Risk factor analysis of post-ERCP cholangitis: A single-center experience

Risk prediction of cholangitis after stent implantation based on machine learning

The risk of cholangitis after ERCP implantation in malignant obstructive jaundice patients remains unknown. To develop models based on artificial intelligence methods to predict cholangitis risk more accurately, according to patients after stent implantation in patients' MOJ clinical data. This retrospective study included 218 patients with MOJ undergoing ERCP surgery. A total of 27 clinical variables were collected as input variables. Seven models (including univariate analysis and six machine learning models) were trained and tested for classified prediction. The model' performance was measured by AUROC. The RFT model demonstrated excellent performances with accuracies up to 0.86 and AUROC up to 0.87. Feature selection in RF and SHAP was similar, and the choice of the best variable subset produced a high performance with an AUROC up to 0.89. We have developed a hybrid machine learning model with better predictive performance than traditional LR prediction models, as well as other machine learning models for cholangitis based on simple clinical data. The model can assist doctors in clinical diagnosis, adopt reasonable treatment plans, and improve the survival rate of patients.

ERCP endoscopic minimally invasive treatment of acute suppurative obstructive cholangitis: A study of 47 patients

The primary objective of the present study was to investigate the efficacy and safety of endoscopic therapy for acute obstructive suppurative cholangitis (AOSC) in patients with different underlying conditions. The present study comprised 47 patients diagnosed with AOSC, with a mean age of 70±14 years. Minimally invasive endoscopic treatments, including endoscopic duodenal papillary sphincterotomy, endoscopic duodenal nasobiliary drainage and/or placement of an endobiliary duct stent drainage tube, were performed. Variations in the levels of the white blood cell count, liver function, procalcitonin (PCT) and carbohydrate antigen-199 (CA199) were examined, compared and evaluated both prior to and following endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). Among the 47 patients, 45 had a high fever, although their body temperature returned to normal after 7 days of ERCP treatment. The infection was difficult to control completely in two cases, including one case of biliary anastomosis secondary tumor with stenosis and AOSC and another case of an elderly patient with multiple choledocholithiasis complicated with sepsis. Within 7 days following treatment, the abdominal pain was resolved in 27 patients and jaundice subsided in 29 patients. On the 7th day after endoscopic treatment, the blood leukocyte, liver function, PCT and CA-199 parameters of all patients were significantly improved compared with those at admission. A total of 35 bile cultures yielded positive results, with Escherichia coli accounting for 11 cases (31.4%), Klebsiella pneumoniae accounting for 7 cases (20%), Pseudomonas aeruginosa accounting for 5 cases (14.3%), Enterococcus faecus accounting for 4 cases (11.4%) and other strains making up the remaining 17 cases. No serious complications were encountered with these patients, such as perforation, bleeding, severe pancreatitis or mortality, following ERCP. In conclusion, ERCP has been shown to be a safe and effective minimally invasive treatment method for elderly patients with AOSC, yielding a high rate of success.

Risk Factors for Infectious Complications following Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography in Liver Transplant Patients: A Single-Center Study

Background: Liver transplant recipients often require endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) for biliary complications, which can lead to infections. This retrospective single-center study aimed to identify risk factors for infectious complications following ERCP in liver transplant patients. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 285 elective ERCP interventions performed in 88 liver transplant patients at a tertiary care center. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of an infection following ERCP. Univariable and multivariable regression analyses, Cox regression, and log-rank tests were employed to assess the influence of various factors on the incidence of infectious complications. Results: Among the 285 ERCP interventions, isolated anastomotic stenosis was found in 175 cases, ischemic type biliary lesion (ITBL) in 103 cases, and choledocholithiasis in seven cases. Bile duct interventions were performed in 96.9% of all ERCPs. Infections after ERCP occurred in 46 cases (16.1%). Independent risk factors for infection included male sex (OR 24.19), prednisolone therapy (OR 4.5), ITBL (OR 4.51), sphincterotomy (OR 2.44), cholangioscopy (OR 3.22), dilatation therapy of the bile ducts (OR 9.48), and delayed prophylactic antibiotic therapy (>1 h after ERCP) (OR 2.93). Additionally, infections following previous ERCP interventions were associated with an increased incidence of infections following future ERCP interventions (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: In liver transplant patients undergoing ERCP, male sex, prednisolone therapy, and complex bile duct interventions independently raised infection risks. Delayed antibiotic treatment further increased this risk. Patients with ITBL were notably susceptible due to incomplete drainage. Additionally, a history of post-ERCP infections signaled higher future risks, necessitating close monitoring and timely antibiotic prophylaxis.

Determining the Risk Factors of Complications Due to Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography

Background and objective The effective use of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) has been on the rise in diagnosing and treating benign and malignant pathologies of the common bile duct and pancreas. ERCP, a complex procedure requiring high knowledge, skills, and practice, differs from other endoscopic applications as it involves the use of different techniques and equipment and the occurrence of more complications. The most commonly observed complications of ERCP are pancreatitis, bleeding, perforation, and infections. In this study, we aimed to assess the incidence of post-ERCP complications to identify the associated risk factors and indications. Methodology In this study, 181 ERCP procedures performed on 122 consecutive patients in the endoscopy unit of Istanbul Training Hospital were prospectively evaluated by using an observational method to determine the frequency of and risk factors for post-ERCP complications. The patients were followed up in the course of the ERCP procedure and for 30 days after the procedure; the complications and clinical developments were recorded. Results The mean age of the cohort was 59.7 ± 17.7 (19-97) years; 40.9% were female and 59.1% were male. The cannulation success was achieved in 77.3% of the ERCP procedure performed. Among the ERCP procedures applied, 89% were performed for therapeutic purposes, and choledocholithiasis (60.2%) was the most common indication for ERCP. Major complications were detected in 25.4% of the patients after ERCP. The most common major complication was cholangitis (9.9%), followed by pancreatitis (7.2%), cholecystitis (5.5%), bleeding (3.9%), and perforation (1.1%). It was observed that sphincterotomy was associated with an increase in all complications. The incidence of cholangitis decreased in the presence of dilated bile ducts unrelated to obstruction. The increased incidence of pancreatitis was associated with the female gender, the use of sphincterotomy and basket, inexperienced endoscopists, and inpatient admissions. The incidence of cholecystitis, on the other hand, was found to be linked with sphincterotomy and inexperienced endoscopists. Conclusions ERCP is a complex endoscopic procedure that requires high technical knowledge and skill and can cause serious complications. For endoscopists to perform clinically effective and accurate ERCP, it is important that they correctly determine the indications for the procedure, know its potential complications, and refrain from practices that will create complications and are unnecessary as much as possible.

