A meta-analysis of the utility of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in predicting survival after pancreatic cancer resection

Prognostic Value of Circulating Cell-Free DNA Concentration and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Prospective Cohort Study

Circulating cell-free DNA (ccfDNA) quantity correlates with the clinical characteristics and prognosis of various cancer types. We investigated whether ccfDNA levels and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have prognostic value in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Peripheral blood was collected from 82 patients with PDAC prior to any diagnostic procedure or the administration of chemotherapy. Plasma DNA was isolated, and ccfDNA concentration and NLR were determined. We found that ccfDNA levels were correlated with age and tumor burden. Moreover, higher values of NLR (≥3.31) were linked with worse overall survival (OS) (4 vs. 10 months; log rank p = 0.011), and an elevated ccfDNA concentration (≥25.79 ng/mL) was strongly associated with shorter OS (4 vs. 8 months; log rank p = 0.009). According to the results of the multivariable Cox regression analysis, the baseline concentration of ccfDNA was an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.21-0.97, p = 0.041). Furthermore, the combination of ccfDNA levels with NLR greatly enhanced the prognostic accuracy of PDAC patients. Our study demonstrates that ccfDNA concentration and NLR are independent predictors of survival in PDAC. Subsequent studies should validate this combination as a prognostic indicator in PDAC patients and assess its utility for guiding therapeutic decisions.

Anatomical and Biological Considerations to Determine Resectability in Pancreatic Cancer

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains associated with poor outcomes with a 5-year survival of 12% across all stages of the disease. These poor outcomes are driven by a delay in diagnosis and an early propensity for systemic dissemination of the disease. Recently, aggressive surgical approaches involving complex vascular resections and reconstructions have become more common, thus allowing more locally advanced tumors to be resected. Unfortunately, however, even after the completion of surgery and systemic therapy, approximately 40% of patients experience early recurrence of disease. To determine resectability, many institutions utilize anatomical staging systems based on the presence and extent of vascular involvement of major abdominal vessels around the pancreas. However, these classification systems are based on anatomical considerations only and do not factor in the burden of systemic disease. By integrating the biological criteria, we possibly could avoid futile resections often associated with significant morbidity. Especially patients with anatomically resectable disease who have a heavy burden of radiologically undetected systemic disease most likely do not derive a survival benefit from resection. On the contrary, we could offer complex resections to those who have locally advanced or oligometastatic disease but have favorable systemic biology and are most likely to benefit from resection. This review summarizes the current literature on defining anatomical and biological resectability in patients with pancreatic cancer.

The value of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and red blood cell distribution width in predicting positive surgical margin after laparoscopic radical prostatectomy

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer (PCa) is one of the most common malignant tumors in men, and laparoscopic radical prostatectomy (LRP) is commonly used to treat localized and advanced PCa. Positive surgical margin (PSM) is one of the most frequent problems faced by surgeons.

AIMS

This study aimed to explore the value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) in predicting PSM after LRP.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Three hundred and twenty patients with PCa were admitted and underwent LRP in Beijing Chaoyang Hospital from January 2017 to June 2023. Patients were randomly divided into a training set (225 cases) and a validation set (95 cases) in a 7:3 ratio. NLR, PLR, and RDW were significantly higher in the PSM group than in the negative surgical margins (NSM) group. In addition, the NLR, PLR, and RDW values correlated with clinical T stage, Gleason score, and seminal vesicle invasion in the PSM group. In training set, ROC curve analysis revealed that the optimal cutoff values of NLR, PLR, and RDW for predicting postoperative PSM in PCa were 2.31, 115.40, and 12.85%, respectively. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed NLR and RDW were the clinical independent predictors. The area under the curve (AUC, 0.770, 95% CI 0.709-0.831) for postoperative PSM was the highest when a combination of the three parameters was used, with sensitivity and specificity of 62.5% and 85.2%, respectively. In validation set, the AUC values for NLR, PLR, RDW and the three markers combined were 0.708, 0.675, 0.723, and 0.780, respectively. Correlation analysis showed that in the PSM group, NLR was positively correlated with PLR and RDW, and PLR was positively correlated with RDW. By contrast, in the NSM group, a positive association was only found between NLR and PLR.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher preoperative NLR, PLR, and RDW values were associated with postoperative PSM. Additionally, the three markers combined may be useful to predict PSM.

Real-Life Results of Palliative Chemotherapy in Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE

To assess the efficacy of FOLFIRINOX(FFX), gemcitabine-based regimens (GB), and gemcitabine monotherapy (Gem) in patients with metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC).

METHODS

This is a retrospective study that included 83 patients with mPDAC treated with first-line chemotherapy (L1) with either FFX, GB or Gem between 2015 and 2017. Progression-free survival (PFS) for L1 and second-line chemotherapy (L2) (PFS-L1 and PFS-L2) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Median PFS-L1 for FFX, GB and Gem groups was 9 months (95% (Confidence Interval) CI 2.76-15.24), 5 months (95%CI 3.44-6.56), and 5 months (95%CI 3.76-6.24), respectively (p = 0.04). OS was 14 months (95%CI 11.16-16.85), 12 months (95%CI: 9.44-11.56), and 7 months (95%CI: 5.7-8.3) for patients treated with FFX, GB, and Gem, respectively (p = 0.0001). ECOG-PS (0/1) (Hazard Ratio (HR) 6.74, p = 0.002), age > 70 years (HR 0.25, p = 0.04), body tumors (HR 2.8, p = 0.048), CA19-9 > 39 U/mL (HR 0.26, p = 0.02), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) > 4.15 (HR 6.76, p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for PFS-L1. Male gender (HR 3.02, p = 0.026), ECOG-PS (0/1) (HR 4.21, p = 0.003), L1 with FFX (HR 0.255, p = 0.007), and NLR > 4.15 (HR 2.65, p = 0.04) were independent prognostic factors of OS. PFS-L2 (HR 6.91, p = 0.013) and OS-L2 (HR 6.95, p = 0.037) were significantly higher in patients first treated with FFX.

CONCLUSIONS

The OS of patients who receive FFX or GB is comparable. The best PFS-L1 belongs to the FFX group. Male gender, ECOG-PS 0/1, the FFX regimen, and NLR > 4.15 were independent predictors of OS. PFS-L2 and OS-L2 were favorably impacted by L1 with FFX.

Five-year follow-up after pancreatoduodenectomy performed for malignancy: A single-centre study

Backgrounds/Aims

The aim of this study was to describe short- and long-term outcomes of patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) at a typical United Kingdom hepatopancreatobiliary unit.

Methods

A retrospective analysis of all PD patients with histologically-confirmed pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), ampullary adenocarcinoma (AA), or distal cholangiocarcinoma (CC) from September 1st, 2006 to May 31st, 2015 was carried out. The following information was obtained: demographics, comorbidities, preoperative investigations, neoadjuvant treatment, operative details, postoperative management, complications, adjuvant treatment, five-year recurrence, and five-year survival. Effects of selected preoperative variables on short- and long-term outcomes were investigated.

