Risk of secondary cancers: Bridging epidemiology and modeling

Radiation Therapy Technology Advances and Mitigation of Subsequent Neoplasms in Childhood Cancer Survivors

PURPOSE

In this Pediatric Normal Tissue Effects in the Clinic (PENTEC) vision paper, challenges and opportunities in the assessment of subsequent neoplasms (SNs) from radiation therapy (RT) are presented and discussed in the context of technology advancement.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The paper discusses the current knowledge of SN risks associated with historic, contemporary, and future RT technologies. Opportunities for research and SN mitigation strategies in pediatric patients with cancer are reviewed.

RESULTS

Present experience with radiation carcinogenesis is from populations exposed during widely different scenarios. Knowledge gaps exist within clinical cohorts and follow-up; dose-response and volume effects; dose-rate and fractionation effects; radiation quality and proton/particle therapy; age considerations; susceptibility of specific tissues; and risks related to genetic predisposition. The biological mechanisms associated with local and patient-level risks are largely unknown.

CONCLUSIONS

Future cancer care is expected to involve several available RT technologies, necessitating evidence and strategies to assess the performance of competing treatments. It is essential to maximize the utilization of existing follow-up while planning for prospective data collection, including standardized registration of individual treatment information with linkage across patient databases.

Estimation of the risk of secondary cancer in rectum and bladder after radiation therapy for prostate cancer using a feasibility dose-volume histogram

We investigated the risk of secondary cancers in rectum and bladder for prostate cancer radiotherapy using a feasibility assessment tool. We calculated the risk of secondary cancer by generating a dose-volume histogram based on an ideal dose falloff function (f-value). This study found a smaller f-value was associated with a lower secondary cancer risk in the rectum but a higher risk in the bladder. The study suggests setting the f-value at 0-0.1 as the optimization goal for the rectum and 0.4 for the bladder is reasonable and feasible for reducing the risk of secondary cancer and other adverse events.

Out-of-field effects: lessons learned from partial body exposure

Partial body exposure and inhomogeneous dose delivery are features of the majority of medical and occupational exposure situations. However, mounting evidence indicates that the effects of partial body exposure are not limited to the irradiated area but also have systemic effects that are propagated outside the irradiated field. It was the aim of the "Partial body exposure" session within the MELODI workshop 2020 to discuss recent developments and insights into this field by covering clinical, epidemiological, dosimetric as well as mechanistic aspects. Especially the impact of out-of-field effects on dysfunctions of immune cells, cardiovascular diseases and effects on the brain were debated. The presentations at the workshop acknowledged the relevance of out-of-field effects as components of the cellular and organismal radiation response. Furthermore, their importance for the understanding of radiation-induced pathologies, for the discovery of early disease biomarkers and for the identification of high-risk organs after inhomogeneous exposure was emphasized. With the rapid advancement of clinical treatment modalities, including new dose rates and distributions a better understanding of individual health risk is urgently needed. To achieve this, a deeper mechanistic understanding of out-of-field effects in close connection to improved modelling was suggested as priorities for future research. This will support the amelioration of risk models and the personalization of risk assessments for cancer and non-cancer effects after partial body irradiation.

The risk of cancer following high, and very high, doses of ionising radiation

It is established that moderate-to-high doses of ionising radiation increase the risk of subsequent cancer in the exposed individual, but the question arises as to the risk of cancer from higher doses, such as those delivered during radiotherapy, accidents, or deliberate acts of malice. In general, the cumulative dose received during a course of radiation treatment is sufficiently high that it would kill a person if delivered as a single dose to the whole body, but therapeutic doses are carefully fractionated and high/very high doses are generally limited to a small tissue volume under controlled conditions. The very high cumulative doses delivered as fractions during radiation treatment are designed to inactivate diseased cells, but inevitably some healthy cells will also receive high/very high doses. How the doses (ranging from <1 Gy to tens of Gy) received by healthy tissues during radiotherapy affect the risk of second primary cancer is an increasingly important issue to address as more cancer patients survive the disease. Studies show that, except for a turndown for thyroid cancer, a linear dose-response for second primary solid cancers seems to exist over a cumulative gamma radiation dose range of tens of gray, but with a gradient of excess relative risk per Gy that varies with the type of second cancer, and which is notably shallower than that found in the Japanese atomic bomb survivors receiving a single moderate-to-high acute dose. The risk of second primary cancer consequent to high/very high doses of radiation is likely to be due to repopulation of heavily irradiated tissues by surviving stem cells, some of which will have been malignantly transformed by radiation exposure, although the exact mechanism is not known, and various models have been proposed. It is important to understand the mechanisms that lead to the raised risk of second primary cancers consequent to the receipt of high/very high doses, in particular so that the risks associated with novel radiation treatment regimens-for example, intensity modulated radiotherapy and volumetric modulated arc therapy that deliver high doses to the target volume while exposing relatively large volumes of healthy tissue to low/moderate doses, and treatments using protons or heavy ions rather than photons-may be properly assessed.

