Previous caesarean or vaginal delivery: which mode is a greater risk of perinatal death at the second delivery?

Identification of factors influencing the rise of cesarean sections rates in Pakistan, using MCDM

PURPOSE

The rate of cesarean sections has been rapidly increased in the last few decades in all the developing as well as developed countries. The rate of cesarean sections determined by the World Health Organization has been crossed by many countries, like Brazil, India, China, USA, Australia, etc. Similarly, this rate has also increased in Pakistan. The purpose of this paper is to explore and identify the factors that are responsible for the rising rate of cesarean sections in Pakistan.

DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH

These factors are categorized under medical and non-medical factors. The medical factors include the obesity of mother, age of mother, weight of the baby, umbilical cord prolapse, fetal distress, abnormal presentation, dystocia and failure to progress. The non-medical factors include financial incentives of doctors, time convenience for doctors, high tolerance to surgery, patient's preference toward cesarean section, private hospitals, public hospitals, income status of patients, rural areas, urban areas and the education of patients. To identify the critical factors, data have been collected and a multi-criteria decision-making technique, called Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory, is used.

FINDINGS

The result shows that the medical factors that are responsible for the rise in the rate of cesarean sections are umbilical cord prolapse, age of mother and obesity of mother. On the other hand, the non-medical factors that are the reasons for the increase in cesarean sections are the large number of private hospitals and the unethical acts of the doctors in these hospitals, preference of patients, and either the unavailability of doctors or poor conditions of hospitals in rural areas.

ORIGINALITY/VALUE

Cesarean section is an important surgical intervention and is considered to be very essential in the cases of existing as well as potential medical problems to the mother or the baby. Cesarean section is also performed for non-medical reasons. In Pakistan, the number of private hospitals has increased and these hospitals provide good health care. However, these hospitals do not work under the rules and regulations set by the government. The doctors in private hospitals perform unnecessary cesarean sections in order to fulfill the demands of private hospital's owners. In addition to this, it is also found that, nowadays, most women prefer to give birth through cesarean section in order to eliminate the pain of normal vaginal delivery.

Contemporary management of patients with BCR-ABL1-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms during pregnancy

INTRODUCTION

The management of pregnancy during the course of BCR-ABL1-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) is an increasingly relevant problem. This is mostly due to earlier and better diagnosis of MPN together with the trend in modern society toward delaying pregnancy until later life. Areas Covered: The present review aims to provide an overview of the available literature data concerning outcome of pregnancy in MPN. Possible therapeutic modalities are discussed and a management algorithm is suggested. Expert Commentary: Most data are available for women with essential thrombocythemia and we present 793 published pregnancies. Live birth rate is 68.5% with 31.5% miscarriages. Spontaneous abortion is the most frequent complication with 26.5%, followed by stillbirth with 4.8%. Maternal complications are relatively low with 1.8% major thrombotic and 2.4% major bleeding events. In polycythemia vera the situation is clinically more complex and roughly 150 pregnancy reports are available. There is very limited information in primary myelofibrosis with less than 20 reported pregnancies. With active management including control of blood counts, aspirin, low molecular weight heparin and in higher risk cases interferon alpha pregnancy in MPN is manageable with a success rate not far below the normal situation with 80%.

Risk factors of stillbirths in Victoria (Australia): A case-control study

Stillbirth is one of the most adverse pregnancy outcomes. The rate of stillbirth in high income countries has remained stagnant in recent decades. This study aimed to determine the incidence and risk factors of stillbirths specific to hospital-based deliveries in a secondary level hospital in Melbourne, Australia, over a 5-year period. We conducted a case-control study from January 2007 to December 2011. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted in STATA 12.1. The 5-year cumulative incidence of still-birth was 5.3 per 1000 total births (95% CI 4.3, 6.5). Univariate analysis revealed that higher body-mass index, smoking during pregnancy, haemoglobin level (≥14.5 g/dl), previous stillbirth, primiparity, marital status, previous caesarean section and reduced foetal movement in the 2 weeks prior to delivery were associated with increased risk of stillbirth. However, after adjustment for confounders in a multiple-regression model, only previous caesarean section (p = 0.006), unmarried (p = 0.004), high haemoglobin level (p = 0.007) and reduced foetal movement in the 2 weeks prior to delivery (p < 0.001) remained significantly associated with increased risk of stillbirth. The characteristics of our study population was similar to the population of state-wide survey in 2009, however, the incidence in our study was slightly lower. We concluded that previous caesarean section, pregnancy while being unmarried, higher haemoglobin level and reduced foetal movement in the 2 weeks before delivery were significant predictors of stillbirth. The identified risk factors were similar to other studies and the obstetric practice at the hospital or the demographics of the study population did not add to additional risk.

