Progesterone-to-follicle index is better correlated with in vitro fertilization cycle outcome than blood progesterone level

Predictive Role of Progesterone Levels for IVF Outcome in Different Phases of Controlled Ovarian Stimulation for Patients With and Without Endometriosis: Expert View

The study aimed to review the role of basal, trigger, and aspiration day progesterone levels (PLs) as predictors of in vitro fertilization (IVF) success for patients with and without endometriosis. A non-systematic review was conducted by searching papers published in English during the period of 1990-2023 in MEDLINE and PubMed, Embase, The Cochrane Library (Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Methodology Register), and Web of Science. The most widely used IVF predictor success was the trigger day progesterone serum level. Many studies utilize the threshold level of 1.5-2.0 ng/ml. However, the predictive power of only progesterone level failed to show high sensitivity and specificity. Contrary, progesterone level on the trigger day combined with the number of mature retrieved oocytes had the highest predictive power. High baseline progesterone level was associated with poor IVF outcomes. Research on progesterone and IVF success in patients with endometriosis is limited but indicates that endometriosis patients seem to benefit from higher progesterone concentrations (≥ 37.1 ng/ml) in IVF cycles. Currently, there is limited data for a definitive insight into the mportance of progesterone in the estimation of IVF success. Nonetheless, this summarized evidence could serve as up-to-date guidance for the role of progesterone in the prediction of IVF outcomes, both in patients with and without endometriosis.

The late-follicular-phase progesterone to retrieved oocytes ratio in normal ovarian responders treated with an antagonist protocol can be used as an index for selecting an embryo transfer strategy and predicting the success rate: a retrospective large-scale study

Objective

To determine whether the late-follicular-phase progesterone to retrieved oocytes (P/O) ratio during in vitro fertilization (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) impacts pregnancy outcomes.

Design

12,874 cycles were retrospectively categorized into four groups according to the P/O ratio percentile, with divisions at the 25th, 50th and 75th percentiles.

Results

The clinical pregnancy and live birth rates of fresh cycle embryos in Group D were significantly lower than those in the other three groups (45.1% and 39.0%, 43.2% and 37.2%, 39.6% and 33.5%, 33.4% and 28.2% in Group A, B, C, D, respectively; both P < 0.008). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed a significant negative correlation between the P/O ratio and live birth, particularly when the P/O ratio was ≥0.22 (OR = 0.862, 95% CI [0.774-0.959], P = 0.006).

Conclusions

The P/O ratio has certain predictive value for IVF/ICSI pregnancy outcomes and can be used for decision-making decision regarding fresh embryo transfer.

Duration of late-follicular elevated progesterone and in vitro fertilization outcomes in pituitary down-regulation treatment cycles

Background

The objective of this study was to explore whether the duration of LFEP (late-follicular elevated progesterone) affected pregnancy outcomes in IVF (in vitro fertilization) patients treated with pituitary downregulation protocols.

Method

Patients with their first IVF/ICSI cycles between January 2016 and December 2016 were included. LFEP was set either at P > 1.0ng/ml or P > 1.5ng/ml. Clinical pregnancy rate was compared among three different groups (no LFEP; LFEP for 1 day; LFEP for ≥ 2 days). Then multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to explore the influencing factors of clinical pregnancy rate.

Results

This retrospective analysis involved 3,521 first IVF/ICSI cycles with fresh embryo transfers. Clinical pregnancy rate was the lowest in patients with a LFEP duration of ≥ 2 days, irrespective of whether LFEP was defined as P > 1.0 ng/ml (68.79% vs. 63.02% vs. 56.20%; P = 0.000) or as P > 1.5 ng/ml (67.24% vs. 55.95% vs. 45.51%; P = 0.000). In addition, LFEP duration was significantly associated with clinical pregnancy outcomes in unadjusted logistic regression analysis. However, in multivariate regression models after adjusting confounders, adjusted OR for LFEP duration (≥ 2 days) in the two models was 0.808 (P = 0.064; LFEP as P > 1.0 ng/ml) and 0.720 (P = 0.098; LFEP as P > 1.5 ng/ml), respectively.

Conclusion

LFEP adversely affects clinical pregnancy outcomes. However, the duration of LFEP seems to have no influence on the clinical pregnancy rate in pituitary downregulation treatment cycles.

Effect of serum progesterone on human chorionic gonadotropin trigger day / metaphase II oocyte ratio on pregnancy and neonatal outcomes in women undergoing ICSI cycle

BACKGROUND

The serum progesterone on human chorionic gonadotropin trigger day / metaphase II oocyte (P/MII) ratio might be a more predictable indicator of pregnancy and neonatal outcomes as compare to P/estradiol (E2) or P alone. Hence, we conducted a larger population study to compare the pregnancy and neonatal outcomes in the low and high P/MII ratio.

METHODS

A retrospective, single-center, larger population cohort study between January 2015 and August 2021. Calculate the threshold effect of P/MII ratio on clinical pregnancy rate according to the construct smooth curve fitting. Divide data into two groups by threshold for comparison.

RESULTS

3566 fresh ICSI-ET cycles were included, in which 929 singleton delivery and 676 twin deliveries. Compare to P/MII ≤ 0.367 group, it indicated that the P/MII > 0.367 group had a lower clinical pregnancy rate and live birth rate, furthermore, a significantly higher rate of LBW and SGA were observed in the singleton and twin deliveries. No deleterious impact of high P/MII ratio on embryo quality and undesirable pregnancy outcomes was shown.

CONCLUSIONS

When P/MII is higher than 0.367, may have adverse impacts on pregnancy and neonatal outcomes for ICSI cycle.

Prediction of oocyte maturation rate in the GnRH antagonist flexible IVF protocol using a novel machine learning algorithm - A retrospective study

Oocyte maturation is affected by various patient and cycle parameters and has a key effect on treatment outcome. A prediction model for oocyte maturation rate formulated by using machine learning and neural network algorithms has not yet been described. A retrospective cohort study that included all women aged ≤ 38 years who underwent their first IVF treatment using a flexible GnRH antagonist protocol in a single tertiary hospital between 2010 and 2015. 462 patients met the inclusion criteria. Median maturation rate was approximately 80%. Baseline characteristics and treatment parameters of cycles with high oocyte maturation rate (≥80%, n = 236) were compared to cycles with low oocyte maturation rate (<80%, n = 226). We used an XGBoost algorithm that fits the training data using decision trees and rates factors according to their influence on the prediction. For the machine training phase, 80% of the cohort was randomly selected, while rest of the samples were used to evaluate our model's accuracy. We demonstrated an accuracy rate of 75% in predicting high oocyte maturation rate in GnRH antagonist cycles. Our model showed an operating characteristic curve with AUC of 0.78 (95% CI 0.73-0.82). The most predictive parameters were peak estradiol level on trigger day, estradiol level on antagonist initiation day, average dose of gonadotropins per day and progesterone level on trigger day. A state-of-the-art machine learning algorithm presented promising ability to predict oocyte maturation rate in the first GnRH antagonist flexible protocol using simple parameters before final trigger for ovulation. A prospective study to evaluate this model is needed.

