Predicting 10-year survival after resection of colorectal liver metastases; an international study including biomarkers and perioperative treatment

Prognostication of colorectal cancer liver metastasis by CE-based radiomics and machine learning

The liver is the most common organ for the formation of colorectal cancer metastasis. Non-invasive prognostication of colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) may better inform clinicians for decision-making. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography images of 180 CRLM cases were included in the final analyses. Radiomics features, including shape, first-order, wavelet, and texture, were extracted with Pyradiomics, followed by feature engineering by penalized Cox regression. Radiomics signatures were constructed for disease-free survival (DFS) by both elastic net (EN) and random survival forest (RSF) algorithms. The prognostic potential of the radiomics signatures was demonstrated by Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate Cox regression. 11 radiomics features were selected for prognostic modelling for the EN algorithm, with 835 features for the RSF algorithm. Survival heatmap indicates a negative correlation between EN or RSF risk scores and DFS. Radiomics signature by EN algorithm successfully separates DFS of high-risk and low-risk cases in the training dataset (log-rank test: p < 0.01, hazard ratio: 1.45 (1.07-1.96), p < 0.01) and test dataset (hazard ratio: 1.89 (1.17-3.04), p < 0.05). RSF algorithm shows a better prognostic implication potential for DFS in the training dataset (log-rank test: p < 0.001, hazard ratio: 2.54 (1.80-3.61), p < 0.0001) and test dataset (log-rank test: p < 0.05, hazard ratio: 1.84 (1.15-2.96), p < 0.05). Radiomics features have the potential for the prediction of DFS in CRLM cases.

Evolution and current trends in the management of colorectal cancer liver metastasis

Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is a major cause of cancer-related death, with a 5-year relative overall survival of up to 20%. The liver is the most common site of distant metastasis in colorectal cancer (CRC), with about 50% of CRC patients metastasizing to their liver over the course of their disease. Complete liver resection is the primary modality of treatment for resectable colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM), with an overall 5-year survival rate of up to 58%. However, only 15% to 20% of patients with CRLM are deemed suitable for resection at presentation. For unresectable diseases, the median survival of patients remains low even with the best chemotherapy. In recent decades, the management of CRLM has continued to evolve with the expansion of resection criteria, novel targeted systemic therapies, and improved locoregional therapies. However, due to the heterogeneity of the CRC patient population, the optimal evaluation of treatment options for CRLM remains complex. Therefore, effective management requires a multidisciplinary team to help define resectability and devise a personalized treatment approach, from the initial diagnosis to the final treatment.

Surgical Margin of Resected Colorectal Liver Metastases: How Accurate Is Surgeon Prediction?

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to describe the surgeon's ability to accurately predict the margin following resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs).

BACKGROUND

The decision to resect CRLM is based on the surgeon's ability to predict tumor-free resection margins. However, to date, no study has evaluated the accuracy of surgeon margin prediction.

METHODS

In this single-institution prospective study, the operating attending and fellow independently completed a preoperative and postoperative questionnaire describing their expected resection margin in 100 consecutive cases (200 assessments) of CRLM resections. In cases with multiple metastases, the closest margin was assessed as the margin of interest for the primary outcome. Surgeon assessments were compared with the gold-standard histopathologic assessment.

RESULTS

After excluding aborted cases, 190 preoperative and 190 postoperative assessments from 95 cases were included in the analysis. The pathologic margin was noted to be wide (≥1 cm), 1 mm to 1 cm, narrow (<1 mm), and positive in 28 (29.5%), 55 (57.9%), 5 (5.3%), and 7 (7.4%) cases, respectively. The 88 cases with negative margins were all predicted to be negative. None of the cases with positive margins were predicted to be positive. Ninety-one (48%) preoperative and 104 (55%) postoperative predictions were accurate. The sensitivity of predicting a margin <1 mm was 8.3% preoperatively and 16.7% postoperatively. The positive predictive value for preoperative and postoperative predictions of margin <1 mm was 18.2% and 26.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Surgeons are inaccurate at predicting positive and close surgical margins following resection of CRLM. A predicted close margin should not necessarily preclude resection.

Challenges and Opportunities for Precision Surgery for Colorectal Liver Metastases

The incidence of colorectal cancer and colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) is increasing globally due to an interaction of environmental and genetic factors. A minority of patients with CRLM have surgically resectable disease, but for those who have resection as part of multimodal therapy for their disease, long-term survival has been shown. Precision surgery-the idea of careful patient selection and targeting of surgical intervention, such that treatments shown to be proven to benefit on a population level are the optimal treatment for each individual patient-is the new paradigm of care. Key to this is the understanding of tumour molecular biology and clinically relevant mutations, such as KRAS, BRAF, and microsatellite instability (MSI), which can predict poorer overall outcomes and a poorer response to systemic therapy. The emergence of immunotherapy and hepatic artery infusion (HAI) pumps show potential to convert previously unresectable disease to resectable disease, in addition to established systemic and locoregional therapies, but the surgeon must be wary of poor-quality livers and the spectre of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). Volume modulation, a cornerstone of hepatic surgery for a generation, has been given a shot in the arm with the advent of liver venous depletion (LVD) ensuring significantly more hypertrophy of the future liver remnant (FLR). The optimal timing of liver resection for those patients with synchronous disease is yet to be truly established, but evidence would suggest that those patients requiring complex colorectal surgery and major liver resection are best served with a staged approach. In the operating room, parenchyma-preserving minimally invasive surgery (MIS) can dramatically reduce the surgical insult to the patient and lead to better perioperative outcomes, with quicker return to function.

