab plus chemotherapy on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients with advanced ESCC.

Methods

From December 14, 2018 to August 28, 2022, HRQoL was evaluated in all randomized patients using European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) Quality of Life Questionnaire Core 30 items (QLQ-C30), EORTC Quality of Life Questionnaire Oesophageal Cancer Module 18 items (QLQ-OES18), and visual analogue scale (VAS) of the EuroQol five-dimensional five-level questionnaire (EQ-5D-5L). Mean scores of each scale were described by treatment group through week 60. Least-squares mean (LSM) score change from baseline through week 24 were analyzed using the mixed-model repeated-measures method. Time to the first onset of deterioration (TTD) and OS for each scale were estimated. Clinical Trials Registration: NCT03748134.

Findings

As of August 28, 2022, 689 of 690 enrolled patients were assessed for HRQoL analysis (sintilimab group: 340, placebo group: 349). Median follow-up was 32.2 months. Differences in LSM favored sintilimab over placebo for QLQ-C30 social functioning (LSM difference: 3.06, 95% CI: 0.55 to 5.57; P = 0.0170), pain (-2.24, 95% CI: -4.30 to -0.17; P = 0.0337), fatigue (-2.24, 95% CI: -4.46 to -0.02; P = 0.0479), constipation (-3.27, 95% CI -5.49 to -1.05; P = 0.0039), QLQ-OES18 pain (-1.77, 95% CI -3.11 to -0.43; P = 0.0097), trouble swallowing saliva (-2.09, 95% CI: -3.77 to -0.42; P = 0.0146), and choked when swallowing (-3.23, 95% CI: -5.60 to -0.86; P = 0.0076). TTD favored sintilimab over placebo for QLQ-OES18 dysphagia (Hazard ratio [HR]: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.61-0.94, P = 0.0104), and trouble swallowing saliva (HR: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.35-0.67, P < 0.0001). Improved OS were observed in patients with better performance in several functioning and symptom scales of QLQ-C30 and QLQ-QES18.

Interpretation

The statistically significant differences of several HRQoL scales and improvements in delayed deterioration observed in our study further support the use of sintilimab plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment for advanced ESCC.

Funding

This study was funded by Innovent Biologics and was co-funded by Eli Lilly.

Tislelizumab in advanced/metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: health-related quality of life in Asian patients

OBJECTIVE

Post-hoc analysis examined health-related quality of life and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) symptoms in the Asian subgroup of patients in RATIONALE-302 (NCT03430843).

METHODS

Patients were randomized 1:1 to either tislelizumab or investigator-chosen chemotherapy (paclitaxel, docetaxel, or irinotecan). Health-related quality of life was measured using the EORTC QLQ-C30 and the QLQ-OES18. Least-squares mean score changes from baseline to weeks 12 and 18 in health-related quality-of-life scores were assessed using a mixed model for repeated measurements. Reported nominal p-values are for descriptive purposes only.

RESULTS

Of the 512 patients, this analysis was conducted in 392 Asian patients (tislelizumab, n = 192; investigator-chosen chemotherapy, n = 200). The tislelizumab arm had stable global health status/quality of life, but fatigue scores worsened in both arms. The change from baseline was similar for physical functioning in both arms at weeks 12 and 18. Eating and dysphagia scores remained stable in the tislelizumab arm. Reflux improved at week 12 in the tislelizumab arm and worsened in the investigator-chosen chemotherapy arm.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the health-related quality of life and ESCC-related symptoms of patients receiving tislelizumab in the Asian subgroup remained stable or improved, while patients receiving investigator-chosen chemotherapy experienced worsening. These results in Asian patients corroborate the findings in the intent-to-treat population, suggesting tislelizumab is a potential new second-line treatment option for patients with advanced or metastatic ESCC.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The RATIONALE-302 study is registered on clinicaltrials.gov as NCT03430843.

Effect of a prediction tool and communication skills training on communication of treatment outcomes: a multicenter stepped wedge clinical trial (the SOURCE trial)

Background

For cancer patients to effectively engage in decision making, they require comprehensive and understandable information regarding treatment options and their associated outcomes. We developed an online prediction tool and supporting communication skills training to assist healthcare providers (HCPs) in this complex task. This study aims to assess the impact of this combined intervention (prediction tool and training) on the communication practices of HCPs when discussing treatment options.

Methods

We conducted a multicenter intervention trial using a pragmatic stepped wedge design (NCT04232735). Standardized Patient Assessments (simulated consultations) using cases of esophageal and gastric cancer patients, were performed before and after the combined intervention (March 2020 to July 2022). Audio recordings were analyzed using an observational coding scale, rating all utterances of treatment outcome information on the primary outcome-precision of provided outcome information-and on secondary outcomes-such as: personalization, tailoring and use of visualizations. Pre vs. post measurements were compared in order to assess the effect of the intervention.

Findings

31 HCPs of 11 different centers in the Netherlands participated. The tool and training significantly affected the precision of the overall communicated treatment outcome information (p = 0.001, median difference 6.93, IQR (-0.32 to 12.44)). In the curative setting, survival information was significantly more precise after the intervention (p = 0.029). In the palliative setting, information about side effects was more precise (p < 0.001).

Interpretation

A prediction tool and communication skills training for HCPs improves the precision of treatment information on outcomes in simulated consultations. The next step is to examine the effect of such interventions on communication in clinical practice and on patient-reported outcomes.

Funding

Financial support for this study was provided entirely by a grant from the Dutch Cancer Society (UVA 2014-7000).

