Pre-hepatectomy carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels among patients undergoing resection of colorectal liver metastases: do CEA levels still have prognostic implications?

Challenges and Opportunities for Precision Surgery for Colorectal Liver Metastases

The incidence of colorectal cancer and colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) is increasing globally due to an interaction of environmental and genetic factors. A minority of patients with CRLM have surgically resectable disease, but for those who have resection as part of multimodal therapy for their disease, long-term survival has been shown. Precision surgery-the idea of careful patient selection and targeting of surgical intervention, such that treatments shown to be proven to benefit on a population level are the optimal treatment for each individual patient-is the new paradigm of care. Key to this is the understanding of tumour molecular biology and clinically relevant mutations, such as KRAS, BRAF, and microsatellite instability (MSI), which can predict poorer overall outcomes and a poorer response to systemic therapy. The emergence of immunotherapy and hepatic artery infusion (HAI) pumps show potential to convert previously unresectable disease to resectable disease, in addition to established systemic and locoregional therapies, but the surgeon must be wary of poor-quality livers and the spectre of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). Volume modulation, a cornerstone of hepatic surgery for a generation, has been given a shot in the arm with the advent of liver venous depletion (LVD) ensuring significantly more hypertrophy of the future liver remnant (FLR). The optimal timing of liver resection for those patients with synchronous disease is yet to be truly established, but evidence would suggest that those patients requiring complex colorectal surgery and major liver resection are best served with a staged approach. In the operating room, parenchyma-preserving minimally invasive surgery (MIS) can dramatically reduce the surgical insult to the patient and lead to better perioperative outcomes, with quicker return to function.

Use of tryptic peptide MALDI mass spectrometry imaging to identify the spatial proteomic landscape of colorectal cancer liver metastases

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. CRC liver metastases (CRLM) are often resistant to conventional treatments, with high rates of recurrence. Therefore, it is crucial to identify biomarkers for CRLM patients that predict cancer progression. This study utilised matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionisation mass spectrometry imaging (MALDI-MSI) in combination with liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) to spatially map the CRLM tumour proteome. CRLM tissue microarrays (TMAs) of 84 patients were analysed using tryptic peptide MALDI-MSI to spatially monitor peptide abundances across CRLM tissues. Abundance of peptides was compared between tumour vs stroma, male vs female and across three groups of patients based on overall survival (0-3 years, 4-6 years, and 7+ years). Peptides were then characterised and matched using LC-MS/MS. A total of 471 potential peptides were identified by MALDI-MSI. Our results show that two unidentified m/z values (1589.876 and 1092.727) had significantly higher intensities in tumours compared to stroma. Ten m/z values were identified to have correlation with biological sex. Survival analysis identified three peptides (Histone H4, Haemoglobin subunit alpha, and Inosine-5'-monophosphate dehydrogenase 2) and two unidentified m/z values (1305.840 and 1661.060) that were significantly higher in patients with shorter survival (0-3 years relative to 4-6 years and 7+ years). This is the first study using MALDI-MSI, combined with LC-MS/MS, on a large cohort of CRLM patients to identify the spatial proteome in this malignancy. Further, we identify several protein candidates that may be suitable for drug targeting or for future prognostic biomarker development.

Predicting Limited Survival After Resection of Synchronous Colorectal Liver Metastases: a Propensity Score Matched Comparison Between The Primary First And The Simultaneous Strategy

BACKGROUND

The best surgical approach to treat synchronous colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) remains unclear. Here, we aimed to identify prognostic factors associated with limited survival comparing patients undergoing primary-first resection (PF) and simultaneous resection (SR) approaches.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed clinical data of 217 patients who underwent resection for synchronous CRLMs between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2021. There were 133 (61.2%) PF resection and 84 (38.8%) SRS. The two groups of patients were compared using propensity score matching (PSM) analysis and cox analysis was performed to identify prognostic factors for overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

