CA19-9 is a significant prognostic marker of patients with stage III gastric cancer

Development and validation of serological dynamic risk score to predict outcome in gastric cancer with adjuvant chemotherapy: a multicentre, longitudinal, cohort study

Background

Baseline serological biomarkers have the potential to predict the benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with gastric cancer. However, the fluctuating nature of postoperative recurrence risk makes precise treatment challenging. We aimed to develop a risk score in real-time predicting outcomes for postoperative GC patients using blood chemistry tests.

Materials and methods

This was a retrospective, multicentre, longitudinal cohort study from three cancer centres in China, with a total of 2737 GC patients in the pTNM stage Ib to III. Among them, 1651 patients with at least two serological records were assigned to the training cohort. Model validation was carried out using separate testing data with area under curve (AUC). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and random forest-recursive feature elimination (RF-RFE) algorithm were used to select the parameters.

Results

The Cox regression model derived six risk factors to construct a composite score (low-risk: 0-2 score; high risk: 3-6 score), including CEA, CA125, CA199, haemoglobin, albumin, and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio. The risk score accurately predicted mortality in 1000-time bootstrap (AUROCs:0.658; 95% CI: 0.645, 0.670), with the highest AUROC (0.767; 95% CI: 0.743, 0.791) after 1 year since the gastrectomy. In validation dataset, the risk score had an AUROC of 0.586 (95% CI 0.544, 0.628). Furthermore, patients with high risk at 1 month derived significant clinical benefits from adjuvant chemotherapy (P for interaction <0.0001). Compared with the low-low-low risk group, the low-low-high risk group of the long-term state chain (risk state at baseline, 6 months, 1 year) had the worse OS (HR, 6.91; 95%CI: 4.27, 11.19) and DFS (HR, 7.27; 95%CI: 4.55, 11.63).

Conclusion

The dynamic risk score is an accurate and user-friendly serological risk assessment tool for predicting outcomes and assisting clinical decisions after gastrectomy.

CA19‑9 is a significant prognostic factor in stage III gastric cancer patients undergoing radical gastrectomy

BACKGROUND

Due to the great heterogeneity of gastric cancer (GC), the prognosis of patients within a stage is very different. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the high risk factors for postoperative recurrence and metastasis and take appropriate therapeutic strategies to improve the prognosis of patients. In this study, we aimed to explore the prognostic significance of preoperative and postoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19 - 9 (CA19-9) and carbohydrate antigen 72 - 4 (CA72-4) in patients with stage I, II and III GC who underwent radical gastrectomy.

METHODS

A total of 580 patients who underwent curative surgical resection and had not received neoadjuvant chemotherapy were included in this study. The relationship between clinicopathological features and recurrence was analysed. Survival analysis was performed by Kaplan-Meier curve. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to determine prognostic factors in GC patients.

RESULTS

Among patients with stage III GC, the recurrence free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients with CA19-9>35 U/mL were significantly lower than those with CA19-9 ≤ 35 U/mL; CA19-9 was always a significant independent marker. CEA and CA72-4 were sometime useful to predict RFS or OS alternatively in the pre- or postoperative period. The only other independent significant factors for prognosis in our study were lymph node metastases for RFS and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy for OS.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative and postoperative CA19-9 values are independent risk factors for predicting prognosis in stage III GC after curative gastrectomy.

A scoring model for predicting early recurrence of gastric cancer with normal preoperative tumor markers: A multicenter study

INTRODUCTION

Prognostic factors for postoperative early recurrence (ER) of gastric cancer (GC) in patients with normal or abnormal preoperative tumor markers (pre-TMs) remain unclear.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

2875 consecutive patients with GC who underwent radical gastrectomy (RG) between January 2010 and December 2016 were enrolled and randomly divided into training and internal validation groups. ER was defined as recurrence within two years of gastrectomy. Normal pre-TMs were defined as CEA≤5 ng/mL and CA199 ≤ 37 U/mL. Least absolute shrinkage selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis was used to screen ER predictors. The scoring model was validated using 546 patients from another hospital.

RESULTS

A total of 3421 patients were included. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that pre-TMs was an independent prognostic factor for ER. Survival after ER was equally poor in the normal and abnormal pre-TMs groups (P = 0.160). Based on LASSO Cox regression, the ER of patients with abnormal pre-TMs was only associated with the pT and pN stages; however, in patients with normal pre-TMs, it was also associated with tumor size, perineural invasion, and prognostic nutritional index. Scoring model constructed for patients with normal pre-TMs had better predictive performance than TNM staging (concordance-index:0.826 vs. 0.807, P < 0.001) and good reproducibility in both validation sets. Moreover, through risk stratification, the scoring model could not only identify the risk of ER but also distinguish ER patterns and adjuvant chemotherapy benefit subgroups.