CT-Based Radiomic Score: A Risk Stratifier in Far-Advanced Gastric Cancer Patients

OBJECTIVES

To prolong the survival, the value of a computed tomography-based radiomic score (RS) in stratifying survival and guiding personalized chemotherapy strategies in far-advanced gastric cancer (FGC) was investigated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective multicenter study enrolled 283 FGC patients (cT4a/bNxM0-1) from three centers. Patients from one center were randomly divided into the training (n = 166) and internal validation (n = 83) cohorts, whereas the external validation cohort (n = 34) consisted of patients from the two other centers. The RS was calculated for each patient to predict progression-free survival (PFS). Features from the primary tumor and main metastasis (peritoneum, liver, and lymph node) were integrated in the training cohort and then validated for its ability to stratify PFS and overall survival (OS) in the validation cohort. The association between the RS and efficacy of neoadjuvant intraperitoneal and systemic (NIPS) therapy was also explored.

RESULTS

The RS demonstrated a favorable prognostic ability to predict PFS in all cohorts (training: C-index 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.788-0.872; internal validation: C-index 0.75, 95% CI: 0.682-0.818; external validation: C-index 0.76, 95% CI: 0.669-0.851; all p < 0.05), as well as an excellent ability to stratify the PFS and OS in both the whole population and metastatic subgroups (p < 0.05). Patients with a low score were more likely to undergo surgery after perioperative chemotherapy (p < 0.05). Furthermore, only high-scoring patients with peritoneal metastasis benefited from NIPS.

CONCLUSION

The RS may be an effective risk stratifier for the outcomes of FGC patients and may be used to select patients who can benefit from NIPS therapy.

Prognostic value of pre-therapeutic FDG-PET radiomic analysis in gastro-esophageal junction cancer

The main aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of radiomic approach in pre-therapeutic ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron-emission tomography (FDG-PET/CT) in a large cohort of patients with gastro-esophageal junction cancer (GEJC). This was a retrospective monocenter study including 97 consecutive patients with GEJC who underwent a pre-therapeutic FDG-PET and were followed up for 3 years. Standard first-order radiomic PET indices including SUV_max, SUV_mean, SUV_peak, MTV and TLG and 32 textural features (TFs) were calculated using LIFEx software on PET imaging. Prognostic significance of these parameters was assessed in univariate and multivariate analysis. Relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were respectively chosen as primary and secondary endpoints. An internal validation cohort was used by randomly drawing one-third of included patients. The main characteristics of this cohort were: median age of 65 years [41-88], sex ratio H/F = 83/14, 81.5% of patients with a histopathology of adenocarcinoma and 43.3% with a stage IV disease. The median follow-up was 28.5 months [4.2-108.5]. Seventy-seven (79.4%) patients had locoregional or distant progression or recurrence and 71 (73.2%) died. In univariate analysis, SUV_mean, Histogram-Entropy and 2 TFs (GLCM-Homogeneity and GLCM-Energy) were significantly correlated with RFS and OS, as well as 2 others TFs (GLRLM-LRE and GLRLM-GLNU) with OS only. In multivariate analysis, Histogram-Entropy remained an independent prognostic factor of both RFS and OS whereas SUV_mean was an independent prognostic factor of OS only. These results were partially confirmed in our internal validation cohort of 33 patients. Our results suggest that radiomic approach reveals independent prognostic factors for survival in patients with GEJC.

Liver oligometastatic disease in synchronous metastatic gastric cancer patients: a nationwide population-based cohort study

INTRODUCTION

This population-based cohort study analysed treatment, overall survival (OS), and independent prognostic factors for OS in gastric cancer patients with liver metastases.

METHODS

Between 2015 and 2017, patients with synchronous metastatic gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma limited to the liver were included from the prospectively maintained population-based Netherlands Cancer Registry. Liver oligometastatic disease (OMD) was defined as ≤3 liver metastases. The primary outcome was OS. Independent prognostic factors for OS were analysed using multivariable Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total 295 patients with metastases limited to the liver were included. The primary tumour was resected in four patients (1.4%). Treatment for liver metastases consisted of chemotherapy alone (28.1%), trastuzumab plus chemotherapy (4.7%), surgery (1.0%), or best supportive care (67.5%). Median OS across all included patients was 4.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.1-4.5). Liver OMD was detected in 77 patients (26%). Treatment for liver OMD consisted of chemotherapy alone (24.6%), trastuzumab plus chemotherapy (5.2%), surgery (3.9%), or best supportive care (67.5%). Median OS among patients with liver OMD was 5.7 months (95% CI: 4.8-7.5). Across all patients, better OS was independently associated with liver OMD (hazard ratio [HR] 0.66, 95% CI: 0.50-0.87), trastuzumab (HR 0.41, 95% CI: 0.23-0.72) but not with triplet compared with doublet chemotherapy (HR 0.94, 95% CI: 0.57-2.87). Worse OS was independently associated with unknown nodal stage versus cN0 (HR 1.74, 95% CI: 1.17-2.60), diffuse-type versus intestinal-type adenocarcinoma (HR 2.06, 95% CI: 1.32-3.20), and monotherapy or best supportive care versus doublet chemotherapy (HR 1.72, 95% CI: 1.03-2.87, and HR 3.61, 95% CI: 2.55-5.10, respectively).

CONCLUSION

In this population-based cohort study, liver OMD was detected in 26% of patients. Liver OMD and trastuzumab treatment were independently associated with better OS while triplet as compared with doublet chemotherapy was not. OS among patients with liver OMD nevertheless remained poor. The concept of OMD and the benefit of resection of liver OMD may still have been relatively unknown in this disease type during the study inclusion years.

