Back to the future: Predicting sudden death in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy relying on individual risk markers and physician judgment without mathematical scoring

The Paradigm of Sudden Death Prevention in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a relatively common and, often, inherited cardiac disease, once regarded as largely untreatable with ominous prognosis and, perhaps, most visibly as a common cause of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in the young. However, HCM is now more accurately considered a treatable disease with management options that significantly alter its clinical course. This is particularly true for SCD because the penetration of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators into HCM practice enables primary prevention device therapy that reliably terminates potentially lethal ventricular tachyarrhythmias (3% to 4%/year). This therapeutic advance is largely responsible for >10-fold decrease in the overall disease-related mortality to 0.5%/year, independent of patient age. A guideline-based clinical risk stratification algorithm has evolved, which included variables identifiable with cardiac magnetic resonance: ≥1 risk markers judged major within the clinical profile of an individual patient, associated with a measure of physician judgment and shared decision-making, can be sufficient to consider the recommendation of a prophylactic defibrillator implant. Implantable cardioverter-defibrillator decisions using the American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association traditional major risk marker strategy are associated with a 95% sensitivity for identifying those patients who subsequently experience appropriate therapy, albeit often 5 to 10+ years after implant but without heart failure deterioration or death after a device intervention. A mathematical SCD risk score proposed by European Society of Cardiology is associated with a relatively low sensitivity (33%) for predicting and preventing SCD events but with potential for less device overtreatment.

Differing strategies for sudden death prevention in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Sudden death (SD) has traditionally been the most visible and feared complication of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). Substantial progress in reducing the occurrence of these catastrophic events represents a new paradigm in disease management. Prevention of SD in HCM has resulted from introduction of primary prevention ICDs that reliably terminate life-threatening ventricular tachyarrhythmias, as well as a matured risk stratification algorithm capable of reliably identifying those patients at highest risk. This initiative has been a major determinant of reducing HCM-related mortality to a low rate of 0.5%/year. In such a heterogeneous heart disease as HCM, no perfect risk stratification strategy is possible, and available approaches differ in terms of sensitivity and specificity for identifying patients with SD risk. Major cardiovascular societies, American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology in the USA and European Society of Cardiology in Europe have promoted different risk stratification guidelines creating the potential for judging SD risk in a given HCM patient differently based on commitment to a particular societal guideline or country of residence. In this review, we provide a critical but balanced assessment of these two divergent SD prevention strategies with regard to their respective strengths and weaknesses, as a guide to clinicians directly engaged in this important management issue.

Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: New Concepts and Therapies

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), a relatively common, globally distributed, and often inherited myocardial disorder, transformed over the last several years into a treatable condition with the emergence of effective management options that alter natural history at all ages. Now available are a matured risk stratification algorithm selecting patients for prophylactic implantable defibrillators that prevent arrhythmic sudden death; low-risk, high-benefit surgical myectomy to reverse progressive heart failure symptoms due to left ventricular outflow obstruction; anticoagulation prophylaxis to prevent atrial fibrillation-mediated embolic stroke; and heart transplant for refractory end-stage disease in the absence of obstruction. Those strategies have resulted in reduction of HCM-related morbidity and reduction of mortality to 0.5% per year.

Evolution of risk stratification and sudden death prevention in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: Twenty years with the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a relatively common inherited myocardial disorder, once regarded as largely untreatable with ominous prognosis and most visibly as a common cause of sudden death (SD) in the young. Over the last several years, HCM has been transformed into a contemporary treatable disease with management options that significantly alter clinical course. With the use of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) in the HCM patient population, a new paradigm has emerged, with primary prevention device therapy reliably terminating potentially lethal ventricular tachyarrhythmias (3%-4% per year) and being largely responsible for a >10-fold decrease in disease-related mortality (to 0.5% per year), independent of age. An evidenced-based and guideline directed clinical risk stratification algorithm has evolved, including variables identified with cardiac magnetic resonance. One or more risk markers judged major and relevant within a patient's clinical profile can be considered sufficient to recommend a primary prevention implant (associated with a measure of physician judgment and shared decision-making). ICD decisions using the prospective individual risk marker strategy have been associated with 95% sensitivity for identifying patients who subsequently experienced appropriate ICD therapy, (albeit often delayed substantially for >5 or >10 years after implant), but without heart failure deterioration or HCM death following device intervention. A rigid mathematically derived statistical risk model proposed by the European Society of Cardiology is associated with low sensitivity (ie, 33%) for predicting SD events. Introduction of prophylactically inserted ICDs to HCM 20 years ago has significantly altered the clinical course and landscape of this disease. SD prevention has reduced HCM mortality significantly, making preservation of life and the potential for normal longevity a reality for most patients.