Outcomes of Small Incidental Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms in Octogenarian and Nonagenarian Patients in Northern Spain

Thirty-nine percent of patients with a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) have an incidentally detected AAA prior to rupture

INTRODUCTION

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening has been offered to 65-year-old men living in Oslo, Norway, since May 2011. A significant number of AAA-related deaths occurred in individuals who are not eligible for screening. The primary aim of this study was to describe the group of patients admitted to Oslo University Hospital with a ruptured AAA after the implementation of the local AAA screening project. The following parameters were investigated: AAA detection prior to rupture, surveillance status, eligibility for screening and comorbidities. We also sought to compare outcomes (repair rates and 30-day mortality) between patients with and without an AAA detected prior to rupture.

METHODS

This cohort study included patients admitted acutely to Oslo University Hospital due to a symptomatic or ruptured AAA in the period January 2011 to December 2022. Data on demographics, prior AAA detection, surveillance status, treatment and mortality were collected retrospectively through electronic medical records.

RESULTS

We identified 200 patients with a symptomatic or ruptured AAA, among which 79 (40%) had an AAA detected prior to rupture - one (1%) through screening and 78 (39%) incidentally. Up to 30% of the incidentally detected AAAs were not under any surveillance. Six patients were found eligible for screening: one had attended, three were non-attenders and two had not been invited. Patients with an incidentally detected AAA prior to rupture had a more advanced age and a significantly higher degree of comorbidities than patients without a previously detected AAA, and the repair rates in these groups were 56% and 84% respectively (p < 0.001). Adjusted for comorbidities and risk factors, the odds ratio for repair among patients with incidentally detected AAA was 0.56 (p = 0.292). The 30-day mortality was not significantly different between the two groups (p = 0.097).

CONCLUSION

Most patients with a ruptured AAA were not eligible for screening, but 39% of the patients had an incidentally detected AAA prior to rupture. Standardized reporting and follow-up of incidentally detected AAAs is thus identified as an additional measure to organized screening in the effort to reduce AAA-related mortality.

Peri-Operative Mortality and Survival After Repair of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm in Advanced Age Patients: A National Study from the Norwegian Registry for Vascular Surgery Focused on Nonagenarians

OBJECTIVE

Treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in nonagenarians has become more frequent. This national observational cohort study aimed to investigate peri-operative mortality and survival after AAA surgery in nonagenarians in Norway.

METHODS

All AAA repairs registered in the Norwegian Registry for Vascular Surgery from 2015 to 2021 were identified and stratified into nonagenarians > 90 years old (n = 77), octogenarians 80 - 89 years old (n = 1 362), and patients < 80 years old (n = 4 590). The patient characteristics and comorbidities were recorded, and the 30 and 90 day mortality rates were calculated. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to obtain the estimated median survival and survival curves.

RESULTS

In the nonagenarians, the 30 day mortality rates were 2.5% in asymptomatic patients, 33.3% in symptomatic patients, and 59.1% in the patients with a ruptured AAA (rAAA). The estimated median survival (years) were 3.3 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.95 - 4.59) for asymptomatic AAA, 2.9 (interquartile range [IQR] 2.82, 5.80) for symptomatic AAA, and 0.1 for rAAA (IQR 0.01, 3.04). For nonagenarians surviving the first 90 days, the estimated median survival (years) were 4.2 (95% CI 2.56 - 5.88) for asymptomatic AAA, 3.4 (IQR 2.86, 5.80) for symptomatic AAA, and 3.8 (IQR 1.49, 4.85) for rAAA. The 90 day mortality rates were 100.0%, 80.0%, and 62.5% for asymptomatic, symptomatic, and rAAA, respectively, after open surgical repair (OSR), and 5.1%, 10.0%, and 50.0%, respectively, after endovascular aortic repair (EVAR).

CONCLUSION

Peri-operative mortality and survival results after AAA surgery in nonagenarians support treatment of selected asymptomatic patients. The 90 day survivors had an expected survival of more than three years, enabling balanced decision making regarding surgical vs. conservative treatment options in this challenging cohort. EVAR is the treatment method of choice for AAA in nonagenarians because most of them would probably live longer untreated than if treated by OSR.

Outcomes of octogenarians receiving aortic repair

OBJECTIVE

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair is recommended for aneurysms greater than 5.5 cm in men and 5 cm in women. Because AAA is more common among the elderly, we sought to evaluate contemporary practices of elective AAA repair and 2-year postoperative outcomes in octogenarians.