Independent value of PMOI on hCG day in predicting pregnancy outcomes in IVF/ICSI cycles

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to determine whether, on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) injection, the progesterone to number of mature oocytes index (PMOI) can be used alone or together with other parameters in a fresh embryo transfer in vitro fertilization (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) cycle to predict pregnancy outcome.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of all couples who underwent a clinical pregnancy and received a fresh IVE/ICSI cycle at a single large reproductive medical center between June 2019 and March 2022. The study involved a total of 1239 cycles. To analyze risk factors associated with pregnancy outcomes on the day of HCG injection, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used. The area under the curve (AUC) was determined, and PMOI and other factors were compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

The clinical pregnancy rate was significantly higher in group A (60.76%) than in the other groups (Group B: 52.92% and Group C:47.88%, respectively, p =0.0306). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression revealed that PMOI levels were significantly correlated with the probability of pregnancy outcome, independent of other risk factors. More importantly, PMOI levels independently predict the occurrence of pregnancy outcome, comparable to the model combining age. The optimal serum PMOI cutoff value for pregnancy outcome was 0.063 ug/L.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that PMOI levels have an independent predictive value for pregnancy outcome in fresh IVF/ICSI cycles.

Slightly Elevated Progesterone on HCG Trigger Day Has an Impact on Pregnancy Outcomes of Fresh Single Blastocyst Transfer Cycles Under an Early Follicular Phase Prolonged Protocol Cycle

Background

The effect of premature progesterone elevation on assisted reproductive technology has been debated. In different ovarian stimulation protocols, ovarian responses, and embryos transferred, conflicting results reside regarding the impact of elevated progesterone on pregnancy outcomes, according to previous studies. In addition, most studies have focused on significantly elevated progesterone levels, eg, above 1.5ng/mL, 1.75ng/mL, 2ng/mL. However, studies focusing on levels that are just slightly elevated are lacking, and some have concluded that such levels have no adverse effects on pregnancy outcomes.

Methods

Clinical data of patients who underwent early follicular phase prolonged protocol cycle in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection treatment were collected. Patients were divided into two groups according to progesterone level on the trigger day of human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG): Group 1: < 1.0ng/mL and Group 2: 1.0-1.5ng/mL. Differences in baseline characteristics, ovulation promotion, and embryo culture, along with clinical pregnancy outcomes, were compared between the two cohorts.

Results

A total of 743 participants were included in this study, of which 587 were included in Group 1 and 156 were included in Group 2. In terms of pregnancy outcomes, Group 2 had a significantly lower clinical pregnancy rate and live birth rate per cycle than Group 1 (64.1% vs 75.7%, p < 0.05; 63.5% vs 72.7%, p < 0.05). After correction for maternal age, maternal body mass index, infertility duration, basal follicle-stimulating hormone, anti-Müllerian hormone, antral follicle count, total dose of gonadotropin, days of stimulation, and estradiol level on HCG trigger day, slightly elevated progesterone levels (P > 1.0ng/mL) remained a risk factor for pregnancy failure in fresh single D5 blastocyst transfer under an early follicular phase prolonged protocol cycle.

Conclusion

Slightly elevated progesterone levels on HCG trigger day may negatively affect pregnancy outcomes in early follicular phase prolonged protocol cycles.

Clinical pregnancy outcomes prediction in vitro fertilization women based on random forest prediction model: A nested case-control study

The present study aimed to analyze the risk factors influencing the in vitro fertilization embryo transfer (IVF-ET) pregnancy and to construct a prediction model for clinical pregnancy outcome in patients receiving IVF-ET based on the predictors. In this nested case-control study, the data of 369 women receiving IVF-ET were enrolled. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify the potential predictors. Ten-fold cross validation method was used to validate the random forest model for predicting the clinical pregnancy. The receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn to evaluate the prediction ability of the model. The importance of variables was shown according to Mean Decrease Gini. The data delineated that age (odds ratio [OR]= 1.093, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.036-1.156, P = .0010), body mass index (BMI) (OR = 1.094, 95%CI: 1.021-1.176, P = .012), 3 cycles (OR = 0.144, 95%CI: 0.028-0.534, P = .008), hematocrit (HCT) (OR = 0.865, 95% CI: 0.791-0.943, P = .001), luteinizing hormone (LH) (OR = 0.678, 95%CI: 0.549-0.823, P < .001), progesterone (P) (OR = 2.126, 95%CI: 1.112-4.141, P = .024), endometrial thickness (OR = 0.132, 95%CI: 0.034-0.496, P = .003) and FSH (OR = 1.151, 95%CI: 1.043-1.275, P = .006) were predictors associated with the clinical pregnancy outcome of patients receiving IVF-ET. The results might provide a novel method to identify patients receiving IVF-ET with a high risk of poor pregnancy outcomes and provide interventions in those patients to prevent the occurrence of poor pregnancy outcomes.

The effect of the ratio of serum progesterone level to oocyte count on the day of IVF-ICSI injection on pregnancy outcomes in HCG cycles

BACKGROUND

There has been several discussion and debates regarding the possible setremental influence of elevated serum progesterone (SP) on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) administration. Our study aims to assess progestron to oocyte rates for assessing CPR and live birth rate (LBR) in IVF cycles and review previous articles.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, women under ovulation induction through IVF-ICSI using the GnRH-antagonist protocol were studied. Five specific indicators were considered to assess pregnancy outcome. The statistical analysis was done using SPSS software.

RESULTS

In the present research, 78 patients underwent IVF. The cut-off points for each of the three parameters were 1.2 (with a sensitivity of 65.4% and a specificity of 54%), 6.5 (with a sensitivity of 73.1% and a specificity of 56%), and 0.16 (with a sensitivity of 65.4% and a specificity of 60%, respectively). Only the number of oocytes (area below the curve of 0.64) was able to predict clinical pregnancy. The cut-off point for this parameter was 6.5 (with a sensitivity of 74.1% and a specificity of 66%). On the other hand, none of the parameters were able to predict live birth.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study should assist in the clinical management of patients with high SP on the day of HCG administration. We recommend, that the ratio of SP to oocyte is a useful parameter for refining the criteria of patients who have had embryo freezing of all embryos (by selective freezing) and subsequent transfer of frozen embryos.

