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Bin Saif A, Summerour V, Al-Saadi N, Arif A, Newman J, Wall M. Survival and Decision-Making in Patients Turned Down for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair: A Retrospective Study with Focus on COVID-19 Impact. Ann Vasc Surg 2024; 109:522-530. [PMID: 38852773 DOI: 10.1016/j.avsg.2024.03.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2023] [Revised: 03/08/2024] [Accepted: 03/08/2024] [Indexed: 06/11/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND To investigate and analyze various aspects related to patients who have been placed on a "turndown list" for elective or emergency repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms. METHODS This retrospective study analyzed data from the Black Country Vascular Network. Multidisciplinary team meetings assessed abdominal aortic aneurysm patients referred through National Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening Program or directly to vascular surgery. Patients considered unfit for intervention were added to a prospectively kept turndown list. Survival and cause of death data were collected, along with cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) results and British Aneurysm Repair scores for some patients. The study covered a period from January 2015 to May 2023. RESULTS After exclusions, 247 (16%) patients were placed on the turndown list with a median age of 85 years (interquartile range 8 years). The mortality of turndown cases on medical grounds was 74.1%. Survival was significantly higher for patients who completed CPET before being turned down (P = 0.004). Gender analysis revealed a higher proportion of females being turned down compared to males (P = 0.044). COVID-19 led to a notable reduction in the number of discussed cases and interventions, while the turndown rates remained consistent. Survival at 1 year in turndown patients was 66%, at 3 years it was 29%, at 4 years it was 18%, and at 7 years it was 5%. Most patients whose cause of death was known died of respiratory complications (30%) or malignancy (19%). British Aneurysm Repair scores and aneurysm size were not significant predictors of mortality. CONCLUSIONS Patients on the turndown list have a substantial mortality rate. A significant proportion of female patients were being turned down compared to men and the reasons for this are not clear. Patients who completed CPET before being turned down had a longer survival time. While COVID-19 impacted healthcare services reducing the number of interventions, it did not influence turndown decisions. The study showed that the cause of death for a significant number of patients was respiratory complications or malignancy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anas Bin Saif
- The Dudley Group NHS Foundation Trust, Russells Hall Hospital, Dudley, UK
| | | | - Nina Al-Saadi
- The Dudley Group NHS Foundation Trust, Russells Hall Hospital, Dudley, UK
| | - Anum Arif
- The Dudley Group NHS Foundation Trust, Russells Hall Hospital, Dudley, UK
| | - Jeremy Newman
- The Dudley Group NHS Foundation Trust, Russells Hall Hospital, Dudley, UK
| | - Michael Wall
- The Dudley Group NHS Foundation Trust, Russells Hall Hospital, Dudley, UK
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Millan-Alanis JM, Jimenez-Leos MC, Jaramillo-Amador AN, Arredondo-Flores M, Náñez-Terreros H. Hemoptysis as the Initial Presentation of a Ruptured Aortic Aneurysm: A Case Report and Literature Review. Cureus 2024; 16:e68898. [PMID: 39376819 PMCID: PMC11458261 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.68898] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/07/2024] [Indexed: 10/09/2024] Open
Abstract
Hemoptysis has a broad differential diagnosis, with common causes including bronchiectasis, bronchitis, pulmonary tuberculosis, and lung neoplasms. While often benign, it can sometimes indicate more severe, life-threatening conditions. Herein we report the case of an 86-year-old woman who presented to the emergency department with a 30-day history of hemoptysis ultimately leading to hemodynamic instability. She was initially admitted to the emergency department for resuscitation and diagnostic workup. During the hospitalization, we identified a large, ruptured aneurysm of the descending and diaphragmatic aorta contained by a hematoma communicating the tracheobronchial tree. This case highlights the importance of considering a broad differential diagnosis in patients presenting with hemoptysis as it can signal severe underlying conditions such as a ruptured aortic aneurysm. Early recognition and appropriate management of these cases are crucial to improving patient outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan Manuel Millan-Alanis
- Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Dr. Jose Eleuterio Gonzalez, Universidad Autonoma De Nuevo Leon, Monterrey, MEX
| | - Martha Cecilia Jimenez-Leos
- Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Dr. Jose Eleuterio Gonzalez, Universidad Autonoma De Nuevo Leon, Monterrey, MEX
| | - Alma Nelly Jaramillo-Amador
- Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Dr. Jose Eleuterio Gonzalez, Universidad Autonoma De Nuevo Leon, Monterrey, MEX
| | - Magda Arredondo-Flores
- Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Dr. Jose Eleuterio Gonzalez, Universidad Autonoma De Nuevo Leon, Monterrey, MEX
| | - Homero Náñez-Terreros
- Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Hospital Universitario Dr. Jose Eleuterio Gonzalez, Universidad Autonoma De Nuevo Leon, Monterrey, MEX
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Ren S, Guidoin R, Xu Z, Deng X, Fan Y, Chen Z, Sun A. Narrative Review of Risk Assessment of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Rupture Based on Biomechanics-Related Morphology. J Endovasc Ther 2024; 31:178-190. [PMID: 36052406 DOI: 10.1177/15266028221119309] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
CLINICAL IMPACT Studies have shown that the biomechanical indicators based on multi-scale models are more effective in accurately assessing the rupture risk of AAA. To meet the need for clinical monitoring and rapid decision making, the typical morphological parameters associated with AAA rupture and their relationships with the mechanical environment have been summarized, which provide a reference for clinical preoperative risk assessment of AAA.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuqi Ren
- Key Laboratory for Biomechanics and Mechanobiology of Ministry of Education, Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Biomedical Engineering, School of Biological Science and Medical Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China
| | - Robert Guidoin
- Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Université Laval and CHU de Québec Research Centre, Quebec, QC, Canada
| | - Zaipin Xu
- College of Animal Science, Guizhou University, Guiyang, China
| | - Xiaoyan Deng
- Key Laboratory for Biomechanics and Mechanobiology of Ministry of Education, Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Biomedical Engineering, School of Biological Science and Medical Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China
| | - Yubo Fan
- Key Laboratory for Biomechanics and Mechanobiology of Ministry of Education, Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Biomedical Engineering, School of Biological Science and Medical Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China
| | - Zengsheng Chen
- Key Laboratory for Biomechanics and Mechanobiology of Ministry of Education, Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Biomedical Engineering, School of Biological Science and Medical Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China
| | - Anqiang Sun
- Key Laboratory for Biomechanics and Mechanobiology of Ministry of Education, Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Biomedical Engineering, School of Biological Science and Medical Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China
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Talvitie M, Åldstedt-Nyrønning L, Stenman M, Roy J, Cohnert T, Hultgren R. Women with large intact abdominal aortic aneurysms remain untreated. J Vasc Surg 2023; 78:657-667.e5. [PMID: 37211143 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvs.2023.05.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2023] [Revised: 04/20/2023] [Accepted: 05/13/2023] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE A lower elective repair rate among women with abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) has been a consistent finding. Reasons behind this gender gap have not been thoroughly outlined. METHODS This was a retrospective multicenter cohort study (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT05346289) at three European vascular centers in Sweden, Austria and Norway. Patients in surveillance with AAAs were consecutively identified starting from January 1, 2014, until reaching a total sample size of 200 women and 200 men. All individuals were followed for 7 years through medical records. Final treatment distributions and the proportion of "truly untreated" (surgically untreated despite reaching guideline-directed thresholds: 50 mm for women and 55 mm for men) were determined. In a complementary analysis, a universal 55-mm threshold was used. Gender-specific primary reasons behind untreated statuses were clarified. Eligibility for endovascular repair among the truly untreated was assessed in a structured computed tomography analysis. RESULTS Women and men had similar median diameters at inclusion (46 mm; P = .54) and at treatment decisions (55 mm; P = .36). After 7 years, the repair rate was lower among women (47% vs 57%). More women were truly untreated (26% vs 8%; P < .001) despite similar mean ages as for male counterparts (79.3 years; P = .16). With the 55-mm threshold, 16% women still classified as truly untreated. Similar reasons for nonintervention were captured for women and men (50% due to comorbidities alone, 36% morphology and comorbidity). The endovascular repair imaging analysis revealed no gender differences. Among truly untreated women, ruptures were common (18%), and mortality was high (86%). CONCLUSIONS Surgical AAA management differed between women and men. Women could be underserved in terms of elective repairs: one in every four women was untreated with over-the-threshold AAAs. The lack of obvious gender differences in eligibility analyses could imply unmeasured discrepancies (eg, in disease extent or patient frailty).
