Evaluation of machine learning algorithms for renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors associated renal adverse event prediction

Predicting adverse drug event using machine learning based on electronic health records: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Adverse drug events (ADEs) pose a significant challenge in current clinical practice. Machine learning (ML) has been increasingly used to predict specific ADEs using electronic health record (EHR) data. This systematic review provides a comprehensive overview of the application of ML in predicting specific ADEs based on EHR data.

Methods

A systematic search of PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and IEEE Xplore was conducted to identify relevant articles published from the inception to 20 May 2024. Studies that developed ML models for predicting specific ADEs or ADEs associated with particular drugs were included using EHR data.

Results

A total of 59 studies met the inclusion criteria, covering 15 drugs and 15 ADEs. In total, 38 machine learning algorithms were reported, with random forest (RF) being the most frequently used, followed by support vector machine (SVM), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), decision tree (DT), and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM). The performance of the ML models was generally strong, with an average area under the curve (AUC) of 76.68% ± 10.73, accuracy of 76.00% ± 11.26, precision of 60.13% ± 24.81, sensitivity of 62.35% ± 20.19, specificity of 75.13% ± 16.60, and an F1 score of 52.60% ± 21.10. The combined sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and AUC from the summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve using a random effects model were 0.65 (95% CI: 0.65-0.66), 0.89 (95% CI: 0.89-0.90), 12.11 (95% CI: 8.17-17.95), and 0.8069, respectively. The risk factors associated with different drugs and ADEs varied.

Discussion

Future research should focus on improving standardization, conducting multicenter studies that incorporate diverse data types, and evaluating the impact of artificial intelligence predictive models in real-world clinical settings.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42024565842, identifier CRD42024565842.

Machine Learning Insights Into Uric Acid Elevation With Thiazide Therapy Commencement and Intensification

Background Elevated serum uric acid, associated with cardiovascular conditions such as atherosclerotic heart disease, hypertension, and heart failure, can be elevated by thiazide or thiazide-like drugs (THZ), essential in hypertension management. Identifying clinical determinants affecting THZ-related uric acid elevation is critical. Methods In this retrospective cross-sectional study, we explored the clinical determinants influencing uric acid elevation related to THZ, focusing on patients where THZ was initiated or the dose escalated. A cohort of 143 patients was analyzed, collecting baseline and control uric acid levels, alongside basic biochemical studies and clinical data. Feature selection was conducted utilizing criteria based on mean squared error increase and enhancement in node purity. Four machine learning algorithms - Random Forest, Neural Network, Support Vector Machine, and Gradient Boosting regressions - were applied to pinpoint clinical influencers. Results Significant features include uncontrolled diabetes, index estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) level, absence of insulin, action of indapamide, and absence of statin treatment, with absence of Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), low dose aspirin exposure, and older age also being noteworthy. Among the applied models, the Gradient Boosting regression model outperformed the others, exhibiting the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) values, and the highest R2 value (0.779). While Random Forest and Neural Network regression models were able to fit the data adequately, the Support Vector Machine demonstrated inferior metrics. Conclusions Machine learning algorithms are adept at accurately identifying the factors linked to uric acid fluctuations caused by THZ. This proficiency aids in customizing treatments more effectively, reducing the need to unnecessarily avoid THZ, and providing guidance on its use to prevent instances where uric acid levels could become problematic.