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Wang Y, Pan Z, Li S, Cai H, Huang Y, Zhuang J, Liu X, Lu X, Guan G. Prediction and validation of pathologic complete response for locally advanced rectal cancer under neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy based on a novel predictor using interpretable machine learning. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SURGICAL ONCOLOGY 2024; 50:108738. [PMID: 39395242 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejso.2024.108738] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/29/2024] [Accepted: 10/01/2024] [Indexed: 10/14/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Precise evaluation of pathological complete response (pCR) is essential for determining the prognosis of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) and can offer clues for the selection of subsequent treatment strategies. Most current predictive models for pCR focus primarily on pre-treatment factors, neglecting the dynamic systemic changes that occur during neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, and are constrained by low accuracy and lack of integrity. PURPOSE This study devised a novel predictor of pCR using dynamic alterations in systemic inflammation-nutritional marker indexes (SINI) during neoadjuvant therapy and developed a machine-learning model to predict pCR. METHODS Two cohorts of patients with LARC from center one from 2012 to 2017 and from center two from 2020 to 2023 were integrated for analysis. This study compared dynamic changes in blood indexes before and after neoadjuvant therapy and surgical operation. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was conducted to mitigate collinearity and identify key indexes, constructing the SINI. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses were used to identify the independent risk factors associated with pCR. Additionally, 10 machine learning algorithms were employed to develop predictive models to assess risk. The hyperparameters of the machine learning models were optimized using a random search and 10-fold cross-validation. The models were assessed by examining various metrics, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC), decision curve analysis, calibration curves, and the precision and accuracy of the internal and external validation cohorts. Additionally, Shapley's additive explanations (SHAP) were employed to interpret the machine learning models. RESULTS The study cohort comprised 677 patients from the center one and 224 patients from the center two. Six key indexes were identified, and a predictive index, SINI, was constructed. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses revealed that SINI, clinical T-stage, clinical N-stage, tumor size, and the distance from the anal verge were independent risk factors for pCR in patients with LARC following NCRT. The mean AUC value of the extreme gradient boosting (XGB) model in the 10-fold cross-validation of the training set was 0.877. The XGB model demonstrated superior performance in the internal and external validation sets. Specifically, in the internal test set, the XGB model achieved an AUC of 0.86, AUPRC of 0.707, accuracy of 0.82, and precision of 0.80. In the external validation set, the XGB model exhibited an AUC of 0.83, AUPRC of 0.702, accuracy of 0.81, and precision of 0.81. Additionally, the predictions generated by the XGB model were analyzed using SHAP. CONCLUSION This study involved developing and validating an XGB model using SINI to predict pCR in patients with LARC. Besides, a SINI-based machine learning model shows promise in accurately predicting pCR following NCRT in patients with resectable LARC, offering valuable insights for personalized treatment approaches.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ye Wang
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Zhen Pan
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Shoufeng Li
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Huajun Cai
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Ying Huang
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Jinfu Zhuang
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Xing Liu
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Xingrong Lu
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, Fuzhou, China.
| | - Guoxian Guan
- Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China; Department of Colorectal Surgery, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Afliated Hospital, Fuzhou, China.