BRAF mutations and survival with surgery for colorectal liver metastases: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Mutations in the BRAF gene (BRAFmut) are associated with an unfavorable prognosis in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC). The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with liver metastases and the potential benefits of liver resection in patients with BRAFmut CRC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A systematic search of PubMed, Cochrane Central Controlled Trials, and Embase databases was conducted on May 31, 2023. The inclusion criteria were as follows:1) reporting of outcomes in patients with BRAFmut CRC who underwent surgery for liver metastases and/or comparison of outcomes between those who underwent and those who did not undergo resection; 2) reporting of survival information as hazard ratios (HR); and 3) publication in English.

RESULTS

34 studies were included. Median follow up was 48 months for prognostic BRAF status meta-analysis. BRAFmut status showed a significantly increased risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.04-3.22; P < 0.01) and relapse (HR = 1.97, 95% CI 1.44-2.71; P < 0.01). Resection of liver metastases was associated with a survival benefit (median follow up 46 months). The HR for survival was 0.44 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.33-0.59; P < 0.01) in favor of surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

and Relevance: Our analysis indeed confirms that BRAF mutation is associated with poor survival outcomes after liver resection of CRC metastases. However, upon quantitatively assessing the survival benefit of surgical intervention in patients with BRAF-mutated CRC liver metastases, we identified a significant 56% reduction in the risk of death.

Have we improved postoperative and long-term outcomes of liver surgery for colorectal cancer metastasis? Analysis of 1736 hepatectomies performed over 3 decades in a single center

INTRODUCTION

Surgery is the only potentially curative treatment for colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) and its indication and results have varied in the last 30 years.

METHODS

All patients operated on for CRLM in our centre from 1990 to 2021 were prospectively collected, establishing 3 subgroups based on the year of the first surgery: group A 1990-1999, group B 2000-2010, group C 2011-2021. Clinical characteristics and the results of survival, recurrence and prognostic factors were compared.

RESULTS

1736 hepatectomies were included (Group A n = 208; Group B n = 770; Group C n = 758). Patients in group C had better survival at 5 and 10 years (A 40.5%/28.2%; B 45.9%/32.2%; C 51.6%/33.1%, p = 0.013), although there were no differences between groups in overall recurrence at 5 and 10 years (A 73%/75.7%; B 67.6%/69.2%, and C 63.9%/66%, p = 0.524), nor in liver recurrence (A 46.4%/48.2%; B 45.8%/48.2%; and C 44.4%/48.4%, p = 0.899). An improvement was observed in median survival after recurrence, being 19 months, 23 months, and 31 months (groups A, B and C respectively). Prognostic factors of long-term survival changed over the 3 study periods. The only ones that remained relevant in the last decade were the presence of >4 liver metastasis, extrahepatic disease at the time of hepatectomy, and intraoperative blood transfusion.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival after surgery for CRLM has improved significantly, although this cannot be explained by a reduction in overall and hepatic recurrence, but rather by an improvement in post-recurrence survival. Involvement of the resection margin has lost prognostic value in the last decade.

A Glimpse into the Role and Effectiveness of Splenectomy for Isolated Metachronous Spleen Metastasis of Colorectal Cancer Origin: Long-Term Survivals Can Be Achieved

Background: Many papers exploring the role of resectioning metastases in colorectal cancer (CRC) have focused mainly on liver and lung sites, showing improved survival compared with non-resectional therapies. However, data about exceptional metastatic sites such as splenic metastases (SMs) are scarce. This paper aims to assess the role and effectiveness of splenectomy in the case of isolated metachronous SM of CRC origin. Methods: The patients' data were extracted after a comprehensive literature search through public databases for articles reporting patients with splenectomies for isolated metachronous SM of CRC origin. Potential predictors of survival were explored, along with demographic, diagnostic, pathology, and treatment data for each patient. Results: A total of 83 patients with splenectomies for isolated metachronous SM of CRC origin were identified. The primary CRC was at an advanced stage (Duke's C-70.3%) and on the left colon (45.5%) for most patients, while the median interval between CRC resection and SM was 24 months. The median overall survival after splenectomy was 84 months, and patients younger than 62 years presented statistically significantly worse overall survival rates than those ≥62 years old (p = 0.011). There was no significant impact on the long-term outcomes for factors including primary tumor location or adjuvant chemotherapy (p values ≥ 0.070, ns). Laparoscopic splenectomy was increasingly used in the last 20 years from 2002 (33.3% vs. 0%, p < 0.001). Conclusions: Splenectomy is the optimal treatment for patients with isolated metachronous SM of CRC, with the laparoscopic approach being increasingly used and having the potential to become a standard of care. Encouraging long-term survival rates were reported in the context of a multidisciplinary approach. Younger ages are associated with worse survival. Perioperative chemotherapy in the context of a patient diagnosed with SM of CRC origin appears to be a reasonable option, although the present study failed to show any significant impact on long-term survival.

Molecular profiling and patient selection for the multimodal approaches for patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases

Colorectal cancer represents the third most common cancer and about 20% are diagnosed with synchronous metastatic disease. From a historical point of view, surgery remains the mainstream treatment for resectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Furthermore, disease outcomes are improving due significant advances in systemic treatments and diagnostic methods. However, the optimal timing for neoadjuvant chemotherapy or upfront surgery for CRLM has not yet been established and remains an open question. Thus, patient selection combining image workouts, time of recurrence, positive lymph nodes, and molecular biomarkers can improve the decision-making process. Nevertheless, molecular profiling is rising as a promising field to be incorporated in the multimodal approach and guide patient selection and sequencing of treatment. Tumor biomakers, genetic profiling, and circulating tumor DNA have been used to offer as much personalized treatment as possible, based on the precision oncology concept of tailored care rather than a guideline-based therapy. This review article discusses the role of molecular pathology and biomarkers as prognostic and predictor factors in the diagnosis and treatment of resectable CRLM.