Results

Of 271 included patients, 57.9% had PDAC, 25.8% had AA, and 16.2% had CC. In total, 67.9% experienced morbidity and 17.3% developed a Clavien-Dindo grade ≥ III complication. The 90-day mortality was 3.3%. Clinically-relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula, bile leak, gastrojejunal leak, postpancreatectomy haemorrhage and delayed gastric emptying affected 8.1%, 4.1%, 0.0%, 9.2%, and 19.9% of patients, respectively. American Society of Anesthesiologists grade III-VI correlated with overall morbidity (p = 0.002) and major morbidity (p = 0.009), but not 90-day mortality or five-year survival. The same pattern was observed in patients with a preoperative serum bilirubin > 29 μmol/L and/or a neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio > 3.1. Five-year cancer recurrence and five-year survival were 68.3% and 22.5%, respectively. PDAC patients had higher five-year recurrence but lower five-year survival rates (both p = 0.001).

Conclusions

In our series, the majority of patients experienced a complication. However, few patients experienced major morbidity. Surgical risk factors did not affect five-year survival.

Body composition parameters, immunonutritional indexes, and surgical outcome of pancreatic cancer patients resected after neoadjuvant therapy: A retrospective, multicenter analysis

Background and aims

Body composition parameters and immunonutritional indexes provide useful information on the nutritional and inflammatory status of patients. We sought to investigate whether they predict the postoperative outcome in patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) who received neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) and then pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Methods

Data from locally advanced PC patients who underwent NAT followed by pancreaticoduodenectomy between January 2012 and December 2019 in four high-volume institutions were collected retrospectively. Only patients with two available CT scans (before and after NAT) and immunonutritional indexes (before surgery) available were included. Body composition was assessed and immunonutritional indexes collected were: VAT, SAT, SMI, SMA, PLR, NLR, LMR, and PNI. The postoperative outcomes evaluated were overall morbidity (any complication occurring), major complications (Clavien-Dindo ≥ 3), and length of stay.

Results

One hundred twenty-one patients met the inclusion criteria and constituted the study population. The median age at the diagnosis was 64 years (IQR16), and the median BMI was 24 kg/m² (IQR 4.1). The median time between the two CT-scan examined was 188 days (IQR 48). Skeletal muscle index (SMI) decreased after NAT, with a median delta of -7.8 cm²/m² (p < 0.05). Major complications occurred more frequently in patients with a lower pre-NAT SMI (p = 0.035) and in those who gained in subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) compartment during NAT (p = 0.043). Patients with a gain in SMI experienced fewer major postoperative complications (p = 0.002). The presence of Low muscle mass after NAT was associated with a longer hospital stay [Beta 5.1, 95%CI (1.5, 8.7), p = 0.006]. An increase in SMI from 35 to 40 cm²/m² was a protective factor with respect to overall postoperative complications [OR 0.43, 95% (CI 0.21, 0.86), p < 0.001]. None of the immunonutritional indexes investigated predicted the postoperative outcome.

Conclusion

Body composition changes during NAT are associated with surgical outcome in PC patients who receive pancreaticoduodenectomy after NAT. An increase in SMI during NAT should be favored to ameliorate the postoperative outcome. Immunonutritional indexes did not show to be capable of predicting the surgical outcome.

Analysis of Immune and Inflammatory Microenvironment Characteristics of Noncancer End-Stage Liver Disease

Chronic liver injury eventually progresses to cirrhosis and end-stage liver disease (ESLD), which are the leading causes of death in patients with liver disease worldwide. ESLD has a variety of etiologies and a complex pathogenesis. This study analyzed the characteristics of ESLD by studying the immune microenvironment and inflammatory microenvironment of ESLD caused by 4 noncancer diseases, including HBV-ALF, ALF, AILD, and AH. We collected transcriptome data from noncancer ESLD patients, collected liver tissue samples and blood samples from ESLD liver transplant patients, and analyzed the immune and inflammatory microenvironments in the liver and blood. The results showed that with the exception of HBV-induced ESLD, there were no significant differences in immune microenvironment scores among patients with ESLD caused by other noncancer diseases. Moreover, there were no significant differences in the inflammatory microenvironment in the liver and blood of patients with ESLD caused by the 4 noncancer diseases. Furthermore, we found that the cytokine, IL-15, could predict the prognosis of ESLD patients.

Factors independently associated with prognosis in patients operated for pancreatic cancer: Assessing the role of various parameters including red cell distribution width, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio

Objective: We aimed to assess whether, among other parameters, preoperative red cell distribution width (RDW), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) values were associated with prognosis in patients operated for pancreatic cancer (PC). Material and Method: This retrospective cohort was conducted from February 1, 2016 to February 1, 2021 at the general surgery department of a university hospital in Turkey. A total of 75 patients histologically diagnosed with PC who had undergone surgery were included in the study. Results: The PLR values of patients with poorly differentiated and undifferentiated tumors were found to be higher than those with moderately and highly differentiated tumors. Also, there was a significant relationship between PLR values and the length of hospital stay. PLR values increased as the length of hospital stay increased. There was a statistically significant positive correlation between CA 19-9 levels and NLR and PLR. High total bilirubin level was related with increased risk of death, while adjuvant chemotherapy recipients had 4.049-fold lower risk of death than those without adjuvant chemotherapy. Conclusion: Our results indicate that preoperative NLR, PLR and RDW cannot be used as prognostic indicators of mortality in patients with operated PC, but high PLR appears to be associated with lower level of tumor differentiation and prolonged hospital stay. We also found that high total bilirubin was a poor prognostic factor, while adjuvant chemotherapy was a good prognostic factor. Further multicenter, prospective studies with larger sample sizes will help to verify these results.

Does Preoperative Serum Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), and Lymphocyte to Monocyte Ratio (LMR) Predict Prognosis Following Radical Surgery for Pancreatic Adenocarcinomas? Results of a Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Pretherapy serum neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) have been shown to predict prognosis in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, the published literature is conflicting; hence, we aimed to evaluate their role in predicting survival outcomes in operated patients of PDAC.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed in all operated cases of PDAC who underwent curative resection between 2011 and 2018. The pretherapy NLR, PLR, and LMR were calculated and analyzed with respect to pathological and survival outcomes RESULTS: One hundred thirty-four operated patients were included. The median overall survival for NLR of less than 2, 2.7, and 5 was 30.8, 27.2, and 27.5 months and for NLR of more than 2, 2.7, and 5 was 22.9, 21.6, and 21.5 months, respectively, and was statistically insignificant (p-value-0.32, 0.91, 0.34, respectively). Similarly, the PLR was not significant for a cutoff of 150 (p-value-0.27), and LMR was not significant for a cutoff of 2.8 (p-value-0.13) and 4.8 (p-value-0.11). On univariate analysis age, CA 19-9 levels, perineural invasion, margin positivity, lymph node positivity, and TNM stage were found to have a significant correlation with overall survival. However, on multivariate analysis, only TNM stage was found to be significant.