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Affiliation(s)
- Mareia Talvitie
- Department of Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Vascular Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
| | - Linn Åldstedt-Nyrønning
- Department of Surgery, Vascular Surgery, St Olavs Hospital, Trondheim, Norway; Department of Circulation and Medical Imaging, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway
| | - Malin Stenman
- Department of Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Perioperative Medicine and Intensive Care Function, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Joy Roy
- Department of Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Vascular Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Tina Cohnert
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Rebecka Hultgren
- Department of Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Vascular Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
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Lancaster EM, Gologorsky R, Hull MM, Okuhn S, Solomon MD, Avins AL, Adams JL, Chang RW. The natural history of large abdominal aortic aneurysms in patients without timely repair. J Vasc Surg 2021; 75:109-117. [PMID: 34324972 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvs.2021.07.125] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2020] [Accepted: 07/15/2021] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Contemporary data on the natural history of large abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) in patients undergoing delayed or no repair are lacking. In this study, we examine the impact of large AAA size on the incidence of rupture and mortality. METHODS From a prospectively maintained aneurysm surveillance registry, patients with an unrepaired, large AAA (≥5.5 cm in men and ≥5.0 cm in women) at baseline (ie, index imaging) or who progressed to a large size from 2003 to 2017 were included, with follow-up through March 2020. Outcomes of interest obtained by manual chart review included rupture (confirmed by imaging/autopsy), probable rupture (timing/findings consistent with rupture without more likely cause of death), repair, reasons for either no or delayed (>1 year after diagnosis of large AAA) repair and total mortality. Cumulative incidence of rupture was calculated using a nonparametric cumulative incidence function, accounting for the competing events of death and aneurysm repair and was stratified by patient sex. RESULTS Of the 3248 eligible patients (mean age, 83.6 ± 9.1 years; 71.2% male; 78.1% white; and 32.0% current smokers), 1423 (43.8%) had large AAAs at index imaging, and 1825 progressed to large AAAs during the follow-up period, with a mean time to qualifying size of 4.3 ± 3.4 years. In total, 2215 (68%) patients underwent repair, of which 332 were delayed >1 year; 1033 (32%) did not undergo repair. The most common reasons for delayed repair were discrepancy in AAA measurement between surgeon and radiologist (34%) and comorbidity (20%), whereas the most common reasons for no repair were patient preference (48%) and comorbidity (30%). Among patients with delayed repair (mean time to repair, 2.6 ± 1.8 years), nine (2.7%) developed symptomatic aneurysms, and an additional 11 (3.3%) ruptured. Of patients with no repair, 94 (9.1%) ruptured. The 3-year cumulative incidence of rupture was 3.4% for initial AAA size 5.0 to 5.4 cm (women only), 2.2% for 5.5 to 6.0 cm, 6.0% for 6.1 to 7.0 cm, and 18.4% for >7.0 cm. Women with AAA size 6.1 to 7.0 cm had a 3-year cumulative incidence of rupture of 12.8% (95% confidence interval, 7.5%-19.6%) compared with 4.5% (95% confidence interval, 3.0%-6.5%) in men (P = .002). CONCLUSIONS In this large cohort of AAA registry patients over 17 years, annual rupture rates for large AAAs were lower than previously reported, with possible increased risk in women. Further analyses are ongoing to identify those at increased risk for aneurysm rupture and may provide targeted surveillance regimens and improve patient counseling.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Rebecca Gologorsky
- Department of Surgery, University of California, San Francisco-East Bay, Oakland, Calif
| | - Michaela M Hull
- Kaiser Permanente Center for Effectiveness and Safety Research, Pasadena, Calif
| | - Steven Okuhn
- Division of Vascular Surgery, Department of Surgery, VA San Francisco Healthcare System, San Francisco, Calif
| | - Matthew D Solomon
- Department of Cardiology, The Permanente Medical Group, Oakland, Calif; Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, Calif
| | - Andrew L Avins
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, Calif; Departments of Medicine, Epidemiology, and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, Calif
| | - John L Adams
- Kaiser Permanente Center for Effectiveness and Safety Research, Pasadena, Calif
| | - Robert W Chang
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, Calif; Department of Vascular Surgery, Permanente Medical Group, South San Francisco, Calif.
