Deep Neural Networks for Human's Fall-risk Prediction using Force-Plate Time Series Signal

Unveiling Fall Triggers in Older Adults: A Machine Learning Graphical Model Analysis

While existing research has identified diverse fall risk factors in adults aged 60 and older across various areas, comprehensively examining the interrelationships between all factors can enhance our knowledge of complex mechanisms and ultimately prevent falls. This study employs a novel approach-a mixed undirected graphical model (MUGM)-to unravel the interplay between sociodemographics, mental well-being, body composition, self-assessed and performance-based fall risk assessments, and physical activity patterns. Using a parameterized joint probability density, MUGMs specify the higher-order dependence structure and reveals the underlying graphical structure of heterogeneous variables. The MUGM consisting of mixed types of variables (continuous and categorical) has versatile applications that provide innovative and practical insights, as it is equipped to transcend the limitations of traditional correlation analysis and uncover sophisticated interactions within a high-dimensional data set. Our study included 120 elders from central Florida whose 37 fall risk factors were analyzed using an MUGM. Among the identified features, 34 exhibited pairwise relationships, while COVID-19-related factors and housing composition remained conditionally independent from all others. The results from our study serve as a foundational exploration, and future research investigating the longitudinal aspects of these features plays a pivotal role in enhancing our knowledge of the dynamics contributing to fall prevention in this population.

Fall risk classification with posturographic parameters in community-dwelling older adults: a machine learning and explainable artificial intelligence approach

BACKGROUND

Computerized posturography obtained in standing conditions has been applied to classify fall risk for older adults or disease groups. Combining machine learning (ML) approaches is superior to traditional regression analysis for its ability to handle complex data regarding its characteristics of being high-dimensional, non-linear, and highly correlated. The study goal was to use ML algorithms to classify fall risks in community-dwelling older adults with the aid of an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) approach to increase interpretability.

METHODS

A total of 215 participants were included for analysis. The input information included personal metrics and posturographic parameters obtained from a tracker-based posturography of four standing postures. Two classification criteria were used: with a previous history of falls and the timed-up-and-go (TUG) test. We used three meta-heuristic methods for feature selection to handle the large numbers of parameters and improve efficacy, and the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was used to display the weights of the selected features on the model.

RESULTS

The results showed that posturographic parameters could classify the participants with TUG scores higher or lower than 10 s but were less effective in classifying fall risk according to previous fall history. Feature selections improved the accuracy with the TUG as the classification label, and the Slime Mould Algorithm had the best performance (accuracy: 0.72 to 0.77, area under the curve: 0.80 to 0.90). In contrast, feature selection did not improve the model performance significantly with the previous fall history as a classification label. The SHAP values also helped to display the importance of different features in the model.

CONCLUSION

Posturographic parameters in standing can be used to classify fall risks with high accuracy based on the TUG scores in community-dwelling older adults. Using feature selection improves the model's performance. The results highlight the potential utility of ML algorithms and XAI to provide guidance for developing more robust and accurate fall classification models. Trial registration Not applicable.

SaPt-CNN-LSTM-AR-EA: a hybrid ensemble learning framework for time series-based multivariate DNA sequence prediction

Biological sequence data mining is hot spot in bioinformatics. A biological sequence can be regarded as a set of characters. Time series is similar to biological sequences in terms of both representation and mechanism. Therefore, in the article, biological sequences are represented with time series to obtain biological time sequence (BTS). Hybrid ensemble learning framework (SaPt-CNN-LSTM-AR-EA) for BTS is proposed. Single-sequence and multi-sequence models are respectively constructed with self-adaption pre-training one-dimensional convolutional recurrent neural network and autoregressive fractional integrated moving average fused evolutionary algorithm. In DNA sequence experiments with six viruses, SaPt-CNN-LSTM-AR-EA realized the good overall prediction performance and the prediction accuracy and correlation respectively reached 1.7073 and 0.9186. SaPt-CNN-LSTM-AR-EA was compared with other five benchmark models so as to verify its effectiveness and stability. SaPt-CNN-LSTM-AR-EA increased the average accuracy by about 30%. The framework proposed in this article is significant in biology, biomedicine, and computer science, and can be widely applied in sequence splicing, computational biology, bioinformation, and other fields.

Preventing falls: the use of machine learning for the prediction of future falls in individuals without history of fall

Nowadays, it becomes of paramount societal importance to support many frail-prone groups in our society (elderly, patients with neurodegenerative diseases, etc.) to remain socially and physically active, maintain their quality of life, and avoid their loss of autonomy. Once older people enter the prefrail stage, they are already likely to experience falls whose consequences may accelerate the deterioration of their quality of life (injuries, fear of falling, reduction of physical activity). In that context, detecting frailty and high risk of fall at an early stage is the first line of defense against the detrimental consequences of fall. The second line of defense would be to develop original protocols to detect future fallers before any fall occur. This paper briefly summarizes the current advancements and perspectives that may arise from the combination of affordable and easy-to-use non-wearable systems (force platforms, 3D tracking motion systems), wearable systems (accelerometers, gyroscopes, inertial measurement units-IMUs) with appropriate machine learning analytics, as well as the efforts to address these challenges.

