Incremental predictive value of combined endothelial shear stress, plaque necrotic core, and plaque burden for future cardiac events: A post-hoc analysis of the PREDICTION study

Current Toolset in Predicting Acute Coronary Thrombotic Events: The “Vulnerable Plaque” in a “Vulnerable Patient” Concept

Despite major advances in pharmacotherapy and interventional procedures, coronary artery disease (CAD) remains a principal cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Invasive coronary imaging along with the computation of hemodynamic forces, primarily endothelial shear stress and plaque structural stress, have enabled a comprehensive identification of atherosclerotic plaque components, providing a unique insight into the understanding of plaque vulnerability and progression, which may help guide patient treatment. However, the invasive-only approach to CAD has failed to show high predictive value. Meanwhile, it is becoming increasingly evident that along with the “vulnerable plaque”, the presence of a “vulnerable patient” state is also necessary to precipitate an acute coronary thrombotic event. Non-invasive imaging techniques have also evolved, providing new opportunities for the identification of high-risk plaques, the study of atherosclerosis in asymptomatic individuals, and general population screening. Additionally, risk stratification scores, circulating biomarkers, immunology, and genetics also complete the armamentarium of a broader “vulnerable plaque and patient” concept approach. In the current review article, the invasive and non-invasive modalities used for the detection of high-risk plaques in patients with CAD are summarized and critically appraised. The challenges of the vulnerable plaque concept are also discussed, highlighting the need to shift towards a more interdisciplinary approach that can identify the “vulnerable plaque” in a “vulnerable patient”.

Predictive value of the QFR in detecting vulnerable plaques in non-flow limiting lesions: a combined analysis of the PROSPECT and IBIS-4 study

Studies have shown that the quantitative flow ratio (QFR), recently introduced to assess lesion severity from coronary angiography, provides useful prognostic information; however the additive value of this technique over intravascular imaging in detecting lesions that are likely to cause events is yet unclear. We analysed data acquired in the PROSPECT and IBIS-4 studies, in particular the baseline virtual histology-intravascular ultrasound (VH-IVUS) and angiographic data from 17 non-culprit lesions with a presumable vulnerable phenotype (i.e., thin or thick cap fibroatheroma) that caused major adverse cardiac events or required revascularization (MACE) at 5-year follow-up and from a group of 78 vulnerable plaques that remained quiescent. The segments studied by VH-IVUS were identified in coronary angiography and the QFR was estimated. The additive value of 3-dimensional quantitative coronary angiography (3D-QCA) and of the QFR in predicting MACE at 5 year follow-up beyond plaque characteristics was examined. It was found that MACE lesions had a greater plaque burden (PB) and smaller minimum lumen area (MLA) on VH-IVUS, a longer length and a smaller minimum lumen diameter (MLD) on 3D-QCA and a lower QFR compared with lesions that remained quiescent. By univariate analysis MLA, PB, MLD, lesion length on 3D-QCA and QFR were predictors of MACE. In multivariate analysis a low but normal QFR (> 0.80 to < 0.97) was the only independent prediction of MACE (HR 3.53, 95% CI 1.16-10.75; P = 0.027). In non-flow limiting lesions with a vulnerable phenotype, QFR may provide additional prognostic information beyond plaque morphology for predicting MACE throughout 5 years.

Angiographic derived endothelial shear stress: a new predictor of atherosclerotic disease progression

AIMS

To examine the efficacy of angiography derived endothelial shear stress (ESS) in predicting atherosclerotic disease progression.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Thirty-five patients admitted with ST-elevation myocardial infarction that had three-vessel intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) immediately after revascularization and at 13 months follow-up were included. Three dimensional (3D) reconstruction of the non-culprit vessels were performed using (i) quantitative coronary angiography (QCA) and (ii) methodology involving fusion of IVUS and biplane angiography. In both models, blood flow simulation was performed and the minimum predominant ESS was estimated in 3 mm segments. Baseline plaque characteristics and ESS were used to identify predictors of atherosclerotic disease progression defied as plaque area increase and lumen reduction at follow-up. Fifty-four vessels were included in the final analysis. A moderate correlation was noted between ESS estimated in the 3D QCA and the IVUS-derived models (r = 0.588, P < 0.001); 3D QCA accurately identified segments exposed to low (<1 Pa) ESS in the IVUS-based reconstructions (AUC: 0.793, P < 0.001). Low 3D QCA-derived ESS (<1.75 Pa) was associated with an increase in plaque area, burden, and necrotic core at follow-up. In multivariate analysis, low ESS estimated either in 3D QCA [odds ratio (OR): 2.07, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17-3.67; P = 0.012) or in IVUS (<1 Pa; OR: 2.23, 95% CI: 1.23-4.03; P = 0.008) models, and plaque burden were independent predictors of atherosclerotic disease progression; 3D QCA and IVUS-derived models had a similar accuracy in predicting disease progression (AUC: 0.826 vs. 0.827, P = 0.907).