Prognostic values of myosteatosis for overall survival in patients with gastric cancers: A meta-analysis with trial sequential analysis

OBJECTIVES

Gastric cancer is among the most common and lethal cancers worldwide. Recently, studies have reported that myosteatosis is a prognosticator for adverse survival outcomes in patients with gastric cancer, but with inconsistent conclusions. Therefore, this meta-analysis aimed to systematically quantify the predictive power of myosteatosis for overall survival in the gastric cancer setting.

METHODS

A systematic literature earch was conducted based on three databases (PubMed/Medline, EMBASE, and Web of Science) from inception until November 30, 2021. This meta-analysis pooled the hazard ratios and their 95% confidence intervals of mortality risk in patients with gastric cancer with myosteatosis versus nonmyosteatosis using a fixed-effects model.

RESULTS

Twelve studies of 5904 patients were included. Myosteatosis was associated with higher mortality risk (hazard ratio: 1.46; 95% confidence interval, 1.32-1.61; P < 0.001; I² = 23.8%) in the gastric cancer setting. The results of the subgroup analysis revealed that patients with myosteatosis undergoing surgery had significantly shortened overall survival. Overall, the results of this meta-analysis are robust to sensitivity and trial sequential analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Myosteatosis was identified as a strong predictor of reduced overall survival in the gastric cancer population.

Stereotactic radiotherapy or metastasectomy for oligometastatic esophagogastric cancer: a nationwide population-based cohort study

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This nationwide study included patients with esophagogastric cancer and OMD.

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Local treatment of OMD was associated with improved OS.

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Local treatment of OMD plus systemic therapy was associated with better OS.

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Randomized trials are warranted to conform results.

Background and purpose

This nationwide population-based study analyzed the outcomes of local treatment (i.e. stereotactic body radiotherapy [SBRT] or metastasectomy) or systemic therapy for oligometastatic disease (OMD) in patients with esophagogastric cancer in The Netherlands.

Materials and methods

Between 2015 and 2016, all patients in The Netherlands with esophagogastric cancer and synchronous or metachronous OMD were eligible for inclusion. Patients who underwent local treatment of OMD (SBRT or metastasectomy) and/or systemic therapy were included. OMD was defined as distant metastases in 1 organ or 1 extra-regional lymph node region. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and independent prognostic factors for OS. OS was calculated from diagnosis of OMD. Prognostic factors for OS were analyzed using a multivariable Cox proportional hazard model.

Results

A total of 594 patients were included, of whom 83 underwent local treatment for OMD alone, 22 local treatment plus systemic therapy, and 489 systemic therapy alone. Median OS after local treatment for OMD alone was 16.0 months, local treatment plus systemic therapy 22.7 months, and after systemic therapy alone 8.5 months. Improved OS was independently associated with local treatment for OMD alone or combined with systemic therapy as compared with systemic therapy alone (hazard ratio [HR] 0.52, 95% CI: 0.31–0.90 and HR 0.42, 95% CI: 0.22-0.82, respectively) and a controlled primary tumor(HR 0.48, 95% CI: 0.27–0.86). Worse OS was independently associated with worse performance scores (HR 1.41, 95%: 1.32-1.75), poorly or undiffertumor as compared with good or moderadifferentiated tumor (HR 1.37, 95% CI: 1.06-1.76), and peritoneal as compared with lymph mode metastases (HR 1.39, 95% CI: 1.00-1.93).

Conclusion

Local treatment of OMD alone or combined with systemic therapy was independently associated with improved OS as compared with systemic therapy alone in this population-based cohort study in The Netherlands. Randomized controlled trials are warranted to confirm these results.

Long-term survival after sequential local treatments for oligometastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A case report

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Oligometastatic disease (OMD) is associated with favorable tumor biology.

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Local treatment for OMD may improve overall survival (OS).

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Treatment for OMD is highly complex and requires a multidisciplinary team.

Tislelizumab versus chemotherapy as second-line treatment of advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (RATIONALE 302): impact on health-related quality of life

Background

RATIONALE 302 (NCT03430843) an open-label, phase III study of second-line treatment of advanced/metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), reported that tislelizumab, relative to investigator-chosen chemotherapy (ICC), was associated with improvements in overall survival and a favorable safety profile. This study assessed the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and ESCC-related symptoms of patients in RATIONALE 302.

Methods

Adults with advanced/metastatic ESCC whose disease progressed following prior systemic therapy were randomized 1 : 1 to receive either tislelizumab or ICC (paclitaxel, docetaxel, or irinotecan). HRQoL was measured using the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire Core 30 items (EORTC QLQ-C30), the EORTC Quality of Life Questionnaire Oesophageal Cancer Module 18 items (QLQ-OES18), and the EuroQoL Five-Dimensions Five-Levels (EQ-5D-5L) visual analogue scale. Mixed effect modeling for repeated measurements examined changes from baseline to weeks 12 and 18. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to examine time to deterioration.

Results

Overall, 512 patients were randomized to tislelizumab (n = 256) or ICC (n = 256). The tislelizumab arm maintained QLQ-C30 global health status/quality whereas the ICC arm worsened at week 12 {difference in least square (LS) mean change: 5.8 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.0-9.5], P = 0.0028} and week 18 [difference in LS mean change: 8.1 (95% CI: 3.4-12.8), P = 0.0008]. Physical functioning (week 18) and fatigue (weeks 12 and 18) worsened less in the tislelizumab compared with the ICC arm. The tislelizumab arm improved in reflux symptoms, whereas the ICC worsened at week 12 [difference in LS mean change: −4.1 (95% CI: −7.6 to −0.6), P = 0.0229]. The visual analogue scale remained consistent in the tislelizumab arm whereas it worsened in the ICC arm. The hazard of time to deterioration was lower in tislelizumab patients compared with ICC for physical functioning and reflux.