Letrozole Supplementation and the Increased Risk of Elevated Progesterone Levels on Trigger Day

Although using letrozole (LE) during in vitro fertilisation and intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI) has many advantages, it remains unclear whether LE induces an increase in progestogen during the late follicular phase. The objective of this study was to investigate whether progesterone levels increased under antagonist protocols supplemented with LE on the trigger day using a retrospective cohort study. The study included 1,133 women who underwent IVF/ICSI cycles from January 2018 to June 2020. After propensity score matching (PSM) for baseline characteristics, 266 patients with gonadotropin-releasing hormone-antagonist (GnRH-ant) were matched to 266 patients with letrozole + GnRH-ant (LE GnRH-ant) (PSM 1 cohort), and 283 patients with gonadotropin-releasing hormone-agonist (GnRH-a) were matched to 283 patients with LE GnRH-ant (PSM 2 cohort). In the PSM 1 cohort, patients in the LE GnRH-a group presented higher progesterone levels (1.22 ± 0.95 ng/mL vs 0.86 ± 0.60 ng/mL, P < 0.001), with a higher proportion of patients with progesterone level > 1.5 ng/mL (24.81% vs 7.52%, P < 0.001). In PSM 2 cohort, patients in the LE GnRH-a group presented higher progesterone levels on trigger day (1.23 ± 0.91 ng/mL vs 0.98 ± 0.61 ng/mL, P < 0.001), with a higher proportion of patients with progesterone level > 1.5 ng/mL (25.45% vs 12.70%, P < 0.001). In the PSM 1 cohort, progesterone levels on the trigger day increased by 0.05 ng/mL, with an increase in every retrieved oocyte in the LE GnRH-ant group (β 0.05 ng/mL [95% CI 0.04, 0.06], P < 0.001), whereas an increase of 0.02 ng/mL was observed in the GnRH-ant group (β 0.02 ng/mL [95% CI 0.01, 0.03], P < 0.001), with P for interaction being 0.0018. In the PSM 2 cohort, progesterone levels on the trigger day increased by 0.05 ng/mL with an increase in every retrieved oocyte in the LE GnRH-ant group (β 0.05 ng/mL [95% CI 0.04, 0.06], P < 0.001), whereas an increase of 0.02 ng/mL was observed in the GnRH-a group (β 0.02 ng/mL [95% CI 0.01, 0.03], P < 0.001), with P for interaction being 0.0002. LE supplementation on the antagonist protocols may increase progesterone levels in the late follicular stage.

The efficiency of progesterone/estradiol and progesterone/follicle ratio without elevated trigger-day progesterone levels on the reproductive outcomes of GnRH antagonist IVF/ICSI cycles

AIM

To assess the predictive value of serum progesterone/estradiol (P/E₂) and serum progesterone/follicle (P/F) ratios on the reproductive outcomes of women without elevated trigger-day progesterone levels undergoing GnRH-antagonist IVF (in vitro fertilization)/ICSI (intracytoplasmic sperm injection) cycles.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study in a university teaching hospital conducted between January 2017 and December 2019. Couples who underwent assisted reproduction cycles were evaluated. Initially, 978 cycles were evaluated and only GnRH antagonist cycles (n = 505) without elevated trigger-day progesterone levels were analyzed after respecting exclusion criteria.

RESULTS

A total of 505 cycles were analyzed after the exclusion criteria were met. The clinical pregnancy rate, ongoing pregnancy rate, and live birth rate were 45.5%, 30.9%, and 27.8%, respectively. Cutoff values of P/E₂ and P/F ratios that were discriminative for achieving or not achieving clinical pregnancy were 0.36 and 0.17, respectively. The clinical pregnancy rates were found to be significantly different between below and above P/E₂ cutoff values (49.8% vs. 40.1%, respectively, p = .031), while there were no significant differences between below and above P/F cutoff values regarding the pregnancy outcomes.

CONCLUSION

The P/E₂ and P/F ratios were found to be more efficient and reliable markers than serum progesterone level alone in predicting the reproductive outcomes of assisted reproduction cycles without a premature rise in serum progesterone levels. A P/E₂ ratio ≤0.36 and a P/F ratio ≤0.17 significantly improved the cycle outcomes.

Elevated serum progesterone does not impact euploidy rates in PGT-A patients

PURPOSE

Some women undergoing stimulated cycles have elevated serum progesterone (P) on the day of ovulation trigger, but its effect on embryo quality is unclear. We analyze embryo quality among patients with high and low serum P undergoing preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy (PGT-A).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 1597 patients divided into two groups by serum P values: < 1.5 ng/mL or ≥ 1.5 ng/mL. A gonadotrophin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist protocol was established for each patient. Serum P levels were measured on the day of triggering. Propensity score matching and Poisson regression were done. Age, body mass index, and ovarian sensitivity index were also compared.

RESULTS

Elevated serum P was not significantly associated with euploid embryo rate or other embryo-quality variables evaluated in our study. Age was the only variable associated with euploidy rate (per MII oocyte, P < 0.001; per biopsied embryo, P = 0.008), embryo biopsy rate (P < 0.001), absolute number of euploid embryos (P = 0.008), and top-quality embryo rate (P = 0.008). Categorical variables decreased in value for every year of increased age in patients with high serum P.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated serum P did not affect the number of euploid and good-quality embryos for transfer in GnRH antagonist intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) cycles. Contrary to the clear influence of premature P elevation on endometrial receptivity based on literature, our results may help to tip the balance towards the absence of a negative effect of P elevation on embryo competence. More studies are needed to fully understand the effect of P elevation on reproductive outcomes.

Progesterone levels on the human chorionic gonadotropin trigger day affect the pregnancy rates for embryos transferred at different stages of development in both general and selected IVF/ICSI populations

BACKGROUND

Two meta-analyses have shown that pregnancy and birth rates are significantly higher after blastocyst transfer than after cleaved embryo transfer. Other studies have revealed that a serum progesterone level > 1.5 ng/ml on the trigger day is responsible for premature luteinization and is associated with a low pregnancy rate. The objectives of this retrospective study were to determine whether blastocyst transfer gave higher pregnancy rates than cleaved embryo transfer at day 3 in both the general and selected IVF/ICSI populations, and whether the serum progesterone level influenced the pregnancy rate.

METHOD

We studied IVF/ICSI cycles with GnRH antagonist - FSH/hMG protocols in a general population (n = 1210) and a selected "top cycle" population (n = 677), after blastocyst transfer on day 5 or cleaved embryo transfer on day 3. The selected couples had to meet the following criteria: female age < 35, first or second cycle, and one or two embryos transferred. We recorded predictive factors for pregnancy and calculated the progesterone to oocyte index (POI), the progesterone:estradiol ratio (P:E2 ratio), and the progesterone to follicle (> 14 mm) index (PFI).

RESULTS

In the general population, the clinical pregnancy rate was significantly higher after blastocyst transfer (33.3%) than after cleaved embryo transfer (25.3%; p <  0.01); the same was true for the birth rate (32.1 and 22.8%, respectively, p <  0.01). The differences between blastocyst and embryo transfer groups were not significant in the selected population (respectively 35.7% vs. 35.8% for the clinical pregnancy rate, and 33.9 and 34.9% for the birth rate). The serum progesterone levels on the eve of the trigger day and on the day itself were significantly lower in the pregnant women (p <  0.01). We found a serum progesterone threshold of 0.9 ng/ml, as also reported by other researchers. The POI and the PFI appear to have predictive value for cleaved embryos transfers.

