Elevation of CA19-9 and CEA is associated with a poor prognosis in patients with resectable gallbladder carcinoma

Prognostic factors for resected cases with gallbladder carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Current meta-analysis was performed to systematically evaluate the potential prognostic factors for overall survival among resected cases with gallbladder carcinoma.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library were systematically retrieved and hazard ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence interval were directly extracted from the original study or roughly estimated via Tierney's method. Standard Parmar modifications were used to determine pooled HRs.

RESULTS

A total of 36 studies with 11 502 cases were identified. Pooled results of univariate analyses indicated that advanced age (HR=1.02, P =0.00020), concurrent gallstone disease (HR=1.22, P =0.00200), elevated preoperative CA199 level (HR=1.93, P <0.00001), advanced T stage (HR=3.09, P <0.00001), lymph node metastasis (HR=2.78, P <0.00001), peri-neural invasion (HR=2.20, P <0.00001), lymph-vascular invasion (HR=2.37, P <0.00001), vascular invasion (HR=2.28, P <0.00001), poorly differentiated tumor (HR=3.22, P <0.00001), hepatic side tumor (HR=1.85, P <0.00001), proximal tumor (neck/cystic duct) (HR=1.78, P <0.00001), combined bile duct resection (HR=1.45, P <0.00001), and positive surgical margin (HR=2.90, P <0.00001) were well-established prognostic factors. Pathological subtypes ( P =0.53000) and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy ( P =0.70000) were not prognostic factors. Pooled results of multivariate analyses indicated that age, gallstone disease, preoperative CA199, T stage, lymph node metastasis, peri-neural invasion, lymph-vascular invasion, tumor differentiation status, tumor location (peritoneal side vs hepatic side), surgical margin, combined bile duct resection, and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

Various prognostic factors have been identified beyond the 8th AJCC staging system. By incorporating these factors into a prognostic model, a more individualized prognostication and treatment regime would be developed. Upcoming multinational studies are required for the further refine and validation.

Efficacy and predictors of immune checkpoint inhibitors in patients with gallbladder cancer

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have shown promising efficacy in multiple cancers including biliary tract cancers (BTCs). However, the data focusing on the efficacy of ICIs in patients with gallbladder cancer (GBC) is still limited. In this study, we aim to assess the efficacy of ICIs in GBC and explore the clinicopathologic and molecular markers associated with ICI benefit. We retrospective analyzed 69 GBC patients who had received ICI therapy between January 2016 and December 2020. Tumor samples were obtained for genomic sequencing and immunohistochemical analysis. The median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was 4.4 months and 8.5 months, respectively. Multivariate analysis indicated that alcohol intake history, carcinoma embryonic antigen (CEA) level ≥100 U/mL, and cutaneous immune-related adverse events (irAEs) were independent prognostic factors for PFS. CEA level ≥100 U/mL and cutaneous irAEs were independent prognostic factors for OS. The objective response rate and disease control rate (DCR) were 15.9% and 37.7%, respectively. Patients with cutaneous irAEs, high CD8+ T cell infiltrated or immune inflamed GBCs had higher DCR. Patients with high CD8+ T cell infiltrated or immune inflamed GBCs also had a notably improved prognosis. These results suggest that ICIs were effective in patients with GBC. High CEA level, cutaneous irAEs, high CD8+ T cell infiltration, and immune inflamed phenotype could be useful for predicting the efficacy of ICIs in GBC.

Prognostic Insights and Survival Analysis of Gallbladder Cancer in Bihar, India: a Prospective Observational Study Emphasizing the Impact of Surgical Intervention on Overall Survival

The aim of this study was to determine the 1- and 3-year overall survival rates. This prospective observational study was conducted at a tertiary care center in Bihar state, India. The study analyzed 228 patients in Bihar with a median age at diagnosis of 55 ± 12.05 years. The most common symptoms included upper abdominal pain (26.3%), weight loss (14%), and ascites (13.6%). The majority of patients presented at stage IV (72.8%), with liver metastasis being prevalent (61.4%). Interventional biliary drainage was performed in 9.6% of cases, and systemic chemotherapy was received by 84.64%, while 15.36% opted for best supportive care. Univariate Cox regression analysis identified Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status, stage, gallstone disease, and surgical intervention as significant risk factors influencing overall survival (OS) (p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed ECOG performance status (p < 0.001), stage (p = 0.039), and surgical intervention (p = 0.038) as independent factors impacting OS. One-year OS rates for stages II, III, and IV were 100%, 97%, and 44%, respectively, while 3-year OS rates were 29%, 4%, and 0%. Surgical intervention significantly influenced OS (p < 0.001). OS for surgical intervention was 28 months, and for inoperable cases, it was 12 months. One- and 3-year OS for surgical intervention were 95% and 11%, while for inoperable cases, they were 41% and 0%, respectively. Patients with gallbladder cancer, particularly in Bihar's Gangetic plains, face poor survival, especially with advanced disease. Adequate surgery improves outcomes, prompting a call for enhanced strategies, particularly for locally advanced GBC.