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography utilisation and outcomes in the first advanced endoscopy centre in Palestine at Al-Ahli Hospital: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the utilisation and outcomes of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) procedures, success rates, incidence and risk factors for procedural-related complications in a single centre-based study.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

First advanced tertiary endoscopy centre in Palestine.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1909 procedures on 1303 patients were included in the analysis: females were 57.9% of the cases (n=755), 1225 patients (94%) were from West Bank and Jerusalem and 78 (6%) were from Gaza Strip. All patients who underwent ERCP throughout the period from December 2017 to September 2022 were selected to participate in the study.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcomes of interest in our analysis were success rates, procedural outcomes and post- procedural complications including pancreatitis, bleeding and others. Two multivariate logistic regression models were performed to calculate the risk of post-ERCP complications and post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP) in patients with certain risk factors like demographic factors, procedural techniques' variation, pancreatic duct manipulations and others. We also discussed the management of the failed procedures.

RESULTS

The overall complication rate was 5%, including PEP (n=43, 2.3%), infection/cholangitis (n=20, 1%), bleeding (n=9, 0.5%) and perforation (n=7, 0.4%). The mortality rate was 0.6% (n=11). Risk factors for adverse events included pancreatic duct cannulation and PEP (p<0.001, OR=3.64). Additionally, younger patients (≤45) were found to carry a higher risk for PEP when compared with older patients (≥65) (p=0.023, OR=2.84). In comparison with sphincterotomy, the double-wire technique was associated with a higher risk of complications (p=0.033, OR=2.29).

CONCLUSIONS

We summarised the utilisation and outcomes of ERCP among the Palestinian population in the first advanced centre in Palestine. Cannulation success rates are similar to the established standards and are acceptable compared with other centres worldwide. Perioperative complication rates of ERCP remain infrequent, and death is quite unusual and thus considered a safe procedure.

Efficacy analysis of hybrid operating room-based laparoscopic cholecystectomy combined with intraoperative endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in the treatment of cholelithiasis combined with choledocholithiasis - A case-control study

Objective

The objective is to compare the therapeutic effects of laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) combined with intraoperative endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in hybrid operating room and ERCP + LC under traditional conditions in the treatment of cholelithiasis and choledocholithiasis.

Materials and Methods

Data of 82 patients with cholelithiasis complicated with choledocholithiasis treated by our centre from November 2018 to March 2021 were retrospectively analysed. Amongst them, 40 patients treated with LC combined with intraoperative ERCP in a hybrid operating room were placed into Group A, and 42 patients treated with ERCP first followed by LC under traditional conditions were placed into Group B. The differences in operative time, intraoperative blood loss, surgical success rate, stone clearance rate, pain score, exhaust time, ambulation time, post-operative complications, length of hospital stay, hospitalisation cost and other indicators between the two groups were compared.

Results

There were no significant differences in operative time, intraoperative blood loss, surgical success rate and stone clearance rate between the two groups (P > 0.05), while there were significant differences in post-operative pain score, exhaust time, ambulation time, length of hospital stay, hospitalisation cost and complications (P < 0.05).

Conclusion

LC combined with intraoperative ERCP in hybrid operating room for the treatment of cholelithiasis combined with choledocholithiasis has a better therapeutic effect than traditional ERCP followed by LC, which is worthy of further popularization. Notably, the reasonable selection should be made based on patients' own conditions and hospital facilities.

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography-related complications: risk stratification, prevention, and management

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) plays a crucial role in the management of pancreaticobiliary disorders. Although the ERCP technique has been refined over the past five decades, it remains one of the endoscopic procedures with the highest rate of complications. Risk factors for ERCP-related complications are broadly classified into patient-, procedure-, and operator-related risk factors. Although non-modifiable, patient-related risk factors allow for the closer monitoring and instatement of preventive measures. Post-ERCP pancreatitis is the most common complication of ERCP. Risk reduction strategies include intravenous hydration, rectal nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, and pancreatic stent placement in selected patients. Perforation is associated with significant morbidity and mortality, and prompt recognition and treatment of ERCP-related perforations are key to ensuring good clinical outcomes. Endoscopy plays an expanding role in the treatment of perforations. Specific management strategies depend on the location of the perforation and the patient's clinical status. The risk of post-ERCP bleeding can be attenuated by preprocedural optimization and adoption of intra-procedural techniques. Endoscopic measures are the mainstay of management for post-ERCP bleeding. Escalation to angioembolization or surgery may be required for refractory bleeding. Post-ERCP cholangitis can be reduced with antibiotic prophylaxis in high risk patients. Bile culture-directed therapy plays an important role in antimicrobial treatment.

Predicting early biliary infection after stenting of malignant biliary obstruction: model development and internal validation

PURPOSE

To analyze the risk factors and develop a clinical prediction model for early biliary infection (EBI) after percutaneous transhepatic biliary stenting (PTBS) in patients with malignant biliary obstruction (MBO).

METHODS

The clinical data of 236 patients with MBO treated with PTBS from June 2012 to June 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Independent risk factors were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and a nomogram model was constructed based on the results. Discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness of this model were further assessed.

RESULTS

The technical success rate of PTBS was 100%, and EBI after PTBS was 20.3%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that hilar MBO (P = 0.020), diabetes (P = 0.001), previous surgical or endoscopic intervention (P = 0.007), procedure time > 60 min (P = 0.007), and intraprocedural biliary hemorrhage (P = 0.003) were independent risk factors for EBI after PTBS. A nomogram model was developed to predict the probability of EBI. ROC curves showed good discrimination of the model (area under curve = 0.831). The calibration plot indicated that the predicted probability of EBI by this model was in good agreement with the actual probability of EBI. The DCA curves showed that the net benefit of nomogram-assisted decisions was higher than or equal to the net benefit of treatment for all or none at a wide threshold probability (0-0.8).

CONCLUSION

The nomogram model based on the above independent risk factors can predict the probability of EBI and model-assisted treatment decisions contribute to improved clinical outcome. Therefore, MBO patients with probability of EBI > 0.20 based on the model should be recommended for perioperative broad-spectrum antibiotics and close monitoring.

Effectiveness of a new approach to minimally invasive surgery in palliative treatment of patients with distal malignant biliary obstruction

BACKGROUND

Palliative endoscopic biliary drainage is the primary treatment option for the management of patients with jaundice which results from distal malignant biliary obstruction (DMBO). In this group of patients, decompression of the bile duct (BD) allows for pain reduction, symptom relief, chemotherapy administration, improved quality of life, and increased survival rate. To reduce the unfavorable effects of BD decompression, minimally invasive surgical techniques require continuous improvement.