CONCLUSIONS

Blastocyst transfers were associated with higher clinical pregnancy and birth rates than cleaved embryo transfers in a general population but not in a selected population. The serum progesterone levels on the eve of the trigger day and on the day itself predicted the likelihood of pregnancy.

The value of serum progesterone level on day of human chorionic gonadotrophin administration / metaphase II oocyte ratio in predicting IVF/ICSI outcome in patients with normal ovarian reserve

Background

The clinical implication of the increased serum progesterone level on the day of HCG administration in assisted reproduction treatment (ART) is still controversial. The current study aimed to compare the predictive value of serum progesterone on day of HCG administration / metaphase II oocyte (P/MII) ratio on IVF/ ICSI outcome to serum progesterone (P) level alone and the ratio of serum progesterone/estradiol level (P/E2) ratio in prediction of pregnancy rates after ART.

Material & methods

Two hundred patients admitted to the IVF/ICSI program at Minia IVF center in Egypt in the period from October 2016 to May 2018 were included in this study. Serum Progesterone (P) and Estradiol (E2) levels were estimated on the day of HCG administration. The ratio between serum P and the number of MII oocytes (P/MII ratio) was calculated and the predictive values of the three parameters (P, P/E2 ratio and P/MII ratio) in prediction of cycle outcomes were measured.

Results

P/ MII oocyte ratio was significantly lower in patients who attained clinical pregnancy (n = 97) as compared with those who couldn’t whilst there was no significant difference in P and P/E2 ratio between the two groups. Using a cut off value of 0.125, the sensitivity and specificity of progesterone/ MII ratio in prediction of no pregnancy in IVF/ICSI were 75.7 and 77.1% respectively with the area under The Receiver operating curve (ROC-AUC) = 0.808. The respective values of the ROC-AUC for the P and P/E2 ratio were 0.651 and 0.712 with sensitivity and specificity of 71.2 and 73.5%for P level and of 72.5 and 75.3% for P/E2 ratio. Implantation or clinical pregnancy rates were significantly different between patients with high and low P/MII ratio irrespective of day of embryo transfer (day 3 or 5).

Conclusions

In patients with normal ovarian response, serum progesterone on day of HCG / MII oocyte ratio can be a useful predictor of pregnancy outcomes and in deciding on freezing of all embryos for later transfer instead of high progesterone level alone.

Comparison of the predictive value of progesterone-related indicators for pregnancy outcomes of women undergoing the short-acting GnRH agonist long protocol: a retrospective study

Background

There are many progesterone (P) elevation-related indicators for predicting pregnancy outcomes, including the serum P, P-to-oestradiol ratio (P/E₂), P-to-follicle index (PFI), and P-to-mature oocyte index (PMOI); however, due to inconsistencies in study populations and controlled ovarian hyperstimulation (COH) protocols among studies, these indicators are controversial. Moreover, no researchers have included these four commonly used indicators in one study to compare their predictive efficacies. The objective of this study was to compare the predictive value of P-related indicators for pregnancy outcomes of women undergoing the short-acting GnRH agonist long protocol.

Methods

A total of 612 infertile women undergoing IVF/ICSI were recruited for this study. Serum samples were obtained on the morning of HCG injection for serum P and E₂ measurements. Transvaginal ultrasound was performed to determine the follicle count (≥ 14 mm in diameter). The number of mature oocytes was observed in the embryo laboratory after oocyte retrieval.

Results

In cases of P < 2.5 ng/ml, there was no significant difference in the serum P level or P/E₂ between the pregnant group and the non-pregnant group. The PFI and PMOI of the pregnant group were significantly lower than those of the non-pregnant group. According to the stratified analysis of the ovarian response, only the PMI and PMOI of the pregnant women in the normal ovarian response group were lower than those of the non-pregnant women. To compare the predictive value of the PFI and PMOI in IVF/ICSI outcomes, the patients were divided into four groups. The good-quality embryo rate and clinical pregnancy rate were highest in Group A (low PFI and low PMOI) and lowest in Group D (high PFI and high PMOI). In the two groups with discordant PFI and PMOI, namely Group B (low PFI and high PMOI) and Group C (high PFI and low PMOI), the good-quality embryo rate and clinical pregnancy rate were not significantly different.

Conclusions

The PFI and PMOI had equal value in predicting clinical pregnancy outcomes in the normal ovarian response group undergoing the short-acting GnRH agonist long protocol. Each clinical centre can choose one of the indicators according to their actual situation in clinical practice and establish individual cut-off values for PFI and PMOI based on their own hormonal measurements.

Induction of autophagy by Beclin-1 in granulosa cells contributes to follicular progesterone elevation in ovarian endometriosis

Endometriosis is a common gynecological disease in which ovarian dysfunction can be an important cause of infertility. Elevated progesterone (P4) levels during the follicular phase is possibly associated with impaired oocyte quality and pregnancy outcome in endometriosis. Beclin-1 (BECN1), an essential mediator of autophagy, has been shown to be related to the development and progression of endometriosis. This study aimed to investigate the autophagic activity in ovarian granulosa cells (GCs) of patients with endometriosis and to clarify the role of BECN1 in preovulatory P4 elevation. Our results demonstrated that serum P4/estradiol (E2) ratio and P4-to-follicle index (the average P4 secretion per follicle) on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin administration were elevated in women with ovarian endometriosis. Increased expression of BECN1 and enhanced autophagy were observed in GCs of patients with ovarian endometriomas. In cultured GCs, BECN1 knockdown reduced P4 secretion and the expression of key steroidogenic enzymes; whereas overexpression of BECN1 resulted in induced P4 production with activated biosynthesis pathway. Moreover, inhibition of autophagy by BECN1 knockdown significantly attenuated low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-induced P4 synthesis. These findings provide new insights into the role of BECN1 in late follicular P4 elevation in patients with endometriosis by promoting the degradation pathway of LDL for P4 biosynthesis via lysosome activation in GCs, and have potential therapeutic implications for the improvement of oocyte quality in women affected by endometriosis.

Response to ovulation trigger is correlated to late follicular phase progesterone levels: A hypothesis explaining reduced reproductive outcomes caused by increased late follicular progesterone rise

STUDY QUESTION

Is there an association between progesterone (P4) levels on the day of hCG or GnRH trigger and on the day of oocyte retrieval in IVF/ICSI cycles?

SUMMARY ANSWER

A significant positive correlation between P4 levels on the day of trigger and the day of oocyte retrieval is seen; HCG trigger induces a steeper P4 increase than GnRHa trigger.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

FSH induces LH receptor (LHR) expression on granulosa cells, and LHR produces progesterone when exposed to LH-like activity. FSH per se also to some extent induces P4 secretion. Late follicular phase progesterone rise has been associated with reduced reproductive outcomes.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

This study is based on data from a previously published RCT conducted from 2009 to 2011.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

A total of 384 participants were enrolled; 199 received 5000 IU hCG and 185 received buserelin 0.5 mg for triggering ovulation. P4 was measured on the day of ovulation induction and on the day of oocyte retrieval. FSH consumption and number of retrieved follicles were recorded.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

A significant linear relationship between P4 on the day of ovulation induction and oocyte retrieval was seen in the hCG trigger group (P < 0.00001) as well as in the GnRHa trigger group (P < 0.00001). The P4 ratio (the increase in P4 between ovulation induction and oocyte retrieval) was significantly higher in the group of patients with <5 follicles compared to those with 5-15 and >15 follicles (P < 0.0001). The FSH consumption per follicle was significantly higher in the group of patients with <5 follicles compared to those with 5-15 and >15 follicles (P < 0.0001).