Dose Limits and Countermeasures for Mitigating Radiation Risk in Moon and Mars Exploration

After decades of research on low-Earth orbit, national space agencies and private entrepreneurs are investing in exploration of the Solar system. The main health risk for human space exploration is late toxicity caused by exposure to cosmic rays. On Earth, the exposure of radiation workers is regulated by dose limits and mitigated by shielding and reducing exposure times. For space travel, different international space agencies adopt different limits, recently modified as reviewed in this paper. Shielding and reduced transit time are currently the only practical solutions to maintain acceptable risks in deep space missions.

Estimated Risk of Radiation-Induced Cancer after Thymoma Treatments with Proton- or X-ray Beams

Simple Summary

Thymic tumors, i.e., thymomas and thymic carcinomas, are rare tumors that derive from the remnant of the thymus gland. Although surgery is the first treatment of choice, some patients will be treated with radiotherapy. For many patients the prognosis is good, hence it is important to avoid treatment related complications such as radiation-induced secondary malignancies. Radiotherapy can be delivered with different techniques and with different particles. In the present study, we compare the calculated (estimated) risks for secondary malignancies after treatment of thymic tumors with two different photon (x-ray) radiotherapy techniques or with proton beam therapy. We use a commonly used radiobiological model to calculate the risks for radiation induced secondary malignancies for each treatment modality. In conclusion, proton beam therapy was shown to provide the potential for reducing the risk of secondary malignancies, compared to photon radiotherapy, after treatment of thymic tumors.

Abstract

We compared the calculated risks of radiation-induced secondary malignant neoplasms (SMNs) for patients treated for thymic tumors with 3D-CRT, IMRT, or single-field uniform dose (SFUD) proton beam therapy (PBT) using the pencil beam scanning (PBS) technique. A cancer-induction model based on the organ equivalent dose (OED) concept was used. For twelve patients, treated with 3D-CRT for thymic tumors, alternative IMRT and SFUD plans were retrospectively prepared. The resulting DVHs for organs at risk (OARs) were extracted and used to estimate the risk of SMNs. The OED was calculated using a mechanistic model for carcinoma induction. Two limit cases were considered; the linear-exponential model, in which the repopulation/repair of the cells is neglected, and the plateau model, in which full repopulation/repair of the irradiated cells is assumed. The calculated risks for SMNs for the different radiation modalities and dose-relation models were used to calculate relative risks, which were compared pairwise. The risks for developing SMNs were reduced for all OARs, and for both dose-relation models, if SFUD was used, compared to 3D-CRT and IMRT. In conclusion, PBS shows a potential benefit to reduce the risk of SMNs compared to 3D-CRT and IMRT in the treatment of thymic tumors.

A Systematic Review on Intensity Modulated Radiation Therapy for Mediastinal Hodgkin's Lymphoma

BACKGROUND

Secondary malignant neoplasms (SMNs) and cardiovascular diseases induced by chemotherapy and radiotherapy represent the main cause of excess mortality for early-stage Hodgkin lymphoma patients, especially when the mediastinum is involved. Conformal radiotherapy techniques such as Intensity-Modulated Radiation Therapy (IMRT) could allow a reduction of the dose to the organs-at-risk (OARs) and therefore limit long-term toxicity.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review of the current literature regarding comparisons between IMRT and conventional photon beam radiotherapy, or between different IMRT techniques, for the treatment of mediastinal lymphoma.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

IMRT allows a substantial reduction of the volumes of OARs exposed to high doses, reducing the risk of long-term toxicity. This benefit is conterbalanced by the increase of volumes receiving low doses, that could potentially increase the risk of SMNs. Treatment planning should be personalized on patient and disease characteristics. Dedicated techniques such as "butterfly" VMAT often provide the best trade-off.