Prediction of transformation in the histopathological growth pattern of colorectal liver metastases after chemotherapy using CT-based radiomics

Chemotherapy alters the prognostic biomarker histopathological growth pattern (HGP) phenotype in colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs) patients. We aimed to develop a CT-based radiomics model to predict the transformation of the HGP phenotype after chemotherapy. This study included 181 patients with 298 CRLMs who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced CT followed by partial hepatectomy between January 2007 and July 2022 at two institutions. HGPs were categorized as pure desmoplastic HGP (pdHGP) or non-pdHGP. The samples were allocated to training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts comprising 153, 65, and 29 CRLMs, respectively. Radiomics analysis was performed on pre-enhanced, arterial phase, portal venous phase (PVP), and fused images. The model was used to predict prechemotherapy HGPs in 112 CRLMs, and HGP transformation was analysed by comparing these findings with postchemotherapy HGPs determined pathologically. The prevalence of pdHGP was 19.8% (23/116) and 45.8% (70/153) in chemonaïve and postchemotherapy patients, respectively (P < 0.001). The PVP radiomics signature showed good performance in distinguishing pdHGP from non-pdHGPs (AUCs of 0.906, 0.877, and 0.805 in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively). The prevalence of prechemotherapy pdHGP predicted by the radiomics model was 33.0% (37/112), and the prevalence of postchemotherapy pdHGP according to the pathological analysis was 47.3% (53/112; P = 0.029). The transformation of HGP was bidirectional, with 15.2% (17/112) of CRLMs transforming from prechemotherapy pdHGP to postchemotherapy non-pdHGP and 30.4% (34/112) transforming from prechemotherapy non-pdHGP to postchemotherapy pdHGP (P = 0.005). CT-based radiomics method can be used to effectively predict the HGP transformation in chemotherapy-treated CRLM patients, thereby providing a basis for treatment decisions.

Microwave coagulation for liver metastases

BACKGROUND

Liver metastases (i.e. secondary hepatic malignancies) are significantly more common than primary liver cancer. Long-term survival after radical surgical treatment is approximately 50%. For people in whom resection for cure is not feasible, other treatments must be considered. One treatment option is microwave coagulation utilising electromagnetic waves. It involves placing an electrode into a lesion under ultrasound or computed tomography guidance.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the beneficial and harmful effects of microwave coagulation versus no intervention, other ablation methods, or systemic treatments in people with liver metastases regardless of the location of the primary tumour.

SEARCH METHODS

We used standard, extensive Cochrane search methods. The latest date of search was 14 April 2023.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised clinical trials assessing beneficial or harmful effects of microwave coagulation and its comparators in people with liver metastases, irrespective of the location of the primary tumour. We included trials no matter the outcomes reported.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We followed standard Cochrane methodological procedures. Our primary outcomes were: all-cause mortality at the last follow-up and time to mortality; health-related quality of life (HRQoL); and any adverse events or complications. Our secondary outcomes were: cancer mortality; disease-free survival; failure to clear liver metastases; recurrence of liver metastases; time to progression of liver metastases; and tumour response measures. We used risk ratios (RR) and hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) to present the results. Two review authors independently extracted data and assessed the risk of bias using the Cochrane RoB 1 tool. We used GRADE methodology to assess the certainty of the evidence.

MAIN RESULTS

Three randomised clinical trials fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The control interventions differed in the three trials; therefore, meta-analyses were not possible. The trials were at high risk of bias. The certainty of evidence of the assessed outcomes in the three comparisons was very low. Data on our prespecified outcomes were either missing or not reported. Microwave coagulation plus conventional transarterial chemoembolisation (TACE) versus conventional TACE alone One trial, conducted in China, randomised 50 participants (mean age 60 years, 76% males) with liver metastases from various primary sites. Authors reported that the follow-up period was at least one month. The trial reported adverse events or complications in the experimental group only and for tumour response measures. There were no dropouts in the trial. The trial did not report on any other outcomes. Microwave ablation versus conventional surgery One trial, conducted in Japan, randomised 40 participants (mean age 61 years, 53% males) with multiple liver metastases of colorectal cancer. Ten participants were excluded after randomisation (six from the experimental and four from the control group); thus, the trial analyses included 30 participants. Follow-up was three years. The reported number of deaths from all causes was 9/14 included participants in the microwave group versus 12/16 included participants in the conventional surgery group. The mean overall survival was 27 months in the microwave ablation and 25 months in the conventional surgery group. The three-year overall survival was 14% with microwave ablation and 23% with conventional surgery, resulting in an HR of 0.91 (95% CI 0.39 to 2.15). The reported frequency of adverse events or complications was comparable between the two groups, except for the required blood transfusion, which was more common in the conventional surgery group. There was no intervention-related mortality. Disease-free survival was 11.3 months in the microwave ablationgroup and 13.3 months in the conventional surgery group. The trial did not report on HRQoL. Microwave ablation versus radiofrequency ablation One trial, conducted in Germany, randomised 50 participants (mean age 62.8 years, 46% males) who were followed for 24 months. Two-year mortality showed an RR of 0.62 (95% CI 0.26 to 1.47). The trial reported that, by two years, 76.9% of participants in the microwave ablationgroup and 62.5% of participants in the radiofrequency ablation group survived (HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.23 to 1.73). The trial reported no deaths or major complications during the procedures in either group. There were two minor complications only in the radiofrequency ablation group (RR 0.19, 95% CI 0.01 to 3.67). The trial reported technical efficacy in 100% of procedures in both groups. Distant recurrence was reported for 10 participants in the microwave ablation group and nine participants in the radiofrequency ablation group (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.50 to 2.08). No participant in the microwave ablation group demonstrated local progression at 12 months, while that occurred in two participants in the radiofrequency ablation group (RR 0.19, 95% CI 0.01 to 3.67). The trial did not report on HRQoL. One trial reported partial support by Medicor (MMS Medicor Medical Supplies GmbH, Kerpen, Germany) for statistical analysis. The remaining two trials did not provide information on funding. We identified four ongoing trials.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of microwave ablation in addition to conventional TACE compared with conventional TACE alone on adverse events or complications. We do not know if microwave ablation compared with conventional surgery may have little to no effect on all-cause mortality. We do not know the effect of microwave ablation compared with radiofrequency ablation on all-cause mortality and adverse events or complications either. Data on all-cause mortality and time to mortality, HRQoL, adverse events or complications, cancer mortality, disease-free survival, failure to clear liver metastases, recurrence of liver metastases, time to progression of liver metastases, and tumour response measures were either insufficient or were lacking. In light of the current inconclusive evidence and the substantial gaps in data, the pursuit of additional good-quality, large randomised clinical trials is not only justified but also essential to elucidate the efficacy and comparative benefits of microwave ablation in relation to various interventions for liver metastases. The current version of the review, in comparison to the previous one, incorporates two new trials in two additional microwave ablation comparisons: 1. in addition to conventional TACE versus conventional TACE alone and 2. versus radiofrequency ablation.