Opinions of women towards cesarean delivery and priority issues of care in the postpartum period

This study was conducted, in order to determine the opinions of women who had a cesarean delivery and the problems that they faced in the postpartum period. This descriptive study was conducted with 337 women who delivered babies by cesarean section. The data were collected using a semi-structured questionnaire. The results of the study showed that 53.4% of women underwent cesarean delivery for the first time, and 83.1% said that it was the obstetrician's decision to have a cesarean delivery. More than half of the women (61.1%) had a negative experience with cesarean delivery due to postpartum pain (44.7%) and inability to care for their infant (35.9%). The most common problems associated with cesarean delivery were postpartum pain (96.1%), back pain (68.2%), problems passing gas (62.0%), bleeding (56.1%), breastfeeding problems (49.6%) and limitation of movement (43.6%) respectively. Understanding the the opinions and problems of women towards cesarean delivery assists healthcare professionals in identifying better ways to provide appropriate care and support.

Cesarean Section and Subsequent Stillbirth, Is Confounding by Indication Responsible for the Apparent Association? An Updated Cohort Analysis of a Large Perinatal Database

BACKGROUND

Several studies and a recent meta-analysis have suggested that previous Cesarean section may increase the risk of stillbirth in a subsequent pregnancy. Given the high rates of Cesarean section in contemporary obstetric practice, this is of considerable public health importance. We sought to evaluate the potential that this association is the result of residual confounding bias.

METHODS

A large perinatal database (Alberta Perinatal Health Project) was searched to identify a matched set of first and second births from the years 1992-2006. Data on pregnancy outcomes, demographics and potential confounding factors were obtained.

RESULTS

The cohort was comprised of 98538 matched first and second births. Multivariate analysis did not reveal an association between previous Cesarean section and stillbirth, OR = 1.38 (0.98, 1.93). Restricting the analysis to a low risk group further attenuated the association, OR = .99 (0.62, 1.52). Analysis of the risk by indication for Cesarean section found that the risk was not increased for previous dystocia, OR = .91 (0.53, 1.55) nor for breech presentation, OR = 1.06 (0.50, 2.28) but only for other indications including non reassuring fetal status and fetal distress, OR = 1.96 (1.29, 2.98).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of our cohort analysis suggest that previous Cesarean section does not cause an increased risk of stillbirth.

Previous caesarean delivery and the risk of unexplained stillbirth: retrospective cohort study and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether caesarean delivery in the first pregnancy is a risk factor for unexplained antepartum stillbirth in a second pregnancy.

DESIGN

A population-based retrospective cohort study and meta-analysis.

SETTING

All maternity units in Scotland.

PARTICIPANTS

A cohort of 128 585 second births, 1999-2008.

METHODS

Time-to-event analysis and random-effects meta-analysis.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Risk of unexplained antepartum stillbirth in a second pregnancy.

