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Liu Q, Chen P, Wang W, Zhou Y, Xu Y, Cao X, Fan R, Chen W, Huang F, Chen X. A novel scoring model for predicting prolonged mechanical ventilation in cardiac surgery patients: development and validation. Front Cardiovasc Med 2025; 12:1573874. [PMID: 40207306 PMCID: PMC11979142 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2025.1573874] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/10/2025] [Accepted: 03/11/2025] [Indexed: 04/11/2025] Open
Abstract
Objective Prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) is a significant postoperative complication in cardiac surgery, associated with increased mortality and healthcare costs. This study aims to develop and validate a novel scoring model to predict the risk of PMV in cardiac surgery patients. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from 14 comprehensive hospitals in Jiangsu Province, including adult patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), valve surgery, and aortic surgery from January 2021 to December 2022. Predictive variables were selected based on clinical expertise and prior literature, and a nomogram was developed using LASSO regression and multiple logistic regression. Model performance was evaluated using the C-index, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results A total of 5,206 patients were included in the final analysis. The incidence rate of PMV were 11.83% in the training set, 8.65% in the internal validation set, and 15.4% in the external validation set. The nomogram identified 9 significant predictors, including age, gender, preoperative conditions, and surgical factors. The model demonstrated robust performance with C-index values of 0.79 in the training and internal validation sets and 0.75 in the external validation set, indicating good predictive capability. Calibration curves confirmed the accuracy of predicted probabilities, and DCA indicated substantial net benefits for clinical decision-making. Conclusions This study presents a validated scoring model for predicting PMV in cardiac surgery patients, integrating a comprehensive range of clinical variables. The model facilitates early identification of high-risk patients, enabling tailored perioperative strategies and potentially improving patient outcomes and resource utilization in cardiac surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Quan Liu
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Pengfei Chen
- Cardiovascular Surgery Department, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Wuwei Wang
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yifei Zhou
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yichen Xu
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xu Cao
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Rui Fan
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Wen Chen
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Fuhua Huang
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xin Chen
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China
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Fletcher CM, Hinton JV, Perry LA, Greifer N, Williams-Spence J, Segal R, Smith JA, Coulson TG, Reid CM, Bellomo R. Adjunctive Fresh Frozen Plasma Versus Adjunctive Cryoprecipitate in Cardiac Surgery Patients Receiving Platelets for Perioperative Bleeding. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2025; 39:584-593. [PMID: 39794193 DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2024.12.034] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2024] [Revised: 12/10/2024] [Accepted: 12/18/2024] [Indexed: 01/13/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE(S) This study was designed to assess the relative association between adjunctive fresh frozen plasma (FFP) or adjunctive cryoprecipitate and morbidity and mortality in cardiac surgery patients receiving platelets for perioperative bleeding. DESIGN Retrospective cohort study using inverse probability of treatment weighting with entropy balancing. SETTING Multi-institutional study of 58 centers using the Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2021. PARTICIPANTS Cardiac surgery patients who received platelets for perioperative bleeding. INTERVENTIONS Adjunctive FFP versus adjunctive cryoprecipitate transfusion in the perioperative period. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS A total of 12,889 platelet-transfused patients were assessed. Of these, 8,764 received adjunctive FFP and 4,125 received adjunctive cryoprecipitate, with cryoprecipitate increasing over time relative to FFP. After entropy balancing, compared with adjunctive cryoprecipitate, adjunctive FFP transfusion was associated with increased operative mortality (relative risk [RR]: 1.49, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24, 1.79, p < 0.001); 1-year mortality (RR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.13, 1.66, p = 0.001); increased risk of acute kidney injury (RR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.33, p = 0.024); all-cause infection (RR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.29, p = 0.026), and intensive care length of stay in days (adjusted mean difference: 8.02, 95% CI: 1.72, 14.33, p = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS In cardiac surgery patients receiving platelets for perioperative bleeding, adjunctive FFP was independently associated with greater morbidity and mortality compared with adjunctive cryoprecipitate. These hypothesis-generating findings warrant further prospective investigation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Calvin M Fletcher
- Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
| | - Jake V Hinton
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Australia
| | - Luke A Perry
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Australia; Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
| | - Noah Greifer
- Harvard University Institute for Quantitative Social Science, Cambridge, MA
| | - Jenni Williams-Spence
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Reny Segal
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Australia; Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
| | - Julian A Smith
- Department of Surgery (School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health), Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Monash Health, Clayton, Australia
| | - Tim G Coulson
- Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Australia; Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Christopher M Reid
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia
| | - Rinaldo Bellomo
- Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia; Department of Intensive Care, Austin Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Research Centre, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Intensive Care, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia; Data Analytics Research and Evaluation Centre, Austin Hospital, Melbourne, Australia
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Montes FR, Peña-Blanco L, Barragán-Méndez A, Patiño AM, Mantilla-Gutiérrez H, Franco-Gruntorad G. Fibrinogen Dose Variability in Cardiac Surgery Patients Who Required Cryoprecipitate Replacement. Anesth Analg 2025:00000539-990000000-01141. [PMID: 39899453 DOI: 10.1213/ane.0000000000007412] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2025]
Affiliation(s)
- Félix R Montes
- From the Department of Anesthesiology, Fundación Cardioinfantil-Instituto de Cardiología, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Laura Peña-Blanco
- From the Department of Anesthesiology, Fundación Cardioinfantil-Instituto de Cardiología, Bogotá, Colombia
- Research Department, Fundación Cardioinfantil-Instituto de Cardiología, Bogotá, Colombia
| | | | - Angélica M Patiño
- Department of Transfusion Medicine, Fundación Cardioinfantil-Instituto de Cardiología, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Hugo Mantilla-Gutiérrez
- From the Department of Anesthesiology, Fundación Cardioinfantil-Instituto de Cardiología, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - German Franco-Gruntorad
- From the Department of Anesthesiology, Fundación Cardioinfantil-Instituto de Cardiología, Bogotá, Colombia
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Fletcher CM, Hinton JV, Xing Z, Perry LA, Karamesinis A, Shi J, Penny-Dimri JC, Ramson D, Liu Z, Smith JA, Segal R, Coulson TG, Bellomo R. Fresh frozen plasma transfusion after cardiac surgery. Perfusion 2025; 40:103-115. [PMID: 38085647 DOI: 10.1177/02676591231221715] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/22/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Fresh frozen plasma (FFP) transfusion in the intensive care unit (ICU) is commonly used to treat coagulopathy and bleeding in cardiac surgery, despite suggestion that it may increase the risk of morbidity and mortality through mechanisms such as fluid overload and infection. METHODS We retrospectively studied consecutive adults undergoing cardiac surgery from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III and IV databases. We applied propensity score matching to investigate the independent association of within-ICU FFP transfusion with mortality and other key clinical outcomes. RESULTS Of our 12,043 adults who met inclusion criteria, 1585 (13.2%) received perioperative FFP with a median of 2.48 units per recipient (interquartile range [IQR]: 2.04, 4.33) at a median time of 1.83 h (IQR: 0.75, 3.75) after ICU admission. After propensity matching of 952 FFP recipients to 952 controls, we found no significant association between FFP use and hospital mortality (odds ratio (OR): 1.58; 99% confidence interval (CI): 0.57, 3.71), suspected infection (OR: 0.72; 99% CI: 0.49, 1.08), or acute kidney injury (OR: 1.23; 99% CI: 0.91, 1.67). However, FFP was associated with increased days in hospital (adjusted mean difference (AMD): 1.28; 99% CI: 0.27, 2.41; p = .0050), days in intensive care (AMD: 1.28; 99% CI: 0.27, 2.28; p = .0011), and chest tube output in millilitres up to 8 h after transfusion (AMD: 92.98; 99% CI: 52.22, 133.74; p < .0001). CONCLUSIONS After propensity matching, FFP transfusion was not associated with increased hospital mortality, but was associated with increased length of stay and no decrease in bleeding in the early post-transfusion period.