METHODS

We identified octogenarians undergoing elective AAA repair in the Vascular Quality Initiative from 2012 to 2019. We included patients undergoing endovascular (EVAR) and open (OAR) aortic repair. Demographics and comorbid conditions were compared between patient groups. Frailty was calculated using previously published methods. Patients with frailty scores above the 75th percentile of the operative cohort were considered high frailty. The primary outcome was 1- and 2-year mortality. Secondary outcomes included postoperative complications. Standard statistical methods were utilized. Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify factors that affect mortality.

RESULTS

The frequency of AAA repair in octogenarians has remained stable. Of all aortic operations, 21.4% were performed on octogenarians; 9735 (23.3% of 41,712) EVAR and 755 (10.3% of 7325) OARs. Among octogenarian patients, 42.0% of EVARs were under size thresholds: 48.3% males ≤5.5 cm diameter and 21.5% females ≤5.0 cm diameter compared with 18.8% OARs: 23.4% males and 10.7% females. Additionally, 25.6% had high frailty scores. Among octogenarians, 1- and 2-year mortality was 9.3% ± 0.3% and 14.8% ± 0.4% for EVAR and 15.2% ± 1.3% and 18.9% ± 1.5% for OAR patients, respectively (P < .01). In-hospital mortality rate was higher after OAR (0.87% EVAR vs 7.55% OAR; P < .01) and differed with frailty (EVAR, low frailty 0.2% vs high frailty 1.7%; OAR, low frailty 2.3% vs high frailty 15.6%). For EVAR, patient factors associated with mortality included heart failure (hazard ratio [HR], 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.25; P = .001) and dialysis (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.13-2.59; P = .012). For OAR, coronary artery disease (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 0.98-2.44; P = .062) was associated with mortality. Statin use was protective of mortality for all patients (EVAR: HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.60-0.78; P < .01): OAR: HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.37-0.92; P = .020). Among octogenarians, high frailty was independently associated with 2-year mortality (EVAR: HR, 3.36; 95% CI, 2.62-4.31; P < .01 and OAR: HR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.09-5.10; P = .030).

CONCLUSIONS

Nationally, a large portion of elective AAA repair in octogenarians is performed below recommended size thresholds, one-quarter of whom are frail with poor long-term 2-year mortality rates. High 2-year mortality following AAA repair in this age group exceeds the published risk of rupture for 5- to 5.5-cm AAA, suggesting that increase in the size threshold of elective repair among octogenarians should be explored.

Early Relative Growth Rate of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms and Future Risk of Rupture or Repair

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to test whether the relative growth rate of subthreshold abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) in the first 24 months of surveillance predicts the risk of future rupture or repair.

METHODS

This was a single centre retrospective observational analysis of all small (< 45 mm diameter) and medium (45 - 54 mm in men, 45 - 50 mm in women) AAAs entered into ultrasound surveillance between January 2002 and December 2019, which received ≥ 24 months of surveillance. Relative growth rates were calculated from measurements taken in the first 24 months of surveillance. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate intervention and rupture free proportions five years following diagnosis for AAAs growing by < 5% and by ≥ 5% in the first 24 months of surveillance. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to further analyse this relationship by adjusting for factors found to be significantly associated with outcome in univariable analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 556 patients with AAAs (409 men, 147 women) were followed for ≥ 24 months. This included 431 small AAAs. Of these, 109 (25.3%) grew by < 5% in the first 24 months of surveillance and had a cumulative event free proportion of 0.98 ± 0.05 at five years compared with 0.78 ± 0.05 for the ≥ 5% growth group (p < .001). Of 125 medium AAAs, 26 (20.8%) grew by < 5% in the first 24 months of surveillance and had a cumulative event free proportion of 0.73 ± 0.11 at five years compared with 0.29 ± 0.13 for the ≥ 5% growth group (p = .024). Baseline diameter and early relative growth rate were strongly and independently predictive of future intervention or rupture with hazard ratios of 9.16 (95% CI 5.98 - 14.03, p < .001) and 4.46 (95% CI 2.45 - 8.14, p < .001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The results suggest that slow expansion of small (< 45 mm) AAAs observed over an isolated 24 month period is indicative of a very low risk of rupture or repair in the medium term. Isolated growth rates may be a useful tool with which to triage low risk AAAs and prevent unnecessary surveillance.