Radiomic signature-based nomogram to predict disease-free survival in stage II and III colon cancer

Constructing a nomogram to predict overall survival of colon cancer based on computed tomography characteristics and clinicopathological factors

BACKGROUND

The colon cancer prognosis is influenced by multiple factors, including clinical, pathological, and non-biological factors. However, only a few studies have focused on computed tomography (CT) imaging features. Therefore, this study aims to predict the prognosis of patients with colon cancer by combining CT imaging features with clinical and pathological characteristics, and establishes a nomogram to provide critical guidance for the individualized treatment.

AIM

To establish and validate a nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with colon cancer.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on the survival data of 249 patients with colon cancer confirmed by surgical pathology between January 2017 and December 2021. The patients were randomly divided into training and testing groups at a 1:1 ratio. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the independent risk factors associated with OS, and a nomogram model was constructed for the training group. Survival curves were calculated using the Kaplan–Meier method. The concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the nomogram model in the training and testing groups.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that lymph node metastasis on CT, perineural invasion, and tumor classification were independent prognostic factors. A nomogram incorporating these variables was constructed, and the C-index of the training and testing groups was 0.804 and 0.692, respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated good consistency between the actual values and predicted probabilities of OS.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram combining CT imaging characteristics and clinicopathological factors exhibited good discrimination and reliability. It can aid clinicians in risk stratification and postoperative monitoring and provide important guidance for the individualized treatment of patients with colon cancer.

A radiomics model for predicting perineural invasion in stage II-III colon cancer based on computer tomography

BACKGROUND

Colon cancer, a frequently encountered malignancy, exhibits a comparatively poor survival prognosis. Perineural invasion (PNI), highly correlated with tumor progression and metastasis, is a substantial effective predictor of stage II-III colon cancer. Nonetheless, the lack of effective and facile predictive methodologies for detecting PNI prior operation in colon cancer remains a persistent challenge.

METHOD

Pre-operative computer tomography (CT) images and clinical data of patients diagnosed with stage II-III colon cancer between January 2015 and December 2023 were obtained from two sub-districts of Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital (SYSUMH). The LASSO/RF/PCA filters were used to screen radiomics features and LR/SVM models were utilized to construct radiomics model. A comprehensive model, shown as nomogram finally, combining with radiomics score and significant clinical features were developed and validated by area under the curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULT

The total cohort, comprising 426 individuals, was randomly divided into a development cohort and a validation cohort as a 7:3 ratio. Radiomics scores were extracted from LASSO-SVM models with AUC of 0.898/0.726 in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. Significant clinical features (CA199, CA125, T-stage, and N-stage) were used to establish combining model with radiomics scores. The combined model exhibited superior reliability compared to single radiomics model in AUC value (0.792 vs. 0.726, p = 0.003) in validation cohorts. The radiomics-clinical model demonstrated an AUC of 0.918/0.792, a sensitivity of 0.907/0.813 and a specificity of 0.804/0.716 in the development and validation cohorts, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The study developed and validated a predictive nomogram model combining radiomics scores and clinical features, and showed good performance in predicting PNI pre-operation in stage II-III colon cancer patients.

A multicenter study: predicting KRAS mutation and prognosis in colorectal cancer through a CT-based radiomics nomogram

PURPOSE

To establish a CT-based radiomics nomogram for preoperative prediction of KRAS mutation and prognostic stratification in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients.

METHODS

In a retrospective analysis, 408 patients with confirmed CRC were included, comprising 168 cases in the training set, 111 cases in the internal validation set, and 129 cases in the external validation set. Radiomics features extracted from the primary tumors were meticulously screened to identify those closely associated with KRAS mutation. Subsequently, a radiomics nomogram was constructed by integrating these radiomics features with clinically significant parameters. The diagnostic performance was assessed through the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Lastly, the prognostic significance of the nomogram was explored, and Kaplan-Meier analysis was employed to depict survival curves for the high-risk and low-risk groups.

RESULTS

A radiomics model was constructed using 19 radiomics features significantly associated with KRAS mutation. Furthermore, a nomogram was developed by integrating these radiomics features with two clinically significant parameters (age, tumor location). The nomogram achieved AUCs of 0.834, 0.813, and 0.811 in the training set, internal validation set, and external validation set, respectively. Additionally, the nomogram effectively stratified patients into high-risk (KRAS mutation) and low-risk (KRAS wild-type) groups, demonstrating a significant difference in overall survival (P < 0.001). Patients categorized in the high-risk group exhibited inferior overall survival in contrast to those classified in the low-risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

The CT-based radiomics nomogram demonstrates the capability to effectively predict KRAS mutation in CRC patients and stratify their prognosis preoperatively.