After PSM, two groups of 71 patients were compared. Patients undergoing SR had longer operative time (324 ± 104 min vs 250 ± 101 min; p < 0.0001), similar transfusion (33.3% vs 28.1%; p = 0.57), and similar complication rates (35.9% vs 27.2%; p = 0.34) than patients undergoing PF. The median overall survival and 5-year survival rates were comparable (p = 0.94) between patients undergoing PF (48.2 months and 44%) and patients undergoing SR (45.9 months and 30%). Multivariate Cox analysis identified pre-resection elevated CEA levels (HR: 2.38; 95% CI: 1.20-4.70; P = .01), left colonic tumors (HR: 0.34; 95% CI: 0.17-0.68; P = .002), and adjuvant treatment (HR: 0.43; 95% CI: 0.22-0.83; P = .01) as independent prognostic factors for OS.

CONCLUSIONS

In the presence of synchronous CRLM, right colonic tumors, persistent high CEA levels before surgery, and the absence of adjuvant treatment identified patients characterized by a limited survival rate after resection. The approach used (PF vs SR) does not influence short and long-term outcomes.

The time-dependent changes in serum carcinoembryonic antigen impact on posthepatectomy outcomes of colorectal liver metastasis

BACKGROUND

Only a few studies have examined the impact of carcinoembryonic antigen variation in patients before and after curative resection of colorectal liver metastasis . This study examined the correlation between carcinoembryonic antigen levels and patient prognosis.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative resection for colorectal liver metastasis between 2000 and 2017 were enrolled. This study examined patients with high preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels that normalized after resection of colorectal liver metastasis and the correlation between prognosis and time-dependent changes in carcinoembryonic antigen levels. The similarity in the risk of recurrence in patients with normal preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels was evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 143 consecutive patients were included in the study cohort and classified into the normal preoperative (46 patients), normalized postoperative (57 patients), and elevated preoperative and postoperative (40 patients) carcinoembryonic antigen groups. All clinicopathologic characteristics were comparable between patients grouped according to carcinoembryonic antigen levels. The 5-year disease-free survival and overall survival rates for all patients were 30.4% and 56.0%, respectively. Multivariate analysis confirmed that elevated preoperative and postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels (hazard ratio = 1.73, 95% confidence interval: 1.04-2.87) were independently associated with poor disease-free survival; normalization of postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (hazard ratio = 0.94, 95% confidence interval: 0.57-1.53) was statistically indistinguishable from normal preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels. The risk of recurrence was similar to that of patients with normal preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels CONCLUSION: Patients with elevated preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels that normalized after resection of colorectal liver metastasis were not at risk of poor disease-free survival. Elevated carcinoembryonic antigen levels after surgery are independent prognostic factors for disease-free survival.

Machine Learning Approach to Stratifying Prognosis Relative to Tumor Burden after Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastases: An International Cohort Analysis

BACKGROUND

Assessing overall tumor burden on the basis of tumor number and size may assist in prognostic stratification of patients after resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). We sought to define the prognostic accuracy of tumor burden by using machine learning (ML) algorithms compared with other commonly used prognostic scoring systems.

STUDY DESIGN

Patients who underwent hepatectomy for CRLM between 2001 and 2018 were identified from a multi-institutional database and split into training and validation cohorts. ML was used to define tumor burden (ML-TB) based on CRLM tumor number and size thresholds associated with 5-year overall survival. Prognostic ability of ML-TB was compared with the Fong and Genetic and Morphological Evaluation scores using Cohen's d.