CONCLUSION

The NLR, PLR, and LMR do not correlate with overall survival in operated patients with PDAC in this study. A combination of inflammatory markers or their dynamic testing might probably achieve prognostic significance.

Association Between Clinical Backgrounds and Malignant Progression of Suspected Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm

OBJECTIVES

Some intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) have malignant potential and can become pancreatic cancer. The mechanism behind the malignant progression of IPMN remains unknown. We aimed to identify the risk factors and interactions between backgrounds for IPMN.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 980 patients of pancreatic cancer or suspected IPMN (sIPMN) who underwent endoscopic ultrasound or retrograde cholangiopancreatography. We classified them into pancreatic cancer, high-risk sIPMN, and low-risk sIPMN, and investigated the risk factors for high-risk sIPMN.

RESULTS

Smoking habits (odds ratio [OR], 3.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.04-6.85; P < 0.001), serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 ≥37 U/mL (OR, 6.30; 95% CI, 2.88-13.80; P < 0.001), and family history of cancers (OR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.30-4.37; P = 0.005) were independent risk factors for high-risk suspected IPMN. Odds ratios of diabetes and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio of 2.45 or greater were significantly higher in patients with a family history of cancer than those without a family history of cancer (OR, 3.28; 95% CI, 0.52-20.80 vs 1.85; 95% CI, 0.78-4.41; OR, 2.44; 95% CI, 0.81-7.34 vs 1.24; 95% CI, 0.67-2.30, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Understanding the interactions between background factors can effectively prevent IPMNs' malignant transformation.

Prognostic Utility of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index After Resection of Extrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Results from the U.S. Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium

BACKGROUND

We sought to define the association of the systemic immune inflammation index (SII) with prognosis and adjuvant therapy benefit among patients undergoing resection of extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (eCCA).

METHODS

The impact of SII on overall (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) following resection of eCCA was assessed and compared with other inflammatory markers and traditional prognostic factors. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to determine the impact of adjuvant therapy (AT) on OS and RFS relative to low versus high SII.

RESULTS

Patients with high versus low SII had worse 5-year OS (15.9% vs. 27.9%) and RFS (12.4% vs. 20.9%) (both p < 0.01). On multivariate analysis, high SII remained associated with worse OS (HR = 1.50, 95% CI 1.20-1.87) and RFS (HR = 1.46, 95% CI 1.18-1.81). Patients with T1/2 disease and a high-SII had worse 5-year OS versus individuals with T3/4 disease and low-SII (5-year OS: T1/2 & low-SII 35.6%, T1/2 & high-SII 16.4%, T3/4 & low-SII 22.1%, T3/4 & high-SII 15.6%, p < 0.01). Similarly, 5-year OS was comparable among individuals with N0 and high-SII versus N1 and low-SII (5-year OS: N0 & high-SII 23.2%, N1 and low-SII 19.8%, p = 0.95). On PSM, AT improved OS and RFS among patients with high SII (5-year OS: 22.5% vs. 12.3%, p < 0.01, 5-year RFS: 19.0% vs. 12.5%; p = 0.01) but not individuals with low SII (5-year OS: 22.9% vs. 26.9%; p = 0.98, 5-year RFS: 18.5% vs. 19.9%; p = 0.94).

CONCLUSIONS

SII was independently associated with postoperative OS and RFS following curative-intent resection of eCCA. High SII up-staged patients relative T- and N-categories and identified patients with high SII as the most likely to benefit from AT.

High Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio and Delta Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio Are Associated with Increased Mortality in Patients with Hepatocellular Cancer

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been proposed as a prognostic biomarker for cirrhosis and non-liver malignancies. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of NLR in a diverse cohort of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study of patients diagnosed with HCC between 2008 and 2017 at two large US health systems. We used Cox proportional hazard and multivariable ordinal logistic regression models to identify factors associated with overall survival and response to first HCC treatment, respectively. Primary variables of interest were baseline NLR and delta NLR, defined as the difference between pre- and post-treatment NLR.

RESULTS

Among 1019 HCC patients, baseline NLR was < 5 in 815 (80.0%) and ≥ 5 in 204 (20.0%). Patients with NLR ≥ 5 had a higher proportion of infiltrative tumors (36.2% vs 22.3%), macrovascular invasion (39.6% vs 25.5%), metastatic disease (20.6% vs 11.4%), and AFP > 200 ng/mL (45.6% vs 33.8%). Baseline NLR ≥ 5 was independently associated with higher mortality (median survival 4.3 vs 15.1 months; adjusted HR 1.70, 95%CI 1.41-2.06), with differences in survival consistent across BCLC stages. After adjusting for baseline covariates including NLR, delta NLR > 0.26 was also independently associated with increased mortality (HR 1.42, 95%CI 1.14-1.78). In a secondary analysis, high NLR was associated with lower odds of response to HCC treatment (20.2% vs 31.6%; adjusted OR 0.55, 95%CI 0.32-0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

In a large Western cohort of patients with HCC, high baseline NLR and delta NLR were independent predictors of mortality.

IMPACT

NLR is an inexpensive test that may be a useful component of future HCC prognostic models.

The role of systemic immuno-inflammatory factors in resectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma: a cohort retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer is an aggressive malignancy, surgery being the only potentially curative treatment. The systemic inflammatory response is an important factor in the development of cancer. There is still controversy regarding its role in pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Our study is a retrospective observational cohort study. We included patients diagnosed with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), who underwent surgical resection in our hospital, between January 2012 and December 2019. We gathered information from preoperative and postoperative blood tests. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) were determined.

RESULTS

We included 312 patients. All the immune-inflammatory scores assessed significantly changed after the surgery. The impact on overall survival of these markers showed that only some of the postoperative scores predicted survival: high PLR had a negative prognostic impact, while high lymphocyte and PNI values had a positive effect on overall survival.

DISCUSSION

The circulating immune cells and their values integrated in the assessed prognostic scores suffer statistically significant changes after curative pancreatic surgery. Only the postoperative values of lymphocyte count, PLR, and PNI seem to influence the overall survival in PDAC.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov-identifier NCT05025371 .