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

Although the study demonstrates a significant correlation between P4 levels before and after ovulation trigger, it does not demonstrate a causal relation to the number of LHRs present on granulosa cells.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

The findings of this study support the proposed hypothesis that follicles exposed to high levels of FSH during ovarian stimulation will respond with an inappropriately high LHR expression. This in turn causes a high P4 output in response to the trigger. This study further expands our understanding of the underlying mechanisms affecting reproductive outcomes in relation to ovarian stimulation.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

The authors received no specific funding for this work and disclose no conflicts of interest.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.

The entire range of trigger-day endometrial thickness in fresh IVF cycles is independently correlated with live birth rate

RESEARCH QUESTION

What is the association of the entire range of trigger-day endometrial thickness (EMT) with live birth rate (LBR) after IVF and fresh embryo transfer? Although EMT is amenable to convenient non-invasive routine measurement, studies of the association between pre-trigger EMT and assisted reproductive technology outcome have yielded equivocal results.

DESIGN

A cohort of IVF fresh day-3 embryo transfers in patients aged 42 years and younger in a single centre between 2009 and 2017. The LBR was calculated for all trigger-day EMT values, stratified into five groups overall and within subgroups of patient age and ovarian response. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression models were used to compare the LBRs at different EMT measurements adjusting for various independent variables.

RESULTS

A total of 5133 cycles were included. The LBRs were as follows: 11.22% (35/312) in cycles with EMT 6 mm or less, 17.98% (380/2114) in cycles with EMT 7-9 mm, 23.44% (476/2031) in cycles with EMT 10-12 mm, 25.62% (144/562) in cycles with EMT 13-15 mm and 34.21% (39/114) in cycles with EMT 16 mm or more (P < 0.001). Similar findings were observed by patient age and ovarian response. The observation was confirmed by multivariate logistic regression analysis in which the EMT was found to be a significant independent predictor of LBR even after controlling for various confounders (OR 0.935, 95% CI 0.908 to 0.962; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-trigger EMT is in significant independent correlation with LBR, even after adjusting for age and ovarian response. Maximal endometrial proliferation is beneficial, and fresh embryo transfer can be carried out at high EMT values without endangering the outcome of the cycle.

Progesterone Elevation and Preventive Strategies to Avoid Implantation Failure

Despite the wide utilization of gonadotropin-releasing hormone analogs, progesterone elevation (P₄E) in the late follicular phase occurs in 5 to 30% of all ovarian stimulation (OS) cycles. Although the detrimental effect of P₄E on pregnancy rates in fresh in vitro fertilization cycles is valid in all subsets of cases, higher levels of P₄ and a longer duration of P₄E may be needed in patients with a hyper-ovarian response in order for a negative impact on pregnancy rates to occur. Available preclinical and clinical data suggest that aggressive OS with high doses of follicle-stimulating hormone might increase 3β-hydroxy steroid dehydrogenase and 17β-hydroxy steroid dehydrogenase enzyme activity in human granulosa cells, which leads to high P₄ production and hence a higher amount of leakage to the systemic circulation due to a lack of 17α-hydroxylase enzyme expression in human species. High P₄ concentrations appear to alter gene expression in the endometrium; however, caution is necessary regarding its potential effect on oocyte/embryo quality with respect to the role of inherent follicular disruption in some women. In terms of the mechanism of overproduction in P₄ synthesis, the main preventive strategy should be avoiding aggressive stimulation. Unfortunately, there is lack of large-scale randomized controlled trials for other approaches, including deferred embryo transfer in the thaw cycle. Since there is a significant inter-assay variability for P₄ measurement, it may be wise to recommend that every center should define their own P₄E and the level needed for harm to occur based on their own assays and datasets before deciding the best approach.

Effects of progesterone variation on IVF Progesterone variation during controlled ovarian stimulation: effects on in vitro results

The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of the progesterone variation (PV) between early progesterone and preovulatory progesterone on pregnancy rate (PR), number of oocytes, and embryo quality. Three hundred and thirty-eight cycles of in vitro fertilisation were included and progesterone was measured on 5th day of stimulation GnRH as well as on the day of induction of ovulation. Fresh embryo transfer (ET) on the second-third day after follicular puncture was made in 152/338 cycles, with positive pregnancies in 61/152 (40%). In the cycles in which ET was cancelled (186/338) higher levels of estradiol and P2 were detected, as well as greater PV and number of oocytes obtained than those made in with fresh transfer. A greater PV was not associated with a worse clinical PR but with a minor embryo quality in the group of 35-37 years old patients.Impact StatementWhat is already known on this subject? Preovulatory progesterone (P2) elevation has been linked to worse results in IVF cycles. It has also been described been reported that there is a lower pregnancy rate (PR) in patients with high progesterone in the early follicular phase (P1). In our study, we measured P1 and P2 to evaluate the possible repercussion of progesterone variation (PV) (ratio of P2 to P1) on PR, a variable that has not previously been analysed.What do the results of this study add? Negative correlation between preovulatory progesterone and embryo quality was found, according to the literature. In the present study, a negative significant correlation between PV and embryo quality was also found, however, only in the group of 35-37 years old women.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? This could indicate that a rapid increase in progesterone levels after the early follicular phase is related to a lower quality of the obtained embryos, although further studies are required to achieve greater statistical significance.

Revisiting debates of premature luteinization and its effect on assisted reproductive technology outcome

The impact of the prematurely elevated serum progesterone on the late follicular phase, commonly known as premature luteinization (PL), is a matter of continuing debate. Available evidence supports that serum progesterone ≥ 1.5 ng/ml on the day of ovulation triggering could reduce the pregnancy potential in fresh in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles by jeopardizing endometrial receptivity. Causes of PL during ovarian stimulation are unclear. Recent studies point toward the daily follicle-stimulating hormone dosage, duration of controlled ovarian stimulation, number of oocytes retrieved, and peak estradiol level as factors affecting the incidence of PL. Emerging data show additional influence on embryo quality. The prevention of PL has been challenging. The key elements in preventing PL include individualization of ovarian stimulation according to patient's ovarian reserve, proper ovulation trigger timing, and use of medications such as corticosteroids and metformin. Embryo cryopreservation with deferred embryo transfer is the established strategy to overcome PL, yet it is an extra burden to the IVF laboratory and increased cost for patients. Herein, we review the up-to-date knowledge of this frequent IVF problem including causes, proposed diagnostic criteria, and its impact on endometrial receptivity, embryo quality, and pregnancy outcomes. The preventive measures and rescue strategies are also discussed.

