Prognostic utility of the Seattle Heart Failure Score and amino terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide in varying stages of systolic heart failure

Prognostic value of natriuretic peptides in heart failure: systematic review and meta-analysis

Risk models, informing optimal long-term medical management, seldom use natriuretic peptides (NP) in ascertaining the absolute risk of outcomes for HF patients. Individual studies evaluating the prognostic value of NPs in HF patients have reported varying effects, arriving at best estimates requires a systematic review. We systematically summarized the best evidence regarding the prognostic value of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and NT-proBNP in predicting mortality and hospitalizations in ambulatory heart failure (HF) patients. We searched bibliographic databases from 2005 to 2018 and included studies evaluating the association of BNP or NT-proBNP with mortality or hospitalization using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. We pooled hazard ratios using random-effect models, explored heterogeneity using pre-specified subgroup analyses, and evaluated the certainty of evidence using the Grading of Recommendations and Development Evaluation framework. We identified 67 eligible studies reporting on 76,178 ambulatory HF patients with a median BNP of 407 pg/mL (261-574 pg/mL). Moderate to high-quality evidence showed that a 100-pg/mL increase in BNP was associated with a 14% increased hazard of mortality (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.06-1.22); a 1-log-unit increase was associated with a 51% increased hazard of mortality (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.41-1.61) and 48% increased hazard of mortality or hospitalization (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.29-1.69). With moderate to high certainty, we observed a 14% independent relative increase in mortality, translating to a clinically meaningful increase in absolute risk even for low-risk patients. The observed associations may help in developing more accurate risk models that incorporate NPs and accurately prognosticate HF patients.

INTERMACS profiles and outcomes of ambulatory advanced heart failure patients: A report from the REVIVAL Registry

BACKGROUND

Ambulatory patients with advanced heart failure (HF) are often considered for advanced therapies, including durable mechanical circulatory support (MCS). The Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support (INTERMACS) profiles are a commonly used descriptor of disease severity in patients receiving MCS devices, but their role in defining the prognosis of ambulatory patients is less well established, especially for Profiles 6 and 7.

METHODS

Registry Evaluation of Vital Information on Ventricular Assist Devices in Ambulatory Life is a prospective observational study of 400 outpatients from 21 MCS and cardiac transplant centers. Eligible patients had New York Heart Association Class II to IV symptoms despite optimal medical and electrical therapies with a recent HF hospitalization, heart transplant listing, or evidence of high neurohormonal activation.

RESULTS

The cohort included 33 INTERMACS Profile 4 (8%), 83 Profile 5 (21%), 155 Profile 6 (39%), and 129 Profile 7 (32%). Across INTERMACS profiles, there were no differences in age, gender, ejection fraction, blood pressure, or use of guideline-directed medical therapy. A lower INTERMACS profile was associated with more hospitalizations, greater frailty, and more impaired functional capacity and quality of life. The composite end point of death, durable MCS, or urgent transplant at 12 months occurred in 39%, 27%, 24%, and 14% subjects with INTERMACS Profiles 4, 5, 6, and 7, respectively (p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Among ambulatory patients with advanced HF, a lower INTERMACS profile was associated with a greater burden of HF across multiple dimensions and a higher composite risk of durable MCS, urgent transplant, or death. These profiles may assist in risk assessment and triaging ambulatory patients to advanced therapies.

Diagnostic value of brain natriuretic peptide and β-endorphin plasma concentration changes in patients with acute left heart failure and atrial fibrillation

RATIONALE

This study aims to evaluate the diagnostic value of beta-endorphin (β-EP) and brain natriuretic peptid (BNP) plasma concentrations for the early diagnosis of acute left heart failure and atrial fibrillation.

PATIENT CONCERNS

A total of 45 patients were included. These patients comprised 23 male and 22 female patients,and 20 healthy subjects who underwent physical examinations in the Outpatient Department during the same periodwere included and assigned to the control group.

DIAGNOSES

The diagnos stand was that of the Chinese guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of heart failure.

INTERVENTIONS

Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was performed to detect the plasma concentration of β-EP and BNP in the treatment and control groups, and electrocardiogram targeting was performed to determine the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF).

OUTCOMES

BNP, β-EP, and LVEF levels were higher in the treatment group (688.01 ± 305.78 ng/L, 394.06 ± 180.97 ng/L, and 70.48 ± 16.62%) compared with the control group (33.90 ± 8.50 ng/L, 76.87 ± 57.21 ng/L, and 32.11 ± 5.25%). The P-values were .015, .019, and .026, respectively, which were <.05. The difference was statistically significant. The BNP and β-EP's 4 correlations (r = 0.895, P <.001), BNP, β-EP, and the combination of BNP and β-EP for acute left heart failure diagnosis in maximizing Youden index sensitivity, specific degree, area under the ROC curve (AUC), and 95% confidence interval (CI) were respectively 93.5%, 81.3%, 0.921, 0.841, 0.921; 80.5%, 78.6%, 0.697, 0.505, 0.697; 94.1%, 83.5%, 0.604 to 0.979, and 0.604. Acute left heart failure in patients with LVEF acuity plasma BNP and β-EP 50% group was obviously lower than that in the LVEF <50% group (P <.01). BNP, β-EP, and LVEF were negatively correlated (r = -0.741, -0.635, P = .013, .018).

LESSONS

β-EP and BNP have high specificity and sensitivity for detecting early acute left heart failure and atrial fibrillation in patients, which is convenient, easy to perform, and suitable for clinical applications.