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Kanno DT, Mattos RLMD, Siqueira RM, Pereira JA, Campos FG, Martinez CAR. IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC ON THE EMERGENCY SURGICAL TREATMENT OF COLORECTAL CANCER. ARQUIVOS BRASILEIROS DE CIRURGIA DIGESTIVA : ABCD = BRAZILIAN ARCHIVES OF DIGESTIVE SURGERY 2024; 36:e1793. [PMID: 38324854 PMCID: PMC10841527 DOI: 10.1590/0102-672020230075e1793] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2023] [Accepted: 10/10/2023] [Indexed: 02/09/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the most common malignancy of the gastrointestinal tract and the third most common type of cancer worldwide. The COVID-19 pandemic, during the years 2020 and 2022, increased the difficulties in offering adequate early diagnosis and treatment to CRC patients worldwide. During this period, it was only possible to treat patients who evolved with complications, mainly intestinal obstruction and perforation. AIMS To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the treatment of patients with CRC. METHODS A review of data from a total of 112 patients undergoing emergency surgical treatment due to complications of CRC was carried out. Of these, 78 patients underwent emergency surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic (2020/2021), and 34 were treated before the pandemic (2018/2019). Ethnic aspects, clinical symptoms, laboratory tests, histopathological variables, intra and postoperative complications, and 90-day postoperative follow-up were compared between the two groups. RESULTS Between the years 2018 and 2019, 79.4% (27/34) of patients had intestinal obstruction, while 20.6% (7/34) had intestinal perforation. During the period of the COVID-19 pandemic (2020/2021), 1.3% (1/78) of patients underwent surgery due to gastrointestinal bleeding, 6.4% (5/78) due to intestinal perforation, and 92.3% (72/78) due to intestinal obstruction. No statistically significant differences were recorded between the two groups in ethnic aspects, laboratory tests, type of complications, number of lymph nodes resected, compromised lymph nodes, TNM staging, pre or intraoperative complications, length of stay, readmission, or mortality rate. When considering postoperative tumor staging, among patients operated on in 2018/2019, 44.1% were classified as stage III and 38.2% as stage IV, while during the pandemic period, 28.2% presented stage III and 51.3% stage IV, also without a statistically significant difference between the two periods. Patients operated on during the pandemic had higher rates of vascular, lymphatic and perineural invasion. CONCLUSIONS The COVID-19 pandemic increased the rate of complications related to CRC when comparing patients treated before and during the pandemic. Furthermore, it had a negative impact on histopathological variables, causing worse oncological prognoses in patients undergoing emergency surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Danilo Toshio Kanno
- Universidade São Francisco, Postgraduate Program in Health Sciences - Bragança Paulista (SP), Brazil
| | | | - Rayama Moreira Siqueira
- Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Department of Surgery, Postgraduate Program in Surgical Sciences - Campinas (SP), Brazil
| | - José Aires Pereira
- Universidade São Francisco, Postgraduate Program in Health Sciences - Bragança Paulista (SP), Brazil
| | | | - Carlos Augusto Real Martinez
- Universidade São Francisco, Postgraduate Program in Health Sciences - Bragança Paulista (SP), Brazil
- Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Department of Surgery - Campinas (SP), Brazil
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Li YC, Hsu HH, Yang SP, Hu GC, Wang HM, Huang WC, Wang TJ. Healthy Lifestyle and Quality of Life in Post-Operative Colorectal Cancer Patients: A Five-Month Observational Study. Nutrients 2023; 16:68. [PMID: 38201897 PMCID: PMC10781141 DOI: 10.3390/nu16010068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/25/2023] [Revised: 12/15/2023] [Accepted: 12/18/2023] [Indexed: 01/12/2024] Open
Abstract
Health-related quality of life (HRQOL) is an important indicator of treatment effectiveness. An unhealthy lifestyle can have a negative impact on quality of life. This study aimed to investigate changes in health-related lifestyle over time after surgery for colorectal cancer and their impact on HRQOL. Healthy lifestyle habits examined in this study included physical activity, smoking, alcohol consumption, fruit and vegetable intake, sleep, and obesity levels. An observational study design was used. A total of 75 post-operative colorectal cancer patients were recruited from two medical centers in Taiwan. Data were collected through structured questionnaires. Mean HRQOL scores at 1, 3, and 5 months after discharge were 102.5 (SD = 18.8), 102.9 (SD = 20.1), and 103.0 (SD = 18.9), respectively. A generalized estimating equation analysis showed that alcohol consumption (p = 0.009), fruit and vegetable intake (p = 0.020), physical activity (p = 0.023), sleep quality (p < 0.001), and obesity (p = 0.035) were important predictors of post-operative quality of life in patients with colorectal cancer. The impact of smoking on HRQOL did not reach statistical significance. Colorectal cancer patients tend to have better HRQOL after surgery if they stay physically active, eat enough fruits and vegetables, and sleep well.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yi-Chiu Li
- Division of Colorectal, Department of Surgery, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei City 10449, Taiwan; (Y.-C.L.); (H.-H.H.)
| | - Hsi-Hsien Hsu
- Division of Colorectal, Department of Surgery, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei City 10449, Taiwan; (Y.-C.L.); (H.-H.H.)