RESULTS

Among 1,344 patients who underwent resection of CRLM, median tumor number (2, interquartile range 1 to 3) and size (3 cm, interquartile range 2.0 to 5.0) were comparable in the training (n = 672) vs validation (n = 672) cohorts; patient age (training 60.8 vs validation 61.0) and preoperative CEA (training 10.2 ng/mL vs validation 8.3 ng/mL) was also similar (p > 0.05). ML empirically derived optimal cutoff thresholds for number of lesions (3) and size of the largest lesion (1.3 cm) in the training cohort, which were then used to categorize patients in the validation cohort into 3 prognostic groups. Patients with low, average, or high ML-TB had markedly different 5-year overall survival (51.6%, 40.9%, and 23.1%, respectively; p < 0.001). ML-TB was more effective at stratifying patients relative to 5-year overall survival (low vs high ML-TB, d = 2.73) vs the Fong clinical (d = 1.61) or Genetic and Morphological Evaluation (d = 0.84) scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Using a large international cohort, ML was able to stratify patients into 3 distinct prognostic categories based on overall tumor burden. ML-TB was noted to be superior to other CRLM prognostic scoring systems.

Nontumor related risk score: A new tool to improve prediction of prognosis after hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases

BACKGROUND

Prognostic stratification of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis based solely on tumor-related factors has only moderate discriminatory ability. We hypothesized that the inclusion of nontumor related factors can improve prediction of long-term prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis.

METHODS

Nontumor related laboratory markers were assessed utilizing a training cohort from 2 U.S. institutions (n = 1,205). Factors independently associated with prognosis were used to develop a nontumor related prognostic score. The discriminatory ability, assessed by Harrell's C-statistics (C-index) and net reclassification improvement, was validated and compared with 3 commonly used tumor-related clinical risk scores: Fong clinical risk scores, m-clinical risk scores, and Genetic and Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score in an external validation cohort from 5 Asian (n = 1,307) and 3 European (n = 1,058) institutions. The discriminatory ability of nontumor related prognostic score combined with each of these 3 tumor-related prognostic scores was also estimated.

RESULTS

Alkaline phosphatase (hazard ratio 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-1.84), albumin (hazard ratio 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.57-0.89), and mean corpuscular volume (hazard ratio 19.0, per log unit; 95% confidence interval, 4.79-75.0) were each independently associated with increased risk of death after resection of colorectal cancer liver metastasis (all P < .05). In turn, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, and mean corpuscular volume were combined to form a nontumor related prognostic score (2.942 × mean corpuscular volume + 0.399 × alkaline phosphatase-0.339 × albumin-12) × 10 (median, 16; range, 1-30). The nontumor related prognostic score had good-to-modest discriminatory ability in the external cohort (C-index = 0.58), which was comparable to the 3 established tumor-related prognostic scores (C-index: Fong clinical risk scores, 0.53, m-clinical risk scores, 0.55, GAME, 0.58). The addition of the nontumor related prognostic score to the tumor-related prognostic scores enhanced the discriminatory ability in the entire study cohort (C-index: nontumor related score+Fong, 0.60, nontumor related score+m-clinical risk scores, 0.61, nontumor related score+GAME, 0.64), as well reclassification improvement (42.5, 42.7%, and 21.2%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Nontumor related prognostic information may help improve the prognostic stratification of patients after resection of colorectal cancer liver metastasis. The nontumor related prognostic score may be combined with tumor-related prognostic tools to enhance prognostic stratification of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis.

The Prognostic Value of Total Tumor Volume Response Compared With RECIST1.1 in Patients With Initially Unresectable Colorectal Liver Metastases Undergoing Systemic Treatment

Objectives

Compare total tumor volume (TTV) response after systemic treatment to Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST1.1) and assess the prognostic value of TTV change and RECIST1.1 for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with colorectal liver-only metastases (CRLM).

Background

RECIST1.1 provides unidimensional criteria to evaluate tumor response to systemic therapy. Those criteria are accepted worldwide but are limited by interobserver variability and ignore potentially valuable information about TTV.