Conclusions

HRQoL, including fatigue symptoms and physical functioning, was maintained in patients with advanced or metastatic ESCC receiving tislelizumab compared with ICC-treated patients. These results provide additional support for the benefits of tislelizumab in this patient population.

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Global health status and HRQoL remained consistent in the tislelizumab arm whereas the ICC arm experienced worsening.

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Fatigue and physical functioning worsened in both arms; however, the worsening was greater in the ICC arm.

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The tislelizumab arm was at lower risk of reaching the threshold for worsening in physical functioning and reflux.

Incidence and survival of patients with oligometastatic esophagogastric cancer: a multicenter cohort study

PURPOSE /OBJECTIVE

This multicenter study assessed the incidence and survival of patients with esophagogastric cancer and oligometastatic disease (OMD) in two tertiary referral cancer centers in The Netherlands and Switzerland.

MATERIALS /METHODS

Between 2010-2021, patients with metastatic esophagogastric cancer were identified. Patients with de-novo OMD were included (first-time diagnosis of ≤5 distant metastases on ¹⁸F-FDG-PET/CT). Control of the primary tumor was considered in patients who underwent primary tumor resection or definitive chemoradiotherapy without locoregional recurrence. Treatment of OMD was categorized into 1) systemic therapy, 2) local treatment (stereotactic body radiotherapy or metastasectomy), 3) local plus systemic therapy, or 4) best supportive care. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and independent prognostic factors for OS. Independent prognostic factors for OS were analyzed using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

In total, 830 patients with metastatic esophagogastric cancer were identified of whom 200 patients with de-novo OMD were included (24%). The majority of included patients had esophageal cancer (73%) with adenocarcinoma histology (79%) and metachronous OMD (52%). The primary tumor was controlled in 68%. Treatment of OMD was systemic therapy (25%), local treatment (43%), local plus systemic therapy (13%), or best supportive care (18%). Median follow-up was 14 months (interquartile range: 7-27). Median OS was 16 months (95% CI: 13-21). Improved OS was independently associated with local plus systemic therapy compared with systemic therapy alone (hazard ratio [HR] 0.47, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.25-0.87). Worse OS was independently associated with squamous cell carcinoma (HR 1.70, 95% CI: 1.07-2.74), bone oligometastases (HR 2.44, 95% CI: 1.28-4.68), brain oligometastases (HR 1.98, 95% CI: 1.05-4.69), and two metastatic locations (HR 2.07, 95% CI: 1.04-4.12). Median OS after local plus systemic therapy was 35 months (95% CI: 22-NA) as compared with 13 months (95% CI: 9-21, p<0.001) after systemic therapy alone for OMD.

CONCLUSION

Patients with metastatic esophagogastric cancer present in 25% with de-novo OMD. Local treatment of OMD plus systemic therapy was independently associated with long-term OS and independently improved OS when compared with systemic therapy alone. Randomized controlled trials are warranted to confirm these results.

Consensus Statement on Mandatory Measurements for Pancreatic Cancer Trials for Patients With Resectable or Borderline Resectable Disease (COMM-PACT-RB): A Systematic Review and Delphi Consensus Statement

Importance

Pancreatic cancer is the third most common cause of cancer death; however, randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of survival in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer lack mandatory measures for reporting baseline and prognostic factors, which hampers comparisons between outcome measures.

Objective

To develop a consensus on baseline and prognostic factors to be used as mandatory measurements in RCTs of resectable and borderline resectable pancreatic cancer.

Evidence Review

We performed a systematic literature search of the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), PubMed, and Embase for RCTs on resectable and borderline resectable pancreatic cancer with overall survival as the primary outcome. We produced a systematic summary of all baseline and prognostic factors identified in the RCTs. A Delphi panel that included 13 experts was surveyed to reach a consensus on mandatory and recommended baseline and prognostic factors.

Findings

The 42 RCTs that met inclusion criteria reported a total of 60 baseline and 19 prognostic factors. After 2 Delphi rounds, agreement was reached on 50 mandatory baseline and 20 mandatory prognostic factors for future RCTs, with a distinction between studies of neoadjuvant vs adjuvant treatment.

Conclusion and Relevance

This findings of this systematic review and international expert consensus have produced this Consensus Statement on Mandatory Measurements in Pancreatic Cancer Trials for Resectable and Borderline Resectable Disease (COMM-PACT-RB). The baseline and prognostic factors comprising the mandatory measures will facilitate better comparison across RCTs and eventually will enable improved clinical practice among patients with resectable and borderline resectable pancreatic cancer.

Definition of oligometastatic esophagogastric cancer and impact of local oligometastasis-directed treatment: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Local treatment (metastasectomy or stereotactic radiotherapy) for oligometastatic disease (OMD) in patients with esophagogastric cancer may improve overall survival (OS). The primary aim was to identify definitions of esophagogastric OMD. A secondary aim was to perform a meta-analysis of OS after local treatment versus systemic therapy alone for OMD.