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Affiliation(s)
- Calvin M Fletcher
- Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Jake V Hinton
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Zhongyue Xing
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Luke A Perry
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, VIC, Australia
- Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Alexandra Karamesinis
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Jenny Shi
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Jahan C Penny-Dimri
- Department of Surgery (School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health), Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
| | - Dhruvesh Ramson
- Department of Surgery (School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health), Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
| | - Zhengyang Liu
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Julian A Smith
- Department of Surgery (School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health), Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Monash Health, Clayton, VIC, Australia
| | - Reny Segal
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, VIC, Australia
- Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Tim G Coulson
- Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
- Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Rinaldo Bellomo
- Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
- Department of Intensive Care, Austin Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Research Centre, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Department of Intensive Care, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
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Wang XD, Bao R, Lan Y, Zhao ZZ, Yang XY, Wang YY, Quan ZY, Wang JF, Bian JJ. The incidence, risk factors, and prognosis of acute kidney injury in patients after cardiac surgery. Front Cardiovasc Med 2024; 11:1396889. [PMID: 39081365 PMCID: PMC11286402 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2024.1396889] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2024] [Accepted: 07/02/2024] [Indexed: 08/02/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Acute kidney injury (AKI) represents a significant complication following cardiac surgery, associated with increased morbidity and mortality rates. Despite its clinical importance, there is a lack of universally applicable and reliable methods for the early identification and diagnosis of AKI. This study aimed to examine the incidence of AKI after cardiac surgery, identify associated risk factors, and evaluate the prognosis of patients with AKI. Method This retrospective study included adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery at Changhai Hospital between January 7, 2021, and December 31, 2021. AKI was defined according to the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria. Perioperative data were retrospectively obtained from electronic health records. Logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for AKI. The 30-day survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and differences between survival curves for different AKI severity levels were compared using the log-rank test. Results Postoperative AKI occurred in 257 patients (29.6%), categorized as stage 1 (179 patients, 20.6%), stage 2 (39 patients, 4.5%), and stage 3 (39 patients, 4.5%). The key independent risk factors for AKI included increased mean platelet volume (MPV) and the volume of intraoperative cryoprecipitate transfusions. The 30-day mortality rate was 3.2%. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a lower survival rate in the AKI group (89.1%) compared to the non-AKI group (100%, P < 0.001). Conclusion AKI was notably prevalent following cardiac surgery in this study, significantly impacting survival rates. Notably, MPV and administration of cryoprecipitate may have new considerable predictive significance. Proactive identification and management of high-risk individuals are essential for reducing postoperative complications and mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Jia-feng Wang
- Faculty of Anesthesiology, Changhai Hospital, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Jin-jun Bian
- Faculty of Anesthesiology, Changhai Hospital, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
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Hinton JV, Xing Z, Fletcher C, Perry LA, Karamesinis A, Shi J, Penny-Dimri JC, Ramson D, Coulson TG, Segal R, Smith JA, Williams-Spence J, Weinberg L, Bellomo R. Association of perioperative transfusion of fresh frozen plasma and outcomes after cardiac surgery. Acta Anaesthesiol Scand 2024; 68:753-763. [PMID: 38467589 DOI: 10.1111/aas.14406] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2023] [Revised: 02/15/2024] [Accepted: 02/24/2024] [Indexed: 03/13/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Fresh frozen plasma (FFP) transfusion is used to manage coagulopathy and bleeding in cardiac surgery patients despite uncertainty about its safety and effectiveness. METHODS We performed a propensity score matched analysis of the Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database including patients from 39 centres from 2005 to 2018. We investigated the association of perioperative FFP transfusion with mortality and other clinical outcomes. RESULTS Of 119,138 eligible patients, we successfully matched 13,131 FFP recipients with 13,131 controls. FFP transfusion was associated with 30-day mortality (odds ratio (OR), 1.41; 99% CI, 1.17-1.71; p < .0001), but not with long-term mortality (hazard ratio (HR), 0.92; 99% CI, 0.85-1.00; p = .007, Holm-Bonferroni α = 0.0004). FFP was also associated with return to theatre for bleeding (OR, 1.97; 99% CI, 1.66-2.34; p < .0001), prolonged intubation (OR, 1.15; 99% CI, 1.05-1.26; p < .0001) and increased chest tube drainage (Mean difference (MD) in mL, 131; 99% CI, 120-141; p < .0001). It was also associated with reduced postoperative creatinine levels (MD in g/L, -6.33; 99% CI, -10.28 to -2.38; p < .0001). CONCLUSION In a multicentre, propensity score matched analysis, perioperative FFP transfusion was associated with increased 30-day mortality and had variable associations with secondary clinical outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jake V Hinton
- Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Health, Heidelberg, Victoria, Australia
| | - Zhongyue Xing
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
| | - Calvin Fletcher
- Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Luke A Perry
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
| | - Alexandra Karamesinis
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
| | - Jenny Shi
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
| | - Jahan C Penny-Dimri
- Department of Surgery, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
| | - Dhruvesh Ramson
- Department of Surgery, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
| | - Tim G Coulson
- Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
| | - Reny Segal
- Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
| | - Julian A Smith
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Monash Health, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
| | - Jenni Williams-Spence
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
| | - Laurence Weinberg
- Department of Anaesthesia, Austin Health, Heidelberg, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
| | - Rinaldo Bellomo
- Department of Critical Care, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
- Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Research Centre, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Intensive Care, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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