AIM

To develop a technique for internal-external biliary-jejunal drainage (IEBJD) and assess its effectiveness in comparison to other minimally invasive procedures in the palliative treatment of patients with DMBO.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data was performed, which included 134 patients with DMBO who underwent palliative BD decompression. Biliary-jejunal drainage was developed to divert bile from the BD directly into the initial loops of the small intestine to prevent duodeno-biliary reflux. IEBJD was carried out using percutaneous transhepatic access. Percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage (PTBD), endoscopic retrograde biliary stenting (ERBS), and internal-external transpapillary biliary drainage (IETBD) were used for the treatment of study patients. Endpoints of the study were the clinical success of the procedure, the frequency and nature of complications, and the cumulative survival rate.

RESULTS

There were no significant differences in the frequency of minor complications between the study groups. Significant complications occurred in 5 (17.2%) patients in the IEBJD group, in 16 (64.0%) in the ERBS group, in 9 (47.4%) in the IETBD group, and in 12 (17.4%) in the PTBD group. Cholangitis was the most common severe complication. In the IEBJD group, the course of cholangitis was characterized by a delayed onset and shorter duration as compared to other study groups. The cumulative survival rate of patients who underwent IEBJD was 2.6 times higher in comparison to those of the PTBD and IETBD groups and 20% higher in comparison to that of the ERBS group.

CONCLUSION

IEBJD has advantages over other minimally invasive BD decompression techniques and can be recommended for the palliative treatment of patients with DMBO.

Transmission of oral microbiota to the biliary tract during endoscopic retrograde cholangiography

BACKGROUND

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiography (ERC) possesses a translocation risk of microbes to the biliary system. We studied bile contamination during ERC and its impact on patients' outcome in a real-life-situation.

METHODS

Ninety-nine ERCs were analyzed and microbial samples were taken from the throat before and from bile during ERC and from irrigation fluid of the duodenoscope before and after ERC.

RESULTS

91.2% of cholangitis patients had detectable microbes in the bile (sensitivity 91%), but the same was true for 86.2% in the non-cholangitis group. Bacteroides fragilis (p=0.015) was significantly associated with cholangitis. In 41.7% of ERCs with contaminated endoscopes these microbes were found in the bile after the procedure. Analysis of duodenoscopes' irrigation liquid after ERC matched the microbial bile analysis of these patients in 78.8%. Identical microbial species were in throat and in bile samples of the same ERC in 33% of all cases and in 45% in the non-cholangitis group. Transmission of microbes to the biliary tract did not result in more frequent cholangitis, longer hospital stays, or worse outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

During ERC bile samples are regularly contaminated with microbes of the oral cavity but it did not affect clinical outcome.

Initial drainage‐related prognostic factors for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma: A single‐center retrospective study

Objectives

Perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PCC) is a complex disorder involving the hepatic hilum. Multiple endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography sessions are necessary for diagnosis and treatment with underlying cholangitis risk. Our aim is to clarify the initial‐drainage‐related prognostic factors of PCC.

Methods

This study was a single‐center retrospective study. A total of 104 consecutive patients diagnosed with PCC from January 2010 to February 2020 were enrolled. We defined the diagnostic period as the time between the first biliary drainage attempt and the final drainage when treatment, including surgery or chemotherapy, was started. We focused on this initial period and analyzed the endoscopy‐related factors that affected mortality.

Results

Overall survival of all PCC patients was 599 days. Overall survival of surgically treated patients and unresectable patients were 893 days and 512 days, respectively. In 48 surgically treated patients, drainage‐related cholangitis within the diagnostic period, defined as new cholangitis that occurred after the first biliary drainage attempt, worsened overall survival from 1460 days to 607 days. Endoscopic sphincterotomy, the first drainage method other than endoscopic nasobiliary drainage, and four or more endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography sessions were risk factors for drainage‐related cholangitis. Drainage‐related cholangitis increased pathological lymph node metastasis. Percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage as final drainage was the only prognostic factor in unresectable chemotherapy‐treated patients.

Conclusions

Drainage‐related cholangitis worsened the prognosis in PCC patients who underwent surgery. Appropriate endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography strategies, especially during the diagnostic period, are of great importance in PCC.

Risk factors of pancreatitis after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in patients with biliary tract diseases

BACKGROUND

To investigate the risk factors of pancreatitis after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in patients with biliary tract diseases.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 480 patients who underwent ERCP for biliary tract diseases at the Affiliated Zhongshan Hospital of Dalian University from October 2011 to October 2016. The patients were divided into a study group (n = 75, with PEP) and a control group (n = 405, without PEP) based on whether they developed post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP), and their clinical baseline data and intraoperative conditions were retrieved and compared. Then, factors associated with PEP were analyzed using logistic regression model, based on which a nomogram prediction model was constructed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve were used to evaluate the performance of the prediction model.

RESULTS

Significant differences in age, sex, history of pancreatitis, history of choledocholithiasis, pancreatic duct imaging, pancreatic sphincterotomy, difficult cannulation, multiple cannulation attempts and juxtapapillary duodenal diverticula were observed between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age less than 60 years (OR, 0.477; 95% CI, 0.26-0.855), female sex (OR, 2.162; 95% CI, 1.220-3.831), history of pancreatitis (OR, 2.567; 95% CI, 1.218-5.410), history of choledocholithiasis (OR, 2.062; 95% CI, 1.162-3.658), pancreatic sphincterotomy (OR, 2.387; 95% CI, 1.298-4.390), pancreatic duct imaging (OR, 4.429; 95% CI, 1.481-13.242), multiple cannulation attempts (OR, 2.327; 95% CI, 1.205-4.493), difficult cannulation (OR, 2.421; 95% CI, 1.143-5.128), and JPD (OR, 2.002; 95% CI, 1.125-3.564) were independent risk factors for PEP. The nomogram for predicting the occurrence of PEP demonstrated an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.787, and the calibration curves of the model showed good consistency between the predicted and actual probability of PEP.

CONCLUSION

Our results showed that age less than 60 years, female sex, history of pancreatitis, history of choledocholithiasis, pancreatic sphincterotomy, pancreatic duct imaging, multiple cannulation attempts, difficult cannulation and juxtapapillary duodenal diverticula were independent risk factors for PEP. In addition, the established nomogram demonstrated promising clinical efficacy in predicting PEP risk in patients who underwent ERCP for biliary tract diseases.