Circulating Tumour DNA as Biomarker for Colorectal Liver Metastases: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) is a potential biomarker that could contribute to more judicious patient selection for personalised treatment. This review and meta-analysis gives an overview of the current knowledge in the literature investigating the value of ctDNA in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). A systematic search was conducted in electronic databases for studies published prior to the 26th of May 2023. Studies investigating the association between ctDNA and oncological outcomes in patients undergoing curative-intent local therapy for CRLM were included. Meta-analyses were performed to pool hazard ratios (HR) for the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). A total of eleven studies were included and nine were eligible for meta-analyses. Patients with detectable ctDNA after surgery experienced a significantly higher chance of recurrence (HR 3.12, 95% CI 2.27-4.28, p < 0.000010) and shorter OS (HR 5.04, 95% CI 2.53-10.04, p < 0.00001) compared to patients without detectable ctDNA. A similar association for recurrence was found in patients with detectable ctDNA after the completion of adjuvant therapy (HR 6.39, 95% CI 2.13-19.17, p < 0.0009). The meta-analyses revealed no association between detectable ctDNA before surgery and the RFS and OS. These meta-analyses demonstrate the strong association between detectable ctDNA after treatment and oncological outcomes in CRLM patients.

Association between primary tumor characteristics and histopathological growth pattern of liver metastases in colorectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

The microarchitecture of liver metastases (LMs), or histopathological growth pattern (HGP), has been demonstrated to be a significant prognostic factor in patients undergoing resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs). Currently, however, HGP can be only determined on the operative specimen. Therefore, the development of new tools to predict the HGP of CRLMs before surgery and to understand the mechanisms that drive these patterns is important for improving individualization of therapeutic management. In this study, we analyzed data from a retrospective series of patients who underwent surgery for CRLMs to compare primary tumor characteristics, including markers of local aggressiveness and migratory capacity, and HGP of liver metastases.

METHODS

Data from a retrospective series of 167 patients who underwent curative-intent resection of CRLMs and in whom pathological samples from both primary tumor and liver metastases were available were reviewed. At the primary tumor level, KRAS mutational status, grade of differentiation, and tumor budding were assessed. HGP was scored in each resected CRLM, according to consensus guidelines, and classified as desmoplastic (dHGP) or non-desmoplastic (non-dHGP). Associations between primary tumor characteristics and HGP of CRLMs were evaluated using a binary logistic regression model. Overall survival and disease-free survival were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

CRLMs were classified as dHGP in 36% of the patients and as non-dHGP in 64%. Higher rates of moderately or poorly differentiated primary tumors were observed in the non-dHGP CRLM group (80%), as compared with the dHGP group (60%) (OR = 3.6; 95%CI: 1.6-7.05; p = 0.001). Higher rates of tumor budding were observed in the non-dHGP CRLM group, with a median tumor budding value of 4 as compared with 2.5 in the dHGP group (p = 0.042). In the entire series, 5-year overall and disease-free survival were 43% and 32.5%, respectively. The non-dHGP CRLM group had worse post-hepatectomy survival, with 5-year overall and disease-free survival of 32.2% and 24.6%, respectively, as compared with 60.8% and 45.9%, respectively, for the dHGP group (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

Colorectal tumors with moderate or poor differentiation and those with high tumor budding are more frequently associated with CRLMs with a non-dHGP. This suggests that primary tumor characteristics of local aggressiveness and migratory capacity could preferentially promote the development of CRLMs with an infiltrating pattern and that these parameters should be considered as part of new scores for predicting HGP before surgery. This finding may stimulate new lines of research for more individualized therapeutic decision in patients with CRLM candidate to surgery.

Development and validation of a novel risk score to predict overall survival following surgical clearance of bilobar colorectal liver metastases

BACKGROUND

Bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer pose a challenge for obtaining a satisfactory oncological outcome with an adequate future liver remnant. This study aimed to assess the clinical and pathological determinants of overall survival and recurrence-free survival among patients undergoing surgical clearance of bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer.

