Serum BNP levels are associated with malignant pericardial effusion

Predictive value of a nomogram model for adverse outcomes in very low birth weight infants with patent ductus arteriosus: A prospective study

Objective

To establish a nomogram model incorporating markers of echocardiography and N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for predicting adverse outcomes of patent ductus arteriosus (PDAao) in very low birth weight infants and to evaluate the predictive values of the model.

Methods

A prospective study was conducted for very low birth weight infants who were admitted from May 2019 to September 2020. An echocardiogram and blood NT-proBNP test were carried out in the first 48 h after birth, and the arterial duct remained open in all patients. Other data collected included clinical symptoms and infant characteristics. A nomogram model was established to predict the risk of PDAao (including severe BPD, IVH, NEC or death). Internal verifications were performed for the nomogram, and the discrimination and calibration of the model were evaluated by the C-index and calibration curve.

Results

Eighty-two infants were enrolled and divided into an adverse outcome (AO) group and normal outcome (NO) group with 41 patients in each group. PDA diameter, PDA maximum flow velocity, left atrium diameter/aortic diameter (LA/AO) ratio and NT-proBNP level were independent risk factors for PDAao and were included in the nomogram model. The model presented good discrimination with a C-index of 0.917 (95% CI 0.859-0.975). The calibration curves in showed high consistency and indicated good Correspondence: between the event incidence predicted by the nomogram model and the true incidence of PDAao.

Conclusion

The nomogram model incorporating the PDA diameter, PDA maximum flow velocity, LA/AO ratio and NT-proBNP level in the first 48 h could early predict the later occurrence of PDAao in very low birth weight infants.

Development and validation a simple scoring system to identify malignant pericardial effusion

Background

Malignant pericardial effusion (MPE) is a serious complication in patients with advanced malignant tumors, which indicates a poor prognosis. However, its clinical manifestations lack specificity, making it challenging to distinguish MPE from benign pericardial effusion (BPE). The aim of this study was to develop and validate a scoring system based on a nomogram to discriminate MPE from BPE through easy-to-obtain clinical parameters.

Methods

In this study, the patients with pericardial effusion who underwent diagnostic pericardiocentesis in Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province from February 2013 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The eligible patients were divided into a training group (n = 161) and a validation group (n = 66) according to the admission time. The nomogram model was established using the meaningful indicators screened by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression. Then, a new scoring system was constructed based on this nomogram model.

Results

The new scoring system included loss of weight (3 points), no fever (4 points), mediastinal lymph node enlargement (2 points), pleural effusion (6 points), effusion adenosine deaminase (ADA≦18U/L) (5 points), effusion lactate dehydrogenase (LDH>1033U/L) (7 points), and effusion carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA>4.9g/mL) (10 points). With the optimal cut-off value was 16 points, the area under the curve (AUC), specificity, sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR) for identifying MPE were 0.974, 95.1%, 91.0%, 85.6%, 96.8%, 10.56 and 0.05, respectively, in the training set and 0.950, 83.3%, 95.2%, 90.9%, 90.9%, 17.50, and 0.18, respectively, in the validation set. The scoring system also showed good diagnostic accuracy in differentiating MPE caused by lung cancer from tuberculous pericardial effusion (TPE) and MPE including atypical cell from BPE.

Conclusion

The new scoring system based on seven easily available variables has good diagnostic value in distinguishing MPE from BPE.

Prognosis and role of clinical and imaging features in patients with malignant pericardial effusion: a single-center study in China

Background

The diagnosis of malignant pericardial effusion (MPE) is often associated with a poor prognosis, but due to the complexity and unspecific nature of MPE patients' clinical manifestations, imaging often performs an essential role in diagnosis and prognosis.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with MPE between 2013 and 2018 at one tumor hospital were included and followed up. The data covered the basic clinical features, imaging findings, treatments and prognosis of patients with MPE, and the factors that may have affected the prognosis were explored.

Results

A total of 216 patients with MPE were included with the median age of 60 years. The most common primary cancer type was lung cancer (73.6%), the most common symptom was dyspnea (62.9%) and the most common abnormal electrocardiogram finding was sinus tachycardia (42.1%). The median survival time of the 216 patients with MPE was 13.7 months. The factors affecting prognosis were echocardiographic fluid signs (HR = 2.37, P = 0.010), electrocardiographic evidence of sinus tachycardia (HR = 1.76, P = 0.006) and echocardiographic evidence of cardiac tamponade (HR = 3.33, P < 0.001).

Conclusions

MPE has complex clinical manifestations and an unsatisfactory prognosis. Echocardiographic fluid signs, electrocardiographic evidence of sinus tachycardia, and echocardiographic evidence of cardiac tamponade are independent risk factors affecting prognosis.