RESULTS

There were 88 stillbirths among 23 688 women with a previous caesarean delivery (2.34 per 10 000 women per week) and 288 stillbirths in 104 897 women who had previously delivered vaginally (1.67 per 10 000 women per week, P = 0.002). When analysed by cause, women with a previous caesarean delivery had an increased risk of unexplained stillbirth (hazard ratio, HR 1.47; 95% confidence interval, 95% CI 1.12-1.94; P = 0.006) and, as previously observed, the excess risk was apparent from 34 weeks of gestation onwards. The risk did not differ in relation to the indication of the caesarean delivery, and was independent of maternal characteristics and previous obstetric complications. We identified three other comparable studies (two in North America and one in Europe), and meta-analysis of these studies showed a statistically significant association between previous caesarean delivery and the risk of antepartum stillbirth in the second pregnancy (pooled HR 1.40; 95% CI 1.10-1.77; P = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Women who have had a previous caesarean delivery are at increased risk of unexplained stillbirth in the second pregnancy.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Caesarean first delivery is associated with an increased risk of unexplained stillbirth in the next pregnancy.

Caesarean delivery and subsequent stillbirth or miscarriage: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To compare the risk of stillbirth and miscarriage in a subsequent pregnancy in women with a previous caesarean or vaginal delivery.

DESIGN

Systematic review of the published literature including seven databases: CINAHL; the Cochrane library; Embase; Medline; PubMed; SCOPUS and Web of Knowledge from 1945 until November 11(th) 2011, using a detailed search-strategy and cross-checking of reference lists.

STUDY SELECTION

Cohort, case-control and cross-sectional studies examining the association between previous caesarean section and subsequent stillbirth or miscarriage risk. Two assessors screened titles to identify eligible studies, using a standardised data abstraction form and assessed study quality.

DATA SYNTHESIS

11 articles were included for stillbirth, totalling 1,961,829 pregnancies and 7,308 events. Eight eligible articles were included for miscarriage, totalling 147,017 pregnancies and 12,682 events. Pooled estimates across the stillbirth studies were obtained using random-effect models. Among women with a previous caesarean an increase in odds of 1.23 [95% CI 1.08, 1.40] for stillbirth was yielded. Subgroup analyses including unexplained stillbirths yielded an OR of 1.47 [95% CI 1.20, 1.80], an OR of 2.11 [95% CI 1.16, 3.84] for explained stillbirths and an OR of 1.27 [95% CI 0.95, 1.70] for antepartum stillbirths. Only one study reported adjusted estimates in the miscarriage review, therefore results are presented individually.

CONCLUSIONS

Given the recent revision of the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence guidelines (NICE), providing women the right to request a caesarean, it is essential to establish whether mode of delivery has an association with subsequent risk of stillbirth or miscarriage. Overall, compared to vaginal delivery, the pooled estimates suggest that caesarean delivery may increase the risk of stillbirth by 23%. Results for the miscarriage review were inconsistent and lack of adjustment for confounding was a major limitation. Higher methodological quality research is required to reliably assess the risk of miscarriage in subsequent pregnancies.

Major risk factors for stillbirth in high-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Stillbirth rates in high-income countries have shown little or no improvement over the past two decades. Prevention strategies that target risk factors could be important in rate reduction. This systematic review and meta-analysis was done to identify priority areas for stillbirth prevention relevant to those countries.

METHODS

Population-based studies addressing risk factors for stillbirth were identified through database searches. The factors most frequently reported were identified and selected according to whether they could potentially be reduced through lifestyle or medical intervention. The numbers attributable to modifiable risk factors were calculated from data relating to the five high-income countries with the highest numbers of stillbirths and where all the data required for analysis were available. Odds ratios were calculated for selected risk factors, from which population-attributable risk (PAR) values were calculated.

FINDINGS

Of 6963 studies initially identified, 96 population-based studies were included. Maternal overweight and obesity (body-mass index >25 kg/m(2)) was the highest ranking modifiable risk factor, with PARs of 8-18% across the five countries and contributing to around 8000 stillbirths (≥22 weeks' gestation) annually across all high-income countries. Advanced maternal age (>35 years) and maternal smoking yielded PARs of 7-11% and 4-7%, respectively, and each year contribute to more than 4200 and 2800 stillbirths, respectively, across all high-income countries. In disadvantaged populations maternal smoking could contribute to 20% of stillbirths. Primiparity contributes to around 15% of stillbirths. Of the pregnancy disorders, small size for gestational age and abruption are the highest PARs (23% and 15%, respectively), which highlights the notable role of placental pathology in stillbirth. Pre-existing diabetes and hypertension remain important contributors to stillbirth in such countries.