Principles of risk assessment in colon cancer: immunity is key

In clinical practice, the administration of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) following tumor surgical resection raises a critical dilemma for stage II colon cancer (CC) patients. The prognostic features used to identify high-risk CC patients rely on the pathological assessment of tumor cells. Currently, these factors are considered for stratifying patients who may benefit from ACT at early CC stages. However, the extent to which these factors predict clinical outcomes (i.e. recurrence, survival) remains highly controversial, also uncertainty persists regarding patients' response to treatment, necessitating further investigation. Therefore, an imperious need is to explore novel biomarkers that can reliably stratify patients at risk, to optimize adjuvant treatment decisions. Recently, we evaluated the prognostic and predictive value of Immunoscore (IS), an immune digital-pathology assay, in stage II CC patients. IS emerged as the sole significant parameter for predicting disease-free survival (DFS) in high-risk patients. Moreover, IS effectively stratified patients who would benefit most from ACT based on their risk of recurrence, thus predicting their outcomes. Notably, our findings revealed that digital IS outperformed the visual quantitative assessment of the immune response conducted by expert pathologists. The latest edition of the WHO classification for digestive tumor has introduced the evaluation of the immune response, as assessed by IS, as desirable and essential diagnostic criterion. This supports the revision of current cancer guidelines and strongly recommends the implementation of IS into clinical practice as a patient stratification tool, to guide CC treatment decisions. This approach may provide appropriate personalized therapeutic decisions that could critically impact early-stage CC patient care.

Effect of visceral fat area on the accuracy of preoperative CT-N staging of colorectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effect of visceral fat area (VFA) on the accuracy of preoperative CT-N staging of colorectal cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the clinical and imaging data of 385 CRC patients who underwent surgical resection for colorectal cancer between January 2018 and July 2021. Preoperative CT-N staging and imaging features were determined independently by two radiologists. Using postoperative pathology as the gold standard, patients were divided into accurately and incorrectly staged groups, and clinical and imaging characteristics were compared between the two groups. VFA and subcutaneous fat area (SFA) at the L3 vertebral level, sex, age, BMI, tumor location, size, and tumor circumference ratio (TCR) were included. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the independent factors influencing the accuracy of preoperative N staging of colorectal cancer.

RESULTS

Of the 385 patients enrolled, 259 (67.27%) were in the preoperative N-stage accurate staging group, and 126 (32.73%) were in the incorrectly staged group. Univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences in BMI, tumor location, VFA, SFA, size and TCR between the two groups (P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that VFA (95% CI: 1.277, 3.813; P=0.005) and TCR (95% CI: 1.649, 17.545; P=0.005) were independent factors affecting the accuracy of N staging. The optimal cutoff points for VFA and TCR in predicting incorrect staging were 110 cm2 and 0.675, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Colorectal cancer patients with lower VFA and higher TCR and preoperative CT-N staging had an increased risk for diagnostic errors.

What benefit can be obtained from magnetic resonance imaging diagnosis with artificial intelligence in prostate cancer compared with clinical assessments?

The present study aimed to explore the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) methodology based on magnetic resonance (MR) images to aid in the management of prostate cancer (PCa). To this end, we reviewed and summarized the studies comparing the diagnostic and predictive performance for PCa between AI and common clinical assessment methods based on MR images and/or clinical characteristics, thereby investigating whether AI methods are generally superior to common clinical assessment methods for the diagnosis and prediction fields of PCa. First, we found that, in the included studies of the present study, AI methods were generally equal to or better than the clinical assessment methods for the risk assessment of PCa, such as risk stratification of prostate lesions and the prediction of therapeutic outcomes or PCa progression. In particular, for the diagnosis of clinically significant PCa, the AI methods achieved a higher summary receiver operator characteristic curve (SROC-AUC) than that of the clinical assessment methods (0.87 vs. 0.82). For the prediction of adverse pathology, the AI methods also achieved a higher SROC-AUC than that of the clinical assessment methods (0.86 vs. 0.75). Second, as revealed by the radiomics quality score (RQS), the studies included in the present study presented a relatively high total average RQS of 15.2 (11.0-20.0). Further, the scores of the individual RQS elements implied that the AI models in these studies were constructed with relatively perfect and standard radiomics processes, but the exact generalizability and clinical practicality of the AI models should be further validated using higher levels of evidence, such as prospective studies and open-testing datasets.