Both high and low HCG day progesterone concentrations negatively affect live birth rates in IVF/ICSI cycles

RESEARCH QUESTION

Can previous reports of a decreased probability of success in stimulated IVF cycles with premature rise of progesterone, as determined by progesterone concentration on HCG day (PHCG), be confirmed?

DESIGN

Retrospective, observational, single-centre cohort study conducted on 5447 IVF and intracytoplasmic (ICSI) cycles carried out among 2192 patients between 2009 and 2015, with conventional ovarian stimulation. This large database was used to develop a non-linear mixed prognosis model of live birth rate (LBR) incorporating PHCG as a predictor.

RESULTS

In addition to known predictors (age, body mass index, anti-Müllerian hormone, type of infertility), PHCG was associated with a linear effect (OR 0.78 per Log[PHCG]ng/ml, 95% CI 0.611 to 0.997, P = 0.047) combined with a strong quadratic effect (OR 0.585 per Log²(PHCG)ng/ml, 95% CI 0.444 to 0.775, P < 0.001) resulting into a parabolic reverse-U curve. A significant interaction (P = 0.038) was found between PHCG and number of oocytes if three or less, but the effect of PHCG remains modest. For higher oocyte numbers, LBR rapidly increases with number of retrieved oocytes; however, LBR becomes more sensitive to PHCG as the number of oocytes increases. Higher live birth prognoses occur for optimal PHCG but are sharply reduced for lower or higher PHCG.

CONCLUSIONS

Evidence is provided of an important negative effect of PHCG at lower and higher values, independent of oocyte number, thus defining appropriate ranges for fresh embryo transfer or freeze-all strategy. In poor responders, premature progesterone rise may be ignored, thus avoiding unnecessary cancellations or embryo freezing. Conversely, in higher responders, the negative effect of progesterone elevation is more pronounced, suggesting that freeze-all policy should be applied more widely.

The role of progesterone/estradiol ratio in exploring the mechanism of late follicular progesterone elevation in low ovarian reserve women

Late follicular progesterone (P) elevation continues to complicate a significant part of assisted reproductive technologies (ART) cycles, despite the ardent employment of gonadotropin releasing hormone (GnRH) analogues. In women with good ovarian reserve, late follicular P elevation is believed to be the result of the controlled ovarian stimulation (COS) itself, multiple follicular development and excessive ovarian steroidogenic activity. These mechanisms do not seem to be plausible in women with low ovarian reserve. In these women, excessive COS achieve a small number of pre-ovulatory follicles, which is not coupled to considerable ovarian steroidogenic activity. Therefore, other mechanisms should be pursued and explored. Delicate paracrine and autocrine mechanisms within the oocyte-cumulus complex were suggested to preserve the integrity of the pre-ovulatory follicle, including inhibition of P increase and follicular luteinization. However, clinical studies to demonstrate the disruption of these mechanisms in cases with low ovarian reserve and ageing oocytes are still lacking. Late follicular progesterone/estradiol (P/E₂) ratio was introduced into clinical practice as a more appropriate way to analyze P rise in women undergoing COS to control for the E₂ increase. The current hypothesis claims that in a follicular environment were the mechanism that prevent premature luteinization is disrupted, independent to LH surge; P rise at the late follicular phase may relatively bypass normal E₂ production, at the pre-ovulatory stage of steroidogenesis, causing a rise in the P/E₂ ratio. Therefore, in women with low ovarian reserve and few pre-ovulatory follicles, undergoing conventional COS, a negative (reverse) correlation between number of maturing follicles and P/E₂ ratio may support the existence of such a mechanism as its disruption, while a no or a positive correlation may disapprove it.

Association between progesterone to number of mature oocytes index and live birth in GnRH antagonist protocols

RESEARCH QUESTION

What is the association between blood progesterone level alone, progesterone to mature oocytes index (PMOI) and IVF outcomes?

DESIGN

Clinical data from 960 couples undergoing their first fresh embryo transfer after an intracytoplasmic sperm injection attempt carried out between September 2012 and July 2017 were analysed. All patients underwent ovarian stimulation combining recombinant FSH and gonadotrophin releasing hormone antagonist. Progesterone was measured on the day on which ovulation was triggered. The PMOI was divided into four groups based on 25th, 50th and 75th percentiles, and live birth and implantation rates were compared between the groups.

RESULTS

A negative association was found between PMOI levels, live birth and implantation rates. When adjusting for age, ovarian stimulation index (OSI) and number of embryos transferred, the PMOI remained negatively correlated to live birth rate (LBR) (OR = 0.147 [0.031 to 0.701]; P = 0.0161), whereas total blood progesterone was no longer evident. Moreover, the LBR (18.5% versus 28.4%; P < 0.01) and implantation rate (12.4% versus 21.0%; P < 0.01) were significantly decreased only when PMOI was 0.167 ng/ml or greater, irrespective of progesterone concentration (< or ≥1.08 ng/ml). The opposite was not true, however. Similar PMOIs were recorded in the same patient from one attempt to the next, and were partially linked to basal FSH, anti-Müllerian hormone, antral follicle count and OSI.

CONCLUSIONS

PMOI seems to be more predictive than total progesterone level of IVF outcome and reflects the ability of embryos to develop as it is linked to the implantation rate.

Evaluating the benefit of measuring serum progesterone prior to the administration of HCG: effect of the duration of late-follicular elevated progesterone following ovarian stimulation on fresh embryo transfer live birth rates

RESEARCH QUESTION

Progesterone overproduction during ovarian stimulation is associated with lower live birth rates (LBR) after fresh embryo transfer. Therefore, circulating P concentrations on the day of HCG administration are frequently measured in clinical practice and followed by an elective cryopreservation strategy whenever late-follicular elevated P (LFEP) occurs. A recent study concluded that the duration of LFEP >1.00 ng/mL prior to HCG administration may also affect clinical pregnancy rates. The objective of this current study was to assess whether this hypothesis was reproducible using LBR as the primary outcome.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis including women undergoing IVF/ICSI between 2010-2015. LBR were compared among different P elevation duration subgroups (0, 1 or >1 day) using two LFEP thresholds (>1.00 ng/mL and >1.50 ng/mL).

RESULTS

The duration of LFEP >1.00 ng/mL was not associated with a significant decrease in LBR according to whether the patient had LFEP lasting for 0, 1 or >1 days (29.9%, 30.3% and 26.3%, respectively). Conversely, when using >1.50 ng/mL as the LFEP threshold, LBR decreased significantly (30.3% 20.4% and 20.5%, respectively). However, the relative frequency of having LFEP >1.50 ng/mL for >1 day was exceedingly rare (1.9%) and the additional benefit of evaluating LFEP beyond the day of HCG triggering no longer remained statistically significant after confounder-adjustment with multivariable regression analysis.

