Presence frequency of plant species can predict spatial patterns of the species in small patches on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

Multiple Effects of Topographic Factors on Spatio-Temporal Variations of Vegetation Patterns in the Three Parallel Rivers Region, Southeast Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

Topographic factors are critical for influencing vegetation distribution patterns, and studying the interactions between them can enhance our understanding of future vegetation dynamics. We used the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer Normalized Differential Vegetation Index (MODIS NDVI) image dataset (2000–2019), combined with the Digital Elevation Model (DEM), and vegetation type data for trend analysis, and explored NDVI variation and its relationship with topographic factors through an integrated geographically-weighted model in the Three Parallel Rivers Region (TPRR) of southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) in the past 20 years. Our results indicated that there was no significant increase of NDVI in the entire basin between 2000–2019, except for the Lancang River basin. In the year 2004, abrupt changes in NDVI were observed across the entire basin and each sub-basin. During 2000–2019, the mean NDVI value of the whole basin increased initially and then decreased with the increasing elevation. However, it changed marginally with variations in slope and aspect. We observed a distinct spatial heterogeneity in vegetation patterns with elevation, with higher NDVI in the southern regions NDVI than those in the north as a whole. Most of the vegetation cover was concentrated in the slope range of 8~35°, with no significant difference in distribution except flat land. Furthermore, from 2000 to 2019, the vegetation cover in the TPRR showed an improving trend with the changes of various topographic factors, with the largest improvement area (36.10%) in the slightly improved category. The improved region was mainly distributed in the source area of the Jinsha River basin and the southern part of the whole basin. Geographically weighted regression (GWR) analysis showed that elevation was negatively correlated with NDVI trends in most areas, especially in the middle reaches of Nujiang River basin and Jinsha River basin, where the influence of slope and aspect on NDVI change was considerably much smaller than elevation. Our results confirmed the importance of topographic factors on vegetation growth processes and have implications for understanding the sustainable development of mountain ecosystems.

Spatial differentiation of the NPP and NDVI and its influencing factors vary with grassland type on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

Grasslands are the dominant ecosystem of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), and they play an important role in climate regulation and represent an important ecological barrier in China. However, the spatial differentiation characteristics of net primary productivity (NPP) and normalized differential vegetation index (NDVI) and the main influencing factors that vary with grassland type on the QTP are not clear. In this study, standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), digital elevation model (DEM), precipitation, temperature, slope, photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) and grazing intensity were considered the driving factors. First, a grey relational degree analysis was performed to test for the quantitative relationships between NPP, NDVI and factors. Then, the geographical detector method was applied to analyze the interaction relationships of the factors. Finally, based on the geographically weighted regression (GWR) model, the influence of factors varied with grassland type on the NPP and NDVI was revealed from the perspective of spatial differentiation. The results were as follows: (1) The NPP and NDVI had roughly the same degrees of correlation with each impact factor by the grey relational degree analysis, each factor was closely related to the NPP and NDVI, and the relational degree between grazing intensity and NPP was greater than that between grazing intensity and NDVI. (2) The interaction relationships between influencing factors and NPP and NDVI varied with the grassland type and presented bivariate enhancement and nonlinear enhancement, and the interaction effects between grazing intensity and any factor on each grassland type had a greater impact on NPP. (3) The main influencing factors of the spatial heterogeneity of NPP were grazing intensity and PAR, which were "high from northeast to southwest, low from northwest to southeast" and "low in the middle and high around". The main influencing factors on the NDVI were precipitation and PAR, which were "low in the middle and high around" and "high in the north, low in the south".