Modelling and measurements of distributions in an adult human phantom undergoing proton scanning beam radiotherapy: lung- and prostate-located tumours

Proton radiotherapy has been shown to offer a significant dosimetric advantage in cancer patients, in comparison to conventional radiotherapy, with a decrease in dose to healthy tissue and organs at risk, because the bulk of the beam energy is deposited in the Bragg peak to be located within a tumour. However, it should be kept in mind that radiotherapy of cancer is still accompanied by adverse side effects, and a better understanding and improvement of radiotherapy can extend the life expectancy of patients following the treatment of malignant tumours. In this study, the dose distributions measured with thermoluminescent detectors (TLDs) inside a tissue-equivalent adult human phantom exposed for lung and prostate cancer using the modern proton beam scanning radiotherapy technique were compared. Since the TLD detection efficiency depends on the ionization density of the radiation to be detected, and since this efficiency is detector specific, four different types of TLDs were used to compare their response in the mixed radiation fields. Additionally, the dose distributions from two different cancer treatment modalities were compared using the selected detectors. The measured dose values were benchmarked against Monte Carlo simulations and available literature data. The results indicate an increase in the lateral dose with an increase of the primary proton energy. However, the radiation quality factor of the mixed radiation increases by 20% in the vicinity to the target for the lower initial proton energy, due to the production of secondary charged particles of low-energy and short range. For the cases presented here the MTS-N TLD detector seems to be the most optimal tool for dose measurements within the target volume, while the MCP-N TLD detector, due to an interplay of its enhanced thermal neutron response and decreased detection efficiency to highly ionising radiation, is a better choice for the out-of-field measurements. The pairs of MTS-6 and MTS-7 TLDs used also in this study allowed for a direct measurement of the neutron dose equivalent. Before it can be concluded that they offer an alternative to the time-consuming nuclear track detectors, however, more research is needed to unambiguously confirm whether this observation was just accidental or whether it only applies to certain cases. Since there is no universal detector, which would allow the determination of the dosimetric quantities relevant for risk estimation, this work expands the knowledge necessary to improve the quality of dosimetry data and might help scientists and clinicians in choosing the right tools to measure radiation doses in mixed radiation fields.

Assessing the out-of-field dose calculation accuracy by eclipse treatment planning system in sliding window IMRT of prostate cancer patients

AIM

The objective of this study was to evaluate out-of-field dose distribution calculation accuracy by the Anisotropic Analytical Algorithm (AAA), version 13.0.26, in Eclipse TPS, (Varian Medical Systems, Palo Alto, Ca, USA) for sliding window IMRT delivery technique in prostate cancer patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Prostate IMRT plans with nine coplanar were calculated with the AAA Eclipse treatment planning system. To assess the accuracy of dose calculation predicted by the Eclipse in normal tissue and OARs located out of radiation field areas, including the rectum, bladder, right and left head of the femur, absolute organ dose value, and dose distribution were measured using the Delta⁴⁺ IMRT phantom.

RESULTS

In the out-of-field areas, underestimation of -0.66% in organs near the field edge to -39.63% in organs far from the field edge (2.5 and 7.3 cm respectively) occurred in the TPS calculations. The percentage of dose deviation for the femoral heads was 95.7 on average while for the organ closer to the target (rectum) it was 79.81.

CONCLUSIONS

AAA dosimetry algorithm (used in Eclipse TPS) showed poor dose calculation in areas beyond the treatment fields border where underestimation varies with the distance from the field edges. A significant underestimation was found for the AAA algorithm in the sliding window IMRT technique (P-value > 0.05).