CONCLUSION

These results suggest a lack of benefit in measuring serum P in the days preceding HCG administration, since LBR in women with LFEP >1 day do not vary significantly from those with LFEP detected only on the day of HCG administration.

Association of progesterone production with serum anti-Müllerian hormone levels in assisted reproductive technology cycles with corifollitropin alfa

The use of corifollitropin alfa (CA) in assisted reproductive technology (ART) cycles is dependent on the antral follicle count and body weight of patients. The present study investigated the safety and efficacy of using 100μg of CA in predicted excessive responders based on serum anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH) level. The results of 381 ART cycles stimulated by CA versus daily recombinant follicle-stimulation hormone (rFSH) in patients with low (<1.0 ng/mL; n = 38 vs. n = 90), moderate (1.0–3.36 ng/mL; n = 38 vs. n = 95), and high (> 3.36 ng/mL; n = 48 vs. n = 72) serum AMH levels, were analyzed. Pregnancy and live birth rates did not significantly differ between CA and daily rFSH groups. In the patients with high AMH levels, serum progesterone (P4) levels on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) injection were significantly lower in the CA group than in the rFSH group (0.93 ± 0.55 vs. 1.16 ± 0.64 ng/mL). Furthermore, serum P4 levels on the day of hCG injection were negatively correlated with baseline AMH levels in the CA group, but not in the rFSH group, in the patients with high AMH levels. In conclusion, the use of 100 μg of CA in patients with high AMH levels is safe and effective and is associated with a lower P4 level on the day of hCG injection compared with the use of daily rFSH.

Does progesterone to oocyte index have a predictive value for IVF outcome? A retrospective cohort and review of the literature

The potential adverse effect of Serum progesterone (SP) elevation on the day of hCG administration is a matter of continued debate. Our study aimed to evaluate the relative value of progesterone to a number of aspirated oocytes ratio (POI) to predict clinical pregnancy (CP) and live birth (LB) in fresh IVF cycles and to review the relevant literature. A retrospective analysis of GnRH Antagonist IVF-ET cycles. POI was calculated by dividing the SP on the day of hCG by the number of aspirated mature oocytes. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the predictive value of POI for CP and LB. Cycle outcome parameters included clinical pregnancy, live-birth and miscarriage. A total of 2,693 IVF/ICSI cycles were analyzed. POI was inversely associated with CP adjusted OR 0.063 (95% CI 0.016-0.249, p < .001) and with LB adjusted OR 0.036 (95% CI 0.007-0.199, p < .001). For prediction of LB, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.68 (95% CI 0.64-0.71, p < .001) for the POI model. POI above the 90th percentile with a value of 0.36 ng/mL/oocyte results in CP and LB rates of 8.0 and 5.9%, respectively. POI is a simple index for the prediction of IVF-ET cycle outcomes, it can advocate a limit above which embryo transfer should be reconsidered.

Adverse effect of prematurely elevated progesterone in in vitro fertilization cycles: a literature review

Premature progesterone (P) elevation was commonly seen in IVF prior to the utilization of GnRH analogues for suppression of endogenous gonadotropin release. The cause and effect of premature P elevation has finally been better elucidated in the past decade. Although still occurring in 5-38% of all IVF cycles, the adverse effects of premature P elevation on pregnancy outcomes are now well known.

Efficacy of luteal estrogen administration and an early follicular Gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist priming protocol in poor responders undergoing in vitro fertilization

Objectives

We investigated whether luteal estrogen administration and an early follicular Gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist (E/G-ant) priming protocol improves clinical outcomes in poor responders to controlled ovarian stimulation for in vitro fertilization (IVF)-embryo transfer, and identified underlying mechanisms.

Methods

This restrospective study consisted of 65 poor responders who underwent the E/G-ant priming protocol. Sixty-four other poor responders undergoing conventional protocols without pretreatment were included as the control group. Clinical outcomes were compared between 2 groups.

Results

The E/G-ant priming protocol group exhibited improvements over the control group in terms of the number of retrieved oocytes (3.58±2.24 vs. 1.70±1.45; P=0.000), mature oocytes (2.68±2.11 vs. 1.65±1.23; P=0.000), fertilized oocytes (2.25±1.74 vs. 1.32±1.26; P=0.001), good embryos (1.62±0.91 vs. 1.14±0.90, P=0.021). Day 3 follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH; 8.40±4.84 vs. 16.39±13.56; P=0.000) and pre-ovulation progesterone levels (0.67 vs. 1.28 ng/mL; P=0.016) were significantly higher in the control group than in the E/G-ant priming group. The overall rate of positive human chorionic gonadotropin tests was higher in the E/G-ant priming group than in the control group (32.3% vs.16.1%; P=0.039). Also, clinical pregnancy rate (26.2% vs. 12.5%; P=0.048) and the rate of live births (23.1% vs. 7.1%; P=0.023) were significantly higher in the E/G-ant priming group than in the control group.

Conclusion

The E/G-ant priming protocol would lead to promising results in poor responders to IVF by suppressing endogenous FSH and by preventing premature luteinization.

Association Between Progesterone Elevation on the Day of Human Chronic Gonadotropin Trigger and Pregnancy Outcomes After Fresh Embryo Transfer in In Vitro Fertilization/Intracytoplasmic Sperm Injection Cycles

Progesterone elevation (PE) during the late follicular phase of controlled ovarian stimulation in fresh embryo transfer in vitro fertilization (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection cycles has been claimed to be associated with decreased pregnancy rates. However, the evidence is not unequivocal, and clinicians still have questions about the clinical validity of measuring P levels during the follicular phase of stimulated cycles. We reviewed the existing literature aimed at answering four relevant clinical questions, namely (i) Is gonadotropin type associated with PE during the follicular phase of stimulated cycles? (ii) Is PE on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) associated with negative fresh embryo transfer IVF/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) cycles outcomes in all patient subgroups? (iii) Which P thresholds are best to identify patients at risk of implantation failure due to PE in a fresh embryo transfer? and (iv) Should a freeze all policy be adopted in all the cycles with PE on the day of hCG? The existing evidence indicates that late follicular phase progesterone rise in gonadotropin releasing analog cycles is mainly caused by the supraphysiological stimulation of granulosa cells with exogenous follicle-stimulating hormone. Yet, the type of gonadotropin used for stimulation seems to play no significant role on progesterone levels at the end of stimulation. Furthermore, PE is not a universal phenomenon with evidence indicating that its detrimental consequences on pregnancy outcomes do not affect all patient populations equally. Patients with high ovarian response to control ovarian stimulation are more prone to exhibit PE at the late follicular phase. However, in studies showing an overall detrimental effect of PE on pregnancy rates, the adverse effect of PE on endometrial receptivity seems to be offset, at least in part, by the availability of good quality embryo for transfer in women with a high ovarian response. Given the limitations of the currently available assays to measure progesterone at low ranges, caution should be applied to adopt specific cutoff values above which the effect of progesterone rise could be considered detrimental and to recommend "freeze-all" based solely on pre-defined cutoff points.