METHODS

Studies and study protocols reporting on definitions or OS after local treatment for esophagogastric OMD were included. The primary outcome was the maximum number of organs/lesions considered OMD and the maximum number of lesions per organ (i.e. 'organ-specific' OMD burden). Agreement was considered to be either absent/poor (< 50%), fair (50%-75%), or consensus (≥ 75%). The secondary outcome was the pooled adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for OS after local treatment versus systemic therapy alone. The ROBINS tool was used for quality assessment.

RESULTS

A total of 97 studies, including 7 study protocols, and 2 prospective studies, were included. OMD was considered in 1 organ with ≤ 3 metastases (consensus). 'Organ-specific' OMD burden could involve bilobar ≤ 3 liver metastases, unilateral ≤ 2 lung metastases, 1 extra-regional lymph node station, ≤ 2 brain metastases, or bilateral adrenal gland metastases (consensus). Local treatment for OMD was associated with improved OS compared with systemic therapy alone based on 6 non-randomized studies (pooled aHR 0.47, 95% CI: 0.30-0.74) and for liver oligometastases based on 5 non-randomized studies (pooled aHR 0.39, 95% CI: 0.22-0.59). All studies scored serious risk of bias.

CONCLUSIONS

Current literature considers esophagogastric cancer spread limited to 1 organ with ≤ 3 metastases or 1 extra-regional lymph node station to be OMD. Local treatment for OMD appeared associated with improved OS compared with systemic therapy alone. Prospective randomized trials are warranted.

Circulating tumor DNA predicts outcome in metastatic gastroesophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has predictive and prognostic value in localized and metastatic cancer. This study analyzed the prognostic value of baseline and on-treatment ctDNA in metastatic gastroesophageal cancer (mGEC) using a region-specific next generation sequencing (NGS) panel.

METHODS

Cell free DNA was isolated from plasma of patients before start of first-line palliative systemic treatment and after 9 and 18 weeks. Two NGS panels were designed comprising the most frequently mutated genes and targetable mutations in GEC. Tumor-derived mutations in matched metastatic biopsies were used to validate that the sequencing panels assessed true tumor-derived variants. Tumor volumes were calculated from baseline CT scans and correlated to variant allele frequency (VAF). Survival analyses were performed using univariable and multivariable Cox-regression analyses.

RESULTS

ctDNA was detected in pretreatment plasma in 75% of 72 patients and correlated well with mutations in metastatic biopsies (86% accordance). The VAF correlated with baseline tumor volume (Pearson's R 0.53, p < 0.0001). Detection of multiple gene mutations at baseline in plasma was associated with worse overall survival (OS, HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.10-4.28; p = 0.027) and progression free survival (PFS, HR 2.71, 95% CI 1.28-5.73; p = 0.009). OS and PFS were inferior in patients with residual detectable ctDNA after 9 weeks of treatment (OS: HR 4.95, 95% CI 1.53-16.04; p = 0.008; PFS: HR 4.08, 95% CI 1.31-12.75; p = 0.016).

CONCLUSION

Based on our NGS panel, the number of ctDNA mutations before start of first-line chemotherapy has prognostic value. Moreover, residual ctDNA after three cycles of systemic treatment is associated with inferior survival.

New prognostic model for patients with advanced gastric cancer: Fluoropyrimidine/platinum doublet for first-line chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

New prognostic factors have been reported in patients with metastatic or recurrent gastric cancer (MRGC), necessitating modifications to the previous prognostic model.

AIM

To develop a new model, MRGC patients who received fluoropyrimidines/ platinum doublet chemotherapy between 2008 and 2015 were analyzed.

METHODS

A total of 1883 patients was divided into a training set (n = 937) and an independent validation set (n = 946).

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis showed that the following six factors were associated with poor overall survival (OS) in the training set: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance score ≥ 2 and bone metastasis (2 points each), peritoneal metastasis, high alkaline phosphatase level, low albumin level, and high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (1 point each). A prognostic model was developed by stratifying patients into good (0-1 point), moderate (2-3 points), and poor (≥ 4 points) risk groups. In the validation set, the median OS of the three risk groups was 15.8, 10.1, and 5.7 mo, respectively, and those differences were significant (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We identified six factors readily measured in clinical practice that are predictive of poor prognosis in patients with MRGC. The new model is simpler than the old and more easily predicts OS.

Prognostic value of patient-reported quality of life for survival in oesophagogastric cancer: analysis from the population-based POCOP study

BACKGROUND

Accumulating evidence of trials demonstrates that patient-reported health-related quality of life (HRQoL) at diagnosis is prognostic for overall survival (OS) in oesophagogastric cancer. However, real-world data are lacking. Moreover, differences in disease stages and tumour-specific symptoms are usually not taken into consideration. The aim of this population-based study was to assess the prognostic value of HRQoL, including tumour-specific scales, on OS in patients with potentially curable and advanced oesophagogastric cancer.

METHODS

Data were derived from the Netherlands Cancer Registry and the patient reported outcome registry (POCOP). Patients included in POCOP between 2016 and 2018 were stratified for potentially curable (cT1-4aNallM0) or advanced (cT4b or cM1) disease. HRQoL was measured with the EORTC QLQ-C30 and the tumour-specific OG25 module. Cox proportional hazards models assessed the impact of HRQoL, sociodemographic and clinical factors (including treatment) on OS.

RESULTS

In total, 924 patients were included. Median OS was 38.9 months in potentially curable patients (n = 795) and 10.6 months in patients with advanced disease (n = 129). Global Health Status was independently associated with OS in potentially curable patients (HR 0.89, 99%CI 0.82-0.97), together with several other HRQoL items: appetite loss, dysphagia, eating restrictions, odynophagia, and body image. In advanced disease, the Summary Score was the strongest independent prognostic factor (HR 0.75, 99%CI 0.59-0.94), followed by fatigue, pain, insomnia and role functioning.