Identifying high-risk colon cancer on CT an a radiomics signature improve radiologist's performance for T staging?

PURPOSE

To assess the role of radiomics in detection of high-risk (pT3-4) colon cancer and develop a combined model that combines both radiomics and CT staging of colon cancer.

METHODS

We included 292 colon cancer patients who underwent pre-operative CT and primary surgical resection within 2 months. Three-dimensional segmentations and CT staging of primary colon tumors were done. From each 3D segmentation of colon tumor, radiomic features were automatically extracted. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify associations between radiomic features and high-risk (pT3-4) colon tumors. A combined model that integrated both radiomics and CT staging was developed and their diagnostic performance was compared with that of conventional CT staging. Tenfold cross-validation was used to validate the performance of the model and CT staging.

RESULTS

The model that combined radiomic features and CT staging demonstrated a significantly better performance in detection of high-risk colon tumors in training set (AUC = 0.799, 95% CI: 0.720-0.839 for combined model and AUC = 0.697, 95% CI = 0.538-0.756 for CT staging only, p < 0.001 for difference). Cross-validation results also demonstrated significantly better detection performance of combined model (AUC = 0.727, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.621-0.777 for combined model and AUC = 0.628, 95% CI = 0.558-0.689 for CT staging only, Boot CI = 0.099).

CONCLUSION

CT radiomic features of primary colon cancer, combined with CT staging, can improve the detection of high-risk colon cancer patients.

Radiomic Cancer Hallmarks to Identify High-Risk Patients in Non-Metastatic Colon Cancer

The study was aimed to develop a radiomic model able to identify high-risk colon cancer by analyzing pre-operative CT scans. The study population comprised 148 patients: 108 with non-metastatic colon cancer were retrospectively enrolled from January 2015 to June 2020, and 40 patients were used as the external validation cohort. The population was divided into two groups—High-risk and No-risk—following the presence of at least one high-risk clinical factor. All patients had baseline CT scans, and 3D cancer segmentation was performed on the portal phase by two expert radiologists using open-source software (3DSlicer v4.10.2). Among the 107 radiomic features extracted, stable features were selected to evaluate the inter-class correlation (ICC) (cut-off ICC > 0.8). Stable features were compared between the two groups (T-test or Mann−Whitney), and the significant features were selected for univariate and multivariate logistic regression to build a predictive radiomic model. The radiomic model was then validated with an external cohort. In total, 58/108 were classified as High-risk and 50/108 as No-risk. A total of 35 radiomic features were stable (0.81 ≤ ICC <  0.92). Among these, 28 features were significantly different between the two groups (p < 0.05), and only 9 features were selected to build the radiomic model. The radiomic model yielded an AUC of 0.73 in the internal cohort and 0.75 in the external cohort. In conclusion, the radiomic model could be seen as a performant, non-invasive imaging tool to properly stratify colon cancers with high-risk disease.

Prognostic role of pre-treatment magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomic analysis in effectively cured head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients

OBJECTIVES

To identify and validate baseline magnetic resonance imaging (b-MRI) radiomic features (RFs) as predictors of disease outcomes in effectively cured head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Training set (TS) and validation set (VS) were retrieved from preexisting datasets (HETeCo and BD2Decide trials, respectively). Only patients with both pre- and post-contrast enhancement T1 and T2-weighted b-MRI and at least 2 years of follow-up (FUP) were selected. The combination of the best extracted RFs was used to classify low risk (LR) vs. high risk (HR) of disease recurrence. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of the radiomic model were computed on both TS and VS. Overall survival (OS) and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves were compared for LR vs. HR. The radiomic-based risk class was used in a multivariate Cox model, including well-established clinical prognostic factors (TNM, sub-site, human papillomavirus [HPV]).

RESULTS

In total, 57 patients of TS and 137 of VS were included. Three RFs were selected for the signature. Sensitivity of recurrence risk classifier was 0.82 and 0.77, specificity 0.78 and 0.81, AUC 0.83 and 0.78 for TS and VS, respectively. VS KM curves for LR vs. HR groups significantly differed both for 5-year DFS (p<.0001) and OS (p=.0004). A combined model of RFs plus TNM improved prognostic performance as compared to TNM alone, both for VS 5-year DFS (C-index: 0.76 vs. 0.60) and OS (C-index: 0.74 vs. 0.64).

CONCLUSIONS

Radiomics of b-MRI can help to predict recurrence and survival outcomes in HNSCC.