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Kloprogge SES, Lachmipersad RMMR, Katier NN, Mailuhu AKEA, van Vooren JJ, van Ochten JMJ, Bindels PJEP, Bierma-Zeinstra SMAS, van Middelkoop MM. Prognostic factors and the value of radiographic osteoarthritis for persistent complaints after referral for ankle radiography. Semin Arthritis Rheum 2024; 68:152487. [PMID: 38996495 DOI: 10.1016/j.semarthrit.2024.152487] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2024] [Revised: 06/04/2024] [Accepted: 06/06/2024] [Indexed: 07/14/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Ankle symptoms are a common reason to consult the general practitioner and often persist for years. In a population referred for ankle radiography, the prevalence of radiographic osteoarthritis (OA) is substantial, but its additional predictive value for persistent symptoms is unknown. Therefore, we examined the prognosis of symptoms 2-3 years after referral for ankle radiography, assessed clinical prognostic factors, and the additional predictive value of radiographic OA for persistent ankle complaints. METHODS We included 893 adults referred for ankle radiography and studied the following candidate prognostic factors at baseline: age, sex, body mass index (BMI), referral for chronic complaints (>3 months), pain during activity (NRS-11) and presence of stiffness and functional loss as predominant symptom. X-rays were scored for radiographic OA. After 2-3 years participants were invited for a follow-up questionnaire including persistence of ankle complaints. To assess prognostic factors for persistent complaints, uni- and multivariable logistic regression were used. RESULTS Of the 194 responders at follow-up, ankle complaints persisted in 71(36.6 %). BMI (OR 1.08; 95 % CI 1.01-1.15), stiffness as predominant symptom (OR 1.69; 95 % CI 0.89-3.21), and chronic complaints (OR 2.84; 95 % CI 1.45-5.57) were in the initial model for persistent complaints (AUC=0.69). After adding radiographic OA (OR 2.36; 95 % CI 1.01-5.50), the AUC of the final model became 0.70. CONCLUSION Ankle complaints persist in a considerable proportion of patients 2-3 years after referral for ankle radiography. BMI, chronic complaints and radiographic OA are prognostic factors for persistent complaints, but the additional predictive value of radiographic OA on top of clinical factors is negligible.
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Affiliation(s)
- S E Sabine Kloprogge
- Department of General Practice, Erasmus MC Medical University Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
| | | | - N Nienke Katier
- Department of radiology, Albert Schweitzer Hospital Dordrecht, the Netherlands
| | - A K E Adinda Mailuhu
- Department of General Practice, Erasmus MC Medical University Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | | | - J M John van Ochten
- Department of General Practice, Erasmus MC Medical University Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - P J E Patrick Bindels
- Department of General Practice, Erasmus MC Medical University Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
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Arnold JB, Bowen CJ, Chapman LS, Gates LS, Golightly YM, Halstead J, Hannan MT, Menz HB, Munteanu SE, Paterson KL, Roddy E, Siddle HJ, Thomas MJ. International Foot and Ankle Osteoarthritis Consortium review and research agenda for diagnosis, epidemiology, burden, outcome assessment and treatment. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2022; 30:945-955. [PMID: 35176480 PMCID: PMC10464637 DOI: 10.1016/j.joca.2022.02.603] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2021] [Revised: 01/25/2022] [Accepted: 02/03/2022] [Indexed: 02/02/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To summarise the available evidence relating to the diagnosis, epidemiology, burden, outcome assessment and treatment of foot and ankle osteoarthritis (OA) and to develop an agenda to guide future research. METHOD Members of the International Foot and Ankle Osteoarthritis Consortium compiled a narrative summary of the literature which formed the basis of an interactive discussion at the Osteoarthritis Research Society International World Congress in 2021, during which a list of 24 research agenda items were generated. Following the meeting, delegates were asked to rank the research agenda items on a 0 to 100 visual analogue rating scale (0 = not at all important to 100 = extremely important). Items scoring a mean of 70 or above were selected for inclusion. RESULTS Of the 45 delegates who attended the meeting, 31 contributed to the agenda item scoring. Nineteen research agenda items met the required threshold: three related to diagnosis, four to epidemiology, four to burden, three to outcome assessment and five to treatment. CONCLUSIONS Key knowledge gaps related to foot and ankle OA were identified, and a comprehensive agenda to guide future research planning was developed. Implementation of this agenda will assist in improving the understanding and clinical management of this common and disabling, yet relatively overlooked condition.
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Affiliation(s)
- J B Arnold
- IIMPACT in Health, Allied Health and Human Performance, University of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, 5000, Australia
| | - C J Bowen
- School of Health Sciences, University of Southampton, Building 67, University Road, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK; Centre for Sport, Exercise and Osteoarthritis Research Versus Arthritis, University of Southampton, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK
| | - L S Chapman
- Leeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
| | - L S Gates
- School of Health Sciences, University of Southampton, Building 67, University Road, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK; Centre for Sport, Exercise and Osteoarthritis Research Versus Arthritis, University of Southampton, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK
| | - Y M Golightly
- Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, Thurston Arthritis Research Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 3330 Thurston Building, CB 7280, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA
| | - J Halstead
- Leeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK; Podiatry Services, Leeds Community Healthcare NHS Trust, Leeds, LS6 1PF, UK
| | - M T Hannan
- Hinda and Arthur Marcus Institute for Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, And Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 02108, USA
| | - H B Menz
- School of Allied Health, Human Services and Sport, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria, 3086, Australia; Primary Care Centre Versus Arthritis, School of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK.
| | - S E Munteanu
- School of Allied Health, Human Services and Sport, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria, 3086, Australia
| | - K L Paterson
- Centre for Health, Exercise and Sports Medicine, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, 3010, Australia
| | - E Roddy
- Primary Care Centre Versus Arthritis, School of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK; Haywood Academic Rheumatology Centre, Midlands Partnership NHS Foundation Trust, Haywood Hospital, Burslem, Staffordshire, ST6 7AG, UK
| | - H J Siddle
- Leeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
| | - M J Thomas
- Primary Care Centre Versus Arthritis, School of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK; Haywood Academic Rheumatology Centre, Midlands Partnership NHS Foundation Trust, Haywood Hospital, Burslem, Staffordshire, ST6 7AG, UK
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