Nomograms to predict long-term survival for patients with gallbladder carcinoma after resection

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection remains the primary treatment option for gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). However, there is a pressing demand for prognostic tools that can refine patients' treatment choices and tailor personalized therapies accordingly.

AIMS

The nomograms were constructed using the data of a training cohort (n = 378) of GBC patients at Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital (EHBH) between 2008 and 2018. The model's performance was validated in GBC patients (n = 108) at Guangzhou Centre from 2007 to 2018.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate in the training cohort was 24.4%. Multivariate analyses were performed using preoperative and postoperative data to identify independent predictors of OS. These predictors were then incorporated into preoperative and postoperative nomograms, respectively. The C-index of the preoperative nomogram was 0.661 (95% CI, 0.627 to 0.694) for OS prediction and correctly delineated four subgroups (5-year OS rates: 48.1%, 19.0%, 15.6%, and 8.1%, p < 0.001). The C-index of the postoperative nomogram was 0.778 (95%CI, 0.756 -0.800). Furthermore, this nomogram was superior to the 8th TNM system in both C-index and the net benefit on decision curve analysis. The results were externally validated.

CONCLUSION

The two nomograms showed an optimally prognostic prediction in GBC patients after curative-intent resection.

Preclinical evaluation of chimeric antigen receptor T cells targeting the carcinoembryonic antigen as a potential immunotherapy for gallbladder cancer

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is commonly diagnosed at late stages when conventional treatments achieve only modest clinical benefit. Therefore, effective treatments for advanced GBC are needed. In this context, the administration of T cells genetically engineered with chimeric antigen receptors (CAR) has shown remarkable results in hematological cancers and is being extensively studied for solid tumors. Interestingly, GBC tumors express canonical tumor-associated antigens, including the carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). However, the potential of CEA as a relevant antigen in GBC to be targeted by CAR-T cell-based immunotherapy has not been addressed. Here we show that CEA was expressed in 88% of GBC tumors, with higher levels associated with advanced disease stages. CAR-T cells specifically recognized plate-bound CEA as evidenced by up-regulation of 4-1BB, CD69 and PD-1, and production of effector cytokines IFN-γ and TNF-α. In addition, CD8+ CAR-T cells up-regulated the cytotoxic molecules granzyme B and perforin. Interestingly, CAR-T cell activation occurred even in the presence of PD-L1. Consistent with these results, CAR-T cells efficiently recognized GBC cell lines expressing CEA and PD-L1, but not a CEA-negative cell line. Furthermore, CAR-T cells exhibited in vitro cytotoxicity and reduced in vivo tumor growth of GB-d1 cells. In summary, we demonstrate that CEA represents a relevant antigen for GBC that can be targeted by CAR-T cells at the preclinical level. This study warrants further development of the adoptive transfer of CEA-specific CAR-T cells as a potential immunotherapy for GBC.

Prognostic Relevance of PDL1 and CA19-9 Expression in Gallbladder Cancer vs. Inflammatory Lesions

Chronic inflammation in the gallbladder leading to persistent epithelium damage promotes invasive cancer. The study aimed to assess the prognostic value of PDL1 and CA19-9 markers in cancer/inflammatory lesions of the gallbladder. A total of 29 cases (19 cancer and 10 inflammatory) were included. The PDL1 protein concentration level and mRNA expression were assessed in the tissues' lysates by ELISA and real-time PCR, respectively. PDL1 and CA19-9 concentration levels were compared and statistically related with clinico-pathological variables. The PDL1 protein level and its relative mRNA expression were correlated. Kaplan-Meir survival and Cox regression analyses were conducted for predicting prognosis. This study investigated the PDL1 and CA19-9 marker expression in both cancer and inflammatory cases of the gallbladder (p = 0.48 and p = 0.17 respectively). PDL1 protein expression was significantly associated with the hormonal profile of the cases (p = 0.04) at an optimum cut-off value of 13 pg/mL, while the CA19-9 marker expression was correlated with the status of liver metastasis (p = 0.0043) and size of the tumor (p = 0.004). A low PDL1 concentration was found when compared to the CA19-9 level among cancer cases (p = 0.12) and proportional in the inflammatory lesions (p = 0.63). A significant positive correlation was found between the PDL1 protein and its relative mRNA expressions in the inflammatory lesions (p = 0.029) when compared to cancer cases (p = 0.069). Our results showed that a protein-based assay for PDL1 expression would be more sensitive compared to RNA based assays for GBC risk stratifications. Overall survival was predicted with CA19-9 and PDL1 levels (p = 0.0074, p = 0.23, respectively). PDL1 and CA19-9 may act as a probable predictor of a poor prognosis in gallbladder cancer (GBC) cases.

Comparison of clinicopathological characteristics of mucinous adenocarcinoma and conventional adenocarcinoma of gallbladder

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder mucinous adenocarcinoma (GBMAC) is a rare type of gallbladder malignant tumor, whereas little is known regarding the clinicopathological features and surgical outcomes of GBMAC.

METHODS

From January 2000 till December 2015, 54 GBMAC patients who underwent curative-intent surgical resection at our institution were retrospectively reviewed. We compared the clinicopathological features and surgical outcomes of these GBMAC patients with a relatively large cohort of surgically resected conventional gallbladder adenocarcinoma (GBAC) patients without existence of mucinous components.

