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Huang Q, Liu H, Li C, Zhu X, Yuan Z, Lai J, Cao M, Huang Z, Yang Y, Zhuo S, Lü Z, Zhang G. Predicting the geographical distribution and niche characteristics of Cotoneaster multiflorus based on future climate change. FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 2024; 15:1360190. [PMID: 38779065 PMCID: PMC11109598 DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2024.1360190] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2024] [Accepted: 04/02/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024]
Abstract
Introduction Arid and semi-arid regions are climate-sensitive areas, which account for about 40% of the world's land surface area. Future environment change will impact the environment of these area, resulting in a sharp expansion of arid and semi-arid regions. Cotoneaster multiflorus is a multi-functional tree species with extreme cold, drought and barren resistance, as well as ornamental and medicinal functions. It was found to be one of the most important tree species for ecological restoration in arid and semi-arid areas. However, bioclimatic factors play an important role in the growth, development and distribution of plants. Therefore, exploring the response pattern and ecological adaptability of C. multiflorus to future climate change is important for the long-term ecological restoration of C. multiflorus in arid and semi-arid areas. Methods In this study, we predicted the potential distribution of C. multiflorus in China under different climate scenarios based on the MaxEnt 2.0 model, and discussed its adaptability and the major factors affecting its geographical distribution. Results The major factors that explained the geographical distribution of C. multiflorus were Annual precipitation (Bio12), Min air temperature of the coldest month (Bio6), and Mean air temperature of the coldest quarter (Bio11). However, C. multiflorus could thrive in environments where Annual precipitation (Bio12) >150 mm, Min air temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) > -42.5°C, and Mean air temperature of the coldest quarter (Bio11) > -20°C, showcasing its characteristics of cold and drought tolerance. Under different future climate scenarios, the total suitable area for C. multiflorus ranged from 411.199×104 km² to 470.191×104 km², which was 0.8~6.14 percentage points higher than the current total suitable area. Additionally, it would further shift towards higher latitude. Discussion The MaxEnt 2.0 model predicted the potential distribution pattern of C. multiflorus in the context of future climate change, and identified its ecological adaptability and the main climatic factors affecting its distribution. This study provides an important theoretical basis for natural vegetation restoration in arid and semi-arid areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiuliang Huang
- College of Forestry, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Haoyang Liu
- College of Forestry, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Changshun Li
- College of Forestry, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
- Service Center, Fujian Meteorological Bureau, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Xiaoru Zhu
- Project Department, Norite International Construction Group Co., Xi’an, Shaanxi, China
| | - Zongsheng Yuan
- Institute of Oceanography, Minjiang University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Jialiang Lai
- College of Forestry, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Minghui Cao
- College of Forestry, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Zhenbei Huang
- College of Forestry, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Yushan Yang
- College of Forestry, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Shenglan Zhuo
- College of Forestry, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Zengwei Lü
- College of Forestry, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
| | - Guofang Zhang
- College of Forestry, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China
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Trageser S, Al-Razi H, Maria M, Nobel F, Asaduzzaman M, Rahman SC. A new species of Phrynoglossus Peters, 1867; Dicroglossidae) from southeastern Bangladesh, with comments on the genera Occidozyga and Phrynoglossus. PeerJ 2021; 9:e11998. [PMID: 34466290 PMCID: PMC8380431 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.11998] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/14/2021] [Accepted: 07/27/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
We describe a new cryptic species of Phrynoglossus from Chattogram Division, Bangladesh based on an integrative taxonomic analysis based on morphology, phylogenetics, and bioacoustics which unambiguously support the placement of the species in the genus Phrynoglossus. We also present a compilation of published morphological characters for all twelve Phrynoglossus species and two species of Occidozyga as well as comments on taxonomy, morphology, and geographic distribution for the two genera. The new species is found to be most morphologically similar to P. martensii, however a provided set of character states visibly differentiates these two species. Finally, habitat for Phrynoglossus swanbornorum sp. nov. is highly fragmented and faces imminent threats from development and agriculture, and although it is confirmed to occur within government protected areas in the southeastern region of Bangladesh, few wildlife regulations are enforced within them. Thus, following IUCN criteria, we consider the new species as Endangered based on criteria B1ab(i,ii,iii,iv) + 2ab(i,ii,iii,iv).
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Affiliation(s)
- Scott Trageser
- Creative Conservation Alliance, Dhaka, Dhaka District, Bangladesh
| | - Hassan Al-Razi
- Creative Conservation Alliance, Dhaka, Dhaka District, Bangladesh
| | - Marjan Maria
- Creative Conservation Alliance, Dhaka, Dhaka District, Bangladesh
- Department of Zoology, Jagannath University, Dhaka, Dhaka District, Bangladesh
| | | | - Md. Asaduzzaman
- Department of Zoology, Jagannath University, Dhaka, Dhaka District, Bangladesh
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Tarnian F, Kumar S, Azarnivand H, Chahouki MAZ, Mossivand AM. Assessing the effects of climate change on the distribution of Daphne mucronata in Iran. ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 2021; 193:562. [PMID: 34379207 DOI: 10.1007/s10661-021-09311-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2020] [Accepted: 07/12/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Zagros Mountains are like an island in the Middle East and they are subjected to changes in climate. Daphne mucronata Royle is an important medicinal plant species preserved in the high elevation regions in these mountains. Maxent species distribution model was used to integrate presence data (2413 points) and environmental variables to model the current and future potential distribution of D. mucronata in Iran. The most important variables were Bio19 with 50.5% contribution, followed by Bio8 and Bio2 with 30% and 11.4% contributions, respectively. The best Maxent model included seven variables, 4 feature types (linear, quadratic, product, and hinge), and had a test AUC value of 0.894. The current potential distribution indicated that 8% of Iran's drylands are suitable for growing D. mucronata and this area could decrease to 5.2% under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5, and 3.1% under RCP 8.5 due to climate change. Our results suggest that D. mucronata may lose overall about 2.8% and 4.9% of its current distribution under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, respectively, by 2050. There would be only 0.7 and 0.2% gains under RCP 4.5 and 8.5, respectively. The species would locally disappear between 1500- and 2000-m elevation under RCP 4.5 and 8.5, respectively. The establishment of some stations for monitoring the changes in transition zone or lost areas especially on the southeastern parts of Zagros Mountain can help in detecting changes in the future. Additionally, stable habitats may be good target areas for future conservation planning.
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Affiliation(s)
- Farajollah Tarnian
- Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Lorestan University, P.O. Box 465, Khorramabad, Lorestan Province, Iran.
- Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, 80523-1499, USA.
| | - Sunil Kumar
- Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, 80523-1499, USA
| | - Hossein Azarnivand
- College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tehran, P.O. Box 4111, Karaj, Iran
| | | | - Amir Mirzaei Mossivand
- Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Lorestan University, P.O. Box 465, Khorramabad, Lorestan Province, Iran
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