Red cell distribution width as predictive marker in CHF: testing of model performance by reclassification methods

In-hospital changes in the red blood cell distribution width and mortality in critically ill patients with heart failure

AIMS

A high red blood cell distribution width (RDW) at admission or discharge is associated with a worse prognosis in hospitalized patients with heart failure (HF), and the prognostic value of the in-hospital change in RDW (∆RDW) remains debatable.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included 5514 patients with critical illness and HF from the MIMIC-IV database. The ΔRDW was calculated by the RDW at discharge minus that at admission. Clinical outcomes included all-cause mortality at 90 day, 180 day, and 1 year after discharge. The median age of the patients was 73.91 years, and 46.37% were women. Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox regression analyses were used to examine the association between the ΔRDW and all-cause mortality at different time points. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard model showed that the ΔRDW (per 1% increase) was independently associated with all-cause mortality at 90 day, 180 day, and 1 year after adjusting for confounding factors (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.17, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.13-1.21, P < 0.001; HR = 1.17, 95% CI = 1.14-1.20, P < 0.001; and HR = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.15-1.20, P < 0.001, respectively). Restricted cubic splines showed a non-linear relationship between the ΔRDW and the risk of clinical outcomes. High ΔRDW was associated with a high risk of mortality at different time points. A subgroup analysis showed that this positive association remained consistent in pre-specified subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that an increased RDW during hospitalization is independently associated with short- or long-term all-cause mortality in critical-ill patients with HF.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio and Red Blood Cell Distribution Width in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Rheumatic Valve Disease

The lifetime risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF) is 1 in 3 adults, resulting in a prevalence of 2-4%. Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) is a frequent aetiology of valvular heart disease in lowand middle-income countries. Between 21% and 80% of patients with mitral valve disease, especially with stenosis, may have AF. Both these conditions, AF and RHD, present a state of persistent inflammation. In turn, inflammation is a frequent cause of anisocytosis, which can be evidenced through the parameter RDW (red bold cell distribution width). Factors associated with increased RDW are also known as risk factors associated with a higher incidence of AF. RDW may have an independent role in the pathogenesis of AF and the increased propensity of both thromboembolic and bleeding events. Another marker involved in the incidence of AF is the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio. This is also a marker of oxidative stress and inflammation and is associated with a higher rate of AF recurrence. This review will evaluate these biomarkers and their association with cardiovascular events in patients with AF and RHD. The hypotheses and current debates about the relationship of biomarkers with the severity of chronic valve dysfunction, with acute rheumatic carditis in the paediatric population, and with the presence of thrombus in the left atrium will be discussed.

Red Cell Distribution Width and Severe Left Ventricular Dysfunction in Ischemic Heart Failure

OBJECTIVE

The red cell distribution width (RDW), a simple and widely available marker, has been linked with an increased risk of adverse outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF) and risk of death, and cardiovascular events in those with previous myocardial infarction, but its relation with the severity of left ventricular (LV) dysfunction is not fully investigated. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of the RDW in post myocardial infarction patients with typical signs and symptoms of HF and with reduced LV ejection fraction (EF).

METHODS

Patients (n = 350) came from an ongoing registry of consecutive patients who admitted for ischemic heart disease at our center. All patients were followed up 1 year after the initial hospitalization by telephone interviews. The outcomes studied were mortality and hospitalization because of decompensated HF.

RESULTS

RDW-coefficient of variation (express in percentage) was calculated from SD of mean corpuscular volume and mean corpuscular volume itself. Using logistic regression analysis, 3 variables consisting age, RDW level, and hemoglobin were identified as independent predictors of severe LV dysfunction (LVEF <30%). Levels of RDW were associated with the presence of severe LV dysfunction, with an accuracy of 61.4% (95% confidence interval: 56.2%-66.4%) and 66.9% (95% confidence interval: 61.8%-71.6%), using cut-off values of higher than 13.5 and 13.8, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that elevated RDW may be used as a prognostic tool among HF patients with the documented myocardial infarction because it is an inexpensive, rapidly calculated test that is already routinely in use in practice.

Red cell distribution width and mortality in acute heart failure patients with preserved and reduced ejection fraction

Background

Elevated red blood cell distribution width (RDW) is a valid predictor of outcome in acute heart failure (AHF). It is unknown whether elevated RDW remains predictive in AHF patients with either preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥50% or reduced LVEF (<50%).

Methods and results

Prospective local registry including 402 consecutive hospitalized AHF patients without acute coronary syndrome or need of intensive care. The primary outcome was all‐cause mortality (ACM) at 1 year after admission. Demographic and clinical data derive from admission, echocardiographic examinations (n = 269; 67%) from hospitalization.

The Cox proportional hazard model including all patients (P < 0.001) was adjusted for age, gender, and RDW quartiles. Independent predictors of 1‐year ACM were cardiogenic shock (HR 2.86; CI: 1.3–6.4), male sex (HR 1.9; CI: 1.2–2.9), high RDW quartile (HR 1.66; CI: 1.02–2.8), chronic HF (HR 1.61; CI: 1.05–2.5), valvular heart disease (HR 1.61; CI: 1.09–2.4), increased diastolic blood pressure (HR 1.02 per mmHg; CI: 1.01–1.03), increasing age (HR 1.04 by year; CI: 1.02–1.07), platelet count (HR 1.002 per G/l; CI: 1.0–1.004), systolic blood pressure (HR 0.99 per mmHg; CI: 0.98–0.99), and weight (HR 0.98 per kg; CI: 0.97–0.99). A total of 114 patients (28.4%) died within the first year; ACM of all patients increased with quartiles of rising RDW (χ² 18; P < 0.001). ACM was not different between RDW quartiles of patients with reduced LVEF (n = 153; χ² 6.6; P = 0.084). In AHF with LVEF ≥50% the probability of ACM increased with rising RDW (n = 116; χ² 9.9; P = 0.0195).

Conclusions

High RDW is associated with increased ACM in AHF patients with preserved but not with reduced LVEF in this study population.

Red blood cell distribution width and cardiovascular diseases

BACKGROUND

The red blood cell distribution width (RDW) is a rather simple measure of red blood cell (RBC) size heterogeneity (i.e., anisocytosis), which is easily calculated by dividing the standard deviation (SD) of erythrocyte volumes for the mean corpuscular volume (MCV). Emerging evidence suggests that, besides RBC abnormalities, many human disorders may be frequently associated with a high degree of anisocytosis.

METHODS

In this narrative review, we analyzed the current scientific literature about the putative role and the potential epidemiologic association between RDW and cardiovascular diseases. The findings of the most representative epidemiological studies were summarized and discussed.

RESULTS

Overall, considerable and convincing evidence has been brought that an increased RDW value is associated with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) [including acute myocardial infarction (AMI)], ischemic cerebrovascular disease (including stroke), peripheral artery disease (PAD), as well as with atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure (HF) and hypertension. Higher anisocytosis also significantly and independently predicts adverse outcomes in patients with these conditions.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the role of anisocytosis in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular diseases remains uncertain, the considerable evidence available so far suggests that the clinical use of RDW may be broadened beyond the conventional boundaries of erythrocyte disorders, in particular for assisting the diagnosis and prognostication of patients with ACS, ischemic cerebrovascular disease, PAD, HF and AF.