The Trinity: Interplay among Cancer Cells, Fibroblasts, and Immune Cells in Pancreatic Cancer and Implication of CD8+ T Cell-Orientated Therapy

The microenvironment in tumors is complicated and is constituted by different cell types and stromal proteins. Among the cell types, the abundance of cancer cells, fibroblasts, and immune cells is high and these cells work as the “Trinity” in promoting tumorigenesis. Although unidirectional or bidirectional crosstalk between two independent cell types has been well characterized, the multi-directional interplays between cancer cells, fibroblasts, and immune cells in vitro and in vivo are still unclear. We summarize recent studies in addressing the interaction of the “Trinity” members in the tumor microenvironment and propose a functional network for how these members communicate with each other. In addition, we discuss the underlying mechanisms mediating the interplay. Moreover, correlations of the alterations in the distribution and functionality of cancer cells, fibroblasts, and immune cells under different circumstances are reviewed. Finally, we point out the future application of CD8⁺ T cell-oriented therapy in the treatment of pancreatic cancer.

Development and external validation of a nomogram with inflammatory markers for predicting invasiveness of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of pancreas

ABSTRACT

Recent studies have reported that inflammatory markers, such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and advanced lung cancer inflammation index, are associated with invasiveness of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). This study aimed to develop and validate a new nomogram that includes inflammatory markers for predicting the invasiveness of IPMN.The data of 365 patients who underwent surgical resection for IPMN at 4 centers between 1995 and 2016 were retrospectively reviewed to develop a new nomogram. For external validation, a separate patient cohort was used. The predictive ability of the nomogram was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.The new nomogram was developed using the following variables which were identified as risk factors for invasive IPMN: body mass index, preoperative serum bilirubin level, carbohydrate antigen 19-9, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, advanced lung cancer inflammation index, main duct type, presence of solid portion, and tumor size. After external validation, the area under the curve value was 0.649 (95% CI: 0.578-0.720, P < .001).To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to predict and externally validate the invasiveness in IPMN using inflammatory markers. Further research is necessary to improve predictability of the model for selecting patients for surgical resection.

Prognosis and survival analysis of patients with pancreatic cancer: retrospective experience of a single institution

Background

The overall survival of patients  with pancreatic cancer is extremely low. Despite multiple large-scale studies, identification of predictors of patient survival remains challenging. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic factors for pancreatic cancer.

Methods

The clinical data of 625 patients with pancreatic cancer treated at Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University from January 2013 to December 2017 were collected.

Results

Of 625 patients, 569 were followed from 1 to 75 months. The median overall survival was 9.3 months. The overall 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were 37.8%, 15.1%, and 10.5%, respectively. Cox proportional hazards model indicated that baseline carbohydrate antigen 199 level, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, operative procedure, lymph node metastasis, number of distant organ metastasis, and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors of patients with pancreatic cancer. Baseline carbohydrate antigen 199 level, degree of weight loss, operative procedure, lymph node metastasis, number of distant organ metastasis, and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors of pancreatic head cancer subgroup. Baseline carbohydrate antigen 199 level, carcinoembryonic antigen level, total bilirubin level, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, peripancreatic invasion, number of distant organ metastasis, and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors of the pancreatic body/tail cancer subgroup.

Conclusions

Higher carbohydrate antigen 199 levels, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, lymph node metastasis and distant organ metastasis predict a poor prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer. Early detection, early radical surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy are needed to improve prognosis for this deadly disease.

Postchemoradiotherapy Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Distant Metastasis and Survival Results in Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancers

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Our retrospective research included a sum of 126 LAPAC patients who received CCRT. The NLR was calculated for each patient based on the complete blood count test results obtained on the last day of the CCRT. The availability of optimal cutoff(s) that might dichotomize the whole cohort into two groups with significantly different clinical outcomes was searched using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Primary and secondary endpoints were the potential association between the post-CCRT NLR measures and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and overall survival (OS) outcomes.

RESULTS

The median follow-up duration was 14.7 months (range: 2.4-94.5). The median and 3-year OS and DMFS rates for the whole group were 15.3 months (95% confidence interval: 12.4-18.2) and 14.5%, and 8.7 months (95% CI: 6.7-10.7) and 6.3% separately. The ROC curve analysis findings separated the patients into two groups on a rounded NLR cutoff of 3.1 (area under the curve (AUC): 75.4%; sensitivity: 74.2%; specificity: 73.9%) for OS and DMFS: NLR <3.1 (N = 62) and NLR ≥3.1 (N = 64), respectively. Comparisons between the NLR groups displayed that the median OS (11.4 vs. 21.4 months; P < 0.001) and DMFS (6.0 vs. 16.0 months; P < 0.001) lengths were significantly shorter in the NLR ≥3.1 group than its NLR <3.1 counterparts, as well as the 3-year actuarial DM rate (79.7% vs. 50.0%; P=0.003). The N1-2 nodal stage, CA 19-9>90 U/mL, and NLR >3.1 were found to be independent predictors of poor prognosis in the multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

The present study found that the posttreatment NLR ≥3.1 was independently linked with a higher risk of DM and subsequent degraded survival outcomes in unresectable LAPAC patients managed with exclusive CCRT.

The diagnostic and prognostic values of inflammatory markers in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is an broad-spectrum disease from benign to malignant. Inflammatory markers are known as prognostic predictors in various diseases. The purpose of this study was to determine the predictive value of inflammatory markers for prognosis in IPMN.

METHODS

From April 1995 to December 2016, patients who underwent pancreatectomy with pathologically confirmed IPMN at four tertiary centers were enrolled. Patients with a history of pancreatitis or cholangitis, and other malignancies were excluded. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) were calculated.

RESULTS

Of all, ninety-eight patients (26.8%) were diagnosed as invasive IPMN. The NLR and PLR were significantly elevated in invasive IPMN than in non-invasive disease (2.0 vs 1.8, p = 0.004; 117.1 vs 107.4, p = 0.009, respectively). ALI was significantly higher in non-invasive IPMN than in invasive disease (58.1 vs 45.9, p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, only NLR showed significant association among the inflammatory markers studied (p = 0.044). In invasive IPMN, the five-year recurrence-free survival rate for NLR less than 3.5 was superior to the rest (59.1 vs 42.2, p = 0.023).

CONCLUSION

NLR may help to rightly select IPMN patients who will require surgery and may serve as a useful prognostic factor.

Circulating Immunological Biomarkers: Prognosis of Pancreatic Cancer Patients Reflected by the Immune System

ABSTRACT

To date, little advances have been made toward new and more effective therapies for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Discovery of prognostic and predictive biomarkers is needed to stratify patients for available treatments and to elucidate how new therapies could be developed. Recent studies have made clear that the immune system is not only affected in the microenvironment of the primary tumor and it is also systemically disrupted in PDAC patients. Under normal circumstances, the immune system is in perfect balance with both proinflammatory and anti-inflammatory components present. In this review, we focus on circulating immunological characteristics including immune cells and their subtypes, cytokines, and immune checkpoints in the peripheral blood not only to understand the poor prognosis of PDAC patients but also to find new leads for new innovative therapies.