INTERPRETATION

The raising of awareness and implementation of effective interventions for modifiable risk factors, such as overweight, obesity, maternal age, and smoking, are priorities for stillbirth prevention in high-income countries.

FUNDING

The Stillbirth Foundation Australia, the Department of Health and Ageing, Canberra, Australia, and the Mater Foundation, Brisbane, Australia.

Emergency cesarean sections can be predicted by markers for stress, worry and sleep disturbances in first-time mothers

OBJECTIVE

To identify predictors as free-text markers for mental ill-health from an electronic perinatal record (EMR) system and the association with emergency cesarean section (CS) in nulliparous women.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This was a population-based study using an EMR system, set in the catchment area of Malmö University Hospital in Sweden. Of 10,662 nulliparous women presenting with a singleton cephalic baby for vaginal delivery between 2001 and 2006, 6,467 women with complete EMRs were selected. A free-text search of markers for mental ill-health was carried out, and results were analysed by multivariate logistic regression. Eleven markers for mental ill-health were tested with Cohen's kappa for agreement and used as exposure variables. Odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for emergency CS, and adjusted for maternal age, diabetes, epidural anesthesia and gestational weeks <37 and >41 by a multivariate logistic regression model with vaginal delivery as the reference.

RESULTS

Three markers identified from the EMR system reached statistically significant associations with an increased risk for emergency CS in nulliparous women: stress, adjusted OR 1.66 (95% CI 1.34-2.06); sleep, adjusted OR 1.57 (95% CI 1.14-2.16); and worry, adjusted OR 1.41 (95% CI 1.10-1.79).

CONCLUSION

Free-text words in medical records that indicated stress, sleep disturbances or worry predicted increased adjusted OR for emergency CS in first-time mothers. Recognizing pregnant women's reporting of their mental health status could have a predictive bearing on delivery outcomes.

Management of Philadelphia negative chronic myeloproliferative disorders in pregnancy

The management of pregnancy in Philadelphia negative chronic myeloproliferative disorders (CMPDs) is an increasingly frequent problem. In the literature, most pregnancies are reported for women with essential thrombocythemia (ET) with about 400 pregnancies in about 200 women. In ET, first trimester abortion is the most frequent complication occurring in about one third of pregnancies. Interestingly, the incidence of maternal complications is relatively low with 3% for major thromboembolic and 2% for major bleeding events. The presence of the Jak2 mutation seems to be an independent predictor of pregnancy complications. Pregnancies in ET should be stratified according to underlying risk factors in low, high and highest risk pregnancies. Women with low risk pregnancies are treated with low-dose aspirin, whereas women with high and higher risk pregnancies may benefit from low-dose aspirin plus interferon alpha +/- low molecular weight heparin throughout pregnancy and at least for six weeks post-partum. In polycythemia vera (PV) there is only very few information on pregnancy outcome with 36 pregnancies reported in the literature. According to these data pregnancy in PV is per se a high risk situation. Accordingly, all women with PV should be treated with low-dose aspirin. Some pregnant PV patients may benefit from a more intensive therapy including interferon alpha +/- low molecular weight heparin throughout pregnancy and at least for six weeks post-partum.

Stillbirth

In the UK, about one in 200 infants is stillborn, and rates of stillbirth have recently slightly increased. This recent rise might reflect increasing frequency of some important maternal risk factors for stillbirth, including nulliparity, advanced age, and obesity. Most stillbirths are related to placental dysfunction, which in many women is evident from the first half of pregnancy and is associated with fetal growth restriction. There is no effective screening test that has clearly shown a reduction in stillbirth rates in the general population. However, assessments of novel screening methods have generally failed to distinguish between effective identification of high-risk women and successful intervention for such women. Future research into stillbirth will probably focus on understanding the pathophysiology of impaired placentation to establish screening tests for stillbirth, and assessment of interventions to prevent stillbirth in women who screen positive.