Methods

Patients with initially unresectable CRLM receiving systemic treatment from the randomized, controlled CAIRO5 trial (NCT02162563) were included. TTV response was assessed using software specifically developed together with SAS analytics. Baseline and follow-up computed tomography (CT) scans were used to calculate RECIST1.1 and TTV response to systemic therapy. Different thresholds (10%, 20%, 40%) were used to define response of TTV as no standard currently exists. RFS was assessed in a subgroup of patients with secondarily resectable CRLM after induction treatment.

Results

A total of 420 CT scans comprising 7820 CRLM in 210 patients were evaluated. In 30% to 50% (depending on chosen TTV threshold) of patients, discordance was observed between RECIST1.1 and TTV change. A TTV decrease of >40% was observed in 47 (22%) patients who had stable disease according to RECIST1.1. In 118 patients with secondarily resectable CRLM, RFS was shorter for patients with less than 10% TTV decrease compared with patients with more than 10% TTV decrease (P = 0.015), while RECIST1.1 was not prognostic (P = 0.821).

Conclusions

TTV response assessment shows prognostic potential in the evaluation of systemic therapy response in patients with CRLM.

The prognostic value of preoperative serum lactate dehydrogenase levels in patients underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases: A two-center cohort study

Background

The prognostic value of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in colorectal cancer patients has remained inconsistent between nonmetastatic and metastatic settings. So far, very few studies have included LDH in the prognostic analysis of curative‐intent surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

Patients and Methods

Five hundred and eighty consecutive metastatic colorectal cancer patients who underwent curative‐intent CRLM resection from Sun Yat‐sen University Cancer Center (434 patients) and Sun Yat‐sen University Sixth Affiliated Hospital (146 patients) in 2000–2019 were retrospectively collected. Overall survival (OS) was the primary end point. Cox regression model was performed to identify the prognostic values of preoperative serum LDH levels and other clinicopathology variables. A modification of the established Fong CRS scoring system comprising LDH was developed within this Chinese population.

Results

At the median follow‐up time of 60.5 months, median OS was 59.5 months in the pooled cohort. In the multivariate analysis, preoperative LDH >upper limit of normal (250 U/L) was the strongest independent prognostic factor for OS (HR 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22–2.44; p < 0.001). Patients with elevated LDH levels showed impaired OS than patients with normal LDH levels (27.6 months vs. 68.8 months). Five‐year survival rates were 53.7% and 22.5% in the LDH‐normal group and LDH‐high group, respectively. Similar results were also confirmed in each cohort. In the subgroup analysis, LDH could distinguish the survival regardless of most established prognostic factors (number and size of CRLM, surgical margin, extrahepatic metastases, CEA, and CA19‐9 levels, etc.). Integrating LDH into the Fong score contributed to an improvement in the predictive value.

Conclusion

Our study implicates serum LDH as a reliable and independent laboratory biomarker to predict the clinical outcome of curative‐intent surgery for CRLM. Composite of LDH and Fong score is a potential stratification tool for CRLM resection. Prospective, international studies are needed to validate these results across diverse populations.

Performance of two prognostic scores that incorporate genetic information to predict long-term outcomes following resection of colorectal cancer liver metastases: An external validation of the MD Anderson and JHH-MSK scores

INTRODUCTION

Two novel clinical risk scores (CRS) that incorporate KRAS mutation status were developed: modified CRS (mCRS) and GAME score. However, they have not been tested in large national and international cohorts. The aim of this study was to validate the prognostic discrimination utility and determine the clinical usefulness of the two novel CRS.

METHODS

Patients undergoing hepatectomy for CRLM (2000-2018) in 10 centers were included. The discriminatory abilities of mCRS, GAME, and Fong CRS were evaluated using Harrell's C-index and Akaike's Information Criterion.