RESULTS

The clinicopathological features of GBMAC were significantly different from conventional GBAC, including poorer tumor differentiation (P < 0.001), higher CA19-9 levels (P < 0.001), larger tumor sizes (P = 0.020), advanced AJCC tumor stage (P = 0.002), higher frequency of liver parenchyma invasion (P = 0.020), portal vein invasion (P = 0.003), lymph node metastasis (P = 0.016), lympho-vascular invasion (P < 0.001) and perineural invasion (P = 0.025). Relative to conventional GBAC patients, GBMAC patients showed significantly worse overall survival (OS) (29.0 vs 15.0 months; P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis confirmed the surgical margin (P = 0.046), tumor differentiation grade (P = 0.018), lymph node metastasis (P = 0.024), and presence of signet-ring cell component (P = 0.005) as independent prognostic factors influencing OS of patients with GBMAC.

CONCLUSION

GBMAC always had more aggressive biological behaviors and poor survival outcomes even after curative surgery. GBMAC patients with the presence of signet-ring cell component showed even worse survival outcome.

Non-coding RNAs as potential biomarkers of gallbladder cancer

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) performs strongly invasive and poor prognosis, and adenocarcinoma is the most common histological type in it. Statistically, the 5-year survival rate of patients with advanced GBC is less than 5%. Such dismal outcome might be caused by chemotherapy resistance and native biology of tumor cells, regardless of emerging therapeutic strategies. Early diagnosis, depending on biomarkers, receptors and secretive proteins, is more important than clinical therapy, guiding the pathologic stage of cancer and the choice of medication. Therefore, it is in urgent need to understand the specific pathogenesis of GBC and strive to find promising novel biomarkers for early screening in GBC. Non-coding RNAs (ncRNAs), especially microRNAs (miRNAs, miRs), long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs), and circular RNAs (circRNAs), are confirmed to participate in and regulate the occurrence and development of GBC. Exceptionally, lncRNAs and circRNAs could act as competing endogenous RNAs (ceRNAs) containing binding sites for miRNAs and crosstalk with miRNAs to target regulatory downstream protein-coding messenger RNAs (mRNAs), thus affecting the expression levels of specific proteins to participate in and regulate the development and progression of GBC. It follows that ncRNAs may become promising biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets for GBC. In this review, we mainly summarize the recent research progress of miRNAs and lncRNAs in regulating the development and progression of GBC, chemoresistance, and predicting the prognosis of patients, and highlight the potential applications of the lncRNA/circRNA-miRNA-mRNA cross-regulatory networks in early diagnosis, chemoresistance, and prognostic evaluation, aiming to better understand the pathogenesis of GBC and develop new diagnostic and therapeutic strategies.

Long-term results and prognostic factors after surgical treatment for gallbladder cancer

Objectives

Gallbladder cancer is relatively rare and traditionally regarded as having poor prognosis. There is controversy about the effects of clinicopathological features and different surgical techniques on prognosis. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of clinicopathological characteristics of the patients with surgically treated gallbladder cancer on long-term survival.

Material and Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the database of gallbladder cancer patients treated at our clinic between January 2003 and March 2021.

Results

Of 101 evaluated cases, 37 were inoperable. Twelve patients were determined unresectable based on surgical findings. Resection with curative intent was performed in 52 patients. The one-, three-, five-, and 10-year survival rates were 68.9%, 51.9%, 43.6%, and 43.6%, respectively. Median survival was 36.6 months. On univariate analysis, poor prognostic factors were determined as advanced age; high carbohydrate antigen 19-9 and carcinoembryonic antigen levels; non-incidental diagnosis; intraoperative incidental diagnosis; jaundice; adjacent organ/structure resection; grade 3 tumors; lymphovascular invasion; and high T, N1 or N2, M1, and high AJCC stages. Sex, IVb/V segmentectomy instead of wedge resection, perineural invasion, tumor location, number of resected lymph nodes, and extended lymphadenectomy did not significantly affect overall survival. On multivariate analysis, only high AJCC stages, grade 3 tumors, high carcinoembryonic antigen levels, and advanced age were independent predictors of poor prognosis.

Conclusion

Treatment planning and clinical decision-making for gallbladder cancer requires individualized prognostic assessment along with standard anatomical staging and other confirmed prognostic factors.

Clinicopathological characteristics and outcome of primary sarcomatoid carcinoma of the gallbladder

Purpose

Our study aims to examine the clinicopathological features, disease progression, management, and outcomes of gallbladder sarcomatoid carcinoma (GBSC) patients.

Methods

Between January 2000 and December 2020, 50 gallbladder cancer (GBC) patients who received surgical treatment and were pathologically verified as GBSC at our institution were enrolled. The clinical and pathological features and survival of these patients were retrospectively reviewed.