CONCLUSION

pre-TMs is an independent prognostic factor for ER in GC after RG. The established scoring model demonstrates excellent predictive performance and clinical utility.

Using Normalized Carcinoembryonic Antigen and Carbohydrate Antigen 19 to Predict and Monitor the Efficacy of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) are established prognostic biomarkers for patients with gastric cancer. However, their potential as predictive markers for neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) efficacy has not been fully elucidated.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis to determine values of CEA and CA19-9 prior to NACT (pre-NACT) and after NACT (post-NACT) in 399 patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) who received intended NACT and surgery.

RESULTS

Among the 399 patients who underwent NACT plus surgery, 132 patients (33.1%) had elevated pre-NACT CEA/CA19-9 values. Furthermore, either pre-NACT or post-NACT CEA /CA19-9 levels were significantly associated with prognosis (p = 0.0023) compared to patients with non-elevated levels. Moreover, among the patients, a significant proportion (73/132, 55.3%) achieved normalized CEA/CA19-9 following NACT, which is a strong marker of a favorable treatment response and survival benefits. In addition, the patients with normalized CEA/CA19-9 also had a prolonged survival compared to those who underwent surgery first (p = 0.0140), which may be attributed to the clearance of micro-metastatic foci. Additionally, the magnitude of CEA/CA19-9 changes did not exhibit a statistically significant prognostic value.

CONCLUSIONS

Normalization of CEA/CA19-9 is a strong biomarker for the effectiveness of treatment, and can thus be exploited to prolong the long-term survival of patients with LAGC.

High level of tumor marker CA19-9 returned to normal after cholecystectomy in calculous cholecystitis patients

BACKGROUND

High serum CA19-9 is usually caused by pancreaticobiliary malignancies, but it has also been found in a tiny minority of calculous cholecystitis patients.

AIMS

To clarify the relationship between calculous cholecystitis and serum CA19-9.

METHODS

Clinical data of calculous cholecystitis patients with high serum CA19-9 (high group, n = 20) and normal serum CA19-9 (normal group, n = 40) who underwent cholecystectomy were analyzed. Serum CA19-9 of high group were followed-up and gallbladder specimens were analyzed by immunohistochemistry.

RESULTS

Serum CA19-9 in the high group ranged from 105 to 1635 U/ml, of which 30% exceeded 1000 U/ml. Follow-up results showed that 20 patient's serum CA19-9 returned to normal after cholecystectomy, including 4 closely followed-up patients whose serum CA19-9 recovered within one month. Immunohistochemical results revealed that CA19-9 was mildly positive only in mucosal epithelial cells in the normal group, but positive in mucosal epithelial cells, vascular endothelial cells, and intercellular substances in the high group, accounting for high serum CA19-9.

CONCLUSION

Serum CA19-9 is proved to be associated with calculous cholecystitis for the first time, so that clinicians should consider calculous cholecystitis associated CA19-9 elevation in the clinic practice besides other CA19-9 related diseases.

Novel prognostic indicator combining inflammatory indicators and tumor markers for gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the most common malignant tumors worldwide, and we hope to identify an economical but practical prognostic indicator. It has been reported that inflammatory indicators and tumor markers are associated with GC progression and are widely used to predict prognosis. However, existing prognostic models do not comprehensively analyze these predictors.

METHODS

This study retrospectively reviewed 893 consecutive patients who underwent curative gastrectomy from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2015, in the Second Hospital of Anhui Medical University. Prognostic factors predicting overall survival (OS) were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Nomograms including independent prognostic factors were plotted for predicting survival.

RESULTS

Ultimately, 425 patients were enrolled in this study. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR, total neutrophil count/lymphocyte count × 100%) and CA19-9 were independent prognostic factors for OS (p=0.001, p=0.016). The NLR-CA19-9 score (NCS) is constructed as the combination of the NLR and CA19-9. We defined NLR<2.46 and CA19-9≤37 U/ml as an NCS of 0, NLR≥2.46 or CA19-9>37 U/ml as an NCS 1, and NLR≥2.46 and CA19-9>37 U/ml as an NCS of 2. The results showed that higher NCS was significantly associated with worse clinicopathological characteristics and OS (p<0.05). Multivariate analyses revealed that the NCS was an independent prognostic factor for OS (NCS1: p<0.001, HR=3.172, 95% CI=2.120-4.745; NCS2: p<0.001, HR=3.052, 95% CI=1.928-4.832). Compared with traditional predictive indices, the NCS had the highest AUC for a 12-month survival, a 36-month survival, a 60-month survival, and OS (AUC= 0.654, 0.730, 0.811, 0.803, respectively). The nomogram had a higher Harrell's C-index than the TNM stage alone (0.788 vs. 0.743).

