Envisaging the actual evapotranspiration and elucidating its effects under climate change scenarios on agrarian lands of bilate river basin in Ethiopia

Assessment of surface water resource and allocation optimization for diverse demands in Ethiopia's upper Bilate Watershed

Water planning and management is very crucial for all computing sectors for water uses to maximize the scarce and allocated water uses based on their demands sustainably in Ethiopia's upper Bilate watershed. The shortage of surface water, especially during dry months, has become a major point of contention between upstream and downstream water users in the upper Bilate River. Therefore, the key objectives of the study are to evaluate the surface water resources and determine the best distribution for a range of requirements in the watershed. The historical climatic and stream flow daily data for the period of 2010-2019 have been used for the analysis. Hydrologic Engineering Center Hydrologic Modeling System-Geospatial Hydrologic Modeling Extension with the Hydrologic Engineering Center Hydrologic Modeling System was used for rainfall-runoff analysis. The model output further represents that the yearly overall surface water of the watershed is 502 MC M. Estimated annual environmental requirement is 75.32MCM which is 15% of the average annual available flow in watershed. Current annual irrigation, livestock, and domestic water demand were estimated to be 19.34 MC M, 12.39 MC M, and 79.4 MC M, respectively. The net amount of water delivered was 19.25 MC M, 79.28 MC M, and 12.36 MC M for irrigation, domestic, and Livestock demands, respectively, in the reference scenario. In the currently available (reference) scenario, 99.8% of the water supply need had been fulfilled, yet only 0.2% of the requirements for water were unmet. Average annual water demand of 111.13 MC M in the current scenario growth to 176.08 MC M when the future growth scenario. In contrast, for the future irrigation development and population projections scenario, 69.8% of the supply-demand became acquainted, and 30.2% of the demand for water remained unfulfilled in 2035. Therefore, to realize good water availability for productive use and allocate water optimal manner constructing a hydraulic structure (dam) upstream of the watershed was recommended.