Results

The median overall survival (OS) of GBSC patients was 14.5 months, and the 1-, 2- and 3-year OS rates were 68.0%, 32.0%, and 10.0%, respectively. The median progression-free survival (PFS) was 10.0 months, and the 1-, 2-, and 3-year PFS rates were 42.0%, 16.0%, and 2.0%, respectively. Patients who received radical resection had obviously better OS (18.0 vs. 7.0 months, P&lt;0.001) and PFS (12.0 vs. 5.0 months, P&lt;0.001) than those who underwent palliative resection. Multivariate analysis revealed that vascular invasion (P=0.033), curative operation (P&lt;0.001) and postoperative chemotherapy (P=0.033) were independent risk factors for PFS. We further identified postoperative chemotherapy (P=0.010) and curative operation (P&lt;0.001) as independent prognostic factors affecting the OS of GBSC patients. After curative surgery, patients who underwent S-1-based chemotherapy showed significantly longer recurrence-free survival (RFS) than those who underwent other chemotherapy regimens (20.0 vs 11.0 months, P=0.028).

Conclusion

GBSC patients always have aggressive biological behaviors and remarkably poor prognoses. Most GBSC patients are diagnosed in advanced stages, and timely radical operation together with postoperative chemotherapy is important. S-1-based chemotherapy may be a selectively efficient regimen to prolong the survival of GBSC patients.

Exosomal MicroRNAs Signature Acts as Efficient Biomarker for Non-Invasive Diagnosis of Gallbladder Carcinoma

Through a three-step study that relies on biomarker discovery, training, and validation, we identified a set of five exosomal microRNAs (miRNAs) that can be used to evaluate the risk of gallbladder carcinoma (GBC), including miR-552-3p, miR-581, miR-4433a-3p, miR-496, and miR-203b-3p. When validated in 102 GBC patients and 112 chronic cholecystitis patients from multiple medical centers, the AUC of this combinatorial biomarker was 0.905, with a sensitivity of 81.37% and a specificity of 86.61%. The performance of this biomarker is superior to that of the standard biomarkers CA199 and CEA and is suited for GBC early diagnosis. The multi-clinicopathological features and prognosis of GBC patients were significantly associated with this biomarker. After building a miRNA-target gene regulation network, cell functions and signaling pathways regulated by these five miRNAs were examined. This biomarker signature can be used in the development of a noninvasive tool for GBC diagnosis, screening and prognosis prediction.

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A five exosomal miRNAs-set is identified to diagnose GBC through a three-step study

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The efficacy of this noninvasive biomarker is superior to that of conventional ones

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This biomarker is correlated with multiple GBC clinical features and the prognosis

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The functions and signal pathways that this biomarker may affect were estimated

Early Recurrence in Resected Gallbladder Carcinoma: Clinical Impact and Its Preoperative Predictive Score

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection is the only potentially curative therapy for gallbladder carcinoma (GBC). However, the postoperative recurrence rate is high (approximately 50%), and recurrence occasionally develops early after surgery.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 139 patients who underwent macroscopically curative resection for GBC between 2002 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Early recurrence (ER) was defined as recurrence within 6 months after surgery. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed using preoperative factors that may influence early recurrence, namely patient background factors, tumor markers, imaging findings, and body composition parameters obtained preoperatively, to create a predictive score for ER.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 21.9 months (range, 6.2-195.7 months). Postoperative recurrence was observed in 55 (39.6%) patients, of whom 14 (25.5%) developed ER. The median overall survival after surgery was 104.7 months for the non-ER group and 15.7 months for the ER group. On multivariate analysis, high carbohydrate antigen 19-9, low muscle attenuation, high visceral fat attenuation, liver invasion, and other organ invasion on preoperative computed tomography were identified as independent risk factors for ER. A preoperatively predictive scoring system for ER was constructed by weighting the above five factors. The nomogram showed an area under the curve of 0.881, indicating good predictive potential for ER.

CONCLUSIONS

ER in resected GBC indicates a very poor prognosis. The present preoperative scoring system can sufficiently predict ER and may be helpful in determining the optimal treatment strategies.

Clinical Significance of Early Carcinoembryonic Antigen Change in Patients With Nonmetastatic Colorectal Cancer

Background

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of preoperative, postoperative, and trajectory changes in carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

Methods

This retrospective study included patients who underwent surgical resection for nonmetastatic CRC. The optimal cutoff values of preoperative CEA (CEA-pre), early postoperative CEA (CEA-post), and CEA level change (CEA-delta) were determined to maximize the differences in overall survival (OS) among groups. The patients were divided into three groups according to CEA-trend: normal, low CEA-pre; normalized, high CEA-pre/low CEA-post; elevated, high CEA-pre/high CEA-post. The integrated area under the curve (iAUC) was used to compare the discriminatory power of all variables.

Results

A total of 1019 patients diagnosed with stage I–III CRC were enrolled. The optimal cutoff values of CEA level were determined as 2.3 ng/mL for CEA-pre, 2.3 ng/mL for CEA-post, and -0.93 ng/mL for CEA-delta. Although subgroup dichotomization showed that CEA-pre, CEA-post, CEA-delta, and CEA-trend were all associated with OS in univariate analysis, CEA-trend was the only independent prognostic factor in multivariate analysis. The iAUC of CEA-trend was superior to that of CEA-pre, CEA-post, and CEA-delta. Compared with the normal group, the normalized group showed worse OS (p=.0007) in stage II patients but similar OS (p=.067) in stage III patients.