RESULTS

In the entire cohort, the C-index of the GAME score (0.61) was significantly higher than those of Fong score (0.57) and mCRS (0.54), while the C-Index of mCRS was significantly lower than that of Fong score. When we compared the models in the various geographical regions, the C-index of GAME score was significantly higher than that of mCRS in North America, Europe, and South America. The AIC of Fong score, mCRS, and GAME score were 14 405, 14 447, and 14 319, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, using the largest and most heterogenous population of CRLM patients with known KRAS status, this independent, external validation demonstrated that the GAME score outperforms both the traditional Fong score and mCRS.

Preoperative nomogram to predict survival following colorectal cancer liver metastasis simultaneous resection

Background

Simultaneous resection for patients with synchronous colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) remains an optimal option for the sake of curability. However, few studies so far focus on outcome of this subgroup of patients (who receive simultaneous resection for CRLM). Substantial heterogeneity exists among such patients and more precise categorization is needed preoperatively to identify those who may benefit more from surgery. In this study, we formulated this internally validated scoring system as an option.

Methods

Clinicopathological and follow-up data of 234 eligible CRLM patients undergoing simultaneous resection from January 2010 to March 2019 in our center were included for analysis. Patients were randomized to either a training or validation cohort. We performed multivariable Cox regression analysis to determine preoperative factors with prognostic significance using data in training cohort, and a nomogram scoring system was thus established. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration plot were adopted to evaluate the predictive power of our risk model.

Results

In the multivariable Cox regression analysis, five factors including presence of node-positive primary defined by enhanced CT/MR, preoperative CEA level, primary tumor location, tumor grade and number of liver metastases were identified as independent prognostic indicators of overall survival (OS) and adopted to formulate the nomogram. In the training cohort, calibration plot graphically showed good fitness between estimated and actual 1- and 3-year OS. Time-dependent ROC curve by Kaplan-Meier method showed that our nomogram model was superior to widely used Fong's score in prediction of 1- and 3-year OS (AUC 0.702 vs. 0.591 and 0.848 vs. 0.801 for 1- and 3-year prediction in validation cohort, respectively). Kaplan-Meier curves for patients stratified by the assessment of nomogram showed great discriminability (P<0.001).

Conclusions

In this retrospective analysis we identified several preoperative factors affecting survival of synchronous CRLM patients undergoing simultaneous resection. We also constructed and validated a risk model which showed high accuracy in predicting 1- and 3-year survival after surgery. Our risk model is expected to serve as a predictive tool for CRLM patients receiving simultaneous resection and assist physicians to make treatment decision.

The optimal cut-off values for tumor size, number of lesions, and CEA levels in patients with surgically treated colorectal cancer liver metastases: An international, multi-institutional study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Despite the long-standing consensus on the importance of tumor size, tumor number and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels as predictors of long-term outcomes among patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), optimal prognostic cut-offs for these variables have not been established.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent resection of CRLM and had available data on at least one of the three variables of interest above were selected from a multi-institutional dataset of patients with known KRAS mutational status. The resulting cohort was randomly split into training and testing datasets and recursive partitioning analysis was employed to determine optimal cut-offs. The concordance probability estimates (CPEs) for these optimal cut offs were calculated and compared to CPEs for the most widely used cut-offs in the surgical literature.

RESULTS

A total of 1643 patients who met eligibility criteria were identified. Following recursive partitioning analysis in the training dataset, the following cut-offs were identified: 2.95 cm for tumor size, 1.5 for tumor number and 6.15 ng/ml for CEA levels. In the entire dataset, the calculated CPEs for the new tumor size (0.52), tumor number (0.56) and CEA (0.53) cut offs exceeded CPEs for other commonly employed cut-offs.

CONCLUSION

The current study was able to identify optimal cut-offs for the three most commonly employed prognostic factors in CRLM. While the per variable gains in discriminatory power are modest, these novel cut-offs may help produce appreciable increases in prognostic performance when combined in the context of future risk scores.

Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastasis: Prognostic Impact of Tumor Burden vs KRAS Mutational Status

BACKGROUND

The prognostic impact of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) morphologic characteristics relative to KRAS mutational status after hepatic resection remains ill defined.