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Dawkins C, Hollingsworth AC, Milburn S, Cheesman M, Danjoux G, Mofidi R. The fate of patients with large abdominal aortic aneurysms referred for consideration for elective repair. THE JOURNAL OF CARDIOVASCULAR SURGERY 2020; 62:35-41. [PMID: 32672436 DOI: 10.23736/s0021-9509.20.11377-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The premise of the Vascular Services Quality Improvement Programme (VSQIP) in management of patients with asymptomatic large abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) is reducing mortality from ruptured AAA in a sustainable way without introducing excessive procedure related mortality. Inevitably a proportion of patients are deemed unfit for elective repair. The aim of this study was to report outcomes of patients who were referred with large asymptomatic AAAs including those turned down for elective repair and identify independent risk factors for being turned down for elective open or endovascular repair of AAA. METHODS Consecutive patients referred to a regional vascular center with a large AAA (greater than 55 mm) between 1st January 2008 and 31st March 2018 were included. All patients underwent the nationally agreed VSQIP pathway which included preoperative cardio-pulmonary exercise testing and contrast enhanced CT scan of aorta. The decision to repair and the modality of repair were made through a Multi-Disciplinary Team MDT process on each patient. Patients were classified into two groups; those managed non-operatively and those offered elective repair. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Factors associated with non-operative management were examined using multivariate analysis. RESULTS A total of 876 patients of whom 768 were men and 108 were women with a mean age of 74 years (SD: 7.2) and a diagnosis of a large asymptomatic AAA were assessed. One hundred and seventy-four patients (19.9%) were turned down for elective repair and 702 (80.1%) underwent repair [Open: 244(34.8%), EVAR: 458 (65.2%] with perioperative and 30 day mortality of 1.13% (8 patients). Median duration of follow-up was 1530 days (51 months), (inter quartile range: 1714 days). Patients who underwent repair had significantly higher survival rates compared with those who were turned down (P<0.0001). Risk factors for being turned down for elective AAA included anaerobic threshold <8 mL kg-1 min-1 [OR: (95% CI): 2.27 (1.31-3.92)], (P=0.0005), Age>80 yrs. [OR (95% CI): 1.32 (1.012-1.52], (P=0.0203), complex aneurysm morphology [OR (95% CI): 3.70 (2.82-4.87], (P<0.0001), Female gender: [OR: (95% CI): 2.41 (1.32-3.92)], (P<0.0001) and being classed high or very high risk for open AAA repair OR: (95% CI): 6.48 (4.01-10.49)], (P<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS A significant cohort of patients with large asymptomatic AAA is turned down for elective AAA repair. These patients appear to have significantly lower survival rates than those who are treated. Information on patients turned down for elective AAA repair should be routinely reported.