Conclusion

The optimal cutoff value of CEA level in the preoperative and postoperative periods was determined to be 2.3 ng/mL, and the combination of CEA-pre and CEA-post showed better prognostic stratification. However, its prognostic significance may differ depending on the CRC stage.

A Novel Prognostic Nomogram for Gallbladder Cancer after Surgical Resection: A Single-Center Experience

Background

Gallbladder cancer (GBC), which accounts for more than 80% of biliary tract malignancies, has a poor prognosis with an overall 5-year survival less than 10%. The study aimed to identify risk factors and develop a predictive model for GBC following surgical resection.

Methods

98 GBC patients who underwent surgical resection from Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital were enrolled in the study. Cox-regression analysis was performed to identify significant prognostic factors. A nomogram was constructed and Harrell's concordance index, calibration plot, and decision cure analysis were used to evaluate the discrimination and calibration of the nomogram.

Results

Liver resection, tumor size, perineural invasion, surgical margin, and liver invasion were identified as independent risk factors for overall survival (OS) in GBC patients who underwent surgical resection. Based on the selected risk factors, a novel nomogram was constructed. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.777, which was higher than the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system (0.724) and Nevin staging system (0.659). Decision cure analysis revealed that the nomogram had a better net benefit and the calibration curves for the 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival probabilities were also well matched with the actual survival rates. Lastly, high-risk GBC were stratified based on the scores of the nomogram and we found high-risk GBC were associated with both worse OS and disease-free survival (DFS).

Conclusion

We developed a nomogram showing a better predictive capacity for patients' survival of resected GBC than the AJCC staging systems. The established model may help to stratify high-risk GBC and facilitate decision-making in the clinic.

The Effectiveness of Identifying Primary Gallbladder Adenocarcinoma Utilizing Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound: A Case Report

Gallbladder carcinoma is rare and difficult to detect in the early stages of the disease process, due to lack of symptoms. Sonography is typically the first modality of choice for assessing gallbladder pathology due to its high sensitivity, portability, real-time imaging capability, and non-ionizing technique. Conventional gray-scale and color Doppler sonographic imaging may be ambiguous for diagnosing solid tumors, such as gallbladder carcinoma. In this case, gallbladder carcinoma was definitively diagnosed utilizing contrast-enhanced ultrasound, allowing for quick patient treatment options and an optimal surgical outcome.

Prognostic Value of Carcinoembryonic Antigen (CEA) and Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) in Gallbladder Cancer; 65 IU/mL of CA 19-9 Is the New Cut-Off Value for Prognosis

Simple Summary

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is the fifth most common cancer of the digestive tract, and preoperative tumor markers for GBC have been studied as a less invasive way to detect the presence of the cancer. CEA and CA 19-9 have been most commonly used for detecting GBC clinically, and various cut-off values were suggested to satisfy this purpose, but there has still been a lack of proper values of these tumor markers to predict the prognosis of GBC. We have aimed to suggest appropriate cut-off values that could help to anticipate prognosis in the preoperative period. Data from carefully selected 539 patients were used in our study, the new cut-off value, 65 IU/mL for CA 19-9 was derived through an up-to-date statistical method. By using this cut-off value, clinicians could get the important reference in the establishment of the strategy of treatment, and the researches about this topic could become more vigorous.

Abstract

Due to the lack of appropriate tumor markers with optimal cut-off values to predict the prognosis of gallbladder cancer (GBC), this study aimed to demonstrate the relationship between prognosis and the levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9), and to determine optimal thresholds. In total, 539 patients diagnosed with GBC were examined. The relationship between tumor marker levels and overall survival (OS) was analyzed. The C-tree method was used to suggest tumor marker thresholds, and multivariate analysis was conducted to identify prognostic factors for overall survival. The mean age of the patients was 65.3 years, and the 5-year overall survival rate in all patients was 68.9%. Following the C-tree method, the optimal cut-off value was set at 5 IU/mL for CEA and at 65 IU/mL for CA 19-9. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, CA 19-9 level, operative method, T stage, and N stage were significant prognostic factors for OS. Consequently, CA 19-9 had a stronger association with prognosis than CEA, and 65 IU/mL for CA 19-9 may be suggestive in evaluating the prognosis of GBC. Moreover, it could be an effective indicator for determining the surgical extent necessary and the need for adjuvant treatment.

The Prognostic Value of the CA19-9/TBIL Ratio in Patients with Biliary Tract Cancers (BTCs): A Retrospective Study

Background

Incidence of biliary tract cancers (BTCs) in China is high, and surgery is the only curative option. Preoperative CA19-9 has been identified as a predictor for survival in patients with resectable BTCs, but more potential predictors need to be studied. This retrospective study aimed to establish the prognostic significance of CA19-9/TBIL ratio (CTR) in patients with BTCs.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was performed in patients who were diagnosed with BTCs and received surgical resection between 2013 and 2018 at PUMCH. Demographic and clinical parameters were collected. Preoperative CA19-9 and CTR were classified as elevated (>58.6 and >0.83) according to the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Demographic and clinical parameters were compared between the groups using Student's t-test, chi-square, or Fisher's exact test. Survival analysis was performed by the Kaplan-Meier methods, and the relationship between variables and survival was assessed by the log-rank test. Cox regression analysis was conducted to identify potential risk factors for overall survival.