CONCLUSION

In a real-world setting, HRQoL was prognostic for OS in patients with potentially curable and advanced oesophagogastric cancer. Several HRQoL domains, including the Summary Score and several OG25 items, could be used to develop or update prognostic models.

Informing Patients With Esophagogastric Cancer About Treatment Outcomes by Using a Web-Based Tool and Training: Development and Evaluation Study

Background

Due to the increasing use of shared decision-making, patients with esophagogastric cancer play an increasingly important role in the decision-making process. To be able to make well-informed decisions, patients need to be adequately informed about treatment options and their outcomes, namely survival, side effects or complications, and health-related quality of life. Web-based tools and training programs can aid physicians in this complex task. However, to date, none of these instruments are available for use in informing patients with esophagogastric cancer about treatment outcomes.

Objective

This study aims to develop and evaluate the feasibility of using a web-based prediction tool and supporting communication skills training to improve how physicians inform patients with esophagogastric cancer about treatment outcomes. By improving the provision of treatment outcome information, we aim to stimulate the use of information that is evidence-based, precise, and personalized to patient and tumor characteristics and is communicated in a way that is tailored to individual information needs.

Methods

We designed a web-based, physician-assisted prediction tool—Source—to be used during consultations by using an iterative, user-centered approach. The accompanying communication skills training was developed based on specific learning objectives, literature, and expert opinions. The Source tool was tested in several rounds—a face-to-face focus group with 6 patients and survivors, semistructured interviews with 5 patients, think-aloud sessions with 3 medical oncologists, and interviews with 6 field experts. In a final pilot study, the Source tool and training were tested as a combined intervention by 5 medical oncology fellows and 3 esophagogastric outpatients.

Results

The Source tool contains personalized prediction models and data from meta-analyses regarding survival, treatment side effects and complications, and health-related quality of life. The treatment outcomes were visualized in a patient-friendly manner by using pictographs and bar and line graphs. The communication skills training consisted of blended learning for clinicians comprising e-learning and 2 face-to-face sessions. Adjustments to improve both training and the Source tool were made according to feedback from all testing rounds.

Conclusions

The Source tool and training could play an important role in informing patients with esophagogastric cancer about treatment outcomes in an evidence-based, precise, personalized, and tailored manner. The preliminary evaluation results are promising and provide valuable input for the further development and testing of both elements. However, the remaining uncertainty about treatment outcomes in patients and established habits in doctors, in addition to the varying trust in the prediction models, might influence the effectiveness of the tool and training in daily practice. We are currently conducting a multicenter clinical trial to investigate the impact that the combined tool and training have on the provision of information in the context of treatment decision-making.

The association between effectiveness of first-line treatment and second-line treatment in gastro-oesophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Population-based predictive factors for the effectiveness of second-line palliative systemic therapy in gastro-oesophageal cancer are not available. This study investigates the predictive value of effectiveness of first-line treatment for second-line treatment outcomes in gastro-oesophageal cancer in a real-world setting.

METHODS

Patients with metastatic gastro-oesophageal cancer diagnosed in 2010-2017 who were treated with second-line therapy after disease progression on first-line therapy were identified from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Patients were divided into four groups as per duration of time to treatment failure (TTF) of the first line (0-3, 3-6, 6-9 and >9 months), and the association with overall survival (OS) and second-line TTF was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and two-sided multivariable regression models.

RESULTS

Median OS since the start of the second line of patients (n = 611) with first-line TTF of 0-3, 3-6, 6-9 and >9 months was 4.0, 4.1, 5.5 and 7.1 months, respectively (P < 0.001). Median second-line TTF of patients with first-line TTF of 0-3, 3-6, 6-9 and >9 months was 2.8, 2.4, 3.0 and 4.5 months, respectively (P < 0.001). Patients with first-line TTF of >9 months showed a longer OS than patients with first-line TTF of 0-3 months (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.90; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.46-2.47), 3-6 months (adjusted HR 1.88; 95% CI 1.47-2.39) and 6-9 months (adjusted HR 1.31; 95% CI 1.04-1.65). Results for second-line TTF were similar.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows a positive correlation between effectiveness of first-line therapy and outcomes of second-line therapy in gastro-oesophageal cancer. Physicians should take duration of the first line into account when considering second-line palliative systemic therapy.

Clinical scoring system for the prediction of survival of patients with advanced gastric cancer

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we established a risk scoring system using easily obtained clinical characteristics at the time of initiating palliative chemotherapy to predict accurate overall survival of patients with advanced gastric cancer after first-line treatment with fluoropyrimidine-platinum combination chemotherapy.

METHODS

A total of 1733 patients treated at the Samsung Medical Center, Korea were included in the study, and clinicopathological and laboratory data were retrospectively analysed. The dataset was split into a training set (n=1156, 67%) and a validation set (n=577, 33%). Top-ranked variables were identified using the random forest survival algorithm and integrated into a Cox regression model, thereby constructing the scoring system for predicting the overall survival of patients with advanced gastric cancer.

RESULTS

The following five variables were finally included in the scoring system: serum neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, alkaline phosphatase level, albumin level, performance status and histologic differentiation. The scoring system determined four distinct risk groups in the validation dataset with median overall survival of 17.1 months (95% CI=14.9 to 20.5 months), 12.9 months (95% CI=11.4 to 14.6 months), 8.1 months (95% CI=5.3 to 12.3 months) and 3.9 months (95% CI=1.5 to 8.2 months), respectively. The area under the curve to estimate the discrimination performance of the scoring system was 66.1 considering 1 year overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a simple and clinically useful predictive scoring model in a homogeneous population with advanced gastric cancer treated with fluoropyrimidine-containing and platinum-containing chemotherapy. However, additional independent validation will be required before the scoring model can be used commonly.