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Affiliation(s)
- Claire Dawkins
- Department of Vascular Surgery, James Cook University Hospital, Middlesbrough, UK
| | | | - Simon Milburn
- Department of Interventional Radiology, James Cook University Hospital, Middlesbrough, UK
| | - Matthew Cheesman
- Department of Anesthesia, James Cook University Hospital, Middlesbrough, UK
| | - Gerard Danjoux
- Department of Anesthesia, James Cook University Hospital, Middlesbrough, UK
| | - Reza Mofidi
- Department of Vascular Surgery, James Cook University Hospital, Middlesbrough, UK -
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Rueda-Ochoa OL, van Bakel P, Hoeks SE, Verhagen H, Deckers J, Rizopoulos D, Ikram MA, Rouwet E, Ultee K, Ten Raa S, Franco OH, Kavousi M, Josee van Rijn M. Survival After Uncomplicated EVAR in Octogenarians is Similar to the General Population of Octogenarians Without an Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2020; 59:740-747. [PMID: 32115359 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2020.01.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2019] [Revised: 01/04/2020] [Accepted: 01/23/2020] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Long term survival after endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) in octogenarians remains unclear. This was evaluated by comparing octogenarians after EVAR with a matched group of octogenarians without an abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) from the Rotterdam Study (RS). The influence of complications after EVAR on survival was also studied with the aim of identifying risk factors for the development of complications in octogenarians. METHODS Using propensity score matching (PSM), 83 EVAR octogenarians were matched for comorbidities with 83 octogenarians from the RS, and survival was compared between these two groups using Cox proportional hazard analysis. Then, complications were studied, defined as cardiac or pulmonary, renal deterioration, access site bleeding, acute limb ischaemia or bowel ischaemia, within 30 days of surgery between 83 EVAR octogenarians and 475 EVAR non-octogenarians. Also, the difference in baseline characteristics between the octogenarians with and without complications after EVAR were studied, and survival was compared between the RS controls and the complicated and uncomplicated EVAR octogenarians separately. RESULTS The total EVAR octogenarian population did not show an increased mortality risk compared with RS octogenarian controls (hazard ratio [HR] 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.84-1.97). Post-operative complications occurred in 22 octogenarians (27%) and 59 non-octogenarians (12.4%, p < .001), mainly cardiac, pulmonary, and bleeding complications. All baseline characteristics were similar in the complicated EVAR octogenarians compared with the uncomplicated EVAR octogenarians. After uncomplicated EVAR, octogenarians had a similar survival compared with the RS controls (HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.68-1.77), but after complicated EVAR their mortality risk increased significantly (HR 1.93, 95% CI 1.06-3.54). CONCLUSION After standard EVAR, the life expectancy of octogenarians is the same as that of a matched group from the general population without an AAA, provided they do not develop early post-operative complications. Patient selection and meticulous peri-operative care are key.
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Affiliation(s)
- Oscar L Rueda-Ochoa
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; School of Medicine, Faculty of Health, Universidad Industrial de Santander UIS, Bucaramanga, Colombia.
| | - Pieter van Bakel
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Sanne E Hoeks
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Hence Verhagen
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Jaap Deckers
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Dimitris Rizopoulos
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Mohammad A Ikram
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Ellen Rouwet
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Klaas Ultee
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Sander Ten Raa
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Oscar H Franco
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Maryam Kavousi
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
| | - Marie Josee van Rijn
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
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Outcome after Turndown for Elective Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Surgery. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2017; 54:579-586. [PMID: 28874329 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2017.07.023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2016] [Accepted: 07/24/2017] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The aim was to assess the survival of patients who had been turned down for repair of an abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and to examine the factors influencing this. METHODS This was a retrospective observational study of a prospectively maintained database of all patients turned down for AAA intervention by the Black Country Vascular Network multidisciplinary team (MDT) from January 2013 to December 2015. Data on AAA size, cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) and cause of death were recorded. RESULTS There were 112 patients. The median age at turndown was 83.9 years (IQR 10.2 years). The median AAA size at turndown was 63 mm (IQR 16.7 mm). The median follow-up time after turndown was 324 days (IQR 537.5 days). Sixty-four patients (57.1%) were deceased after 2 years, with a median survival time of 462 days (IQR 579 days). Patients who died had a significantly larger AAA dimension (median 65 mm, IQR 18.5 mm) than those surviving to date (median 59 mm, IQR 10 mm, p = .004). Using Cox regression analysis, the probability of 1 year survival in the whole population was 0.614. The probability of 2 year survival was 0.388. When accounting for age, gender, AAA dimension, and British Aneurysm Repair risk score, no factors had significant influence over survival. Of the 64 deceased patients, 30 had an accessible cause of death: 36.7% of these were due to ruptured AAAs. There was no significant difference in AAA size between those dying of ruptures and those dying of other causes (p = .225, mean 74 mm and 67 mm respectively). CONCLUSIONS Being turned down for AAA repair carries a significant short-term risk of mortality. Those turned down for repair carried significant levels of comorbid disease but no factors considered were found to be independently predictive of the length of survival.