Results

In total, 109 participants were involved in the final analysis. The overall survival rate was 18.0% at 5 years, with a median survival duration of 1.58 years. The Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that higher CTR was associated with shorter OS (15 vs. 50, p < 0.01). Univariate survival analysis identified TNM staging, CA19-9, and CTR as statistically significant prognostic factors. In a multiple Cox analysis, only CTR was proved as a significantly independent prognostic factor.

Conclusion

CTR acts as an independent prognostic predictor for patients with biliary tract cancer.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Survival in Gallbladder Cancer Patients With Recurrence After Surgery

BACKGROUND

The management of gallbladder cancer (GBC) patients with recurrence who need additional therapy or intensive follow-up remains controversial. Therefore, we aim to develop a nomogram to predict survival in GBC patients with recurrence after surgery.

METHODS

A total of 313 GBC patients with recurrence from our center was identified as a primary cohort, which were randomly divided into a training cohort (N = 209) and an internal validation cohort (N = 104). In addition, 105 patients from other centers were selected as an external validation cohort. Independent prognostic factors, identified by univariate and multivariable analysis, were used to construct a nomogram. The performance of this nomogram was measured using Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves.

RESULTS

Our nomogram was established by four factors, including time-to-recurrence, site of recurrence, CA19-9 at recurrence, and treatment of recurrence. The C-index of this nomogram in the training, internal and external validation cohort was 0.871, 0.812, and 0.754, respectively. The calibration curves showed an optimal agreement between nomogram prediction and actual observation. Notably, this nomogram could accurately stratify patients into different risk subgroups, which allowed more significant distinction of Kaplan-Meier curves than that of using T category. The 3-year post-recurrence survival (PRS) rates in the low-, medium-, and high-risk subgroups from the external validation cohort were 53.3, 26.2, and 4.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This nomogram provides a tool to predict 1- and 3-year PRS rates in GBC patients with recurrence after surgery.

The Clinical Role of Preoperative Serum CA19-9 and Carcinoembryonic Antigen (CEA) Levels in Evaluating the Resectability of Advanced Gallbladder Cancer

BACKGROUND The present study was designed to study the ability of preoperative serum concentrations of the tumor-associated biomarkers carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) and adjusted CA19-9 to assess the resectability of advanced gallbladder cancer (GBC). MATERIAL AND METHODS This retrospective study included patients with potentially resectable stage II-IV (AJCC 8th) GBC examined at our institution between January 2012 and December 2016. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the predictive value and optimal cut-off point of tumor-associated biomarkers for curative resection. RESULTS Pathological examination of the 309 patients included in this study found that 169 (54.7%) underwent R0 (curative) resection, whereas 121 (39.2%) underwent R1/2 (non-curative) resection, and 19 (6.1%) were unresectable. The mean serum concentrations of CEA, CA19-9 and adjusted CA19-9 were significantly lower in patients who underwent R0 resection than in the other groups. ROC curve analysis showed that adjusted CA19-9 concentration was better able to predict resectability (area under the curve, 0.774; 95% confidence interval, 0.722-0.826; P<0.001) than total bilirubin, CEA, and CA19-9 concentrations. The optimal cut-off for adjusted CA19-9 concentration was 47.63 U/mL, which had a sensitivity of 69.82%, a specificity of 75%, a positive predictive value of 77.12% and a negative predictive value of 67.31%. CONCLUSIONS Adjusted CA19-9 concentration is an easily calculated parameter superior to CA19-9 and CEA concentrations in predicting the resectability of advanced gallbladder cancer.

γ-glutamyl transferase-to-platelet ratio based nomogram predicting overall survival of gallbladder carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) carries a poor prognosis and requires a prediction method. Gamma-glutamyl transferase–to–platelet ratio (GPR) is a recently reported cancer prognostic factor. Although the mechanism for the relationship between GPR and poor cancer prognosis remains unclear, studies have demonstrated the clinical effect of both gamma-glutamyl transferase and platelet count on GBC and related gallbladder diseases.

AIM

To assess the prognostic value of GPR and to design a prognostic nomogram for GBC.

METHODS

The analysis involved 130 GBC patients who underwent surgery at Peking Union Medical College Hospital from December 2003 to April 2017. The patients were stratified into a high- or low-GPR group. The predictive ability of GPR was evaluated by Kaplan–Meier analysis and a Cox regression model. We developed a nomogram based on GPR, which we verified using calibration curves. The nomogram and other prognosis prediction models were compared using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves and the concordance index.

RESULTS

Patients in the high-GPR group had a higher risk of jaundice, were older, and had higher carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels and worse postoperative outcomes. Univariate analysis revealed that GPR, age, body mass index, tumor–node–metastasis (TNM) stage, jaundice, cancer cell differentiation degree, and carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels were related to overall survival (OS). Multivariate analysis confirmed that GPR, body mass index, age, and TNM stage were independent predictors of poor OS. Calibration curves were highly consistent with actual observations. Comparisons of time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves and the concordance index showed advantages for the nomogram over TNM staging.

