Deceased-Donor Kidneys: Is Past Performance an Indicator of Future Transplant Success?

Effect of creatinine metrics on outcome after transplantation of marginal donor kidneys

INTRODUCTION

Predicting outcome after transplantation of marginal kidneys is a challenging task. Donor creatinine or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are integral components of the respective risk scores. However, there is uncertainty on which of their values obtained successively during procurement is the most suitable.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This is a retrospective study of 221 adult brain death donors with marginal kidneys, transplanted in 223 recipients. We applied logistic regression analysis to investigate the association between initial (at hospital admission), nadir (lowest), zenith (highest) and terminal (at recovery) donor eGFR with primary non-function (PNF), delayed graft function (DGF), 3- and 12-month graft function and 1- and 3-year patient- and death-censored graft survival.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analysis, admission, terminal, and the lowest donor eGFR could most accurately predict DGF. The respective ORs [95% CI] were: 0.875 [0.771-0.993], 0.818 [95% CI: 0.726-0.922] and 0.793 [0.689-0.900]. Although not being significant for DGF (OR 0.931 [95% CI: 0.817-1.106]), the highest eGFR was the best predictor of 3-month graft function (adjusted b coefficient 1.161 [95% CI: 0.355-1.968]). Analysis of primary nonfunction showed that determination of initial and the highest eGFR proved to be the best predictors. The respective ORs [95% CI] were: 0.804 [0.667-0.968] and 0.750 [0.611-0.919]. There were no differences in the risk associations of each of the four eGFR recordings with patient- and graft survival.

CONCLUSION

The various eGFR recordings determined during the procurement process of marginal donors can predict PNF, DGF and 3- and 12-month graft function. Regarding short-term patient- and graft survival, there appears to be impacted by recipient factors rather than donor kidney function.