NOVEL 'PHOTONEUTRON VOLUME DOSE EQUIVALENT' HYPOTHESIS AND METHODOLOGY FOR SECOND PRIMARY CANCER RISK ESTIMATION IN HIGH-ENERGY X-RAY MEDICAL ACCELERATORS

A novel 'photoneutron (PN) volume dose equivalent' methodology was hypothesized and applied for the first time for estimating PN second primary cancer (PN-SPC) risks in high-energy X-ray medical accelerators. Novel position-sensitive mega-size polycarbonate dosimeters with 10B converter (with or without cadmium covers) were applied for determining fast, epithermal and thermal PN dose equivalents at positions on phantom surface and depths. The methodology was applied to sites of tumors such as brain, stomach and prostate in 47 patients. The PN-SPC risks were estimated for specific organs/tissues using linear International Commission on Radiological Protection cancer risks and were compared with some available data. The corresponding PN-SPC risk estimates ranged from 1.450 × 10-3 to 1.901 cases per 10 000 persons per Gray. The method was applied to 47 patients for estimating PN-SPC risks in patients undergoing radiotherapy. The PN-SPC risk estimates well match those calculated by simulation but are comparatively different from those estimated by 'PN point dose equivalent' methods, as expected.

Fondazione Italiana Linfomi (FIL) expert consensus on the use of intensity-modulated and image-guided radiotherapy for Hodgkin's lymphoma involving the mediastinum

Aim

Advances in therapy have resulted in improved cure rates and an increasing number of long-term Hodgkin's lymphoma (HL) survivors. However, radiotherapy (RT)-related late effects are still a significant issue, particularly for younger patients with mediastinal disease (secondary cancers, heart diseases). In many Centers, technological evolution has substantially changed RT planning and delivery. This consensus document aims to analyze the current knowledge of Intensity-Modulated Radiation Therapy (IMRT) and Image-Guided Radiation Therapy (IGRT) for mediastinal HL and formulate practical recommendations based on scientific evidence and expert opinions.

Methods

A dedicated working group was set up within the Fondazione Italiana Linfomi (FIL) Radiotherapy Committee in May 2018. After a first meeting, the group adopted a dedicated platform to share retrieved articles and other material. Two group coordinators redacted a first document draft, that was further discussed and finalized in two subsequent meetings. Topics of interest were: 1) Published data comparing 3D-conformal radiotherapy (3D-CRT) and IMRT 2) dose objectives for the organs at risk 3) IGRT protocols and motion management.

Results

Data review showed that IMRT might allow for an essential reduction in the high-dose regions for all different thoracic OAR. As very few studies included specific dose constraints for lungs and breasts, the low-dose component for these OAR resulted slightly higher with IMRT vs. 3D-CRT, depending on the technique used. We propose a set of dose objectives for the heart, breasts, lungs, and thyroid. The use of IGRT is advised for margin reduction without specific indications, such as the use of breath-holding techniques. An individual approach, including comparative planning and considering different risk factors for late morbidity, is recommended for each patient.

Conclusions

As HL therapy continues to evolve, with an emphasis on treatment reduction, radiation oncologists should use at best all the available tools to minimize the dose to organs at risk and optimize treatment plans. This document provides indications on the use of IMRT/IGRT based on expert consensus, providing a basis for clinical implementation and future development.

Probability of carcinogenesis due to involved field and involved site radiation therapy techniques for supra- and infradiaphragmatic Hodgkin's disease

PURPOSE

To estimate the second cancer risk associated with Hodgkin Lymphoma (HL) radiotherapy at supradiaphragmatic or infradiaphragmatic region, using the involved field (IFRT) and the involved site radiotherapy (ISRT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

IFRT and ISRT treatment plans were created for twenty HL patients. Three dimensional plans (3DRT) were employed for all patients. The organ equivalent dose (OED) and lifetime attributable risk (LAR) for organs at risk were estimated with mechanistic, plateau and bell-shaped model. Estimated risk values were compared with nominal risk of unexposed population.

RESULTS

For supradiaphragmatic radiotherapy, the mean OED range was 0.63-8.53 Gy and 0.63-7.26 Gy for IFRT and ISRT, respectively. The corresponding range for infradiaphragmatic radiotherapy was 0.18-7.64 Gy and 0.80-4.95 Gy. The LAR for cancer induction in the partially in field organs at risk after IFRT was 0.5%-8.0% and 0.2%-9.3% at supradiaphragmatic and infradiaphragmatic regions, respectively. The corresponding risk after ISRT method was 0.5%-5.2% and 0.9%-6.0%. Estimated cancer risk for breast, lung, thyroid, colon and rectal with ISRT was found significantly reduced compared to IFRT. The risk of secondary malignancies for lung, mouth, pharynx, rectum and colon was assessed more than 1.2 times higher than nominal risk for IFRT. The respective risk using ISRT was above nominal only for pharyngeal cancer.