Wearable Sensor Systems for Fall Risk Assessment: A Review

Fall risk assessment and fall detection are crucial for the prevention of adverse and long-term health outcomes. Wearable sensor systems have been used to assess fall risk and detect falls while providing additional meaningful information regarding gait characteristics. Commonly used wearable systems for this purpose are inertial measurement units (IMUs), which acquire data from accelerometers and gyroscopes. IMUs can be placed at various locations on the body to acquire motion data that can be further analyzed and interpreted. Insole-based devices are wearable systems that were also developed for fall risk assessment and fall detection. Insole-based systems are placed beneath the sole of the foot and typically obtain plantar pressure distribution data. Fall-related parameters have been investigated using inertial sensor-based and insole-based devices include, but are not limited to, center of pressure trajectory, postural stability, plantar pressure distribution and gait characteristics such as cadence, step length, single/double support ratio and stance/swing phase duration. The acquired data from inertial and insole-based systems can undergo various analysis techniques to provide meaningful information regarding an individual's fall risk or fall status. By assessing the merits and limitations of existing systems, future wearable sensors can be improved to allow for more accurate and convenient fall risk assessment. This article reviews inertial sensor-based and insole-based wearable devices that were developed for applications related to falls. This review identifies key points including spatiotemporal parameters, biomechanical gait parameters, physical activities and data analysis methods pertaining to recently developed systems, current challenges, and future perspectives.

Prediction Model of International Trade Risk Based on Stochastic Time-Series Neural Network

With the extreme deterioration of domestic and foreign trade environment, international competition is becoming increasingly fierce. At the same time, many enterprises have loopholes in industrial structure and finance, resulting in many risks in their international trade. Therefore, we must take corresponding measures to effectively manage and avoid risks and realize the healthy and sustainable development of foreign trade enterprises and enterprise economy. This paper designs and proposes a risk prediction model combining ARIMA and BP neural network. The model can get good prediction in different time series and effectively avoid the risk. The model proposed in this paper optimizes the structure of the design model with the support of ARIMA algorithm and BP neural network algorithm and has good accuracy and error control for different time series. The purpose of establishing time series prediction model is to improve the prediction accuracy of the model, and it is also an effective way to enhance the practicability of the prediction model. Applying intersequence analysis method to financial risk prediction can greatly improve efficiency and save cost and has broad application prospects.

Multi-Output Sequential Deep Learning Model for Athlete Force Prediction on a Treadmill Using 3D Markers

Reliable and innovative methods for estimating forces are critical aspects of biomechanical sports research. Using them, athletes can improve their performance and technique and reduce the possibility of fractures and other injuries. For this purpose, throughout this project, we proceeded to research the use of video in biomechanics. To refine this method, we propose an RNN trained on a biomechanical dataset of regular runners that measures both kinematics and kinetics. The model will allow analyzing, extracting, and drawing conclusions about continuous variable predictions through the body. It marks different anatomical and reflective points (96 in total, 32 per dimension) that will allow the prediction of forces (N) in three dimensions (Fx, Fy, Fz), measured on a treadmill with a force plate at different velocities (2.5 m/s, 3.5 m/s, 4.5 m/s). In order to obtain the best model, a grid search of different parameters that combined various types of layers (Simple, GRU, LSTM), loss functions (MAE, MSE, MSLE), and sampling techniques (down-sampling, up-sampling) helped obtain the best performing model (LSTM, MSE, down-sampling) achieved an average coefficient of determination of 0.68, although when excluding Fz it reached 0.92.

Fault Prediction of Rolling Element Bearings Using the Optimized MCKD–LSTM Model

The reliability and safety of rotating equipment depend on the performance of bearings. For complex systems with high reliability and safety needs, effectively predicting the fault data in the use stage has important guiding significance for reasonably formulating reliability plans and carrying out reliability maintenance activities. Many methods have been used to solve the problem of reliability prediction. Due to its convenience and efficiency, the data-driven method is increasingly widely used in practical reliability prediction. In order to ensure the reliability of bearing operation, the main objective of the present study is to establish a novel model based on the optimized maximum correlation kurtosis deconvolution (MCKD) and long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network to realize early bearing fault warnings by predicting bearing fault time series. The proposed model is based on the lifecycle vibration signal of the bearing. In the first step, the cuckoo search (CS) is utilized to optimize the parameter filter length and deconvolution period of MCKD, considering the influence of periodic bearing time series, and to improve the fault impact component of the optimized MCKD deconvolution time series. Then the LSTM learning rate is selected according to the deconvolution time series. Finally, the dataset obtained through various preprocessing approaches is used to train and predict the LSTM model. The analyses performed using the XJTU-SY bearing dataset demonstrate that the prediction results are in good consistency with real fault data, and the average prediction accuracy of the optimized MCKD–LSTM model is 26% higher than that of the original time series.

Sensor-Based Fall Risk Assessment: A Survey

Fall is a major problem leading to serious injuries in geriatric populations. Sensor-based fall risk assessment is one of the emerging technologies to identify people with high fall risk by sensors, so as to implement fall prevention measures. Research on this domain has recently made great progress, attracting the growing attention of researchers from medicine and engineering. However, there is a lack of studies on this topic which elaborate the state of the art. This paper presents a comprehensive survey to discuss the development and current status of various aspects of sensor-based fall risk assessment. Firstly, we present the principles of fall risk assessment. Secondly, we show knowledge of fall risk monitoring techniques, including wearable sensor based and non-wearable sensor based. After that we discuss features which are extracted from sensors in fall risk assessment. Then we review the major methods of fall risk modeling and assessment. We also discuss some challenges and promising directions in this field at last.