Progesterone, progesterone/estradiol and ART outcomes in day-5 transfer cycles

The objective of this study was to assess the effects of elevated luteal-phase progesterone levels (PE) and high progesterone/estradiol ratio ('P/E2' ratio) on IVF outcomes, exclusively in GnRH-antagonist cycles with day-5 embryo transfer. PE was not found to have a significant effect on implantation or clinical pregnancy rate (CPR) (OR 0.56, 95% CI 0.25-1.25, p = .16). Elevated 'P/E2' ratio (≥0.55) on trigger day was associated with a poorer response to stimulation and lower clinical pregnancy rates (OR 0.58, 95% CI 0.34-1.00, p = .05). Patients with PE and low 'P/E2' ratio yielded significantly more oocytes than patients with PE and high 'P/E2' ratio. The mean implantation rate per patient decreased by 60% in the group with PE and high 'P/E2' ratio in comparison to the group with PE and low 'P/E2' ratio (17.9%±36.6 vs. 45.5%±47.2, p = .06), although no statistical significance was observed. The detrimental effect of PE may be mitigated by culturing embryos to day-5 before embryo transfer. Combined assessment of serum progesterone and 'P/E2' ratio may predict pregnancy outcome better than progesterone levels alone.

Outcomes and Recommendations of an Indian Expert Panel for Improved Practice in Controlled Ovarian Stimulation for Assisted Reproductive Technology

Purpose. To improve success of in vitro fertilization (IVF), assisted reproductive technology (ART) experts addressed four questions. What is optimum oocytes number leading to highest live birth rate (LBR)? Are cohort size and embryo quality correlated? Does gonadotropin type affect oocyte yield? Should “freeze-all” policy be adopted in cycles with progesterone >1.5 ng/mL on day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) administration? Methods. Electronic database search included ten studies on which panel gave opinions for improving current practice in controlled ovarian stimulation for ART. Results. Strong association existed between retrieved oocytes number (RON) and LBRs. RON impacted likelihood of ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS). Embryo euploidy decreased with age, not with cohort size. Progesterone > 1.5 ng/dL did not impair cycle outcomes in patients with high cohorts and showed disparate results on day of hCG administration. Conclusions. Ovarian stimulation should be designed to retrieve 10–15 oocytes/treatment. Accurate dosage, gonadotropin type, should be selected as per prediction markers of ovarian response. Gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist based protocols are advised to avoid OHSS. Cumulative pregnancy rate was most relevant pregnancy endpoint in ART. Cycles with serum progesterone ≥1.5 ng/dL on day of hCG administration should not adopt “freeze-all” policy. Further research is needed due to lack of data availability on progesterone threshold or index.

Revisiting the progesterone to oocyte ratio

OBJECTIVE

To critically evaluate the P to oocyte (O) ratio (P/O) in the prediction of live birth in assisted reproductive technology (ART) cycles.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Not applicable.

PATIENT(S)

A total of 7,608 fresh autologous ART ET cycles.

INTERVENTION(S)

None.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S)

Live birth.

RESULT(S)

Generalized estimating equation (GEE) models and receiver operating characteristic curves assessed the ability of P, O, and the P/O ratio to predict live birth. In univariate GEE models, P, O, and P/O were each associated with live birth. However, in multivariate GEE models, the P/O ratio was not associated with live birth, but P alone was. This suggested that converting P and O into a ratio of P/O was not more helpful than the two independent variables themselves. Measures of overall model fit further suggested that P/O did not increase the predictive ability of the model over P and O alone. Receiver operating characteristic curves using incremental predictors further demonstrated that the P/O provided no incremental improvement in predicting live birth over P and O separately.

CONCLUSION(S)

These data suggest that P and O have utility in prediction modeling but demonstrate that additional oocytes were not protective from the negative association of P with live birth. There was no incremental improvement related to the P/O ratio specifically for predicting live birth over each variable independently.

Factors influencing serum progesterone level on triggering day in stimulated in vitro fertilization cycles

Objective

Elevated serum progesterone (P) levels on triggering day have been known to affect the pregnancy rate of in vitro fertilization (IVF). This study aimed to identify the possible factors influencing serum P levels on triggering day in stimulated IVF cycles.

Methods

Three hundred and thirty consecutive fresh IVF cycles were included in the study. All cycles were first attempts and were performed in a single infertility center. The indications for IVF were male factor infertility (n=114), ovulatory infertility (n=84), endometriosis (n=61), tubal infertility (n=59), unexplained infertility (n=41), and uterine factor infertility (n=39). A luteal long protocol of a gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) agonist (n=184) or a GnRH antagonist protocol (n=146) was used for pituitary suppression. Ovarian sensitivity was defined as the serum estradiol level on triggering day per 500 IU of administered gonadotropins (OS[a]) or the retrieved oocyte number per 500 IU of administered gonadotropins (OS[b]).

Results

Univariate analysis revealed that the serum P level on triggering day was associated with the serum estradiol level on triggering day (r=0.379, p<0.001), the number of follicles ≥14 mm (r=0.247, p<0.001), the number of retrieved oocytes (r=0.384, p<0.001), and ovarian sensitivity (OS[a]: r=0.245, p<0.001; OS[b]: r=0.170, p=0.002). The woman's age, body mass index, antral follicle count, and basal serum follicle stimulating hormone and estradiol levels were not associated with serum P level on triggering day. The serum P level on triggering day did not show significant variation depending on the type or cause of infertility, pituitary suppression protocol, or the type of gonadotropins used.

Conclusion

The serum P level on triggering day was closely related to the response to ovarian stimulation.

Ratio of progesterone-to-number of follicles as a prognostic tool for in vitro fertilization cycles

PURPOSE

To establish a ratio of the P level to the number of follicles (P/F ratio) on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) administration and to evaluate whether this ratio is associated with in vitro fertilization (IVF) outcome.

METHODS

This study was conducted between January 2012 and June 2013. A total of 337 patients with cleavage-stage day-3 fresh embryo transfer with P levels ≤1.5 ng/mL on the day of hCG administration were included in the study. The main outcome was ongoing pregnancy rate.

RESULT(S)

The P/F ratio was calculated according to the equation (P[ng/mL]/number of follicles) on the day of final oocyte maturation. Using ROC, we established a cut-off level of 0.075 for the P/F ratio. The area under the curve (AUC) (0.756; 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.704-0.807) indicated that it was a good prognostic test. In group 1 (patients under 36 years old), the ongoing pregnancy rates were 57 and 30 % for patients with P/F ratios ≤ .075 and > .075, respectively, (p = 0.003). In group 2 (patients between 36 and 39 years old), the ongoing pregnancy rates were 58 % and 17 % (p = 0.001) for patients with P/F ratios ≤ .075 and > .075, respectively. In group 3 (patients ≥ 40 years old), the ongoing pregnancy rates were 41.7 and 10.9 % (p = 0.001) for patients with P/F ratios ≤ .075 and > .075, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The P/F ratio is a good prognostic test for predicting IVF outcome that can correlate the P level with ovarian response.