Association of Weight Change, Inflammation Markers and Disease Staging with Survival of Patients Undergoing Chemotherapy for Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Cancer-associated-cachexia represents a systemic syndrome of unintended weight-loss (WL) and systemic inflammation, affecting >80% patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PA). We aimed to evaluate the association of weight change (WC) with survival of patients treated with chemotherapy (ChT) for PA and the influence of disease staging. We also studied the prognostic and predictive value of inflammation-based scores.

METHODS

Observational, retrospective cohort study. Individuals were divided into two cohorts, according to WC (WL ≥5% vs. non-WL <5%) after ChT. Main endpoints were weight change and survival time. Statistical analysis was performed using Stata software.

RESULTS

Sixty-five patients were included (median age 69; 48% female), 60% with advanced disease. At 3 months after ChT start, 54% experienced WL. Advanced disease independently predicted WL (OR 2.10; 95% CI, 1.11-19.6; p = 0.041). With median follow-up of 14.8 mo, median survival time of patients with WL was 18.5 mo, vs. 33.2 vs. for non-WL (HR 2.28; 95% CI, 1.15-4.52; p = 0.019). In patients with early-stage disease, WL was associated with decreased survival time (21.9 vs. 67.6 mo; HR 23.68; 95% CI 2.39-234.75; p = 0.007), while the association of WL on survival time in advanced disease was not significant (HR 0.74; 95% CI, 0.34-1.60; p = 0.449). The multivariate survival model showed that WL (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.03-1.20, p = 0.005) and cachexia (HR 3.76, 95% CI 1.07-13-18), p = 0.041) were associated with survival time, as well as location in body or tail (HR 3.05; 95% CI, 1.75-5.31; p < 0.001) and high Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at 3 months (HR 6.20; 95% CI, 2.59-14.87; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

WL was an independent prognostic factor for survival. Particularly in early stage disease, interventions targeting this modifiable factor may translate into better outcomes for PA patients. NLR may be a surrogate marker of systemic inflammatory status in this setting.

Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index and Changes of Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio as Prognostic Biomarkers for Patients With Pancreatic Cancer Treated With Immune Checkpoint Blockade

The efficacy of current treatment regimens for pancreatic cancer (PC) remains unsatisfactory. In recent years, immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) therapy has shown promising anti-tumor outcomes in many malignancies, including PC. Inexpensive and readily available biomarkers which predict therapeutic responses and prognosis are in critical need. Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are emerging predictors for prognosis of various tumors. We aim to investigate the prognostic significance of baseline SII, NLR, and their changes in PC patients treated with ICB. Our retrospective analysis included PC patients treated with ICB therapy in the Chinese PLA General Hospital. All demographic, biological, and clinical data were extracted from medical records. Relative changes of SII after two doses of ICB were defined as ΔSII% and calculated as (SII_{after 2 doses}-SII_baseline)/SII_baseline, and so was the case for ΔNLR%. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared using Kaplan-Meier curves. The prognostic significance of baseline SII, NLR, and their changes was assessed in univariate and multivariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazard regression model. In total, 122 patients with PC treated with ICB were included in the present analysis. Elevated baseline SII (HR=3.28; 95% CI:1.98–5.27; P=0.03) and ΔNLR% (HR=2.21; 95% CI:1.03–4.74; P=0.04) were significantly correlated with an increased risk of death. For PC patients receiving ICB combined with chemotherapies or radiotherapies as the first-line treatment, increased baseline SII was a negative predictor for both OS (HR=8.06; 95% CI:1.71–37.86; P=0.01) and PFS (HR=2.84; 95%CI:1.37–10.38; P=0.04). Our study reveals the prognostic value of baseline SII and NLR changes in PC patients receiving ICB therapy. The clinical utility of these prognostic biomarkers needs to be further studied in prospective studies.

Association between the preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and tertiary lymphoid structures surrounding tumor in gastric cancer

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported to be associated with a poor prognosis in various types of cancer. We previously reported that an antitumor immune response was induced by tertiary lymphoid structures (TLSs) surrounding tumor, and increased TLS was an independent prognostic factor in patients with gastric cancer. The present study examined the stratification based on the correlation between the preoperative NLR and TLS density in gastric cancer. A total of 199 patients who underwent surgery for stage Ib-IV gastric cancer were included in the study. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to determine the appropriate cut-off values of the preoperative NLR and the TLS density. The prognostic factors were evaluated in a multivariate analysis. The median NLR was 2.18 (mean ± SD, 2.7±2.04). A total of 91 patients with an NLR ≥2.33 was classified into the high NLR group. The overall survival was significantly improved in patients with a low NLR than in those with a high NLR. Additionally, the low NLR group tended to have a high TLS density. The multivariate analysis indicated that the preoperative NLR and TLS density were independent risk factors. When the patients were classified into the high and low NLR and TLS groups and the survival rates were compared, the prognosis was significantly improved in the low NLR and high TLS group than in the other groups. The preoperative NLR may be associated with the presence of TLSs surrounding the tumor, and the combination of NLR and TLS may be useful for the stratification of patient prognosis. The present results suggested that the NLR and TLS density may be surrogate markers for immunotherapy against gastric cancer.

Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index Is a Prognostic Predictor in Patients with Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Undergoing Liver Transplantation

Background

It was reported that systemic immune inflammation index (SII) was related to poor prognosis in a variety of cancers. We aimed to investigate the ability of the prognostic predictors of SII in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) undergoing liver transplantation (LT).

Methods

The 28 iCCA patients who underwent LT at our hospital between 2013 and 2018 were reviewed. Kaplan–Meier survival curves and Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the prognostic significance of SII. Patients were divided into the high and low SII groups according to the cut-off value.

Results

The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were significantly lower in the high SII group (85.7%, 28.6%, and 21.4%, respectively) than in the low SII group (92.9%, 71.4%, and 57.2%, respectively; P = 0.009). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates were, respectively, 57.1%, 32.7%, and 21.8% in the high SII group and 85.7%, 61.1%, and 61.1% in the low SII group (P = 0.021). SII ≥ 447.48 × 10⁹/L (HR 0.273, 95% CI 0.082–0.908; P = 0.034) was an independent prognostic factor for OS.

Conclusions

Our results showed that SII can be used to predict the survival of patients with iCCA who undergo LT.

Prognostic Nomogram for Resected Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma: A TRIPOD-Compliant Retrospective Long-Term Survival Analysis

BACKGROUND

Prognostic prediction had been widely used in various cancer entities, from early screening to end-stage patient caring. Currently, there is hardly any well-validated nomogram which exists for long-term survival prediction in pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PC) patients in a post-surgery setting. Our objectives are to identify possible prognostic factors in PC patients following radical resection and to develop a prognostic nomogram based on independent survival predictors.