METHODS

A retrospective international multicentre study of patients who underwent surgery for bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer between January 2012 and December 2018 was conducted. Overall survival and recurrence-free survival at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years after surgery were the primary outcomes evaluated. The secondary outcomes were duration of postoperative hospital stay, and 90-day major morbidity and mortality rates. A prognostic nomogram was developed using covariates selected from a Cox proportional hazards regression model, and internally validated using a 3:1 random partition into derivation and validation cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 1236 patients were included from 70 centres. The majority (88 per cent) of the patients had synchronous liver metastases. Overall survival at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years was 86.4 per cent, 67.5 per cent, 52.6 per cent and 33.8 per cent, and the recurrence-free survival rates were 48.7 per cent, 26.6 per cent, 19.2 per cent and 10.5 per cent respectively. A total of 25 per cent of patients had recurrent disease within 6 months. Margin positivity and progressive disease at liver resection were poor prognostic factors, while adjuvant chemotherapy in margin-positive resections improved overall survival. The bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer-overall survival nomogram was developed from the derivation cohort based on pre- and postoperative factors. The nomogram's ability to forecast overall survival at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years was subsequently validated on the validation cohort and showed high accuracy (overall C-index = 0.742).

CONCLUSION

Despite the high recurrence rates, overall survival of patients undergoing surgical resection for bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer is encouraging. The novel bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer-overall survival nomogram helps in counselling and informed decision-making of patients planned for treatment of bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer.

Survival after combined resection and ablation is not inferior to that after resection alone, in patients with four or more colorectal liver metastases

PURPOSE

Colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) are the predominant factor limiting survival in patients with colorectal cancer. Multimodal treatment strategies are frequently necessary to achieve total tumor elimination. This study examines the efficacy of liver resection combined with local ablative therapy in comparison to liver resection only, in the treatment of patients with ≥ 4 CRLM.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted at the University Hospital RWTH Aachen, Germany. Patients with ≥ 4 CRLM in preoperative imaging, who underwent curative resection between 2010-2021, were included. Recurrent resections and deaths in the early postoperative phase were excluded. Ablation modalities included radiofrequency or microwave ablation, and irreversible electroporation. Differences in overall- (OS) and recurrence-free-survival (RFS) between patients undergoing combined resection-ablation vs. resection only, were examined.

RESULTS

Of 178 included patients, 46 (27%) underwent combined resection-ablation and 132 (73%) resection only. Apart from increased rates of adjuvant chemotherapy in the first group (44% vs. 25%, p = 0.014), there were no differences in perioperative systemic therapy. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank test analyses showed no statistically significant differences in median OS (36 months for both, p = 0.638) or RFS (9 months for combined resection-ablation vs. 8 months, p = 0.921). Cox regression analysis showed a hazard ratio of 0.891 (p = 0.642) for OS and 0.981 (p = 0.924) for RFS, for patients undergoing resection only.

CONCLUSION

For patients with ≥ 4 CRLM, combined resection-ablation is a viable option in terms of OS and RFS. Therefore, combined resection-ablation should be considered for complete tumor clearance, in patients with multifocal disease.

Evaluation of total tumor volume reduction ratio in initially unresectable colorectal liver metastases after first-line systemic treatment

PURPOSE

Total tumor volume (TTV) may play an essential role in the estimation of tumor burden. This study is aimed to investigate the clinical value of the reduction ratio of TTV as a valuable indicator of clinical outcomes in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

METHODS

A total of 240 initially unresectable CRLM patients who underwent first-line systemic treatment were enrolled in this study. TTV at baseline and at the end of first-line treatment were assessed using a three-dimensional reconstruction system according to CT or MRI images. Survival was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and compared using Cox proportional hazard ratios (HR).

RESULTS

A total of 212 (88.3%) patients achieved tumor regression with a median reduction ratio of TTV of 86.0%. An increasing reduction ratio of TTV was associated with a gradually ascending successful conversion outcome. Patients with a reduction ratio >86.0% had better survival than those with a reduction ratio 0-86.0% or <0 (5-year overall survival (OS) rates, 64.4% vs. 44.9% vs. 23.5%, P < 0.001; 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) rates, 36.3% vs. 28.2% vs. 6.5%, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that the reduction ratio of TTV ≤ 86.0% (OR [95%CI]: 4.956 [2.654-9.253], P < 0.001) was an independent factor for conversion failure outcome. Cox analyses revealed that the reduction ratio of TTV ≤ 86.0% was an independent factor for both unfavorable OS (HR [95%CI]: 2.216 [1.332-3.688], P = 0.002) and PFS (HR [95%CI]: 2.023 [1.376-2.974], P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The reduction ratio of TTV was an effective indicator for conversion outcome and long-term prognosis in patients with initially unresectable CRLM after first-line systemic treatment.

Five-year survival post hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases in a real-world Chinese cohort: Recurrence patterns and prediction for potential cure

BACKGROUND

Patients with a 5-year recurrence-free survival post liver resection for colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) are considered to be potentially cured. However, there is a deficit of data on long-term follow-up and the recurrence status among these patients in the Chinese population. We analyzed real-world follow-up data of patients with CRLM who underwent hepatectomy, explored the recurrence patterns, and established a prediction model for a potential cure scenario.

METHODS

Patients who underwent radical hepatic resection for CRLM during 2000-2016, with actual follow-up data for at least 5 years, were enrolled. The observed survival rate was calculated and compared among the groups with different recurrence patterns. The predictive factors for 5-year non-recurrence were determined using logistic regression analysis; a recurrence-free survival model was developed to predict long-term survival.

RESULTS

A total of 433 patients were included, of whom 113 patients were found non-recurrence after 5 years follow-up, with a potential cure rate of 26.1%. Patients with late recurrence (>5 months) and lung relapse showed significantly superior survival. Repeated localized treatment significantly improved the long-term survival of patients with intrahepatic or extrahepatic recurrences. Multivariate analysis showed that RAS wild-type CRC, preoperative CEA <10 ng/ml, and liver metastases ≤3 were independent factors for a 5-year disease-free recurrence. A cure model was developed based on the above factors, achieving good performance in predicting long-term survival.