The association between wearable activity monitor metrics and performance status in oncology: a systematic review

PURPOSE

The expanding armamentarium of wearable activity monitors (WAMs) offers new opportunities to supplement physician-assessed performance status (PS) with real-life patient activity data. These data could guide clinical decision making or serve as a measure of treatment outcome. However, information on the association between physical activity (PA) and sedentary behavior (SB) monitored with wearables (i.e., WAM metrics) and PS in patients with cancer is needed. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review to examine the association between WAM metrics and PS in patients with cancer.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and Embase for studies that assessed the association between WAM metrics and performance status among adults with cancer. We extracted information on study design and population, WAM type and different activity metrics, outcome definitions, and results. Included studies were subjected to risk of bias assessment and subsequent best evidence synthesis.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies were included in this review. All studies reported on different combinations of WAM metrics including: daily steps (n = 8), SB (n = 5), mean activity counts (n = 4), dichotomous circadian rest-activity index (n = 3), and time spent in moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA) (n = 3). Much heterogeneity was observed regarding study population, WAM used, and reporting of results. We found moderate evidence for a positive weak-to-moderate association between WAM-assessed PA and PS and a weak-to-moderate negative association between WAM-assessed SB metrics and PS.

CONCLUSION

Weak-to-moderate associations between WAM metrics and PS suggest that WAM data and physician-assessed PS cannot be used interchangeably. Instead, WAM data could serve as a dynamic and objective supplement measurement of patients' physical performance.

The Prognostic Role of Early Skeletal Muscle Mass Depletion in Multimodality Management of Patients with Advanced Gastric Cancer Treated with First Line Chemotherapy: A Pilot Experience from Modena Cancer Center

Background: Few data about the link between nutritional status and survival are available in the metastatic gastric cancer (GC) setting. The aim of this work was to evaluate the prognostic role of tissue modifications during treatment and the benefit of a scheduled nutritional assessment in this setting. Methods: Clinical and laboratory variables of 40 metastatic GC patients treated at Modena Cancer Center were retrieved: 20 received a nutritional assessment on the oncology’s discretion, the other 20 received a scheduled nutritional assessment at baseline and every 2–4 weeks. Anthropometric parameters were calculated on Computed Tomography (CT) images at the baseline and after 3 months of chemotherapy. Results: A correlation between baseline Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS), Lymphocyte to Monocyte Ratio (LMR), C-reactive protein (PCR), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) and Overall survival (OS) was highlighted. Among the anthropometric parameters, early skeletal muscle mass depletion (ESMMD) >10% in the first months of treatment significantly impacted on mOS (p = 0.0023). A link between ESMMD and baseline LDH > 460 U/L, baseline CRP > 2.2 mg/dL and weight decrease during treatment emerged. Patients evaluated with a nutritional scheduled support experienced a mean gain in subcutaneous and visceral fat of 11.4% and 10.21%, respectively. Conclusion: We confirm the prognostic impact of ESMMD > 10% during chemotherapy in metastatic GC. The prognostic role of a scheduled nutritional assessment deserves further confirmation in large prospective trials.

Prediction of Survival Outcome Using Chuang's Prognostic Scale in Metastatic Breast Cancer

Background:

For physicians and patients, survival estimation is vital for the treatment plan, especially with frequent use of new therapeutic agents in metastatic breast cancer (MBC). The Chuang's Prognostic Scale (CPS) is a validated prognostic score that may be useful in the avoidance of unnecessary palliative systemic treatment.

Aim:

The present study aimed to evaluate the CPS in survival prediction in patients with MBC after at least two lines of palliative systemic chemotherapy protocols (PSCPs).

Methods:

CPS was prospectively measured in 221 patients with MBC. The total score ranged from 0 to 8.5; the lower score refers to a good prognosis. The survival assessment was made by the Kaplan–Meier curve and the survival difference among the groups was estimated by log-rank test.

Results:

Using the cutoff value of CPS 5.7, the patients were classified into two groups: Group A had score ≤5.7 (174 patients, 78.7%) and Group B had CPS score >5.7 (47 patients, 21.3%). About 86.2% of the patients in Group A survived >3 months (median survival was 165 days, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 77–261) compared with 21.3% of patients survived in Group B (median survival was 81 days, 95% CI: 55–123) (P = 0.00). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 97.6% (95% CI: 87.4–99.9), 98.3% (95% CI: 95.2–99.7), 93.2% (95% CI: 81.6–97.7), and 99.4% (95% CI: 96.2–99.9), respectively, for the 3-month mortality prediction.

Conclusion:

CPS could be helpful in estimating the survival outcome in patients with MBC who received at least two PSCPs.

MSI as a predictive factor for treatment outcome of gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma

Gastroesophageal cancers are a major cause of death worldwide and treatment outcomes remain poor. Adequate predictive biomarkers have not been identified. Microsatellite instability (MSI) as a result of mismatch repair deficiency is present in four to twenty percent of gastroesophageal cancers and has been associated with favorable survival outcomes compared to microsatellite stable tumors. This prognostic advantage may be related to immunosurveillance, which may also explain the favorable response to immune checkpoint inhibition observed in MSI high (MSI-H) tumors. The value of conventional cytotoxic treatment in MSI-H tumors is unclear and results on its efficacy range from detrimental to beneficial effects. Here the recent data on MSI as a predictive factor for outcome of gastroesophageal cancer treatment is reviewed.