METHODS

From 2009 to 2014, a total of 432 PC patients who underwent curative intended surgeries with complete follow-up data were included in this current retrospective long-term survival analysis. Clinicopathological data were extracted from medical records, and all missing values (percentage 0.9-8.3%) were imputed five times with the "PMM" method. Cox proportional hazards models were utilized. A nomogram was formulated based on results from the multivariate regression model so as to predict OS at 1-, 2- and 3-year as well as median OS. Validations, including discrimination and calibration, were carried out with 1000 bootstrap resamples. External validation was conducted in order to verify the accuracy of our nomogram at 1 and 2 years by utilizing the clinicopathological data of 122 PC patients who underwent curative intended surgeries in 2015 in our centre.

RESULTS

Age, abdominal pain, back pain, tumour location, preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, preoperative CA19-9, tumour differentiation, microscopic nerve invasion, microscopic vascular invasion, T stage, lymph node ratio, M stage and adjuvant chemotherapy were all assembled into nomogram. The concordance index (C-index) of internal and external validation was 0.702 and 0.688, respectively. The C-index of the TNM staging system was 0.572 (P < 0.001 vs. nomogram).

CONCLUSION

Our prognostic nomogram based on clinicopathological parameters shows good performance in long-term survival prediction in PC patients following radical surgery and could play a role in further clinical utilization.

Adjuvant Pancreatic Cancer Management: Towards New Perspectives in 2021

Adjuvant chemotherapy is currently used in all patients with resected pancreatic cancer who are able to begin treatment within 3 months after surgery. Since the recent publication of the PRODIGE 24 trial results, modified FOLFIRINOX has become the standard-of-care in the non-Asian population with localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma following surgery. Nevertheless, there is still a risk of toxicity, and feasibility may be limited in heavily pre-treated patients. In more frail patients, gemcitabine-based chemotherapy remains a suitable option, for example gemcitabine or 5FU in monotherapy. In Asia, although S1-based chemotherapy is the standard of care it is not readily available outside Asia and data are lacking in non-Asiatic patients. In patients in whom resection is not initially possible, intensified schemes such as FOLFIRINOX or gemcitabine-nabpaclitaxel have been confirmed as options to enhance the response rate and resectability, promoting research in adjuvant therapy. In particular, should oncologists prescribe adjuvant treatment after a long sequence of chemotherapy +/- chemoradiotherapy and surgery? Should oncologists consider the response rate, the R0 resection rate alone, or the initial chemotherapy regimen? And finally, should they take into consideration the duration of the entire sequence, or the presence of limited toxicities of induction treatment? The aim of this review is to summarize adjuvant management of resected pancreatic cancer and to raise current and future concerns, especially the need for biomarkers and the best holistic care for patients.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and cancer prognosis: an umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies

BACKGROUND

Although neutrophils have been linked to the progression of cancer, uncertainty exists around their association with cancer outcomes, depending on the site, outcome and treatments considered. We aimed to evaluate the strength and validity of evidence on the association between either the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) or tumour-associated neutrophils (TAN) and cancer prognosis.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews from inception to 29 May 2020 for systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies on neutrophil counts (here NLR or TAN) and specific cancer outcomes related to disease progression or survival. The available evidence was graded as strong, highly suggestive, suggestive, weak or uncertain through the application of pre-set GRADE criteria.

RESULTS

A total of 204 meta-analyses from 86 studies investigating the association between either NLR or TAN and cancer outcomes met the criteria for inclusion. All but one meta-analyses found a hazard ratio (HR) which increased risk (HR > 1). We did not find sufficient meta-analyses to evaluate TAN and cancer outcomes (N = 9). When assessed for magnitude of effect, significance and bias related to heterogeneity and small study effects, 18 (9%) associations between NLR and outcomes in composite cancer endpoints (combined analysis), cancers treated with immunotherapy and some site specific cancers (urinary, nasopharyngeal, gastric, breast, endometrial, soft tissue sarcoma and hepatocellular cancers) were supported by strong evidence.

CONCLUSION

In total, 60 (29%) meta-analyses presented strong or highly suggestive evidence. Although the NLR and TAN hold clinical promise in their association with poor cancer prognosis, further research is required to provide robust evidence, assess causality and test clinical utility.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42017069131 .

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio predicts prognosis in unresectable pancreatic cancer

Inflammation-based prognostic indicators have been developed to predict the prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer. However, prognostic indices have not been established in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer, including those without indication for chemotherapy at diagnosis. This study aimed to identify the predictors in all patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer. We retrospectively analyzed data of 119 patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer from June 2006 to September 2018. The following laboratory parameters were evaluated: the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified GPS, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), C-reactive protein albumin (CRP/Alb) ratio, and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). We performed time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis, overall survival (OS) analysis, and univariate and multivariate analyses to determine the prognostic factors in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer. The cut-off value for NLR was determined to be 3.74. The 6-month OS rates in low and high NLR groups were 75.5% and 18.8% (P < 0.001). In the univariate analysis, advanced age (P = 0.003), metastatic pancreatic cancer (P = 0.037), no treatment (P < 0.001), worse Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG-PS) (P < 0.001), high GPS (P < 0.001), high modified GPS (P < 0.001), high NLR (P < 0.001), high PLR (P = 0.002), high CRP/Alb ratio (P < 0.001), and low PNI (P < 0.001) were identified as the prognostic factors. The multivariate analysis revealed that metastatic pancreatic cancer (P = 0.046), no treatment (P < 0.001), worse ECOG-PS (P = 0.002), and high NLR (P < 0.001) were independently associated with OS. We revealed that the high NLR could be an independent indicator of poor prognosis in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer.

Factors predicting survival in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer undergoing pancreatectomy with arterial resection

Pancreatectomy with arterial resection is a treatment option in selected patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer. This study aimed to identify factors predicting cancer-specific survival in this patient population. A single-Institution prospective database was used. Pre-operative prognostic factors were identified and used to develop a prognostic score. Matching with pathologic parameters was used for internal validation. In a patient population with a median Ca 19.9 level of 19.8 U/mL(IQR: 7.1–77), cancer-specific survival was predicted by: metabolic deterioration of diabetes (OR = 0.22, p = 0.0012), platelet count (OR = 1.00; p = 0.0013), serum level of Ca 15.3 (OR = 1.01, p = 0.0018) and Ca 125 (OR = 1.02, p = 0.00000137), neutrophils-to-lymphocytes ratio (OR = 1.16; p = 0.00015), lymphocytes-to-monocytes ratio (OR = 0.88; p = 0.00233), platelets-to-lymphocytes ratio (OR = 0.99; p = 0.00118), and FOLFIRINOX neoadjuvant chemotherapy (OR = 0.57; p = 0.00144). A prognostic score was developed and three risk groups were identified. Harrell’s C-Index was 0.74. Median cancer-specific survival was 16.0 months (IQR: 12.3–28.2) for the high-risk group, 24.7 months (IQR: 17.6–33.4) for the intermediate-risk group, and 39.0 months (IQR: 22.7–NA) for the low-risk group (p = 0.0003). Matching the three risk groups against pathology parameters, N2 rate was 61.9, 42.1, and 23.8% (p = 0.04), median value of lymph-node ratio was 0.07 (IQR: 0.05–0.14), 0.04 (IQR:0.02–0.07), and 0.03 (IQR: 0.01–0.04) (p = 0.008), and mean value of logarithm odds of positive nodes was − 1.07 ± 0.5, − 1.3 ± 0.4, and − 1.4 ± 0.4 (p = 0.03), in the high-risk, intermediate-risk, and low-risk groups, respectively. An online calculator is available at www.survivalcalculator-lapdac-arterialresection.org. The prognostic factors identified in this study predict cancer-specific survival in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer and low Ca 19.9 levels undergoing pancreatectomy with arterial resection.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, not platelet to lymphocyte or lymphocyte to monocyte ratio, is predictive of patient survival after resection of early-stage pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Background