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9
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Scott SWM, Batchelder AJ, Kirkbride D, Naylor AR, Thompson JP. Late Survival in Nonoperated Patients with Infrarenal Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2016; 52:444-449. [PMID: 27374814 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2016.05.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/24/2015] [Accepted: 05/06/2016] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE/BACKGROUND Historical studies report high rupture rates in patients with nonoperated abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) of > 5.5 cm diameter, although a recent audit has questioned this. METHODS This was a retrospective review of 138/764 (18%) patients with AAAs evaluated in a preassessment anaesthetic clinic (PAC) between 2006 and 2012, who either did not undergo elective AAA repair or who underwent deferred repair. The remaining 626 underwent repair. Patients with severe comorbidities (dementia, advanced malignancy, life-expectancy < 1 year) and not referred to PAC were excluded. RESULTS At a median of 27 months, 71 (52%) died, 36 (51%) following rupture. Cumulative survival, free from rupture or surgery for acute symptoms, was 96% at 1 year, 84% at 3 years, and 64% at 5 years, where baseline AAA diameters were 5.5-6.9 cm. For diameters ≥ 7 cm, survival, free from rupture, was 65% at 1 year, 29% at 3 years, and 0% at 5 years. Median interval to rupture was 47 months (AAA diameter 5.5-6.9 cm) and 21 months where baseline diameters were ≥ 7 cm. Rupture accounted for 32% of late deaths in patients with AAAs of 5.5-5.9 cm diameter, 46% in those with AAAs measuring 6.0-6.9 cm in diameter, and 71% in patients with AAA measuring ≥ 7 cm in diameter. CONCLUSION Approximately half of all late deaths in this nonoperated cohort were not AAA related, suggesting that even had repair been undertaken, it would not have prolonged patient survival. The incidence of rupture in "high-risk" patients with an AAA < 7 cm diameter was < 5% at 1 year, thereby giving ample time to optimise risk factors and improve pre-existing medical conditions prior to undertaking a deferred intervention. Even if these patients did not undergo surgical repair, the risk of late rupture was relatively low. By contrast, nonoperated patients with AAAs ≥ 7 cm in diameter face a very high risk of rupture and will probably benefit from elective surgery, with the caveat that a higher procedural risk might have to be incurred.
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Affiliation(s)
- S W M Scott
- Departments of Vascular Anaesthesia and Vascular Surgery, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, UK
| | - A J Batchelder
- Departments of Vascular Anaesthesia and Vascular Surgery, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, UK.
| | - D Kirkbride
- Departments of Vascular Anaesthesia and Vascular Surgery, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, UK
| | - A R Naylor
- Departments of Vascular Anaesthesia and Vascular Surgery, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, UK
| | - J P Thompson
- Departments of Vascular Anaesthesia and Vascular Surgery, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, UK
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10
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Arbitrary Palliation of Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms in the Elderly is no Longer Warranted. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2016; 51:802-9. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2016.02.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2015] [Accepted: 02/06/2016] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
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11
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Kolh P, De Hert S, De Rango P. The Concept of Risk Assessment and Being Unfit for Surgery. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2016; 51:857-66. [PMID: 27053098 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2016.02.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2015] [Accepted: 02/03/2016] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
The concept of risk assessment and the identification of surgical unfitness for vascular intervention is a particularly controversial issue today as the minimally invasive surgical population has increased not only in volume but also in complexity (comorbidity profile) and age, requiring an improved pre-operative selection and definition of high risk. A practical step by step (three steps, two points for each) approach for surgical risk assessment is suggested in this review. As a general rule, the identification of a "high risk" patient for vascular surgery follows a step by step process where the risk is clearly defined, quantified (when too "high"?), and thereby stratified based on the procedure, the patient, and the hospital, with the aid of predictive risk scores. However, there is no standardized, updated, and objective definition for surgical unfitness today. The major gap in the current literature on the definition of high risk in vascular patients explains the lack of sound validated predictive systems and limited generalizability of risk scores in vascular surgery. In addition, the concept of fitness is an evolving tool and many traditional high risk criteria and definitions are no longer valid. Given the preventive purpose of most vascular procedures performed in elderly asymptomatic patients, the decision to pursue or withhold surgery requires realistic estimates not only regarding individual peri-operative mortality, but also life expectancy, healthcare priorities, and the patient's primary goals, such as prolongation of life versus maintenance of independence or symptom relief. The overall "frailty" and geriatric risk burden, such as cognitive, functional, social, and nutritional status, are variables that should be also included in the analyses for stratification of surgical risk in elderly vascular patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- P Kolh
- Cardiovascular Surgery Department, University Hospital (CHU, ULg) of Liège, Belgium.
