Nachouki M, Mohamed EA, Mehdi R, Abou Naaj M. Student course grade prediction using the random forest algorithm: Analysis of predictors' importance.
Trends Neurosci Educ 2023;
33:100214. [PMID:
38049293 DOI:
10.1016/j.tine.2023.100214]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2023] [Revised: 09/11/2023] [Accepted: 09/12/2023] [Indexed: 12/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Universities need to find strategies for improving student retention rates. Predicting student academic performance enables institutions to identify underachievers and take appropriate actions to increase student completion and lower dropout rates.
METHOD
In this work, we proposed a model based on random forest methodology to predict students' course performance using seven input predictors and find their relative importance in determining the course grade. Seven predictors were derived from transcripts and recorded data from 650 undergraduate computing students.
RESULTS
Our findings indicate that grade point average and high school score were the two most significant predictors of a course grade. The course category and class attendance percentage have equal importance. Course delivery mode does not have a significant effect.
CONCLUSION
Our findings show that courses students at risk find challenging can be identified, and appropriate actions, procedures, and policies can be taken.
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