Incidence of bactibilia and related factors in patients who undergo cholecystectomy

Purpose

In general, bile is normally sterile. However, there are reports bactibilia may occur in certain instances, though the causal factors are unclear. We analyzed possible preoperative predictors of bactibilia upon cholecystectomy.

Methods

Bile samples were collected during cholecystectomies from November 2018 to November 2019. A total of 428 open or laparoscopic cholecystectomies were performed. Preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables were compared between the culture-positive and culture-negative groups.

Results

One hundred fifty-seven patients (36.7%) were culture-positive. Gram-negative bacteria (95 [61.0%]) were more common. Escherichia coli (38 [40.0%]) and Enterobacter (22 [23.2%]) were the most common species. In univariate analysis, age of ≥70 years (P < 0.001), male sex (P < 0.001), high American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status grades (P = 0.001), diabetes mellitus (P = 0.002), jaundice (P = 0.007), high Tokyo Guideline grades (P = 0.008), percutaneous transhepatic gallbladder drainage (PTGBD; P < 0.001), endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP; P < 0.001) were identified as a risk factors for bactibilia. In multivariate analysis, age of ≥70 years (hazard ratio [HR], 2.874; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.769-4.670; P = 0.001), ERCP (HR, 9.001; 95% CI, 4.833-16.75; P < 0.001), and PTGBD (HR, 2.866; 95% CI, 1.440-4.901; P = 0.002) were independent risk factors for bactibilia.

Conclusion

Among patients who underwent cholecystectomy, those who were elderly, symptomatic, and underwent preoperative drainage were more likely to have bactibilia. In such cases, surgeons should take care to prevent bile leakage during surgery and consider administering appropriate antibiotics.

Risk factors for the development of biliary tract infection after choledochal-malformation surgery

OBJECTIVE

To explore the risk factors of biliary tract infection after bile duct dilatation surgery.

METHODS

The study included 135 patients with choledochal malformation after bile duct dilatation surgery at our hospital from January 2019 to June 2021. We analyzed general data of infected and uninfected groups after bile duct dilatation surgery. Single/multiple factor logistic regression was used to analyse the factors influencing postoperative biliary tract infection in bile duct dilatation.

RESULTS

There were statistically significant differences in preoperative history of biliary tract infection, partial hepatectomy, hilar anastomosis, and Todani staging between the two groups. Single factor Logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative history of biliary tract infection, partial hepatectomy, hepatic portal anastomosis and Todani staging IV and V were positively correlated with postoperative biliary tract infection following biliary duct dilatation (P＜0.05). In addition, logistic regression analysis of these general data with differential indicators as independent variables and postoperative biliary tract infection in biliary duct dilatation as a dependent variable showed that history of preoperative biliary tract infection and hepatic portal anastomosis were risk factors of postoperative biliary tract infection following biliary duct dilatation.

CONCLUSION

Risk factors of biliary tract infection after bile duct dilatation include a history of preoperative biliary tract infection and hepatoportal anastomosis, which should be noted during clinical procedures to prevent or reduce the development of biliary tract infection after bile duct dilatation.

Antibiotic prophylaxis and its effect on postprocedural adverse events in endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography for primary sclerosing cholangitis

Background and Aim

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is characterized by multiple strictures of the biliary tree. Patients with PSC frequently require repeated endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) procedures. These procedures are encumbered by an increased incidence of infectious adverse events such as cholangitis. Evidence regarding whether antibiotic prophylaxis (AP) should be administered is sparse; however, prophylaxis is recommended. We aimed to determine whether AP affects the rate of postprocedural infectious and overall adverse events.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study and extracted all ERCP procedures with indicated PSC performed between 1 January 2006 and 31 December 2019, which were registered in the Swedish Registry for Gallstone Surgery and ERCP (GallRiks). The exclusion criteria were incomplete 30-day follow-up, non-index procedures, or ongoing antibiotics. The main outcomes were postprocedural infectious adverse events and overall adverse events at the 30-day follow-up.

Results

A total of 2144 procedures with indication of PSC were eligible for inclusion. AP was administered in 1407 (66%) of these procedures. Patients receiving AP were slightly younger (44 vs 46 years, P = 0.005) and had more comorbidities (ASA ≥3, 19.8% vs 13.6%; P  < 0.001). Procedures with AP demonstrated an infectious adverse event rate of 3.3% compared to 4.5% for non-AP procedures (P = 0.19). Postprocedural infectious adverse events (odds ratio [OR] 0.76, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.48-1.21) and overall adverse events (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.60-1.04) did not differ between AP and non-AP.

Conclusion

Patients with PSC who undergo ERCP have the same frequency of adverse events regardless of whether AP was used.

Antibiotic prophylaxis to prevent complications in endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

The prophylactic use of antibiotics in endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is still controversial.

AIM

To assess whether antibiotic prophylaxis reduces the rates of complications in patients undergoing elective ERCP.

METHODS

This systematic review and meta-analysis were performed following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis guidelines. A comprehensive search of multiple electronic databases was performed. Only randomized controlled trials were included. The outcomes analyzed included bacteremia, cholangitis, sepsis, pancreatitis, and mortality. The risk of bias was assessed by the Cochrane revised Risk-of-Bias tool for randomized controlled trials. The quality of evidence was assessed by the Grading of Recommendation Assessment, Development, and Evaluation. Meta-analysis was performed using the Review Manager 5.4 software.

RESULTS

Ten randomized controlled trials with a total of 1757 patients that compared the use of antibiotic and non-antibiotic prophylaxis in patients undergoing elective ERCP were included. There was no significant difference between groups regarding incidence of cholangitis after ERCP [risk difference (RD) = -0.02, 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.05, 0.02, P = 0.32], cholangitis in patients with suspected biliary obstruction (RD = 0.02, 95%CI: -0.08 to 0.13, P = 0.66), cholangitis on intravenous antibiotic prophylaxis (RD = -0.02, 95%CI: -0.05 to 0.01, P = 0.25), septicemia (RD = -0.02, 95%CI: -0.06 to 0.01, P = 0.25), pancreatitis (RD = -0.02, 95%CI: -0.06 to 0.01, P = 0.19), and all-cause mortality (RD = 0.00, 95%CI: -0.01 to 0.01, P = 0.71]. However, the antibiotic prophylaxis group presented a 7% risk reduction in the incidence of bacteremia (RD= -0.07, 95%CI: -0.14 to -0.01, P = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

The prophylactic use of antibiotics in patients undergoing elective ERCP reduces the risk of bacteremia but does not appear to have an impact on the rates of cholangitis, septicemia, pancreatitis, and mortality.