CONCLUSION

GPR is an independent predictor of GBC prognosis, and nomogram-integrated GPR is a promising predictive model for OS in GBC.

Raised CA19-9 and CEA have prognostic relevance in gallbladder carcinoma

Background

Role of tumor markers in gall bladder carcinoma (GBC) is not well established. We evaluated the prognostic value of carbohydrate antigen 19–9 (CA19–9) and carcinoma embryonic antigen (CEA) in patients with GBC.

Methods

Of the 225 patients of GBC enrolled,176 patients were included in the study (excluded 49 patients with jaundice). Patients were divided into 3 groups; resectable n = 92, unresectable n = 17, metastatic n = 67. The clinico-pathological characteristics, tumor markers and survival data were analysed. The cutoff values of CA19–9 & CEA for predicting metastases were computed using receiver operating characteristic curve. Kaplan Meir survival and Cox regression analysis were done for factors predicting survival and recurrence.

Results

The median value of Ca19–9 was significantly higher in metastatic group [resectable: 21.3, unresectable: 53.9 and metastatic: 79; p < 0.001] but not for CEA [3.5, 7.8 and 5 ng/ml (p = 0.20)]. A cutoff value of 72 IU/ml for CA19–9, 5 ng/ml for CEA had a sensitivity and specificity of 52 and 80%, 51 and 72% respectively for detection of metastatic disease. Median, 3-year & 5-year survival were significantly lower in patients with CEA > 4 (p = 0.041), Ca19.9 > 37 (p = 0.019), T3/T4 (p = 0.001), node positive (p = 0.001) and presence of perineural invasion (p = 0.001). However, on multivariate analysis, only Ca19.9 > 37 predicted recurrence (p = 0.002, HR 5.8).

Conclusions

Raised CA19.9 and CEA predict metastatic disease in patients with GBC without jaundice with a high specificity and may help in prognostication of the patient. CA19–9 was better than CEA in prediction of tumor burden and in predicting recurrence.

A Novel Staging System to Forecast the Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients With Resected Gallbladder Cancer

Objective: Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is one of the most aggressive malignant tumors, and there is no effective and convenient method for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS). We aim to develop a novel nomogram staging system based on the positive lymph node ratio (pLNR) for GBC patients.

Methods:A total of 1,356 patients enrolled in the study. We evaluated the prognostic value of the pLNR and built a prognostic nomogram staging system based on the pLNR in the training cohort. The concordance index and calibration plots were used to evaluate model discrimination. The predictive accuracy and clinical value of the nomograms were measured by decision curve analysis (DCA). The CSS nomogram was further validated in an internal validation cohort.

Results:The pLNR was an independent prognostic factor for CSS based on Cox regression analyses. A prognostic nomogram that combined T classification, pLNR, M classification, histologic grade, live metastasis, and tumor size was formulated with a c-index of 0.763 (95% CI, 0.728–0.798), while the c-indexes for the staging system of AJCC 8th, 7th, and 6th for CSS prediction were 0.718, 0.718, and 0.717, respectively. The calibration curves showed perfect agreement. The DCA showed that the nomogram provided substantial clinical value. The nomogram (the AUCs for 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.693, 0.716, and 0.726, respectively,) showed high prognostic accuracy.

Conclusion:We have developed a formulated nomogram staging system based on the pLNR that allows more accurate individualized predictions of CSS for resected GBC patients than the AJCC staging systems.

Role of carbohydrate antigen 19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen, and carbohydrate antigen 125 as the predictors of resectability and survival in the patients of Carcinoma Gall Bladder

INTRODUCTION

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) have been reported in previous studies to assess the prognosis of gall bladder cancer (GBC) individually and in combination. However, the evidence of utility of preoperative CA 19-9, CEA and carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA 125) in determining the resectability and prognosis of GBC is still lacking. In the present study we correlated the serum levels of tumor markers CA 19-9, CEA and CA 125 individually and combined to determine the resectability and prognosis of the GBC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Seventy one diagnosed patients of GBC between January 2018 and September 2019 were included in the present study. Serum CA 19-9, CEA and CA 125 were determined by chemiluminescence. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the role of tumor markers in determining the resectability of GBC. The Kaplan Meier survival curves were made and log rank analysis was performed to assess the prognostic role of tumor markers in terms of overall median survival.

RESULTS

All the three tumor markers CA19-9, CEA and CA 125 showed high discriminatory power in determining the resectability with respective area under curve of 0.76, 0.68 and 0.78 as determined by ROC. Median survival in patients with high serum CA 19-9, CA 125 was significantly lower than patients with normal serum CA 19-9, CA 125 whereas no significant difference was observed in case of CEA.

CONCLUSION

The present study suggested that CA 19-9, CEA and CA 125 can predict resectability in GBC and raised levels of CA 19-9 and CA 125 can predict poor prognosis in patients with elevated levels.

Surgical Indication for Advanced Gallbladder Cancer Considering the Optimal Preoperative Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 Cutoff Value

BACKGROUND

Selecting patients who will benefit from resection among those with advanced gallbladder cancer (GBCa) having poor prognostic factors is difficult.

