Duration and magnitude of the effect of a single statin tablet in primary prevention of cardiovascular events

Autologous bone marrow-derived stem cell therapy in heart disease: discrepancies and contradictions

BACKGROUND

Autologous bone marrow stem cell therapy is the greatest advance in the treatment of heart disease for a generation according to pioneering reports. In response to an unanswered letter regarding one of the largest and most promising trials, we attempted to summarise the findings from the most innovative and prolific laboratory.

METHOD AND RESULTS

Amongst 48 reports from the group, there appeared to be 5 actual clinical studies ("families" of reports). Duplicate or overlapping reports were common, with contradictory experimental design, recruitment and results. Readers cannot always tell whether a study is randomised versus not, open-controlled or blinded placebo-controlled, or lacking a control group. There were conflicts in recruitment dates, criteria, sample sizes, million-fold differences in cell counts, sex reclassification, fractional numbers of patients and conflation of competitors' studies with authors' own. Contradictory results were also common. These included arithmetical miscalculations, statistical errors, suppression of significant changes, exaggerated description of own findings, possible silent patient deletions, fractional numbers of coronary arteries, identical results with contradictory sample sizes, contradictory results with identical sample sizes, misrepresented survival graphs and a patient with a negative NYHA class. We tabulate over 200 discrepancies amongst the reports. The 5 family-flagship papers (Strauer 2002, STAR, IACT, ABCD, BALANCE) have had 2665 citations. Of these, 291 citations were to the pivotal STAR or IACT-JACC papers, but 97% of their eligible citing papers did not mention any discrepancies. Five meta-analyses or systematic reviews covered these studies, but none described any discrepancies and all resolved uncertainties by undisclosed methods, in mutually contradictory ways. Meta-analysts disagreed whether some studies were randomised or "accepter-versus-rejecter". Our experience of presenting the discrepancies to journals is that readers may remain unaware of such problems.

CONCLUSIONS

Modern reporting of clinical research can still be imperfect. The scientific literature absorbs such reports largely uncritically. Even meta-analyses seem to resolve contradictions haphazardly. Discrepancies communicated to journals are not guaranteed to reach the scientific community. Journals could consider prioritising systematic reporting of queries even if seemingly minor, and establishing a policy of "habeas data".

Quantitative comparison of clopidogrel 600 mg, prasugrel and ticagrelor, against clopidogrel 300 mg on major adverse cardiovascular events and bleeding in coronary stenting: synthesis of CURRENT-OASIS-7, TRITON-TIMI-38 and PLATO

The convention of loading with clopidogrel 300 mg before coronary intervention may be due for change, but to what? Newer antiplatelet agents may offer better outcomes, at some financial cost. Disappointingly for decision-making clinicians, head-to-head comparisons for the newer alternatives are not available. We systematically review and compare the three alternative strategies: clopidogrel 600 mg, prasugrel and ticagrelor. A total of 14 studies have compared these strategies with the long-standing convention of 300 mg. Throughout this analysis, we consistently report incremental costs and consequences using clopidogrel 300 mg as the reference strategy. Risk ratios for major adverse cardiovascular events at 30 days were 0.74 (95% confidence interval 0.66-0.82, p=0.002) for clopidogrel 600 mg, 0.78 (0.69-0.89; p<0.001) for prasugrel and 0.88 (0.77-1.00; p=0.045) for ticagrelor. All-cause mortality risk ratios were 0.87 (0.74-1.03) with clopidogrel 600 mg, 0.95 (0.78-1.16) with prasugrel and 0.78 (0.69-0.89) with ticagrelor. TIMI major bleeding has risk ratio 0.92 (0.74-1.16; p=0.85) with clopidogrel 600 mg, 1.32 (1.03-1.16; p=0.03) with prasugrel and 1.25 (1.03-1.53; p=0.03) with ticagrelor. Incremental cost for the first year was £0.32 (US$0.50, €0.40) with clopidogrel 600 mg, £608 (US$977, €709) with prasugrel and £665 (US$1068, €775) with ticagrelor. All three strategies have shown a similar reduction in MACE at 30 days by comparison to clopidogrel 300 mg. All three strategies offer progressive benefit, most marked with Ticagrelor. Whether this is worth both the risk of non-compliance with twice-a-day dosing in real-life patients lacking the same motivation as their trial-volunteer counterparts, and the 2000-fold difference in incremental cost, is the remaining matter for debate.