External Validation of the Dutch SOURCE Survival Prediction Model in Belgian Metastatic Oesophageal and Gastric Cancer Patients

The SOURCE prediction model predicts individualised survival conditional on various treatments for patients with metastatic oesophageal or gastric cancer. The aim of this study was to validate SOURCE in an external cohort from the Belgian Cancer Registry. Data of Belgian patients diagnosed with metastatic disease between 2004 and 2014 were extracted (n = 4097). Model calibration and discrimination (c-indices) were determined. A total of 2514 patients with oesophageal cancer and 1583 patients with gastric cancer with a median survival of 7.7 and 5.4 months, respectively, were included. The oesophageal cancer model showed poor calibration (intercept: 0.30, slope: 0.42) with an absolute mean prediction error of 14.6%. The mean difference between predicted and observed survival was -2.6%. The concordance index (c-index) of the oesophageal model was 0.64. The gastric cancer model showed good calibration (intercept: 0.02, slope: 0.91) with an absolute mean prediction error of 2.5%. The mean difference between predicted and observed survival was 2.0%. The c-index of the gastric cancer model was 0.66. The SOURCE gastric cancer model was well calibrated and had a similar performance in the Belgian cohort compared with the Dutch internal validation. However, the oesophageal cancer model had not. Our findings underscore the importance of evaluating the performance of prediction models in other populations.

The Use of (Network) Meta-Analysis in Clinical Oncology

Meta-analysis is important in oncological research to provide a more reliable answer to a clinical research question that was assessed in multiple studies but with inconsistent results. Pair-wise meta-analysis can be applied when comparing two treatments at once, whereas it is possible to compare multiple treatments at once with network meta-analysis (NMA). After careful systematic review of the literature and quality assessment of the identified studies, there are several assumptions in the use of meta-analysis. First, the added value of meta-analysis should be evaluated by examining the comparability of study populations. Second, the appropriate comparator in meta-analysis should be chosen according to the types of comparisons made in individual studies: (1) Experimental and comparator arms are different treatments (A vs. B); (2) Substitution of a conventional treatment by an experimental treatment (A+B vs. A+C); or (3) Addition of an experimental treatment (A+B vs. B). Ideally there is one common comparator treatment, but when there are multiple common comparators, the most efficacious comparator is preferable. Third, treatments can only be adequately pooled in meta-analysis or merged into one treatment node in NMA when considering likewise mechanism of action and similar setting in which treatment is indicated. Fourth, for both pair-wise meta-analysis and NMA, adequate assessment of heterogeneity should be performed and sub-analysis and sensitivity analysis can be applied to objectify a possible confounding factor. Network inconsistency, as statistical manifestation of violating the transitivity assumption, can best be evaluated by node-split modeling. NMA has advantages over pair-wise meta-analysis, such as clarification of inconsistent outcomes from multiple studies including multiple common comparators and indirect effect calculation of missing direct comparisons between important treatments. Also, NMA can provide increased statistical power and cross-validation of the observed treatment effect of weak connections with reasonable network connectivity and sufficient sample-sizes. However, inappropriate use of NMA can cause misleading results, and may emerge when there is low network connectivity, and therefore low statistical power. Furthermore, indirect evidence is still observational and should be interpreted with caution. NMA should therefore preferably be conducted and interpreted by both expert clinicians in the field and an experienced statistician. Finally, the use of meta-analysis can be extended to other areas, for example the identification of prognostic and predictive factors. Also, the integration of evidence from both meta-analysis and expert opinion can improve the construction of prognostic models in real-world databases.

Heterogeneity of first-line palliative systemic treatment in synchronous metastatic esophagogastric cancer patients: A real-world evidence study

The optimal first-line palliative systemic treatment strategy for metastatic esophagogastric cancer is not well defined. The aim of our study was to explore real-world use of first-line systemic treatment in esophagogastric cancer and assess the effect of treatment strategy on overall survival (OS), time to failure (TTF) of first-line treatment and toxicity. We selected synchronous metastatic esophagogastric cancer patients treated with systemic therapy (2010-2016) from the nationwide Netherlands Cancer Registry (n = 2,204). Systemic treatment strategies were divided into monotherapy, doublet and triplet chemotherapy, and trastuzumab-containing regimens. Data on OS were available for all patients, on TTF for patients diagnosed from 2010 to 2015 (n = 1,700), and on toxicity for patients diagnosed from 2010 to 2014 (n = 1,221). OS and TTF were analyzed using multivariable Cox regression, with adjustment for relevant tumor and patient characteristics. Up to 45 different systemic treatment regimens were found to be administered, with a median TTF of 4.6 and OS of 7.5 months. Most patients (45%) were treated with doublet chemotherapy; 34% received triplets, 10% monotherapy and 10% a trastuzumab-containing regimen. The highest median OS was found in patients receiving a trastuzumab-containing regimen (11.9 months). Triplet chemotherapy showed equal survival rates compared to doublets (OS: HR 0.92, 95%CI 0.83-1.02; TTF: HR 0.92, 95%CI 0.82-1.04) but significantly more grade 3-5 toxicity than doublets (33% vs. 21%, respectively). In conclusion, heterogeneity of first-line palliative systemic treatment in metastatic esophagogastric cancer patients is striking. Based on our data, doublet chemotherapy is the preferred treatment strategy because of similar survival and less toxicity compared to triplets.