NLR, PLR, and LMR have been associated with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) survival. Prognostic value and optimal cutpoints were evaluated to identify underlying significance in surgical PDAC patients.

Methods

NLR, PLR, and LMR preoperative values were available for 277 PDAC patients who underwent resection between 2007 and 2015. OS, RFS, and survival probability estimates were calculated by univariate, multivariable, and Kaplan-Meier analyses. Continuous and dichotomized ratio analysis determined best-fit cutpoints and assessed ratio components to determine primary drivers.

Results

Elevated NLR and PLR and decreased LMR represented 14%, 50%, and 50% of the cohort, respectively. OS (P = .002) and RFS (P = .003) were significantly decreased in resected PDAC patients with NLR ≥5 compared to those with NLR < 5. Optimal prognostic OS and RFS cutpoints for NLR, PLR, and LMR were 4.8, 192.6, and 1.7, respectively. Lymphocytes alone were the primary prognostic driver of NLR, demonstrating identical survival to NLR.

Conclusions

NLR is a significant predictor of OS and RFS, with lymphocytes alone as its primary driver; we identified optimal cutpoints that may direct future investigation of their prognostic value. This study contributes to the growing evidence of immune system influence on outcomes in early-stage pancreatic cancer.

Inflammation-Based Prognostic Scores in Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation

Background

Inflammation-based prognostic scores including systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have prognostic value in various cancers. We investigated the prognostic value of SII, PLR and NLR in patients who underwent liver transplantation (LT) for HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the records of 189 patients who underwent LT for HBV-related HCC. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal SII, PLR and NLR cut-off value. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) following LT were calculated. The Kaplan–Meier method and the Cox proportional hazards model were used to evaluate the prognostic value of SII, PLR and NLR.

Results

The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were significantly lower in the high SII group (74.1%, 34.2%, and 32.3%, respectively) than in the low SII group (78.5%, 66.9%, and 59.9%, respectively; p = 0.000). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates were, respectively, 75.9%, 59.7%, and 49.4% in the high SII group and 93.3%, 80.2%, and 73.7% in the low SII group (p = 0.000). Finally, OS curves were plotted by the Kaplan–Meier method and compared using the Log rank test. High PLR and NLR scores were also associated with poor OS (p = 0.000 and p = 0.003) and poor RFS (p = 0.000 and p = 0.000). The multivariate analysis demonstrated that AFP ≥400 ng/mL, high MELD score, largest tumor size ≥5cm, SII ≥449.61, NLR ≥5.29, and PLR ≥98.52 were independent prognostic factors for OS.

Conclusion

High SII, PLR and NLR are significantly poor prognostic factors for overall survival and recurrence-free survival in patients with HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation.

Systemic but not MDSC-specific IRF4 deficiency promotes an immunosuppressed tumor microenvironment in a murine pancreatic cancer model

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is characterized by a strong immunosuppressive network with a dense infiltration of myeloid cells including myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSC). Two distinct populations of MDSC have been defined: polymorphonuclear MDSC (PMN-MDSC) and monocytic MDSC (M-MDSC). Several factors influence the development and function of MDSC including the transcription factor interferon regulatory factor 4 (IRF4). Here, we show that IRF4 deficiency accelerates tumor growth and reduces survival, accompanied with a dense tumor infiltration with PMN-MDSC and reduced numbers of CD8⁺ T cells. As IRF4 has been described to modulate myeloid cell development and function, particularly of PMN-MDSC, we analyzed its role using MDSC-specific IRF4 knockout mice with the Ly6G or LysM knock-in allele expressing Cre recombinase and Irf4^flox. In GM-CSF-driven bone marrow cultures, IRF4 deficiency increased the frequency of MDSC-like cells with a strong T cell suppressive capacity. Myeloid (LysM)-specific depletion of IRF4 led to increased tumor weight and a moderate splenic M-MDSC expansion in tumor-bearing mice. PMN cell (Ly6G)-specific depletion of IRF4, however, did not influence tumor progression or MDSC accumulation in vivo in accordance with our finding that IRF4 is not expressed in PMN-MDSC. This study demonstrates a critical role of IRF4 in the generation of an immunosuppressive tumor microenvironment in pancreatic cancer, which is independent of IRF4 expression in PMN-MDSC.

A preoperative risk model for early recurrence after radical resection may facilitate initial treatment decisions concerning the use of neoadjuvant therapy for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy may benefit patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma with resectable and borderline disease. Inappropriate use of neoadjuvant therapy, however, may lead to the loss of therapeutic opportunities. Until an effective prediction model of individual drug sensitivity is established, no accurate model exists to help surgeons decide on the appropriate use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy. We hypothesized that early recurrence in patients undergoing upfront, early resection may be an indication for neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Therefore, we aimed to use preoperative clinical parameters to establish a model of early recurrence to select patients at high risk for neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

METHODS

Patients who underwent resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma between January 2014 and November 2017 were analyzed retrospectively. After the minimum P-value approach, the patients were divided into three groups: early recurrence, middle recurrence, and late/non-recurrence. Preoperative clinicopathologic factors that could predict early recurrence were included in a Cox proportional hazards regression model for univariate and multivariate analyses. The factors related to early recurrence were included to establish nomogram and decision tree models, which were then validated in 68 patients.

RESULTS

We found that 235 (72.5%) of 324 patients had recurrence with a median recurrence-free survival of 210 days. The early recurrence, middle recurrence, and late/non-recurrence groups differed in preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 and carcinoembryonic antigen levels, "resectability" on cross-sectional imaging, resection requiring a vascular resection, T stage, tumor size, and adjuvant chemotherapy. The best cutoff value of early recurrence was the first 162 days postoperatively. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that selected preoperative chief complaints, lymph node enlargement and resectability on cross-sectional imaging, preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels >210 kU/L, and a neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio >4.2 were independent predictors for early recurrence.