Implications of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Patients with Acute Cholangitis: A Systematic Review of Current Literature

Introduction: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been associated with higher rates and poorer prognosis of infections, mainly due to poor glycemic control, reduced response of T-cells and neutrophils, and impaired migration, phagocytosis, and chemotaxis of leukocytes. However, the impact of T2DM on acute cholangitis (AC) has not been assessed so far. Thus, we aimed to explore this association by means of a systematic review of the literature. Methods: This systematic review was carried out based on the recommendations stated in the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. We searched the PubMed/MEDLINE, Web of Science and SCOPUS databases to identify relevant publications depicting an association between T2DM and AC from the inception of these search services up to present. Results: We detected a total of 435 eligible records. After we applied the inclusion and exclusion criteria, a total of 14 articles were included in the present systematic review. Included manuscripts focused on the potential role of T2DM as a risk factor for the development of AC and on its contribution to a worse prognosis in AC, e.g., development of sepsis or other complications, the risk of AC recurrence and the impact on mortality. Conclusions: As compared to non-diabetic individuals, patients with T2DM have a higher risk of AC as a complication of choledocholithiasis or gallstone pancreatitis. Several oral hypoglycemic drugs used in the management of T2DM may also be involved in the onset of AC. Diabetic patients who suffer from AC have a higher likelihood of longer hospital stays and sepsis, as well as a higher risk of mortality and more severe forms of AC as compared to non-diabetic individuals.

Role of “HinCh Score” as a Non-invasive Predictor of Post-endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography Cholangitis

Introduction

Post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) cholangitis (PEC) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in patients ERCP. The aim of the present study was to analyze the predictors of PEC and to formulate a predictive model for early diagnosis and management.

Materials and methods

It was a cross-sectional study that was carried out at the Sindh Institute of Urology and Transplantation from September 2019 to June 2021. All patients aged between 18 and 75 years and undergoing ERCP due to obstructive jaundice were included. Patients with altered biliary anatomy, history of hepatobiliary surgery, and concurrent sepsis were excluded. Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography intervention was performed by an expert gastroenterologist. Laboratory parameters (total leukocyte count, total bilirubin, alanine transaminase) and patient temperature were checked on admission, at 12 hours, 24 hours, and 36 hours after ERCP to document PEC.

Results

A total of 349 patients were included in the study. Among them, 176 (50.4%) patients were males. Common bile duct (CBD) stricture was the most common indication of ERCP seen in 148 (42.4%) patients followed by CBD stone and cholangiocarcinoma in 108 (30.9%) and 48 (13.8%) patients, respectively. The most common presenting complaint was jaundice noted in 300 (86%) patients followed by right hypochondrial pain in 280 (80.2%) and weight loss in 194 (55.6%) patients, respectively. Post-ERCP cholangitis developed in 251 (71.9%) patients. On univariate analysis, age >50 years, female gender, right hypochondrial pain, fever, bilirubin >5 mg/dL on admission, CBD stricture on ERCP, TLC of >10,000 cells/L at 12 hours, 24 hours, and 36 hours post-ERCP and rise in ALT >50 IU 24 and 48 hours post-ERCP were significantly associated with PEC. While on multivariate analysis, female gender, bilirubin >5 mg/dL on admission, CBD stricture on ERCP, post-ERCP fever, and rise in TLC of >10000 cells/L at 24 hours post-ERCP were independently associated with PEC. HinCh score was formulated and was found to be significantly associated with the presence of cholangitis. Area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) of HinCh score was 0.74 and at cutoff of ≥4, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of HinCh were 81.67%, 59.18%, 83.67%, and 55.71%, respectively with a diagnostic accuracy of 75.36%.

Conclusion

The performance of HinCh score in predicting PEC was accurate in 86% of the patients. However, further studies are needed to validate the score.

How to cite this article

Ismail H, Yaseen RT, Danish M, et al. Role of “HinCh Score” as a Non-invasive Predictor of Post-endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography Cholangitis. Euroasian J Hepato-Gastroenterol 2022;12(1):19–23.

Risk factors for post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) abdominal pain in patients without post-ERCP pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Abdominal pain is often observed after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). Few studies have focused on the risk factors of post-ERCP abdominal pain without post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP). This study aimed to identify risk factors of post-ERCP abdominal pain without PEP and investigate characteristics of the abdominal pain in non-PEP patients.

METHODS

Data from patients who underwent ERCP from August 2019 to January 2020 were retrospectively collected. Characteristics of the abdominal pain after ERCP were recorded and compared between PEP and non-PEP patients. Multivariate analysis was conducted to identify risk factors of non-PEP abdominal pain.

RESULTS

A total of 1295 ERCP procedures were investigated in this study, among which 100 (7.72%) patients presented post-ERCP abdominal pain without PEP and 63 (4.86%) patients with PEP. Multivariate analysis found 9 risk factors of non-PEP abdominal pain: age ≤ 65 years [odds ratio (OR): 1.971], primary ERCP (OR: 2.442), dilated extrahepatic bile duct (OR: 1.803), no papilla opening (OR: 2.095), pancreatic guidewire passages (OR: 2.258), white blood cells (WBC) ≤ 6.0 × 10⁹/L (OR: 1.689), platelet (PLT) ≤ 250 × 10⁹/L (OR: 2.505), serum γ-glutamyl transferase (γ - GT) ≤ 35 U/L (OR: 2.190), and albumin ≥ 40 g/L (OR: 1.762). The PEP group had later pain onset, higher pain frequency and longer hospital stay than those of the non-PEP pain group (P < 0.05). There were no significant differences in the pain duration, visual analogue scale score and mortality between the PEP group and non-PEP pain group (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

This study indicated that age ≤ 65 years, primary ERCP, dilated extrahepatic bile duct, no papilla opening, pancreatic guidewire passages, lower WBC, lower PLT, normal γ - GT and elevated albumin were independent risk factors for post-ERCP abdominal pain without PEP. The pain occurred earlier in non-PEP patients than in PEP patients.