STUDY DESIGN

Patients undergoing hepatectomy for CRLM between 2001 and 2018 were identified using an international multi-institutional database. Tumor burden score (TBS) was defined as distance from origin on a Cartesian plane that incorporated maximum tumor size (x-axis) and number of lesions (y-axis). Impact of TBS on overall survival (OS) relative to KRAS status (wild type [wtKRAS] vs mutated [mutKRAS]) was assessed.

RESULTS

Among 1,361 patients, the median number of metastatic lesions was 2 (interquartile range [IQR] 1-3), and median size of the largest metastatic lesion was 3.0 cm (IQR 2.0-5.0 cm), resulting in a median TBS of 4.1 (IQR 2.8-6.1); KRAS status was wtKRAS (n = 420, 30.9%), mutKRAS (n = 251, 18.4%), and unknown (n = 690, 50.7%). Overall median and 5-year OS were 49.5 months (95%CI 45.2-53.8) and 43.2%, respectively. In examining the entire cohort, TBS was associated with long-term prognosis (5-year OS, low TBS: 49.4% vs high TBS: 36.7%), as was KRAS mutational status (5-year OS, wtKRAS: 48.2% vs mutKRAS: 31.1%; unknown KRAS: 44.0%)(both p < 0.01). Among patients with wtKRAS tumors, TBS was strongly associated with improved OS (5-year OS, low TBS: 59.1% vs high TBS: 38.4%, p = 0.002); however, TBS failed to discriminate long-term prognosis among patients with mutKRAS tumors (5-year OS, low TBS: 37.4% vs high TBS: 26.7%, p = 0.19). In fact, patients with high TBS/wtKRAS CRLM had comparable outcomes to patients with low TBS/mutKRAS tumors (5-year OS, 38.4% vs 37.4%, respectively; p = 0.59). On multivariable analysis, while TBS was associated with OS among patients with wtKRAS CRLM (hazard ratio 1.43, 95%CI 1.02-2.00; p = 0.03), TBS was not an independent predictor of survival among patients with mutKRAS CRLM (HR 1.36, 95%CI 0.92-1.99; p = 0.12).

CONCLUSIONS

While TBS was associated with survival among patients with wtKRAS tumors, CRLM morphology was not predictive of long-term outcomes among patients with mutKRAS CRLM.

Prognostic factors differ according to KRAS mutational status: A classification and regression tree model to define prognostic groups after hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastasis

BACKGROUND

Although KRAS mutation status is known to affect the prognosis of patients with colorectal liver metastasis, the hierarchical association between other prognostic factors and KRAS status is not fully understood.

METHODS

Patients who underwent a hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastasis were identified in a multi-institutional international database. A classification and regression tree model was constructed to investigate the hierarchical association between prognostic factors and overall survival relative to KRAS status.

RESULTS

Among 1,123 patients, 29.9% (n = 336) had a KRAS mutation. Among wtKRAS patients, the classification and regression tree model identified presence of metastatic lymph nodes as the most important prognostic factor, whereas among mtKRAS patients, carcinoembryonic antigen level was identified as the most important prognostic factor. Among patients with wtKRAS, the highest 5-year overall survival (68.5%) was noted among patients with node negative primary colorectal cancer, solitary colorectal liver metastases, size <4.3 cm. In contrast, among patients with mtKRAS colorectal liver metastases, the highest 5-year overall survival (57.5%) was observed among patients with carcinoembryonic antigen <6 mg/mL. The classification and regression tree model had higher prognostic accuracy than the Fong score (wtKRAS [Akaike's Information Criterion]: classification and regression tree model 3334 vs Fong score 3341; mtKRAS [Akaike's Information Criterion]: classification and regression tree model 1356 vs Fong score 1396).

CONCLUSION

Machine learning methodology outperformed the traditional Fong clinical risk score and identified different factors, based on KRAS mutational status, as predictors of long-term prognosis.