High early event rates in patients with questionable eligibility for advanced heart failure therapies: Results from the Medical Arm of Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support (Medamacs) Registry

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of ambulatory patients with advanced heart failure (HF) who are not yet inotrope dependent and implications for evaluation and timing for transplant or destination therapy with a left ventricular assist device (DT-LVAD) are unknown. We hypothesized that the characteristics defining eligibility for advanced HF therapies would be a primary determinant of outcomes in these patients.

METHODS

Ambulatory patients with advanced HF (New York Heart Association class III-IV, Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support profiles 4-7) were enrolled across 11 centers from May 2013 to February 2015. Patients were stratified into 3 groups: likely transplant eligible, DT-LVAD eligible, and ineligible for both transplant and DT-LVAD. Clinical characteristics were collected, and patients were prospectively followed for death, transplant, and left ventricular assist device implantation.

RESULTS

The study enrolled 144 patients with a mean follow-up of 10 ± 6 months. Patients in the ineligible cohort (n = 43) had worse congestion, renal function, and anemia compared with transplant (n = 51) and DT-LVAD (n = 50) eligible patients. Ineligible patients had higher mortality (23.3% vs 8.0% in DT-LVAD group and 5.9% in transplant group, p = 0.02). The differences in mortality were related to lower rates of transplantation (11.8% in transplant group vs 2.0% in DT-LVAD group and 0% in ineligible group, p = 0.02) and left ventricular assist device implantation (15.7% in transplant group vs 2.0% in DT-LVAD group and 0% in ineligible group, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Ambulatory patients with advanced HF who were deemed ineligible for transplant and DT-LVAD had markers of greater HF severity and a higher rate of mortality compared with patients eligible for transplant or DT-LVAD. The high early event rate in this group emphasizes the need for timely evaluation and decision making regarding lifesaving therapies.

Outcome of conservative management vs. assist device implantation in patients with advanced refractory heart failure

BACKGROUND

In patients with advanced refractory heart failure (HF) cardiac transplantation (HTX), conservative medical management and the implantation of a ventricular assist device (VAD) represent valuable options. The determination of the best therapeutic destination strategy for the individual patient remains a challenge. The aim of this study was to assess the clinical outcome in advanced refractory HF patients either managed conservatively receiving optimal contemporary medical therapy ('conservative'), or who who underwent pulsatile flow VAD ('pVAD') or continuous-flow VAD ('contVAD') implantation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 118 patients with INTERMACS profile >1 at baseline, who died, or fully completed a 24-month follow-up free from HTX were included into this retrospective analysis. All-cause mortality at 24 months was assessed and compared between the three groups.

RESULTS

Fifty (42%) patients were managed conservatively, 25 (21%) received a pVAD and 43 (36%) a contVAD. NT-proBNP values were comparable between the three groups (median 4402 (IQR 2730-13390) pg/mL, 3580 (1602-6312) pg/mL and 3693 (2679-8065) pg/mL, P = 0·256). Mean survival was 18·6 (95% CI 16·2-21·0) months for patients managed conservatively, 7·0 (3·9-10·0) for pVAD and 20·5 (18·2-22·8) for contVAD (overall log-rank test P < 0·001). Conservatively managed patients spent a mean of 22·4 (95% CI 22·1-22·8), pVAD 17·7 (15·4-20·1) and contVAD 21·6 (21·2-22·1) months out of hospital (conservative vs. pVAD P < 0·001; conservative vs. contVAD P = 0·015; pVAD vs. contVAD P < 0·001).

CONCLUSIONS

In accordance with the literature, contVAD resulted in a significantly better clinical outcome than pVAD implantation. However, conservative management with current optimal medical therapy appears to remain a valuable option for patients with advanced HF.

The ADHF/NT-proBNP risk score to predict 1-year mortality in hospitalized patients with advanced decompensated heart failure

BACKGROUND

The acute decompensated heart failure/N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (ADHF/NT-proBNP) score is a validated risk scoring system that predicts mortality in hospitalized heart failure patients with a wide range of left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEFs). We sought to assess discrimination and calibration of the score when applied to patients with advanced decompensated heart failure (AHF).

METHODS

We studied 445 patients hospitalized for AHF, defined by the presence of severe symptoms of worsening HF at admission, severely depressed LVEF, and the need for intravenous diuretic and/or inotropic drugs. The primary outcome was cumulative (in-hospital and post-discharge) mortality and post-discharge 1-year mortality. Separate analyses were performed for patients aged ≤ 70 years. A Seattle Heart Failure Score (SHFS) was calculated for each patient discharged alive.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 144 patients (32.4%) died, and 69 (15.5%) underwent heart transplantation (HT) or ventricular assist device (VAD) implantation. After accounting for the competing events (VAD/HT), the ADHF/NT-proBNP score's C-statistic for cumulative mortality was 0.738 in the overall cohort and 0.771 in patients aged ≤ 70 years. The C-statistic for post-discharge mortality was 0.741 and 0.751, respectively. Adding prior (≤6 months) hospitalizations for HF to the score increased the C-statistic for post-discharge mortality to 0.759 in the overall cohort and to 0.774 in patients aged ≤ 70 years. Predicted and observed mortality rates by quartiles of score were highly correlated. The SHFS demonstrated adequate discrimination but underestimated the risk. The ADHF/NT-proBNP risk calculator is available at http://www.fsm.it/fsm/file/NTproBNPscore.zip.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that the ADHF/NT-proBNP score may efficiently predict mortality in patients hospitalized with AHF.