Single-stage intraoperative ERCP combined with laparoscopic cholecystectomy versus preoperative ERCP Followed by laparoscopic cholecystectomy in the management of cholecystocholedocholithiasis: A meta-analysis of randomized trials

OBJECTIVES

The optimal treatment strategy for cholecystocholedocholithiasis is still controversial. We conducted an up-to-date meta-analysis to compare the efficacy and safety of the intra- endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) + LC procedure with the traditional pre-ERCP +  laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) procedure in the management of cholecystocholedocholithiasis.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases up to September 2020. Published randomized controlled trials comparing intra-ERCP + LC and pre-ERCP + LC were considered. This meta-analysis was performed by Review Manager Version 5.3, and outcomes were documented by pooled risk ratio (RR) and mean difference (MD) with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

Eight studies with a total of 977 patients were included in this meta-analysis. There was no significant difference between the two groups regarding CBD stone clearance (RR = 1.03, P = .27), postoperative papilla bleeding (RR = 0.41, P = .13), postoperative cholangitis (RR = 0.87, P = .79), and operation conversion rate (RR = 0.71, P = .26). The length of hospital stay was shorter in the intra-ERCP + LC group (MD = -2.75, P < .05), and intra-ERCP + LC was associated with lower overall morbidity (RR = 0.54, P < .05), postoperative pancreatitis (RR = 0.29, P < .05) and cannulation failure rate (RR = 0.22, P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Intra-ERCP + LC was a safer approach for patients with cholecystocholedocholithiasis. It could facilitate intubation, shorten hospital stay, and lower postoperative complications, especially postoperative pancreatitis, and reduce stone residue and reduce the possibility of reoperation for stone removal.

Safety and efficacy of therapeutic endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in elderly patients with a native papilla

BACKGROUND

The diagnosis and treatment of biliary and pancreatic diseases in elderly patients are a challenge for clinicians, while population ageing is becoming a prominent social issue. However, there are few clinical studies on therapeutic endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in elderly patients.

AIM

To evaluate the safety, efficacy, clinical characteristics, and influencing factors related to therapeutic ERCP in patients aged above 80 years.

METHODS

Data of 446 elderly patients (aged above 80 years) with a native papilla who underwent therapeutic ERCP form July 2011 to December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Their clinical characteristics, procedures of ERCP, and complications after ERCP were evaluated.

RESULTS

Mean age of included patients was (83.2 ± 3.3) years old. Significant comorbidities were found in 308 cases. One hundred and twenty-four cases had biliary, pancreatic, or papillary carcinomas. There was no significant difference in post-ERCP complications with regard to comorbidities or timing of ERCP. Overall complications were comparable between patients undergoing difficult and non-difficult cannulation. The incidence of complications in the malignant disease group was higher than that in the benign disease group (15.32% vs 7.86%, P < 0.05). The rate of biliary infection was higher in patients with malignant diseases than in those with benign diseases (6.45% vs 1.57%, P < 0.01). However, the rate of bleeding was higher in patients undergoing urgent ERCP than in those undergoing selective operation (8.33% vs 1.52%, P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The current study showed that therapeutic ERCP for patients aged 80 years or above is safe and effective. To avoid post-ERCP complications in elderly patients with high risk, detailed peri-ERCP evaluation may be necessary.

Association of Anti-TNF Therapy With Increased Risk of Acute Cholangitis in Patients With Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis

BACKGROUND

Patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are at increased risk of developing acute cholangitis. The majority of patients with PSC have comorbid inflammatory bowel disease, and many take immunosuppressive medications. The epidemiological risks for the development of acute cholangitis in patients with PSC, including the impact of immunosuppressive therapy, are unknown.

METHODS

We conducted a 2-center, retrospective cohort study using data from 228 patients at Stanford University Medical Center and Santa Clara Valley Medical Center (CA), a county health care system. Patient demographics, medications, PSC disease severity, and inflammatory bowel disease status were extracted. Using stepwise variable selection, we included demographic and covariate predictors in the multiple logistic regression model assessing risk factors for cholangitis. Time-to-event analysis was performed to evaluate specific immunosuppressive medications and development of cholangitis.

RESULTS

Thirty-one percent of patients had at least 1 episode of acute cholangitis (n = 72). Anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) therapy was associated with increased odds of acute cholangitis (odds ratio, 7.29; 95% confidence interval, 2.63-12.43), but immunomodulator use was protective against acute cholangitis (odds ratio, 0.23; 95% confidence interval, 0.05-0.76). Anti-TNF therapy was associated with decreased time-to-cholangitis, with a median time of 28.4 months; in contrast, only 11.1% of patients who were prescribed immunomodulators developed cholangitis over the same time period (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our observations suggest that classes of immunosuppressive medications differentially modify the odds of acute cholangitis. Biologic therapy, ie, anti-TNF therapy, was shown to have significantly higher odds for patients developing acute cholangitis whereas immunomodulator therapy was shown to have a potential protective effect. These findings may help guide physicians in decision-making for determining appropriate immunosuppressive therapy.

Clinical outcomes of biliary drainage of malignant biliary obstruction due to colorectal cancer metastases: A systematic review

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Malignant biliary obstruction is an ominous complication of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Biliary drainage is frequently performed to relieve symptoms of jaundice or enable palliative systemic therapy, but effective drainage can be difficult to accomplish. The aim of this study is to summarize literature on clinical outcomes of biliary drainage in mCRC patients with malignant biliary obstruction.

METHODS

We searched Medline and EMBASE for studies that included patients with malignant biliary obstruction secondary to mCRC, treated with endoscopic and/or percutaneous biliary drainage. We summarized available data on technical success, clinical success, adverse events, systemic therapy administration and survival after biliary drainage.

RESULTS

After screening 3584 references and assessing 509 full-text articles, seven cohort studies were included. In these studies, rates of technical success, clinical success and adverse events varied between 63%-94%, 42%-81%, and 19%-39%, respectively. Subsequent chemotherapy was administered in 17%-56% of patients. Overall survival varied between 40 and 122 days across studies (278-365 days in patients who received subsequent chemotherapy, 42-61 days in patients who did not).

CONCLUSIONS

Successful biliary drainage in mCRC patients can be challenging to achieve and is frequently associated with adverse events. Overall survival after biliary drainage is limited, but is significantly longer in patients treated with subsequent systemic therapy. Expected benefits of biliary drainage should be carefully weighed against its risks.

Acute Cholangitis: Causes, Diagnosis, and Management

Acute cholangitis, also referred to as ascending cholangitis, is an infection of the biliary tree characterized by fever, jaundice, and abdominal pain, which in most cases is the consequence of biliary obstruction. Diagnosis is commonly made by the presence of clinical features, laboratory tests, and imaging studies. The treatment modalities include administration of intravenous fluids, antimicrobial therapy, and prompt drainage of the bile duct. Early diagnosis and treatment of acute cholangitis are crucial to prevent unwanted clinical outcome of the disease. This article provides an update on early diagnosis and management of acute cholangitis.