Cancers Metastatic to the Liver

The liver is a common site of metastatic cancer spread, and metastatic lesions are the most common malignant liver tumors. Diagnosis of liver metastases often is established based on clinical assessment, laboratory tests, and appropriate imaging. Surgical resection is the treatment of choice for resectable colorectal and neuroendocrine liver metastases. Long-term survival outcome data after treatment of hepatic metastases of noncolorectal non-neuroendocrine tumors are less robust. The treatment strategy for patients with liver metastases should be determined case by case in a multidisciplinary setting.

Applicability of postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels in determining post-liver-resection adjuvant chemotherapy regimens for colorectal cancer hepatic metastasis

Liver resection (LR) is the standard procedure for treating colorectal cancer (CRC) hepatic metastasis; however, LR associated with a high recurrence incidence. This study aimed to determine an optimal post-LR adjuvant chemotherapeutic strategy to improve overall long-term patient outcomes. A retrospective study of 490 patients who had undergone curative LR for CRC hepatic metastasis was performed. Patients who underwent post-LR adjuvant chemotherapy demonstrated high overall survival (OS) rates (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.58, P = .002) but not high recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates (HR = 1.02, P = .885). Moreover, OS was significantly longer in patients who underwent 5-fluorouracil + leucovorin (5-FU/LV; HR = 0.63, P = .039), oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy (HR = 0.45, P < .001), or irinotecan-based chemotherapy with bevacizumab (HR = 0.64, P = .040) than in those who did not. Among patients with carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels of <5 ng/mL at 1 month after LR, significant differences were noted only in those who underwent 5-FU/LV (HR = 0.58, P = .035) and oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy (HR = 0.38, P < .001). In conclusion, perioperative CEA levels are crucial in prognosis and treatment of patients with CRC hepatic metastasis after LR. Additionally, certain regimens of adjuvant chemotherapy alongside post-LR CEA levels may provide beneficial results.

Higher Tumor Burden Neutralizes Negative Margin Status in Hepatectomy for Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastasis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to examine if the prognostic significance of margin status in hepatectomy for colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) varies for different levels of tumor burden because hepatectomy indications for CRLM have been recently expanded to include patients with a higher tumor burden in whom achieving an R0 resection is difficult.

METHODS

Clinicopathological variables in an exploration cohort of 290 patients receiving hepatectomy in Japan for CRLM were investigated. R0 resection was defined as a margin width > 0 mm. Tumor burden was assessed using the recently introduced Tumor Burden Score (TBS), which was calculated as TBS² = (maximum tumor diameter in cm)² + (number of lesions)². The principal findings were validated using a cohort from the United States.

RESULTS

R1 resection rates significantly increased as TBS increased: 4/86 (4.7%) in patients with TBS < 3, 29/171 (17.0%) in patients with TBS ≥ 3 and < 9, and 9/33 (27.3%) in patients with TBS ≥ 9 (p < 0.001). R0 resection was significantly superior to R1 resection in patients with TBS ≥ 5; however, this was not the case for TBS ≥ 6, as confirmed by both univariate and multivariate analyses. Furthermore, prehepatectomy chemotherapy was associated with significantly improved survival for patients with TBS ≥ 8. Analysis of the validation cohort yielded similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

R0 resection appeared to have a positive impact on prognosis among patients with low tumor burden; however, this was not the case for patients with high tumor burden. As such, systemic treatment, in addition to surgery, may be central to achieving satisfactory outcomes in the latter patient population.

Serum tumor markers enhance the predictive power of the AJCC and LCSGJ staging systems in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

While several prognostic models have been developed to predict long-term outcomes in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), their prognostic discrimination remains limited. The addition of tumor markers might improve the prognostic power of the classification schemas proposed by the AJCC 8th edition and the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan (LCSGJ).