CONCLUSIONS

About one quarter patients with CRLM could achieve potential cure with non-recurrence at 5-year after surgery. The recurrence-free cure model could well distinguish the long-term survival, which would aid clinicians in determining the treatment strategy.

Predicting early extrahepatic recurrence after local treatment of colorectal liver metastases

BACKGROUND

Patients who develop early extrahepatic recurrence (EHR) may not benefit from local treatment of colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs). This study aimed to develop a prediction model for early EHR after local treatment of CRLMs using a national data set.

METHODS

A Cox regression prediction model for EHR was developed and validated internally using data on patients who had local treatment for CRLMs with curative intent. Performance assessment included calibration, discrimination, net benefit, and generalizability by internal-external cross-validation. The prognostic relevance of early EHR (within 6 months) was evaluated by landmark analysis.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 35 months, 557 of the 1077 patients had EHR and 249 died. Median overall survival was 19.5 (95 per cent c.i. 15.6 to 23.0) months in patients with early EHR after CRLM treatment, compared with not reached (45.3 months to not reached) in patients without an early EHR. The EHR prediction model included side and stage of the primary tumour, RAS/BRAFV600E mutational status, and number and size of CRLMs. The range of 6-month EHR predictions was 5.9-56.0 (i.q.r. 12.9-22.0) per cent. The model demonstrated good calibration and discrimination. The C-index through 6 and 12 months was 0.663 (95 per cent c.i. 0.624 to 0.702) and 0.661 (0.632 to 0.689) respectively. The observed 6-month EHR risk was 6.5 per cent for patients in the lowest quartile of predicted risk compared with 32.0 per cent in the highest quartile.

CONCLUSION

Early EHR after local treatment of CRLMs can be predicted.

Chloride Intracellular Channel Protein 1 Expression and Angiogenic Profile of Liver Metastasis of Digestive Origin

Chloride intracellular channel 1 (CLIC1) is involved in cell migration and metastasis. The histological growth patterns of liver metastasis are as follows: desmoplastic (d-HGP), replacement (r-HGP), pushing (p-HGP), and mixed. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relation between HGP, angiogenesis, and CLIC1 expression. Materials and Methods: A total of 40 cases of primary tumors and their LM: d-HGP (12 cases), r-HGP (13 cases), and p-HGP (15 cases), were evaluated through simple and double immunostaining. CLIC1 assessment was conducted as follows: scores of 0 (less than 10% of positive cells), 1 (10-30%), 2 (30-50%), or 3 (more than 50%) were assigned. Heterogeneous CLIC1 expression was found. CLIC1 in primary tumors correlated with grade G for all cases of LM with a p-HGP (p = 0.004). The CLIC1 score for LMs with an r-HGP correlated with grade G of the corresponding primary tumor (p = 0.027). CLIC1 and CD34+/Ki67+ vessels (p = 0.006) correlated in primary tumors. CLIC1 in primary tumors correlated with CD34+/Ki67+ vessels of LMs with a d HGP (p = 0.024). Conclusions: The CLIC1 score may have prognostic value, mainly for LMs with a p-HGP and r-HGP, and therapeutic value for LMs with a d-HGP.

Circulating tumour cells are associated with histopathological growth patterns of colorectal cancer liver metastases

Histopathological Growth Patterns (HGPs) have prognostic and predictive value in patients with Colorectal Liver Metastases (CRLM). This study examined whether preoperative measurement of Circulating Tumour Cells (CTCs) is associated with HGP. CTCs were prospectively enumerated in 7.5 ml of blood using the FDA-approved CellSearch system in patients who underwent local treatment of CRLM with curative intent between 2008 and 2021. All CTC samples were collected on the day of local treatment. Patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy for CRLM or with extrahepatic disease at the time of CTC sampling were excluded. HGP was scored retrospectively following the current consensus guidelines. The association between CTCs and HGP was investigated through multivariable logistic regression. Data were available for 177 patients, desmoplastic HGP (dHGP) was observed in 34 patients (19%). There were no statistically significant differences in patient and tumour characteristics between dHGP and non-dHGP at baseline. Patients with dHGP had longer overall - and disease-free survival (logrank p = 0.003 and 0.003, respectively) compared to patients with non-dHGP. CTCs were not detected in 25(74%) of dHGP patients and in 68(48%) of non-dHGP patients (chi-squared p = 0.006). Preoperative absence of CTCs was the only significant predictor for dHGP in multivariable logistic regression (Odds Ratio 2.7, 95%CI 1.1-6.8, p = 0.028), Table 3. Preoperative absence of CTCs is associated with dHGP in chemo naive CRLM patients without extrahepatic disease. Based on our results, CTC count alone is not sufficient to preoperatively identify HGPs, but integration of CTC count in multivariable prediction models may aid the preoperative identification of HGPs of CRLM.