CONCLUSIONS

The NCS provides more accurate predictions of the prognosis of GC patients, and its predictive value is significantly better than that of traditional inflammatory indicators or tumor markers. It is an effective complement to existing GC assessment systems.

Utility of atherosclerosis-associated serum antibodies against colony-stimulating factor 2 in predicting the onset of acute ischemic stroke and prognosis of colorectal cancer

Introduction

Autoantibodies against inflammatory cytokines may be used for the prevention of atherosclerosis. Preclinical studies consider colony-stimulating factor 2 (CSF2) as an essential cytokine with a causal relationship to atherosclerosis and cancer. We examined the serum anti-CSF2 antibody levels in patients with atherosclerosis or solid cancer.

Methods

We measured the serum anti-CSF2 antibody levels via amplified luminescent proximity homogeneous assay-linked immunosorbent assay based on the recognition of recombinant glutathione S-transferase-fused CSF2 protein or a CSF2-derived peptide as the antigen.

Results

The serum anti-CSF2 antibody (s-CSF2-Ab) levels were significantly higher in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), diabetes mellitus (DM), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) compared with healthy donors (HDs). In addition, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were associated with intima-media thickness and hypertension. The analyzes of samples obtained from a Japan Public Health Center-based prospective study suggested the utility of s-CSF2-Ab as a risk factor for AIS. Furthermore, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were higher in patients with esophageal, colorectal, gastric, and lung cancer than in HDs but not in those with mammary cancer. In addition, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were associated with unfavorable postoperative prognosis in colorectal cancer (CRC). In CRC, the s-CSF2-Ab levels were more closely associated with poor prognosis in patients with p53-Ab-negative CRC despite the lack of significant association of the anti-p53 antibody (p53-Ab) levels with the overall survival.

Conclusion

S-CSF2-Ab was useful for the diagnosis of atherosclerosis-related AIS, AMI, DM, and CKD and could discriminate poor prognosis, especially in p53-Ab-negative CRC.

Development and Validation of Tumor Marker Indices in Advanced Gastric Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

Tumor markers (TMs) are important for the prognosis of gastric cancer (GC). However, the prognostic importance of the tumor marker index (TMI) based on GC-specific TMs for advanced gastric cancer (AGC) still needs to be further explored.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined patients who underwent radical gastric cancer surgery between February 2014 and June 2016 at the Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Affiliated Cancer Hospital, Harbin Medical University. The patients were divided into training and validation groups. TMI was determined as the geometric mean of the standard cancer antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels. Patient overall survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Independent prognosis-associated risk factors were identified using Cox hazard regression models. A nomogram model incorporating TMI and clinicopathological factors was developed, and its performance was evaluated using a decision curve analysis, concordance index, and calibration plots.

RESULTS

In the TMI training cohort, the cutoff value was set at .439, categorizing patients into TMI-High and TMI-Low groups. The 5-year survival rate in the TMI-Low group significantly surpassed that in the TMI-High group (78.2% vs 58.1% and 49.7 vs 41.6, P < .001). TMI emerged as an independent prognostic factor. The nomogram accurately predicted patient prognosis by using TMI and clinicopathological characteristics. Validation of the TMI in the independent cohort yielded satisfactory results.

CONCLUSION

The TMI constructed based on specific TMs associated with gastric cancer can offer a precise prognostic prediction for patients.

Clinicopathological characteristics and treatment outcome of resectable gastric cancer patients with small para-aortic lymph node

Background

Resectable gastric cancer (GC) patients with small para-aortic lymph node (smaller than 10mm in diameter, sPAN) were seldom reported, and existing guidelines did not provide definite treatment recommendation for them.

Methods

A total of 667 consecutive resectable GC patients were enrolled. 98 patients were in the sPAN group, and 569 patients without enlarged para-aortic lymph node were in the nPAN group. Standard D2 lymphadenectomy was performed. Neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy were administrated according to the cTNM and pTNM stage, respectively. Clinicopathological features and prognosis were compared between these two groups.