CONCLUSIONS

3D QCA-derived ESS can predict disease progression. Further research is required to examine its value in detecting vulnerable plaques.

Low carotid endothelial shear stress associated with cerebral small vessel disease in an older population: A subgroup analysis of a population-based prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The association between carotid wall shear stress (WSS) and cerebral small vessel disease has yet to be fully elucidated. The major purpose of this study was to investigate this association in older subjects.

METHODS

Common carotid artery WSS, endothelial function, white matter hyperintensities (WMH), lacunes, and microbleeds were assessed in 1396 older adults. Participants were followed-up for an average of 69.7 months.

RESULTS

Mean (M) and peak (P) WSS and changes in endothelial function were independently associated with changes in WMH volume and fraction, lacune counts, and microbleed counts (all p < 0.05). The risks of new-incident Fazekas scale ≥2 [hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.141 (1.469-3.119), p = 0.005 and 1.731 (1.197-2.505), p = 0.004, respectively], lacunes [HR (95% CI): 2.034 (1.369-3.022), p < 0.001 and 1.693 (1.151-2.490), p = 0.003, respectively], and microbleeds [HR (95% CI): 2.311 (1.509-3.541), p < 0.001 and 2.208 (1.299-3.751), p < 0.001, respectively] were significantly higher in the lowest quartile group than in the higher quartile group, as classified by either MWSS or PWSS, after adjustment for confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

Low carotid WSS is an independent risk factor for the progression of cerebral small vessel disease in older adults.

Evolving understanding of the heterogeneous natural history of individual coronary artery plaques and the role of local endothelial shear stress

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Anatomic and morphologic features of high-risk coronary plaque have been identified by novel imaging modalities, but it has been less clear which ostensibly high-risk plaques will actually destabilize and cause a new cardiac event. Different plaques with different morphologies coexist within the same artery, but the impact of this heterogeneity on the natural history of coronary artery disease has not been extensively investigated.

RECENT FINDINGS

Coronary plaques exhibit remarkable heterogeneity of local morphological and blood-flow patterns, including endothelial shear stress (ESS), along their longitudinal axis, with important implications for the heterogeneous natural history of coronary disease. The natural history of individual plaques is considerably divergent, with most plaques, even ostensibly high-risk plaques, becoming quiescent and only a minority progressing to destabilize and precipitate a new clinical event. Local areas of proinflammatory low ESS appear to be an important condition for plaque destabilization.

SUMMARY

Characterization of an individual atherosclerotic plaque based on a snapshot of morphological features at a specific location, such as the minimal lumen diameter, may not be sufficiently comprehensive to accurately reflect the risk associated with that plaque. A detailed assessment of both anatomical and functional pathobiologic characteristics in the longitudinal plaque dimension may enhance our understanding of atherosclerosis progression and improve the management of individual patients with coronary artery disease.

Invasive or non-invasive imaging for detecting high-risk coronary lesions?

INTRODUCTION

Advances in our understanding about atherosclerotic evolution have enabled us to identify specific plaque characteristics that are associated with coronary plaque vulnerability and cardiovascular events. With constant improvements in signal and image processing an arsenal of invasive and non-invasive imaging modalities have been developed that are capable of identifying these features allowing in vivo assessment of plaque vulnerability. Areas covered: This review article presents the available and emerging imaging modalities introduced to assess plaque morphology and biology, describes the evidence from the first large scale studies that evaluated the efficacy of invasive and non-invasive imaging in detecting lesions that are likely to progress and cause cardiovascular events and discusses the potential implications of the in vivo assessment of coronary artery pathology in the clinical setting. Expert commentary: Invasive imaging, with its high resolution, and in particular hybrid intravascular imaging appears as the ideal approach to study the mechanisms regulating atherosclerotic disease progression; whereas non-invasive imaging is expected to enable complete assessment of coronary tree pathology, detection of high-risk lesions, more accurate risk stratification and thus to allow a personalized treatment of vulnerable patients.

Intravascular hemodynamics and coronary artery disease: New insights and clinical implications

Intracoronary hemodynamics play a pivotal role in the initiation and progression of the atherosclerotic process. Low pro-inflammatory endothelial shear stress impacts vascular physiology and leads to the occurrence of coronary artery disease and its implications.