| | - S De Hert
- Department of Anesthesiology, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
| | - P De Rango
- Unit of Vascular Surgery, Hospital S.M. Misericordia, Perugia, Italy
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Life expectancy and causes of death after repair of intact and ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms. J Vasc Surg 2016; 63:610-6. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jvs.2015.09.030] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2015] [Accepted: 09/10/2015] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
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13
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Outcome in Men with a Screen-detected Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Who are not Fit for Intervention. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2015; 50:732-6. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2015.07.035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2015] [Accepted: 07/22/2015] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
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14
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Verzini F, De Rango P. Too Much Information may not always be a Good Thing. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2015; 50:686-7. [PMID: 26283033 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2015.07.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2015] [Accepted: 07/16/2015] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- F Verzini
- Unit of Vascular Surgery, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy.
| | - P De Rango
- Unit of Vascular Surgery, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy
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15
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Parkinson F, Ferguson S, Lewis P, Williams IM, Twine CP. Rupture rates of untreated large abdominal aortic aneurysms in patients unfit for elective repair. J Vasc Surg 2015; 61:1606-12. [PMID: 25661721 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvs.2014.10.023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 89] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2014] [Accepted: 10/15/2014] [Indexed: 01/12/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Elective abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) surgery relies on balancing the risk of the intervention against the risk of the aneurysm causing death. Although much is known about intervention at 5.5 cm, little is known about the fate of the patient unfit for elective surgery at this threshold. Medical therapy and endovascular surgery have revolutionized management of aortic aneurysms in the last 20 years and are thought to have affected rupture rates. METHODS MEDLINE via PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library Database were searched for studies reporting follow-up of untreated large AAA approach from inception to January 2014. Data were pooled using random-effects analysis with standardized mean differences and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) reported. The primary end points were rupture rates and all-cause mortality per year by AAA size. RESULTS The search strategy identified 1892 citations, of which 11 studies comprising 1514 patients experiencing 347 ruptured AAA were included. The overall incidence of ruptured AAA in patients with AAA >5.5 cm was 5.3% (95% CI, 3.1%-7.5%) per year. This represented cumulative yearly rupture rates of 3.5% (95% CI, -1.6% to 8.7%) in AAAs 5.5 to 6.0 cm, 4.1% (95% CI, -0.7% to 9.0%) in AAAs 6.1 to 7.0 cm, and 6.3% (95% CI, -1.8% to 14.3%) in AAAs >7.0 cm. There was no heterogeneity between studies (I(2) = 0%). Only 32% of these patients were offered repair on rupturing an AAA, with a perioperative mortality of 58% (95% CI, 32%-83%). The risk of death from causes other than AAA was higher than the risk of death from rupture. CONCLUSIONS Rupture rates of untreated AAA were lower than those currently quoted in the literature. Non-AAA-related mortality in this group of patients is high.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fran Parkinson
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Royal Gwent Hospital, Newport, United Kingdom
| | - Stuart Ferguson
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Royal Gwent Hospital, Newport, United Kingdom
| | - Peter Lewis
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Royal Gwent Hospital, Newport, United Kingdom
| | - Ian M Williams
- Department of Vascular Surgery, University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, United Kingdom
| | - Christopher P Twine
- Department of Vascular Surgery, Royal Gwent Hospital, Newport, United Kingdom.
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