Development of an Online App to Predict Post-Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography Adverse Events Using a Single-Center Retrospective Cohort

INTRODUCTION

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is a technically demanding procedure with a high risk for adverse events (AEs).

AIM

evaluate patient- and procedure-related risk factors for ERCP-related AEs and develop an online app to estimate risk of AEs.

METHODS

retrospective study of 1,491 consecutive patients who underwent 1,991 ERCPs between 2012 and 2017 was conducted. AEs definition and severity were classified according to most recent ESGE guidelines. Each variable was tested for association with occurrence of overall AEs, post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP) and cholangitis. For each outcome, 2 regression models were built, from which an online Shiny-based app was created.

RESULTS

Overall AE rate was 15.3%; in 19 procedures, >1 AE occurred. Main post-ERCP AE was PEP (7.5%), followed by cholangitis (4.9%), bleeding (1.3%), perforation (1%), cardiopulmonary events (0.9%), and cholecystitis (0.3%). Seventy-eight percent of AEs were mild/moderate; of severe (n = 55) and fatal (n = 20) AEs, more than half were related to infection, cardiac/pulmonary AEs, and perforation. AE-related mortality rate was 1%. When testing precannulation, procedural covariates, and ERCP findings, AE occurrence was associated with age (odds ratio [OR] 0.991), previous PEP (OR 2.198), ERCP complexity grade III/IV (OR 1.924), standard bile duct cannulation (OR 0.501), sphincterotomy (OR 1.441), metal biliary stent placement (OR 2.014), periprocedural bleeding (OR 3.024), and biliary duct lithiasis (OR 0.673).

CONCLUSION

Our app may allow an optimization of the patients' care, by helping in the process of decision-making, not only regarding patient or endoscopist's selection but also definition of an adequate and tailored surveillance plan after the procedure.

A unusual case of multifocal pyogenic abscess formation following ERCP procedure

Background

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is essential for managing biliary and pancreatic disorders. Infection is the most morbid complication of ERCP and among the most common causes of ERCP-related death.

Case presentation

A 69-year-old man presented with right upper quadrant abdominal pain, obstructive jaundice and abnormal liver function tests. Ultrasound revealed cholelithiasis without bile duct dilation. After receiving intravenous antibiotics for acute cholecystitis, the patient was discharged. Two weeks later, an endoscopic ultrasound demonstrated gallstones and CBD dilation of up to 6.4 mm with 2 filling defects. An ERCP was performed with a papillotomy and stone extraction. Twenty-four hours post-ERCP the patient developed a fever, chills, bilirubinemia and elevated liver function tests. Ascending cholangitis was empirically treated using Ceftriaxone and Metronidazole. However, the patient remained febrile, with a diffusely tender abdomen and elevated inflammatory markers. A CT revealed a very small hypodense lesion in the seventh liver segment. Extended-spectrum beta-lactamase positive Klebsiella Pneumonia and Enterococcus Hirae were identified, and the antibiotics were switched to Imipenem and Cilastatin. The hypodense lesion in the liver increased to 1.85 cm and a new hypodense lesion was seen in the right psoas. At day 10 post-ERCP, the patient started having low back pain and difficulty walking. MRI revealed L4-L5 discitis with a large epidural abscess, spanning L1-S1 and compressing the spinal cord. Decompressive laminectomy of L5 was done and Klebsiella pneumonia was identified. Due to continued drainage from the wound, high fever, we performed a total body CT which revealed increased liver and iliopsoas abscess. Decompressive laminectomy was expanded to include L2-L4 and multiple irrigations were done. Gentamycin and Vancomycin containing polymethylmethacrylate beads were implanted locally and drainage catheters were placed before wound closure. Multidisciplinary panel discussion was performed, and it was decided to continue with a non invasive approach .

Conclusions

Early recognition of complications and individualized therapy by a multi-disciplined team is important for managing post-ERCP septic complications. Particular attention should be given to adequate coverage by empiric antibiotics.

Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography Leading to Pharyngeal Perforation

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) had become the favored method to access the pancreaticobiliary system because it is a safer and less invasive method compared to surgery. However, as with any procedure, ERCP comes with its own risks and potential complications. We present a unique case of a patient who underwent ERCP and developed necrotizing infection of the neck and a submandibular abscess. The patient is a 66-year-old female who presented to an outside hospital with complaint of right upper quadrant abdominal pain, workup of which revealed choledocholithiasis. ERCP was attempted; however, cannulation was unsuccessful. The patient was discharged home after the procedure, but within 48 h she presented to our institution complaining of left-sided neck pain, dysphagia, and drooling. CT of the neck revealed extensive gas and fluid collections at the left submandibular space. The patient was taken to the operating room for drainage of the left neck abscess. Drainage and irrigation of the abscess yielded Streptococcus mitis and Hemophilus parainfluenza. The rest of patient's hospital course was uncomplicated, and she was discharged with appropriate follow-up. In the case of our patient, ERCP was complicated by a perforation of the hypopharynx. Pharyngeal perforation can be subclassified into supraglottic and infraglottic. The most frequent cause of perforations is due to increased pressure in an intrinsically weak anatomical region of the pharynx. Such perforations are commonly due to the advancement of the endotracheal tube or transthoracic echo probe, but can also be due to advancement of an endoscope.

Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography-Related Complications and Their Management Strategies: A "Scoping" Literature Review

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is a well-known procedure with both diagnostic and therapeutic utilities in managing pancreaticobiliary conditions. With the advancements of endoscopic techniques, ERCP has become a relatively safe and effective procedure. However, as ERCP is increasingly being utilized for different advanced techniques, newer complications have been noticed. Post-ERCP complications are known, and mostly include pancreatitis, infection, hemorrhage, and perforation. The risks of these complications vary depending on several factors, such as patient selection, endoscopist's skills, and the difficulties involved during the procedure. This review discusses post-ERCP complications and management strategies with new and evolving concepts.