- MacKay Junior College of Medicine Nursing and Management, Taipei City 11260, Taiwan
| | - Shu-Ping Yang
- Department of Nursing, Cathay General Hospital, Taipei City 10630, Taiwan; (S.-P.Y.); (H.-M.W.)
| | - Gwo-Chi Hu
- Department of Rehabilitation, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei City 10449, Taiwan;
- Department of Medicine, MacKay Medical College, New Taipei City 25245, Taiwan
| | - Hui-Mei Wang
- Department of Nursing, Cathay General Hospital, Taipei City 10630, Taiwan; (S.-P.Y.); (H.-M.W.)
| | - Wen-Chien Huang
- Department of Medicine, MacKay Medical College, New Taipei City 25245, Taiwan
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei City 10449, Taiwan
| | - Tsae-Jyy Wang
- School of Nursing, National Taipei University of Nursing and Health Sciences, Taipei City 11219, Taiwan
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Wang H, Liu X, Long J, Huang J, Lyu S, Zhao X, Zhao B, He Q, An Z, Hao J. Development and validation of a nomogram predictive model for colorectal adenoma with low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia using routine laboratory tests: A single-center case-control study in China. Heliyon 2023; 9:e20996. [PMID: 38027648 PMCID: PMC10660008 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20996] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2023] [Revised: 10/12/2023] [Accepted: 10/12/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer in the world and has a high mortality rate. Colorectal adenoma (CRA) is precancerous lesions of CRC. The purpose of the present study was to construct a nomogram predictive model for CRA with low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN) in order to identify high-risk individuals, facilitating early diagnosis and treatment, and ultimately reducing the incidence of CRC. Methods We conducted a single-center case-control study. Based on the results of colonoscopy and pathology, 320 participants were divided into the CRA group and the control group, the demographic and laboratory test data were collected. A development cohort (n = 223) was used for identifying the risk factors for CRA with LGIN and to develop a predictive model, followed by an internal validation. An independent validation cohort (n = 97) was used for external validation. Receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration plot and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate discrimination ability, accuracy and clinical practicability of the model. Results Four predictors, namely sex, age, albumin and monocyte count, were included in the predictive model. In the development cohort, internal validation and external validation cohort, the area under the curve (AUC) of this risk predictive model were 0.946 (95%CI: 0.919-0.973), 0.909 (95 % CI: 0.869-0.940) and 0.928 (95%CI: 0.876-0.980), respectively, which demonstrated the model had a good discrimination ability. The calibration plots showed a good agreement and the decision curve analysis (DCA) suggested the predictive model had a high clinical net benefit. Conclusion The nomogram model exhibited good performance in predicting CRA with LGIN, which can aid in the early detection of high-risk patients, improve early treatment, and ultimately reduce the incidence of CRC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Huaguang Wang
- Department of Pharmacy, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100020, China
| | - Xinjuan Liu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100020, China
| | - Jiang Long
- Beijing Minimally Invasive Oncology Medical Center of Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 101121, China
| | - Jincan Huang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100020, China
| | - Shaocheng Lyu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100020, China
| | - Xin Zhao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100020, China
| | - Baocheng Zhao
- Department of General Surgery, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100020, China
| | - Qiang He
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100020, China
| | - Zhuoling An
- Department of Pharmacy, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100020, China
| | - Jianyu Hao
- Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100020, China