The prognostic significance of clinicopathological characteristics in early-onset versus late-onset colorectal cancer liver metastases

PURPOSE

This study aimed to explore the prognostic significance of clinicopathological characteristics in early-onset versus late-onset colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

METHODS

The data of CRLM patients who underwent hepatectomy from September 2010 to September 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the age of primary cancer diagnosis, patients were divided into early-onset CRLM (EOCRLM) and late-onset CRLM (LOCRLM) groups. Clinicopathological parameters were compared between the two groups. Cox regression model and Kaplan-Meier method were used to analyze the effect of clinicopathological parameters on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

In total, 431 CRLM patients were identified, 130 with EOCRLM and 301 with LOCRLM. Compared with LOCRLM patients, EOCRLM patients had lower American Society of Anesthesia (ASA) grade and longer operation time (204 vs. 179 min). More aggressive features were presented in EOCRLM patients including synchronous liver metastases (76.9% vs. 61.1%) and bilobar involvement (43.8% vs. 33.2%). No significant difference in OS or RFS was found between the two groups. Multivariate analysis of EOCRLM group showed that preoperative CA19-9 level and RAS/BRAF status were predictive of OS, while bilobar involvement and preoperative CEA level were associated with RFS. In LOCRLM group, the number of CRLM, preoperative CA19-9 level, and BRAF status were associated with OS, while the number of CRLM was associated with RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

The preoperative CA19-9 level, RAS/BRAF status, bilobar involvement, and preoperative CEA level were predictive of EOCRLM patient prognosis, while the number of CRLM, preoperative CA19-9 level, and BRAF status were predictive of LOCRLM patient prognosis.

Histopathological Growth Pattern in Colorectal Liver Metastasis and The Tumor Immune Microenvironment

Almost half of all patients with colorectal cancer present with or eventually develop metastasis, most frequently in the liver. Understanding the histopathological growth patterns and tumor immune microenvironment of colorectal liver metastases may help determine treatment strategies and assess prognosis. A literature search was conducted to gather information on cancer biology, histopathological growth patterns, and the tumor immune microenvironment in colorectal liver metastases, including their mechanisms and their impact on clinical outcomes. A first consensus on histopathological growth patterns emerged in 2017, identifying five growth patterns. Later studies found benefits from a two-tier system, desmoplastic and non-desmoplastic, incorporated into the updated 2022 consensus. Furthermore, the tumor immune microenvironment shows additional characteristic features with relevance to cancer biology. This includes density of T-cells (CD8+), expression of claudin-2, presence of vessel co-option versus angiogenesis, as well as several other factors. The relation between histopathological growth patterns and the tumor immune microenvironment delineates distinct subtypes of cancer biology. The distinct subtypes are found to correlate with risk of metastasis or relapse, and hence to clinical outcome and long-term survival in each patient. In order to optimize personalized and precision therapy for patients with colorectal liver metastases, further investigation into the mechanisms of cancer biology and their translational aspects to novel treatment targets is warranted.

Incidence and Survival in Synchronous and Metachronous Liver Metastases From Colorectal Cancer

IMPORTANCE

Although treatment and prognosis of synchronous liver metastases from colorectal cancer are relatively well known, a comparative description of the incidence, epidemiological features, and outcomes of synchronous and metachronous liver metastases is lacking. The difference in prognosis between patients with synchronous and metachronous liver metastases is controversial.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate temporal patterns in the incidence and outcomes of synchronous vs metachronous liver metastases from colorectal cancer.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based cohort study used information from a French regional digestive cancer registry accounting for 1 082 000 inhabitants. A total of 26 813 patients with a diagnosis of incident colorectal adenocarcinoma diagnosed between January 1, 1976, and December 31, 2018, were included. Data were analyzed from February 7 to May 20, 2022.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Age-standardized incidence was calculated. Univariate and multivariate net survival analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Of 26 813 patients with colorectal cancer (15 032 men [56.1%]; median [IQR] age, 73 [64-81] years), 4546 (17.0%) presented with synchronous liver metastases. The incidence rate of synchronous liver metastases was 6.9 per 100 000 inhabitants in men and 3.4 per 100 000 inhabitants in women, with no significant variation since 2000. The 5-year cumulative incidence of metachronous liver metastases decreased from 18.6% (95% CI, 14.9%-22.2%) during the 1976 to 1980 period to 10.0% (95% CI, 8.8%-11.2%) during the 2006 to 2011 period. Cancer stage at diagnosis was the strongest risk factor for liver metastases; compared with patients diagnosed with stage II cancer, patients with stage III cancer had a 2-fold increase in risk (subdistribution hazard ratio, 2.42; 95% CI, 2.08-2.82) for up to 5 years. Net survival at 1 year was 41.8% for synchronous liver metastases and 49.9% for metachronous metastases, and net survival at 5 years was 6.2% for synchronous liver metastases and 13.2% for metachronous metastases. Between the first (1976-1980) and last (2011-2016) periods, the adjusted ratio of death after synchronous and metachronous metastases was divided by 2.5 for patients with synchronous status and 3.7 for patients with metachronous status.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this study, the incidence of colorectal cancer with synchronous liver metastases changed little over time, whereas there was a 2-fold decrease in the probability of developing metachronous liver metastases. Survival improved substantially for patients with metachronous liver metastases, whereas improvement was more modest for those with synchronous metastases. The differences observed in the epidemiological features of synchronous and metachronous liver metastases from colorectal cancer may be useful for the design of future clinical trials.

CT, MRI, and radiomics studies of liver metastasis histopathological growth patterns: an up-to-date review

The histopathological growth patterns (HGPs) of liver metastases (LMs) are independently associated with the long-term prognosis of the primary tumor, with different HGPs predicting different patient outcomes and clinical treatment decisions. Non-invasive imaging biomarkers for stratification of HGPs are beneficial for treatment monitoring, evaluation of efficacy, and prognosis prediction of LMs. This review describes the state of research regarding computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and radiomics imaging biomarkers for LM-HGPs; discusses the advantages of CT, MRI, and radiomics for classification of LM-HGPs; and provides a reference for the stratification of LM-HGPs. Finally, the difficulties and deficiencies of CT, MRI, and radiomics in LM-HGP research are summarized along with the proposed directions for future research.