Results

The median size of sPAN was 6 (range, 2-9) mm and the distribution was prevalent in No. 16b1. cN stage (p=0.001) was significantly related to the presence of sPAN. sPAN was both independent risk factor for OS (p=0.031) and RFS (p=0.046) of all patients. The prognosis of patients with sPAN was significantly worse than that of patients with nPAN (OS: p=0.008; RFS: p=0.007). Preoperative CEA and CA19-9 were independent risk factors for prognosis of patients with sPAN. Furthermore, patients in the sPAN group with normal CEA and CA19-9 exhibited acceptable prognosis (5-year OS: 67%; RFS: 64%), while those with elevated CEA or CA19-9 suffered significantly poorer prognosis (5-year OS: 17%; RFS: 17%) than patients in the nPAN group (5-year OS: 64%; RFS 62%) (both p < 0.05).

Conclusions

Standard D2 lymphadenectomy should be considered a valid approach for GC patients with sPAN associate to normal preoperative CEA and CA19-9 levels. Patients with sPAN associated to elevated CEA or CA19-9 levels could benefit from a multimodal approach: neoadjuvant chemotherapy; radical surgery with D2 plus lymph nodal dissection extended to No. 16 station.

Evaluation of multiple biological indicators for combined diagnosis of gastric cancer: A retrospective analysis

To assess carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), platelet distribution width (PDW), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) for gastric cancer's (GC) diagnostic efficiency, and the use of receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) combined with logistic regression to evaluate multi-index combination's diagnostic value of GC. 773 GC patients' clinical data were retrospectively collected in the Weihai Municipal Hospital, affiliated hospital of Shandong University from April 2018 to May 2021, and selected 2368 healthy physical examination patients during the same period as the control group. A total of 3141 samples was included in this study, including 773 cases in the GC group and 2368 cases in the healthy physical examination group. The results of the overall comparison between groups showed that apart from gender, the age differences, CEA, CA19-9, PDW, NLR, and PLR were statistically significant (P < .001). Spearman ranks correlation analysis's results showed that CA19-9, CEA, PLR, and NLR were correlated with GC patients' clinical-stage positively, and the correlation coefficients r was 0.249, 0.280, 0.252, 0.262 (all P < .001), and PDW was correlated with the clinical stage negatively (r = -0.186, P < .001). The ROC curve analysis results of CEA, CA19-9, PDW, NLR and PLR showed that CEA's diagnostic cutoff value for GC was 3.175 (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.631, 95% CI: 0.606-0.655, P < .001), the CA19-9's diagnostic cutoff value is 19.640 (AUC = 0.589, 95% CI: 0.563-0.615, P < .001), PDW's diagnostic cutoff value is 15.750 (AUC = 0.799, 95% CI: 0.778-0.820, P < .001), NLR's diagnostic cutoff value was 2.162 (AUC = 0.699, 95% CI: 0.675-0.721, P < .001), and PLR's diagnostic cutoff value was 149.540 (AUC = 0.709, 95% CI: 0.688-0.732, P < .001). The area under the ROC curve for the combined diagnosis of GC with 5 indicators was 0.877 (95% CI: 0.860-0.894, P < .001), which was better than a single indicator (P < .05). The diagnostic efficiency of combined detection of CEA, CA19-9, PDW, NLR, and PLR is better than that of single index detection alone, which can reduce the misdiagnosis rate of GC effectively.

Clinicopathological features and CT findings of papillary gastric adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE

This study aimed to analyze the clinicopathological and computed tomography (CT) findings of papillary gastric adenocarcinoma and to evaluate the feasibility of the multivariate model based on clinical information and CT findings for discriminating papillary gastric adenocarcinomas.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 22 patients with papillary gastric adenocarcinoma and 88 patients with tubular adenocarcinoma. The demographic data, tumor markers, histopathological information, CT morphological characteristics, and CT value-related parameters of all patients were collected and analyzed. The multivariate model based on regression analysis was performed to improve the diagnostic efficacy for discriminating papillary gastric adenocarcinomas preoperatively. The diagnostic performance of the established nomogram was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

The distribution of age, carcinoembryonic antigen, differentiation degree, neural invasion, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 overexpression, P53 mutation status, 4 CT morphological characteristics, and 10 CT valued-related parameters differed significantly between papillary gastric adenocarcinoma and tubular adenocarcinoma groups (all p < 0.05). The established multivariate model based on clinical information and CT findings for discriminating papillary gastric adenocarcinomas preoperatively achieved the area under the curve of 0.920.