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Kang B, Zhao ZQ, Liu XY, Cheng YX, Tao W, Wei ZQ, Peng D. Effect of hypoalbuminemia on short-term outcomes after colorectal cancer surgery: A propensity score matching analysis. Front Nutr 2022; 9:925086. [PMID: 36105581 PMCID: PMC9464913 DOI: 10.3389/fnut.2022.925086] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/21/2022] [Accepted: 07/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Purpose The purpose of our study was to investigate the effect of pre-operative hypoalbuminemia on the short-term outcomes after primary colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery. Materials and methods The retrospective study enrolled CRC patients who underwent primary surgery from January 2011 to December 2021 in a single teaching hospital. The short-term outcomes were compared between the hypoalbuminemia group and the normal group using propensity score matching (PSM). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used for analyzing independent predictors of overall complications and major complications. Results A total of 7,072 patients from a single center were enrolled in this study. There were 1,078 (15.2%) patients in the pre-operative hypoalbuminemia group and 5,994 (84.8%) patients in the normal pre-operative albumin group. After 1:1 PSM, there were 1,028 patients in the hypoalbuminemia group and 1,028 patients in the normal group. No significant differences were found in baseline information between the two groups after PSM. In terms of short-term outcomes, the hypoalbuminemia group had a longer operation time (p = 0.003), greater volume of blood loss (p = 0.036), longer hospital stays (p < 0.01), higher proportion of overall complications (p = 0.003), major complications (p = 0.016), higher incidence of pneumonia and abdominal infection (p = 0.001) than the normal group after PSM. Furthermore, hypoalbuminemia was an independent predictor for overall complications (p = 0.008) and major complications (p = 0.016). Conclusion Pre-operative hypoalbuminemia increased overall complications and major complications after primary CRC surgery. Furthermore, hypoalbuminemia was an independent predictor for overall complications and major complications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bing Kang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
- Department of Clinical Nutrition, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Zhi-Qiang Zhao
- Department of General Surgery, Qijiang Hospital of the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Xiao-Yu Liu
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Yu-Xi Cheng
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Wei Tao
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Zheng-Qiang Wei
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Dong Peng
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
- *Correspondence: Dong Peng,
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Application Value of Nutrition Support Team in Chemotherapy Period of Colon Cancer Based on Internet Multidisciplinary Treatment Mode. COMPUTATIONAL AND MATHEMATICAL METHODS IN MEDICINE 2022; 2022:8234769. [PMID: 35915770 PMCID: PMC9338870 DOI: 10.1155/2022/8234769] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2022] [Revised: 07/07/2022] [Accepted: 07/13/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
Objective To explore the application value of the nutrition support team in chemotherapy period of colon cancer based on the internet multidisciplinary treatment mode. Methods For the method of retrospective study, 90 patients with colon cancer admitted to our hospital from August 2018 to August 2020 were selected as the study subjects. They were equally divided into the experimental group (n = 45) and the control group (n = 45) according to the order of initials and the method of parity group. The control group was given conventional nutrition support, and the experimental group was given the nutrition support under the internet multidisciplinary treatment mode. The serum tumor marker levels (CEA and CA19-9), immune function indexes, nutrition indicators, and the incidence of adverse reactions were compared between the two groups before and after intervention. Results The serum tumor marker levels in the experimental group after intervention were significantly lower than those in the control group (P < 0.001). The immune function indexes in the experimental group after intervention were significantly better than those in the control group (P < 0.001). The nutrition indicators in the experimental group after intervention were significantly better than those in the control group (P < 0.001). The incidence of gastrointestinal adverse reactions above grade 2 in the experimental group was significantly lower than that in the control group (P < 0.05). There were 20 patients with myelosuppression, 2 patients with neurotoxicity, and 1 patient with hand and foot syndrome in the experimental group, while 22 patients with myelosuppression, 4 patients with neurotoxicity, and 2 patients with hand and foot syndrome in the control group, with no significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups (P > 0.05). Conclusion The nutrition support team under the internet multidisciplinary treatment mode can improve the immune function of chemotherapy patients with colon cancer and enhance their nutritional level, thereby reducing the incidence of adverse reactions and improving the chemotherapy effects.
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