The Role of Biomarkers in the Management of Colorectal Liver Metastases

Simple Summary

Colorectal cancer remains one of the most significant sources of cancer-related morbidity and mortality worldwide. The liver is the most common site of metastatic spread. Multiple modalities exist to manage and potentially cure patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. However, reliable biomarkers to assist with clinical decision-making are limited. Recent advances in genomic sequencing technology have greatly expanded our knowledge of colorectal cancer carcinogenesis and significantly reduced the cost and timing of the investigation. In this article, we discuss the current utility of biomarkers in the management of colorectal cancer liver metastases.

Abstract

Surgical management combined with improved systemic therapies have extended 5-year overall survival beyond 50% among patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Furthermore, a multitude of liver-directed therapies has improved local disease control for patients with unresectable CRLM. Unfortunately, a significant portion of patients treated with curative-intent hepatectomy develops disease recurrence. Traditional markers fail to risk-stratify and prognosticate patients with CRLM appropriately. Over the last few decades, advances in molecular sequencing technology have greatly expanded our knowledge of the pathophysiology and tumor microenvironment characteristics of CRLM. These investigations have revealed biomarkers with the potential to better inform management decisions in patients with CRLM. Actionable biomarkers such as RAS and BRAF mutations, microsatellite instability/mismatch repair status, and tumor mutational burden have been incorporated into national and societal guidelines. Other biomarkers, including circulating tumor DNA and radiomic features, are under active investigation to evaluate their clinical utility. Given the plethora of therapeutic modalities and lack of evidence on timing and sequence, reliable biomarkers are needed to assist clinicians with the development of patient-tailored management plans. In this review, we discuss the current evidence regarding biomarkers for patients with CRLM.

The relationship between primary colorectal cancer histology and the histopathological growth patterns of corresponding liver metastases

Background

The histopathological growth patterns (HGPs) are a prognostic and predictive biomarker in colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM). This study evaluates the relationship between the HGP and primary colorectal cancer (CRC) histopathology.

Methods

A total of 183 treatment-naive patients with resected CRC and CRLM were included. Thirteen CRC histopathology markers were determined and compared between the desmoplastic and non-desmoplastic HGP; tumour sidedness, pT&pN stage, tumour grade, tumour deposits, perineural- (lympho-)vascular- and extramural venous invasion, peritumoural budding, stroma type, CRC growth pattern, Crohn’s-like lymphoid reaction, and tumour-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) density. Logistic regression analysis was performed using both CRC and CRLM characteristics.

Results

Unfavourable CRC histopathology was more frequent in non-desmoplastic CRLM for all markers evaluated, and significantly so for a lower TIL density, absent Crohn’s-like lymphoid reaction, and a “non-mature” stroma (all p < 0.03). The cumulative prevalence of unfavourable CRC histopathology was significantly higher in patients with non-desmoplastic compared to desmoplastic CRLM, with a median (IQR) of 4 (3–6) vs 2 (1–3.5) unfavourable characteristics observed, respectively (p < 0.001). Multivariable regression with 9 CRC histopathology markers and 2 CRLM characteristics achieved good discriminatory performance (AUC = 0.83).

Conclusions

The results of this study associates primary CRC histopathology with the HGP of corresponding liver metastases.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-022-09994-3.

Prognostic Models Incorporating RAS Mutation to Predict Survival in Patients with Colorectal Liver Metastases: A Narrative Review

Recurrence and survival vary widely among patients who undergo curative-intent resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Prognostic models provide estimated probabilities of these outcomes and allow the effects of multiple potentially interacting variables to be adjusted and assessed simultaneously. Although many prognostic models based on clinicopathologic factors have been developed since the 1990s to predict survival after resection of CRLM, these models vary in their predictive performance when applied to contemporary cohorts. Rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (RAS) mutation status is routinely tested in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer to predict response to anti-epidermal growth factor therapy. In addition, mutations in RAS predict survival and recurrence in patients undergoing hepatectomy for CRLM. Several recent prognostic models have incorporated RAS mutation status as a surrogate of tumor biology and combined revised clinicopathologic variables to improve the prediction of recurrence and survival. This narrative review aims to evaluate the differences between contemporary prognostic models incorporating RAS mutation status and their clinical applicability in patients considered for curative-intent resection of CRLM.

Nomogram Predicting the Survival of Young-Onset Patients with Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases

Background: Although the global prevalence of colorectal cancer (CRC) is decreasing, there has been an increase in incidence among young-onset individuals, in whom the disease is associated with specific pathological characteristics, liver metastases, and a poor prognosis. Methods: From 2010 to 2016, 1874 young-onset patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were randomly allocated to training and validation cohorts. Multivariate Cox analysis was used to identify independent prognostic variables, and a nomogram was created to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, C-index, area under the curve (AUC), and calibration curve analyses were used to determine nomogram accuracy and reliability. Results: Factors independently associated with young-onset CRLM CSS included primary tumor location, the degree of differentiation, histology, M stage, N stage, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level, and surgery (all p < 0.05). The C-indices of the CSS nomogram for the training and validation sets (compared to TNM stage) were 0.709 and 0.635, and 0.735 and 0.663, respectively. The AUC values for 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS were 0.707, 0.708, and 0.755 in the training cohort and 0.765, 0.735, and 0.737 in the validation cohort, respectively; therefore, the nomogram had high sensitivity, and was superior to TNM staging. The calibration curves for the training and validation sets were relatively consistent. In addition, a similar result was observed with OS. Conclusions: We developed a unique nomogram incorporating clinical and pathological characteristics to predict the survival of young-onset patients with CRLM. This may serve as an early warning system allowing doctors to devise more effective treatment regimens.