METHODS

The prognostic discrimination of the AJCC and the LCSGJ were compared before and after the addition of CA 19-9 and CEA, using Harrell's C-index, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) in an international, multi-institutional cohort.

RESULTS

Eight hundred and five surgically treated patients with ICC that met the inclusion criteria were identified. On multivariable analysis, CEA5 ng/mL, 100IU/mL CA 19-9< 500IU/mL and CA 19-9500 IU/mL were associated with worse overall survival. The C-index of the AJCC and the LCSGJ improved from 0.540 to 0.626 and 0.553 to 0.626, respectively following incorporation of CA 19-9 and CEA. The NRI and IDI metrics confirmed the superiority of the modified AJCC and LCSGJ, compared to the original versions.

CONCLUSION

The inclusion of preoperative CA 19-9 and CEA in the AJCC and LCSGJ staging schemas may improve prognostic discrimination among surgically treated patients with ICC.

Genetic And Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score for patients with colorectal liver metastases

BACKGROUND

This study sought to develop a clinical risk score for resectable colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) by combining clinicopathological and clinically available biological indicators, including KRAS.

METHODS

A cohort of patients who underwent resection for CRLM at the Johns Hopkins Hospital (JHH) was analysed to identify independent predictors of overall survival (OS) that can be assessed before operation; these factors were combined into the Genetic And Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score. The score was compared with the current standard (Fong score) and validated in an external cohort of patients from the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC).

RESULTS

Six preoperative predictors of worse OS were identified on multivariable Cox regression analysis in the JHH cohort (502 patients). The GAME score was calculated by allocating points to each patient according to the presence of these predictive factors: KRAS-mutated tumours (1 point); carcinoembryonic antigen level 20 ng/ml or more (1 point), primary tumour lymph node metastasis (1 point); Tumour Burden Score between 3 and 8 (1 point) or 9 and over (2 points); and extrahepatic disease (2 points). The high-risk group in the JHH cohort (GAME score at least 4 points) had a 5-year OS rate of 11 per cent, compared with 73·4 per cent for those in the low-risk group (score 0-1 point). Importantly, in cohorts from both the JHH and MSKCC (747 patients), the discriminatory capacity of the GAME score was superior to that of the Fong score, as demonstrated by the C-index and the Akaike information criterion.

CONCLUSION

The GAME score is a preoperative prognostic tool that can be used to inform treatment selection.

The Prognostic Impact of Determining Resection Margin Status for Multiple Colorectal Metastases According to the Margin of the Largest Lesion

BACKGROUND

Although the prognostic role of surgical margin status after resection of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) has been previously examined, controversy still surrounds the importance of surgical margin status in patients with multiple tumors.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent surgery for CRLM from 2000 to 2015 and who presented with multiple tumors were identified. Patients with R1 resection status determined by the closest resection margin of the non-largest tumor were classified as R1-Type 1; patients with R1 status determined by the resection margin of the largest tumor were defined as R1-Type 2. Data regarding surgical margin status, size of tumors, and overall survival (OS) were collected and assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 251 patients met inclusion criteria; 156 patients (62.2%) had a negative margin (R0), 50 had an R1-type 1 (19.9%), and 45 had an R1-type 2 (17.9%) margin. Median and 5-year OS in the entire cohort was 56.4 months and 48.0%, respectively. When all R1 (Type 1 + Type 2) patients were compared with R0 patients, an R1 was not associated with worse prognosis (P = 0.05). In contrast, when R1-type 2 patients were compared with R0 patients, an R1 was strongly associated with worse OS (P = 0.009). On multivariate analysis, although the prognostic impact of all R1 was not associated with OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.56; P = 0.08), R1-Type 2 margin status independently predicted a poor outcome (HR 1.93; P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

The impact of margin status varied according to the size of the tumor assessed. While R1 margin status defined according to the non-largest tumor was not associated with OS, R1 margin status relative to the largest index lesion was associated with prognosis.