CONCLUSION

We have successfully built a prediction model of early recurrence of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma with the optimal cutoff early-recurrence value of 162 days. Our nomogram and decision tree models may be used to select those at high risk for early recurrence to guide preoperative decision-making concerning the use of neoadjuvant therapy in those patients who have "resectable" disease and not only the more classic criteria of borderline resectability.

Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII) Predicts Poor Survival in Pancreatic Cancer Patients Undergoing Resection

BACKGROUND

The systemic immune-inflammation index based on peripheral neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts has shown a prognostic impact in several malignancies. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic role of systemic immune-inflammation index in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma undergoing resection.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent surgical resection at the department of surgery at the Medical University of Vienna between 1995 and 2014 were included into this study. The systemic immune-inflammation index was calculated by the formula platelet*neutrophil/lymphocyte. Optimal cutoffs were determined using Youden's index. Uni- and multivariate analyses were calculated by the Cox proportional hazard regression model for overall survival.

RESULTS

Three hundred twenty-one patients were included in this study. Clinical data was achieved from a prospective patient database. In univariate survival analysis, elevated systemic immune-inflammation index was found to be significantly associated with shortened patients' overall survival (p = 0.007). In multivariate survival analysis, systemic immune-inflammation index remained an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (p = 0.004). No statistical significance could be found for platelet to lymphocyte ratio and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in multivariate analysis. Furthermore, area under the curve analysis showed a higher prognostic significance for systemic immune-inflammation index, compared to platelet to lymphocyte ratio and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio.

CONCLUSION

A high systemic immune-inflammation index is an independent, preoperative available prognostic factor in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and is superior to platelet to lymphocyte ratio and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for predicting overall survival in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma patients.

Severe Neutropenia is Associated with Better Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Cancer Who Receive Modified FOLFIRINOX Therapy

While modified FOLFIRINOX therapy is effective for treating advanced pancreatic cancer, it frequently causes severe neutropenia. The present study investigated the effect of severe neutropenia on clinical outcomes in advanced pancreatic cancer patients who received modified FOLFIRINOX. The study subjects were 51 patients (30 males and 21 females) with advanced pancreatic cancer who received modified FOLFIRINOX (2h bolus injection of oxaliplatin at 85 mg/m², 2 h bolus injection of L-leucovorin at 200 mg/m², 90min bolus injection of irinotecan at 150 mg/m², followed by continuous infusion of 5-fluorouracil for 46 h at 2400 mg/m² without bolus 5-fluorouracil) during the period from January 2014 to May 2018. No patients had prior history of chemotherapy. Adverse events, including neutropenia, were graded according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 4.0. Median overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint, while median time to treatment failure (TTF), overall response rate (ORR), and the incidence of other adverse events were secondary endpoints. Severe neutropenia (grade ≥3) occurred in 39 patients (76.4%), and Cox proportional hazard analysis identified high total bilirubin level as a significant risk factor. Median duration of OS was significantly longer in patients with severe neutropenia than in those without it (21.3 months versus 8.9 months, p = 0.020). Moreover, there was a significant correlation between OS and the grade of neutropenia (r = 0.306, p = 0.029). ORR tended to be higher, though not significantly, in patients with severe neutropenia. In contrast, the incidence rates of other adverse events were not different between the two groups. Severe neutropenia is an independent predictor of prognosis in advanced pancreatic cancer patients received modified FOLFIRINOX therapy.

Inflammation-based prognostic scores in patients with extrahepatic bile duct lesions treated by percutaneous transhepatic biliary stenting combined with 125I seeds intracavitary irradiation

PURPOSE

This study aimed at investigating the efficacy of percutaneous transhepatic biliary stenting (PTBS) combined with ¹²⁵I seeds intracavitary irradiation in the treatment of extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (EHC) and to preliminarily explore the prognostic values of inflammation-based scores in these patients.

METHODS

A total of 113 clinically/pathologically diagnosed cases of EHC who received PTBS combined with ¹²⁵I seeds implantation were retrospectively analyzed. The postoperative changes of clinical symptoms and serum levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), total serum bilirubin (TBIL), direct bilirubin (DBIL), and albumin (ALB) were observed. Preoperative clinical data were extracted to calculate inflammation-based scores, including systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR). Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the prognostic significance of inflammation-based scores.

RESULTS

After operation, clinical symptoms such as jaundice and fever significantly improved in all patients. At 1 month and 3 months postoperatively, serum levels of ALT, AST, ALP, TBIL, and DBIL significantly reduced, and ALB significantly increased, compared with preoperative values. The median survival time of the patients was 12 months and the 1-year survival rate was 56.8%. Univariate analysis revealed that factors related to overall survival were CA19-9, TBIL, ALB, SII, and NLR. Multivariate analysis further identified SII and NLR as independent prognostic models.

CONCLUSION

The combination of PTBS and ¹²⁵I seeds intracavitary irradiation is an effective palliative treatment for advanced EHC. Elevated SII and NLR can be used to predict poor survival.

Prognostic stratification of resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: Past, present, and future

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is the digestive cancer with the poorest prognosis, with a 5-year overall survival rate of 7%. Complete surgical resection followed by adjuvant chemotherapy is the only treatment with curative intent. However, many patients with an apparently localized disease who may undergo primary tumor resection already have micro-metastatic disease and will promptly develop metastases. Considering the significant rate of morbidity and mortality upon pancreatic surgery, the pre-operative identification of patients with an aggressive disease is therefore a major clinical issue. Although tumor size, differentiation, margins, and lymph node invasion are the main "classical" prognostic factors, they are not sufficient to fully predict early disease recurrence. In the last decade, multi-omics high-throughput analyses have provided a new insight into PDAC biology and have led to the description of multiple molecular subtypes, with a significant prognostic value for most of them, but that have not yet been transposed to routine clinical practice, mainly due to poor availability of tumor tissue material prior to surgical resection. In this review, we provide an overview of the current status of clinico-pathological and molecular biomarkers (tumor and blood) to predict early recurrence, and their implications for clinical practice and future research development.

Crosstalk between the Tumor Microenvironment and Immune System in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Potential Targets for New Therapeutic Approaches

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is a lethal disease for which radical surgery and chemotherapy represent the only curative options for a small proportion of patients. Recently, FOLFIRINOX and nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine have improved the survival of metastatic patients but prognosis remains poor. A pancreatic tumor microenvironment is a dynamic milieu of cellular and acellular elements, and it represents one of the major limitations to chemotherapy efficacy. The continued crosstalk between cancer cells and the surrounding microenvironment causes immunosuppression within pancreatic immune infiltrate increasing tumor aggressiveness. Several potential targets have been identified among tumor microenvironment components, and different therapeutic approaches are under investigation. In this article, we provide a qualitative literature review about the crosstalk between the tumor microenvironment components and immune system in pancreatic cancer. Finally, we discuss potential therapeutic strategies targeting the tumor microenvironment and we show the ongoing trials.