CONCLUSION

ISRT compared with IFRT, results in decreased second cancer risk in most organs considered. Second cancer probability with IFRT was higher than the nominal risk for certain organs, while for ISRT remains higher only for pharyngeal cancer.

Tumour size can have an impact on the outcomes of epidemiological studies on second cancers after radiotherapy

Obtaining a correct dose-response relationship for radiation-induced cancer after radiotherapy presents a major challenge for epidemiological studies. The purpose of this paper is to gain a better understanding of the associated uncertainties. To accomplish this goal, some aspects of an epidemiological study on breast cancer following radiotherapy of Hodgkin's disease were simulated with Monte Carlo methods. It is demonstrated that although the doses to the breast volume are calculated by one treatment plan, the locations and sizes of the induced secondary breast tumours can be simulated and, based on these simulated locations and sizes, the absorbed doses at the site of tumour incidence can also be simulated. For the simulations of point dose at tumour site, linear and non-linear mechanistic models which predict risk of cancer induction as a function of dose were applied randomly to the treatment plan. These simulations provided for each second tumour and each simulated tumour size the predicted dose. The predicted-dose-response-characteristic from the analysis of the simulated epidemiological study was analysed. If a linear dose-response relationship for cancer induction was applied to calculate the theoretical doses at the simulated tumour sites, all Monte-Carlo realizations of the epidemiological study yielded strong evidence for a resulting linear risk to predicted-dose-response. However, if a non-linear dose-response of cancer induction was applied to calculate the theoretical doses, the Monte Carlo simulated epidemiological study resulted in a non-linear risk to predicted-dose-response relationship only if the tumour size was small (< 1.5 cm). If the diagnosed breast tumours exceeded an average diameter of 1.5 cm, an applied non-linear theoretical-dose-response relationship for second cancer falsely resulted in strong evidence for a linear predicted-dose relationship from the epidemiological study realizations. For a typical distribution of breast cancer sizes, the model selection probability for a resulting predicted-dose linear model was 61% although a non-linear theoretical-dose-response relationship for cancer induction had been applied. The results of this study, therefore, provide evidence that the shapes of epidemiologically obtained dose-response relationships for cancer induction can be biased by the finite size of the diagnosed second tumour, even though the epidemiological study was done correctly.

The influence of inter-fractional anatomy variation on secondary cancer risk estimates following radiotherapy

PURPOSE

In silico studies comparing estimated risks of radiation-induced secondary cancer (SC) are frequently performed in assessment of radiotherapy techniques. Since inter-patient anatomy variations can result in considerable differences in estimated risk we aimed to explore the influence of inter-fractional organ motion patterns on SC risk.

METHODS

Volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) and intensity-modulated proton therapy (IMPT) plans were generated on the planning CT (pCT) scans of eight prostate cancer patients. In addition, the treatment plans were re-calculated on 8-9 repeat CTs (rCTs) of each patient acquired throughout the treatment course. Relative risk (RR) of SC (VMAT/IMPT) was calculated for the planned and the re-calculated dose distributions using the organ equivalent dose concept adapted to a linear and a bell-shaped competition dose-response model.

RESULTS

Day-to-day variations in anatomy lead to fluctuations in SC risk estimates of the same order of magnitude as those caused by inter-patient variations. Using the competition model, the RR range for bladder cancer based on the pCTs was 0.4-3.4, while a considerably wider range was found when including all rCTs (0.2-6.7). There was nevertheless a correlation in RR based on repeat CTs for individual patients, indicating that patient-specific SC risks could be estimated.

CONCLUSIONS

The estimated relative risks varied considerably across rCTs and could change the risk in favour of VMAT/IMPT depending on the anatomy of the day. The results demonstrate the importance of performing in silico studies of SC risk on a cohort of patients or multiple CTs when structures subject to organ motion are involved.