CONCLUSION

There existed differences in clinicopathological features and CT findings between papillary gastric adenocarcinomas and tubular adenocarcinomas. The combination of demographic data, tumor markers, CT morphological characteristics, and CT value-related parameters could discriminate papillary gastric adenocarcinomas preoperatively with satisfactory diagnostic efficiency.

Prognostic Value of Combination of Inflammatory and Tumor Markers in Resectable Gastric Cancer

BACKGROUND

Inflammatory response and tumor marker levels have been shown to correlate with the prognosis in several human tumors. However, only a few studies on these markers have been performed in gastric cancer (GC) patients; the clinical significance of the combined markers is unclear. We aimed to evaluate the role of the combination of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) for predicting the prognosis of patients with GC.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 458 patients who underwent gastrectomy with curative intent between January 2013 and July 2014 in the second hospital of Lanzhou University. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was performed to determine the cut-off values for biomarkers, and their prognostic values were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier curve. The combined score indicators were established based on the optimal cut-off values, which range from 0 to 2. Prognostic significances for overall survival (OS) were assessed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Nomogram was used as a visual supplement for the prognostic score system, and the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability were determined by the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve.

RESULTS

The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS were 66.2% (n = 303), 42.8% (n = 196), and 40.2% (n = 184) in all 458 patients, respectively. The high NLR (≥1.96), PLR (≥126), CA19-9 (≥27 U/mL), and CEA (≥ 5 ng/mL) were associated with poor prognosis of GC patients. The NLR + CA19-9 score indicator proved to be related to tumor size, lymph node metastasis, vascular invasion, perineural invasion, T stage, N stage, TNM stage, PLR, and CEA in patients with GC and an independent prognostic factor for prediction of 5-year OS (score 1: HR = 1.423, 95%CI: 1.049-1.929, P = 0.023; score 2: HR = 2.740, 95%CI: 1.882-3.990, P < 0.001). NLR + CA19-9 has a better predictive ability than other combined or single score indicators based on inflammation and tumor markers (AUC = 0.662, 95%CI: 0.616-0.705, P < 0.001). Moreover, a nomogram was established by the significant characteristics in the multivariate analysis for OS, which represented high accuracy (C-index = 0.692, 95%CI: 0.675-0.708).

CONCLUSION

NLR + CA19-9 can independently predict the overall survival of patients with gastric cancer after surgery. The prognostic nomogram based on NLR + CA19-9 is a convenient, economical, and effective prognostic system for clinical practice.

Optimal cutoff value of preoperative CEA and CA19-9 for prognostic significance in patients with stage II/III colon cancer

PURPOSE

This unicentric, retrospective cohort study aimed to identify the optimal cutoff values of preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) for the prognosis in patients with stage II/III colon cancer.

METHODS

After excluding 43 patients with CA19-9 levels < 0.2 U/mL, 588 were included. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to determine the optimal cutoff values of CEA and CA 19-9 for disease relapse.

RESULTS

The median CEA and CA19-9 values were 3.6 (interquartile range: 2.1-7.2 ng/mL) and 14.3 (interquartile range: 8.1-30.0) U/mL, respectively. The optimal cutoff values of CEA and CA19-9 were 5.4 ng/mL and 22.4 U/mL, respectively. A multivariate analysis of relapse-free survival (RFS) showed that cancer stage, CEA, and CA19-9 were significant independent factors. The RFS of patients with stages II and III colon cancer was significantly stratified by CEA (< 5.4/ ≥ 5.4 ng/mL) and CA19-9 (< 22.4/ ≥ 22.4 U/mL). Prognostication based on the reference values (< 5.0 ng/mL for CEA and < 37.0 U/mL for CA19-9) was less significant than that based on the optimal cutoff values. Both elevated CEA and CA19-9 had no value dependency on RFS: RFS curves were similar between extremely elevated CEA (≥ 54.0 ng/ml) and intermediate CEA (5.4-54.0 ng/ml) and between extremely elevated CA19-9 (≥ 224.0 U/ml) and intermediate CA19-9 (22.4-224.0 U/ml).

CONCLUSION

The optimal cutoff values of preoperative CEA and CA19-9 for RFS were 5.4 ng/ml and 22.4 U/mL, respectively, in patients with stages II and III colon cancer. Further relapse risk stratification is possible using these values.