METHODS

One hundred twenty-one patients who underwent resection for stage II-IV GBCa and 19 unresected patients (unresectable group) were enrolled. The clinical impact of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) and advanced surgical procedures for GBCa was evaluated.

RESULTS

The optimal CA19-9 cutoff value (based on the greatest difference in overall survival) was 250 U/mL. CA19-9 ≥250 U/mL was found to be an independent prognostic factor. Patients with CA19-9 <250 U/mL who developed jaundice (median survival time [MST], 49.1 months) or who required major hepatectomy (MST, 21.5 months) or pancreatoduodenectomy (PD; MST, 50.3 months) had a better prognosis than those with CA19-9 ≥250 U/mL who developed jaundice (MST, 16.1 months; p = 0.061) or who required major hepatectomy (MST, 9.2 months; p = 0.066) or PD (MST, 8.6 months; p = 0.025); their prognosis was comparable to that of the unresectable group (jaundice: p = 0.145, major hepatectomy: p = 0.292, PD: p = 0.756).

CONCLUSIONS

Even if GBCa patients develop jaundice or require major hepatectomy, or combined PD, resection can be considered for those with CA19-9 <250 U/mL. However, surgical indication should be carefully determined in patients with CA19-9 ≥250 U/mL.

Molecular pathways and potential biomarkers in gallbladder cancer: A comprehensive review

The most common malignancy of the biliary tract, gallbladder cancer (GBC) often has a dismal prognosis. The aggressive nature of the tumor, delayed diagnosis at advanced stages of the disease, and lack of effective treatment options are some of the factors that contribute to a poor outcome. Early detection and accurate assessment of disease burden is critical to optimize management and improve long-term survival, as well as identify patients for adjuvant therapy and clinical trials. With recent advances in the understanding of the molecular pathogenesis of GBC, several specific diagnostic and biomarkers have been proposed as being of diagnostic and prognostic importance. Indeed, identification of novel diagnostic and prognostic markers has an important role in early diagnosis and development of targeted therapies among patients with GBC. Next-generation sequencing technology and genomewide data analysis have provided novel insight into understanding the molecular pathogenesis of biliary tract cancers, thereby identifying potential biomarkers for clinical use. We herein review available GBC biomarkers and the potential clinical implications in the management of GBC.

Systematic review of management of incidental gallbladder cancer after cholecystectomy

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder cancer is rare, but cancers detected incidentally after cholecystectomy are increasing. The aim of this study was to review the available data for current best practice for optimal management of incidental gallbladder cancer.

METHODS

A systematic PubMed search of the English literature to May 2018 was conducted.

RESULTS

The search identified 12 systematic reviews and meta-analyses, in addition to several consensus reports, multi-institutional series and national audits. Some 0·25-0·89 per cent of all cholecystectomy specimens had incidental gallbladder cancer on pathological examination. Most patients were staged with pT2 (about half) or pT1 (about one-third) cancers. Patients with cancers confined to the mucosa (T1a or less) had 5-year survival rates of up to 100 per cent after cholecystectomy alone. For cancers invading the muscle layer of the gallbladder wall (T1b or above), reresection is recommended. The type, extent and timing of reresection remain controversial. Observation time may be used for new cross-sectional imaging with CT and MRI. Perforation at initial surgery had a higher risk of disease dissemination. Gallbladder cancers are PET-avid, and PET may detect residual disease and thus prevent unnecessary surgery. Routine laparoscopic staging before reresection is not warranted for all stages. Risk of peritoneal carcinomatosis increases with each T category. The incidence of port-site metastases is about 10 per cent. Routine resection of port sites has no effect on survival. Adjuvant chemotherapy is poorly documented and probably underused.

CONCLUSION

Management of incidental gallbladder cancer continues to evolve, with more refined suggestions for subgroups at risk and a selective approach to reresection.

Staging laparoscopy among three subtypes of extra-hepatic biliary malignancy: a 15-year experience from 10 institutions

BACKGROUND

Staging laparoscopy (SL) is used to avoid resection failure and thus increase the curative resection rate. SL utilization in extra-hepatic biliary tumors (EHBT) is variable.

METHODS

Data from 1090 patients with potentially resectable EHBT including gallbladder (GBC), distal (DC), and hilar (HC) subtypes were retrospectively collected from 10 academic centers (2000-2015).

RESULTS

The SL utilization rate increased over time and was significantly higher in GBC than DC and HC. SL yield was 16.8% and did not differ between groups or over time. In patients undergoing attempted resection with prior SL, the curative resection rate did not differ between subtypes. In patients undergoing attempted resection without prior SL, the curative resection rate was less in GBC compared with DC or HC. After matching cohorts by inverse probability weighting, prior SL was associated with curative resection in GBC only (odds ratio [OR], 2.41, 95% CI, 1.36-4.27). On multivariable regression analysis, elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9), low serum albumin, and GBC were strong predictors of distant disease on SL. After categorizing patients undergoing SL into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups based on these parameters, SL yield improved progressively from 10.0% to 19.6% to 52.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

We recommend routine SL for patients with GBC, particularly with elevated CA19-9 level and/or decreased serum albumin.