Cryotherapy for liver metastases

BACKGROUND

The liver is affected by two of the most common groups of malignant tumours: primary liver tumours and liver metastases from colorectal carcinoma. Liver metastases are significantly more common than primary liver cancer and long-term survival rates reported for patients after radical surgical treatment is approximately 50%. However, R0 resection (resection for cure) is not feasible in the majority of patients. Cryotherapy is performed with the use of an image-guided cryoprobe which delivers liquid nitrogen or argon gas to the tumour tissue. The subsequent process of freezing is associated with formation of ice crystals, which directly damage exposed tissue, including cancer cells.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the beneficial and harmful effects of cryotherapy compared with no intervention, other ablation methods, or systemic treatments in people with liver metastases.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched The Cochrane Hepato-Biliary Group Controlled Trials Register, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE Ovid, Embase Ovid, and six other databases up to June 2018.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised clinical trials assessing beneficial and harmful effects of cryotherapy and its comparators for liver metastases, irrespective of the location of the primary tumour.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We used standard methodological procedures expected by Cochrane. We extracted information on participant characteristics, interventions, study outcomes, and data on the outcomes important for our review, as well as information on the design and methodology of the trials. Two review authors independently assessed risk of bias in each study. One review author performed data extraction and a second review author checked entries.

MAIN RESULTS

We found no randomised clinical trials comparing cryotherapy versus no intervention or versus systemic treatments; however, we identified one randomised clinical trial comparing cryotherapy with conventional surgery. The trial was conducted in Ukraine. The trial included 123 participants with solitary, or multiple unilobar or bilobar liver metastases; 63 participants received cryotherapy and 60 received conventional surgery. There were 36 women and 87 men. The primary sites for the metastases were colon and rectum (66.6%), stomach (7.3%), breast (6.5%), skin (4.9%), ovaries (4.1%), uterus (3.3%), kidney (3.3%), intestines (1.6%), pancreas (1.6%), and unknown (0.8%). The trial was not reported sufficiently enough to assess the risk of bias of the randomisation process, allocation concealment, or presence of blinding. It was also not possible to assess incomplete outcome data and selective outcome reporting bias. The certainty of evidence was low because of risk of bias and imprecision.The participants were followed for up to 10 years (minimum five months). The trial reported that the mortality at 10 years was 81% (51/63) in the cryotherapy group and 92% (55/60) in the conventional surgery group. The calculated by us relative risk (RR) with 95% Confidence Interval (CI) was: RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.02. We judged the evidence as low-certainty evidence. Regarding adverse events and complications, separately and in total, our calculation showed no evidence of a difference in recurrence of the malignancy in the liver: 86% (54/63) of the participants in the cryotherapy group and 95% (57/60) of the participants in the conventional surgery group developed a new malignancy (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.01; low-certainty evidence). The frequency of reported complications was similar between the cryotherapy group and the conventional surgery group, except for postoperative pain. Both insignificant and pronounced pain were reported to be more common in the cryotherapy group while intense pain was reported to be more common in the conventional surgery group. However, the authors did not report whether there was any evidence of a difference. There were no intervention-related mortality or bile leakages.We identified no evidence for health-related quality of life, cancer mortality, or time to progression of liver metastases. The study reported tumour response in terms of the carcinoembryonic antigen level in 69% of participants, and reported results in the form of a graph for 30% of participants. The carcinoembryonic antigen level was lower in the cryotherapy group, and decreased to normal values faster in comparison with the control group (P < 0.05).

FUNDING

the trial did not provide information on funding.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The evidence for the effectiveness of cryotherapy versus conventional surgery in people with liver metastases is of low certainty. We are uncertain about our estimate and cannot determine whether cryotherapy compared with conventional surgery is beneficial or harmful. We found no evidence for the benefits or harms of cryotherapy compared with no intervention, or versus systemic treatments.

Risk Prediction for Early Biliary Infection after Percutaneous Transhepatic Biliary Stent Placement in Malignant Biliary Obstruction

PURPOSE

To establish a nomogram for predicting the occurrence of early biliary infection (EBI) after percutaneous transhepatic biliary stent (PTBS) placement in malignant biliary obstruction (MBO).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this multicenter study, patients treated with PTBS for MBO were allocated to a training cohort or a validation cohort. The independent risk factors for EBI selected by multivariate analyses in the training cohort were used to develop a predictive nomogram. An artificial neural network was applied to assess the importance of these factors in predicting EBI. The predictive accuracy of this nomogram was determined by concordance index (c-index) and a calibration plot, both internally and externally.

RESULTS

A total of 243 patients (training cohort: n = 182; validation cohort: n = 61) were included in this study. The independent risk factors were length of obstruction (odds ratio [OR], 1.061; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.013-1.111; P = .012), diabetes (OR, 5.070; 95% CI, 1.917-13.412; P = .001), location of obstruction (OR, 2.283; 95% CI, 1.012-5.149; P = .047), and previous surgical or endoscopic intervention (OR, 3.968; 95% CI, 1.709-9.217; P = .001), which were selected into the nomogram. The c-index values showed good predictive performance in the training and validation cohorts (0.792 and 0.802, respectively). The optimum cutoff value of risk was 0.25.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram can facilitate the early and accurate prediction of EBI in patients with MBO who underwent PTBS. Patients with high risk (> 0.25) should be administered more effective prophylactic antibiotics and undergo closer monitoring.

Microbial Profiles and Risk Factors of Preexisting Biliary Infection in Patients with Therapeutic Endoscopy

Background

The bile infection may already exist before the administration of an interventional procedure, despite no clinical manifestations of cholangitis detected. Blood cultures remained negative even in more than half of the febrile cases with cholangitis. Risk factors associated with bacterial growth in bile before the intervention are not well defined. To establish the bacterial profiles isolated from the bile samples and to identify risk factors for bacterial colonization in the bile system.

Methods

Individuals who underwent endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) interventions were enrolled. Bile samples were aspirated and were immediately transferred into a sterile tube for storage.

Results

Positive bile cultures were detected in 363 (38.0%) of 956 patients, including 322 benign diseases and 41 malignances. Of 363 positive cases, 351 (96.7%) were monoinfection and 12 (3.3%) multi-infection. Escherichia coli were the most common Gram-negative bacteria (210, 56.0%), followed by Klebsiella pneumoniae (45, 12.0%). Enterococcus faecalis represented the most common Gram-positive microorganism (19, 5.07%), while Candida albicans (11, 2.93%) were the dominant fungi. Klebsiella pneumoniae were more frequently detected in malignant diseases (P = 0.046). Age, previous ERCP history or OLT history, and CBD diameter were independent risk factors for positive cultures (P < 0.05) while preoperative jaundice drug therapy was the protective factor for bile infection (P < 0.05).

Conclusion

Monomicrobial infection was dominant among all infections, and Klebsiella pneumoniae strains were more frequently isolated from patients with malignant diseases. To effectively manage patients who are at a high risk for bile infection, a detailed diagnosis and treatment plan for each case should be prepared.